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olivLaw · US equity research

POOL Corporation POOL

Wholesale-Misc Durable Goods · SIC 5090 · Vertical: Wholesale — durable goods (SIC 509x)

219.26USD+5.79% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

POOL Corporation is the world's largest wholesale distributor of swimming pool products, operating 456 sales centers across North America, Europe and Australia at the end of 2025. Its business relies on a large share of recurring maintenance sales, which supports it when discretionary consumer spending weakens, as in 2026. Net sales were 5.3 billion USD in 2025, and sales in 2026 are growing modestly.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, POOL Corporation (POOL) stock was 219.26 USD (+5.79% on the day), with market capitalisation 7.8 bn USD, P/E 20.2 on diluted EPS of 10.88 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 2.33%, beta 0.66, 52-week range 154.14–271.48 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 1.5 bn USD (+3.7% YoY), net income of 123.0 m USD (−3.1% YoY), diluted EPS 3.40 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
7.8 bn USD
shares as of 21 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
20.2
Diluted EPS TTM 10.88 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
4.96%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
2.33%
DPS 12m 5.10
Beta (2y)
0.66
Volatility (1y) 39%
52-week range
154.14271.48

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
74.9
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
143.10 – 225.14
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.93 · band width 44.6%
SMA 50 / 200
176.48 / 201.57
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
11.70 / 7.68
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+37.6%−1.1%+38.7 pp—
3 months+6.1%−0.5%+6.6 pp—
6 months+16.6%+4.4%+12.2 pp—
Year to date−4.1%+12.3%−16.5 pp—
1 year−15.0%+13.5%−28.6 pp−37.4%
3 years−34.9%+76.4%−111.3 pp+38.8%
5 years−57.7%+63.7%−121.3 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−43.2%
11 Feb 2026 → 07 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−73.3%
18 Nov 2021 → 07 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−15.8%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
1.5 bn USD
+3.7% YoY
Net income
123.0 m USD
−3.1% YoY
Diluted EPS
3.40
0.0% YoY
net / operating
8.2% / 11.4%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue987.5 m1.1 bn1.8 bn1.5 bn982.2 m1.1 bn1.8 bn1.5 bn
Cost of revenue697.2 m759.2 m1.2 bn1.0 bn686.5 m808.1 m1.3 bn1.1 bn
Gross profit290.2 m312.4 m535.2 m429.2 m295.7 m329.9 m540.8 m436.3 m
SG&A229.6 m234.8 m262.5 m251.2 m243.7 m247.3 m273.1 m264.1 m
Operating income60.7 m77.5 m272.7 m178.0 m52.0 m82.6 m267.7 m172.2 m
Pre-tax income50.2 m66.4 m260.5 m166.0 m40.6 m70.2 m253.4 m160.4 m
Income tax12.9 m12.9 m66.2 m39.0 m9.1 m17.0 m65.3 m37.4 m
Net income37.3 m53.5 m194.3 m127.0 m31.6 m53.2 m188.1 m123.0 m
Diluted EPS0.98 ≈1.425.173.400.86 ≈1.455.173.40
Operating cash flow170.6 m27.2 m-28.8 m ≈287.3 m ≈80.1 m25.7 m-26.5 m ≈420.6 m ≈
Capex13.5 m13.3 m14.1 m ≈20.7 m ≈8.2 m8.6 m28.0 m ≈13.2 m ≈
Dividends paid45.5 m45.2 m46.9 m ≈46.5 m ≈46.3 m45.8 m47.2 m ≈47.1 m ≈
Share repurchases146.9 m56.3 m104.3 m ≈3.2 m ≈182.4 m64.4 m22.0 m ≈111.6 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 15 percentile of its own 40-quarter history (min 14.9, median 29.2, max 41.9; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue3.0 bn3.2 bn3.9 bn5.3 bn6.2 bn5.5 bn5.3 bn5.3 bn
Revenue YoY+7.5%+6.7%+23.0%+34.5%+16.7%−10.3%−4.2%−0.4%
Net income234.5 m261.6 m366.7 m650.6 m748.5 m523.2 m434.3 m406.4 m
Net income YoY+22.3%+11.6%+40.2%+77.4%+15.0%−30.1%−17.0%−6.4%
Diluted EPS5.626.408.9715.9718.7013.3511.3010.85
Diluted EPS YoY+24.6%+13.9%+40.2%+78.0%+17.1%−28.6%−15.4%−4.0%
net %7.8%8.2%9.3%12.3%12.1%9.4%8.2%7.7%
Free cash flow87.1 m265.4 m375.9 m275.8 m441.2 m828.1 m599.7 m309.5 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
105.0 m USD
Financial debt
1.2 bn USD
Net debt
1.1 bn USD
Equity
1.2 bn USD
Total assets
3.6 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.01x
Current ratio
2.24x
ROE
33.1%
ROA
11.6%
FCF margin
5.9%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
5.5 bn
2024
5.3 bn
2025
5.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
3.9 bn
2024
3.7 bn
2025
3.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
1.7 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
913.5 m
2024
958.1 m
2025
992.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
746.6 m
2024
617.2 m
2025
580.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
688.1 m
2024
567.0 m
2025
533.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
165.1 m
2024
132.8 m
2025
127.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
523.2 m
2024
434.3 m
2025
406.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
13.35
2024
11.30
2025
10.85

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
39.0 m
2024
38.2 m
2025
37.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
4.30
2024
4.70
2025
4.95

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
66.5 m
2024
77.9 m
2025
105.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
1.8 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
223.9 m
2024
251.3 m
2025
267.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
700.1 m
2024
698.9 m
2025
707.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
298.3 m
2024
290.7 m
2025
283.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
3.4 bn
2024
3.4 bn
2025
3.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
508.7 m
2024
525.2 m
2025
652.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
38.2 m
2024
49.5 m
2025
13.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
1.0 bn
2024
900.9 m
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
770.8 m
2024
844.2 m
2025
880.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
2.1 bn
2024
2.1 bn
2025
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
1.3 bn †
2024
1.3 bn †
2025
1.2 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
888.2 m
2024
659.2 m
2025
365.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
60.1 m
2024
59.5 m
2025
56.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
828.1 m ≈
2024
599.7 m ≈
2025
309.5 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-71.6 m
2024
-66.2 m
2025
-67.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-798.1 m
2024
-576.6 m
2025
-273.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
167.5 m
2024
179.6 m
2025
184.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
306.4 m
2024
306.3 m
2025
346.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-0.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-5.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
6.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-6.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-6.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-18.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
2.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-4.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-16.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
3.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-48.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
29.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
10.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
7.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
8.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
30.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
11.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
18.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
20.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
46.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
42.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
1.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
499.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
58.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
441.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
111.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
114 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
42 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
7.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
8.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
19.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
20.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
5.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
6.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
1.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
15.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
1.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
17.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
5.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
2.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
7.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 56 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

219.26 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 7.8 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
7.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
20.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
6.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
30.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
7.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-0.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
2.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 21 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 28 Oct 2026
verified 2915derived 199

Score by group

  • Balance sheet100
  • Growth0
  • Quality88
  • Returns100
  • Valuation31

Estimated value range

Low
58.90
USD per share
Mid
111.91
USD per share
High
135.56
USD per share
Price: 219.26 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -49.0% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -95.9% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 52.74 – 183.64 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E52.74 – 183.64 (Mid 149.20)
    5 companies used · median multiple 13.7x · quartiles 4.8x – 16.9x
    AENT, CNM, GOLD, SORA, YDDL
  • Dividend discount (DDM)65.05 – 87.48 (Mid 74.61)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Wholesale — durable goods (SIC 509x)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 56/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality18.8%100 (on a fixed band)14%
Net margin · Quality7.3%57 (vs peers)9%
FCF conversion · Quality111.6%100 (on a fixed band)9%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-5.1%0 (on a fixed band)11%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-16.6%0 (on a fixed band)11%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.5x100 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation20.2x0 (vs peers)14%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation5.6%71 (on a fixed band)11%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns7.2%100 (on a fixed band)9%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns42.2%100 (on a fixed band)6%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth0/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality88/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation31/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

POOL CORPORATION (POOL). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 5.3 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -0.4%; net margin 7.3%; ROE 30.4%.

The estimated value range is 58.90–135.56 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 111.91 USD, the price of 219.26 USD leaves a potential of -49.0% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -95.9% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 56/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 18.8%
  • FCF conversion: 111.6%
  • Current ratio: 2.5x
  • FCF yield: 5.6%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 7.2%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 42.2%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -5.1%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -16.6%
  • P/E (TTM): 20.2x
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Wholesale — durable goods (SIC 509x) · same industry group (3-digit SIC) · compared with 7 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
20.2x
vertical median 13.7x
above median (+47.0%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
P/S
1.4x
vertical median 5.5x
below median (−73.8%)
P/B
6.4x
vertical median 1.4x
above median (+362.8%)
ROE
30.4%
vertical median 11.9%
above median (+155.7%)
Net margin
7.3%
vertical median 6.0%
above median (+21.9%)
EBIT margin
10.5%
vertical median -2.4%
above median
Revenue YoY
-0.4%
vertical median 0.0%
below median
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
Dividend yield
2.3%
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
POOLPool Corporation7.8 bn20.230.4%7.3%−0.4%−15% / −35%
GOLDGold.com, Inc.1.2 bn13.710.8%0.3%+132.4%+44% / +45%
AENTAlliance Entertainment Holding Corporation223.6 m16.911.9%483.6%0.0%−34% / +362%
SORAAsiaStrategy60.4 m4.8106.1%111.9%−37.7%−37% / unavailable
BGMSBio Green Med Solution, Inc.5.9 m—-40.8%-204.0%−100.0%−41% / −100%
GNLNGreenlane Holdings, Inc.871.7 k—-534.0%-4,630.6%−67.2%−95% / −100%
CNMCore & Main, Inc.—20.123.4%6.0%+2.8%+1% / +39%
YDDLOne and one Green Technologies. INC—4.637.8%17.9%+23.1%−79% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for POOL from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
119.47
Total return -44% · Per year -44%
212.28
Total return -1% · Per year -1%
321.21
Total return 49% · Per year 49%
3 years
94.86
Total return -52% · Per year -22%
191.58
Total return -6% · Per year -2%
321.21
Total return 55% · Per year 16%
5 years
75.33
Total return -59% · Per year -16%
172.90
Total return -11% · Per year -2%
321.21
Total return 60% · Per year 10%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 47.90
  • Net margin± 33.53
  • Annual revenue growth± 30.28
  • Annual dilution± 2.82

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 22 Oct 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (28 Oct 2026).

In brief

POOL Corporation is the world's largest wholesale distributor of swimming pool products, operating 456 sales centers across North America, Europe and Australia at the end of 2025. Its business relies on a large share of recurring maintenance sales, which supports it when discretionary consumer spending weakens, as in 2026. Net sales were 5.3 billion USD in 2025, and sales in 2026 are growing modestly.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Position as the largest pool distributor in the world, an extensive network of sales centers and a very broad product range.
  • A large share of recurring maintenance sales that supports results even when discretionary spending declines.
  • Supplier relationships and digital ordering systems that improve service and operational efficiency.

Weaknesses

  • High dependence on seasonality and weather, with much of sales and profit concentrated in the summer quarters.
  • High geographic exposure to a few states, especially California, Florida, Texas and Arizona.
  • Gross margin under pressure from freight costs and customer mix, which reduced operating profit in some quarters.

Opportunities

  • Opening new sales centers and selective acquisitions could widen geographic reach and product range.
  • Expanding proprietary and exclusive brands could improve margins.
  • Growth in energy-efficient and environmentally friendly products could attract owners who upgrade their yards.

Threats

  • Major suppliers could sell directly to retailers or consumers, bypassing distributors.
  • Mass merchants and online retailers could become stronger competitors if they expand their pool offering.
  • Extreme weather events and water-use restrictions could reduce installations and maintenance activity.

Risks

  • Consumer-sensitive demandhigh

    A drop in discretionary spending, affordable credit or housing activity could reduce remodeling and new pool sales.

  • Seasonality and weatherhigh

    Summer quarters concentrate much of sales and profit, so unfavorable weather or natural disasters could affect results.

  • Supplier relationshipsmedium

    If major suppliers sold directly or reduced rebates, costs could rise and gross margin could fall.

  • Margin pressuremedium

    Higher inbound freight costs and shifts in customer mix could continue to reduce gross margin in the coming year.

  • Geographic concentrationlow

    If the largest markets in a few states weakened, the impact on total sales could be significant.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If maintenance and remodeling sales keep growing, the company could sustain stable results even in a difficult economy.
  • Its leading distribution position and sales center network could allow it to gain market share through acquisitions and openings.
  • Strong operating cash flow could support dividends and share repurchase programs.

What would break the thesis

  • If credit stays expensive, new pool construction could keep declining and weigh on equipment sales.
  • Gross margin under pressure could reduce profitability if freight and inflation cannot be fully passed on to customers.
  • Competition from mass merchants and online retailers could limit the company's ability to hold prices.

What to watch

  • Sales and gross margin trends against the full-year outlookQ4 2026
  • Confirmation of the 2026 adjusted diluted EPS rangeQ4 2026
  • 2027 outlook, including expectations for sales and operating expenses2027
  • Number of new sales centers and any acquisitions disclosed in the next annual reportnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 22 Oct 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (28 Oct 2026).

The business

POOL Corporation, a member of the S&P 500 Index, distributes swimming pool supplies, equipment and related leisure products, as well as irrigation and landscape maintenance products in the United States. Its customers include pool builders and service companies, specialty retailers, commercial pool operators and landscape contractors, most of them small family-owned businesses. Products are distributed through five networks, including SCP Distributors, Superior Pool Products, Horizon Distributors, National Pool Trends and Sun Wholesale Supply. The company states that it adds value by buying from many manufacturers and distributing efficiently with high customer service on more favorable terms than customers could get alone.

Segments

Maintenance and repair

Recurring maintenance and minor repair of existing installations made up 64% of 2025 sales and is the most stable part of the business, since chemicals, parts and equipment are needed regardless of the economic cycle. Pool and hot tub chemicals represented about 14% of 2025 net sales.

Remodeling and upgrades

Pool remodeling, renovation and upgrade projects represented 22% of 2025 sales. This activity is more sensitive to home values, existing home sales and consumer confidence, so it can be deferred in uncertain periods.

New pool construction

New pool construction represented 14% of 2025 sales and is the most exposed to the housing cycle and the cost of credit. The company estimated that new in-ground pool construction units fell from about 62,000 in 2024 to just below 60,000 in 2025.

Market context

The outdoor living industry services more than 14.0 million swimming pools and hot tubs in the United States alone, including about 5.5 million in-ground pools. Management expects the industry to keep growing as more households with discretionary income and yard space install pools. Irrigation and landscape maintenance have similar long-term potential but are more closely tied to new home construction.

Trends

  • Migration to the Southtailwind

    Population movement toward the southern United States, where outdoor entertainment is more common, supports long-term demand for pools and related products.

  • Cost of credit and housingheadwind

    Higher interest rates and economic uncertainty have reduced discretionary spending and new pool construction, although consumers prefer upgrading their yards instead of moving.

  • Product cost inflationmixed

    Supplier price increases can be passed on to customers, but inflation and 2025 tariffs added costs, and the company cited higher inbound freight costs in 2026.

  • Digital efficiencytailwind

    The POOL360 and Horizon 24/7 B2B platforms and mobile ordering tools are used to increase customer capacity and reduce operating effort, which could support margins over the long term.

Competitive position

The company competes with national, regional and local distributors, and low barriers to entry in the industry attract new competitors. Indirectly it competes with store-based mass merchants and large specialty retailers that buy most supplies directly from manufacturers, as well as with internet retailers. Competition is most intense in dense markets such as California, Florida, Texas and Arizona.

  • Regional and local distributors

    Operate in limited areas and can compete on price and service for the same builders and service companies.

  • Store-based mass market retailers

    Have greater scale and bargaining power, and could become direct competitors if they expand their pool product range.

  • Internet retailers

    Ease market entry, price transparency and comparison, although they mainly buy from distributors.

  • Large pool and irrigation supply retailers

    Buy most supplies directly from manufacturers and compete indirectly for end customers and market share.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

  • Current report02 Nov 2026
    Other events
  • Current report28 Oct 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report28 Oct 2026
  • Current report22 Oct 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report09 Oct 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report25 Sept 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report28 Aug 2026
    Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report29 Jul 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report29 Jul 2026
  • Current report23 Jul 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / POOL Corporation · 26 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / POOL Corporation · 29 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / POOL Corporation · 22 Oct 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.