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olivLaw · US equity research

The Marzetti Company MZTI

Canned, Frozen & Preservd Fruit, Veg & Food Specialties · SIC 2030 · Vertical: Food products (SIC 203x)

112.10USD+2.02% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

The Marzetti Company, formerly Lancaster Colony Corporation, manufactures and markets specialty food products for retail and foodservice channels under brands such as Marzetti, Sister Schubert's and Bachan's. Net sales reached a new record in fiscal 2026, and the Bachan's acquisition could support Retail growth in fiscal 2027.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, The Marzetti Company (MZTI) stock was 112.10 USD (+2.02% on the day), with market capitalisation 3.1 bn USD, P/E 17.7 on diluted EPS of 6.34 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 3.57%, beta 0.24, 52-week range 99.19–174.10 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q1 2027): revenue of 481.5 m USD (−2.4% YoY), net income of 29.3 m USD (−37.9% YoY), diluted EPS 1.07 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
3.1 bn USD
shares as of 09 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
17.7
Diluted EPS TTM 6.34 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
5.65%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
3.57%
DPS 12m 4.00
Beta (2y)
0.24
Volatility (1y) 31%
52-week range
99.19174.10

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
64.9
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
98.51 – 114.21
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.87 · band width 14.8%
SMA 50 / 200
104.87 / 123.83
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
2.03 / 1.43
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+12.7%−1.1%+13.8 pp—
3 months+0.8%−0.5%+1.2 pp—
6 months−4.6%+4.4%−9.0 pp—
Year to date−31.8%+12.3%−44.1 pp—
1 year−35.3%+13.5%−48.8 pp−4.2%
3 years−34.4%+76.4%−110.9 pp−43.4%
5 years−30.3%+63.7%−93.9 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−43.0%
12 Nov 2025 → 30 Sept 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−54.7%
05 May 2023 → 30 Sept 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−7.0%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q1 2027 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
481.5 m USD
−2.4% YoY
Net income
29.3 m USD
−37.9% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.07
−37.4% YoY
net / operating
6.1% / 8.6%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27
Revenue509.3 m457.8 m475.4 m493.5 m518.0 m453.4 m465.0 m481.5 m
Cost of revenue376.5 m351.9 m369.3 m374.7 m380.7 m346.2 m351.0 m370.7 m
Gross profit132.8 m106.0 m106.1 m118.8 m137.3 m107.2 m114.0 m110.8 m
SG&A57.1 m56.1 m62.1 m58.4 m60.4 m61.4 m74.3 m69.3 m
Operating income75.7 m49.9 m38.9 m59.3 m75.2 m46.6 m57.7 m41.4 m
Depreciation & amortisation15.0 m15.7 m17.1 m16.7 m17.5 m17.5 m19.7 m20.5 m
Interest expense———0———2.8 m
Pre-tax income63.2 m51.8 m40.5 m60.8 m76.3 m48.3 m56.5 m38.8 m
Income tax14.2 m10.7 m8.0 m13.6 m17.3 m11.3 m8.2 m9.5 m
Net income49.0 m41.1 m32.5 m47.2 m59.1 m37.1 m48.3 m29.3 m
Diluted EPS1.781.491.18 ≈1.712.151.351.77 ≈1.07
Operating cash flow107.6 m ≈45.8 m ≈88.2 m69.5 m88.6 m ≈70.5 m ≈55.2 m51.0 m
Capex11.0 m ≈15.1 m ≈14.3 m15.6 m17.7 m ≈21.3 m ≈23.1 m17.8 m
Dividends paid26.3 m ≈26.2 m ≈26.2 m26.3 m27.6 m ≈27.5 m ≈27.4 m27.4 m
Share repurchases3.0 k ≈76.0 k ≈6.5 m1.1 m20.1 m ≈16.0 k ≈15.1 m5.8 m

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 5 percentile of its own 40-quarter history (min 15.7, median 30.2, max 53.4; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20192020202120222023202420252026
Revenue1.3 bn1.3 bn1.5 bn1.7 bn1.8 bn1.9 bn1.9 bn1.9 bn
Revenue YoY+6.9%+2.0%+9.9%+14.3%+8.7%+2.7%+2.0%+1.1%
Net income150.5 m137.0 m142.3 m89.6 m111.3 m158.6 m167.3 m191.6 m
Net income YoY+11.3%−9.0%+3.9%−37.1%+24.2%+42.5%+5.5%+14.5%
Diluted EPS5.464.975.163.254.045.766.076.98
Diluted EPS YoY+11.0%−9.0%+3.8%−37.0%+24.3%+42.6%+5.4%+15.0%
net %11.5%10.3%9.7%5.3%6.1%8.5%8.8%9.9%
Free cash flow126.7 m88.1 m86.3 m-30.2 m135.7 m184.0 m203.5 m206.1 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Cash
25.1 m USD
Financial debt
199.3 m USD
Net debt
174.2 m USD
Equity
1.1 bn USD
Total assets
1.6 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.19x
Current ratio
1.56x
ROE
18.7%
ROA
13.3%
FCF margin
10.7%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
1.9 bn
2025
1.9 bn
2026
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.5 bn
2026
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
432.3 m
2025
455.6 m
2026
477.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2026verified

SG&A
2024
218.1 m
2025
230.2 m
2026
254.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2026verified

Operating income
2024
199.4 m
2025
220.3 m
2026
238.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
55.9 m
2025
62.2 m
2026
71.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
255.3 m ≈
2025
282.5 m ≈
2026
310.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2026derived

Interest expense
2024
0
2025
0
2026
1.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2024
205.5 m
2025
213.5 m
2026
242.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2026verified

Income tax
2024
46.9 m
2025
46.1 m
2026
50.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2026verified

Net income
2024
158.6 m
2025
167.3 m
2026
191.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
5.76
2025
6.07
2026
6.98

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
27.5 m
2025
27.5 m
2026
27.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2026verified

Dividend per share
2024
3.55
2025
3.75
2026
3.95

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
163.4 m
2025
161.5 m
2026
25.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2026verified

Inventories
2024
173.3 m
2025
169.3 m
2026
205.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2026verified

Current assets
2024
444.0 m
2025
443.6 m
2026
361.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
477.7 m
2025
534.5 m
2026
551.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
208.4 m
2025
222.8 m
2026
500.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
0
2025
0
2026
125.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2026verified

Total assets
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.3 bn
2026
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
118.8 m
2025
118.0 m
2026
156.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
—
2025
0
2026
10.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2026verified

Long-term debt
2024
—
2025
0
2026
189.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
184.0 m
2025
186.3 m
2026
231.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2026verified

Equity
2024
925.8 m †
2025
998.5 m †
2026
1.1 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
251.6 m
2025
261.5 m
2026
283.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2026verified

Capex
2024
67.6 m
2025
58.0 m
2026
77.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
184.0 m ≈
2025
203.5 m ≈
2026
206.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-67.4 m
2025
-148.2 m
2026
-470.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
-109.2 m
2025
-115.3 m
2026
49.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2026verified

Dividends paid
2024
97.9 m
2025
103.5 m
2026
108.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2026verified

Share repurchases
2024
7.6 m
2025
8.0 m
2026
36.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Aug 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
1.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
1.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
5.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
8.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income growth (YoY)
14.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income CAGR 3Y
19.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Net income CAGR 5Y
6.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EPS growth (YoY)
15.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EPS CAGR 3Y
20.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
EPS CAGR 5Y
6.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
FCF growth (YoY)
1.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Profitability

Gross margin
24.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
15.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
11.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
9.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
9.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
16.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
11.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
14.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
16.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
63.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
59.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
179.3 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
0.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
48.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
265.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
79.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
185.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
106.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
89.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
49 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
40 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
3.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
3.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
17.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
17.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
5.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
2.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
1.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
10.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
14.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
1.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
16.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
6.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
3.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
4.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 73 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

112.10 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 3.1 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
3.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
17.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
2.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
10.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
16.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
9.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
1.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
3.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 09 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 03 Nov 2026
verified 2617derived 222

Score by group

  • Balance sheet91
  • Valuation55
  • Quality91
  • Growth58
  • Returns77

Estimated value range

Low
67.11
USD per share
Mid
80.26
USD per share
High
100.24
USD per share
Price: 112.10 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -28.4% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -39.7% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 51.91 – 130.67 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)82.32 – 130.67 (Mid 100.98)
    WACC 9.0% · starting FCFF 189.0 m USD · terminal value share of EV 73%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 6.3%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · not enough peers
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · not enough peers
  • Dividend discount (DDM)51.91 – 69.81 (Mid 59.54)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Food products (SIC 203x)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 73/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality14.2%80 (vs peers)10%
Net margin · Quality9.1%100 (vs peers)6%
FCF conversion · Quality106.7%100 (on a fixed band)6%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth1.9%16 (on a fixed band)8%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth20.0%100 (on a fixed band)8%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet0.6x97 (on a fixed band)10%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet48.4x100 (on a fixed band)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.5x61 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation17.7x56 (on a fixed band)10%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation10.9x37 (on a fixed band)10%
FCF yield · Valuation6.1%76 (on a fixed band)8%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns4.9%71 (on a fixed band)6%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns59.3%87 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet91/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth58/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality91/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns77/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation55/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

The Marzetti Company (MZTI). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.9 bn USD in 2026; YoY growth 1.1%; net margin 9.1%; ROE 16.8%; net debt/EBITDA 0.6x.

The estimated value range is 67.11–100.24 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 80.26 USD, the price of 112.10 USD leaves a potential of -28.4% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -39.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 73/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 14.2%
  • Net margin: 9.1%
  • FCF conversion: 106.7%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 20.0%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 0.6x
  • Interest coverage: 48.4x
  • FCF yield: 6.1%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 4.9%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 59.3%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 1.9%
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Versus the vertical median

Food products (SIC 203x) · same industry group (3-digit SIC) · compared with 7 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
17.7x
vertical median —
EV/EBITDA
10.9x
vertical median —
P/S
1.6x
vertical median 0.9x
above median (+77.0%)
P/B
2.9x
vertical median 1.6x
above median (+76.1%)
ROE
16.8%
vertical median -9.0%
above median
Net margin
9.1%
vertical median -14.0%
above median
EBIT margin
11.5%
vertical median -13.4%
above median
Revenue YoY
1.1%
vertical median 2.5%
below median (−56.6%)
Net debt/EBITDA
0.6x
vertical median —
Dividend yield
3.6%
vertical median 3.3%
above median (+6.9%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
KHCKraft Heinz Co30.1 bn—-9.0%-14.0%−3.5%−0% / −28%
SJMJ M SMUCKER Co14.1 bn61.63.9%2.5%+3.7%+27% / +21%
LWLamb Weston Holdings, Inc.7.8 bn30.814.2%3.8%+2.5%−4% / −43%
MZTIThe Marzetti Company3.1 bn17.716.8%9.1%+1.1%−35% / −34%
BRFHBarfresh Food Group Inc.8.8 m—-364.2%-17.9%+32.6%−83% / −61%
PLAGPlanet Green Holdings Corp.5.2 m—-706.0%-308.0%−35.2%−86% / −89%
FAMIFarmmi, Inc.538.9 k—-36.1%-189.8%−56.4%−94% / −99%
SENEASeneca Foods Corporation——12.2%5.6%+8.2%+21% / +200%

1- and 3-year price returns: for MZTI from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
64.96
Total return -39% · Per year -39%
114.99
Total return 6% · Per year 6%
173.41
Total return 59% · Per year 59%
3 years
59.82
Total return -39% · Per year -15%
119.46
Total return 18% · Per year 6%
198.26
Total return 91% · Per year 24%
5 years
55.09
Total return -38% · Per year -9%
124.10
Total return 30% · Per year 5%
226.66
Total return 128% · Per year 18%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 29.86
  • Net margin± 20.91
  • Annual revenue growth± 17.59
  • Annual dilution± 1.76

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 25 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (03 Nov 2026).

In brief

The Marzetti Company, formerly Lancaster Colony Corporation, manufactures and markets specialty food products for retail and foodservice channels under brands such as Marzetti, Sister Schubert's and Bachan's. Net sales reached a new record in fiscal 2026, and the Bachan's acquisition could support Retail growth in fiscal 2027. 12

SWOT

Strengths

  • Leading positions in several retail categories, with a good perception of product quality and recognized innovation. 1
  • Long-standing relationships with foodservice customers that support licensed retail products with well-known restaurant brands. 1
  • Solid cash generation, with a record operating cash flow in fiscal 2026 that supports dividends and investment. 2

Weaknesses

  • High customer concentration, with a few large customers contributing a significant share of sales. 1
  • Retail volumes declined in fiscal 2026, showing dependence on the performance of certain products and channels. 1
  • High acquisition and integration costs for Bachan's weighed on near-term profit. 1

Opportunities

  • Integrating Bachan's could expand distribution for a fast-growing brand in the barbecue sauce category. 2
  • The Retail licensing program could bring new products to shelves based on foodservice relationships. 1
  • Complementary acquisitions could add to the brand portfolio and production capabilities. 1

Threats

  • Raw material and packaging inflation could reduce margins if prices cannot be raised enough. 1
  • Food safety incidents or product recalls could damage consumer confidence. 1
  • Rising interest rates could increase the cost of variable-rate borrowings. 1

Risks

  • Food safety and recallshigh

    Safety incidents, recalls or negative publicity could reduce demand and generate legal costs. 1

  • Bachan's integrationhigh

    Integration of the acquisition could prove more costly than expected, and results could fall short, with possible impairment of intangible assets. 1

  • Raw material costsmedium

    Volatility in soybean oil, sweetener, egg and packaging prices could affect margins. 1

  • Credit agreement limitsmedium

    The credit agreement imposes leverage and coverage covenants that could limit investment and acquisitions. 1

  • Customer concentrationmedium

    Loss of one of the large customers could significantly reduce sales. 1

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Record fiscal 2026 sales and gross profit, together with cost reduction programs, show the company's ability to improve margins. 12
  • The Bachan's acquisition could open a new source of Retail growth if the brand keeps the expansion pace seen in the fourth quarter. 2
  • Strong relationships with national restaurant chains and brand licenses could support long-term growth. 1

What would break the thesis

  • Volumes sold declined in fiscal 2026, which could signal weaker demand for some Retail products. 1
  • Cost inflation and retailer price pressure could limit the ability to maintain margins. 1
  • Dependence on a few large customers and on one product category could amplify the impact of a sales decline. 1

What to watch

  • Bachan's sales performance and integration progress2027
  • Cost inflation outlook and the effectiveness of cost savings programsfiscal 2027
  • Retail volume trends and the club channelQ1 2027
  • Effects of the Cyclospora outbreak on product demandnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 25 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (03 Nov 2026).

The business

The company runs two reportable segments: Retail, which includes dressings, sauces, frozen breads and rolls sold in grocery stores, and Foodservice, which mainly produces private-label sauces and dressings for national restaurant chains. Retail accounted for 52% of fiscal 2026 net sales and Foodservice for 48%. 1

The growth strategy rests on three pillars: accelerating base business growth, simplifying the supply chain to cut costs, and expanding through the Retail licensing program and complementary acquisitions. The Bachan's acquisition, completed on May 1, 2026, was the largest transaction in the company's history and was funded with cash and borrowings. 1

Production is mainly based in 13 food plants in the United States, and the company had 3,500 employees at June 30, 2026. Walmart represents 18% of consolidated net sales, and Chick-fil-A, through direct sales and licenses, represents 30%, indicating significant customer concentration. 1

Segments

Retail

Retail segment sales were nearly flat in fiscal 2026 at $1,002.8 million, with products such as New York Bakery garlic breads and Texas Roadhouse rolls. The Bachan's acquisition added sales, but volumes declined and segment operating income fell to $203.7 million. 1

Market context

The company sells specialty food products mainly in the United States, where competition is based on price, quality and customer service, and over 95% of products are sold domestically. Sauces and dressings were the largest product class in fiscal 2026, at 35% of Foodservice sales and 22% of Retail sales. 1

The sector is affected by raw material inflation for items such as soybean oil, sweeteners, eggs and packaging, along with consumer spending shifts in difficult economic times. For fiscal 2027 the company anticipates a moderate level of inflation, which it plans to offset through pricing and cost savings. 12

Trends

  • Raw material inflationheadwind

    Costs of raw materials, packaging and freight have risen and remain volatile, and higher prices can reduce volumes. The company flagged moderate inflation for fiscal 2027, which could pressure margins if price increases fall short. 12

  • Cost reduction programstailwind

    Supply chain optimization programs supported a record fourth-quarter gross profit and a full-year gross margin of 24.7% in fiscal 2026. Continued execution of these programs could support margin improvement. 12

  • Volatile retail demandmixed

    Retail volumes declined in fiscal 2026, partly due to lower club channel sales and comparisons with earlier launches. Consumer behavior and U.S. economic performance could influence future growth. 12

Competitive position

The company states that all markets in which it sells food products are highly competitive, with many manufacturers of varying size and capability. Competition centers on price, quality, innovation, promotional activity and customer service. 1

Brand position in categories, product innovation and relationships with retail and foodservice customers are the factors the company relies on to defend its share. Licensed brands for restaurants such as Chick-fil-A and Texas Roadhouse play an important role in this advantage. 1

  • Branded sauce and dressing producers

    Competitors in dressing and sauce categories, referred to generically in the company's filings without named identification.

  • Frozen bread and roll producers

    Competitors in the frozen product segment, present in the same retail and foodservice channels.

  • Regional and private-label producers

    Producers of varying size competing on price and on customer service capabilities.

  • Licensed and private-label suppliers

    Players competing for licensing and private-label contracts with restaurant chains and retailers.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 01 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 03 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / The Marzetti Company · 25 Aug 2026
  2. [2] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / The Marzetti Company · 25 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.