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olivLaw · US equity research

KHC KHC

Canned, Frozen & Preservd Fruit, Veg & Food Specialties · SIC 2030 · Vertical: Food products (SIC 203x)

25.44USD+3.75% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

The Kraft Heinz Company, ticker KHC, is one of the largest food and beverage makers, with net sales of about 24.9 billion USD in fiscal 2025. Sales edged lower in the first half of 2026, and the updated 2026 outlook points to lower organic net sales and adjusted operating income. The company paused its planned separation into two listed companies.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, KHC (KHC) stock was 25.44 USD (+3.75% on the day), with market capitalisation 30.1 bn USD, dividend yield 6.29%, beta 0.15, 52-week range 21.21–27.62 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 6.1 bn USD (−2.0% YoY), net income of 544.0 m USD (−11.5% YoY), diluted EPS 0.46 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
30.1 bn USD
shares as of 31 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -2.92 · TTM to 26 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
-11.48%
TTM to 26 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
6.29%
DPS 12m 1.60
Beta (2y)
0.15
Volatility (1y) 28%
52-week range
21.2127.62

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
63.0
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
21.87 – 25.68
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.94 · band width 16.0%
SMA 50 / 200
24.01 / 23.89
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.34 / 0.15
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+16.5%−1.1%+17.6 pp—
3 months−1.1%−0.5%−0.7 pp—
6 months+10.3%+4.4%+5.9 pp—
Year to date+4.9%+12.3%−7.4 pp—
1 year+5.3%+13.5%−8.3 pp−32.9%
3 years−23.5%+76.4%−99.9 pp−43.4%
5 years−32.8%+63.7%−96.4 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−20.9%
29 Jul 2026 → 05 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−52.1%
13 May 2022 → 23 Mar 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−7.6%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 26 Sept 2026

Revenue
6.1 bn USD
−2.0% YoY
Net income
544.0 m USD
−11.5% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.46
−11.5% YoY
net / operating
8.9% / 14.3%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue6.6 bn6.0 bn6.4 bn6.2 bn6.4 bn6.0 bn6.3 bn6.1 bn
Cost of revenue4.3 bn3.9 bn4.2 bn4.2 bn4.3 bn3.8 bn4.2 bn4.1 bn
Gross profit2.2 bn2.1 bn2.2 bn2.0 bn2.1 bn2.2 bn2.0 bn2.0 bn
SG&A2.3 bn868.0 m10.2 bn965.0 m988.0 m1.1 bn8.5 bn1.1 bn
Operating income-40.0 m1.2 bn-8.0 bn1.0 bn1.1 bn1.1 bn-6.4 bn875.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation234.0 m231.0 m241.0 m245.0 m251.0 m245.0 m261.0 m262.0 m
Interest expense227.0 m229.0 m240.0 m240.0 m238.0 m236.0 m-31.0 m210.0 m
Pre-tax income-238.0 m1.0 bn-8.2 bn807.0 m897.0 m1.0 bn-6.4 bn704.0 m
Income tax-2.4 bn304.0 m-344.0 m194.0 m249.0 m211.0 m-916.0 m168.0 m
Net income2.1 bn712.0 m-7.8 bn615.0 m651.0 m798.0 m-5.5 bn544.0 m
Diluted EPS1.76 ≈0.59-6.600.520.55 ≈0.67-4.600.46
Operating cash flow1.4 bn720.0 m1.2 bn ≈1.2 bn ≈1.4 bn1.0 bn1.1 bn ≈872.0 m ≈
Capex247.0 m238.0 m187.0 m ≈171.0 m ≈205.0 m240.0 m189.0 m ≈170.0 m ≈
Dividends paid479.0 m477.0 m474.0 m ≈473.0 m ≈474.0 m474.0 m475.0 m ≈474.0 m ≈
Share repurchases450.0 m225.0 m210.0 m ≈0 ≈1.0 m23.0 m4.0 m ≈52.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue26.3 bn25.0 bn26.2 bn26.0 bn26.5 bn26.6 bn25.8 bn24.9 bn
Revenue YoY+0.7%−4.9%+4.8%−0.5%+1.7%+0.6%−3.0%−3.5%
Net income-10.2 bn1.9 bn356.0 m1.0 bn2.4 bn2.9 bn2.7 bn-5.8 bn
Net income YoY−193.2%unavailable−81.6%+184.3%+133.5%+20.8%−3.9%−313.0%
Diluted EPS-8.361.580.290.821.912.312.26-4.93
Diluted EPS YoY−193.8%unavailable−81.6%+182.8%+132.9%+20.9%−2.2%−318.1%
net %-38.8%7.7%1.4%3.9%8.9%10.7%10.6%-23.4%
Free cash flow1.7 bn2.8 bn4.3 bn4.5 bn1.6 bn3.0 bn3.2 bn3.7 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 27 Dec 2025

Cash
2.6 bn USD
Financial debt
1.9 bn USD
Net debt
-707.0 m USD
Equity
41.8 bn USD
Total assets
81.8 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.05x
Current ratio
1.15x
ROE
-12.8%
ROA
-6.9%
FCF margin
14.7%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
26.6 bn
2024
25.8 bn
2025
24.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
17.7 bn
2024
16.9 bn
2025
16.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
8.9 bn
2024
9.0 bn
2025
8.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
147.0 m
2024
150.0 m
2025
167.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
4.4 bn
2024
7.3 bn
2025
13.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
4.6 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
-4.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
961.0 m
2024
948.0 m
2025
968.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
5.5 bn ≈
2024
2.6 bn ≈
2025
-3.7 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
912.0 m
2024
912.0 m
2025
947.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
3.6 bn
2024
856.0 m
2025
-5.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
787.0 m
2024
-1.9 bn
2025
403.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
2.9 bn
2024
2.7 bn
2025
-5.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
2.31
2024
2.26
2025
-4.93

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.60
2024
1.60
2025
1.60

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
2.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
2.1 bn
2024
2.1 bn
2025
2.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
3.6 bn
2024
3.4 bn
2025
3.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
7.9 bn
2024
7.7 bn
2025
10.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
30.5 bn
2024
28.7 bn
2025
22.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
42.4 bn
2024
40.1 bn
2025
37.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
90.3 bn
2024
88.3 bn
2025
81.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
0
2024
654.0 m
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
8.0 bn
2024
7.3 bn
2025
8.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
40.6 bn
2024
39.0 bn
2025
40.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
49.7 bn
2024
49.3 bn
2025
41.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
4.0 bn
2024
4.2 bn
2025
4.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
1.0 bn
2024
1.0 bn
2025
801.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
3.0 bn ≈
2024
3.2 bn ≈
2025
3.7 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-916.0 m
2024
-1.0 bn
2025
-1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-2.7 bn
2024
-3.0 bn
2025
-1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
2.0 bn
2024
1.9 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
455.0 m
2024
988.0 m
2025
436.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-3.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-2.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-1.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-377.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-313.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-318.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
15.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
33.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
-9.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
-13.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Net margin
-14.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
FCF margin
14.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
-9.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
ROA
-4.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
ROIC
-7.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
ROCE
-5.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
insufficient data
Payout ratio (FCF)
53.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
-970.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
Debt / equity
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
-5.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
4.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
804.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
3.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
33 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
77 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
30.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
29.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-11.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
P/B
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
P/S
1.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
1.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
P/FCF
8.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
FCF yield
11.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
6.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
6.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 54.2% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

25.44 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 30.1 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
30.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
ROE
-9.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Net margin
-14.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-3.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
6.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 26 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 26 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Nov 2026
verified 2086derived 139

Score by group

54% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
30.73
USD per share
Mid
36.31
USD per share
High
44.74
USD per share
Price: 25.44 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 42.7% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 29.9% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 21.03 – 61.20 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)40.44 – 61.20 (Mid 48.51)
    WACC 9.2% · starting FCFF 4.1 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 72%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): -27.3%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)21.03 – 28.28 (Mid 24.12)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Food products (SIC 203x)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 54.2% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-7.3%20 (vs peers)19%
Net margin · Quality-14.0%43 (vs peers)12%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-2.0%0 (on a fixed band)15%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-5.1x0 (on a fixed band)12%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.0x18 (on a fixed band)8%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation11.7%100 (on a fixed band)15%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns6.6%94 (on a fixed band)12%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns53.7%95 (on a fixed band)8%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet7/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality29/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns94/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial100/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Kraft Heinz Co (KHC). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-26.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 24.9 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -3.5%; net margin -14.0%; ROE -9.0%.

The estimated value range is 30.73–44.74 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 36.31 USD, the price of 25.44 USD leaves a potential of 42.7% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 29.9% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 54.2% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF yield: 11.7%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 6.6%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 53.7%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: -7.3%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -2.0%
  • Interest coverage: -5.1x
  • Current ratio: 1.0x
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Food products (SIC 203x) · same industry group (3-digit SIC) · compared with 7 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 30.8x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
P/S
1.2x
vertical median 0.9x
above median (+35.1%)
P/B
0.8x
vertical median 2.7x
below median (−68.8%)
ROE
-9.0%
vertical median 3.9%
below median (−327.8%)
Net margin
-14.0%
vertical median 2.5%
below median (−658.3%)
EBIT margin
-13.4%
vertical median 7.8%
below median (−272.1%)
Revenue YoY
-3.5%
vertical median 2.5%
below median (−240.2%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.6x
Dividend yield
6.3%
vertical median 3.3%
above median (+88.4%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
KHCKraft Heinz Co30.1 bn—-9.0%-14.0%−3.5%+5% / −24%
SJMJ M SMUCKER Co14.1 bn61.63.9%2.5%+3.7%+27% / +21%
LWLamb Weston Holdings, Inc.7.8 bn30.814.2%3.8%+2.5%−4% / −43%
MZTIThe Marzetti Company3.1 bn17.716.8%9.1%+1.1%−33% / −32%
BRFHBarfresh Food Group Inc.8.8 m—-364.2%-17.9%+32.6%−83% / −61%
PLAGPlanet Green Holdings Corp.5.2 m—-706.0%-308.0%−35.2%−86% / −89%
FAMIFarmmi, Inc.538.9 k—-36.1%-189.8%−56.4%−94% / −99%
SENEASeneca Foods Corporation——12.2%5.6%+8.2%+21% / +200%

1- and 3-year price returns: for KHC from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
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What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (04 Nov 2026), 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results).

    In brief

    The Kraft Heinz Company, ticker KHC, is one of the largest food and beverage makers, with net sales of about 24.9 billion USD in fiscal 2025 1. Sales edged lower in the first half of 2026, and the updated 2026 outlook points to lower organic net sales and adjusted operating income 3. The company paused its planned separation into two listed companies 12.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The portfolio includes long-standing, globally recognized brands that support shelf position and loyalty 1.
    • Operating cash flow remains solid, giving financial flexibility for investment and debt reduction 3.
    • The company has a broad production base and distribution network across many countries 1.

    Weaknesses

    • Sales volumes have declined, and higher prices have not offset the volume loss 13.
    • Large goodwill and intangible asset impairments were recorded in 2025 and again in 2026 13.
    • Dependence on one main customer, Walmart, and a few large customers makes revenue sensitive to their decisions 1.

    Opportunities

    • Higher marketing investment could return volumes to growth if the brands respond well 3.
    • Emerging markets showed growth, which could become a growth driver if the trend continues 3.
    • Segment reorganization and cost discipline could improve operating efficiency 23.

    Threats

    • Competition from private label and discounters could limit price increases and margins 1.
    • Geopolitical tensions and tariffs could raise supply costs 2.
    • Shifting consumer preferences and debate over ingredients could reduce demand for some products 1.

    Risks

    • Asset impairmentshigh

      Large impairments of goodwill and intangible assets reduced operating results and could continue if performance weakens 13.

    • Cost pressuremedium

      Inflation in raw materials and packaging could outpace operating efficiencies 12.

    • Customer concentrationmedium

      Losing or reducing orders from a large customer could significantly affect sales 1.

    • Separation uncertaintymedium

      The separation plan was paused, and resuming it depends on approvals and tax conditions, which makes timing uncertain 12.

    • Tariff policylow

      Changes in tariffs and uncertainty over refunds could affect margins over an extended period 2.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If the extra marketing spending brings volumes back, results could beat the current outlook 3.
    • Solid cash flow gives room for dividends and debt reduction even under pressure 3.
    • Emerging markets are growing, and this trend could offset weakness in North America 3.

    What would break the thesis

    • If volumes keep falling, the profit outlook could be missed by more 3.
    • Repeated asset impairments could signal that some brand values are overstated 13.
    • Competition from private label brands could limit price increases and margins over the long term 1.

    What to watch

    • New reportable segments and comparable dataQ3 2026
    • Tariff developments and recovery of amounts paid2026
    • Decision on whether to resume the separation plan2027

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (04 Nov 2026), 8-K (04 Nov 2026 · results).

    The business

    The company makes and sells food and beverages worldwide through eight consumer platforms, including Taste Elevation, Easy Ready Meals and Hydration 1. Net sales in fiscal 2025 were 24.9 billion USD, down 3.5 percent from the prior year 1. Brands such as Heinz, Kraft, Philadelphia and Lunchables are central to the portfolio 13.

    The portfolio is managed through roles that mark platforms as Accelerate, Protect or Balance to guide resource allocation 1. The company committed to removing FD&C colors from its U.S. products by the end of 2027 1. The sale of its infant and specialty food business in Italy closed on December 31, 2025 2.

    Segments

    North America

    North America is the largest segment, with sales lower in the first half of 2026 2. The five largest customers in this segment accounted for roughly 46 percent of segment sales in 2025 1.

    Emerging Markets

    Emerging Markets was the only segment with sales growth in the second quarter of 2026, helped by pricing and volume 3. Five large customers account for roughly 15 percent of segment sales 1.

    Market context

    The company operates in highly competitive markets where products are sold through e-commerce, large-format retailers and discounters 1. Pressure from private label products limits its ability to raise prices 1.

    Demand is shaped by inflation, shifting consumer preferences and the SNAP program, which has reduced the number of beneficiaries 23. The company expects organic net sales to fall between 0.5 and 2 percent in 2026 3.

    Trends

    • Input cost inflationheadwind

      Supply chain costs rose in 2025 because of tariff policy, and tensions involving Iran could add pressure in 2026 12.

    • SNAP program changesheadwind

      Changes to the SNAP program have reduced the number of beneficiaries, which has weighed on demand for the company's products 2.

    • Marketing investmentmixed

      The company raised incremental marketing spending, which could support volume recovery if the brands respond as expected 3.

    • Cash flow efficiencytailwind

      Operating cash flow rose in the first half of 2026, supported by better payment terms 3.

    Competitive position

    Competitors include large national and international food and beverage companies as well as many local and regional firms 1. Retailer private label brands are a direct rival, usually sold at lower prices 1.

    The company competes on product innovation, price, quality, brand recognition and distribution efficiency 1. Keeping market share requires heavy spending on advertising and research 1.

    • Retailer private label brands

      Store brands of large retail chains are the most direct rival at lower prices 1.

    • Large national food companies

      Major food and beverage manufacturers compete in the same categories 1.

    • Large international food companies

      International manufacturers compete in the company's global markets 1.

    • Local and regional producers

      Many local and regional competitors operate in specific markets 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    SEC filings

    • Quarterly report04 Nov 2026
    • Current report04 Nov 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report04 Nov 2026
      Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report07 Oct 2026
      Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report06 Oct 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers
    • Current report26 Aug 2026
      Delisting notice · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report05 Aug 2026
    • Current report05 Aug 2026
      Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report27 Jul 2026
      Amendments to articles or bylaws · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report18 Jun 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-27 · SEC / KHC · 12 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-27 · SEC / KHC · 05 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / KHC · 05 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.