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olivLaw · US equity research

National Bank Holdings Corporation NBHC

National Commercial Banks · SIC 6021 · Vertical: National Commercial Banks (SIC 6021)

37.23USD−2.56% · 1 dayClose 05 Nov 2026

NBHC is a regional bank holding company headquartered in Colorado that provides commercial and consumer banking through NBH Bank and Bank of Jackson Hole Trust across Colorado, Kansas, Missouri, Texas, Utah, Wyoming, New Mexico and Idaho. After the January 2026 Vista acquisition, total assets reached $12.6 billion at June 30, 2026, making the company more relevant to investors tracking regional consolidation.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 05 Nov 2026, National Bank Holdings Corporation (NBHC) stock was 37.23 USD (−2.56% on the day), with market capitalisation 1.6 bn USD, P/E 29.5 on diluted EPS of 1.26 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 3.41%, beta 0.76, 52-week range 35.59–47.08 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 12.3 m USD (+9.4% YoY), net income of -8.8 m USD (−124.8% YoY), diluted EPS -0.20 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
1.6 bn USD
shares as of 30 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
29.5
Diluted EPS TTM 1.26 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
3.39%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
3.41%
DPS 12m 1.27
Beta (2y)
0.76
Volatility (1y) 23%
52-week range
35.5947.08

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
40.4
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
36.80 – 39.12
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.18 · band width 6.1%
SMA 50 / 200
39.40 / 41.28
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.45 / -0.49
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−2.7%−1.1%−1.6 pp—
3 months−13.1%−0.5%−12.7 pp—
6 months−13.0%+4.4%−17.4 pp—
Year to date−2.1%+12.3%−14.4 pp—
1 year+2.4%+13.5%−11.2 pp+17.5%
3 years+16.5%+76.4%−60.0 pp+72.1%
5 years−17.1%+63.7%−80.8 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−21.1%
16 Jul 2026 → 14 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−44.3%
10 Nov 2022 → 04 May 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
−3.7%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
12.3 m USD
+9.4% YoY
Net income
-8.8 m USD
−124.8% YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.20
−121.7% YoY
net / operating
-71.0% / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue11.2 m10.8 m11.1 m11.3 m13.9 m11.3 m11.9 m12.3 m
Depreciation & amortisation6.3 m6.3 m5.9 m ≈7.6 m ≈8.3 m9.0 m11.1 m ≈10.3 m ≈
Pre-tax income34.7 m29.9 m41.5 m43.1 m19.1 m25.9 m32.6 m-12.0 m
Income tax6.5 m5.6 m7.5 m7.9 m3.1 m5.2 m6.1 m-3.2 m
Net income28.2 m24.2 m34.0 m35.3 m16.0 m20.8 m26.5 m-8.8 m
Diluted EPS0.73 ≈0.630.880.920.42 ≈0.460.58-0.20
Operating cash flow46.4 m39.6 m32.3 m ≈52.4 m ≈38.1 m-56.8 m135.1 m ≈66.1 m ≈
Dividends paid11.1 m11.3 m11.5 m ≈11.4 m ≈11.8 m14.7 m14.5 m ≈14.4 m ≈
Share repurchases———8.8 m ≈2.1 m16.1 m11.1 m ≈11.9 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 85 percentile of its own 40-quarter history (min 9.1, median 13.9, max 67.9; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenueunavailableunavailable32.4 m36.2 m38.3 m46.9 m45.8 m47.1 m
Revenue YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable+11.8%+5.7%+22.5%−2.4%+2.9%
Net income61.5 m80.4 m88.6 m93.6 m71.3 m142.0 m118.8 m109.6 m
Net income YoY+321.5%+30.8%+10.2%+5.7%−23.9%+99.3%−16.4%−7.8%
Diluted EPS1.952.552.853.012.183.723.082.85
Diluted EPS YoY+267.9%+30.8%+11.8%+5.6%−27.6%+70.6%−17.2%−7.5%
net %unavailableunavailable273.5%258.3%186.1%302.8%259.5%232.6%
Free cash flowunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
417.1 m USD
Financial debt
54.5 m USD
Net debt
-362.5 m USD
Equity
1.4 bn USD
Total assets
9.9 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.04x
Current ratio
unavailable
ROE
8.1%
ROA
1.1%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Income statement · USD

Net interest income
2023
362.0 m
2024
345.4 m
2025
348.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Net fee income
2023
63.9 m
2024
61.2 m
2025
67.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Non-interest expense
2023
242.0 m
2024
254.6 m
2025
264.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
175.6 m
2024
145.2 m
2025
133.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
142.0 m
2024
118.8 m
2025
109.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
3.72
2024
3.08
2025
2.85

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.04
2024
1.12
2025
1.20

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
190.8 m
2024
127.8 m
2025
417.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Loans
2023
7.6 bn
2024
7.7 bn
2025
7.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
10.0 bn
2024
9.8 bn
2025
9.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Deposits
2023
8.2 bn
2024
8.2 bn
2025
8.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
54.2 m
2024
54.5 m
2025
54.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
8.7 bn
2024
8.5 bn
2025
8.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
1.2 bn †
2024
1.3 bn †
2025
1.4 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Dividends paid
2023
39.6 m
2024
42.9 m
2025
46.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
—
2024
—
2025
15.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
2.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
7.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
7.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-7.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
15.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
4.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-7.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
9.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
0.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025

Profitability

Net margin
110.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
3.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
0.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
100.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
1.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
30.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
29.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
3.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
33.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
3.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
5.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Banking

Net interest margin
3.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cost-to-income
75.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Loan-to-deposit
92.8%
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
NPL ratio
unavailable
input data missing
CET1 ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cost of risk
unavailable
input data missing

32 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 37 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

37.23 USD

05 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 1.6 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
1.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
29.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
3.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
110.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
2.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
3.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

16/20 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 03 Nov 2026
verified 2209derived 120

Score by group

  • Returns79
  • Growth75
  • Balance sheet18
  • Valuation39
  • Quality16

Estimated value range

Low
15.77
USD per share
Mid
18.09
USD per share
High
21.21
USD per share
Price: 37.23 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -51.4% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -105.8% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 5 methods used · 4 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 5.37 – 51.95 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • Residual income31.77 – 33.17 (Mid 32.46)
  • Justified P/B5.37 – 7.22 (Mid 6.16)
  • Dividend discount (DDM)15.77 – 21.21 (Mid 18.09)
  • Peers: P/E13.83 – 15.42 (Mid 14.78)
    30 companies used · median multiple 11.7x · quartiles 11.0x – 12.2x
    ASRV, BAC, CAC, CASH, CBU, CFBK, CFR, COF, FHN, FULT, FUNC, HAFC, HBAN, JPM, KEY, LCNB, MRBK, NBTB, NKSH, ONB, PNC, RF, SFST, SHBI, TBBK, USB, WAFD, WFC, WSFS, ZION
  • Peers: P/B37.87 – 51.95 (Mid 44.31)
    33 companies used · median multiple 1.2x · quartiles 1.0x – 1.4x
    ASRV, BAC, BANC, C, CAC, CARE, CASH, CBU, CFBK, COF, FHN, FULT, FUNC, HAFC, HBAN, KEY, LCNB, MRBK, NBTB, NKSH, ONB, PNC, PRK, RF, SFST, SHBI, SNUS-PH, UBS, USB, WAFD, WFC, WSFS, ZION
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: National Commercial Banks (SIC 6021)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 37/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROE · Quality3.6%3 (vs peers)19%
ROA · Quality0.5%5 (on a fixed band)7%
Cost-to-income · Quality75.0%0 (on a fixed band)12%
Net interest margin · Quality3.6%86 (on a fixed band)7%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth9.3%78 (on a fixed band)10%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth7.1%71 (on a fixed band)7%
NPL ratio · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Cost of risk · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Loan-to-deposit · Balance sheet92.8%18 (on a fixed band)5%
P/B · Valuation1.0x78 (vs peers)12%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation29.5x0 (vs peers)12%
Dividend yield · Returns3.4%79 (vs peers)10%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial18/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth75/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality16/100 · 4/4 factors with a value
  • Returns79/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation39/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

NATIONAL BANK HOLDINGS CORP (NBHC). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: net interest income 348.5 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 2.9%; net margin 110.1%; ROE 3.6%.

The estimated value range is 15.77–21.21 USD per share (median of 5 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 18.09 USD, the price of 37.23 USD leaves a potential of -51.4% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -105.8% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 37/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net interest margin: 3.6%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 9.3%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 7.1%
  • P/B: 1.0x
  • Dividend yield: 3.4%

What contradicts it

  • ROE: 3.6%
  • ROA: 0.5%
  • Cost-to-income: 75.0%
  • Loan-to-deposit: 92.8%
  • P/E (TTM): 29.5x
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): NPL ratio, Cost of risk.

Versus the vertical median

National Commercial Banks (SIC 6021) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
29.5x
vertical median 11.8x
above median (+150.9%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
P/S
33.2x
vertical median 5.5x
above median (+502.1%)
P/B
1.0x
vertical median 1.2x
below median (−18.1%)
ROE
3.6%
vertical median 11.3%
below median (−67.9%)
Net margin
110.1%
vertical median 36.2%
above median (+204.5%)
EBIT margin
—
vertical median —
Revenue YoY
2.9%
vertical median 7.1%
below median (−59.5%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
Dividend yield
3.4%
vertical median 2.8%
above median (+23.1%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
JPMJpmorgan Chase & Co935.1 bn14.718.0%36.2%+2.8%+12% / +126%
BACBofA Finance LLC356.3 bn12.210.8%26.8%+6.8%−4% / +69%
WFCWells Fargo & Company262.5 bn12.212.9%—−1.6%+2% / +96%
CCitigroup Inc218.2 bn17.86.8%16.8%+5.6%+20% / +171%
UBSUBS Group AG163.0 bn20.78.9%—+7.0%+26% / +73%
COFCapital One Financial Corp124.1 bn12.19.7%17.2%+36.6%−6% / +85%
USBUs Bancorp \de\95.1 bn12.012.7%27.5%+4.4%+24% / +60%
PNCPNC Financial Services Group, Inc.92.6 bn12.213.1%31.1%+7.2%+22% / +74%
HBANHuntington Bancshares Incorporated32.4 bn12.99.1%133.3%+6.4%−1% / +43%
RFRegions Financial Corporation24.7 bn11.711.9%—+23.8%+14% / +74%
KEYKeyCorp22.8 bn11.611.2%26.6%+62.7%+17% / +74%
FHNFirst Horizon Corp11.0 bn11.011.6%29.9%+7.2%+3% / +81%
SNUS-PHSantander Holdings USA, Inc.10.8 bn6.110.8%—unavailableunavailable / unavailable
CFRCullen/Frost Bankers, Inc.9.7 bn14.516.3%29.5%+8.3%+27% / +59%
ZIONZions Bancorporation, National Association9.5 bn8.316.4%168.7%+3.6%+22% / +82%
ONBOld National Bancorp9.5 bn10.211.5%—+6.1%+15% / +68%
FULTFulton Financial Corp4.5 bn11.311.1%137.0%−6.5%+31% / +67%
WSFSWsfs Financial Corporation4.0 bn12.412.4%—+50.2%+42% / +105%
CBUCommunity Financial System, Inc.3.4 bn15.011.5%26.6%+9.6%+14% / +46%
PRKPark National Corporation3.2 bn16.111.0%25.8%+2.9%+17% / +62%
BANCBanc Of California, Inc.2.8 bn—-0.7%-1.4%−3.8%−3% / +55%
NBTBNbt Bancorp Inc2.8 bn13.011.4%117.1%+10.4%+28% / +49%
WAFDWaFd, Inc.2.2 bn9.28.5%810.8%+7.8%−7% / +10%
CHCOCity Holding Company2.0 bn15.516.6%176.6%+3.2%+17% / +48%
TBBKThe Bancorp, Inc.1.9 bn9.029.6%164.3%+20.8%−25% / +22%

1- and 3-year price returns: for NBHC from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
22.12
Total return -38% · Per year -38%
39.05
Total return 8% · Per year 8%
58.76
Total return 62% · Per year 62%
3 years
22.62
Total return -31% · Per year -12%
44.82
Total return 32% · Per year 10%
73.88
Total return 113% · Per year 29%
5 years
23.13
Total return -24% · Per year -5%
51.45
Total return 59% · Per year 10%
92.90
Total return 177% · Per year 23%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 11.21
  • Net margin± 7.84
  • Annual revenue growth± 6.28
  • Annual dilution± 0.66

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (03 Nov 2026), 8-K (27 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

NBHC is a regional bank holding company headquartered in Colorado that provides commercial and consumer banking through NBH Bank and Bank of Jackson Hole Trust across Colorado, Kansas, Missouri, Texas, Utah, Wyoming, New Mexico and Idaho. After the January 2026 Vista acquisition, total assets reached $12.6 billion at June 30, 2026 2, making the company more relevant to investors tracking regional consolidation.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A transaction deposit base and a moderate cost of deposits are key strengths 2.
  • Capital is solid, with a strong CET1 ratio and borrowing capacity at the FHLB and FRB 3.
  • Presence in markets with demographic growth and a branch network supports organic growth 1.

Weaknesses

  • Operating efficiency weakened in 2026 because of acquisition and restructuring costs, and the adjusted efficiency ratio remains under pressure 3.
  • Reported profitability fell compared with the prior year, partly because of integration costs 2.
  • Exposure to non-owner occupied commercial real estate loans remains significant 2.

Opportunities

  • If the 2UniFi platform reaches its planned scale, it could bring fee income and new small-business clients 1.
  • Selective acquisitions in Texas and other attractive markets could widen the client base 1.
  • Stronger demand for commercial loans, supported by record funding volumes, could support interest income 3.

Threats

  • Intense competition for deposits could squeeze margins and funding costs 1.
  • A weaker local economy or lower commercial property values could raise credit losses 1.
  • Regulation and heightened scrutiny of financial institutions could add compliance costs 1.

Risks

  • Credit riskhigh

    Credit losses could rise if clients face financial difficulty or if collateral values decline 1.

  • Interest rate riskhigh

    Changes in interest rates could affect net interest income and the value of mortgage servicing rights 1.

  • Integration riskmedium

    Integrating the Vista acquisition could run into operational and systems difficulties that affect efficiency 2.

  • Liquidity riskmedium

    Deposit outflows could reduce available funds, and access to outside funding could be restricted 1.

  • Operational and digital risklow

    The 2UniFi platform could require additional systems to manage fraud and cybersecurity risk 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the Vista integration and loan growth hold, the larger scale could improve profitability over time.
  • A transaction deposit base and moderate deposit costs could support stable margins if competition eases.
  • The 2UniFi platform could become a source of fee income if it reaches expected adoption.

What would break the thesis

  • If regional economies weaken, credit losses on commercial real estate loans could rise materially.
  • Integration could bring unforeseen costs and reduce short-term profitability.
  • Competition for deposits could compress net interest margin faster than management expects.

What to watch

  • Completion of the Vista systems conversion and its effect on efficiencyQ3 2026
  • Trend in net interest margin and cost of depositsQ3 2026
  • Level of credit losses and commercial real estate exposurenext 10-Q
  • Progress and expense trajectory of the 2UniFi platform2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (03 Nov 2026), 8-K (27 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

NBHC is a bank holding company that elected financial holding company status, incorporated in Delaware in 2009 and headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado 1. Operations run through NBH Bank, BOJHT and 2UniFi, LLC, with over 90 banking centers at December 31, 2025 1. By year-end 2025 the company had completed eight bank acquisitions and one non-bank acquisition 1.

The strategy combines organic growth built on relationships with small and medium-sized businesses with selective acquisitions of financial institutions in attractive demographic markets 1. Cost discipline comes from a centralized core technology platform and banking center consolidation 1.

Segments

Commercial and small business banking

Commercial and industrial loans, non-owner occupied commercial real estate loans and SBA loans form the core of the portfolio, where commercial loans were 57.3% of total loans at June 30, 2026 2. The company is an SBA Preferred Lender, which can speed up loan approvals 1.

Trust and wealth management

Assets under management in the trust and wealth business were $1.3 billion at December 31, 2025 1 and $1.5 billion at June 30, 2026 2. This segment diversifies fee income.

Market context

The company operates in areas with population growth above the national average, such as Denver, Dallas and Austin, where the combined deposit share of the top three competitors ranges between 47% and 69% 1. The Vista acquisition added branches in Dallas-Ft. Worth, Austin and Lubbock, expanding the Texas footprint 1. Market size depends on local economies, commercial real estate and regional funding conditions.

High interest rates and intense competition for deposits affect net interest margin, which was 3.94% in the second quarter of 2026 3. The company notes that liquidity in the financial services sector remains tight 1.

Trends

  • Regional consolidation through acquisitionsmixed

    The Vista acquisition added $2.2 billion in deposits and lifted assets above $12 billion, but it also brought significant integration costs 2. If integration proceeds smoothly, the larger scale could support efficiency.

  • Growth in commercial lendingtailwind

    Loan fundings of $926.9 million in the second quarter of 2026 were a record 3, and loan growth could continue if client demand stays robust.

  • Pressure on deposit costsheadwind

    Competition for deposits and elevated rates can compress margins; the company cites intense competition as a continuing challenge 1.

  • Commercial real estate exposureheadwind

    Non-owner occupied commercial real estate loans are a significant part of the portfolio, and falling property values could lead to larger charge-offs 1.

Competitive position

NBHC competes with regional and community banks in its markets, with a focus on small and medium-sized businesses. The company notes intense competition for deposits and lending across all its markets 1.

The combined deposit share of the three largest competitors in major metropolitan areas generally stays below 70% 1, leaving room for mid-sized regional banks.

  • Regional banks in Colorado and Kansas City

    Direct competitors for deposits in the Denver and Kansas City areas, where NBHC is among the leading local players 1.

  • Community banks in Texas

    Compete for commercial clients in Dallas-Ft. Worth, Austin and Lubbock, areas expanded through the Vista acquisition 1.

  • Banks in Utah and Idaho

    Compete in the Salt Lake City and Boise City markets where NBHC is present 1.

  • Large national banks with broad networks

    Compete through scale and digital products, a competitive pressure the company itself identifies 1.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

  • Quarterly report03 Nov 2026
  • Current report03 Nov 2026
    Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report03 Nov 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report27 Oct 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report01 Oct 2026
    Material impairment · Other events
  • Quarterly report05 Aug 2026
  • Current report04 Aug 2026
    Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report27 Jul 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report21 Jul 2026
    Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report12 May 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Shareholder vote · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / National Bank Holdings Corporation · 24 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / National Bank Holdings Corporation · 05 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / National Bank Holdings Corporation · 21 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.