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olivLaw · US equity research

Hayward Holdings, Inc. HAYW

Refrigeration & Service Industry Machinery · SIC 3580 · Vertical: Refrigeration & Service Industry Machinery (SIC 3580)

16.98USD+2.91% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Hayward Holdings designs and manufactures pool equipment, outdoor living products and industrial flow control products, and its aftermarket replacement and upgrade business, which accounts for most sales, underpins its growth. Net sales reached 1122.2 million USD in fiscal 2025, and aftermarket represented about 85% of sales, making the company relevant to investors following recurring demand in pool equipment.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Hayward Holdings, Inc. (HAYW) stock was 16.98 USD (+2.91% on the day), with market capitalisation 3.5 bn USD, P/E 21.8 on diluted EPS of 0.78 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.00%, beta 1.03, 52-week range 11.35–17.31 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 260.1 m USD (+6.5% YoY), net income of 32.4 m USD (+34.9% YoY), diluted EPS 0.15 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
3.5 bn USD
shares as of 26 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
21.8
Diluted EPS TTM 0.78 · TTM to 26 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
4.58%
TTM to 26 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.00%
DPS 12m 0.00
Beta (2y)
1.03
Volatility (1y) 34%
52-week range
11.3517.31

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
83.0
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
9.27 – 17.22
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.97 · band width 60.0%
SMA 50 / 200
13.12 / 14.55
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
1.04 / 0.48
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+36.6%−1.1%+37.7 pp—
3 months+4.9%−0.5%+5.3 pp—
6 months+13.8%+4.4%+9.4 pp—
Year to date+9.9%+12.3%−2.4 pp—
1 year+4.9%+13.5%−8.7 pp−0.4%
3 years+52.4%+76.4%−24.0 pp+25.6%
5 years−30.4%+63.7%−94.1 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−34.4%
30 Jun 2026 → 09 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−70.5%
16 Nov 2021 → 20 Oct 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
−7.0%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 26 Sept 2026

Revenue
260.1 m USD
+6.5% YoY
Net income
32.4 m USD
+34.9% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.15
+36.4% YoY
net / operating
12.5% / 19.3%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue327.1 m228.8 m299.6 m244.3 m349.4 m255.2 m318.4 m260.1 m
Cost of revenue173.8 m123.6 m152.1 m127.6 m180.1 m136.5 m163.3 m135.5 m
Gross profit153.3 m105.3 m147.5 m116.7 m169.3 m118.7 m155.1 m124.7 m
Research & development6.9 m6.0 m6.1 m7.1 m8.0 m6.8 m7.7 m8.6 m
SG&A58.5 m57.0 m61.5 m61.4 m67.0 m62.6 m64.3 m59.4 m
Operating income76.5 m33.5 m71.4 m41.1 m87.3 m42.5 m76.0 m50.2 m
Pre-tax income63.4 m18.7 m59.4 m31.2 m75.3 m30.1 m59.3 m41.1 m
Income tax8.7 m4.3 m14.6 m7.2 m6.9 m6.8 m13.6 m8.7 m
Net income54.7 m14.3 m44.8 m24.0 m68.4 m23.4 m45.6 m32.4 m
Diluted EPS0.25 ≈0.060.200.110.31 ≈0.110.210.15
Operating cash flow-63.7 m-5.9 m194.2 m ≈94.6 m ≈-26.9 m-150.6 m322.2 m ≈53.9 m ≈
Capex6.2 m5.5 m6.9 m ≈7.4 m ≈8.9 m7.1 m10.3 m ≈10.9 m ≈
Share repurchases378.0 k00 ≈0 ≈5.0 m5.9 m58.5 m ≈51.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 41 percentile of its own 22-quarter history (min 2.1, median 23.1, max 48.3; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2019202020212022202320242025
Revenue733.4 m875.4 m1.4 bn1.3 bn992.5 m1.1 bn1.1 bn
Revenue YoYunavailable+19.4%+60.1%−6.3%−24.5%+6.0%+6.7%
Net income8.5 m43.3 m203.7 m179.3 m80.7 m118.7 m151.6 m
Net income YoYunavailable+408.1%+370.5%−12.0%−55.0%+47.1%+27.7%
Diluted EPS0.050.250.490.780.370.540.68
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable+400.0%+96.0%+59.2%−52.6%+45.9%+25.9%
net %1.2%4.9%14.5%13.6%8.1%11.3%13.5%
Free cash flow68.9 m199.6 m163.2 m86.3 m155.6 m189.7 m227.3 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
329.6 m USD
Financial debt
973.1 m USD
Net debt
643.4 m USD
Equity
1.6 bn USD
Total assets
3.2 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.61x
Current ratio
2.94x
ROE
10.0%
ROA
4.9%
FCF margin
20.3%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
992.5 m
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
563.0 m
2024
564.6 m
2025
583.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
429.4 m
2024
487.0 m
2025
538.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
24.5 m
2024
25.8 m
2025
27.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
186.1 m
2024
217.1 m
2025
246.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
175.2 m
2024
208.8 m
2025
233.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
-7.1 m
2024
67.1 m
2025
50.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
101.1 m
2024
144.2 m
2025
184.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
20.4 m
2024
25.5 m
2025
33.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
80.7 m
2024
118.7 m
2025
151.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.37
2024
0.54
2025
0.68

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
220.7 m
2024
221.4 m
2025
222.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.00
2024
0.00
2025
0.00

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
178.1 m
2024
196.6 m
2025
329.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
270.9 m
2024
278.6 m
2025
280.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
215.2 m
2024
216.5 m
2025
210.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
724.7 m
2024
767.0 m
2025
951.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
—
2024
160.4 m
2025
164.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
935.0 m
2024
943.6 m
2025
951.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
1.0 bn
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
2.9 bn
2024
3.0 bn
2025
3.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
68.9 m
2024
81.5 m
2025
77.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
15.1 m
2024
14.0 m
2025
13.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
1.1 bn
2024
971.5 m
2025
959.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
239.7 m
2024
313.0 m
2025
323.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
1.3 bn †
2024
1.4 bn †
2025
1.6 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
184.5 m
2024
212.1 m
2025
256.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
28.9 m
2024
22.4 m
2025
28.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
155.6 m ≈
2024
189.7 m ≈
2025
227.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-55.4 m
2024
-54.1 m
2025
-103.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-7.6 m
2024
-136.8 m
2025
-20.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2023verified

Share repurchases
2023
0
2024
378.0 k
2025
5.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
6.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-5.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
5.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
11.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
27.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-5.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
28.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
25.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-4.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
22.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
19.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
48.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
21.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Net margin
14.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
FCF margin
13.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
10.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
ROA
5.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
ROIC
17.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
ROCE
9.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
-225.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
5.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
3.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
2.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
198.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
37.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
161.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
95.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
39 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
141 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
43 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
137 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
3.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
3.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
20.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
21.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
4.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
P/B
2.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
P/S
3.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
12.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
2.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
P/FCF
21.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
FCF yield
4.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
3.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026

Risk

Altman Z
2.74
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 56 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

16.98 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 3.5 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
3.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
21.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
P/B
2.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
10.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Net margin
14.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
6.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 26 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 26 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 26 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 28 Oct 2026
verified 1063derived 81

Score by group

  • Balance sheet73
  • Growth0
  • Quality98
  • Returns49
  • Valuation46

Estimated value range

Low
15.77
USD per share
Mid
17.11
USD per share
High
24.16
USD per share
Price: 16.98 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: 0.7% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 0.7% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: high · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 11.36 – 31.73 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)11.36 – 16.59 (Mid 13.40)
    WACC 9.3% · starting FCFF 202.8 m USD · terminal value share of EV 72%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 6.0%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E20.18 – 31.73 (Mid 20.81)
    3 companies used · median multiple 26.8x · quartiles 26.0x – 40.8x
    ALH, SXI, TNC
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Refrigeration & Service Industry Machinery (SIC 3580)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 56/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality17.1%100 (on a fixed band)14%
Net margin · Quality14.4%100 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Quality95.0%93 (on a fixed band)8%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-5.1%0 (on a fixed band)11%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-4.5%0 (on a fixed band)11%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet5.1x55 (on a fixed band)8%
Current ratio · Balance sheet3.3x100 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation21.8x37 (on a fixed band)14%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation4.6%57 (on a fixed band)11%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns3.4%49 (on a fixed band)8%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet73/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth0/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality98/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial49/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation46/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Hayward Holdings, Inc. (HAYW). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-26.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.1 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 6.7%; net margin 14.4%; ROE 10.9%.

The estimated value range is 15.77–24.16 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: high); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 17.11 USD, the price of 16.98 USD leaves a potential of 0.7% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 0.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 56/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 17.1%
  • Net margin: 14.4%
  • FCF conversion: 95.0%
  • Current ratio: 3.3x

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -5.1%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -4.5%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA, EV/EBITDA, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Refrigeration & Service Industry Machinery (SIC 3580) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 5 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
21.8x
vertical median 26.8x
below median (−18.4%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
P/S
3.0x
vertical median 2.6x
above median (+16.4%)
P/B
2.2x
vertical median 3.9x
below median (−43.1%)
ROE
10.9%
vertical median 3.9%
above median (+183.5%)
Net margin
14.4%
vertical median 1.9%
above median (+674.5%)
EBIT margin
21.6%
vertical median 16.5%
above median (+31.0%)
Revenue YoY
6.7%
vertical median 7.9%
below median (−14.7%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
Dividend yield
0.0%
vertical median 0.5%
below median (−100.0%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
MIDDThe Middleby Corporation5.8 bn—-16.2%-13.9%unavailable+34% / +26%
ALHAlliance Laundry Holdings Inc.4.6 bn25.1109.8%10.1%+13.3%−3% / unavailable
HAYWHayward Holdings, Inc.3.5 bn21.810.9%14.4%+6.7%+5% / +52%
SXIStandex International Corp3.0 bn26.815.3%12.5%+12.8%+3% / +88%
TNCTennant Co1.2 bn54.93.9%1.9%−6.5%−0% / −15%
LBGJLi Bang International Corporation Inc.34.5 m—-16.6%-9.1%+2.9%−100% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for HAYW from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
9.52
Total return -44% · Per year -44%
16.91
Total return -0% · Per year -0%
25.59
Total return 51% · Per year 51%
3 years
7.56
Total return -55% · Per year -24%
15.26
Total return -10% · Per year -3%
25.59
Total return 51% · Per year 15%
5 years
6.00
Total return -65% · Per year -19%
13.77
Total return -19% · Per year -4%
25.59
Total return 51% · Per year 9%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 3.82
  • Net margin± 2.67
  • Annual revenue growth± 2.41
  • Annual dilution± 0.22

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 29 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (28 Oct 2026).

In brief

Hayward Holdings designs and manufactures pool equipment, outdoor living products and industrial flow control products, and its aftermarket replacement and upgrade business, which accounts for most sales, underpins its growth. Net sales reached 1122.2 million USD in fiscal 2025, and aftermarket represented about 85% of sales, making the company relevant to investors following recurring demand in pool equipment 13.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has a large installed base of equipment, long relationships with distribution channels and a high share of aftermarket sales, which brings recurring revenue 12.
  • A portfolio of energy-efficient and IoT-connected products, together with the SmartPad platform, supports pricing power and differentiation 13.
  • Recently the company reduced net leverage and refinanced its debt, which strengthens financial flexibility 3.

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on distributors and a few large customers means losing a key customer could affect sales 1.
  • The E&RW segment is more exposed to geopolitical conflict and saw volume decline in the latest reported quarter 3.
  • Sales are seasonal, and cash flow can be affected by extended Early Buy payment terms and inventory build 13.

Opportunities

  • Replacement of older equipment with IoT and efficient models could keep supporting growth in the aftermarket 12.
  • A growing installed base and favourable demographic trends in sunbelt regions could add demand 3.
  • Acquisitions and expansion into markets with lower penetration could add products and geographies 1.

Threats

  • Tariffs and the uncertainty around them could raise costs and reduce competitiveness against unaffected manufacturers 2.
  • Competition, including counterfeit and low-cost copies, could pressure margins 1.
  • An economic slowdown or tighter credit could delay replacements and upgrades and reduce demand 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on distributors and large customershigh

    A small number of customers account for a significant share of sales, and reduced orders or the loss of a customer could affect results 1.

  • Tariffs and supply costshigh

    Tariffs and trade restrictions could raise the cost of raw materials and components, and those costs cannot always be passed on to customers 2.

  • Demand sensitive to economy and creditmedium

    Consumer spending on pools can fall in downturns or when mortgage credit is expensive, which could delay replacements 1.

  • Geopolitical exposure in Europe and Rest of Worldmedium

    Conflicts in the Middle East, Ukraine and Russia have already affected volumes in the E&RW segment and could continue to do so 23.

  • Competition and counterfeitingmedium

    Price competitors and counterfeit products could weaken differentiation and pressure gross margins 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • The aftermarket and large installed base could provide recurring revenue, and adoption of IoT and energy-efficient products could support pricing and margins 13.
  • Debt reduction and the recent refinancing could give the company more flexibility for investment and for returning capital to shareholders 3.
  • If demographic trends and the upgrading of outdoor spaces continue, equipment demand could remain solid over the long term 3.

What would break the thesis

  • Dependence on distributors and a few large customers could leave revenue exposed to changes in orders or inventory 1.
  • Tariffs and trade uncertainty could pressure costs and margins, especially if they cannot be passed on to customers 23.
  • The E&RW segment could remain weak if geopolitical tensions persist, which would limit total growth 3.

What to watch

  • Developments in tariffs and in refunds under IEEPA and their effect on costs and marginsQ3 2026
  • Demand in the E&RW segment and volume trends in the Middle EastQ3 2026
  • Delivery of fiscal 2026 guidance, including net sales growth and adjusted diluted EPS2026
  • Distributor inventory levels and the evolution of the Early Buy programnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 29 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (28 Oct 2026).

The business

Hayward Holdings, Inc. is a global designer and manufacturer of pool equipment, outdoor living products and industrial flow control products 1. The company describes the pool as the centerpiece of outdoor living and relies on a large installed base, long relationships with distributors and innovation in IoT and energy-efficient products 1. Founded in 1925, Hayward sells mainly through distributors, who serve thousands of pool builders and servicers 1.

Segments

North America (NAM)

The NAM segment covers the United States and Canada and accounted for about 85% of net sales in fiscal 2025 1. In the second quarter of fiscal 2026, NAM net sales rose 9%, supported by positive net price and higher volume, according to the results release 3.

Europe & Rest of World (E&RW)

The E&RW segment covers Europe, Central and South America, the Middle East, Australia and other Asia-Pacific countries 2. In the second quarter of fiscal 2026 E&RW net sales fell 8%, mainly due to lower volume tied to geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East, according to the release 3.

Market context

The company estimates the global installed base at about 25 million pools, and North America and Europe together account for roughly 67% of that base and 85% of equipment sales, according to market studies cited by the company 1. The market is dominated by aftermarket: repair and upgrade of existing equipment drive most demand, with a replacement cycle of eight to 11 years 12.

Trends

  • Shift to IoT and energy-efficient productstailwind

    Owners replacing equipment increasingly seek connected and energy-efficient models, and the company says these will become the main drivers of sales, which could support prices and margins if adoption continues 1.

  • Tariffs and trade uncertaintyheadwind

    US tariffs and retaliatory measures by other countries have created uncertainty, could reduce demand and could raise supply costs that cannot be passed on to customers, although the company has received some tariff refunds 2.

  • Seasonality and the Early Buy programmixed

    Sales are concentrated in the second and fourth quarters, and the Early Buy program with discounts and extended payment terms shifts revenue and cash flow over time 12.

  • Geopolitical conflicts in the Middle Eastheadwind

    Conflicts in the Middle East, Ukraine and Russia have reduced demand in some markets, particularly in E&RW, and this could continue if tensions worsen 23.

Competitive position

The pool equipment market is highly competitive, with large national and global companies, regional niche OEMs and lower-cost manufacturers, and some smaller competitors compete mainly on price 1. Hayward relies on brand recognition, distributor relationships, its installed base and technical innovation to defend its position 1.

  • Pool CorporationPOOL

    Major US pool products distributor cited among the principal sales channels in the residential market 1.

  • Heritage Pool Supply Group

    US pool equipment distributor mentioned among the channels through which residential products are sold 1.

  • Baystate Pool Supplies

    US pool equipment distributor cited as part of the market's distribution channels 1.

  • Regional and niche OEMs

    Local and regional manufacturers, along with lower-cost producers, that compete mainly on price and local relationships, especially on products without significant engineering complexity 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 02 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 28 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Hayward Holdings, Inc. · 25 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-27 · SEC / Hayward Holdings, Inc. · 29 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Hayward Holdings, Inc. · 29 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.