olivlawolivlaw

olivLaw · US equity research

Sportsman's Warehouse, Inc. SPWH

Retail-Miscellaneous Shopping Goods Stores · SIC 5940 · Vertical: Miscellaneous retail (SIC 594x)

1.16USD0.00% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Sportsman's Warehouse is an outdoor sporting goods retailer with a store network concentrated in the West and Alaska, pursuing higher same-store sales and omni-channel growth. Its relevance now lies in consumer discretionary pressure, tariff costs and uncertain firearm regulation in Oregon.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Sportsman's Warehouse, Inc. (SPWH) stock was 1.16 USD (+0.00% on the day), with market capitalisation 45.4 m USD, beta 1.70, 52-week range 1.04–2.45 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2027): revenue of 295.6 m USD (+0.6% YoY), net income of -4.4 m USD, diluted EPS -0.11 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
45.4 m USD
shares as of 01 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -1.23 · TTM to 01 Aug 2026
E/P (TTM)
-106.34%
TTM to 01 Aug 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.70
Volatility (1y) 69%
52-week range
1.042.45

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
57.3
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
1.02 – 1.16
above the upper band · %B 1.01 · band width 12.6%
SMA 50 / 200
1.15 / 1.27
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.01 / -0.02
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month0.0%−2.0%+2.0 pp—
3 months−1.7%−2.2%+0.5 pp—
6 months−18.9%+4.3%−23.1 pp—
Year to date−20.5%+10.6%−31.1 pp—
1 year−49.1%+10.5%−59.6 pp−13.5%
3 years−77.6%+73.7%−151.3 pp+29.1%
5 years−93.3%+61.7%−155.0 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−57.6%
04 Dec 2025 → 19 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−94.6%
18 Nov 2021 → 18 Mar 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−41.8%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2027 · 01 Aug 2026

Revenue
295.6 m USD
+0.6% YoY
Net income
-4.4 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.11
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-1.5% / -0.4%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27Q2 '27
Revenue324.3 m340.4 m249.1 m293.9 m331.3 m334.9 m256.1 m295.6 m
Cost of revenue221.2 m236.8 m173.5 m200.0 m222.6 m239.6 m180.3 m199.6 m
Gross profit103.1 m103.6 m75.6 m93.9 m108.7 m95.2 m75.8 m96.0 m
SG&A100.0 m100.0 m95.3 m97.2 m104.5 m96.2 m93.9 m97.1 m
Operating income3.1 m3.6 m-19.6 m-3.2 m4.3 m-18.8 m-18.1 m-1.1 m
Depreciation & amortisation10.0 m10.0 m9.9 m9.9 m9.6 m9.7 m8.6 m8.6 m
Interest expense3.3 m2.9 m3.0 m3.8 m4.1 m3.0 m2.6 m3.3 m
Pre-tax income-202.0 k571.0 k-22.6 m-7.0 m214.0 k-21.8 m-20.8 m-4.4 m
Income tax162.0 k9.3 m-1.3 m97.0 k206.0 k-58.0 k1.0 m-11.0 k
Net income-364.0 k-8.7 m-21.3 m-7.1 m8.0 k-21.7 m-21.8 m-4.4 m
Diluted EPS-0.01-0.23 ≈-0.56-0.180.00-0.56 ≈-0.56-0.11
Operating cash flow-2.5 m ≈52.8 m-60.2 m-26.6 m ≈16.3 m ≈101.8 m-55.4 m-12.1 m ≈
Capex3.6 m ≈3.3 m3.8 m7.4 m ≈7.6 m ≈3.7 m4.2 m3.5 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20152016201720222023202420252026
Revenue639.9 m706.8 m780.0 m1.5 bn1.4 bn1.3 bn1.2 bn1.2 bn
Revenue YoY−0.5%+10.5%+10.4%unavailable−7.1%−8.0%−7.0%+1.0%
Net income13.8 m27.8 m29.7 m108.5 m40.5 m-29.0 m-33.1 m-50.1 m
Net income YoY−36.6%+101.5%+6.8%unavailable−62.6%−171.6%unavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS0.340.660.702.441.00-0.77-0.87-1.30
Diluted EPS YoY−48.5%+94.1%+6.1%unavailable−59.0%−177.0%unavailableunavailable
net %2.2%3.9%3.8%7.2%2.9%-2.3%-2.8%-4.1%
Free cash flowunavailable1.5 m-23.9 m-75.1 m-16.7 m-27.6 m19.6 m8.9 m

Reported results vs expectations

Loading…

Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 31 Jan 2026

Cash
1.7 m USD
Financial debt
44.2 m USD
Net debt
42.5 m USD
Equity
188.6 m USD
Total assets
762.6 m USD
Debt / equity
0.23x
Current ratio
1.36x
ROE
-23.6%
ROA
-6.2%
FCF margin
0.7%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.2 bn
2026
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
904.6 m
2025
827.2 m
2026
835.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
383.4 m
2025
370.5 m
2026
373.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

SG&A
2024
408.8 m
2025
388.7 m
2026
393.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2024
-25.3 m
2025
-18.2 m
2026
-37.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
39.0 m
2025
40.5 m
2026
39.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2024
13.7 m ≈
2025
22.3 m ≈
2026
1.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2024
12.9 m
2025
12.3 m
2026
13.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2024
-38.2 m
2025
-31.1 m
2026
-51.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2024
-9.2 m
2025
1.9 m
2026
-1.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2024
-29.0 m
2025
-33.1 m
2026
-50.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
-0.77
2025
-0.87
2026
-1.30

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
37.5 m
2025
37.8 m
2026
38.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
3.1 m
2025
2.8 m
2026
1.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2024
2.1 m
2025
2.4 m
2026
4.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2024
380.0 m
2025
366.0 m
2026
337.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
194.5 m
2025
167.8 m
2026
133.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
1.5 m
2025
1.5 m
2026
1.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
327.0 k
2025
267.0 k
2026
211.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2024
886.2 m
2025
852.1 m
2026
762.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
56.1 m
2025
64.0 m
2026
44.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
—
2025
0
2026
0

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2024
0
2025
24.1 m
2026
44.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
314.6 m
2025
284.0 m
2026
249.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
621.6 m
2025
616.4 m
2026
574.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2024
264.6 m †
2025
235.7 m †
2026
188.6 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
52.3 m
2025
34.1 m
2026
31.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2024
79.9 m
2025
14.6 m
2026
22.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
-27.6 m ≈
2025
19.6 m ≈
2026
8.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-79.9 m
2025
-14.5 m
2026
-22.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
28.4 m
2025
-20.0 m
2026
-10.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
1.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-4.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
-54.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Profitability

Gross margin
30.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
EBITDA margin
0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
EBIT margin
-2.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Net margin
-3.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
FCF margin
2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026

Returns

ROE
-25.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
ROA
-5.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
ROIC
-12.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
ROCE
-7.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
41.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
15.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Debt / equity
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Interest coverage
-2.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
50.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Capital expenditure
19.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Free cash flow
31.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
1,827.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
1 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
35 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
45.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Enterprise value
87.3 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-106.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
P/B
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
P/S
0.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
EV/EBITDA
31.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
0.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
P/FCF
1.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
FCF yield
69.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 16 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

1.16 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 45.4 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
45.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
EV/EBITDA
31.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
ROE
-25.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Net margin
-3.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
1.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 01 Aug 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 01 Aug 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 01 Sept 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 01 Sept 2026
verified 1593derived 108

Score by group

  • Quality5
  • Growth0
  • Valuation44
  • Balance sheet6

Estimated value range

Low
14.34
USD per share
Mid
18.86
USD per share
High
27.60
USD per share
Price: 1.16 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 1,525.9% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 93.8% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 14.34 – 27.60 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)14.34 – 27.60 (Mid 18.86)
    WACC 7.2% · starting FCFF 42.6 m USD · terminal value share of EV 79%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · insufficient data
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · input data missing
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Miscellaneous retail (SIC 594x)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 16/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-12.4%0 (on a fixed band)16%
Net margin · Quality-3.9%13 (vs peers)10%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-4.8%0 (on a fixed band)13%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet15.1x0 (on a fixed band)16%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-2.6x0 (on a fixed band)10%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.2x31 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuation31.5x0 (on a fixed band)16%
FCF yield · Valuation69.9%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet6/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality5/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation44/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

SPORTSMAN’S WAREHOUSE HOLDINGS, INC. (SPWH). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-08-01.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.2 bn USD in 2026; YoY growth 1.0%; net margin -3.9%; ROE -25.8%; net debt/EBITDA 15.1x.

The estimated value range is 14.34–27.60 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 18.86 USD, the price of 1.16 USD leaves a potential of 1,525.9% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 93.8% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 16/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth, returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF yield: 69.9%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: -12.4%
  • Net margin: -3.9%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -4.8%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 15.1x
  • Interest coverage: -2.6x
  • EV/EBITDA: 31.5x

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, P/E (TTM), Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Miscellaneous retail (SIC 594x) · same industry group (3-digit SIC) · compared with 8 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 13.6x
EV/EBITDA
31.5x
vertical median 7.7x
above median (+307.2%)
P/S
0.0x
vertical median 0.7x
below median (−94.8%)
P/B
0.3x
vertical median 1.9x
below median (−85.5%)
ROE
-25.8%
vertical median 18.5%
below median (−238.9%)
Net margin
-3.9%
vertical median 5.8%
below median (−168.1%)
EBIT margin
-2.8%
vertical median 5.5%
below median (−150.2%)
Revenue YoY
1.0%
vertical median 5.0%
below median (−80.8%)
Net debt/EBITDA
15.1x
vertical median 0.3x
above median (+5,413.6%)
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 3.0%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
SIGSignet Jewelers Limited4.9 bn14.819.9%5.2%+1.6%+28% / +56%
ASOAcademy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.4.2 bn11.318.6%6.4%+2.0%+40% / +33%
BNEDBarnes & Noble Education, Inc.457.9 m20.68.3%1.3%+6.5%+41% / −88%
BBWBuild-A-Bear Workshop Inc388.6 m7.832.8%10.0%+6.7%−41% / +29%
ELAEnvela Corporation303.8 m13.632.4%7.6%+33.6%+1% / +167%
HEREHere Group Limited72.2 m7.79.1%10.6%−76.9%−70% / −22%
PEWGrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.59.9 m—-13.7%-7.0%+3.6%−42% / unavailable
SPWHSportsman’s Warehouse Holdings, Inc.45.4 m—-25.8%-3.9%+1.0%−49% / −78%
DKSDICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc.—15.918.5%4.0%+28.1%−29% / +13%

1- and 3-year price returns: for SPWH from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Sportsman's Warehouse is an outdoor sporting goods retailer with a store network concentrated in the West and Alaska, pursuing higher same-store sales and omni-channel growth. Its relevance now lies in consumer discretionary pressure, tariff costs and uncertain firearm regulation in Oregon.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • A store network concentrated in the West gives local leadership and a lean cost model that allows openings in smaller markets.
    • Specialized staff called outfitters provide advice and support loyalty through a customer-focused buying experience.
    • Locally tailored assortment and vendor relationships allow everyday value pricing and access to exclusive products.

    Weaknesses

    • Impairment losses for unprofitable stores and the planned closure of several locations point to performance problems in some areas.
    • Dependence on firearm and ammunition sales makes the company vulnerable to regulatory changes and falling demand.
    • Concentration of stores in the Western United States exposes the company to that region's economic and weather conditions.

    Opportunities

    • Growing same-store sales through e-commerce and omni-channel improvements could support revenue if the momentum holds.
    • Expanding the higher-margin fishing category could improve profitability if demand continues.
    • Markets without another national specialty retailer could offer room for growth if new store performance holds.

    Threats

    • Higher tariffs and shifts in trade policy could raise purchase costs and pressure margins.
    • Stricter firearm rules, including the Oregon measure, could reduce sales and store traffic.
    • Inflation and high interest rates could reduce consumers' discretionary spending.

    Risks

    • Firearm and ammunition regulationhigh

      Changing federal, state and local laws could restrict sales of key products and raise compliance costs.

    • Oregon situationhigh

      If courts uphold the Oregon regulation, firearm sales in the state could fall substantially, affecting traffic and margins.

    • Tariffs and inventory costsmedium

      Unstable trade policy could raise merchandise costs, and offsets through suppliers or alternative sourcing are not assured.

    • Consumer discretionary spendingmedium

      Inflation, interest rates and fuel costs could reduce store traffic and average ticket value.

    • Store closures and impairmentlow

      Closing unprofitable stores could bring added costs and impairment charges, and the expansion strategy remains uncertain.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If the tailored assortment and specialized service keep attracting customers, the company could regain same-store sales.
    • Inventory reduction and disciplined buying could support margins as demand in core categories stabilizes.
    • A low-cost opening model could allow selective expansion in markets where specialized competition is limited.

    What would break the thesis

    • Dependence on firearms and ammunition could expose the company to new restrictions that cut sales faster than they can be offset.
    • Tariff and inflation pressures could compress gross margins if they cannot be passed on to prices or absorbed by suppliers.
    • Recent impairments and planned closures suggest some locations are unprofitable, which could limit growth.

    What to watch

    • Oregon Supreme Court decision on the firearm ballot measurelate 2026
    • Closure of about five unprofitable storesafter the 2026 holiday season
    • Tariff policy developments and their effect on inventory costsfiscal 2026
    • Same-store sales and store traffic trendsnext quarterly report

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    The company, founded in 1986 as a single store in Midvale, Utah, now operates 147 stores in 32 states, mainly in the Western United States and Alaska 1. Its model combines warehouse-style stores with locally tailored merchandise, specialized staff called 'outfitters' and an e-commerce site, sportsmans.com 1. Management said its strategy focuses on growing same-store sales, improving gross margin and strengthening loyalty and co-branded credit card programs 1.

    The cost structure is described as lean, and the store format allows entry into markets of varied sizes with comparatively small capital outlays 1. In fiscal 2025 the company recorded impairment losses for ten underperforming stores and said it expects to close about five of them after the 2026 holiday season 1. No new store openings are planned for fiscal 2026 1.

    Management noted it has reduced inventory and tightened inventory discipline while keeping growth in key categories a priority 1. The company reports as a single operating and reportable segment that includes both stores and e-commerce 2.

    Segments

    Stores and e-commerce

    Stores and the e-commerce platform are aggregated into one operating and reportable segment 12. In-store sales are the main revenue source, with e-commerce adding sales including buy-online-pickup-in-store 1.

    Consumables and product categories

    Consumables such as ammunition, bait, cleaning supplies and food represented a larger share of unit sales than of dollar sales in fiscal 2025 1. Fishing and firearms categories play an important role in drawing customers into the stores 1.

    Loyalty and credit card program

    The company offers a loyalty program and a co-branded credit card, with points redeemable for in-store credit 1. Management said these programs help attract and retain customers 1.

    Market context

    The company operates in the specialized market for hunting, fishing and shooting sports, where customers seek both products and local advice 1. According to management, approximately 62% of its markets lack another nationally recognized outdoor specialty retailer 1. Consumer behaviour is however shaped by inflation, elevated interest rates and fuel prices, which weigh on discretionary spending 2.

    The market is sensitive to firearm and ammunition regulation, which could shift demand significantly in certain states 1. The company said it bought additional inventory ahead of expected tariff increases 1.

    Trends

    • Tariffs and trade policyheadwind

      Changes in trade policy and higher tariffs could raise inventory costs, especially in hunting, shooting sports and optics, and the ultimate impact is hard to predict 1.

    • Inflation and discretionary spendingheadwind

      Inflation and elevated interest rates have pressured consumers and weighed on sales in recent years, and management expects inflation to keep pressuring gross margins in fiscal 2026 12.

    • Oregon firearm measureheadwind

      A ballot measure in Oregon, now delayed to January 1, 2028, could sharply reduce firearm sales in the state if the state Supreme Court upholds the appeals court ruling 2.

    • Inventory and margin disciplinetailwind

      The company reduced inventory and refocused on fast-turning key products, which could support margins if demand in core categories holds 1.

    Competitive position

    The company competes with specialized retailers and large general merchandise chains that operate bigger stores and have greater purchasing scale 1. Management said it negotiates vendor terms similar to those of larger competitors and that its low-cost model lets it enter smaller markets 1.

    Compared with main rivals, the company points to its smaller stores, low capital cost of opening and locally tailored assortment 1. Pressure persists from large mass retail chains and e-commerce platforms 1.

    • Cabela's (part of Bass Pro Shops)

      Hunting and fishing retailer named as a direct competitor in specialty categories; the sources give no listing details.

    • Dick's Sporting GoodsDKS

      National sporting goods chain with a broad assortment that partly overlaps with the company's range.

    • Big 5 Sporting GoodsBGFV

      Sporting goods retailer with stores in the Western United States, where the company is also present.

    • General merchandise and supercenter retailers

      Large supercenter chains, cited in the source as anchors of shopping centers where the company operates, represent indirect competition for outdoor products.

    News & filings

    In the press

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-01-31 · SEC / Sportsman's Warehouse, Inc. · 31 Mar 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-08-01 · SEC / Sportsman's Warehouse, Inc. · 01 Sept 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.