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olivLaw · US equity research

Signet Jewelers Limited SIG

Retail-Jewelry Stores · SIC 5944 · Vertical: Miscellaneous retail (SIC 594x)

128.40USD+7.99% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Signet Jewelers is the largest specialty jewelry retailer in the US by sales, operating brands such as Kay, Zales and Jared. The company returned to growth in fiscal 2026, and in the second quarter of fiscal 2027 reported same store sales growth of 2.2%.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Signet Jewelers Limited (SIG) stock was 128.40 USD (+7.99% on the day), with market capitalisation 4.9 bn USD, P/E 14.8 on diluted EPS of 8.70 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.07%, beta 1.42, 52-week range 73.94–128.40 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2027): revenue of 1.5 bn USD (−0.5% YoY), net income of 52.1 m USD, diluted EPS 1.33 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
4.9 bn USD
shares as of 04 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
14.8
Diluted EPS TTM 8.70 · TTM to 01 Aug 2026
E/P (TTM)
6.77%
TTM to 01 Aug 2026
Dividend yield
1.07%
DPS 12m 1.37
Beta (2y)
1.42
Volatility (1y) 50%
52-week range
73.94128.40

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
76.4
overbought (≥ 70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
103.78 – 126.26
above the upper band · %B 1.10 · band width 19.5%
SMA 50 / 200
103.46 / 92.45
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
5.15 / 4.75
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+27.3%−1.1%+28.4 pp—
3 months+33.0%−0.5%+33.4 pp—
6 months+46.7%+4.4%+42.3 pp—
Year to date+54.9%+12.3%+42.6 pp—
1 year+31.6%+13.5%+18.0 pp−34.6%
3 years+69.4%+76.4%−7.0 pp+13.5%
5 years+20.6%+63.7%−43.1 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−30.2%
12 Nov 2025 → 18 May 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−57.7%
18 Nov 2021 → 13 Mar 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+3.8%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2027 · 01 Aug 2026

Revenue
1.5 bn USD
−0.5% YoY
Net income
52.1 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
1.33
unavailable YoY
net / operating
3.4% / 5.7%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27Q2 '27
Revenue1.3 bn2.4 bn1.5 bn1.5 bn1.4 bn2.3 bn1.6 bn1.5 bn
Cost of revenue864.1 m1.4 bn942.8 m943.2 m873.0 m1.4 bn997.1 m925.7 m
Gross profit485.3 m1.0 bn598.8 m591.9 m518.8 m985.1 m556.5 m602.4 m
SG&A469.6 m639.2 m526.0 m505.3 m485.3 m656.6 m509.6 m493.6 m
Operating income9.2 m152.6 m48.1 m2.8 m23.9 m318.3 m36.9 m87.5 m
Depreciation & amortisation36.1 m37.6 m37.0 m37.0 m36.9 m36.6 m34.7 m35.1 m
Pre-tax income8.4 m154.1 m45.6 m5.1 m25.2 m322.2 m40.8 m72.9 m
Income tax1.4 m53.5 m12.1 m14.2 m5.2 m72.2 m9.1 m20.8 m
Net income7.0 m100.6 m33.5 m-9.1 m20.0 m250.0 m31.7 m52.1 m
Diluted EPS0.122.31 ≈0.78-0.220.496.10 ≈0.781.33
Operating cash flow-75.4 m ≈780.7 m-175.3 m86.3 m ≈31.0 m ≈736.8 m-144.7 m71.2 m ≈
Capex63.1 m ≈38.6 m36.6 m24.0 m ≈32.5 m ≈60.4 m24.5 m40.4 m ≈
Dividends paid12.9 m ≈12.6 m12.6 m13.2 m ≈13.1 m ≈13.0 m13.0 m13.8 m ≈
Share repurchases66.6 m ≈24.2 m117.4 m32.3 m ≈28.5 m ≈27.0 m82.7 m87.2 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 80 percentile of its own 25-quarter history (min 6.0, median 10.7, max 65.7; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20192020202120222023202420252026
Revenue6.2 bn6.1 bn5.2 bn7.8 bn7.8 bn7.2 bn6.7 bn6.8 bn
Revenue YoY−0.1%−1.8%−14.8%+49.7%+0.2%−8.6%−6.5%+1.6%
Net income-657.4 m105.5 m-15.2 m769.9 m376.7 m810.4 m61.2 m294.4 m
Net income YoY−226.6%unavailable−114.4%unavailable−51.1%+115.1%−92.4%+381.0%
Diluted EPS-12.621.40-0.9412.226.6415.01-0.817.08
Diluted EPS YoY−269.6%unavailable−167.1%unavailable−45.7%+126.1%−105.4%unavailable
net %-10.5%1.7%-0.3%9.8%4.8%11.3%0.9%4.3%
Free cash flow564.2 m419.4 m1.3 bn1.1 bn659.0 m421.4 m437.9 m525.3 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 31 Jan 2026

Cash
874.8 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
2.0 bn USD
Total assets
6.0 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
1.60x
ROE
15.4%
ROA
5.0%
FCF margin
7.7%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
7.2 bn
2025
6.7 bn
2026
6.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
4.3 bn
2025
4.1 bn
2026
4.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
2.8 bn
2025
2.6 bn
2026
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

SG&A
2024
2.2 bn
2025
2.1 bn
2026
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2024
621.5 m
2025
110.7 m
2026
393.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
161.9 m
2025
148.2 m
2026
147.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
783.4 m ≈
2025
258.9 m ≈
2026
540.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2023verified

Pre-tax income
2024
639.8 m
2025
124.2 m
2026
398.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2024
-170.6 m
2025
63.0 m
2026
103.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2024
810.4 m
2025
61.2 m
2026
294.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
15.01
2025
-0.81
2026
7.08

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
54.0 m
2025
44.1 m
2026
41.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Dividend per share
2024
0.92
2025
1.16
2026
1.28

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
1.4 bn
2025
604.0 m
2026
874.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2023verified

Inventories
2024
1.9 bn
2025
1.9 bn
2026
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2024
3.5 bn
2025
2.7 bn
2026
3.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
497.7 m
2025
506.5 m
2026
498.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
754.5 m
2025
482.0 m
2026
428.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
402.8 m
2025
307.2 m
2026
286.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2024
6.8 bn
2025
5.7 bn
2026
6.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
735.1 m
2025
767.0 m
2026
772.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
147.7 m
2025
0
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2025verified

Long-term debt
2024
0
2025
0
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2025verified

Current liabilities
2024
2.0 bn
2025
1.8 bn
2026
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
4.0 bn
2025
3.9 bn
2026
4.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2024
2.2 bn †
2025
1.9 bn †
2026
2.0 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
546.9 m
2025
590.9 m
2026
678.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2024
125.5 m
2025
153.0 m
2026
153.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
421.4 m ≈
2025
437.9 m ≈
2026
525.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-75.8 m
2025
-159.1 m
2026
-157.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
-259.7 m
2025
-1.2 bn
2026
-264.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Dividends paid
2024
39.9 m
2025
48.6 m
2026
51.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2024
139.3 m
2025
138.0 m
2026
205.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
1.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-4.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
5.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
255.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income growth (YoY)
381.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income CAGR 3Y
-7.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
2.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
20.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Profitability

Gross margin
39.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
EBITDA margin
8.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
EBIT margin
6.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Net margin
5.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
FCF margin
7.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026

Returns

ROE
19.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
ROA
6.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
11.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
15.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
9.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Quick ratio
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Cash ratio
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
694.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Capital expenditure
157.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Free cash flow
536.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
FCF conversion
151.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Cash conversion
113.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
173 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Days payables outstanding
49 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
4.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
13.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
14.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Earnings yield
6.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
P/B
2.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
P/S
0.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
9.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
FCF yield
10.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Dividend yield
1.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
5.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 55 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

128.40 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 4.9 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
4.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
14.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
P/B
2.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
19.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Net margin
5.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
1.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
1.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026

Coverage and freshness

35/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 01 Aug 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 01 Aug 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 04 Sept 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 09 Sept 2026
verified 3003derived 210

Score by group

  • Valuation63
  • Returns88
  • Quality75
  • Balance sheet70
  • Growth7

Estimated value range

Low
75.62
USD per share
Mid
108.24
USD per share
High
132.99
USD per share
Price: 128.40 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -15.7% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -18.6% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 75.62 – 132.99 USD.

Methods computed but outside the aggregate range: Dividend discount (DDM) (a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate).

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E75.62 – 132.99 (Mid 108.24)
    6 companies used · median multiple 12.4x · quartiles 8.7x – 15.3x
    ASO, BBW, BNED, DKS, ELA, HERE
  • Dividend discount (DDM)outside the aggregate16.82 – 22.62 (Mid 19.29)
    a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Miscellaneous retail (SIC 594x)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 55/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality5.2%50 (vs peers)10%
FCF conversion · Quality151.6%100 (on a fixed band)10%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-4.6%0 (on a fixed band)13%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth2.2%14 (on a fixed band)13%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.6x70 (on a fixed band)7%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation14.8x33 (vs peers)17%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation10.9%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns5.7%81 (on a fixed band)10%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns9.9%100 (on a fixed band)7%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial70/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth7/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality75/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns88/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation63/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

SIGNET JEWELERS LIMITED (SIG). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-08-01.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 6.8 bn USD in 2026; YoY growth 1.6%; net margin 5.2%; ROE 19.9%.

The estimated value range is 75.62–132.99 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 108.24 USD, the price of 128.40 USD leaves a potential of -15.7% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -18.6% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 55/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 151.6%
  • FCF yield: 10.9%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 5.7%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 9.9%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -4.6%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 2.2%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Miscellaneous retail (SIC 594x) · same industry group (3-digit SIC) · compared with 8 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
14.8x
vertical median 12.4x
above median (+18.6%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 8.4x
P/S
0.7x
vertical median 0.7x
above median (+7.2%)
P/B
2.7x
vertical median 1.6x
above median (+62.9%)
ROE
19.9%
vertical median 13.8%
above median (+44.0%)
Net margin
5.2%
vertical median 5.2%
at median
EBIT margin
6.8%
vertical median 2.5%
above median (+176.8%)
Revenue YoY
1.6%
vertical median 5.0%
below median (−67.5%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.9x
Dividend yield
1.1%
vertical median 3.1%
below median (−66.1%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
SIGSignet Jewelers Limited4.9 bn14.819.9%5.2%+1.6%+32% / +69%
ASOAcademy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.4.2 bn11.318.6%6.4%+2.0%+40% / +33%
BNEDBarnes & Noble Education, Inc.457.9 m20.68.3%1.3%+6.5%+41% / −88%
BBWBuild-A-Bear Workshop Inc388.6 m7.832.8%10.0%+6.7%−41% / +29%
ELAEnvela Corporation303.8 m13.632.4%7.6%+33.6%+1% / +167%
HEREHere Group Limited72.2 m7.79.1%10.6%−76.9%−70% / −22%
PEWGrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.59.9 m—-13.7%-7.0%+3.6%−42% / unavailable
SPWHSportsman’s Warehouse Holdings, Inc.45.4 m—-25.8%-3.9%+1.0%−48% / −76%
DKSDICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc.—15.918.5%4.0%+28.1%−29% / +13%

1- and 3-year price returns: for SIG from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
73.22
Total return -42% · Per year -42%
130.07
Total return 2% · Per year 2%
196.77
Total return 55% · Per year 55%
3 years
58.69
Total return -52% · Per year -22%
118.43
Total return -5% · Per year -2%
198.44
Total return 58% · Per year 17%
5 years
47.04
Total return -60% · Per year -17%
107.84
Total return -11% · Per year -2%
200.12
Total return 62% · Per year 10%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 29.61
  • Net margin± 20.73
  • Annual revenue growth± 18.63
  • Annual dilution± 1.74

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Signet Jewelers is the largest specialty jewelry retailer in the US by sales, operating brands such as Kay, Zales and Jared. The company returned to growth in fiscal 2026, and in the second quarter of fiscal 2027 reported same store sales growth of 2.2% 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A large store network and recognized brands give the company a strong position in the US market 1.
  • Purchasing scale and procurement systems support favorable merchandise prices 1.
  • Financial position has strengthened, with high liquidity and capacity for share repurchases 3.

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on discretionary spending makes sales sensitive to falling consumer confidence 1.
  • Exposure to declining malls limits store traffic 1.
  • Strong seasonality means holiday season results have a disproportionate effect 1.

Opportunities

  • Growth in higher price point sales and expansion into adjacent categories could support margins 1.
  • Modernizing stores and the online experience could attract new customers 1.
  • Tariff refunds and the new credit agreement could improve results 3.

Threats

  • New tariffs could raise sourcing costs if they cannot be passed on to customers 1.
  • Lab-grown diamonds could press average selling prices 1.
  • A deterioration in consumer credit could limit sales 1.

Risks

  • Discretionary spendinghigh

    A fall in consumer confidence or disposable income could reduce sales, particularly in mid-market brands 1.

  • Tariffs and tradehigh

    New tariffs or restrictions on imports from India and Italy could raise costs and reduce margins 1.

  • Precious metal pricesmedium

    Rising gold and diamond prices could compress margins if not passed through to retail prices 1.

  • Customer creditmedium

    Regulatory changes or financing disruptions could affect sales 1.

  • Mall trafficmedium

    Lower mall traffic could reduce sales and leave excess inventory 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the recovery in same store sales holds, the company could continue improving profitability 3.
  • Raised fiscal 2027 guidance suggests management confidence in operating performance 3.
  • Financial strength and the share repurchase program could support shareholder value 3.

What would break the thesis

  • If discretionary spending cools, jewelry sales could decline quickly 1.
  • New tariffs could reduce margins if refunds prove non-recurring 1.
  • Lab-grown diamond competition could lower average selling prices 1.

What to watch

  • Third quarter results and updated guidanceQ3 2027
  • Same store sales trend through the holiday seasonQ4 2027
  • Tariff and refund effects on gross margin2027
  • Customer credit performance under the new agreementnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Signet is a specialty jewelry retailer incorporated in Bermuda, operating both physical stores and online channels. As of January 31, 2026 it had 2,582 retail locations 1. Its Grow Brand Love strategy, launched in fiscal 2026, aims at balanced organic growth and stronger brand loyalty 1.

Guidance for same store sales in fiscal 2027 was raised in September 2026, and the company announced an additional share repurchase program 3. The consumer credit partnership was extended into 2035 3.

Segments

North America

The North America segment includes US brands Kay, Zales, Jared, Diamonds Direct, Banter, Blue Nile and James Allen, plus Peoples in Canada. Kay is the largest specialty jewelry brand in the US by sales, and bridal dominates the segment merchandise mix 1.

International

The International segment operates primarily in the UK and Republic of Ireland under H.Samuel and Ernest Jones, with watches a larger share of sales than in North America 1. It contributes a smaller share of consolidated sales 1.

Other

The Other segment covers diamond sourcing and a diamond polishing factory in Botswana, supporting the supply chain rather than selling to end customers 1.

Market context

Jewelry is a discretionary category sensitive to consumer confidence and disposable income, with strong seasonality around the holiday season 1. The market is fragmented, with competition from specialty jewelers, mass merchandisers and online platforms 1.

Category demand is shaped by natural and lab-grown diamonds, which affects pricing and consumer perception 1. Inflationary pressures from precious metals reach retail prices with a lag 1.

Trends

  • Tariffsmixed

    Tariffs on imports from India, Italy and other countries raised sourcing costs, and the company says it mitigated most of them through alternative sourcing 1. Refunds of previously paid tariffs could support margins in coming quarters 3.

  • Precious metal pricesmixed

    Higher gold prices lifted average selling prices but could compress margins if not passed through to customers 1. Commodity volatility remains an uncertainty 1.

  • Shift to onlineheadwind

    Customers increasingly buy online, and falling mall traffic reduces sales for stores in shopping centers 1. The company is reducing exposure to declining malls 1.

  • Customer creditmixed

    The partnership with Bread Financial was extended to 2035, which could support sales and margins 3. A deterioration in consumer credit or regulatory changes could limit access to financing 1.

Competitive position

Jewelry retailing is highly competitive, with Signet competing against specialty jewelers, department stores, online retailers and direct sellers 1. Stated advantages include brand awareness, customer service and exclusive merchandise 1.

Differentiation rests on customer experience, repair and custom design services, and purchasing scale that supports favorable supplier pricing 1. Lab-grown diamonds could add pricing pressure 1.

  • Specialty jewelry retailers

    Other specialty jewelers in the US compete for the same customers and gift budgets 1.

  • Department stores and mass merchandisers

    General merchandise retailers sell jewelry as part of a broader assortment 1.

  • Online retailers and auction sites

    Online platforms and auction sites compete on price and selection 1.

  • Home shopping and direct sellers

    Direct sellers and television shopping channels serve other customer segments 1.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-01-31 · SEC / Signet Jewelers Limited · 19 Mar 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-08-01 · SEC / Signet Jewelers Limited · 09 Sept 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Signet Jewelers Limited · 09 Sept 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.