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olivLaw · US equity research

EMCOR Group, Inc. EME

Electrical Work · SIC 1731 · Vertical: Electrical Work (SIC 1731)

639.25USD−9.64% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

EMCOR Group is one of the largest specialty contractors in the United States, with revenues of 16.99 billion USD in fiscal 2025. In the second quarter of 2026, the most recent period in the sources, revenues reached 5.15 billion USD, up 19.8%. The company raised its 2026 revenue guidance to 20.00-20.50 billion USD.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME) stock was 639.25 USD (−9.64% on the day), with market capitalisation 28.0 bn USD, P/E 18.5 on diluted EPS of 34.63 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.23%, beta 1.46, 52-week range 581.58–943.75 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 5.5 bn USD (+28.8% YoY), net income of 399.9 m USD (+35.4% YoY), diluted EPS 9.04 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
28.0 bn USD
shares as of 23 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
18.5
Diluted EPS TTM 34.63 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
5.42%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.23%
DPS 12m 1.45
Beta (2y)
1.46
Volatility (1y) 42%
52-week range
581.58943.75

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
34.1
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
617.98 – 797.83
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.12 · band width 25.4%
SMA 50 / 200
738.06 / 781.78
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-23.80 / -21.93
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−18.0%−1.1%−16.9 pp—
3 months−22.2%−0.5%−21.8 pp—
6 months−32.3%+4.4%−36.7 pp—
Year to date+4.5%+12.3%−7.8 pp—
1 year−2.3%+13.5%−15.9 pp+18.3%
3 years+204.1%+76.4%+127.7 pp+383.3%
5 years+383.4%+63.7%+319.7 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−32.3%
06 May 2026 → 04 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−36.2%
22 Jan 2025 → 04 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+37.0%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
5.5 bn USD
+28.8% YoY
Net income
399.9 m USD
+35.4% YoY
Diluted EPS
9.04
+37.6% YoY
net / operating
7.2% / 9.8%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue3.8 bn3.9 bn4.3 bn4.3 bn4.5 bn4.6 bn5.2 bn5.5 bn
Cost of revenue3.0 bn3.1 bn3.5 bn3.5 bn3.6 bn3.8 bn4.1 bn4.4 bn
Gross profit757.0 m722.7 m833.8 m835.3 m891.2 m864.0 m1.0 bn1.1 bn
SG&A368.5 m404.0 m418.6 m429.6 m462.3 m460.1 m475.0 m528.4 m
Operating income388.6 m318.8 m415.2 m405.7 m573.8 m403.8 m547.3 m545.8 m
Pre-tax income398.5 m324.2 m412.0 m407.6 m577.8 m410.1 m551.7 m549.6 m
Income tax106.3 m83.5 m109.9 m112.2 m143.2 m104.6 m148.0 m149.6 m
Net income292.2 m240.7 m302.2 m295.4 m434.6 m305.5 m403.7 m399.9 m
Diluted EPS6.33 ≈5.266.726.579.69 ≈6.849.069.04
Operating cash flow469.5 m108.5 m193.7 m ≈475.5 m ≈524.4 m558.0 k289.4 m ≈796.7 m ≈
Capex17.7 m26.1 m28.0 m26.7 m31.9 m28.7 m31.1 m ≈37.2 m ≈
Dividends paid11.5 m11.5 m11.2 m ≈11.2 m ≈11.2 m17.8 m17.8 m ≈17.7 m ≈
Share repurchases84.4 m224.8 m207.3 m ≈0 ≈154.1 m87.1 m181.4 m ≈188.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 50 percentile of its own 44-quarter history (min 10.5, median 18.8, max 43.5; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue8.1 bn9.2 bn8.8 bn9.9 bn11.1 bn12.6 bn14.6 bn17.0 bn
Revenue YoY+5.8%+12.8%−4.1%+12.6%+11.8%+13.6%+15.8%+16.6%
Net income283.5 m325.1 m132.9 m383.5 m406.1 m633.0 m1.0 bn1.3 bn
Net income YoY+24.8%+14.7%−59.1%+188.5%+5.9%+55.9%+59.1%+26.4%
Diluted EPS4.855.752.407.068.1013.3121.5228.19
Diluted EPS YoY+27.0%+18.6%−58.3%+194.2%+14.7%+64.3%+61.7%+31.0%
net %3.5%3.5%1.5%3.9%3.7%5.0%6.9%7.5%
Free cash flow227.5 m307.3 m758.4 m282.6 m448.6 m821.3 m1.3 bn1.2 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
1.1 bn USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
3.7 bn USD
Total assets
9.3 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
1.22x
ROE
38.5%
ROA
15.0%
FCF margin
7.0%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
12.6 bn
2024
14.6 bn
2025
17.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
10.5 bn
2024
11.8 bn
2025
13.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
2.1 bn
2024
2.8 bn
2025
3.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
875.8 m
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
51.8 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2024verified

EBITDA
2023
927.6 m ≈
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2024derived

Interest expense
2023
17.2 m
2024
3.8 m
2025
12.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
872.9 m
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
239.5 m
2024
370.2 m
2025
448.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
633.0 m
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
13.31
2024
21.52
2025
28.19

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
47.6 m
2024
46.8 m
2025
45.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.69
2024
0.93
2025
1.00

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
789.8 m
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
3.2 bn
2024
3.6 bn
2025
4.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
4.4 bn
2024
5.4 bn
2025
5.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
179.4 m
2024
207.5 m
2025
253.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
956.5 m
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
586.0 m
2024
648.2 m
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
6.6 bn
2024
7.7 bn
2025
9.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
936.0 m
2024
937.1 m
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
2.5 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2024verified

Current liabilities
2023
3.5 bn
2024
4.2 bn
2025
4.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
4.1 bn
2024
4.8 bn
2025
5.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
2.5 bn
2024
2.9 bn
2025
3.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
899.7 m
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
78.4 m
2024
75.0 m
2025
112.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
821.3 m ≈
2024
1.3 bn ≈
2025
1.2 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-161.3 m
2024
-299.3 m
2025
-873.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-412.1 m
2024
-555.4 m
2025
-663.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
32.7 m
2024
43.4 m
2025
45.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
127.7 m
2024
489.8 m
2025
586.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
16.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
15.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
14.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
27.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
26.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
46.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
57.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
31.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
51.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
63.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-10.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
19.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
10.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
7.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
7.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
40.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
15.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
39.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
4.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
4.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
172.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
128.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
1.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
96.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
89 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
28 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
28.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
18.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
18.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
5.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
6.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
1.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
18.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
5.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Risk

Altman Z
5.78
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 74 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

639.25 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 28.0 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
28.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
18.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
6.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
40.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
7.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
16.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 23 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 29 Oct 2026
verified 2893derived 211

Score by group

  • Balance sheet72
  • Valuation59
  • Quality77
  • Growth100
  • Returns61

Estimated value range

Low
539.18
USD per share
Mid
815.86
USD per share
High
1,318.30
USD per share
Price: 639.25 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: 27.6% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 21.6% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 539.18 – 1,318.30 USD.

Methods computed but outside the aggregate range: Dividend discount (DDM) (a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate).

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E539.18 – 1,318.30 (Mid 815.86)
    3 companies used · median multiple 23.6x · quartiles 15.6x – 38.1x
    FIX, IESC, PWR
  • Dividend discount (DDM)outside the aggregate13.14 – 17.67 (Mid 15.07)
    a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Electrical Work (SIC 1731)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 74/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality7.8%60 (vs peers)9%
FCF conversion · Quality96.0%94 (on a fixed band)9%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth15.3%100 (on a fixed band)12%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth51.5%100 (on a fixed band)12%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet172.3x100 (on a fixed band)9%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.2x31 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation18.5x52 (on a fixed band)15%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation5.3%66 (on a fixed band)12%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns2.4%34 (on a fixed band)9%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns4.3%100 (on a fixed band)6%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet72/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality77/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns61/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation59/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

Memo

EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 17.0 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 16.6%; net margin 7.8%; ROE 40.6%.

The estimated value range is 539.18–1,318.30 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 815.86 USD, the price of 639.25 USD leaves a potential of 27.6% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 21.6% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 74/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 96.0%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 15.3%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 51.5%
  • Interest coverage: 172.3x
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 4.3%

What contradicts it

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net debt / EBITDA, EV/EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Electrical Work (SIC 1731) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 5 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
18.5x
vertical median 38.1x
below median (−51.5%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
P/S
1.4x
vertical median 3.0x
below median (−53.7%)
P/B
6.5x
vertical median 11.4x
below median (−42.8%)
ROE
40.6%
vertical median 17.8%
above median (+128.2%)
Net margin
7.8%
vertical median 4.5%
above median (+72.5%)
EBIT margin
10.4%
vertical median 6.8%
above median (+52.9%)
Revenue YoY
16.6%
vertical median 20.3%
below median (−18.2%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
Dividend yield
0.2%
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
PWRQuanta Services, Inc.87.5 bn52.617.8%4.5%+20.3%+25% / +208%
FIXComfort Systems USA, Inc.38.2 bn23.658.6%13.0%+29.5%+12% / +464%
EMEEMCOR Group, Inc.28.0 bn18.540.6%7.8%+16.6%−2% / +204%
IESCIES Holdings, Inc.3.4 bn7.645.0%11.3%+16.9%−19% / +383%
MAGHMagnitude International Ltd236.6 m6,760.07.2%0.3%unavailableunavailable / unavailable
ENGSEnergys Group Ltd64.6 m—-139.3%-30.1%unavailable+287% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for EME from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
425.37
Total return -33% · Per year -33%
748.58
Total return 17% · Per year 17%
1,122.87
Total return 76% · Per year 76%
3 years
504.55
Total return -20% · Per year -7%
990.00
Total return 56% · Per year 16%
1,616.94
Total return 154% · Per year 36%
5 years
598.48
Total return -5% · Per year -1%
1,309.28
Total return 107% · Per year 16%
2,328.39
Total return 267% · Per year 30%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 247.50
  • Net margin± 173.25
  • Annual revenue growth± 129.21
  • Annual dilution± 14.56

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (29 Oct 2026), 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

EMCOR Group is one of the largest specialty contractors in the United States, with revenues of 16.99 billion USD in fiscal 2025 1. In the second quarter of 2026, the most recent period in the sources, revenues reached 5.15 billion USD, up 19.8% 3. The company raised its 2026 revenue guidance to 20.00-20.50 billion USD 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Leading position in electrical and mechanical construction, with recognized technical capability and execution experience 1. A very large backlog of contracts gives visibility into future revenues 3.
  • Solid access to bank credit and surety bonding, which allows participation in large projects 1. A record of safety and project control cited as a competitive advantage 1.
  • Diversification across segments and sectors, from data centers to healthcare and public infrastructure 1.

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on competitive bidding, where pricing can pressure margins 1. Some contracts do not allow price adjustments when material costs rise 1.
  • The industrial segment is tied to the oil and gas cycle and declined in fiscal 2025 1. Dependence on a few sectors, especially data centers, makes revenues more sensitive to changes in those markets 2.
  • Some government contracts can be terminated for convenience, creating long-term uncertainty 1.

Opportunities

  • Rapid growth in demand for data centers and artificial intelligence infrastructure could continue to support revenue growth 13. A record level of remaining performance obligations points to further growth potential 3.
  • Acquisitions and expansion into new geographies can complement existing operations 3. Sustainable energy and energy efficiency solutions may open new contracts 1.
  • Water and wastewater projects and work for healthcare and institutional clients show growing demand 3.

Threats

  • A slowdown in data center investment could quickly reduce demand for the company's services 1. The cyclical nature of client sectors remains a structural risk 1.
  • Rising costs of materials, labor and energy could compress margins, especially on fixed-price projects 1.
  • Trade policy, tariffs and geopolitical instability could delay projects or make supplies more costly 1.

Risks

  • Cyclicality of client sector demandhigh

    Clients may defer or cancel projects if economic activity slows, and demand from data center work could fall if investment declines 1.

  • Pressure from material and energy costsmedium

    Higher prices for copper, steel and fuel can affect profitability on projects in progress, especially where contracts do not allow price adjustments 1.

  • Dependence on government contractsmedium

    Reduced budgets or delays in funding can postpone projects and affect collections 1.

  • Competition and price pressuremedium

    Competitive bidding and relatively low barriers to entry can pressure prices and margins 1.

  • Integration of acquisitionslow

    Integrating acquired companies, including Miller Electric, can create costs and operational challenges 12.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If demand for data centers and infrastructure remains strong, revenues and remaining performance obligations could keep growing in the coming years 3.
  • Rising operating margins and a raised guidance range point to good project execution 3.
  • A leading position, a diversified portfolio and access to financing could support long-term growth 1.

What would break the thesis

  • If investment in data centers slows, demand could fall quickly and the company could struggle to sustain its growth pace 1.
  • Rising costs and competition in bidding could compress margins, especially on fixed-price projects 1.
  • Rapid growth through acquisitions brings integration and execution risks, and results could fall short of expectations 12.

What to watch

  • Development of remaining performance obligations and new contracts in the data center sectorQ3 2026
  • Gross margin trend as material and labor costs riseQ4 2026
  • Integration of recent acquisitions and their effect on electrical and mechanical segment revenues2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (29 Oct 2026), 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

EMCOR provides electrical and mechanical construction services, building services and industrial services through about 100 operating subsidiaries 1. In fiscal 2025 about 72% of revenues came from construction operations, 21% from building services and 7% from industrial services 1. About 97% of fiscal 2025 revenues were generated in the United States, and the company sold its United Kingdom operations on December 1, 2025 1.

Revenues in fiscal 2025 included an incremental acquisition contribution of about 1.27 billion USD 1. The quarter ended June 30, 2026 showed an operating margin of 10.6% 3. Remaining performance obligations reached a record 17.14 billion USD at June 30, 2026 3.

Segments

United States building services

Revenues in this segment were nearly flat in fiscal 2025, as lost facilities maintenance contracts offset growth in HVAC and building automation work 1. The industrial segment, tied to refineries and petrochemical plants, saw a slight revenue decline in fiscal 2025 1.

Market context

EMCOR operates in the broad market for non-residential construction and facilities services, where it competes with thousands of small companies across the United States 1. The industry is fragmented, but a few large competitors exist, and most revenues come from competitive bids 1.

Investment in data centers and artificial intelligence infrastructure has raised demand, but the sectors served remain cyclical and a slowdown could reduce demand 1. Revenues are also influenced by government spending and by material costs such as copper and steel 1.

Trends

  • Data center and artificial intelligence investmenttailwind

    Rapid expansion of data infrastructure for cloud and artificial intelligence has increased demand for electrical and mechanical services 1. If this investment slows, demand could decline as resources shift to other sectors 1.

  • Supply chain re-shoring and high-tech manufacturingmixed

    Construction of new production facilities adds demand for complex installation work 1. However, some semiconductor and biotech projects were completed, which reduced revenues in certain segments 2.

  • Material costs and trade tariffsheadwind

    Rising prices for copper, steel and fuel could reduce profitability on projects in progress, since some contracts do not allow price adjustments 1. Trade policy and tariffs add further uncertainty 1.

  • Government spending and financingheadwind

    Reduced or delayed federal and local spending could postpone projects and contracts with government agencies 1. Borrowing costs and interest rates may also influence the investment decisions of private clients 1.

Competitive position

EMCOR competes with national, regional and local companies, many of them small and owner-operated, as well as with certain foreign companies 1. Larger competitors in electrical and mechanical construction include APi Group, Comfort Systems USA, Dycom Industries, Everus Construction Group, IES Holdings, MasTec, MYR Group, Quanta Services and Tutor Perini 1.

The company's advantages include its financial position, access to bank credit and surety bonding, technical capability and safety record 1. However, barriers to entry are relatively low, and some competitors have lower cost structures that can pressure margins 1.

  • Quanta Services, Inc.PWR

    Large contractor for energy and communications infrastructure, named by EMCOR among its larger competitors in electrical and mechanical construction 1.

  • Comfort Systems USA, Inc.FIX

    Provider of mechanical and HVAC services, named among the larger competitors in the industry 1.

  • MasTec, Inc.MTZ

    Infrastructure constructor, named among the larger competitors in electrical and mechanical construction 1.

  • IES Holdings, Inc.IESC

    Electrical and mechanical contracting services provider, named among competitors in the same industry 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 26 Aug 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 29 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / EMCOR Group, Inc. · 26 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / EMCOR Group, Inc. · 30 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / EMCOR Group, Inc. · 30 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.