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olivLaw · US equity research

Cinemark Holdings, Inc. CNK

Services-Motion Picture Theaters · SIC 7830 · Vertical: Motion pictures (SIC 78xx)

40.04USD−0.84% · 1 dayClose 05 Nov 2026

Cinemark Holdings is one of the largest theatrical exhibition companies in the world, operating 496 theaters in the United States and Latin America. In the second quarter of 2026 it reported all-time high quarterly revenue of 1.1 billion USD, a sign that the exhibition industry is regaining strength.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 05 Nov 2026, Cinemark Holdings, Inc. (CNK) stock was 40.04 USD (−0.84% on the day), with market capitalisation 4.8 bn USD, P/E 31.9 on diluted EPS of 1.26 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.85%, beta 0.32, 52-week range 21.93–40.38 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q1 2026): revenue of 643.1 m USD (+18.9% YoY), net income of -6.4 m USD, diluted EPS -0.06 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
4.8 bn USD
shares as of 28 Oct 2022
P/E (TTM)
31.9
Diluted EPS TTM 1.26 · TTM to 31 Mar 2026
E/P (TTM)
3.14%
TTM to 31 Mar 2026
Dividend yield
0.85%
DPS 12m 0.34
Beta (2y)
0.32
Volatility (1y) 39%
52-week range
21.9340.38

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
59.6
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
36.90 – 41.02
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.76 · band width 10.6%
SMA 50 / 200
37.09 / 31.61
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.74 / 0.76
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+13.5%−5.9%+19.4 pp—
3 months+5.5%−4.6%+10.1 pp—
6 months+45.8%+0.2%+45.5 pp—
Year to date+72.3%+7.4%+64.9 pp—
1 year+39.1%+8.2%+30.9 pp−36.7%
3 years+162.6%+68.4%+94.1 pp−30.9%
5 years+81.1%+56.5%+24.5 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−27.9%
11 Nov 2025 → 18 Dec 2025
Max drawdown (5y)
−61.6%
09 Nov 2021 → 28 Dec 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+12.6%
S&P 500 +9.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q1 2026 · 31 Mar 2026

Revenue
643.1 m USD
+18.9% YoY
Net income
-6.4 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.06
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-1.0% / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ2 '24Q3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26
Revenue734.2 m921.8 m814.3 m540.7 m940.5 m857.5 m776.3 m643.1 m
Depreciation & amortisation49.8 m49.1 m49.2 m49.5 m49.4 m50.9 m52.1 m51.6 m
Interest expense34.6 m36.7 m35.0 m38.5 m39.4 m32.2 m32.2 m34.7 m
Net income45.8 m187.8 m51.3 m-38.9 m93.5 m49.5 m34.1 m-6.4 m
Diluted EPS0.321.190.32 ≈-0.320.630.400.29 ≈-0.06

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 100 percentile of its own 24-quarter history (min 11.2, median 17.6, max 27.1; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019⚠ 202020212022202320242025
Revenue3.2 bn3.3 bn686.3 m1.5 bn2.5 bn3.1 bn3.0 bn3.1 bn
Revenue YoY+7.7%+1.9%—+120.1%+62.5%+24.9%−0.6%+2.1%
Net income213.8 m191.4 m-616.8 m-422.8 m-271.2 m188.2 m309.7 m138.2 m
Net income YoY−19.1%−10.5%—unavailableunavailableunavailable+64.6%−55.4%
Diluted EPS1.831.63-5.25-3.55-2.261.342.061.04
Diluted EPS YoY−19.0%−10.9%—unavailableunavailableunavailable+53.7%−49.5%
net %6.6%5.8%-89.9%-28.0%-11.0%6.1%10.2%4.4%
Free cash flow210.8 m258.4 m-414.0 m70.7 munavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable

The series breaks before 2020: earlier years come from the original reports of the issuer of that time, later years from a subsequent filing that restated the perimeter (a separation, discontinued operations). The year-on-year change across the break is not shown.

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
0 USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
unavailable USD
Total assets
unavailable USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
unavailable
ROE
unavailable
ROA
unavailable
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
3.1 bn
2024
3.0 bn
2025
3.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2022verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
209.5 m
2024
197.5 m
2025
201.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2022derived

Interest expense
2023
-150.4 m
2024
144.0 m
2025
142.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
221.4 m
2024
252.8 m
2025
153.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
29.9 m
2024
-60.1 m
2025
12.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
188.2 m
2024
309.7 m
2025
138.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
1.34
2024
2.06
2025
1.04

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
152.0 m
2024
154.9 m
2025
134.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
—
2024
—
2025
0.33

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
10.8 m
2024
0
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 06 May 2022verified

Inventories
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 06 May 2022verified

Current assets
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 06 May 2022verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
302.8 m
2024
300.5 m
2025
300.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 06 May 2022verified

Accounts payable
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2022verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 06 May 2022verified

Long-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 06 May 2022verified

Current liabilities
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 06 May 2022verified

Equity
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 06 May 2022verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2022verified

Capex
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2023verified

Free cash flow
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2022derived

Investing cash flow
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2022verified

Financing cash flow
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2022verified

Dividends paid
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2022verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
2.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
8.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
35.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
-55.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-49.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
5.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
unavailable
input data missing
ROA
unavailable
input data missing
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
27.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
unavailable
input data missing

Cash

Operating cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
4.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
28.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
P/E (TTM)
31.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
Earnings yield
3.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
P/S
1.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
0.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 3 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 25.0% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

40.04 USD

05 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 4.8 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
4.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
31.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
5.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
2.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Mar 2026

Coverage and freshness

30/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 31 Mar 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Dec 2025
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 28 Oct 2022
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 01 May 2026
verified 2170derived 121

Score by group

25% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
11.21
USD per share
Mid
14.39
USD per share
High
15.24
USD per share
Price: 40.04 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -64.1% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -178.3% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 4.34 – 24.65 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the input exists, but its latest figure is far older than the latest reported period: not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E18.09 – 24.65 (Mid 23.80)
    3 companies used · median multiple 18.9x · quartiles 14.4x – 19.6x
    MCS, NFLX, TOON
  • Dividend discount (DDM)4.34 – 5.83 (Mid 4.97)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Motion pictures (SIC 78xx)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 3 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 25.0% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality5.3%86 (vs peers)25%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth8.3%69 (on a fixed band)33%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
P/E (TTM) · Valuation31.9x0 (on a fixed band)42%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partialunavailable · 0/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial69/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial86/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Cinemark Holdings, Inc. (CNK). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-03-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 3.1 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 2.1%; net margin 5.3%.

The estimated value range is 11.21–15.24 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 14.39 USD, the price of 40.04 USD leaves a potential of -64.1% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -178.3% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 3 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 25.0% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 5.3%

What contradicts it

  • P/E (TTM): 31.9x
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, Current ratio, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Motion pictures (SIC 78xx) · same major group (2-digit SIC) · compared with 14 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
31.9x
vertical median 19.6x
above median (+62.4%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 12.5x
P/S
1.5x
vertical median 0.8x
above median (+92.9%)
P/B
—
vertical median 1.6x
ROE
—
vertical median -3.7%
Net margin
5.3%
vertical median -3.4%
above median
EBIT margin
—
vertical median -0.9%
Revenue YoY
2.1%
vertical median 3.8%
below median (−44.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 4.0x
Dividend yield
0.8%
vertical median 7.4%
below median (−88.5%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
NFLXNetflix, Inc.269.2 bn18.953.5%29.7%+15.9%−39% / +38%
CNKCinemark Holdings, Inc.4.8 bn31.9—5.3%+2.1%+39% / +163%
LIONLionsgate Studios Corp.3.7 bn——-4.1%+1.8%+68% / +19%
AMCAmc Entertainment Holdings, Inc.2.7 bn——-2.6%+4.6%+26% / −54%
FUBOFuboTV Inc.2.6 bn—-5.8%-0.7%+18.6%−79% / −80%
ANGXAngel Studios, Inc.617.3 m——-37.5%+233.2%−32% / unavailable
MCSMarcus Corp511.7 m20.35.4%3.1%+3.1%+71% / +93%
STRZStarz Entertainment Corp.419.7 m—-87.9%-32.5%−1.6%+122% / unavailable
IQiQIYI, Inc.308.7 m—-1.6%-0.8%−2.5%−59% / −80%
CURICuriositystream Inc.149.5 m484.20.1%0.0%+40.1%−48% / +265%
MPUMega Matrix Inc46.3 m—-213.2%-131.4%−27.9%−95% / −95%
CNVSCineverse Corp.35.9 m—-28.1%-12.7%−15.9%−40% / +27%
TOONKartoon Studios, Inc.30.3 m9.921.7%26.9%+20.7%−34% / −70%
RDIReading International, Inc———-5.9%−3.6%+28% / −10%
GAIAGaia, Inc——-9.3%-1,090.3%+55.2%−67% / −52%

1- and 3-year price returns: for CNK from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
27.72
Total return -30% · Per year -30%
48.92
Total return 23% · Per year 23%
73.56
Total return 85% · Per year 85%
3 years
28.97
Total return -25% · Per year -9%
57.34
Total return 47% · Per year 14%
94.38
Total return 140% · Per year 34%
5 years
30.29
Total return -20% · Per year -4%
67.20
Total return 74% · Per year 12%
121.07
Total return 211% · Per year 25%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 14.33
  • Net margin± 10.03
  • Annual revenue growth± 7.95
  • Annual dilution± 0.84

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (03 Nov 2026).

In brief

Cinemark Holdings is one of the largest theatrical exhibition companies in the world, operating 496 theaters in the United States and Latin America 1. In the second quarter of 2026 it reported all-time high quarterly revenue of 1.1 billion USD, a sign that the exhibition industry is regaining strength 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has a geographically diversified circuit and leading positions in many urban markets, giving it scale and access to films 1. Premium formats and comfort investments support average ticket prices and concession revenue 1.
  • Its loyalty programs have a large membership base, and a meaningful share of domestic box office comes from recurring subscription members 1. This gives some visibility into future revenue.
  • The balance sheet and cash flow were solid in recent results, and the company returned capital to shareholders through buybacks and dividends 3.

Weaknesses

  • Long-term debt and lease obligations are large and limit financial flexibility, especially if interest rates change 1.
  • Dependence on a small number of distributors and on the success of released films makes results volatile from one period to the next 1.
  • Exposure to Latin American markets brings currency, economic and regulatory risks that can affect results 1.

Opportunities

  • Converting auditoriums to laser projectors and expanding premium amenities could raise ticket and concession revenue 1.
  • New experiences in theaters, such as games, private events and restaurant spaces, could diversify revenue sources 1.
  • Latin American markets, where penetration is still limited, could offer growth opportunities if economic conditions improve 1.

Threats

  • Shorter exclusive windows and direct-to-streaming releases could reduce the number of films available and the appeal of the cinema 1.
  • Competition from streaming and new cinema formats could erode market share if audiences change their habits 1.
  • Economic instability, inflation and regulation in Latin American countries could weigh on operating results and liquidity 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on film productionhigh

    The business depends on the availability and performance of films, and production disruptions or industry strikes could reduce attendance 1. Contract negotiations scheduled for 2026 could delay new releases 1.

  • Shrinking exclusive windowhigh

    If audiences increasingly wait for digital releases, theater visits could decline and weigh on long-term revenue 1.

  • Debt and lease obligationsmedium

    High debt and lease obligations could limit investment and the ability to absorb financial shocks 1.

  • Currency and economic risk in Latin Americamedium

    Currency fluctuations, foreign exchange controls and economic instability could affect consolidated results 1.

  • Asset impairmentlow

    If a theater is directly hurt by competition or demographic changes, the company could record impairment of property and goodwill 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Second quarter 2026 results set records for revenue, admissions, concessions and adjusted EBITDA, and the margin was among the best in the company's history 3. If this trend holds, the company could further strengthen its leading position 3.
  • Market share has grown since the pandemic, and the company says it has gained more than most of its major competitors 3. This advantage could support results if films keep drawing audiences 1.
  • A lower interest rate on the term loan and the cash available could support investment plans and capital returns to shareholders 3.

What would break the thesis

  • Recent results depend on a favorable film calendar and strong box office, and a weaker period could quickly reduce revenue 23.
  • Long-term debt remains significant, and if interest rates or operating costs rise, margins could come under pressure 1.
  • A shorter exclusive window and streaming competition could reduce theater visits and limit long-term growth 1.

What to watch

  • Evolution of North American box office and the release slate in the second half of 2026Q3 2026
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin and the trend in labor and concession costsQ3 2026
  • Net debt level and leverage ratio after scheduled repaymentsnext 10-K
  • Length of the exclusive theatrical window for major films released in 20262027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (03 Nov 2026).

The business

Cinemark runs a geographically diverse theater circuit, with 303 theaters and 4,241 screens in the United States and 193 theaters and 1,396 screens in 13 Latin American countries as of December 31, 2025 1. The company earns revenue mainly from box office receipts and concession sales, supplemented by screen advertising and other sources 1. Its strategy emphasizes the guest experience, premium formats such as XD, IMAX and ScreenX, and loyalty programs with over 27 million members 1.

The company reports two segments, U.S. markets and international markets, and its film rental costs are variable and depend on each film's box office performance 1. Its model rests on a diversified portfolio, with theaters in 15 of the 20 largest metropolitan areas in Latin America 1.

Segments

U.S. markets

The U.S. segment operated 303 theaters and 4,241 screens at December 31, 2025, and it is a major revenue engine for the group 12. The company ranks first or second in 21 of its top 25 U.S. markets by box office revenue 1.

International markets

The international segment covers Brazil, Argentina, Chile, Colombia, Peru and Central America, with 193 theaters at year-end 2025 1. Brazil represented about 6.8% of consolidated 2025 revenue, and the company is the largest exhibitor in Brazil and Argentina 1.

Concession and other revenue

Concession sales are the company's second largest revenue source, reaching an all-time quarterly high of 433 million USD worldwide in the second quarter of 2026 13. Screen advertising, screen rental and other services complete the revenue from other sources 2.

Market context

The North American box office generated about 8.9 billion USD in 2025, and box office revenue in the Latin American countries where the company operates was about 1.2 billion USD 1. In the second quarter of 2026 the North American box office was about 3.0 billion USD, compared with 2.7 billion USD in the same period of 2025 2.

Industry success depends largely on the volume and quality of films released, the length of the exclusive theatrical window and consumer behavior, given many entertainment alternatives 12. The company says it has grown its market share by more than 150 basis points since the pandemic 3.

Trends

  • Box office recovery and blockbuster releasestailwind

    Box office receipts in the second quarter of 2026 were supported by titles such as The Super Mario Galaxy Movie and Toy Story 5, which pushed revenue to record levels 23. If the 2026 release slate keeps this pace, it could continue to support attendance 1.

  • Shrinking exclusive theatrical windowheadwind

    Some studios have significantly shortened the exclusive window, and audiences might wait for in-home release instead of going to the theater, which could affect attendance and long-term appeal 1. Such a shift could reduce the perceived distinctiveness of the cinema experience 1.

  • Labor and supply costsheadwind

    Inflationary pressures and tariffs have raised product costs, and wage rates have risen with labor market conditions, and these costs could keep increasing 12. The company has tried to offset them through showtime optimization and operating efficiency 1.

  • Lower interest costs on debtmixed

    The company repriced its term loan, reducing the interest rate by 25 basis points, which could lower financing costs and support cash flow 3. Long-term debt remains significant, and interest rate sensitivity could matter if conditions change 1.

Competitive position

Cinemark competes with local, regional, national and international exhibitors, both for patrons and for film licensing 1. Competition also comes from new concept theaters such as dine-in and tavern-style venues that open near its conventional theaters 1.

Competition also comes from other forms of entertainment and alternative distribution channels such as streaming, digital downloads and network television, which have expanded in recent years 1. Major studios and distributors hold strong bargaining power, with six major distributors accounting for a large share of U.S. box office 1.

  • AMC EntertainmentAMC

    Partner in the Fathom Entertainment joint venture and direct competitor in U.S. markets, as named in the company's filings 1.

  • Regal Entertainment Group

    Partner in the Fathom Entertainment joint venture and a U.S. theater operator, as named in the company's filings 1.

  • Local and regional exhibitors

    Smaller operators that compete in the same urban markets and for film licensing, as described in the risk factors 1.

  • Streaming and alternative channels

    Not exhibitors, but they compete for audiences' leisure time and spending, as the company notes in its risk factors 1.

News & filings

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Cinemark Holdings, Inc. · 18 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Cinemark Holdings, Inc. · 30 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Cinemark Holdings, Inc. · 30 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.