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olivLaw · US equity research

onsemi ON

Semiconductors & Related Devices · SIC 3674 · Vertical: Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674)

71.24USD−1.87% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

onsemi, also known as ON Semiconductor, provides intelligent power and intelligent sensing solutions for automotive, industrial and AI data center markets. Revenue fell to 5,995.4 million USD in fiscal 2025, and gross margin declined to 33.1%. Revenue rose 9% year over year in the second quarter of 2026, with demand for AI applications cited as a driver.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, onsemi (ON) stock was 71.24 USD (−1.87% on the day), with market capitalisation 27.7 bn USD, P/E 41.4 on diluted EPS of 1.72 USD over the last 12 months, beta 2.15, 52-week range 44.90–133.93 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 1.7 bn USD (+11.1% YoY), net income of 313.9 m USD (+23.1% YoY), diluted EPS 0.79 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
27.7 bn USD
shares as of 28 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
41.4
Diluted EPS TTM 1.72 · TTM to 02 Oct 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.41%
TTM to 02 Oct 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
2.15
Volatility (1y) 64%
52-week range
44.90133.93

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
43.6
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
69.45 – 79.46
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.18 · band width 13.4%
SMA 50 / 200
74.66 / 82.56
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-1.18 / -0.74
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−17.1%−1.1%−16.0 pp—
3 months−7.4%−0.5%−6.9 pp—
6 months−32.6%+4.4%−37.0 pp—
Year to date+31.6%+12.3%+19.2 pp—
1 year+47.6%+13.5%+34.0 pp+40.6%
3 years+4.4%+76.4%−72.0 pp+129.8%
5 years+20.5%+63.7%−43.2 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−50.3%
03 Jun 2026 → 16 Sept 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−70.4%
01 Aug 2023 → 08 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+3.8%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 02 Oct 2026

Revenue
1.7 bn USD
+11.1% YoY
Net income
313.9 m USD
+23.1% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.79
+25.4% YoY
net / operating
18.2% / 22.0%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue1.7 bn1.4 bn1.5 bn1.6 bn1.5 bn1.5 bn1.6 bn1.7 bn
Cost of revenue943.4 m1.2 bn916.8 m963.7 m979.1 m930.2 m987.2 m1.0 bn
Gross profit779.1 m293.8 m551.9 m587.2 m551.0 m583.1 m616.3 m713.0 m
Operating income408.6 m-573.7 m193.4 m264.4 m200.1 m-53.4 m258.6 m378.3 m
Depreciation & amortisation166.6 m168.2 m156.4 m ≈146.5 m ≈214.9 m286.7 m141.3 m ≈135.0 m ≈
Interest expense15.3 m18.0 m17.9 m17.7 m17.3 m12.7 m13.7 m13.9 m
Income tax62.7 m-75.8 m30.5 m17.7 m35.3 m-11.7 m43.4 m84.9 m
Net income379.9 m-486.1 m170.3 m255.0 m181.8 m-33.4 m226.8 m313.9 m
Diluted EPS0.88 ≈-1.150.410.630.45 ≈-0.080.560.79
Operating cash flow579.7 m602.3 m184.3 m ≈418.7 m ≈554.5 m239.1 m459.7 m ≈516.4 m ≈
Capex157.3 m147.6 m78.2 m ≈46.3 m ≈69.1 m21.9 m34.3 m ≈27.8 m ≈
Share repurchases204.1 m300.1 m302.3 m ≈325.0 m ≈450.2 m345.7 m344.8 m ≈19.9 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 74 percentile of its own 43-quarter history (min 8.2, median 21.6, max 159.3; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue5.9 bn5.5 bn5.3 bn6.7 bn8.3 bn8.3 bn7.1 bn6.0 bn
Revenue YoY+6.0%−6.1%−4.8%+28.3%+23.5%−0.9%−14.2%−15.3%
Net income627.4 m211.7 m234.2 m1.0 bn1.9 bn2.2 bn1.6 bn121.0 m
Net income YoY−22.6%−66.3%+10.6%+331.1%+88.4%+14.8%−28.0%−92.3%
Diluted EPS1.440.510.562.274.254.893.630.29
Diluted EPS YoY−23.8%−64.6%+9.8%+305.4%+87.2%+15.1%−25.8%−92.0%
net %10.7%3.8%4.5%15.0%22.8%26.5%22.2%2.0%
Free cash flow759.4 m160.1 m500.7 m1.3 bn1.6 bn438.4 m1.2 bn1.4 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
2.1 bn USD
Financial debt
3.0 bn USD
Net debt
832.9 m USD
Equity
7.7 bn USD
Total assets
12.5 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.39x
Current ratio
4.52x
ROE
1.5%
ROA
0.9%
FCF margin
23.7%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
8.3 bn
2024
7.1 bn
2025
6.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
4.4 bn
2024
3.9 bn
2025
4.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
3.9 bn
2024
3.2 bn
2025
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
2.5 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
84.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
609.5 m
2024
642.9 m
2025
686.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
3.1 bn ≈
2024
2.4 bn ≈
2025
770.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
74.8 m
2024
62.3 m
2025
70.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
2.5 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
131.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
350.2 m
2024
262.8 m
2025
7.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
2.2 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
121.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
4.89
2024
3.63
2025
0.29

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
446.8 m
2024
432.7 m
2025
411.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
2.5 bn
2024
2.7 bn
2025
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
2.1 bn
2024
2.2 bn
2025
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
5.9 bn
2024
6.8 bn
2025
5.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
4.4 bn
2024
4.4 bn
2025
3.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
1.6 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
299.3 m
2024
257.9 m
2025
343.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
13.2 bn
2024
14.1 bn
2025
12.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
725.6 m
2024
574.5 m
2025
572.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
794.0 m
2024
0
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Aug 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
2.5 bn
2024
3.3 bn
2025
3.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
2.2 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
5.4 bn
2024
5.3 bn
2025
4.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
7.8 bn
2024
8.8 bn
2025
7.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
2.0 bn
2024
1.9 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
1.5 bn
2024
694.0 m
2025
341.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
438.4 m ≈
2024
1.2 bn ≈
2025
1.4 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-1.7 bn
2024
-1.0 bn
2025
-538.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-686.5 m
2024
-683.8 m
2025
-1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
564.2 m
2024
654.1 m
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-15.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-10.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
2.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-95.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-92.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-60.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
-12.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-92.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-59.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
-12.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
17.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
38.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
EBITDA margin
24.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
EBIT margin
12.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
Net margin
10.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
FCF margin
25.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026

Returns

ROE
8.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
ROA
5.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
ROIC
7.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
ROCE
6.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
305.3 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
0.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
Debt / equity
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
Interest coverage
13.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
3.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
Cash ratio
1.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 02 Oct 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
Capital expenditure
153.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
Free cash flow
1.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
FCF conversion
234.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
Cash conversion
113.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
48 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
27.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
Enterprise value
28.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
40.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
41.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
Earnings yield
2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
P/B
3.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
P/S
4.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
EV/EBITDA
18.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
EV/EBIT
35.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
EV/Sales
4.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
P/FCF
17.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
FCF yield
5.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
4.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 51 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

71.24 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 27.7 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
27.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
41.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
P/B
3.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
EV/EBITDA
18.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
ROE
8.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026 · balance sheet at 02 Oct 2026
Net margin
10.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 02 Oct 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-15.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 02 Oct 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 02 Oct 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 28 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 02 Nov 2026
verified 2813derived 202

Score by group

  • Balance sheet97
  • Growth0
  • Quality34
  • Returns100
  • Valuation86

Estimated value range

Low
47.73
USD per share
Mid
58.34
USD per share
High
86.07
USD per share
Price: 71.24 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -18.1% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -22.1% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: medium · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 39.01 – 239.58 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)47.73 – 75.65 (Mid 58.34)
    WACC 8.7% · starting FCFF 1.7 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 74%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 3.4%
  • Peers: EV/Sales73.68 – 239.58 (Mid 135.43)
    8 companies used · median multiple 8.3x · quartiles 4.6x – 14.7x
    AAOI, ADI, FSLR, MCHP, MRVL, MTSI, NXPI, Q
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA39.01 – 86.07 (Mid 47.38)
    3 companies used · median multiple 12.0x · quartiles 9.9x – 21.7x
    FSLR, MCHP, NXPI
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 51/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality38.7%0 (on a fixed band)11%
EBIT margin · Quality12.3%10 (vs peers)9%
FCF margin · Quality25.4%100 (on a fixed band)9%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-10.4%0 (on a fixed band)17%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth-15.3%0 (vs peers)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet0.2x93 (on a fixed band)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet3.5x100 (on a fixed band)6%
EV/Sales · Valuation4.4x75 (vs peers)17%
FCF yield · Valuation5.8%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns4.2%100 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet97/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Growth0/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality34/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns100/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation86/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

Memo

ON SEMICONDUCTOR CORP (ON). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-10-02.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 6.0 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -15.3%; net margin 10.8%; ROE 8.9%; net debt/EBITDA 0.2x.

The estimated value range is 47.73–86.07 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: medium); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 58.34 USD, the price of 71.24 USD leaves a potential of -18.1% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -22.1% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 51/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF margin: 25.4%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 0.2x
  • Current ratio: 3.5x
  • EV/Sales: 4.4x
  • FCF yield: 5.8%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 4.2%

What contradicts it

  • Gross margin: 38.7%
  • EBIT margin: 12.3%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -10.4%
  • Revenue growth (YoY): -15.3%

Versus the vertical median

Semiconductors & Related Devices (SIC 3674) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 11 companies

Only companies with a capitalisation between 3.6 bn and 228.1 bn (within 8× of the company's); 85 of the vertical were left out.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
41.4x
vertical median 50.7x
below median (−18.4%)
EV/EBITDA
18.0x
vertical median 21.7x
below median (−17.1%)
P/S
4.4x
vertical median 14.2x
below median (−69.3%)
P/B
3.7x
vertical median 6.3x
below median (−42.2%)
ROE
8.9%
vertical median 17.2%
below median (−48.1%)
Net margin
10.8%
vertical median 23.9%
below median (−54.7%)
EBIT margin
12.3%
vertical median 27.5%
below median (−55.3%)
Revenue YoY
-15.3%
vertical median 26.4%
below median (−158.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
0.2x
vertical median 0.2x
at median
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.8%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ADIAnalog Devices Inc196.8 bn48.212.2%29.8%+16.9%+53% / +122%
MRVLMarvell Technology, Inc140.1 bn52.816.5%27.9%+42.1%+79% / +187%
NXPINXP Semiconductors N.V.66.8 bn20.829.2%23.4%−2.7%+36% / +30%
MPWRMonolithic Power Systems, Inc.61.5 bn69.525.1%23.9%+26.4%+36% / +130%
MCHPMicrochip Technology Incorporated40.9 bn104.27.2%9.3%+7.1%+41% / −10%
ALABAstera Labs, Inc.39.0 bn89.028.2%29.6%+115.1%+42% / unavailable
ONOn Semiconductor Corp27.7 bn41.48.9%10.8%−15.3%+48% / +4%
CRDOCredo Technology Group Holding Ltd25.7 bn48.730.7%33.8%+205.7%−23% / +662%
QQnity Electronics, Inc.24.8 bn42.07.6%11.5%+9.7%+46% / unavailable
FSLRFirst Solar, Inc.20.9 bn11.318.7%37.1%+24.1%−29% / +23%
MTSIMACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.17.8 bn74.617.2%20.7%+32.6%+33% / +178%
AAOIApplied Optoelectronics, Inc.5.0 bn—-5.4%-9.6%+82.8%+121% / +347%

1- and 3-year price returns: for ON from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
39.20
Total return -45% · Per year -45%
69.65
Total return -2% · Per year -2%
105.40
Total return 48% · Per year 48%
3 years
31.13
Total return -56% · Per year -24%
62.86
Total return -12% · Per year -4%
105.40
Total return 48% · Per year 14%
5 years
24.72
Total return -65% · Per year -19%
56.73
Total return -20% · Per year -4%
105.40
Total return 48% · Per year 8%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 15.72
  • Net margin± 11.00
  • Annual revenue growth± 9.93
  • Annual dilution± 0.92

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 03 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (02 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (02 Nov 2026).

In brief

onsemi, also known as ON Semiconductor, provides intelligent power and intelligent sensing solutions for automotive, industrial and AI data center markets. Revenue fell to 5,995.4 million USD in fiscal 2025 1, and gross margin declined to 33.1% 1. Revenue rose 9% year over year in the second quarter of 2026 3, with demand for AI applications cited as a driver.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A broad intelligent power and sensing portfolio, with vertically integrated SiC and GaN technologies and a scalable analog platform 13.
  • Year-over-year revenue growth and margin expansion in the second quarter of 2026 suggest an operational recovery 3.
  • Rising free cash flow supports share repurchase programs and research investment 3.

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on a limited number of specialized suppliers and single-source facilities could amplify the effect of any disruption 1.
  • Repeated manufacturing realignment programs have produced large impairment and inventory charges 1.
  • The ISG segment had very low gross margins in 2025, showing how exposed some product lines are to strategy changes 1.

Opportunities

  • Demand for power solutions in AI data centers could accelerate growth, and the company has signaled it may benefit from new processor generations 13.
  • The Synaptics acquisition could expand connected compute capabilities if the deal closes on schedule 2.
  • Vehicle electrification and fast-charging solutions could strengthen the automotive position over the longer term 1.

Threats

  • Industry cyclicality and weak automotive and industrial demand could again hit volumes and margins 1.
  • Competition from large manufacturers and from customers making their own chips could reduce prices or market share 1.
  • Geopolitical tensions and trade rules could disrupt supply chains and sales in some regions 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on a few large customers and distributorshigh

    One distributor accounted for a significant share of revenue, and losing a large customer would have a material negative effect 1.

  • Execution risk of the realignmenthigh

    Factory restructuring could be delayed or cost more than expected, affecting production 12.

  • Synaptics transaction riskmedium

    Closing depends on antitrust clearance, Synaptics shareholder approval and other conditions; a failure could trigger termination fees 2.

  • Demand cyclicalitymedium

    Lower demand in automotive and industrial could reduce volumes and affect factory utilization 1.

  • Supply chain disruptionmedium

    Dependence on specialized suppliers and single-source facilities could amplify the effect of any interruption 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If demand from AI data centers keeps growing, the segment could become a major source of revenue and margin for the company 3.
  • Rising free cash flow and the repurchase program could support shareholder returns if results hold 3.
  • If the realignment reduces costs as expected, margins could gradually return to higher levels 13.

What would break the thesis

  • Lower revenue in 2025 and a reduced gross margin show that industrial demand can be volatile and that recovery is not assured 1.
  • Repeated restructuring and impairment charges suggest capacity adjustments may cost more than estimated 12.
  • The Synaptics acquisition could dilute existing shareholders and carries integration and regulatory risks 2.

What to watch

  • Quarterly results against revenue and margin guidanceQ3 2026
  • Progress of antitrust review and shareholder vote on Synaptics2026
  • Growth pace of the AI data center business2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 03 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (02 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (02 Nov 2026).

The business

The company designs and manufactures semiconductors organized into three reportable segments: Power Solutions Group (PSG), Analog and Mixed-Signal Group (AMG) and Intelligent Sensing Group (ISG) 1. Segment shares of 2025 revenue were 47% for PSG, 38% for AMG and 15% for ISG 1. Sales to distributors accounted for approximately 54% of revenue in 2025 1, with the rest sold directly to large customers.

In 2025 the company acquired SiC JFET technology from Qorvo for 118.8 million USD in cash to complement its EliteSiC portfolio 1. The 2025 manufacturing realignment program involved job cuts and asset impairments, and management says it is pursuing efficiencies and gross margin expansion 1.

In June 2026 the company agreed to acquire Synaptics, under which Synaptics stockholders would own about 12% of the combined company after receiving 1.350 onsemi shares per Synaptics share 2. Closing is anticipated in mid-2027, subject to regulatory approvals 2.

Market context

The company serves mainly automotive, which made up 51% of 2025 revenue, and industrial, at 28% 1. Its markets in electrification, solar energy and AI data centers are supported by demand for energy efficiency 1. Industrial demand appeared to recover in 2026, according to the second-quarter release 3.

Semiconductor markets are cyclical, and demand softened in 2025 due to macroeconomic and geopolitical factors 1. The other end-market, including AI data centers, represented 21% of 2025 revenue 1 and management views it as an important growth area 3.

Trends

  • Automotive electrificationtailwind

    Growth in electric vehicles and ADAS systems increases electronics content per vehicle, which could support demand for the company's power and sensing products 1.

  • AI data center demandtailwind

    Energy needs of AI data centers are growing rapidly, and the company says it is well positioned as new processor generations arrive 1. If growth holds, the segment could keep offsetting weakness in automotive 3.

  • Weaker automotive and industrial demandheadwind

    In 2025 sales fell in automotive and industrial, leading to underutilized factories and margin pressure 1.

  • Industry consolidationmixed

    Semiconductor consolidation and customer vertical integration could reshape competition, and the Synaptics deal fits this pattern 12. The outcome depends on regulatory approvals.

Competitive position

The company competes with large global semiconductor makers as well as smaller niche firms, and customers developing their own integrated circuits are an additional threat 1. Some competitors have greater financial resources and may withstand adverse conditions better 1.

Stated strengths include leading-edge fabrication, module packaging, a broad product line and supply chain management 1. Industry consolidation could change the competitive position over the longer term 1.

  • Infineon Technologies AG

    Competitor in power and analog markets, named as a main rival of PSG and AMG.

  • STMicroelectronics

    Direct competitor in both power and analog, named for PSG and AMG.

  • Texas InstrumentsTXN

    Important competitor in analog and power management, named for AMG.

  • Sony Semiconductor Manufacturing

    Competitor in image sensors, named for ISG.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 02 Oct 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 02 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

  • Quarterly report02 Nov 2026
  • Current report02 Nov 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report02 Nov 2026
    Material agreement · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report01 Oct 2026
    Material agreement · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report13 Aug 2026
    Other events
  • Quarterly report03 Aug 2026
  • Current report03 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report25 Jun 2026
    Material agreement · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report18 May 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Shareholder vote
  • Current report12 May 2026
    Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Item 3.02 · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / onsemi · 09 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-07-03 · SEC / onsemi · 03 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / onsemi · 03 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.