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olivLaw · US equity research

Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. NRGV

Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies · SIC 3690 · Vertical: Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies (SIC 3690)

3.18USD−0.93% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Energy Vault Holdings is an energy infrastructure platform that designs, builds, owns and operates energy storage systems and, increasingly, infrastructure for AI data centers. Interest in the company has grown as demand for electricity and grid stability accelerates, and the second quarter of 2026 showed strong revenue growth and a larger contract backlog, with revenue of 17.4 million USD in Q2 2026 and a backlog of about 2 billion USD.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. (NRGV) stock was 3.18 USD (−0.93% on the day), with market capitalisation 578.2 m USD, beta 2.69, 52-week range 2.51–6.49 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 17.4 m USD (+104.1% YoY), net income of -29.7 m USD, diluted EPS -0.18 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
578.2 m USD
shares as of 06 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.66 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-20.86%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
2.69
Volatility (1y) 104%
52-week range
2.516.49

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
49.0
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
2.50 – 3.45
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.72 · band width 31.8%
SMA 50 / 200
3.60 / 3.90
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.14 / -0.22
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−17.8%−1.1%−16.7 pp—
3 months+5.6%−0.5%+6.1 pp—
6 months−24.5%+4.4%−28.9 pp—
Year to date−31.0%+12.3%−43.3 pp—
1 year−0.3%+13.5%−13.9 pp−60.2%
3 years+39.5%+76.4%−36.9 pp−50.2%
5 years−68.1%+63.7%−131.8 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−61.3%
04 Jun 2026 → 29 Jul 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−97.1%
05 Apr 2022 → 21 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−20.4%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
17.4 m USD
+104.1% YoY
Net income
-29.7 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.18
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-170.9% / -142.0%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue1.2 m33.5 m8.5 m8.5 m33.3 m153.3 m21.9 m17.4 m
Cost of revenue716.0 k30.9 m3.7 m6.0 m24.3 m121.7 m17.1 m12.0 m
Gross profit483.0 k2.6 m4.9 m2.5 m9.0 m31.6 m4.8 m5.4 m
Research & development5.7 m6.4 m3.8 m4.1 m3.4 m3.4 m2.6 m2.5 m
Operating income-27.1 m-50.4 m-20.9 m-28.1 m-17.6 m-7.7 m-24.2 m-24.7 m
Depreciation & amortisation251.0 k233.0 k305.0 k473.0 k298.0 k2.4 m2.2 m1.9 m
Interest expense43.0 k34.0 k95.0 k2.5 m2.8 m3.1 m3.5 m4.2 m
Pre-tax income-26.6 m-61.8 m-20.8 m-32.9 m-21.3 m-21.0 m-32.5 m-28.8 m
Income tax067.0 k383.0 k2.1 m5.5 m-228.0 k1.0 k855.0 k
Net income-26.6 m-61.8 m-21.1 m-34.9 m-26.8 m-20.7 m-32.5 m-29.7 m
Diluted EPS-0.18-0.41 ≈-0.14-0.22-0.16-0.12 ≈-0.20-0.18
Operating cash flow-9.2 m ≈-34.8 m-2.7 m15.4 m ≈-11.7 m ≈-6.6 m-53.8 m-30.6 m ≈
Capex27.3 m ≈10.5 m6.8 m8.4 m ≈15.5 m ≈10.4 m7.1 m9.1 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year202120222023⚠ 20242025
Revenue0145.9 m341.5 m46.2 m203.7 m
Revenue YoYunavailableunavailable+134.1%—+340.9%
Net income-31.3 m-78.3 m-98.4 m-135.8 m-103.6 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable—unavailable
Diluted EPS-2.45-0.64-0.69-0.91-0.65
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable—unavailable
net %unavailable-53.7%-28.8%-293.8%-50.9%
Free cash flow-22.2 m-25.7 m-123.1 m-114.7 m-46.7 m

The series breaks before 2024: earlier years come from the original reports of the issuer of that time, later years from a subsequent filing that restated the perimeter (a separation, discontinued operations). The year-on-year change across the break is not shown.

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
58.3 m USD
Financial debt
94.6 m USD
Net debt
36.3 m USD
Equity
67.5 m USD
Total assets
312.9 m USD
Debt / equity
1.40x
Current ratio
0.73x
ROE
-107.0%
ROA
-41.7%
FCF margin
-22.9%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
341.5 m
2024
46.2 m
2025
203.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
324.0 m
2024
40.0 m
2025
155.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
17.5 m
2024
6.2 m
2025
48.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Research & development
2023
37.1 m
2024
26.0 m
2025
14.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-106.7 m
2024
-130.0 m
2025
-74.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
893.0 k
2024
1.1 m
2025
3.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-105.8 m ≈
2024
-128.9 m ≈
2025
-70.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
35.0 k
2024
123.0 k
2025
8.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-98.8 m
2024
-135.7 m
2025
-95.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-349.0 k
2024
67.0 k
2025
7.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-98.4 m
2024
-135.8 m
2025
-103.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.69
2024
-0.91
2025
-0.65

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
142.9 m
2024
149.8 m
2025
160.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
109.9 m
2024
27.1 m
2025
58.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
27.2 m
2024
14.6 m
2025
25.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
415.0 k
2024
107.0 k
2025
139.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
279.6 m
2024
68.9 m
2025
121.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
1.8 m
2024
4.5 m
2025
8.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
340.8 m
2024
183.9 m
2025
312.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
21.2 m
2024
20.3 m
2025
30.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
0
2025
56.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
—
2024
0
2025
38.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
111.9 m
2024
54.7 m
2025
165.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
117.0 m
2024
57.6 m
2025
224.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
223.8 m
2024
126.3 m
2025
67.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-92.7 m
2024
-55.9 m
2025
-5.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
30.4 m
2024
58.9 m
2025
41.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-123.1 m ≈
2024
-114.7 m ≈
2025
-46.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-42.5 m
2024
-58.7 m
2025
-44.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-5.5 m
2024
-252.0 k
2025
123.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 18 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
340.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
11.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
22.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
-29.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-32.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-48.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-64.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-225.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-35.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
-48.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
-34.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
150.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
Debt / equity
35.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
-5.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-102.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
42.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-144.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
9 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
53 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
578.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
728.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-20.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
84.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
2.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
3.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-25.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 32 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

3.18 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 578.2 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
578.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
84.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
ROE
-225.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-48.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
340.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

30/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 06 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 11 Aug 2026
verified 792derived 68

Score by group

  • Balance sheet23
  • Growth61
  • Valuation22
  • Quality19

Estimated value range

Low
0.18
USD per share
Mid
1.05
USD per share
High
1.69
USD per share
Price: 3.18 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -66.9% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -201.7% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 0.18 – 1.69 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: EV/Sales0.18 – 1.69 (Mid 1.05)
    15 companies used · median multiple 1.5x · quartiles 0.8x – 2.0x
    ATKR, CHPT, DFLI, ELVA, ENR, ENS, EOSE, EPOW, GAUZ, MVST, NOVT, SPB, UCAR, ULBI, XPON
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies (SIC 3690)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 32/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality22.5%0 (on a fixed band)12%
EBIT margin · Quality-32.8%62 (vs peers)10%
FCF margin · Quality-64.1%0 (on a fixed band)10%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth11.8%47 (on a fixed band)19%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth340.9%89 (vs peers)10%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.2x23 (on a fixed band)7%
EV/Sales · Valuation3.2x38 (vs peers)19%
FCF yield · Valuation-25.0%0 (on a fixed band)14%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial23/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Growth61/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality19/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation22/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

ENERGY VAULT HOLDINGS, INC. (NRGV). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 203.7 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 340.9%; net margin -48.6%; ROE -225.9%.

The estimated value range is 0.18–1.69 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 1.05 USD, the price of 3.18 USD leaves a potential of -66.9% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -201.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 32/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance, returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue growth (YoY): 340.9%

What contradicts it

  • Gross margin: 22.5%
  • FCF margin: -64.1%
  • Current ratio: 1.2x
  • FCF yield: -25.0%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions).

Versus the vertical median

Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies (SIC 3690) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 38 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 21.3x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 11.5x
P/S
2.6x
vertical median 1.3x
above median (+104.1%)
P/B
84.3x
vertical median 1.7x
above median (+4,829.4%)
ROE
-225.9%
vertical median -36.1%
below median
Net margin
-48.6%
vertical median -52.2%
above median
EBIT margin
-32.8%
vertical median -42.4%
above median
Revenue YoY
340.9%
vertical median 5.8%
above median (+5,735.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 1.2x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.7%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ENSEnerSys5.6 bn16.718.4%9.3%+3.7%+9% / +76%
NOVTNovanta Inc.5.5 bn92.85.1%6.0%+3.3%+28% / +1%
ATKRAtkore Inc.3.2 bn—-11.9%-5.5%−11.0%+37% / −24%
SPBSpectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.2.1 bn28.04.2%2.8%−5.2%+54% / +32%
NVXNOVONIX Ltd1.9 bn—-62.0%-1,650.8%−4.1%−81% / −88%
ENREnergizer Holdings, Inc.1.7 bn21.342.2%2.7%+2.3%+38% / −18%
AMPXAmprius Technologies, Inc.1.2 bn—-36.1%-33.4%+202.1%−25% / +106%
EMATEvolution Metals & Technologies Corp.1.2 bn———unavailableunavailable / unavailable
EOSEEos Energy Enterprises, Inc.779.3 m——-246.8%+631.8%−86% / +95%
ENVXEnovix Corporation612.3 m—-82.2%-473.9%+37.9%−64% / −75%
NRGVEnergy Vault Holdings, Inc.578.2 m—-225.9%-48.6%+340.9%−0% / +39%
SLDPSolid Power, Inc.515.7 m—-20.5%-1,152.2%+8.0%−57% / +60%
FLNCFluence Energy, Inc.312.1 m—-20.7%-3.1%−16.1%−69% / −76%
CHPTChargePoint Holdings, Inc.306.4 m—-1,015.1%-40.6%−1.4%+39% / −69%
SESSES AI Corporation286.4 m—-31.2%-289.6%+929.4%−60% / −63%
ULBIEnerSys260.3 m1.4-4.8%-3.5%+16.2%+175% / +109%
MVSTMicrovast Holdings, Inc.255.7 m—11.4%13.9%+12.6%−81% / −43%
ELVAElectrovaya Inc.173.4 m—-673.8%-3.4%+170.8%+7% / +94%
ELPWElong Power Holding Ltd.145.7 m——-271.3%+430.7%−100% / −100%
NEOVNeoVolta, Inc.134.6 m—-101.1%-161.0%+58.2%−44% / +28%
GAUZGauzy Ltd.127.5 m——-51.4%+32.8%−86% / unavailable
BYRNByrna Technologies Inc.97.4 m—-14.9%-9.2%+37.7%−77% / −29%
EPOWE-Power Inc.88.8 m——-35.8%−28.6%−88% / −87%
BLNKBlink Charging Co.65.4 m—-79.9%-52.2%−18.0%−66% / −86%
STISolidion Technology, Inc.37.8 m—-1,382.4%-23,852.8%unavailable−59% / −99%

1- and 3-year price returns: for NRGV from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Energy Vault Holdings is an energy infrastructure platform that designs, builds, owns and operates energy storage systems and, increasingly, infrastructure for AI data centers. Interest in the company has grown as demand for electricity and grid stability accelerates, and the second quarter of 2026 showed strong revenue growth and a larger contract backlog, with revenue of 17.4 million USD in Q2 2026 3 and a backlog of about 2 billion USD 3.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company has a technology-agnostic architecture and its own software platform, usable for both short- and long-duration storage, plus experience across the full project lifecycle.
    • The contract backlog grew sharply in 2026, and a significant part rests on long-term contracts for owned assets.
    • Liquidity improved in recent quarters, giving more flexibility for financing and executing projects.

    Weaknesses

    • The company has a limited operating history and continuing net losses, and profitability is not yet assured.
    • Reliance on external suppliers, especially in China, has caused delays and extra costs for B-VAULT products.
    • Owned projects depend on cost and revenue estimates that could differ significantly from reality, which may affect results.

    Opportunities

    • Demand from AI data centers could open large, long-term contracts for a company offering fast power and storage.
    • Expansion into Japan and Europe could increase the owned asset base and recurring revenue if projects progress as planned.
    • The Asset Vault model could attract additional capital and turn projects into long-term recurring revenue sources.

    Threats

    • Trade tariffs and export control measures could raise costs and delay deliveries, especially if temporary measures are not extended.
    • Changes in tax policy and foreign-entity rules could reduce project eligibility and demand in the United States.
    • Competition from battery manufacturers and integrators could compress margins and delay project execution.

    Risks

    • Limited operating historyhigh

      The company has few completed projects and a short operating record, which makes long-term performance difficult to evaluate 1.

    • Losses and uncertain profitabilityhigh

      Net losses have persisted in recent quarters, and the company expects to keep incurring significant expenses 13.

    • Tariffs and supply chainhigh

      Tariffs and export controls on components from China could raise costs and delay projects, and sourcing from other countries has not yet proven economical 2.

    • Estimates for owned projectsmedium

      Returns on owned projects depend on construction costs, timelines and projected revenue, and deviations could significantly affect results 1.

    • Changes in tax policymedium

      Changes to incentives and restrictions on entities with foreign ties could affect demand and the financing structure of projects 12.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If the AI data center projects and integration contracts materialize, revenue and the contract backlog could grow significantly in the coming period 3.
    • A shift toward owned assets could turn the company from a project supplier into an operator with recurring revenue, which could reduce earnings volatility 13.
    • Improving gross margins and rising liquidity give the company more flexibility to finance and execute planned projects 3.

    What would break the thesis

    • The company remains loss-making, and losses and capital needs could limit its ability to finance several large projects at once 13.
    • Dependence on imported components and unstable tariffs could delay deliveries and affect margins, especially if temporary measures expire 2.
    • Revenue from AI and owned-project business depends on contracts and financing that are not yet finalized, which could postpone the expected effects 13.

    What to watch

    • Execution of the 1.25 GW Texas data center contract and recognition of the expected near-term revenue2H 2026 and 2027
    • Commercial operation of the initial Snyder, Texas phase for Crusoe1H 2027
    • Evolution of tariffs after temporary measures expire and any refunds of IEEPA dutiesQ3 2026
    • Achievement of the year-end cash target and how it is fundedyear-end 2026

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    The company delivers a diverse portfolio of energy storage solutions, including proprietary gravity (G-VAULT), battery (B-VAULT) and hydrogen (H-VAULT) technologies, supported by its VaultOS energy management software 1. Since 2024 the company has been moving gradually from a build-and-transfer and licensing model to an integrated model in which it selectively develops, owns and operates assets 1. Asset Vault, launched in 2025 with a preferred equity commitment of 300 million USD, is the vehicle for owned assets 1.

    The company manages projects across their lifecycle, from site sourcing and development, permitting and interconnection, to engineering, construction, commissioning and operation 1. Storage systems are sold to utilities, independent power producers and large energy users, and in 2026 the company extended its activity into AI infrastructure through modular powered-shell data center offerings 13.

    Projects in operation or construction include Cross Trails in Texas, the Calistoga Resiliency Center in California and Stoney Creek in Australia 1. In the second quarter of 2026 the company reported an executed contract for integrated power, storage and software for data centers in Texas, and the acquisition of a development portfolio in Japan 3.

    Segments

    Energy storage (BESS and proprietary technologies)

    This line includes B-VAULT battery systems for short-duration storage, G-VAULT gravity systems for longer-duration storage, and H-VAULT hydrogen or hybrid solutions 1. Sales and licensing of these technologies form the historical base of the business, although the company has said tariff costs on B-VAULT products imported from China affected it 2.

    Owned and operated projects (Asset Vault)

    Through Asset Vault the company develops and operates its own assets, aiming to generate long-term recurring revenue, subject to project financing, permits and offtake contracts 1. As these assets enter operation they could account for a growing share of recurring revenue, although the company notes that project economics depend on cost and timeline estimates that can differ from actual results 13.

    AI data center infrastructure

    The company has begun developing modular powered-shell data center offerings for high-density compute, including artificial intelligence workloads 1. A partnership with Crusoe for a campus in Snyder, Texas, with the initial phase under construction, signals a gradual move into this segment 3.

    Market context

    The utility-scale energy storage market is expanding as electricity demand rises, the shift to intermittent renewable sources continues and attention to grid reliability grows 1. Load growth from data centers and artificial intelligence is among the most cited drivers in reliability-sector publications 1.

    Public policy remains an important factor: tax incentives under the Inflation Reduction Act support storage, but legislative changes and foreign-entity rules could reduce demand or eligibility for some US projects 1. The company has said it cannot guarantee it will realize all anticipated benefits 2.

    Competitive position

    The market is competitive, with pressure coming from battery manufacturers and integrators that are extending into owned projects 1. Price pressure, margins and delivery timelines can be affected by manufacturing scale and the vertical integration of competitors 1.

    In owned projects the company competes with independent power producers, developers and asset owners for sites, interconnection capacity and financing, and in software it competes with providers of control and optimization solutions 1. The sources provided do not name specific competitors with US tickers.

    • Battery manufacturers and storage integrators

      Competitors extending their integration and development activity, referred to generically in the company's sources without naming them.

    • Independent power producers and developers

      Competitors for sites, grid interconnection, offtake agreements and financing of owned projects.

    • Energy software providers

      Competitors in control, optimization and asset management, where the company offers the VaultOS platform and related tools.

    • Original equipment manufacturers and integrators

      Competitors offering integrated software and control solutions, particularly in services and operations.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    • Current report22 Sept 2026
      Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report20 Aug 2026
      Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report11 Aug 2026
    • Current report11 Aug 2026
      Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report17 Jul 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report01 Jul 2026
      Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Item 3.02 · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report01 Jun 2026
      Shareholder vote · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report19 May 2026
    • Current report07 May 2026
      Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report05 May 2026
      Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. · 18 Mar 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. · 11 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. · 11 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.