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olivLaw · US equity research

Targa Resources Corp. TRGP

Natural Gas Transmission · SIC 4922 · Vertical: Natural Gas Transmission (SIC 4922)

285.00USD−4.54% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Targa Resources Corp. (TRGP) is one of the largest independent midstream infrastructure companies in North America, active in natural gas gathering and processing and NGL logistics. In the second quarter of 2026 it reported total revenues of 4440.1 million USD and adjusted EBITDA of 1603 million USD, a record for a second quarter. Its 2026 guidance points to adjusted EBITDA toward the top of the 5.7-5.9 billion USD range.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Targa Resources Corp. (TRGP) stock was 285.00 USD (−4.54% on the day), with market capitalisation 61.1 bn USD, P/E 27.2 on diluted EPS of 10.48 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.49%, beta 0.67, 52-week range 162.69–314.99 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 4.4 bn USD (+4.2% YoY), net income of 764.6 m USD (+21.5% YoY), diluted EPS 3.54 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
61.1 bn USD
shares as of 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
27.2
Diluted EPS TTM 10.48 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
3.68%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
1.49%
DPS 12m 4.25
Beta (2y)
0.67
Volatility (1y) 30%
52-week range
162.69314.99

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
43.8
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
278.81 – 313.08
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.18 · band width 11.6%
SMA 50 / 200
290.28 / 261.23
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
3.32 / 4.28
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−0.8%−1.1%+0.3 pp—
3 months+9.6%−0.5%+10.0 pp—
6 months+14.2%+4.4%+9.8 pp—
Year to date+54.5%+12.3%+42.2 pp—
1 year+84.4%+13.5%+70.8 pp+12.1%
3 years+223.4%+76.4%+147.0 pp+42.7%
5 years+402.8%+63.7%+339.1 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−10.6%
20 Aug 2026 → 30 Sept 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−32.6%
21 Jan 2025 → 16 Oct 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+38.1%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
4.4 bn USD
+4.2% YoY
Net income
764.6 m USD
+21.5% YoY
Diluted EPS
3.54
+23.3% YoY
net / operating
17.2% / 27.8%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue3.9 bn4.4 bn4.6 bn4.3 bn4.2 bn4.1 bn4.1 bn4.4 bn
Cost of revenue2.4 bn2.9 bn3.3 bn2.4 bn2.5 bn2.3 bn2.4 bn2.3 bn
Operating income728.2 m700.5 m543.3 m1.0 bn836.9 m917.4 m846.9 m1.2 bn
Depreciation & amortisation355.4 m378.5 m367.6 m373.7 m383.5 m390.5 m426.0 m453.1 m
Pre-tax income545.1 m524.4 m352.0 m821.3 m620.9 m692.2 m611.3 m1.0 bn
Income tax97.0 m110.4 m72.2 m184.1 m134.3 m139.1 m123.9 m227.2 m
Net income387.4 m351.0 m270.5 m629.1 m478.4 m545.0 m479.6 m764.6 m
Diluted EPS1.751.60 ≈0.912.872.202.53 ≈2.213.54
Operating cash flow540.9 m ≈1.3 bn954.4 m858.3 m ≈599.2 m ≈1.5 bn739.5 m1.4 bn ≈
Capex828.8 m ≈726.9 m792.2 m906.1 m ≈671.8 m ≈963.2 m899.5 m1.0 bn ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 54 percentile of its own 26-quarter history (min 18.9, median 26.4, max 176.0; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue10.5 bn8.7 bn8.3 bn16.9 bn20.9 bn16.1 bn16.4 bn17.0 bn
Revenue YoY+18.9%−17.3%−4.7%+105.2%+23.5%−23.3%+2.0%+3.9%
Net income1.6 m-209.2 m-1.6 bn71.2 m1.2 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn1.9 bn
Net income YoY−97.0%−13,175.0%unavailableunavailable+1,579.1%+12.6%−2.5%+46.6%
Diluted EPS-0.53-1.44-7.26-0.073.883.665.748.49
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−5.7%+56.8%+47.9%
net %0.0%-2.4%-18.8%0.4%5.7%8.4%8.0%11.3%
Free cash flow-2.0 bn-1.5 bn792.9 m1.8 bn1.0 bn826.2 m683.9 m584.1 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
166.1 m USD
Financial debt
17.4 bn USD
Net debt
17.3 bn USD
Equity
3.2 bn USD
Total assets
25.2 bn USD
Debt / equity
5.45x
Current ratio
0.67x
ROE
50.5%
ROA
8.0%
FCF margin
3.4%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
16.1 bn
2024
16.4 bn
2025
17.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
10.7 bn
2024
10.7 bn
2025
10.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
5.4 bn ≈
2024
5.7 bn ≈
2025
6.5 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026derived

Operating income
2023
2.6 bn
2024
2.7 bn
2025
3.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
4.0 bn ≈
2024
4.1 bn ≈
2025
4.8 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2023
1.9 bn
2024
1.9 bn
2025
2.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
363.2 m
2024
384.5 m
2025
529.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
3.66
2024
5.74
2025
8.49

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
226.0 m
2024
221.3 m
2025
216.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.85
2024
2.75
2025
3.75

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
141.7 m
2024
157.3 m
2025
166.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
371.5 m
2024
334.3 m
2025
429.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
2.2 bn
2024
2.3 bn
2025
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
15.8 bn
2024
18.1 bn
2025
20.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
45.2 m
2024
45.2 m
2025
112.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
2.4 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
20.7 bn
2024
22.7 bn
2025
25.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
1.6 bn
2024
2.0 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2022verified

Long-term debt
2023
13.0 bn
2024
14.2 bn
2025
17.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
2.8 bn
2024
3.2 bn
2025
3.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
4.6 bn
2024
4.4 bn
2025
3.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
3.2 bn
2024
3.6 bn
2025
3.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
2.4 bn
2024
3.0 bn
2025
3.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
826.2 m ≈
2024
683.9 m ≈
2025
584.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-2.4 bn
2024
-3.0 bn
2025
-3.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-888.1 m
2024
-612.8 m
2025
-266.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
3.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-6.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
15.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
23.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
46.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
17.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
47.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
29.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-14.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
43.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
32.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
22.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
13.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
4.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
72.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
8.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
14.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
15.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
40.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
19.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
3.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
5.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
4.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
3.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
740.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
32.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
78.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
37 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
14 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
74 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
-22 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
61.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
80.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
27.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
27.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
3.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
16.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
3.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
14.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
21.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
4.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
82.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
1.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
1.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

Risk

Altman Z
unavailable
input data missing

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 28 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40 · (margin_of_safety <= -0.25 & agreement in ['high', 'medium'])

Closing price

285.00 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 61.1 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
61.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
27.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
16.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
14.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
72.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
13.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
3.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

30/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 2413derived 150

Score by group

  • Balance sheet9
  • Growth50
  • Valuation5
  • Quality54

Estimated value range

Low
106.20
USD per share
Mid
142.97
USD per share
High
204.09
USD per share
Price: 285.00 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -49.8% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -99.3% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: medium · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 49.28 – 226.51 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA106.20 – 226.51 (Mid 166.82)
    4 companies used · median multiple 10.1x · quartiles 7.7x – 12.4x
    ET, KMI, WES, WMB
  • Peers: P/E132.73 – 204.09 (Mid 142.97)
    5 companies used · median multiple 13.6x · quartiles 12.7x – 19.5x
    EPD, ET, KMI, WES, WMB
  • Dividend discount (DDM)49.28 – 66.27 (Mid 56.53)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Natural Gas Transmission (SIC 4922)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 28/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality14.1%93 (on a fixed band)13%
Net margin · Quality13.5%40 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Quality32.7%4 (on a fixed band)8%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-6.6%0 (on a fixed band)10%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth29.8%100 (on a fixed band)10%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet3.5x13 (on a fixed band)13%
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.8x0 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation27.2x0 (vs peers)13%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation14.7x3 (on a fixed band)13%
FCF yield · Valuation1.2%15 (on a fixed band)10%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet9/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth50/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality54/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation5/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Targa Resources Corp. (TRGP). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 17.0 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 3.9%; net margin 13.5%; ROE 72.6%; net debt/EBITDA 3.5x.

The estimated value range is 106.20–204.09 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: medium); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 142.97 USD, the price of 285.00 USD leaves a potential of -49.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -99.3% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 28/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 14.1%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 29.8%

What contradicts it

  • FCF conversion: 32.7%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -6.6%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 3.5x
  • Current ratio: 0.8x
  • P/E (TTM): 27.2x
  • EV/EBITDA: 14.7x
  • FCF yield: 1.2%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Interest coverage, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Natural Gas Transmission (SIC 4922) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 5 companies

Only companies with a capitalisation between 7.8 bn and 496.7 bn (within 8× of the company's); 12 of the vertical were left out.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
27.2x
vertical median 13.6x
above median (+99.3%)
EV/EBITDA
14.7x
vertical median 10.1x
above median (+45.9%)
P/S
3.7x
vertical median 3.8x
at median
P/B
16.7x
vertical median —
ROE
72.6%
vertical median —
Net margin
13.5%
vertical median 19.6%
below median (−31.0%)
EBIT margin
22.9%
vertical median 29.0%
below median (−20.9%)
Revenue YoY
3.9%
vertical median 6.6%
below median (−40.2%)
Net debt/EBITDA
3.5x
vertical median 2.1x
above median (+65.6%)
Dividend yield
1.5%
vertical median 3.8%
below median (−60.3%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
WMBWilliams Companies, Inc.83.0 bn27.124.0%25.2%+13.8%+11% / +84%
EPDEnterprise Products Partners L.P.79.2 bn12.0—10.2%−6.4%+12% / +37%
KMIKinder Morgan, Inc.70.2 bn19.511.6%19.6%+12.2%+15% / +79%
ETEnergy Transfer LP67.0 bn12.7—4.9%+3.5%+16% / +40%
TRGPTarga Resources Corp.61.1 bn27.272.6%13.5%+3.9%+84% / +223%
WESWestern Midstream Partners, LP17.6 bn13.6—28.2%+6.6%+8% / +43%

1- and 3-year price returns: for TRGP from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
153.81
Total return -45% · Per year -45%
273.29
Total return -3% · Per year -3%
413.54
Total return 47% · Per year 47%
3 years
122.13
Total return -54% · Per year -23%
246.65
Total return -9% · Per year -3%
413.54
Total return 50% · Per year 15%
5 years
96.98
Total return -62% · Per year -17%
222.60
Total return -15% · Per year -3%
413.54
Total return 54% · Per year 9%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 61.66
  • Net margin± 43.16
  • Annual revenue growth± 38.98
  • Annual dilution± 3.63

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Targa Resources Corp. (TRGP) is one of the largest independent midstream infrastructure companies in North America, active in natural gas gathering and processing and NGL logistics. In the second quarter of 2026 it reported total revenues of 4440.1 million USD and adjusted EBITDA of 1603 million USD, a record for a second quarter 3. Its 2026 guidance points to adjusted EBITDA toward the top of the 5.7-5.9 billion USD range 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • An integrated position from gas gathering through LPG exports allows capture of several stages of the value chain 1.
  • Infrastructure in productive basins that is hard to replicate, with connections between gathering systems and Downstream facilities at Mont Belvieu 1.
  • A large share of revenue from fee-based contracts reduces sensitivity to commodity prices 12.

Weaknesses

  • Exposure to prices remains significant under percent-of-proceeds contracts, and hedges do not fully protect against volatility 1.
  • Debt is substantial and could limit financial flexibility, especially if financing costs rise 13.
  • Reliance on volumes from a limited number of Permian producers makes the company sensitive to their investment decisions 12.

Opportunities

  • New processing, fractionation and pipeline projects planned through 2028 could expand processing and transport capacity 12.
  • Expanded LPG export capacity could raise Galena Park revenues if global demand stays strong 1.
  • Acquisitions of Permian assets, such as Stakeholder, could add volumes and operating synergies 12.

Threats

  • Lower oil and gas prices could reduce producer activity and throughput volumes 1.
  • Regulation of methane and greenhouse gas emissions could raise operating costs 1.
  • Delays in regulatory approvals or construction could postpone the start of growth projects 12.

Risks

  • Commodity price exposurehigh

    Revenues and cash flows could fall if natural gas, NGL and crude prices deteriorate, particularly on percent-of-proceeds contracts. Hedges reduce but do not eliminate this exposure 1.

  • Dependence on Permian productionhigh

    Growth depends on Permian volumes. If producers reduce investment or route gas elsewhere, volumes could decline 13.

  • Execution of capital projectsmedium

    The company has a large growth program. Delays or cost overruns could reduce returns on investment 12.

  • Cost of debtmedium

    Consolidated debt is large, and rising interest rates could increase financing costs and reduce profitability 13.

  • Environmental regulationmedium

    Operations are subject to environmental laws and methane emission rules; non-compliance or an accidental release could create significant costs 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Q2 2026 results were a record and full-year guidance was raised toward the top of the range, showing that the business can generate cash across several lines of activity 3.
  • Processing and fractionation projects under construction could add capacity in a growing basin, and the company holds integrated positions that are hard to replicate 12.
  • If Permian output keeps growing and demand for LPG exports stays high, revenues in the transport and export segments could continue to rise 13.

What would break the thesis

  • EBITDA growth was partly driven by marketing and optimization margins, which can be volatile and are not assured in later periods 3.
  • Consolidated debt and high capital spending could limit flexibility and reduce resources available for dividends and buybacks 13.
  • If gas prices fall or Permian producers slow down, volumes and margins could decline, and recent investments could earn less than estimated 13.

What to watch

  • Start-up of the Copperhead, Yeti and Yeti II plants in Permian DelawareQ3-Q4 2027
  • Updated 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance and growth capital expenditure in the next quarterly reportQ3 2026
  • Permian volume trends and Waha price conditions, to see whether production curtailments recurnext 10-Q

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Targa is a Delaware corporation formed in 2005 that operates two main segments: Gathering and Processing and Logistics and Transportation, also called Downstream 1. The gathering and processing segment has assets concentrated in the Permian Basin, along with the Eagle Ford, Barnett, Anadarko and Williston basins 1. The Downstream segment converts mixed NGLs into NGL products and transports, stores and exports them, including through the Galena Park terminal 1.

Between January and June 2026 the company completed the Stakeholder Midstream acquisition for 1.25 billion USD in cash, adding pipelines and processing capacity in the Permian 12. Sources show that the Falcon II, East Pembrook and East Driver processing plants entered service in 2026 2. The company also raised its quarterly dividend to 1.25 USD per share, 25 percent above the level for Q2 2025 3.

Segments

Gathering and Processing

The G&P segment gathers, compresses and processes natural gas and transports condensate and crude oil from the Permian, Eagle Ford and Williston basins. In Q2 2026 Permian inlet volumes rose by more than 450 MMcf/d sequentially, although some producers temporarily curtailed output because of negative Waha prices 3.

Downstream and exports

The Galena Park terminal is being expanded to raise effective LPG export capacity to 19 million barrels per month, with completion expected in the third quarter of 2027 1. The project depends on propane and butane demand and vessel availability, factors the company does not control 1.

Market context

The LPG export and NGL fractionation market is concentrated on the Gulf Coast and at Mont Belvieu, with demand driven by petrochemical industries and global exports 1. The company says its infrastructure is hard to replicate, but competition for assets and development opportunities could limit growth 1.

Trends

  • Permian volume growthtailwind

    New processing plants and Permian pipeline extensions support rising throughput on Targa systems. If basin production keeps growing, demand for transport and fractionation services could stay high 13.

  • Gas and NGL price volatilityheadwind

    Gas and NGL prices influence processing margins under percent-of-proceeds contracts. Negative Waha prices led to temporary production cuts in Q2 2026, showing sensitivity to prices 13.

  • Predominantly fee-based contractsmixed

    Most L&T contracts and part of G&P are fee-based per unit of throughput, which reduces direct exposure to commodity prices. The company also uses hedges for part of its expected volumes 1.

  • Cost of capital and debtheadwind

    The company has issued bonds and used credit lines to fund acquisitions and growth projects. Higher borrowing costs could reduce returns on investment, and access to capital markets could become more expensive 12.

Competitive position

The SEC sources do not explicitly name Targa's direct competitors. They describe the industry as highly competitive, and competitive pressure is cited as a risk to margins and to hiring 1. Competitors may include other independent midstream operators in the Permian and Gulf Coast, but such names do not appear in the sources provided.

Targa's stated advantage lies in offering integrated services from wellhead to market and in the location of its infrastructure, which is hard to replicate 1. If other operators build similar infrastructure in the same basins, the locational advantage could decline 1.

  • Other independent Permian midstream operators

    The SEC sources mention general midstream competition without naming specific competitors.

  • NGL pipeline and fractionation operators on the Gulf Coast

    Competition for NGL transport and fractionation is mentioned only generically in the sources provided.

  • LPG export terminal operators

    The sources indicate competition in LPG exports without concrete names.

  • Gathering service providers for producers

    The sources warn that losing customers to competitors could affect volumes.

News & filings

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Targa Resources Corp. · 19 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Targa Resources Corp. · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Targa Resources Corp. · 06 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.