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olivLaw · US equity research

Kinder Morgan, Inc. KMI

Natural Gas Transmission · SIC 4922 · Vertical: Natural Gas Transmission (SIC 4922)

31.52USD−4.11% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Kinder Morgan is one of the largest natural gas transmission and storage operators in the United States, with revenue largely from long-term, fee-based contracts. In 2026 the company announced a record expansion project backlog of 14.4 billion dollars, mostly for natural gas tied to power generation and LNG exports.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Kinder Morgan, Inc. (KMI) stock was 31.52 USD (−4.11% on the day), with market capitalisation 70.2 bn USD, P/E 19.5 on diluted EPS of 1.62 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 3.76%, beta 0.39, 52-week range 25.92–34.43 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 4.5 bn USD (+9.3% YoY), net income of 764.0 m USD (+21.7% YoY), diluted EPS 0.34 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
70.2 bn USD
shares as of 22 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
19.5
Diluted EPS TTM 1.62 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
5.13%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
3.76%
DPS 12m 1.19
Beta (2y)
0.39
Volatility (1y) 22%
52-week range
25.9234.43

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
39.5
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
31.93 – 34.77
below the lower band · %B -0.15 · band width 8.5%
SMA 50 / 200
32.14 / 32.14
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.22 / 0.48
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+0.4%−1.1%+1.4 pp—
3 months+1.3%−0.5%+1.7 pp—
6 months−0.2%+4.4%−4.6 pp—
Year to date+14.7%+12.3%+2.3 pp—
1 year+22.0%+13.5%+8.4 pp+12.1%
3 years+86.8%+76.4%+10.4 pp+42.7%
5 years+86.0%+63.7%+22.3 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−12.1%
19 May 2026 → 30 Sept 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−20.4%
07 Jun 2022 → 04 Oct 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
+13.2%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
4.5 bn USD
+9.3% YoY
Net income
764.0 m USD
+21.7% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.34
+21.4% YoY
net / operating
16.9% / 25.6%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue4.0 bn4.2 bn4.0 bn4.1 bn4.5 bn4.8 bn4.5 bn4.5 bn
Cost of revenue1.2 bn1.5 bn1.2 bn1.4 bn1.4 bn1.7 bn1.4 bn1.6 bn
Operating income1.1 bn1.1 bn1.2 bn1.1 bn1.4 bn1.4 bn1.3 bn1.2 bn
Depreciation & amortisation596.0 m610.0 m616.0 m609.0 m618.0 m633.0 m620.0 m628.0 m
Pre-tax income891.0 m929.0 m919.0 m839.0 m1.3 bn1.3 bn1.2 bn980.0 m
Income tax197.0 m186.0 m177.0 m185.0 m284.0 m287.0 m272.0 m190.0 m
Net income667.0 m717.0 m715.0 m628.0 m996.0 m976.0 m867.0 m764.0 m
Diluted EPS0.30 ≈0.320.320.280.45 ≈0.440.390.34
Operating cash flow1.5 bn1.2 bn1.6 bn ≈1.4 bn ≈1.7 bn1.5 bn2.0 bn ≈1.6 bn ≈
Capex772.0 m766.0 m647.0 m ≈793.0 m ≈820.0 m804.0 m982.0 m ≈1.0 bn ≈
Dividends paid642.0 m642.0 m654.0 m ≈654.0 m ≈654.0 m654.0 m665.0 m ≈665.0 m ≈
Share repurchases000 ≈0 ≈0———

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 33 percentile of its own 33-quarter history (min 15.1, median 22.5, max 625.7; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue14.1 bn13.2 bn11.7 bn16.6 bn19.2 bn15.3 bn15.1 bn16.9 bn
Revenue YoY+3.2%−6.6%−11.4%+42.0%+15.6%−20.1%−1.5%+12.2%
Net income1.6 bn2.2 bn119.0 m1.8 bn2.5 bn2.4 bn2.6 bn3.1 bn
Net income YoY+779.2%+36.1%−94.6%+1,399.2%+42.8%−6.2%+9.3%+17.0%
Diluted EPSunavailable0.960.050.781.121.061.171.37
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailable−94.8%+1,460.0%+43.6%−5.4%+10.4%+17.1%
net %11.4%16.6%1.0%10.7%13.3%15.6%17.3%18.0%
Free cash flow2.1 bn2.5 bn2.8 bn4.4 bn3.3 bn4.2 bn3.0 bn2.9 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
63.0 m USD
Financial debt
32.0 bn USD
Net debt
31.9 bn USD
Equity
32.4 bn USD
Total assets
72.7 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.99x
Current ratio
0.64x
ROE
9.5%
ROA
4.2%
FCF margin
17.1%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
15.3 bn
2024
15.1 bn
2025
16.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
4.9 bn
2024
4.3 bn
2025
5.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
10.4 bn ≈
2024
10.8 bn ≈
2025
11.4 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026derived

Operating income
2023
4.3 bn
2024
4.4 bn
2025
4.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
2.3 bn
2024
2.4 bn
2025
2.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
6.5 bn ≈
2024
6.7 bn ≈
2025
7.2 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2023
3.2 bn
2024
3.4 bn
2025
4.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
715.0 m
2024
687.0 m
2025
832.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
2.4 bn
2024
2.6 bn
2025
3.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
1.06
2024
1.17
2025
1.37

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
2.2 bn
2024
2.2 bn
2025
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.13
2024
1.15
2025
1.17

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
83.0 m
2024
88.0 m
2025
63.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
525.0 m
2024
555.0 m
2025
574.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
2.5 bn
2024
2.5 bn
2025
2.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
37.3 bn
2024
38.0 bn
2025
39.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
20.1 bn
2024
20.1 bn
2025
20.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
2.0 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
71.0 bn
2024
71.4 bn
2025
72.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
4.0 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
28.1 bn
2024
29.9 bn
2025
30.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
7.2 bn
2024
5.1 bn
2025
4.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
39.3 bn
2024
39.5 bn
2025
40.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
31.7 bn
2024
31.9 bn
2025
32.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
6.5 bn
2024
5.6 bn
2025
5.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
2.3 bn
2024
2.6 bn
2025
3.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
4.2 bn ≈
2024
3.0 bn ≈
2025
2.9 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-4.2 bn
2024
-2.6 bn
2025
-3.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-3.0 bn
2024
-2.9 bn
2025
-2.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
2.5 bn
2024
2.6 bn
2025
2.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
522.0 m
2024
7.0 m
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
12.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-4.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
7.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
7.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
17.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
6.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
91.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
17.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
6.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
93.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-3.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
66.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
42.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
29.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
19.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
16.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
11.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
4.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
6.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
7.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
73.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
85.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
32.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
4.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
6.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
3.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
3.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
85.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
86.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
35 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
85 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
70.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
102.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
19.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
19.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
5.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
2.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
3.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
13.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
19.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
5.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
22.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
4.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
3.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
3.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Risk

Altman Z
1.26
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 34 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40 · (margin_of_safety <= -0.25 & agreement in ['high', 'medium'])

Closing price

31.52 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 70.2 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
70.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
19.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
2.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
13.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
11.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
19.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
12.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
3.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 22 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 23 Oct 2026
verified 2518derived 206

Score by group

  • Balance sheet0
  • Growth23
  • Quality53
  • Returns52
  • Valuation36

Estimated value range

Low
15.38
USD per share
Mid
20.85
USD per share
High
30.41
USD per share
Price: 31.52 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -33.9% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -51.2% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: high · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 12.54 – 43.78 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA12.54 – 30.41 (Mid 20.85)
    4 companies used · median multiple 10.1x · quartiles 7.7x – 12.8x
    ET, TRGP, WES, WMB
  • Peers: P/E20.50 – 43.78 (Mid 22.08)
    5 companies used · median multiple 13.6x · quartiles 12.7x – 27.1x
    EPD, ET, TRGP, WES, WMB
  • Dividend discount (DDM)15.38 – 20.68 (Mid 17.64)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Natural Gas Transmission (SIC 4922)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 34/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality6.4%34 (on a fixed band)11%
Net margin · Quality19.6%60 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality85.5%79 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-4.1%0 (on a fixed band)9%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth6.9%46 (on a fixed band)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet4.1x0 (on a fixed band)11%
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.7x0 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation19.5x40 (vs peers)11%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation13.1x17 (on a fixed band)11%
FCF yield · Valuation4.4%55 (on a fixed band)9%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns3.8%54 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns85.6%49 (on a fixed band)4%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet0/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth23/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality53/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns52/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation36/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

KINDER MORGAN, INC. (KMI). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 16.9 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 12.2%; net margin 19.6%; ROE 11.6%; net debt/EBITDA 4.1x.

The estimated value range is 15.38–30.41 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: high); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 20.85 USD, the price of 31.52 USD leaves a potential of -33.9% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -51.2% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 34/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 85.5%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -4.1%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 4.1x
  • Current ratio: 0.7x
  • EV/EBITDA: 13.1x
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Interest coverage.

Versus the vertical median

Natural Gas Transmission (SIC 4922) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 5 companies

Only companies with a capitalisation between 9.4 bn and 600.7 bn (within 8× of the company's); 12 of the vertical were left out.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
19.5x
vertical median 13.6x
above median (+42.7%)
EV/EBITDA
13.1x
vertical median 10.1x
above median (+30.2%)
P/S
3.8x
vertical median 3.7x
at median
P/B
2.2x
vertical median —
ROE
11.6%
vertical median —
Net margin
19.6%
vertical median 13.5%
above median (+45.0%)
EBIT margin
29.0%
vertical median 22.9%
above median (+26.4%)
Revenue YoY
12.2%
vertical median 3.9%
above median (+208.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
4.1x
vertical median 1.9x
above median (+115.0%)
Dividend yield
3.8%
vertical median 3.0%
above median (+24.4%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
WMBWilliams Companies, Inc.83.0 bn27.124.0%25.2%+13.8%+11% / +84%
EPDEnterprise Products Partners L.P.79.2 bn12.0—10.2%−6.4%+12% / +37%
KMIKinder Morgan, Inc.70.2 bn19.511.6%19.6%+12.2%+22% / +87%
ETEnergy Transfer LP67.0 bn12.7—4.9%+3.5%+16% / +40%
TRGPTarga Resources Corp.61.1 bn27.272.6%13.5%+3.9%+63% / +215%
WESWestern Midstream Partners, LP17.6 bn13.6—28.2%+6.6%+8% / +43%

1- and 3-year price returns: for KMI from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
17.01
Total return -43% · Per year -43%
30.22
Total return -1% · Per year -1%
45.70
Total return 49% · Per year 49%
3 years
13.78
Total return -49% · Per year -20%
27.79
Total return -1% · Per year -0%
46.53
Total return 61% · Per year 17%
5 years
11.17
Total return -53% · Per year -14%
25.56
Total return -2% · Per year -0%
47.38
Total return 73% · Per year 12%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 6.95
  • Net margin± 4.86
  • Annual revenue growth± 4.35
  • Annual dilution± 0.41

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Kinder Morgan is one of the largest natural gas transmission and storage operators in the United States, with revenue largely from long-term, fee-based contracts. In 2026 the company announced a record expansion project backlog of 14.4 billion dollars, mostly for natural gas tied to power generation and LNG exports 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company relies on a strategically located asset network and long-term, fee-based contracts with customers considered financially strong, supporting predictable cash flows 3.
  • The expansion project backlog is at a record level, largely tied to natural gas, showing customer interest in the company's infrastructure 3.
  • The company has kept a balance sheet described as healthy, with leverage at the low end of management's target range 3.

Weaknesses

  • Some segment revenues depend on crude oil, NGL and natural gas prices, which can fluctuate sharply and reduce profits during low-price periods 1.
  • Construction projects are exposed to permit delays, cost increases and public opposition, which can affect returns on investment 1.
  • Earnings in some segments, such as CO2 and gathering, can be more uneven than in other segments, making results harder to predict 3.

Opportunities

  • Rising power demand and LNG exports could create new pipeline projects and long-term contracts for a company that already owns the necessary infrastructure 3.
  • New projects, such as transporting refined products to the western United States, could widen the company's footprint 3.
  • Selective asset acquisitions, if well integrated, could add capacity and long-term cash flows 2.

Threats

  • A prolonged period of low hydrocarbon prices could reduce production and demand for the company's infrastructure 1.
  • Climate policy and the shift to renewable sources could reduce long-term demand for the hydrocarbons transported 1.
  • Trade tariffs and higher materials costs could raise project costs and weigh on returns 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on hydrocarbon supply and demandhigh

    If production in served areas declines or demand weakens, asset utilization could fall and reduce revenue 1.

  • Volatility of commodity priceshigh

    Sharp or prolonged declines in crude oil, NGL and natural gas prices could cut revenue from businesses that sell these products and could require impairments 1.

  • Operational and environmental hazardsmedium

    Leaks, accidents and equipment failures could cause serious damage, penalties and service interruptions 1.

  • Construction delays and cost overrunsmedium

    Difficulty obtaining permits, public opposition and rising costs could delay or cancel major projects 1.

  • Competition and unused capacitylow

    If other transport options become more attractive, existing capacity could go unused and contracts could renew at lower rates 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • The record expansion project backlog, largely tied to natural gas demand, could support revenue growth over the longer term if projects are completed on schedule 3.
  • Long-term, fee-based contracts with financially strong customers could maintain predictable cash flows even during periods of volatility 3.
  • If LNG exports and power demand keep growing, the company could benefit from new transport contracts and higher volumes 3.

What would break the thesis

  • If hydrocarbon prices stay low for an extended period, revenue in certain segments could fall significantly 1.
  • Construction risks such as delays and cost increases could reduce the returns on large expansion projects 1.
  • A longer-term energy transition could reduce demand for hydrocarbons, which could weigh on the efficiency of existing assets 1.

What to watch

  • Progress of the Southeast Connector and Permian Link projects, including permit approvals2027
  • Trends in natural gas volumes on interstate pipelines and gathering systemsQ1 2027
  • Effect of trade tariffs and materials costs on project budgets2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Kinder Morgan, Inc. (NYSE: KMI) operates a network of pipelines, terminals and other energy infrastructure assets in the United States. The company relies on a model of long-term, fee-based contracts that management says provide stable and predictable cash flows 3. Management reported record third quarter 2026 results, with net income attributable to KMI of 764 million dollars, up from the prior year 3. Besides natural gas transport, the company runs products pipelines, terminals, CO2 and NGL-related businesses, and its strategy includes expanding natural gas infrastructure 1.

Segments

Natural Gas Pipelines

The main segment, covering interstate and intrastate pipelines, gathering systems and new projects such as Southeast Connector and Permian Link. In the third quarter of 2026 transport volumes rose 3% and gathering volumes rose 14% 3.

Products Pipelines and Terminals

The products pipelines segment moves refined products and condensate, while the terminals segment includes liquids, coal and petroleum coke handling and a Jones Act tanker fleet. Terminal earnings rose in the third quarter of 2026, supported by expansion projects placed in service and higher prices 3.

Market context

The market KMI serves is driven by natural gas demand, which has grown with LNG exports, power demand and industrial expansion 3. The company says nearly 75% of its project backlog is linked to power generation and local distribution company demand 3. The total backlog of 14.4 billion dollars points to customer interest in new infrastructure 3.

Competitive position

KMI faces competition from other pipelines and terminals, as well as other transport options such as barge, rail or truck. If alternatives become more attractive on price or location, part of its asset capacity could remain unused 1. The company also notes competition from other pipelines that access the same supply areas 1.

  • Other interstate natural gas pipelines

    Pipeline systems serving the same supply areas and destinations as KMI assets, which could offer more attractive services to shippers.

  • Rail, barge and truck transport

    Alternative ways to move the products KMI handles, which could become more attractive to some shippers.

  • Other terminal and storage operators

    Competing terminals that could become more attractive to KMI customers, especially on price or location.

  • Carbon capture and sequestration developers

    Companies developing carbon capture technology could compete with KMI for customers who buy CO2 for enhanced oil recovery.

News & filings

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Kinder Morgan, Inc. · 13 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-09-30 · SEC / Kinder Morgan, Inc. · 23 Oct 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Kinder Morgan, Inc. · 21 Oct 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.