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olivLaw · US equity research

Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. AD

Radiotelephone Communications · SIC 4812 · Vertical: Radiotelephone Communications (SIC 4812)

33.23USD−0.06% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Array Digital Infrastructure («Array») is an owner and operator of shared wireless infrastructure in the United States that earns its revenue from leasing space on its towers. After the wireless operations were sold to T-Mobile in August 2025, the company became a smaller tower operator with growing site rental revenue and a focus on monetizing its remaining spectrum. A portfolio of 4,456 owned towers as of June 30, 2026 and 2026 revenue guidance of 205-215 million USD show how much the business model has changed.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. (AD) stock was 33.23 USD (−0.06% on the day), with market capitalisation 1.8 bn USD, P/E 5.4 on diluted EPS of 6.21 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 133.16%, beta 0.45, 52-week range 31.80–60.28 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 54.1 m USD (+89.5% YoY), net income of 358.7 m USD (+1,038.9% YoY), diluted EPS 4.15 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
1.8 bn USD
shares as of 30 Jun 2010
P/E (TTM)
5.4
Diluted EPS TTM 6.21 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
18.68%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
133.16%
DPS 12m 44.25
Beta (2y)
0.45
Volatility (1y) 46%
52-week range
31.8060.28

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
46.3
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
32.15 – 34.20
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.53 · band width 6.2%
SMA 50 / 200
34.96 / 42.35
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.47 / -0.61
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−3.7%−1.1%−2.6 pp—
3 months−5.6%−0.5%−5.1 pp—
6 months−33.2%+4.4%−37.6 pp—
Year to date−38.0%+12.3%−50.3 pp—
1 year−32.0%+13.5%−45.6 pp+18.3%
3 years−26.2%+76.4%−102.6 pp+29.1%
5 years+2.5%+63.7%−61.1 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−47.2%
22 Jan 2026 → 28 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−58.7%
11 Aug 2025 → 28 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
+0.5%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
54.1 m USD
+89.5% YoY
Net income
358.7 m USD
+1,038.9% YoY
Diluted EPS
4.15
+1,052.8% YoY
net / operating
663.4% / 738.4%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue25.7 m26.1 m27.0 m28.5 m47.1 m60.3 m52.0 m54.1 m
Cost of revenue18.3 m20.2 m16.3 m19.4 m21.0 m22.8 m21.6 m23.5 m
SG&A21.2 m23.6 m29.2 m19.3 m20.5 m15.4 m12.7 m22.9 m
Operating income-160.2 m-29.1 m-29.6 m-18.2 m-53.3 m8.6 m160.8 m399.3 m
Depreciation & amortisation12.2 m3.7 m12.0 m12.0 m11.9 m3.2 m12.6 m14.4 m
Interest expense4.2 m3.2 m3.7 m3.7 m8.9 m12.0 m7.2 m10.9 m
Pre-tax income-117.7 m8.2 m5.3 m23.5 m47.2 m65.1 m232.4 m453.3 m
Income tax-22.0 m-3.7 m-192.0 k8.4 m-62.7 m23.3 m52.4 m115.9 m
Net income-79.2 m4.5 m18.2 m31.5 m-38.5 m37.5 m177.8 m358.7 m
Diluted EPS-0.920.05 ≈0.210.36-0.440.44 ≈2.064.15
Operating cash flow245.5 m ≈121.0 m159.3 m325.3 m ≈-81.7 m ≈-202.1 m23.8 m-42.8 m ≈
Capex-256.6 m ≈5.1 m7.5 m4.0 m ≈7.1 m ≈8.6 m13.8 m5.8 m ≈
Dividends paid—000 ≈2.0 bn ≈-4.0 bn885.5 m951.3 m ≈
Share repurchases25.6 m ≈28.5 m21.4 m0 ≈0 ≈000 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 0 percentile of its own 32-quarter history (min 5.8, median 25.9, max 4,406.3; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022⚠ 202320242025
Revenue4.0 bn4.0 bn4.0 bn4.1 bn4.2 bn100.5 m102.9 m163.0 m
Revenue YoY+2.0%+1.4%+0.4%+2.1%+1.1%—+2.5%+58.3%
Net income150.0 m127.0 m229.0 m155.0 m30.0 m54.5 m-39.4 m48.8 m
Net income YoY+1,150.0%−15.3%+80.3%−32.3%−80.6%—−172.4%unavailable
Diluted EPS1.721.442.621.770.350.63-0.460.56
Diluted EPS YoY+1,128.6%−16.3%+81.9%−32.4%−80.2%—−173.0%unavailable
net %3.8%3.2%5.7%3.8%0.7%54.2%-38.3%29.9%
Free cash flow197.0 m74.0 m248.0 m78.0 m230.0 m826.2 m864.0 m173.6 m

The series breaks before 2023: earlier years come from the original reports of the issuer of that time, later years from a subsequent filing that restated the perimeter (a separation, discontinued operations). The year-on-year change across the break is not shown.

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
113.4 m USD
Financial debt
4.1 m USD
Net debt
-109.3 m USD
Equity
2.6 bn USD
Total assets
4.7 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.00x
Current ratio
0.72x
ROE
1.4%
ROA
0.6%
FCF margin
106.6%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
100.5 m
2024
102.9 m
2025
163.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
67.9 m
2024
73.0 m
2025
79.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
32.6 m ≈
2024
29.9 m ≈
2025
83.5 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

SG&A
2023
101.4 m
2024
102.6 m
2025
84.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-112.2 m
2024
-260.3 m
2025
-92.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
41.7 m
2024
38.8 m
2025
39.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-70.5 m ≈
2024
-221.5 m ≈
2025
-53.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
14.6 m
2024
12.4 m
2025
28.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
41.2 m
2024
-99.7 m
2025
141.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
32.9 m
2024
-19.3 m
2025
-31.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
54.5 m
2024
-39.4 m
2025
48.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.63
2024
-0.46
2025
0.56

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
86.7 m
2024
85.6 m
2025
87.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
—
2024
—
2025
23.00

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
150.0 m
2024
143.7 m
2025
113.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
900.0 m
2024
905.0 m
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Feb 2025verified

Inventories
2023
199.0 m
2024
179.0 m
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Feb 2025verified

Current assets
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
144.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
2.6 bn
2024
384.0 m
2025
389.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
10.8 bn
2024
10.4 bn
2025
4.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
20.0 m
2024
22.0 m
2025
4.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
901.0 m
2024
883.8 m
2025
200.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
4.6 bn
2024
4.6 bn
2025
2.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
866.9 m
2024
882.5 m
2025
200.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
40.6 m
2024
18.5 m
2025
27.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
826.2 m ≈
2024
864.0 m ≈
2025
173.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-720.9 m
2024
-556.2 m
2025
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-274.3 m
2024
-347.0 m
2025
-2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
0
2024
0
2025
-2.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
0
2024
54.1 m
2025
21.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
58.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-66.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-47.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
17.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
-26.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
17.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
-26.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-79.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
58.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
261.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
241.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
250.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-158.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
18.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
7.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
16.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
17.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
712.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Balance sheet

Net debt
-408.3 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
13.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-302.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
35.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-338.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
-63.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
-54.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
1.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
1.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
3.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
5.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
18.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
8.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
2.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
2.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
6.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-19.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
133.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
8.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 70 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

33.23 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 1.8 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
1.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
5.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
2.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
18.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
250.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
58.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
133.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

30/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Jun 2010
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 07 Aug 2026
verified 2423derived 221

Score by group

  • Balance sheet83
  • Growth50
  • Quality65
  • Returns100
  • Valuation71

Estimated value range

Low
84.33
USD per share
Mid
95.30
USD per share
High
125.33
USD per share
Price: 33.23 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 186.8% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 65.1% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 55.45 – 406.47 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA55.45 – 81.28 (Mid 60.15)
    3 companies used · median multiple 5.0x · quartiles 4.6x – 7.0x
    CHT, IHS, TMUS
  • Peers: P/E84.33 – 125.33 (Mid 95.30)
    5 companies used · median multiple 15.4x · quartiles 13.6x – 20.2x
    IHS, KYIV, SPOK, TIGO, TMUS
  • Dividend discount (DDM)302.24 – 406.47 (Mid 346.69)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Radiotelephone Communications (SIC 4812)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 70/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality16.9%83 (vs peers)11%
Net margin · Quality250.8%100 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality-63.1%0 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-66.1%0 (on a fixed band)9%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth17.0%100 (on a fixed band)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-0.7x100 (vs peers)11%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet13.3x100 (on a fixed band)7%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.0x13 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation5.4x100 (vs peers)11%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation2.4x100 (on a fixed band)11%
FCF yield · Valuation-19.1%0 (on a fixed band)9%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns8.5%100 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet83/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth50/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality65/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation71/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

ARRAY DIGITAL INFRASTRUCTURE, INC. (AD). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 163.0 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 58.3%; net margin 250.8%; ROE 18.3%; net debt/EBITDA -0.7x.

The estimated value range is 84.33–125.33 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 95.30 USD, the price of 33.23 USD leaves a potential of 186.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 65.1% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 70/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 16.9%
  • Net margin: 250.8%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 17.0%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: -0.7x
  • Interest coverage: 13.3x
  • P/E (TTM): 5.4x
  • EV/EBITDA: 2.4x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 8.5%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • FCF conversion: -63.1%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -66.1%
  • Current ratio: 1.0x
  • FCF yield: -19.1%
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Radiotelephone Communications (SIC 4812) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 12 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
5.4x
vertical median 20.2x
below median (−73.5%)
EV/EBITDA
2.4x
vertical median 5.0x
below median (−51.3%)
P/S
8.3x
vertical median 2.2x
above median (+269.5%)
P/B
1.4x
vertical median 2.7x
below median (−48.4%)
ROE
18.3%
vertical median 10.4%
above median (+75.2%)
Net margin
250.8%
vertical median 9.9%
above median (+2,433.9%)
EBIT margin
241.3%
vertical median 16.6%
above median (+1,349.9%)
Revenue YoY
58.3%
vertical median 1.9%
above median (+2,908.5%)
Net debt/EBITDA
-0.7x
vertical median 0.0x
below median (−3,528.5%)
Dividend yield
133.2%
vertical median 1.5%
above median (+8,916.1%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
CHTChunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd.380.0 bn326.59.4%16.2%−3.8%+17% / +29%
TMUST-Mobile Us, Inc.168.6 bn15.419.4%12.0%+8.5%−24% / +6%
VEONVEON Ltd.146.1 bn263.448.5%13.4%+9.9%+48% / +294%
TIGOMillicom International Cellular SA13.0 bn9.836.2%22.6%+0.3%+45% / +357%
KYIVKyivstar Group Ltd.3.1 bn23.910.4%10.7%+25.9%−4% / unavailable
ADArray Digital Infrastructure, Inc.2.9 bn5.418.3%250.8%+58.3%−32% / −26%
IHSIHS Holding Ltd2.8 bn20.2—9.1%+3.6%+19% / +82%
SPOKSpok Holdings, Inc.252.6 m13.612.8%13.9%+1.5%−9% / −28%
SIDUSidus Space, Inc.18.7 m—-27.0%-970.3%−27.6%+49% / −82%
CHAICore Ai Holdings, Inc.3.6 m—-1,196.1%-57.2%+58.6%−93% / −100%
VODVodafone Group Public Ltd Co——-7.4%-11.1%+2.0%+31% / +80%
SKMSK Telecom Co., Ltd.——10.8%7.0%+1.9%+55% / +39%
TUTelus Corp——7.1%5.4%+0.6%−30% / −49%

1- and 3-year price returns: for AD from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
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Bull
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Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
28.83
Total return 8% · Per year 8%
51.23
Total return 83% · Per year 83%
77.52
Total return 168% · Per year 168%
3 years
22.90
Total return 27% · Per year 8%
46.24
Total return 121% · Per year 30%
77.52
Total return 238% · Per year 50%
5 years
18.18
Total return 42% · Per year 7%
41.73
Total return 156% · Per year 21%
77.52
Total return 308% · Per year 32%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 11.56
  • Net margin± 8.09
  • Annual revenue growth± 7.31
  • Annual dilution± 0.68

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Array Digital Infrastructure («Array») is an owner and operator of shared wireless infrastructure in the United States that earns its revenue from leasing space on its towers. After the wireless operations were sold to T-Mobile in August 2025, the company became a smaller tower operator with growing site rental revenue and a focus on monetizing its remaining spectrum. A portfolio of 4,456 owned towers as of June 30, 2026 and 2026 revenue guidance of 205-215 million USD show how much the business model has changed.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has a distinctive position with a tower portfolio in rural, suburban and urban areas, backed by more than forty years of experience operating towers 1.
  • Long-term contracts with its largest customers provide defined lease terms and set escalators, which reduces the risk of tenant churn 1.
  • Spare vertical space on towers, linked to a lower tenancy rate, offers room for colocation growth without major investment 1.

Weaknesses

  • Revenue depends heavily on a small number of tenants, and some contracts are disputed or the tenant is in financial difficulty 12.
  • The scale of operations shrank significantly after the wireless business was sold, which can create cost and borrowing disadvantages compared with the earlier period 1.
  • Wind-down costs, decommissioning costs for some towers and remaining ground lease obligations could weigh on cash flow 1.

Opportunities

  • Growing colocations on the existing portfolio could accelerate revenue, especially if tenancy returns toward levels seen at competitors 12.
  • Monetizing the remaining spectrum, including further sales to T-Mobile, could generate proceeds if transactions close with the necessary approvals 2.
  • The raised 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance suggests that operating efficiency could keep improving results 2.

Threats

  • Strong competition in the tower industry could reduce lease rates and make lease renewals harder 1.
  • The risk that a major tenant does not meet its contractual obligations remains significant, especially given the insolvency of DISH entities 2.
  • If spectrum transactions do not close, the expected funds would not be available, and the costs of retaining the spectrum could rise 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on T-Mobilehigh

    The business is substantially dependent on T-Mobile contracts, and any failure to meet those obligations could have a major impact on results 1.

  • DISH contract disputehigh

    DISH Wireless has claimed its obligations are excused, and the company no longer recognizes revenue from this customer starting in 2026, which could affect future revenue 12.

  • Completion of spectrum salesmedium

    The remaining transactions require regulatory approvals and closing conditions; if they do not close, expected proceeds could be delayed or disappear 12.

  • Majority shareholder buyout proposalmedium

    The non-binding TDS proposal to acquire the remaining shares is being evaluated by a special committee and could be accepted, rejected or abandoned, with uncertain effects on minority shareholders 2.

  • Competition in the tower industrymedium

    Competitors are larger and have more resources, which could put pressure on prices and on colocation rates 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If tower tenancy rises again and colocations increase, rental revenue could exceed current estimates, especially given demand for mobile data 12.
  • Completing the spectrum sales and distributing cash to shareholders could strengthen the balance sheet and support the company's value 2.
  • The raised Adjusted EBITDA guidance shows that operating efficiency can be improved, and this could continue in the coming years 2.

What would break the thesis

  • If a major tenant stops meeting its obligations, revenue and cash flow could fall quickly given the customer concentration 12.
  • The reduced scale after the wireless sale and the cost of decommissioning some towers could limit long-term profitability 1.
  • If spectrum transactions fail or are delayed, the expected funds could be unavailable and the costs of retaining the spectrum could weigh on results 1.

What to watch

  • Closing of the remaining spectrum sales to T-Mobile and Verizon2026
  • Development of tower tenancy rate and number of colocationsQ3 2026
  • Outcome of the special committee's evaluation of the TDS proposal to acquire the remaining shares2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

The capital and governance structure is dominated by the majority shareholder: as of December 31, 2025, TDS owned 82.0% of Array 1. In May 2026, TDS delivered a non-binding proposal to the board to acquire the shares it does not own, and a special committee of independent directors is evaluating it 2. The company also paid a special dividend of 11 USD per common share in June 2026 after spectrum sale proceeds 2.

Segments

Tower space leasing

The core segment, which generates nearly all revenue from continuing operations, is the leasing of tower space to mobile operators such as T-Mobile, AT&T and Verizon 1. Site rental revenue was 154,654 thousand USD in 2025, and as of June 30, 2026 the company reported a tower tenancy rate of 0.98 12.

Noncontrolling interests and spectrum

Array holds noncontrolling interests in wireless entities, mainly managed by Verizon and AT&T, and retains C-Band spectrum with a book value of 1,584.8 million USD as of December 31, 2025 1. Equity earnings and spectrum sale gains are currently important sources of income but are not part of recurring leasing activity 12.

Market context

Because a large share of revenue comes from a few major customers, the market is sensitive to their investment decisions, and a DISH Wireless contract has been disputed and no longer produces revenue from early 2026 2. If demand from mobile operators slows, pressure on rental rates could rise 1.

Trends

  • Growing mobile data consumptiontailwind

    Demand for tower infrastructure remains high, mainly because of growing mobile data consumption and next-generation technologies 1. This demand could support growth in colocations on existing towers.

  • Consolidation among mobile operatorsheadwind

    Consolidation, colocation and spectrum sharing between operators can reduce the need for new towers, and operators may shift their network investment away from tower infrastructure 1. If these trends intensify, pressure on rental revenue could rise.

  • Revenue concentrated in a few tenantsheadwind

    Revenue depends on a small number of large tenants, particularly T-Mobile, and their financial difficulties could directly affect results 1. The June 2026 bankruptcy filing of DISH entities shows how sensitive this risk can be 2.

  • Monetization of remaining spectrummixed

    Spectrum sales to T-Mobile, Verizon and AT&T brought significant proceeds in 2026, and the remaining spectrum could be monetized further 2. This process could bring cash, but it depends on regulatory approvals and market conditions 1.

Competitive position

Array competes mainly with other tower owners in its operating areas, including large tower operators, regional operators, build-to-suit providers and owners of non-tower infrastructure such as rooftops 1. The main competitive factors are tower location, speed of deployment and lease structure 1. Many competitors are larger than Array and have greater financial resources 1.

Array's advantage lies in part of its portfolio having no competing structure within a two-mile radius and in a lower tenancy rate that leaves room for new colocations 1. Competitive pressure could, however, reduce lease prices or limit strategic partnership opportunities 1.

  • American Tower CorporationAMT

    Large tower operator named explicitly as a direct competitor in the regulatory filing.

  • Crown Castle IncCCI

    Large tower operator identified as a principal competitor in the wireless infrastructure sector.

  • SBA Communications CorporationSBAC

    Large tower operator with national scale, cited as a rival in space leasing.

  • Regional operators and non-tower infrastructure owners

    Includes regional tower operators, build-to-suit providers, and owners of rooftops or utility towers.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. · 20 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. · 07 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.