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olivLaw · US equity research

Quanex Building Products Corporation NX

Rolling Drawing & Extruding of Nonferrous Metals · SIC 3350 · Vertical: Primary metal industries (SIC 335x)

22.58USD+7.32% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Quanex Building Products makes components for original equipment manufacturers in the building products industry, notably windows, doors and cabinetry, with operations across North America, the U.K. and continental Europe. The company integrated Tyman plc in 2024, and net sales reached 1.84 bn USD in fiscal 2025, while demand for window replacement remains sensitive to the housing cycle and raw material costs.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Quanex Building Products Corporation (NX) stock was 22.58 USD (+7.32% on the day), with market capitalisation 1.0 bn USD, P/E 22.8 on diluted EPS of 0.99 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.42%, beta 1.55, 52-week range 11.25–22.93 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 501.8 m USD (+1.3% YoY), net income of 26.5 m USD, diluted EPS 0.58 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
1.0 bn USD
shares as of 28 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
22.8
Diluted EPS TTM 0.99 · TTM to 31 Jul 2026
E/P (TTM)
4.38%
TTM to 31 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
1.42%
DPS 12m 0.32
Beta (2y)
1.55
Volatility (1y) 55%
52-week range
11.2522.93

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
65.8
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
17.49 – 22.10
above the upper band · %B 1.10 · band width 23.3%
SMA 50 / 200
19.89 / 19.14
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.55 / 0.23
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+19.4%−1.1%+20.5 pp—
3 months+8.1%−0.5%+8.6 pp—
6 months+12.2%+4.4%+7.8 pp—
Year to date+46.8%+12.3%+34.5 pp—
1 year+71.2%+13.5%+57.6 pp+2.4%
3 years−21.8%+76.4%−98.2 pp+127.6%
5 years+0.0%+63.7%−63.6 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−31.6%
20 Feb 2026 → 05 Jun 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−71.0%
27 Mar 2024 → 20 Nov 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+0.0%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 31 Jul 2026

Revenue
501.8 m USD
+1.3% YoY
Net income
26.5 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
0.58
unavailable YoY
net / operating
5.3% / 9.3%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue492.2 m400.0 m452.5 m495.3 m489.8 m409.1 m462.4 m501.8 m
Cost of revenue375.1 m307.7 m321.1 m357.3 m352.3 m310.6 m344.6 m360.4 m
SG&A86.9 m66.7 m70.3 m71.3 m69.0 m71.4 m74.4 m70.8 m
Operating income2.8 m-7.0 m40.9 m-270.8 m42.9 m2.9 m18.7 m46.5 m
Depreciation & amortisation27.3 m24.7 m19.2 m33.9 m25.6 m24.2 m24.7 m24.1 m
Interest expense17.7 m14.2 m13.9 m14.2 m13.5 m12.4 m12.0 m12.0 m
Income tax-3.6 m-5.1 m6.3 m-8.2 m15.1 m173.0 k3.8 m7.9 m
Net income-13.9 m-14.9 m20.5 m-276.0 m19.6 m-4.1 m3.4 m26.5 m
Diluted EPS-0.29 ≈-0.320.44-6.040.43 ≈-0.090.070.58
Operating cash flow5.5 m-12.5 m28.5 m ≈60.7 m ≈88.3 m-20.2 m18.9 m ≈58.6 m ≈
Capex13.7 m11.6 m14.9 m ≈14.5 m ≈21.6 m11.3 m11.0 m ≈10.7 m ≈
Dividends paid4.0 m3.8 m3.7 m ≈3.7 m ≈3.7 m3.6 m3.6 m ≈3.6 m ≈
Share repurchases03.7 m23.5 m ≈2.1 m ≈3.1 m00 ≈1.7 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 71 percentile of its own 28-quarter history (min 8.3, median 15.5, max 493.8; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue889.8 m893.8 m851.6 m1.1 bn1.2 bn1.1 bn1.3 bn1.8 bn
Revenue YoY+2.7%+0.5%−4.7%+25.9%+13.9%−7.4%+13.0%+43.8%
Net income26.6 m-46.7 m38.5 m57.0 m88.3 m82.5 m33.1 m-250.8 m
Net income YoY+42.1%−276.0%unavailable+48.0%+55.0%−6.6%−59.9%−858.7%
Diluted EPS0.76-1.421.171.702.662.500.90-5.43
Diluted EPS YoY+40.7%−286.8%unavailable+45.3%+56.5%−6.0%−64.0%−703.3%
net %3.0%-5.2%4.5%5.3%7.2%7.3%2.6%-13.6%
Free cash flow78.1 m71.5 m75.1 m54.6 m64.8 m109.7 m51.7 m102.3 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Oct 2025

Cash
76.0 m USD
Financial debt
27.6 m USD
Net debt
-48.5 m USD
Equity
726.2 m USD
Total assets
2.0 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.04x
Current ratio
2.04x
ROE
-28.9%
ROA
-11.7%
FCF margin
5.6%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Dec 2025verified

Cost of revenue
2023
853.1 m
2024
972.2 m
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Dec 2025verified

Gross profit
2023
277.5 m ≈
2024
305.6 m ≈
2025
499.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Dec 2025derived

SG&A
2023
124.0 m
2024
190.5 m
2025
277.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Dec 2025verified

Operating income
2023
110.7 m
2024
54.8 m
2025
-194.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Dec 2025verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
42.9 m
2024
60.3 m
2025
103.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Dec 2025verified

EBITDA
2023
153.6 m ≈
2024
115.2 m ≈
2025
-90.5 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Dec 2025derived

Interest expense
2023
8.1 m
2024
20.6 m
2025
55.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Dec 2025verified

Pre-tax income
2023
97.0 m
2024
42.1 m
2025
-242.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Dec 2025verified

Income tax
2023
14.5 m
2024
9.0 m
2025
8.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Dec 2025verified

Net income
2023
82.5 m
2024
33.1 m
2025
-250.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Dec 2025verified

Diluted EPS
2023
2.50
2024
0.90
2025
-5.43

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Dec 2025verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
33.0 m
2024
36.6 m
2025
46.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Dec 2025verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.32
2024
0.32
2025
0.32

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Dec 2025verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
58.5 m
2024
97.7 m
2025
76.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Dec 2025verified

Receivables
2023
97.3 m
2024
197.7 m
2025
205.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Dec 2025verified

Inventories
2023
98.0 m
2024
275.6 m
2025
254.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Dec 2025verified

Current assets
2023
273.6 m
2024
611.3 m
2025
573.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Dec 2025verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
250.7 m
2024
402.5 m
2025
411.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Dec 2025verified

Goodwill
2023
183.0 m
2024
574.7 m
2025
271.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Dec 2025verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
74.1 m
2024
597.9 m
2025
549.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Dec 2025verified

Total assets
2023
831.1 m
2024
2.3 bn
2025
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Dec 2025verified

Accounts payable
2023
74.4 m
2024
124.4 m
2025
131.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Dec 2025verified

Short-term debt
2023
2.4 m
2024
25.7 m
2025
27.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Dec 2025verified

Current liabilities
2023
134.7 m
2024
272.9 m
2025
281.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Dec 2025verified

Total liabilities
2023
285.6 m
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Dec 2025verified

Equity
2023
545.6 m †
2024
1.0 bn †
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Sept 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
147.1 m
2024
88.8 m
2025
164.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Dec 2025verified

Capex
2023
37.4 m
2024
37.1 m
2025
62.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Dec 2025verified

Free cash flow
2023
109.7 m ≈
2024
51.7 m ≈
2025
102.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Dec 2025derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-128.4 m
2024
-420.6 m
2025
-62.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Dec 2025verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-16.2 m
2024
385.2 m
2025
-127.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Dec 2025verified

Dividends paid
2023
10.6 m
2024
12.0 m
2025
14.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Dec 2025verified

Share repurchases
2023
5.6 m
2024
0
2025
32.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Dec 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
43.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
14.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
16.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-453.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-858.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-703.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
97.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
26.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
EBITDA margin
11.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
EBIT margin
6.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Net margin
2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
FCF margin
4.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026

Returns

ROE
6.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
ROA
2.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
ROIC
29.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
ROCE
6.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
32.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
16.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
-35.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Debt / equity
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Interest coverage
2.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Quick ratio
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Cash ratio
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
145.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Capital expenditure
54.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Free cash flow
90.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
FCF conversion
200.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Cash conversion
69.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
41 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Days inventory outstanding
73 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Days payables outstanding
34 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Cash conversion cycle
80 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
1.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Enterprise value
999.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
22.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
22.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Earnings yield
4.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
P/B
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
P/S
0.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
4.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
EV/EBIT
9.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
EV/Sales
0.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
P/FCF
11.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
FCF yield
8.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Dividend yield
1.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
1.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026

Risk

Altman Z
1.97
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 69 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

22.58 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 1.0 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
1.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
22.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
P/B
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
EV/EBITDA
4.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
ROE
6.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Jul 2026
Net margin
2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
43.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Jul 2026

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 31 Jul 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Jul 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 28 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Sept 2026
verified 2761derived 152

Score by group

  • Balance sheet53
  • Valuation75
  • Quality69
  • Growth100
  • Returns56

Estimated value range

Low
15.20
USD per share
Mid
26.94
USD per share
High
44.12
USD per share
Price: 22.58 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: 19.3% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 16.2% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 4 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 4.21 – 74.33 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)48.68 – 74.33 (Mid 58.65)
    WACC 9.2% · starting FCFF 132.7 m USD · terminal value share of EV 74%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): -25.3%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA22.17 – 49.20 (Mid 35.29)
    4 companies used · median multiple 7.5x · quartiles 4.7x – 10.6x
    APWC, BDC, KALU, MLI
  • Peers: P/E8.24 – 39.04 (Mid 18.59)
    8 companies used · median multiple 18.8x · quartiles 8.3x – 39.4x
    APWC, BDC, GLW, HWM, KALU, MLI, OCC, TG
  • Dividend discount (DDM)4.21 – 5.66 (Mid 4.82)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Primary metal industries (SIC 335x)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 69/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality29.0%83 (vs peers)11%
Net margin · Quality2.4%14 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality200.2%100 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth14.6%100 (on a fixed band)9%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-0.2x60 (vs peers)11%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet2.2x11 (on a fixed band)7%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.2x100 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation22.8x50 (vs peers)11%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation4.8x80 (vs peers)11%
FCF yield · Valuation8.8%100 (on a fixed band)9%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns1.9%27 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns16.0%100 (on a fixed band)5%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet53/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality69/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns56/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation75/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

QUANEX BUILDING PRODUCTS CORPORATION (NX). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-07-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.8 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 43.8%; net margin 2.4%; ROE 6.2%; net debt/EBITDA -0.2x.

The estimated value range is 15.20–44.12 USD per share (median of 4 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 26.94 USD, the price of 22.58 USD leaves a potential of 19.3% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 16.2% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 69/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 29.0%
  • FCF conversion: 200.2%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 14.6%
  • Current ratio: 2.2x
  • EV/EBITDA: 4.8x
  • FCF yield: 8.8%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 16.0%

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: 2.4%
  • Interest coverage: 2.2x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 1.9%
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EPS CAGR 3Y.

Versus the vertical median

Primary metal industries (SIC 335x) · same industry group (3-digit SIC) · compared with 8 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
22.8x
vertical median 18.8x
above median (+21.5%)
EV/EBITDA
4.8x
vertical median 9.2x
below median (−48.3%)
P/S
0.6x
vertical median 1.3x
below median (−57.7%)
P/B
1.4x
vertical median 3.2x
below median (−56.5%)
ROE
6.2%
vertical median 16.4%
below median (−62.2%)
Net margin
2.4%
vertical median 5.6%
below median (−56.7%)
EBIT margin
6.0%
vertical median 9.0%
below median (−33.7%)
Revenue YoY
43.8%
vertical median 11.0%
above median (+296.8%)
Net debt/EBITDA
-0.2x
vertical median 1.3x
below median (−113.2%)
Dividend yield
1.4%
vertical median 0.9%
above median (+50.3%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
GLWCorning Inc102.3 bn48.117.1%12.1%+19.1%+41% / +317%
HWMHowmet Aerospace Inc.84.9 bn41.837.7%21.1%+11.1%+4% / +306%
MLIMueller Industries, Inc12.0 bn13.926.2%17.3%+10.9%+0% / +166%
BDCBelden Inc.4.1 bn23.613.4%5.6%+10.3%−7% / +58%
KALUKaiser Aluminum Corporation1.8 bn8.624.5%4.8%+11.5%+15% / +89%
NXQuanex Building Products Corporation1.0 bn22.86.2%2.4%+43.8%+71% / −22%
TGTredegar Corporation254.4 m7.615.8%—+16.1%−7% / +55%
OCCOptical Cable Corporation99.1 m38.615.6%3.1%+9.5%+38% / +329%
APWCAsia Pacific Wire & Cable Corporation Limited23.1 m6.62.2%0.7%+11.0%−34% / −17%

1- and 3-year price returns: for NX from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
14.69
Total return -34% · Per year -34%
25.86
Total return 16% · Per year 16%
38.80
Total return 74% · Per year 74%
3 years
17.30
Total return -19% · Per year -7%
33.96
Total return 56% · Per year 16%
55.48
Total return 153% · Per year 36%
5 years
20.36
Total return -3% · Per year -1%
44.58
Total return 108% · Per year 16%
79.34
Total return 266% · Per year 30%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 8.49
  • Net margin± 5.94
  • Annual revenue growth± 4.45
  • Annual dilution± 0.50

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Quanex Building Products makes components for original equipment manufacturers in the building products industry, notably windows, doors and cabinetry, with operations across North America, the U.K. and continental Europe. The company integrated Tyman plc in 2024, and net sales reached 1.84 bn USD in fiscal 2025, while demand for window replacement remains sensitive to the housing cycle and raw material costs.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company holds a leading position as a component supplier to OEMs, with a broad customer base and capabilities in engineering and new technology development 1.
  • The plant network across North America, the U.K. and Europe, with made-to-order production and low finished goods stocks, supports just-in-time delivery to customers 1.
  • The company has shown the ability to repay debt and generate positive cash flow in recent quarters, which strengthens its financial flexibility 3.

Weaknesses

  • The company recorded a major goodwill impairment in fiscal 2025 and was hit by a margin squeeze from the gap between prices and costs 13.
  • Debt rose after the Tyman acquisition, and the level of indebtedness remains a point of attention for investors 3.
  • A material weakness in internal controls over financial reporting existed and had not been remediated as of the annual report date 1.

Opportunities

  • Synergies between Quanex and Tyman could generate cross-selling and operating savings if the integration continues as planned 13.
  • Stricter energy standards in Europe could support demand for insulating glass spacers and window seals 12.
  • The company intends to use its material science and process engineering expertise to enter adjacent markets, which could diversify revenue 3.

Threats

  • Continued weakness in new construction and residential remodeling could further reduce volumes, especially if consumer confidence does not improve 12.
  • Tariffs and possible trade wars could raise the cost of key raw materials and reduce the company's competitiveness 1.
  • Dependence on a few large customers in some product lines exposes the company to losing important contracts if they vertically integrate 1.

Risks

  • Cyclical construction demandhigh

    Demand depends on residential remodeling and housing starts, which are sensitive to interest rates and consumer confidence. A prolonged decline could affect financial results 1.

  • Raw material costshigh

    The company has no long-term contracts for many raw materials, and prices for PVC, aluminum, steel and wood can fluctuate. If these costs cannot be passed on to customers, margins could fall 13.

  • Leverage and credit covenantsmedium

    Total debt of 672.2 mn USD and covenants in the credit facility limit flexibility. If indebtedness rises or reporting is delayed, the company could breach its credit terms 13.

  • Trade policy and tariffsmedium

    U.S. tariffs and retaliatory measures could increase costs and disrupt supply chains. The company says it expects to pass some of these costs to customers, but this is not assured 12.

  • Internal controls and financial reportingmedium

    A material weakness in controls over the statement of cash flows had not been remediated at the annual report date. If further weaknesses emerge, financial reporting could be affected 1.

  • Goodwill impairmentlow

    The remaining goodwill could be impaired again if future results or the share price fall, which would reduce net worth and reported profit 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If window replacement and housing construction recover faster than forecast, volumes could rise and support another period of margin expansion.
  • The Tyman integration could generate sales and cost synergies, and the group's global presence could reduce its dependence on the U.S. market.
  • Falling debt and positive free cash flow in the third quarter suggest management is focused on reducing leverage, which could strengthen the balance sheet.

What would break the thesis

  • If consumer confidence stays low, the forecast declines in window shipments could materialize and volumes could remain below expectations.
  • Cost pressures from tariffs and Middle East conflicts could exceed the company's ability to pass them on, which could compress margins again.
  • High indebtedness and recent internal control weaknesses could limit access to financing or lead to further accounting corrections if not remediated.

What to watch

  • Fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 results and the trajectory of net debtQ4 2026
  • Progress in remediating the cash flow statement control weaknessnext 10-K
  • Evolution of window shipment forecasts and housing starts2027
  • Impact of U.S. tariffs and freight costs on gross marginQ1 2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Quanex Building Products Corporation, incorporated in Delaware in 2007 and spun off from Quanex Corporation in 2008, manufactures and distributes components for original equipment manufacturers in the building products industry, including window, door, solar, refrigeration, custom mixing, building access and cabinetry markets. Examples include flexible insulating glass spacers, extruded vinyl profiles, window and door screens, and window and door seals and hardware. The company serves a primary customer base in North America and the U.K. and operates in the U.K., Germany, Mexico, Canada and Italy. As of October 31, 2025 it operated 34 manufacturing facilities in the U.S., 7 in the U.K., 3 in Mexico, 2 in Italy, 1 in Germany and 1 in Canada, with 7,071 full-time employees 1.

The acquisition of Tyman plc, completed on August 1, 2024, substantially broadened the group's global footprint and customer base, and the company says it creates significant cross-selling opportunities among complementary customers. Quanex aims to move closer to being a comprehensive solutions provider as a result. In the third quarter of fiscal 2025 the company recorded a goodwill impairment of 302.3 mn USD, driven in significant part by a prolonged decline in its share price and weaker consumer confidence 1.

Demand is seasonal: winter weather reduces volumes in the first half of the fiscal year, while the third and fourth quarters typically see higher activity. The company largely produces to customer specifications, which keeps finished goods inventories low, and its sales backlog stood at 54.1 mn USD on October 31, 2025 1. In the third quarter of fiscal 2026 it reported net sales of 501.8 mn USD and a gross margin of 28.2%, and total debt at July 31, 2026 was 672.2 mn USD 3.

Segments

Hardware Solutions

The Hardware Solutions segment manufactures engineered window and door hardware, screens and other fenestration components, mainly for residential and light-commercial markets. Segment net sales rose to 841.7 mn USD in fiscal 2025, up 97% from the prior year, reflecting the Tyman integration, and most revenue comes from North America 1.

Extruded Solutions

The Extruded Solutions segment supplies insulating glass spacers, vinyl window and door profiles, seals and weatherstripping across North America and Europe. Demand is supported by higher energy-efficiency standards in Europe and government-sponsored retrofit programs, while in the U.S. adoption of high-performance windows supports spacer sales 12.

Custom Solutions

The Custom Solutions segment delivers engineered products in wood, metal and elastomeric materials, including interior building components, specialty access systems and custom-formulated compounds for technical applications. Demand follows construction and remodeling activity as well as industrial investment, giving the segment some diversification beyond fenestration markets 1.

Market context

The primary drivers of Quanex's results are North American residential remodeling and replacement activity and new home construction. Consultant Ducker's November 2025 forecast indicated window shipments in the R&R market could decrease approximately 5.2% in 2025 and 1.9% in 2026 1. A more recent August 2026 forecast expects total window shipments to decrease 4.2% in 2026 and 1.6% in 2027, and NAHB projects roughly 1.3 million housing starts in each of 2026, 2027 and 2028 2.

In Europe, demand is supported by energy-efficiency requirements and EU retrofit directives, which could partly offset weakness in the U.S. market. Inflationary pressures in transport, labor and raw materials such as PVC, aluminum and steel remain a risk, and the company says it seeks to pass tariff-related costs to customers through contractual or pricing mechanisms 13.

Trends

  • Window replacement under pressureheadwind

    Weaker consumer confidence and lower volumes in residential remodeling could limit sales, although demand could recover quickly in an upturn. The company said volumes tracked normal seasonal patterns in the third quarter of fiscal 2026 13.

  • Stricter energy standards in Europetailwind

    Higher European energy-efficiency requirements could favor insulating glass spacers and window seals, particularly in the short and medium term. In the U.S. the government has been reluctant to enforce stricter standards, which limits momentum from that direction 12.

  • Tariffs and geopolitical tensionsheadwind

    U.S. tariffs and possible retaliation could raise the cost of aluminum, wood and other materials, while the conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East have added to freight and energy cost volatility. The company says it is working with suppliers to mitigate the impact 12.

  • Margin recovery and debt reductionmixed

    The company reported improved margins in the third quarter of fiscal 2026 and repaid debt, which could ease financial pressure if the trend holds. Continuation depends on closing the gap between price and cost increases 3.

Competitive position

Quanex's products are sold under highly competitive conditions, where price, quality, delivery performance and the ability to manufacture to customer specifications are the main factors. In North America it competes with metal, vinyl and wood suppliers, hardware makers and the in-house operations of vertically integrated customers. In the U.K. and Europe the market is fragmented, with many component suppliers, some of them larger than Quanex 1.

The company believes it is the largest supplier of wood components to OEMs in the U.S., but it competes with other national and regional businesses. In European hardware and seals, competition comes from established manufacturers, so cost and innovation advantages remain essential to keeping its position 1.

  • Assa Abloy

    Competitor in window and door hardware in North America, the U.K. and Europe, named among primary competitors.

  • Epwin

    Competitor in vinyl profile extrusion in the U.K.

  • Veka

    Competitor in vinyl profiles in the U.K., active across European window markets.

  • Roto

    Competitor in hardware and seals in North America and Europe.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-10-31 · SEC / Quanex Building Products Corporation · 12 Dec 2025
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-07-31 · SEC / Quanex Building Products Corporation · 04 Sept 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Quanex Building Products Corporation · 03 Sept 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.