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olivLaw · US equity research

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. MTSI

Semiconductors & Related Devices · SIC 3674 · Vertical: Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674)

235.49USD+5.99% · 1 dayClose 03 Nov 2026

MACOM Technology Solutions designs and manufactures high-performance semiconductors for the Industrial and Defense, Data Center and Telecommunications markets, headquartered in Lowell, Massachusetts. Revenue in fiscal 2025 was 967,258 thousand USD, and in fiscal Q3 2026 revenue rose 35.8% year over year to 342.2 million USD. Guidance for fiscal Q4 2026 points to revenue between 415 and 425 million USD.

At the close of 03 Nov 2026, MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI) stock was 235.49 USD (+5.99% on the day), with market capitalisation 18.0 bn USD, P/E 75.3 on diluted EPS of 3.13 USD over the last 12 months, beta 2.04, 52-week range 144.13–409.68 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 342.2 m USD (+35.8% YoY), net income of 100.7 m USD (+175.7% YoY), diluted EPS 1.28 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
18.0 bn USD
shares as of 03 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
75.3
Diluted EPS TTM 3.13 · TTM to 03 Jul 2026
E/P (TTM)
1.33%
TTM to 03 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
2.04
Volatility (1y) 66%
52-week range
144.13409.68

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
40.4
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
202.36 – 337.70
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.24 · band width 50.1%
SMA 50 / 200
274.56 / 283.63
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-14.68 / -10.44
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−26.8%−2.0%−24.8 pp—
3 months−13.8%−2.2%−11.7 pp—
6 months−22.4%+4.3%−26.7 pp—
Year to date+37.5%+10.6%+26.9 pp—
1 year+56.8%+10.5%+46.3 pp+44.5%
3 years+213.8%+73.7%+140.2 pp+28.8%
5 years+216.0%+61.7%+154.3 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−45.8%
26 May 2026 → 02 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−45.8%
26 May 2026 → 02 Nov 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
+25.9%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 03 Jul 2026

Revenue
342.2 m USD
+35.8% YoY
Net income
100.7 m USD
+175.7% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.28
+166.7% YoY
net / operating
29.4% / 22.5%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue200.7 m218.1 m235.9 m252.1 m261.2 m271.6 m289.0 m342.2 m
Cost of revenue90.9 m101.0 m105.7 m112.6 m118.9 m119.8 m124.5 m142.7 m
Gross profit109.8 m117.1 m130.2 m139.4 m142.3 m151.8 m164.4 m199.6 m
Research & development49.6 m60.4 m57.8 m63.4 m62.9 m66.5 m69.0 m74.3 m
SG&A32.7 m39.2 m37.4 m38.4 m39.8 m42.0 m44.6 m48.1 m
Operating income27.5 m17.5 m34.9 m37.7 m39.6 m43.3 m50.8 m77.1 m
Depreciation & amortisation17.8 m16.0 m7.4 m7.5 m17.6 m15.4 m9.5 m9.5 m
Pre-tax income32.5 m-169.9 m40.9 m44.1 m55.9 m49.6 m56.9 m123.9 m
Income tax3.1 m-2.4 m9.3 m7.5 m10.8 m822.0 k10.6 m23.1 m
Net income29.4 m-167.5 m31.7 m36.5 m45.1 m48.8 m46.3 m100.7 m
Diluted EPS0.39 ≈-2.300.420.480.61 ≈0.640.601.28
Operating cash flow62.3 m66.7 m38.7 m ≈60.4 m ≈69.6 m42.9 m78.7 m ≈80.0 m ≈
Capex5.2 m5.3 m8.2 m ≈8.8 m ≈20.2 m12.9 m13.2 m ≈20.8 m ≈
Share repurchases342.0 k37.9 m3.4 m ≈1.4 m ≈451.0 k47.9 m——

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 52 percentile of its own 21-quarter history (min 8.4, median 66.5, max 9,229.0; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue570.4 m499.7 m530.0 m606.9 m675.2 m648.4 m729.6 m967.3 m
Revenue YoY−18.4%−12.4%+6.1%+14.5%+11.2%−4.0%+12.5%+32.6%
Net income-140.0 m-383.8 m-46.1 m38.0 m440.0 m91.6 m76.9 m-54.2 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable+1,058.6%−79.2%−16.1%−170.5%
Diluted EPS-2.57-5.84-0.690.546.181.281.04-0.73
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable+1,044.4%−79.3%−18.8%−170.2%
net %-24.5%-76.8%-8.7%6.3%65.2%14.1%10.5%-5.6%
Free cash flow-16.8 m-17.3 m153.8 m130.5 m150.5 m142.2 m140.2 m192.8 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 03 Oct 2025

Cash
112.1 m USD
Financial debt
500.6 m USD
Net debt
388.4 m USD
Equity
1.3 bn USD
Total assets
2.1 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.38x
Current ratio
3.71x
ROE
-4.4%
ROA
-2.8%
FCF margin
19.9%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
648.4 m
2024
729.6 m
2025
967.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025verified

Cost of revenue
2023
262.6 m
2024
335.8 m
2025
438.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025verified

Gross profit
2023
385.8 m
2024
393.8 m
2025
529.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025verified

Research & development
2023
148.5 m
2024
182.2 m
2025
244.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025verified

SG&A
2023
129.9 m
2024
137.9 m
2025
154.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025verified

Operating income
2023
107.4 m
2024
73.7 m
2025
129.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
52.2 m
2024
67.2 m
2025
63.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025verified

EBITDA
2023
159.6 m ≈
2024
140.9 m ≈
2025
192.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025derived

Interest expense
2023
12.4 m
2024
5.1 m
2025
5.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025verified

Pre-tax income
2023
115.2 m
2024
91.5 m
2025
-29.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025verified

Income tax
2023
23.6 m
2024
14.7 m
2025
25.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025verified

Net income
2023
91.6 m
2024
76.9 m
2025
-54.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025verified

Diluted EPS
2023
1.28
2024
1.04
2025
-0.73

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
71.5 m
2024
73.6 m
2025
74.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
174.0 m
2024
146.8 m
2025
112.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025verified

Receivables
2023
91.3 m
2024
105.7 m
2025
148.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025verified

Inventories
2023
136.3 m
2024
194.5 m
2025
237.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025verified

Current assets
2023
761.2 m
2024
903.1 m
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
149.5 m
2024
176.0 m
2025
230.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025verified

Goodwill
2023
323.4 m
2024
332.2 m
2025
336.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
67.0 m
2024
76.1 m
2025
78.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025verified

Total assets
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025verified

Accounts payable
2023
25.0 m
2024
43.2 m
2025
67.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
0
2025
160.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025verified

Long-term debt
2023
447.1 m
2024
448.3 m
2025
339.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025verified

Current liabilities
2023
83.5 m
2024
108.2 m
2025
325.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025verified

Total liabilities
2023
605.6 m
2024
629.3 m
2025
776.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025verified

Equity
2023
947.6 m †
2024
1.1 bn †
2025
1.3 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
166.9 m
2024
162.6 m
2025
235.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025verified

Capex
2023
24.7 m
2024
22.4 m
2025
42.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025verified

Free cash flow
2023
142.2 m ≈
2024
140.2 m ≈
2025
192.8 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025derived

Investing cash flow
2023
36.3 m
2024
-181.1 m
2025
-328.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-149.0 m
2024
-9.1 m
2025
58.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025verified

Share repurchases
2023
32.6 m
2024
14.2 m
2025
43.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Nov 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
32.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
12.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
12.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
76.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-170.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-170.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
37.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
56.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
EBITDA margin
22.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
EBIT margin
18.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
Net margin
20.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
FCF margin
17.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026

Returns

ROE
17.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
ROA
11.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
ROIC
10.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
ROCE
12.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
250.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
1.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Debt / equity
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Interest coverage
38.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Cash ratio
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
271.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
Capital expenditure
67.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
Free cash flow
204.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
FCF conversion
84.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
Cash conversion
103.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
48 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Days payables outstanding
48 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
18.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Enterprise value
18.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
74.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
75.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
Earnings yield
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
P/B
11.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
P/S
15.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
69.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
EV/EBIT
86.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
EV/Sales
15.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
P/FCF
88.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
FCF yield
1.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 43 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

(margin_of_safety <= -0.25 & agreement in ['high', 'medium'])

Closing price

235.49 USD

03 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 18.0 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
18.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
75.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
P/B
11.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
69.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
ROE
17.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 03 Jul 2026
Net margin
20.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 03 Jul 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
32.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 03 Jul 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 03 Jul 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 03 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 2613derived 214

Score by group

  • Valuation10
  • Returns38
  • Quality49
  • Balance sheet79
  • Growth56

Estimated value range

Low
40.05
USD per share
Mid
49.01
USD per share
High
71.69
USD per share
Price: 235.49 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -79.2% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -380.5% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: medium · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 33.86 – 109.53 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)40.05 – 63.07 (Mid 49.01)
    WACC 9.2% · starting FCFF 208.7 m USD · terminal value share of EV 74%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/Sales65.46 – 109.53 (Mid 66.68)
    6 companies used · median multiple 4.6x · quartiles 4.5x – 7.4x
    AAOI, FSLR, MCHP, NXPI, ON, Q
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA33.86 – 71.69 (Mid 48.68)
    4 companies used · median multiple 15.1x · quartiles 10.8x – 21.8x
    FSLR, MCHP, NXPI, ON
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 43/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality56.5%41 (on a fixed band)11%
EBIT margin · Quality18.1%38 (vs peers)9%
FCF margin · Quality17.5%70 (on a fixed band)9%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth12.7%51 (on a fixed band)17%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth32.6%67 (vs peers)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet1.0x68 (on a fixed band)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.3x90 (on a fixed band)6%
EV/Sales · Valuation15.7x0 (vs peers)17%
FCF yield · Valuation1.1%23 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.3%38 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet79/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Growth56/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality49/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns38/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation10/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

Memo

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-07-03.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 967.3 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 32.6%; net margin 20.7%; ROE 17.2%; net debt/EBITDA 1.0x.

The estimated value range is 40.05–71.69 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: medium); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 49.01 USD, the price of 235.49 USD leaves a potential of -79.2% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -380.5% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 43/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF margin: 17.5%
  • Current ratio: 2.3x

What contradicts it

  • EV/Sales: 15.7x
  • FCF yield: 1.1%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Versus the vertical median

Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 9 companies

Only companies with a capitalisation between 2.2 bn and 140.4 bn (within 8× of the company's); 87 of the vertical were left out.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
75.3x
vertical median 48.0x
above median (+56.9%)
EV/EBITDA
69.4x
vertical median 15.1x
above median (+359.5%)
P/S
15.5x
vertical median 8.3x
above median (+87.1%)
P/B
11.7x
vertical median 5.5x
above median (+113.0%)
ROE
17.2%
vertical median 18.7%
below median (−8.2%)
Net margin
20.7%
vertical median 23.4%
below median (−11.5%)
EBIT margin
18.1%
vertical median 26.1%
below median (−30.7%)
Revenue YoY
32.6%
vertical median 24.1%
above median (+35.3%)
Net debt/EBITDA
1.0x
vertical median -0.2x
above median
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.1%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
NXPINXP Semiconductors N.V.66.2 bn20.729.2%23.4%−2.7%+35% / +29%
MPWRMonolithic Power Systems, Inc.64.8 bn73.225.1%23.9%+26.4%+43% / +142%
MCHPMicrochip Technology Incorporated42.3 bn107.77.2%9.3%+7.1%+45% / −7%
ALABAstera Labs, Inc.40.5 bn115.825.8%30.7%+115.1%+48% / unavailable
CRDOCredo Technology Group Holding Ltd28.4 bn53.830.7%33.8%+205.7%−15% / +743%
ONOn Semiconductor Corp28.3 bn42.28.9%10.8%−15.3%+45% / +2%
QQnity Electronics, Inc.24.9 bn40.18.9%12.4%+9.7%+47% / unavailable
FSLRFirst Solar, Inc.20.0 bn10.818.7%37.1%+24.1%−32% / +18%
MTSIMACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.18.0 bn75.317.2%20.7%+32.6%+57% / +214%
AAOIApplied Optoelectronics, Inc.5.4 bn—-5.4%-9.6%+82.8%+139% / +383%

1- and 3-year price returns: for MTSI from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
152.10
Total return -35% · Per year -35%
267.92
Total return 14% · Per year 14%
402.21
Total return 71% · Per year 71%
3 years
173.05
Total return -27% · Per year -10%
340.48
Total return 45% · Per year 13%
557.49
Total return 137% · Per year 33%
5 years
196.88
Total return -16% · Per year -4%
432.69
Total return 84% · Per year 13%
772.71
Total return 228% · Per year 27%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 85.12
  • Net margin± 59.58
  • Annual revenue growth± 45.33
  • Annual dilution± 5.01

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

MACOM Technology Solutions designs and manufactures high-performance semiconductors for the Industrial and Defense, Data Center and Telecommunications markets, headquartered in Lowell, Massachusetts. Revenue in fiscal 2025 was 967,258 thousand USD 1, and in fiscal Q3 2026 revenue rose 35.8% year over year to 342.2 million USD 3. Guidance for fiscal Q4 2026 points to revenue between 415 and 425 million USD 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Over seven decades of application expertise, combined with in-house compound semiconductor fabs and Trusted Foundry status 1.
  • Strong revenue growth in the latest quarter with rising gross margins 3.

Weaknesses

  • High dependence on a few large customers who can reduce orders without penalty 1.
  • Heavy research and development spending that must be recovered through new products reaching volume 1.
  • The fiscal 2025 net result was a loss, driven by a charge on debt extinguishment 1.

Opportunities

  • Higher interconnect speeds in data centers and growth in optical networks 1.
  • Expansion of 5G, satellite communications and defense applications 2.
  • Recent supply chain investments could support future growth if they deliver 3.

Threats

  • Cyclicality of the semiconductor industry and rapid erosion of selling prices 1.
  • Competition from companies with greater resources and from high-volume silicon producers 1.
  • Geopolitical risks and regulatory changes in the countries where the company operates 1.

Risks

  • Customer concentrationhigh

    A small number of customers generate a meaningful share of revenue, and orders can be reduced without notice 1.

  • Industry cyclicalityhigh

    Semiconductor demand fluctuates sharply, and a pullback in data center investment could reduce orders 1.

  • Margin pressuremedium

    Lower selling prices and raw material costs could reduce gross margin if factory utilization falls 1.

  • Inventory managementmedium

    Inaccurate demand forecasts can lead to excess inventory or lost revenue from missing product 1.

  • Quarterly earnings volatilitylow

    Quarterly results can vary widely, and missing investor expectations could weigh on the share price 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If growth from the fiscal third quarter 2026 holds and guidance for the fourth quarter is met, the company could strengthen its position in data centers and defense.
  • Rising margins and quality certifications for defense and aerospace could support profitable expansion.
  • The photonic portfolio for high-speed interconnects could become a major driver if adoption of the newest speeds accelerates.

What would break the thesis

  • Dependence on a few large customers could magnify the impact of any order reduction.
  • If AI infrastructure spending slows, demand for data center products could fall quickly.
  • Better-resourced competitors could cut prices, and pressure on margins could intensify.

What to watch

  • Delivery against fiscal Q4 2026 revenue and gross margin guidanceQ4 2026
  • Effect of the IQE plc investment on the supply chain2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

The company designs, develops and manufactures differentiated semiconductor products for three primary markets: Industrial and Defense, Data Center and Telecom, serving over 6,000 end customers 1. The portfolio includes integrated circuits, multi-chip modules, diodes, amplifiers, switches and RF and optical subsystems, backed by more than 70 years of application expertise 1.

Its manufacturing model combines internal wafer fabs in Lowell, Research Triangle Park, Ann Arbor and Limeil-Brévannes with external foundry, assembly and test partners 1. The Lowell fab holds Trusted Foundry status from the US Department of Defense, which is an advantage where a domestic supply chain is required 1.

Segments

Industrial and Defense (I&D)

This segment covers radar, military communications, RF jammers, space-related electronics and medical and industrial applications built on GaAs and GaN 1. The company expects revenue here to be supported by a broader portfolio for test, radar and industrial uses 2.

Data Center

This segment includes optoelectronic and photonic components for high-speed interconnects from 100G up to 3.2T 1. The company expects adoption of higher speeds and data center upgrades to drive demand 2.

Telecom

This segment targets carrier infrastructure, 5G and future 6G networks, satellite communications and FTTx networks 1. Revenue is expected to grow with 5G deployments and SATCOM expansion 2.

Market context

The company describes an industry with sharp swings in demand and pricing; gross margin was 54.7% in fiscal 2025 versus 54.0% a year earlier 1. The fiscal third quarter 2026 gross margin reached 58.3% 3.

Trends

  • Data center and AI capital spendingmixed

    Investment in AI-driven data center infrastructure is lifting demand for high-speed components; if that spending slows, demand could decline 1.

  • 5G and 6G network build-outtailwind

    Deployment of 5G and preparation for 6G support demand for amplifiers and RF components in telecom 1.

  • Inflationary cost pressureheadwind

    Higher labor, wafer and transport costs could compress margins if they cannot be passed on fully to customers 1.

  • Demand for domestic defense supply chainstailwind

    Some military customers require a US-based supply, which could favor the company over rivals without domestic fabs 1.

Competitive position

Markets are highly competitive, with rivals including Analog Devices, Broadcom, Credo, Marvell, MaxLinear, Microchip, NXP, Qorvo, Semtech, Skyworks and Sumitomo Electric Device Innovations 1. Some competitors have greater financial resources and scale, and some are also customers or foundry suppliers 1.

The company differentiates through engineering talent, Trusted Foundry status and a broad catalog of standard and custom products, but faces price pressure from high-volume silicon manufacturers 1.

  • Analog DevicesADI

    Analog and RF circuit maker that competes directly in many industrial and communications applications 1.

  • BroadcomAVGO

    Supplier of networking and data center components active in high-speed connectivity 1.

  • QorvoQRVO

    RF products maker for communications and defense applications present in the same markets 1.

  • Skyworks SolutionsSWKS

    RF semiconductor supplier for mobile communications and infrastructure, competing in telecom 1.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-10-03 · SEC / MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. · 14 Nov 2025
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-07-03 · SEC / MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.