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olivLaw · US equity research

The Wendy's Company WEN

Retail-Eating & Drinking Places · SIC 5810 · Vertical: Retail-Eating & Drinking Places (SIC 5810)

7.65USD+5.23% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

The Wendy's Company operates and franchises hamburger quick-service restaurants in the United States and abroad, ranking third globally by number of restaurants. In 2026 it is in a turnaround after U.S. sales declines, and its new leadership has withdrawn the annual outlook, so its trajectory is closely watched.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, The Wendy's Company (WEN) stock was 7.65 USD (+5.23% on the day), with market capitalisation 1.5 bn USD, P/E 11.6 on diluted EPS of 0.66 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 7.32%, beta 0.52, 52-week range 6.10–9.12 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 570.6 m USD (+1.7% YoY), net income of 32.6 m USD (−40.8% YoY), diluted EPS 0.17 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
1.5 bn USD
shares as of 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
11.6
Diluted EPS TTM 0.66 · TTM to 28 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
8.61%
TTM to 28 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
7.32%
DPS 12m 0.56
Beta (2y)
0.52
Volatility (1y) 61%
52-week range
6.109.12

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
67.9
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
5.77 – 7.55
above the upper band · %B 1.06 · band width 26.7%
SMA 50 / 200
7.03 / 7.36
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.13 / -0.03
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+25.4%−1.1%+26.5 pp—
3 months−4.3%−0.5%−3.8 pp—
6 months+15.0%+4.4%+10.6 pp—
Year to date−8.2%+12.3%−20.5 pp—
1 year−13.9%+13.5%−27.5 pp−16.8%
3 years−60.3%+76.4%−136.7 pp+10.5%
5 years−66.3%+63.7%−130.0 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−33.1%
25 Aug 2026 → 05 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−74.7%
07 Jan 2022 → 05 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−19.6%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 28 Jun 2026

Revenue
570.6 m USD
+1.7% YoY
Net income
32.6 m USD
−40.8% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.17
−41.4% YoY
net / operating
5.7% / 13.9%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue566.7 m574.3 m523.5 m560.9 m549.5 m543.0 m540.6 m570.6 m
Cost of revenue195.6 m195.6 m188.2 m196.5 m204.3 m202.8 m201.0 m207.3 m
Operating income94.7 m96.0 m83.1 m104.3 m92.0 m64.0 m64.9 m79.3 m
Depreciation & amortisation37.0 m33.2 m36.5 m37.0 m38.4 m40.3 m40.6 m38.1 m
Interest expense31.3 m31.1 m31.5 m30.9 m31.5 m32.5 m34.1 m33.9 m
Pre-tax income69.7 m70.5 m54.9 m75.9 m63.2 m33.2 m34.2 m48.6 m
Income tax19.4 m23.0 m15.7 m20.8 m19.0 m6.7 m11.5 m16.0 m
Net income50.2 m47.5 m39.2 m55.1 m44.3 m26.5 m22.7 m32.6 m
Diluted EPS0.250.23 ≈0.190.290.230.14 ≈0.120.17
Operating cash flow141.2 m ≈68.6 m85.4 m60.6 m ≈129.3 m ≈69.3 m59.4 m100.6 m ≈
Capex17.9 m ≈42.0 m17.7 m21.4 m ≈25.0 m ≈37.9 m11.9 m19.6 m ≈
Dividends paid50.8 m ≈51.0 m49.4 m26.8 m ≈26.7 m ≈26.6 m26.6 m26.7 m ≈
Share repurchases25.8 m ≈17.3 m122.8 m63.7 m ≈14.3 m ≈001.9 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 23 percentile of its own 31-quarter history (min 7.0, median 19.8, max 43.0; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20172018201920212022202320242025
Revenue1.2 bn1.6 bn1.7 bn1.7 bn1.9 bn2.2 bn2.2 bn2.2 bn
Revenue YoY−34.6%+30.0%+7.5%unavailable+9.4%+15.0%+3.0%−3.1%
Net income194.0 m460.1 m136.9 m117.8 m200.4 m204.4 m194.4 m165.1 m
Net income YoY+20.4%+137.1%−70.2%unavailable+70.1%+2.0%−4.9%−15.1%
Diluted EPS0.771.880.580.520.890.970.950.85
Diluted EPS YoY+57.1%+144.2%−69.1%unavailable+71.2%+9.0%−2.1%−10.5%
net %15.9%28.9%8.0%6.8%10.6%9.4%8.7%7.6%
Free cash flow157.1 m154.4 m214.5 m215.4 m267.8 m260.4 m260.9 m242.6 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 28 Dec 2025

Cash
300.8 m USD
Financial debt
2.8 bn USD
Net debt
2.5 bn USD
Equity
117.4 m USD
Total assets
5.0 bn USD
Debt / equity
23.51x
Current ratio
1.76x
ROE
87.6%
ROA
3.3%
FCF margin
11.1%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
2.2 bn
2024
2.2 bn
2025
2.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
794.5 m
2024
783.2 m
2025
791.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
1.4 bn ≈
2024
1.5 bn ≈
2025
1.4 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026derived

Operating income
2023
382.0 m
2024
371.4 m
2025
343.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
135.8 m
2024
143.2 m
2025
152.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
517.8 m ≈
2024
514.6 m ≈
2025
495.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
124.1 m
2024
123.9 m
2025
126.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
279.4 m
2024
272.4 m
2025
227.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
75.0 m
2024
78.1 m
2025
62.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
204.4 m
2024
194.4 m
2025
165.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.97
2024
0.95
2025
0.85

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
211.5 m
2024
205.6 m
2025
194.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.00
2024
1.00
2025
0.67

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
516.0 m
2024
450.5 m
2025
300.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
104.8 m
2024
86.8 m
2025
105.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
6.7 m
2024
6.5 m
2025
7.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
837.7 m
2024
736.1 m
2025
618.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
891.1 m
2024
907.8 m
2025
937.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
773.7 m
2024
771.5 m
2025
774.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
5.2 bn
2024
5.0 bn
2025
5.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
27.4 m
2024
28.5 m
2025
30.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
29.3 m
2024
78.2 m
2025
29.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
2.7 bn
2024
2.7 bn
2025
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
381.9 m
2024
397.6 m
2025
351.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
4.9 bn
2024
4.8 bn
2025
4.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
309.8 m †
2024
259.4 m †
2025
117.4 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
345.4 m
2024
355.3 m
2025
344.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
85.0 m
2024
94.4 m
2025
101.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
260.4 m ≈
2024
260.9 m ≈
2025
242.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-86.5 m
2024
-129.3 m
2025
-150.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-504.3 m
2024
-303.1 m
2025
-344.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
209.3 m
2024
204.4 m
2025
129.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
189.6 m
2024
77.4 m
2025
200.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 23 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-3.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
4.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
-7.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-15.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-6.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
-10.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-1.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
-7.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
63.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
20.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
13.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026
Net margin
5.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026
FCF margin
12.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
108.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
ROA
2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
ROIC
8.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
ROCE
6.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
85.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
40.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
2.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
5.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
22.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
2.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
1.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 28 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
358.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
94.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
264.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
209.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
78.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
3 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
11 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
1.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
3.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
11.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
11.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
8.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026
P/B
12.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
P/S
0.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
8.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
12.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
1.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
P/FCF
5.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
FCF yield
18.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
7.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
8.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Jun 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 60 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

7.65 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 1.5 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
1.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
11.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026
P/B
12.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
8.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
ROE
108.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 28 Jun 2026
Net margin
5.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-3.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
7.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 28 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 28 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 28 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 07 Aug 2026
verified 2626derived 142

Score by group

  • Balance sheet22
  • Growth20
  • Quality73
  • Returns100
  • Valuation86

Estimated value range

Low
28.61
USD per share
Mid
41.01
USD per share
High
43.94
USD per share
Price: 7.65 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 436.0% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 81.3% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: medium · 3 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 8.80 – 87.51 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)28.61 – 87.51 (Mid 45.40)
    WACC 6.0% · starting FCFF 357.1 m USD · terminal value share of EV 85%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · not enough peers
  • Peers: P/E32.68 – 43.94 (Mid 41.01)
    4 companies used · median multiple 62.2x · quartiles 49.6x – 66.7x
    BROS, CHA, SBUX, SHAK
  • Dividend discount (DDM)8.80 – 11.84 (Mid 10.10)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Retail-Eating & Drinking Places (SIC 5810)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 60/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality8.3%48 (on a fixed band)10%
Net margin · Quality5.7%86 (vs peers)6%
FCF conversion · Quality209.6%100 (on a fixed band)6%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth4.7%39 (on a fixed band)8%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-1.5%0 (on a fixed band)8%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet5.3x0 (on a fixed band)10%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet2.3x12 (on a fixed band)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.9x91 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation11.6x100 (vs peers)10%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation8.4x60 (on a fixed band)10%
FCF yield · Valuation18.1%100 (on a fixed band)8%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns8.4%100 (on a fixed band)6%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns40.4%100 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet22/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth20/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality73/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation86/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

Wendy's Co (WEN). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-28.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 2.2 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -3.1%; net margin 5.7%; ROE 108.0%; net debt/EBITDA 5.3x.

The estimated value range is 28.61–43.94 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: medium); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 41.01 USD, the price of 7.65 USD leaves a potential of 436.0% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 81.3% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 60/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 5.7%
  • FCF conversion: 209.6%
  • Current ratio: 1.9x
  • P/E (TTM): 11.6x
  • FCF yield: 18.1%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 8.4%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 40.4%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -1.5%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 5.3x
  • Interest coverage: 2.3x

Versus the vertical median

Retail-Eating & Drinking Places (SIC 5810) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 7 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
11.6x
vertical median 63.2x
below median (−81.6%)
EV/EBITDA
8.4x
vertical median —
P/S
0.7x
vertical median 1.9x
below median (−65.9%)
P/B
12.1x
vertical median 2.3x
above median (+421.8%)
ROE
108.0%
vertical median 5.2%
above median (+1,965.4%)
Net margin
5.7%
vertical median 2.6%
above median (+123.5%)
EBIT margin
13.6%
vertical median 3.6%
above median (+281.8%)
Revenue YoY
-3.1%
vertical median 9.1%
below median (−134.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
5.3x
vertical median 0.3x
above median (+1,414.0%)
Dividend yield
7.3%
vertical median 3.3%
above median (+122.9%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
SBUXStarbucks Corporation125.1 bn63.2—5.2%+2.8%+26% / +10%
BROSDutch Bros Inc.6.8 bn61.312.9%4.9%+27.9%−25% / +65%
CHAChagee Holdings Ltd.2.4 bn14.516.0%9.1%unavailable−15% / unavailable
WENWendy's Co1.5 bn11.6108.0%5.7%−3.1%−14% / −60%
CNNECannae Holdings, Inc.792.4 m—-13.3%-38.2%−6.4%+13% / +2%
SDOTSadot Group Inc.7.8 m—-486.7%-24.1%−64.8%−90% / −99%
SHAKShake Shack Inc.—77.27.7%2.6%+15.4%−17% / +20%
BRCBBlack Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.—190.72.8%0.7%+24.5%−52% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for WEN from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
4.55
Total return -35% · Per year -35%
8.04
Total return 13% · Per year 13%
12.10
Total return 67% · Per year 67%
3 years
4.43
Total return -25% · Per year -9%
8.81
Total return 39% · Per year 12%
14.56
Total return 121% · Per year 30%
5 years
4.32
Total return -15% · Per year -3%
9.65
Total return 68% · Per year 11%
17.52
Total return 185% · Per year 23%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 2.20
  • Net margin± 1.54
  • Annual revenue growth± 1.26
  • Annual dilution± 0.13

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

The Wendy's Company operates and franchises hamburger quick-service restaurants in the United States and abroad, ranking third globally by number of restaurants. In 2026 it is in a turnaround after U.S. sales declines, and its new leadership has withdrawn the annual outlook, so its trajectory is closely watched.123

SWOT

Strengths

  • The brand is well known, backed by a large restaurant base and an extensive franchise network in the U.S. and abroad 1.
  • The franchise model brings royalty and rental income that does not depend on operating each restaurant directly 1.
  • The company has a developed digital infrastructure, with apps and loyalty programs that have raised the share of online sales 1.

Weaknesses

  • U.S. same-restaurant sales have repeatedly declined, and customer traffic has stayed below expectations 13.
  • Margins at Company-operated restaurants have narrowed, especially in the U.S., because of higher costs 3.
  • The company withdrew its 2026 outlook and cut its dividend, signaling uncertainty about strategic direction 3.

Opportunities

  • A more attractive menu at a good price and more effective marketing could bring customers back to restaurants 23.
  • International markets, where sales have grown, could support long-term development 3.
  • If the digital experience becomes more seamless, visit frequency could rise and reduce reliance on in-person traffic 2.

Threats

  • Price competition and value menus from rival chains could keep pressuring margins 1.
  • A shift in consumer preferences, such as toward special diets or home-cooked meals, could reduce demand 1.
  • A weak economy and lower consumer incomes could reduce spending on food away from home 1.

Risks

  • Competition and falling traffichigh

    Better-resourced competitors and frequent price cuts could take customers from Wendy's, and lower traffic directly hits royalty revenue 1.

  • Brand trustmedium

    Incidents involving food quality, safety or franchisee conduct could quickly damage the brand's reputation, especially on social media 1.

  • Costs and marginshigh

    Rising commodity and labor costs could reduce margins at Company-operated restaurants, which already happened in 2026 13.

  • Franchisee relationsmedium

    The financial health of franchisees affects restaurant investment and system development, and pressure on their economics could slow growth plans 13.

  • Chinese franchise partnerlow

    The franchise partner in China has had leadership changes, and the agreement can be terminated without liability before December 2026, which could affect international expansion plans 2.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the turnaround plan brings traffic back to U.S. restaurants, royalty income could recover, and the large franchise base could support profitability.
  • Growth in the international system and the high share of digital sales could provide a base for expansion even while the U.S. remains weak.
  • Free cash flow in the first half of 2026 and lower capital spending could give the company flexibility to fund the turnaround.

What would break the thesis

  • If the decline in U.S. same-restaurant sales continues, royalty and Company-operated restaurant revenues could keep falling.
  • Withdrawing the outlook and cutting the dividend show the turnaround plan is still being formed, and results may take time to appear.
  • Cost pressure and price competition could prevent margins at Company-operated restaurants from recovering.

What to watch

  • Quarterly results and trend in U.S. same-restaurant salesQ3 2026
  • Full turnaround plan and new financial outlook2027
  • Decision on the Chinese franchise partner agreementbefore December 12, 2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Revenues come from two main sources: sales at Company-operated restaurants and franchise-related revenues, including royalties, franchise fees, national advertising fund contributions and rents 1. Most U.S. restaurants are run by franchisees, and the company does not sell food or supplies to them 1. Purchasing runs through a co-op, QSCC, which negotiates prices based on total system volume 1.

In the first half of 2026 the new leadership outlined a turnaround with five areas: a quality menu at compelling value, marketing that drives demand, operational excellence, a digital experience that builds frequency, and restaurants as an engine for growth 23. The company withdrew its 2026 financial outlook and reduced its dividend 3.

Segments

Wendy's U.S.

This segment covers operating and franchising restaurants in the U.S., with revenue from Company-operated sales and from royalties, fees and advertising fund collections 1. The decline of recent years is concentrated here: U.S. same-restaurant sales fell in 2025 and kept falling in the second quarter of 2026 13.

Wendy's International

This segment covers restaurants in countries and territories outside the U.S., run directly or by franchisees 1. It is the stronger area: international systemwide sales grew in the first half of 2026, although same-restaurant sales eased slightly 3.

Global Real Estate & Development

This segment manages owned real estate and sites leased to franchisees, includes the share of the TimWen Canadian real estate joint venture, and earns fees from franchisee-to-franchisee transfers 1.

Market context

Wendy's competes in quick-service hamburgers, where it is the second largest U.S. company by traffic and dollar share and the third largest globally 1. The market is intensely competitive, with frequent price discounting and value menus 1. Global systemwide sales fell 3.5% in fiscal 2025 on a constant currency basis, mainly from the U.S. 1.

Competitive pressure also comes from outside restaurants: grocery chains, gas station stores and delivery services sell sandwiches and prepared food 1. The price gap between food prepared at home and restaurant food can shift traffic 1.

Trends

  • Declining U.S. trafficheadwind

    U.S. same-restaurant sales fell in 2025 and in the second quarter of 2026, pointing to pressure on customer traffic 13. If demand recovery is delayed, royalty income could stay under pressure.

  • Digital channelstailwind

    The share of digital sales grew in 2025, showing that apps and loyalty programs matter more for demand 1. If the digital experience improves, visit frequency could rise.

  • Commodity and labor costsheadwind

    Commodity and wage inflation eroded Company-operated restaurant margins in the first half of 2026 3. If menu prices do not offset these costs, margins could remain weak.

  • Restaurant development and refranchisingmixed

    The company opened new restaurants and acquired franchised restaurants in 2025, reflecting system optimization efforts 1. If these investments earn adequate returns, they could support long-term growth.

Competitive position

Wendy's competes with other fast-food chains, supermarkets, gas station stores and delivery services on quality, variety, convenience and price 1. Larger competitors have bigger marketing budgets, which may let them respond better to changing consumer tastes 1.

Rivalry also extends to locations, franchisees and personnel, and hamburger chains increasingly offer quality sandwiches and products for special diets 1. Wendy's differentiates with made-to-order square hamburgers and a diverse menu 1.

  • Hamburger fast-food chains

    Rivals in the same category that use price promotions and value menus, as described in the competition section of the annual report 1.

  • Quality sandwich restaurant chains

    Restaurants offering sandwiches made with fresh ingredients and artisan bread, competing on quality 1.

  • Supermarket chains with prepared food

    Grocery chains selling deli sandwiches and ready meals, including takeout options 1.

  • Delivery platforms and gas station stores

    Food delivery providers and gas station retail outlets selling prepared foods that compete for the same purchase 1.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

  • Current report17 Aug 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers
  • Quarterly report07 Aug 2026
  • Current report07 Aug 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report28 Jul 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers
  • Current report23 Jun 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report09 Jun 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers
  • Current report22 May 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Shareholder vote · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report20 May 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report08 May 2026
  • Current report08 May 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-28 · SEC / The Wendy's Company · 23 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-28 · SEC / The Wendy's Company · 07 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / The Wendy's Company · 07 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.