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olivLaw · US equity research

SES AI Corp SES

Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies · SIC 3690 · Vertical: Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies (SIC 3690)

0.78USD+2.85% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

SES AI develops and makes AI-enhanced Li-Metal and Li-ion batteries for energy storage, drones, urban air mobility and electric vehicles. The company pivoted from EVs toward energy storage and drones, and its fiscal 2025 revenue was 21.0 mn USD, while 2026 guidance is 30 to 35 mn USD.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, SES AI Corp (SES) stock was 0.78 USD (+2.85% on the day), with market capitalisation 286.4 m USD, beta 2.09, 52-week range 0.50–2.57 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 5.1 m USD (+43.8% YoY), net income of -17.9 m USD, diluted EPS -0.05 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
286.4 m USD
shares as of 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.20 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-25.70%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
2.09
Volatility (1y) 114%
52-week range
0.502.57

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
52.9
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
0.59 – 0.97
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.52 · band width 48.9%
SMA 50 / 200
0.66 / 1.04
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.03 / 0.03
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−6.3%−1.1%−5.2 pp—
3 months+53.4%−0.5%+53.8 pp—
6 months−20.2%+4.4%−24.6 pp—
Year to date−56.5%+12.3%−68.8 pp—
1 year−62.3%+13.5%−75.9 pp−59.3%
3 years−62.1%+76.4%−138.6 pp−43.2%
5 years−92.5%+63.7%−156.2 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−80.5%
22 Jan 2026 → 02 Sept 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−97.6%
16 Nov 2021 → 15 Nov 2024
Compound annual growth (5y)
−40.5%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
5.1 m USD
+43.8% YoY
Net income
-17.9 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.05
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-353.0% / -378.5%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue——5.8 m3.5 m7.1 m4.6 m6.7 m5.1 m
Cost of revenue——1.2 m927.0 k3.5 m4.0 m5.5 m3.9 m
Gross profit——4.6 m2.6 m3.6 m514.0 k1.2 m1.1 m
Research & development24.4 m20.9 m20.5 m19.1 m15.6 m11.8 m11.0 m11.4 m
Operating income-34.2 m-29.1 m-23.3 m-23.0 m-18.6 m-17.7 m-17.9 m-19.2 m
Depreciation & amortisation2.2 m ≈2.4 m2.5 m2.5 m ≈2.6 m ≈2.6 m2.7 m2.7 m ≈
Pre-tax income-30.0 m-34.8 m-12.4 m-22.0 m-21.0 m-17.4 m-11.7 m-17.8 m
Income tax138.0 k-243.0 k4.0 k668.0 k-108.0 k-333.0 k414.0 k132.0 k
Net income-30.2 m-34.5 m-12.4 m-22.7 m-20.9 m-17.0 m-12.1 m-17.9 m
Diluted EPS-0.09-0.11 ≈-0.04-0.07-0.06-0.05 ≈-0.04-0.05
Operating cash flow-22.7 m ≈-12.3 m-22.8 m-10.8 m ≈-14.3 m ≈-10.4 m-19.8 m-13.8 m ≈
Capex1.5 m ≈233.0 k916.0 k804.0 k ≈426.0 k ≈712.0 k330.0 k656.0 k ≈
Share repurchases—————0——

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year202020212022202320242025
Revenueunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable2.0 m21.0 m
Revenue YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable+929.4%
Net income-13.9 m-31.3 m-51.0 m-53.4 m-100.2 m-73.0 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS-0.23-0.51-0.18-0.17-0.31-0.22
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable-4,911.0%-347.8%
Free cash flow-12.0 m-38.9 m-61.2 m-72.2 m-78.3 m-61.2 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
29.5 m USD
Financial debt
830.0 k USD
Net debt
-28.7 m USD
Equity
214.8 m USD
Total assets
272.6 m USD
Debt / equity
0.00x
Current ratio
8.95x
ROE
-29.6%
ROA
-24.2%
FCF margin
-291.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
—
2024
2.0 m
2025
21.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
—
2024
752.0 k
2025
9.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
—
2024
1.3 m
2025
11.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Research & development
2023
30.7 m
2024
72.1 m
2025
67.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-78.2 m
2024
-109.2 m
2025
-82.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
5.5 m
2024
8.3 m
2025
10.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-72.6 m ≈
2024
-100.9 m ≈
2025
-72.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2023
-54.3 m
2024
-100.0 m
2025
-72.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-853.0 k
2024
188.0 k
2025
231.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-53.4 m
2024
-100.2 m
2025
-73.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.17
2024
-0.31
2025
-0.22

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
315.1 m
2024
321.8 m
2025
330.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
85.7 m
2024
128.8 m
2025
29.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
—
2024
950.0 k
2025
4.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
558.0 k
2024
212.0 k
2025
5.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
348.6 m
2024
276.9 m
2025
216.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
38.0 m
2024
38.2 m
2025
28.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
—
2024
0
2025
13.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
1.3 m
2024
1.2 m
2025
2.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
406.8 m
2024
329.8 m
2025
272.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
4.8 m
2024
1.9 m
2025
5.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
830.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
20.4 m
2024
22.8 m
2025
24.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
47.9 m
2024
51.5 m
2025
57.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
359.0 m
2024
278.3 m
2025
214.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-56.4 m
2024
-66.1 m
2025
-58.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
15.8 m
2024
12.2 m
2025
2.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-72.2 m ≈
2024
-78.3 m ≈
2025
-61.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
32.7 m
2024
108.2 m
2025
-39.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
3.3 m
2024
1.0 m
2025
-2.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
—
2024
—
2025
1.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
929.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
27.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
-267.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-312.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-289.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-257.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-31.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-25.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
-50.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
-35.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
-63.7 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
Debt / equity
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
6.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
2.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-58.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
2.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-60.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
84 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
82 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
286.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
222.7 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-25.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
12.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
9.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-21.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 26 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

0.78 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 286.4 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
286.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
ROE
-31.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-289.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
929.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 11 Aug 2026
verified 712derived 54

Score by group

  • Balance sheet100
  • Valuation8
  • Quality4
  • Growth97
  • Returns43

Estimated value range

Low
0.23
USD per share
Mid
0.27
USD per share
High
0.34
USD per share
Price: 0.78 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -65.0% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -186.0% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 0.23 – 0.34 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/Sales0.23 – 0.34 (Mid 0.27)
    16 companies used · median multiple 1.6x · quartiles 0.8x – 2.6x
    ATKR, CHPT, DFLI, ELVA, ENR, ENS, EOSE, EPOW, GAUZ, MVST, NOVT, NRGV, SPB, UCAR, ULBI, XPON
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies (SIC 3690)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 26/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality27.8%0 (on a fixed band)14%
EBIT margin · Quality-312.8%12 (vs peers)11%
FCF margin · Quality-257.7%0 (on a fixed band)11%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth929.4%97 (vs peers)11%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet6.5x100 (on a fixed band)8%
EV/Sales · Valuation9.5x14 (vs peers)22%
FCF yield · Valuation-21.1%0 (on a fixed band)17%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.6%43 (on a fixed band)6%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial97/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality4/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns43/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation8/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

SES AI Corporation (SES). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 21.0 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 929.4%; net margin -289.6%; ROE -31.2%.

The estimated value range is 0.23–0.34 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 0.27 USD, the price of 0.78 USD leaves a potential of -65.0% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -186.0% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 26/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance, growth. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue growth (YoY): 929.4%
  • Current ratio: 6.5x

What contradicts it

  • Gross margin: 27.8%
  • EBIT margin: -312.8%
  • FCF margin: -257.7%
  • EV/Sales: 9.5x
  • FCF yield: -21.1%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Revenue CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies (SIC 3690) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 38 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 21.3x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 11.5x
P/S
12.2x
vertical median 1.3x
above median (+873.3%)
P/B
1.5x
vertical median 1.8x
below median (−12.8%)
ROE
-31.2%
vertical median -62.0%
above median
Net margin
-289.6%
vertical median -51.4%
below median
EBIT margin
-312.8%
vertical median -41.2%
below median
Revenue YoY
929.4%
vertical median 5.8%
above median (+15,810.5%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 1.2x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.7%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ENSEnerSys5.6 bn16.718.4%9.3%+3.7%+9% / +76%
NOVTNovanta Inc.5.5 bn92.85.1%6.0%+3.3%+28% / +1%
ATKRAtkore Inc.3.2 bn—-11.9%-5.5%−11.0%+37% / −24%
SPBSpectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.2.1 bn28.04.2%2.8%−5.2%+54% / +32%
NVXNOVONIX Ltd1.9 bn—-62.0%-1,650.8%−4.1%−81% / −88%
ENREnergizer Holdings, Inc.1.7 bn21.342.2%2.7%+2.3%+38% / −18%
AMPXAmprius Technologies, Inc.1.2 bn—-36.1%-33.4%+202.1%−25% / +106%
EMATEvolution Metals & Technologies Corp.1.2 bn———unavailableunavailable / unavailable
EOSEEos Energy Enterprises, Inc.779.3 m——-246.8%+631.8%−86% / +95%
ENVXEnovix Corporation612.3 m—-82.2%-473.9%+37.9%−64% / −75%
NRGVEnergy Vault Holdings, Inc.578.2 m—-225.9%-48.6%+340.9%−8% / +38%
SLDPSolid Power, Inc.515.7 m—-20.5%-1,152.2%+8.0%−57% / +60%
FLNCFluence Energy, Inc.312.1 m—-20.7%-3.1%−16.1%−69% / −76%
CHPTChargePoint Holdings, Inc.306.4 m—-1,015.1%-40.6%−1.4%+39% / −69%
SESSES AI Corporation286.4 m—-31.2%-289.6%+929.4%−62% / −62%
ULBIEnerSys260.3 m1.4-4.8%-3.5%+16.2%+175% / +109%
MVSTMicrovast Holdings, Inc.255.7 m—11.4%13.9%+12.6%−81% / −43%
ELVAElectrovaya Inc.173.4 m—-673.8%-3.4%+170.8%+7% / +94%
ELPWElong Power Holding Ltd.145.7 m——-271.3%+430.7%−100% / −100%
NEOVNeoVolta, Inc.134.6 m—-101.1%-161.0%+58.2%−44% / +28%
GAUZGauzy Ltd.127.5 m——-51.4%+32.8%−86% / unavailable
BYRNByrna Technologies Inc.97.4 m—-14.9%-9.2%+37.7%−77% / −29%
EPOWE-Power Inc.88.8 m——-35.8%−28.6%−88% / −87%
BLNKBlink Charging Co.65.4 m—-79.9%-52.2%−18.0%−66% / −86%
STISolidion Technology, Inc.37.8 m—-1,382.4%-23,852.8%unavailable−59% / −99%

1- and 3-year price returns: for SES from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    SES AI develops and makes AI-enhanced Li-Metal and Li-ion batteries for energy storage, drones, urban air mobility and electric vehicles. The company pivoted from EVs toward energy storage and drones, and its fiscal 2025 revenue was 21.0 mn USD 1, while 2026 guidance is 30 to 35 mn USD 3.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The Molecular Universe AI platform and access to proprietary test data give the company a technology edge it highlights 1.
    • A patent and trade secret portfolio protects research and battery technology 1.
    • Liquidity at the end of Q2 2026 gives a funding runway for growth plans 3.

    Weaknesses

    • The company is not profitable and has an accumulated deficit, so reliance on outside funding remains a standing weakness 1.
    • Revenue is small and concentrated among a few customers, so dependence on a limited number of contracts stays high 1.
    • Gross margin fell from the prior year and integrating UZ Energy remains an operational challenge 1.

    Opportunities

    • Sol-Ark certification and distribution agreements could open US residential and commercial markets for UZ Energy 3.
    • Demand for NDAA-compliant cells could grow if the Korea production reaches its planned capacity 3.
    • A first commercial supply agreement for Molecular Universe materials could validate the software and materials model 3.

    Threats

    • Competition in batteries and energy storage is intense, and larger rivals could have superior resources 1.
    • Export control and security compliance processes could slow or complicate expansion 1.
    • Production delays and dependence on third-party partners could affect quality and deliveries 2.

    Risks

    • Persistent net losseshigh

      The company has not reached profitability and expects losses for several years, which could reduce resources available for investment 1.

    • Need for additional capitalhigh

      If sales funding falls short, the company could issue equity, which could dilute existing shareholders 1.

    • Dependence on a few customersmedium

      A small number of customers generate a large share of revenue, and losing a major one could quickly affect sales 1.

    • Integration of UZ Energymedium

      Difficulties integrating UZ Energy's operations, culture and systems could lead to impairments 1.

    • Regulation and compliancemedium

      NDAA requirements, export controls and battery safety rules could raise costs and delay sales 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If US ESS growth through UZ Energy and the Sol-Ark certification turn into contracts, revenue could accelerate faster than expected 3.
    • If NDAA-compliant cell production reaches its planned capacity, the company could capture demand from defense and commercial drone makers 3.
    • If Molecular Universe turns its pipeline into a commercial contract, the software model could improve margins over the long term 2.

    What would break the thesis

    • If net losses stay high and revenue is late, the company could need extra funding on less favorable terms 1.
    • If margins remain below last year's level, revenue guidance could be hard to reach without new contracts 2.
    • If larger rivals expand their software and storage offerings, the company's differentiation could weaken 1.

    What to watch

    • Delivery against 2026 revenue guidance of 30 to 35 mn USD2026
    • Full-capacity start of the NDAA drone cell line in Korea and first cell revenueQ4 2026
    • First commercial supply agreement for Molecular Universe materialssecond half 2026
    • Trend in net loss and operating expenses across quarterly reportsQ3 2026

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    SES AI describes itself as a developer and manufacturer of high-performance, AI-enhanced batteries, with a mission to accelerate the energy transition through material discovery and battery management 1. Its AI platform, Molecular Universe, is used internally and sold as a subscription software product to battery researchers 1. In September 2025 the company completed the acquisition of UZ Energy, an ESS systems maker, to accelerate its entry into energy storage 1.

    Revenue combines product sales, such as ESS systems, drone cells and electrolyte materials, with service revenue from discovering and developing materials for automotive OEMs and other manufacturers 1. In fiscal 2025 service revenue was the larger part, while the 2026 increase came mainly from UZ Energy ESS sales 2.

    Activity is heavily weighted outside the United States: 99% of fiscal 2025 revenue came from outside the US, and three customers accounted for 48%, 15% and 12% of revenue 1. The company is still an early-stage growth company with recurring net losses and no profitable operations to date 1.

    Segments

    Energy storage (ESS)

    The ESS segment, including residential and commercial systems through UZ Energy, has become the company's largest revenue source 3. Certification of UZ batteries for closed-loop compatibility with Sol-Ark inverters and a US distribution agreement could accelerate growth in the United States 3.

    Drones and unmanned systems

    Li-Metal and Li-ion drone cells are produced on an NDAA-compliant line in Korea, with a planned capacity of one million cells per year 3. The company says customer demand from defense and commercial drone makers is strong, with meaningful revenue expected from Q4 2026 3.

    Materials and Molecular Universe

    Materials discovered with Molecular Universe are to be produced through the Hisun joint venture, with supply expected in the second half of 2026 1. The software platform moved to MU-3.0, and a Search-in-a-Box order has already shipped to a large battery maker 3.

    Market context

    The battery market is described as fast-growing and extremely competitive, driven by both large incumbents and new entrants 1. Power demand linked to digital infrastructure and AI is treated as a growth driver for energy storage 1.

    Markets for urban air mobility and drones are still emerging and standards are not yet set, so adoption of the company's technology depends on testing and certification 1. The market for AI scientific discovery tools is also nascent, with uncertain adoption pace 2.

    Trends

    • Power demand from AI and data centerstailwind

      Rising power demand from digital infrastructure could support demand for storage systems, which could directly benefit the ESS segment 1.

    • FCC restrictions on foreign inverterstailwind

      Recent FCC restrictions on foreign-produced inverters and electronics could favor batteries certified for the US market 3.

    • Shift to joint venture manufacturingmixed

      Moving from in-house materials production to partnerships such as Hisun could reduce capital intensity but adds risks of delays and dependence on third parties 2.

    • Lower operating costsmixed

      Headcount and R&D reductions could narrow losses if the cost reduction program delivers its expected effect 3.

    Competitive position

    Competitors are grouped by segment: ESS suppliers such as Fluence Energy and Stem, materials and cell makers such as Solid Power, QuantumScape and Amprius, and AI software providers such as C3.ai 1. The company acknowledges that some rivals have greater resources and strategic ties to automakers 1.

    The company says its edge comes from training AI on its own cells and offering secure on-premises solutions that rivals rarely match 3. That differentiation could become harder to sustain if competitors broaden their offerings 2.

    • Fluence EnergyFLNC

      energy storage systems supplier named as a direct competitor in ESS

    • Stem Inc.STEM

      energy storage and software provider competing in the ESS segment

    • Solid PowerSLDP

      materials and cell maker competing in drone and battery materials

    • C3.aiAI

      AI software provider competing with the Molecular Universe software offering

    News & filings

    In the press

    The latest news item in our archive is from 10 Jun 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 27 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / SES AI Corp · 04 Mar 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / SES AI Corp · 11 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / SES AI Corp · 11 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.