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olivLaw · US equity research

The TJX Companies, Inc. TJX

Retail-Family Clothing Stores · SIC 5651 · Vertical: Retail-Family Clothing Stores (SIC 5651)

144.76USD+5.18% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

TJX Companies is the largest off-price apparel and home fashions retailer in the United States and worldwide, with over 5,200 stores. Net sales rose 7% to 60.4 billion USD in fiscal 2026. In the second quarter of fiscal 2027 sales grew 5% to 15.2 billion USD, and the company raised its full-year guidance, a development that could support its long-term outlook if the trend holds.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) stock was 144.76 USD (+5.18% on the day), with market capitalisation 159.2 bn USD, P/E 26.8 on diluted EPS of 5.41 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.25%, beta 0.37, 52-week range 122.84–168.41 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2027): revenue of 15.2 bn USD (+5.4% YoY), net income of 1.5 bn USD (+22.3% YoY), diluted EPS 1.36 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
159.2 bn USD
shares as of 21 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
26.8
Diluted EPS TTM 5.41 · TTM to 01 Aug 2026
E/P (TTM)
3.73%
TTM to 01 Aug 2026
Dividend yield
1.25%
DPS 12m 1.81
Beta (2y)
0.37
Volatility (1y) 22%
52-week range
122.84168.41

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
57.7
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
136.45 – 149.09
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.66 · band width 8.9%
SMA 50 / 200
135.74 / 150.96
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
1.08 / 1.63
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+7.7%−1.1%+8.8 pp—
3 months−9.5%−0.5%−9.0 pp—
6 months−6.9%+4.4%−11.3 pp—
Year to date−5.8%+12.3%−18.1 pp—
1 year+1.9%+13.5%−11.6 pp−12.3%
3 years+59.1%+76.4%−17.3 pp+24.2%
5 years+103.3%+63.7%+39.6 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−27.1%
12 Jun 2026 → 16 Sept 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−28.3%
04 Jan 2022 → 11 May 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+15.2%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2027 · 01 Aug 2026

Revenue
15.2 bn USD
+5.4% YoY
Net income
1.5 bn USD
+22.3% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.36
+23.6% YoY
net / operating
10.0% / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27Q2 '27
Revenue14.1 bn16.4 bn13.1 bn14.4 bn15.1 bn17.7 bn14.3 bn15.2 bn
Cost of revenue9.6 bn11.4 bn9.2 bn10.0 bn10.2 bn12.3 bn9.8 bn10.1 bn
SG&A2.7 bn3.1 bn2.5 bn2.8 bn3.0 bn3.1 bn2.8 bn3.1 bn
Depreciation & amortisation266.0 m309.0 m296.0 m308.0 m316.0 m327.0 m336.0 m340.0 m
Pre-tax income1.7 bn1.9 bn1.3 bn1.6 bn1.9 bn2.4 bn1.7 bn2.0 bn
Income tax439.0 m491.0 m310.0 m404.0 m474.0 m617.0 m389.0 m498.0 m
Net income1.3 bn1.4 bn1.0 bn1.2 bn1.4 bn1.8 bn1.3 bn1.5 bn
Diluted EPS1.141.23 ≈0.921.101.281.58 ≈1.191.36
Operating cash flow1.0 bn ≈2.7 bn394.0 m1.8 bn ≈1.5 bn ≈3.2 bn1.1 bn2.2 bn ≈
Capex422.0 m ≈514.0 m497.0 m461.0 m ≈531.0 m ≈468.0 m662.0 m497.0 m ≈
Dividends paid423.0 m ≈422.0 m424.0 m474.0 m ≈473.0 m ≈471.0 m474.0 m531.0 m ≈
Share repurchases593.0 m ≈852.0 m613.0 m531.0 m ≈594.0 m ≈784.0 m604.0 m814.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 63 percentile of its own 43-quarter history (min 10.7, median 24.7, max 1,067.3; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20192020202120222023202420252026
Revenue39.0 bn41.7 bn32.1 bn48.6 bn49.9 bn54.2 bn56.4 bn60.4 bn
Revenue YoY+8.7%+7.0%−23.0%+51.1%+2.9%+8.6%+4.0%+7.1%
Net income3.1 bn3.3 bn90.0 m3.3 bn3.5 bn4.5 bn4.9 bn5.5 bn
Net income YoY+17.3%+6.9%−97.2%+3,547.8%+6.5%+27.9%+8.7%+13.0%
Diluted EPS2.432.670.072.702.973.864.264.87
Diluted EPS YoY+20.3%+9.9%−97.4%+3,757.1%+10.0%+30.0%+10.4%+14.3%
net %7.9%7.8%0.3%6.8%7.0%8.3%8.6%9.1%
Free cash flow3.0 bn2.8 bn4.0 bn2.0 bn2.6 bn4.3 bn4.2 bn4.9 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 31 Jan 2026

Cash
6.2 bn USD
Financial debt
2.9 bn USD
Net debt
-3.4 bn USD
Equity
10.2 bn USD
Total assets
35.8 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.28x
Current ratio
1.14x
ROE
59.1%
ROA
16.3%
FCF margin
8.1%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
54.2 bn
2025
56.4 bn
2026
60.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
38.0 bn
2025
39.1 bn
2026
41.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
16.3 bn ≈
2025
17.2 bn ≈
2026
18.7 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026derived

SG&A
2024
10.5 bn
2025
10.9 bn
2026
11.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
964.0 m
2025
1.1 bn
2026
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Interest expense
2024
82.0 m
2025
78.0 m
2026
79.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2024
6.0 bn
2025
6.5 bn
2026
7.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.6 bn
2026
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2024
4.5 bn
2025
4.9 bn
2026
5.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
3.86
2025
4.26
2026
4.87

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.1 bn
2026
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Dividend per share
2024
1.33
2025
1.50
2026
1.70

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
5.6 bn
2025
5.3 bn
2026
6.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2024
529.0 m
2025
549.0 m
2026
602.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2024
6.0 bn
2025
6.4 bn
2026
7.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2024
12.7 bn
2025
13.0 bn
2026
15.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
6.6 bn
2025
7.3 bn
2026
8.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
95.0 m
2025
94.0 m
2026
96.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2024
29.7 bn
2025
31.7 bn
2026
35.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
3.9 bn
2025
4.3 bn
2026
4.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
0
2025
0
2026
999.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2024
2.9 bn
2025
2.9 bn
2026
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
10.5 bn
2025
11.0 bn
2026
13.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2024
7.3 bn †
2025
8.4 bn †
2026
10.2 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
6.1 bn
2025
6.1 bn
2026
6.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2024
1.7 bn
2025
1.9 bn
2026
2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
4.3 bn ≈
2025
4.2 bn ≈
2026
4.9 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-1.7 bn
2025
-2.5 bn
2026
-2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
-4.2 bn
2025
-3.8 bn
2026
-4.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Dividends paid
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.6 bn
2026
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2024
2.5 bn
2025
2.5 bn
2026
2.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
7.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
6.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
13.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
13.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income CAGR 3Y
16.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Net income CAGR 5Y
127.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EPS growth (YoY)
14.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EPS CAGR 3Y
17.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
EPS CAGR 5Y
133.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
FCF growth (YoY)
17.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Profitability

Gross margin
32.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
9.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
FCF margin
9.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026

Returns

ROE
62.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
ROA
17.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
33.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
33.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
-3.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Quick ratio
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Cash ratio
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
8.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Capital expenditure
2.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Free cash flow
5.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
FCF conversion
96.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
4 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Days inventory outstanding
66 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Days payables outstanding
42 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Cash conversion cycle
27 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
159.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Enterprise value
156.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
26.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
26.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Earnings yield
3.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
P/B
14.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
P/S
2.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
2.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
P/FCF
27.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
FCF yield
3.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Dividend yield
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 57 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

144.76 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 159.2 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
159.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
26.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
P/B
14.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
62.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 01 Aug 2026
Net margin
9.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
7.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 01 Aug 2026

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 01 Aug 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 01 Aug 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 21 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 28 Aug 2026
verified 2745derived 198

Score by group

  • Balance sheet29
  • Growth77
  • Quality76
  • Returns66
  • Valuation28

Estimated value range

Low
43.60
USD per share
Mid
59.35
USD per share
High
72.94
USD per share
Price: 144.76 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -59.0% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -143.9% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 3 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 22.34 – 117.17 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)77.73 – 117.17 (Mid 93.08)
    WACC 9.2% · starting FCFF 5.9 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 73%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 28.2%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E43.60 – 72.94 (Mid 59.35)
    6 companies used · median multiple 11.0x · quartiles 8.1x – 13.5x
    AEO, ANF, BKE, GAP, LE, URBN
  • Dividend discount (DDM)22.34 – 30.04 (Mid 25.63)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Retail-Family Clothing Stores (SIC 5651)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 57/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality9.7%56 (vs peers)10%
FCF conversion · Quality96.9%96 (on a fixed band)10%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth6.5%54 (on a fixed band)13%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth17.9%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.1x29 (on a fixed band)7%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation26.8x14 (vs peers)17%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation3.7%46 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns3.0%43 (on a fixed band)10%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns33.2%100 (on a fixed band)7%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial29/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth77/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality76/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns66/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation28/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-08-01.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 60.4 bn USD in 2026; YoY growth 7.1%; net margin 9.7%; ROE 62.2%.

The estimated value range is 43.60–72.94 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 59.35 USD, the price of 144.76 USD leaves a potential of -59.0% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -143.9% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 57/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 96.9%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 17.9%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 33.2%

What contradicts it

  • Current ratio: 1.1x
  • P/E (TTM): 26.8x
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Retail-Family Clothing Stores (SIC 5651) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 9 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
26.8x
vertical median 11.0x
above median (+142.6%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 6.9x
P/S
2.6x
vertical median 0.6x
above median (+310.1%)
P/B
14.9x
vertical median 2.4x
above median (+514.5%)
ROE
62.2%
vertical median 37.1%
above median (+67.4%)
Net margin
9.7%
vertical median 8.8%
above median (+10.7%)
EBIT margin
—
vertical median 11.0%
Revenue YoY
7.1%
vertical median 4.1%
above median (+73.5%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.4x
Dividend yield
1.3%
vertical median 2.9%
below median (−56.8%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
TJXThe TJX Companies, Inc.159.2 bn26.862.2%9.7%+7.1%+2% / +59%
ROSTRoss Stores, Inc.78.5 bn29.742.6%10.8%+7.7%+39% / +88%
GAPGap, Inc8.3 bn7.133.8%8.1%+1.9%−12% / +18%
URBNUrban Outfitters, Inc.7.9 bn14.320.9%8.8%+11.1%+24% / +157%
ANFAbercrombie & Fitch Co.7.3 bn14.740.5%10.0%+6.4%+75% / +125%
AEOAmerican Eagle Outfitters, Inc.3.6 bn10.920.4%5.9%+4.1%+5% / +12%
BKEBuckle, Inc2.5 bn11.045.8%16.6%+6.6%−15% / +24%
LELands’ End, Inc.301.1 m0.997.9%30.5%+0.7%−35% / +44%
DXLGDestination Xl Group, Inc.27.1 m—-30.6%-8.8%−6.9%−50% / −87%
PLCEThe Children’s Place, Inc.5.4 m——-11.8%−12.8%−97% / −99%

1- and 3-year price returns: for TJX from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
89.08
Total return -37% · Per year -37%
157.34
Total return 10% · Per year 10%
236.79
Total return 65% · Per year 65%
3 years
90.02
Total return -35% · Per year -13%
178.56
Total return 28% · Per year 8%
294.55
Total return 109% · Per year 28%
5 years
90.97
Total return -32% · Per year -7%
202.64
Total return 48% · Per year 8%
366.39
Total return 163% · Per year 21%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 44.64
  • Net margin± 31.25
  • Annual revenue growth± 25.16
  • Annual dilution± 2.63

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

TJX Companies is the largest off-price apparel and home fashions retailer in the United States and worldwide, with over 5,200 stores. Net sales rose 7% to 60.4 billion USD in fiscal 2026 1. In the second quarter of fiscal 2027 sales grew 5% to 15.2 billion USD 2, and the company raised its full-year guidance, a development that could support its long-term outlook if the trend holds.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company is the largest off-price retailer in the United States and worldwide, with a large store network and a broad vendor base 1. Its opportunistic buying model and low cost structure are hard for competitors to replicate 1.
  • Geographic and segment diversification lets some regions offset weakness elsewhere, as the uneven segment results in the second quarter of fiscal 2027 show 3.
  • The ability to return capital to shareholders through buybacks and dividends points to solid cash generation 23.

Weaknesses

  • Marmaxx, the largest U.S. segment, posted very modest comparable sales growth in the second quarter of fiscal 2027, below management's expectations 3.
  • The business model depends on physical stores while consumer e-commerce is growing, and the company's online channel remains small 1.
  • The company relies on sourcing from many countries, which exposes it to tariffs, freight costs and supply chain disruption 1.

Opportunities

  • The planned store expansion and the long-term target of 7,500 stores could widen the revenue base 23.
  • If branded merchandise remains available, the company could attract new customers in the fall and holiday seasons 3.
  • Tariff refunds could bring additional benefits if the administrative and legal processes conclude favorably 2.

Threats

  • Tariffs and uncertain U.S. trade policy could change purchasing costs and affect consumer demand 12.
  • Larger competitors with greater financial resources and more developed e-commerce platforms could gain market share 1.
  • Rapid shifts in consumer preferences could slow inventory turns if the company does not identify them in time 1.

Risks

  • Execution of the buying strategyhigh

    If buyers do not find the right merchandise at the right prices and times, margins and sales could be affected 1.

  • Tariffs and trade policyhigh

    Changes in tariffs and trade agreements could raise import costs and reduce margins, and the final effect remains uncertain 12.

  • Intense competitionmedium

    Competitors with more resources or stronger online channels could win customers in the value segment 1.

  • Reliance on physical storesmedium

    Growth in e-commerce could change customer behavior, and the company's online presence is relatively small 1.

  • Labor costslow

    Rising wages and store staffing costs could reduce operating margins if not offset by higher sales 3.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If comparable sales growth holds in HomeGoods and international segments, the company could keep growing profitability 3.
  • The plan to accelerate store openings could open new sources of long-term growth 3.
  • Consistent capital returns to shareholders point to a strong financial position and internal funding capacity 23.

What would break the thesis

  • If Marmaxx stays on weak growth, the company's largest U.S. segment could hold back overall performance 3.
  • Tariffs and trade uncertainty could compress margins if refunds do not cover costs 2.
  • Rising competition and e-commerce growth could reduce the company's market share over the long term 1.

What to watch

  • Comparable sales trend at MarmaxxQ3 2027
  • Final amounts of IEEPA tariff refunds2027
  • Execution of planned fiscal 2027 share repurchases2027
  • Acceleration of store openings from fiscal 20282028

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

TJX Companies sells apparel, footwear, accessories and home fashions at prices generally 20% to 60% below regular prices at full-price retailers, using opportunistic buying and rapid inventory turns 1. The company runs four main segments, Marmaxx and HomeGoods in the U.S., TJX Canada and TJX International, plus the Sierra business included in Marmaxx 1. The model relies on a large vendor base and a low cost structure, which allows it to keep its price gap to competitors 1.

Market context

The market remains shaped by tariffs, and the U.S. Supreme Court invalidated IEEPA tariffs in February 2026, which could lead to refunds; the company estimates it paid about 490 million USD in such tariffs 2.

Trends

  • Demand for branded merchandise at lower pricestailwind

    Availability of branded, quality merchandise remained excellent, and management said the third quarter started strongly, which could support store traffic in the fall and holiday seasons 3.

  • Rising store labor costsheadwind

    SG&A costs rose as a share of sales in the second quarter of fiscal 2027 because of higher store wage and payroll costs, and this pressure could persist if the labor market stays tight 3.

  • Store network expansionmixed

    The company plans to accelerate store growth to 4% starting in fiscal 2028, which could add sales but also brings investment and execution risk 3.

Competitive position

The company says it competes with local, regional and national retailers across all formats, and some competitors are larger, have greater financial resources or are more advanced in e-commerce 1. Competition centers on brand, fashion, price, quality, selection, shopping experience and store location 1.

If other retailers expand their offerings, online or delivery channels, or adopt new technologies such as artificial intelligence, the company's competitive edge could narrow if it does not respond quickly enough 1.

  • Ross StoresROST

    Off-price retailer named in the company's competitive set of off-price peers.

  • Burlington StoresBURL

    Off-price apparel retailer competing directly in the U.S. lower-price segment.

  • Department and specialty stores

    Full-price department and specialty retailers selling the same product categories at regular prices.

  • Outlet and discount retailers

    Outlet and discount chains competing on price and branded selection.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 24 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 20 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-01-31 · SEC / The TJX Companies, Inc. · 31 Mar 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-08-01 · SEC / The TJX Companies, Inc. · 28 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / The TJX Companies, Inc. · 19 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.