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olivLaw · US equity research

Alector, Inc. ALEC

Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) · SIC 2836 · Vertical: Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) (SIC 2836)

2.28USD+11.22% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Alector is a biotechnology company developing therapies for neurodegenerative diseases such as Alzheimer's and Parkinson's, using its proprietary blood-brain barrier delivery platform ABC. The company is in a restructuring phase after clinical setbacks, and its license deal with Genentech, with a 100 million USD upfront payment, may extend its funding runway, while the net loss reached 142.9 million USD in 2025.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Alector, Inc. (ALEC) stock was 2.28 USD (+11.22% on the day), with market capitalisation 254.6 m USD, beta 1.58, 52-week range 1.14–2.72 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 3.3 m USD (−57.8% YoY), net income of -23.0 m USD, diluted EPS -0.21 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
254.6 m USD
shares as of 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -1.10 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-48.26%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.58
Volatility (1y) 82%
52-week range
1.142.72

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
60.7
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
1.71 – 2.32
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.94 · band width 30.1%
SMA 50 / 200
2.07 / 2.03
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.05 / 0.02
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+14.6%−2.0%+16.6 pp—
3 months+53.0%−2.2%+55.2 pp—
6 months−11.3%+4.3%−15.6 pp—
Year to date+46.2%+10.6%+35.6 pp—
1 year+72.7%+10.5%+62.3 pp−3.8%
3 years−61.2%+73.7%−134.9 pp+18.6%
5 years−90.9%+61.7%−152.6 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−48.6%
20 Apr 2026 → 14 Jul 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−96.5%
09 Nov 2021 → 10 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−38.1%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
3.3 m USD
−57.8% YoY
Net income
-23.0 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.21
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-692.5% / -734.7%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue15.3 m54.2 m3.7 m7.9 m3.3 m6.2 m1.0 m3.3 m
Research & development48.0 m46.5 m33.6 m27.6 m29.4 m32.5 m17.9 m19.5 m
Operating income-48.4 m-7.2 m-44.7 m-34.1 m-37.6 m-39.6 m-24.9 m-24.4 m
Depreciation & amortisation1.3 m ≈1.2 m984.0 k2.3 m ≈1.2 m ≈1.2 m1.1 m1.0 m ≈
Pre-tax income-42.2 m-2.0 m-40.5 m-30.5 m-34.7 m-37.1 m-22.9 m-22.9 m
Income tax048.0 k000168.0 k0130.0 k
Net income-42.2 m-2.1 m-40.5 m-30.5 m-34.7 m-37.3 m-22.9 m-23.0 m
Diluted EPS-0.43-0.02 ≈-0.41-0.30-0.34-0.34 ≈-0.21-0.21
Operating cash flow-50.7 m ≈-55.0 m-60.8 m-49.0 m ≈-32.5 m ≈-41.7 m-49.8 m-34.2 m ≈
Capex212.0 k ≈173.0 k20.0 k10.0 k ≈11.0 k ≈0118.0 k31.0 k ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2018201920202021⚠ 2022202320242025
Revenue27.7 m21.2 m21.1 m207.1 m133.6 m97.1 m100.6 m21.0 m
Revenue YoY+641.0%−23.3%−0.6%+881.5%—−27.3%+3.6%−79.1%
Net income-52.2 m-105.4 m-190.2 m-36.3 m-133.3 m-130.4 m-119.0 m-142.9 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable—unavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPSunavailableunavailable-2.45-0.45-1.62-1.56-1.23-1.39
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable—unavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-188.8%-496.7%-901.6%-17.5%-99.8%-134.3%-118.4%-679.2%
Free cash flow125.6 m-114.6 m-171.8 m295.3 m-24.4 m-186.5 m-231.2 m-184.1 m

The series breaks before 2022: earlier years come from the original reports of the issuer of that time, later years from a subsequent filing that restated the perimeter (a separation, discontinued operations). The year-on-year change across the break is not shown.

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
65.8 m USD
Financial debt
9.7 m USD
Net debt
-56.1 m USD
Equity
30.6 m USD
Total assets
293.2 m USD
Debt / equity
0.32x
Current ratio
3.83x
ROE
-181.6%
ROA
-37.5%
FCF margin
-874.7%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
97.1 m
2024
100.6 m
2025
21.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
192.1 m
2024
185.9 m
2025
123.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-151.7 m
2024
-145.0 m
2025
-156.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
5.7 m
2024
5.4 m
2025
5.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-146.0 m ≈
2024
-139.6 m ≈
2025
-150.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2023
-125.1 m
2024
-118.9 m
2025
-142.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
5.2 m
2024
128.0 k
2025
168.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-130.4 m
2024
-119.0 m
2025
-142.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-1.56
2024
-1.23
2025
-1.39

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
83.7 m
2024
96.6 m
2025
103.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
74.6 m
2024
33.0 m
2025
65.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
565.8 m
2024
424.8 m
2025
266.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
21.9 m
2024
17.1 m
2025
10.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
621.8 m
2024
468.3 m
2025
293.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
3.8 m
2024
2.2 m
2025
1.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
0
2025
366.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
0
2024
9.4 m
2025
9.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
177.9 m
2024
125.1 m
2025
69.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
487.7 m
2024
341.5 m
2025
262.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
134.2 m †
2024
126.8 m †
2025
30.6 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-184.2 m
2024
-229.9 m
2025
-184.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
2.4 m
2024
1.3 m
2025
41.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-186.5 m ≈
2024
-231.2 m ≈
2025
-184.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
101.9 m
2024
107.1 m
2025
196.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
2.6 m
2024
81.5 m
2025
20.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-79.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-46.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-0.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
-879.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-912.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-850.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-1,142.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-385.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-42.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
equity is negative: buybacks shrink the invested capital and ROIC would come out large without meaning anything
ROCE
-75.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
-50.1 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
Debt / equity
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
5.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-158.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
160.0 k USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-158.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
254.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
204.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-48.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
P/S
18.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
14.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-62.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 4 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 27.1% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

2.28 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 254.6 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
254.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
unavailable
equity is negative: the ratio is not economically meaningful (not by itself insolvency; usually the result of buybacks)
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
ROE
-385.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-850.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-79.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

25/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 907derived 73

Score by group

27% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) (SIC 2836)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 27.1% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality-850.1%21 (vs peers)23%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-46.0%0 (on a fixed band)31%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet5.3x100 (on a fixed band)15%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-62.2%0 (on a fixed band)31%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial21/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Alector, Inc. (ALEC). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 21.0 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -79.1%; net margin -850.1%; ROE -385.1%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 27.1% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 5.3x

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: -850.1%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -46.0%
  • FCF yield: -62.2%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) (SIC 2836) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 38.4x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 20.7x
P/S
18.4x
vertical median 7.3x
above median (+150.4%)
P/B
—
vertical median 5.8x
ROE
-385.1%
vertical median -38.1%
below median
Net margin
-850.1%
vertical median -102.9%
below median
EBIT margin
-912.4%
vertical median -122.7%
below median
Revenue YoY
-79.1%
vertical median 4.4%
below median (−1,914.9%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 3.1x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.8%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
AMGNAmgen Inc.249.4 bn28.791.5%23.0%+10.0%+34% / +71%
GILDGilead Sciences, Inc.207.7 bn—-22.3%-12.5%+2.4%+33% / +119%
MRNAModerna, Inc.91.2 bn—-39.0%-141.4%−39.9%+779% / +194%
RVMDRevolution Medicines, Inc.41.6 bn—-79.1%—unavailable+150% / +733%
BIIBBiogen Inc.36.8 bn106.41.9%3.4%+2.2%+37% / +6%
MESOMesoblast Limited18.5 bn—-19.0%-593.9%+191.4%−17% / +425%
EXELExelixis, Inc.17.6 bn21.644.3%35.5%+7.0%+64% / +232%
HALOHalozyme Therapeutics, Inc.14.8 bn38.4173.7%24.9%+37.6%+83% / +238%
KYMRKymera Therapeutics, Inc.11.6 bn—-27.3%-341.8%−16.7%+101% / +556%
TWSTTwist Bioscience Corporation8.9 bn—-29.6%-31.7%+20.3%+345% / +493%
SCNIScinai Immunotherapeutics Ltd.6.2 bn—-91.9%-633.6%+99.2%−96% / −99%
CGONCG Oncology, Inc.6.0 bn—-26.4%-3,602.7%+254.7%+51% / unavailable
TARSTarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc.3.4 bn—-319.8%-102.9%+146.7%−14% / +318%
DNLIDenali Therapeutics Inc.3.4 bn—-33.9%-1,470.5%unavailable+8% / +13%
ADMAAdma Biologics, Inc.2.3 bn14.941.9%33.0%+19.6%−45% / +183%
VCELVericel Corporation2.3 bn107.77.2%7.9%+16.5%+13% / +28%
BCRXBiocryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc.2.1 bn——-40.9%+94.1%+15% / +40%
VIRVir Biotechnology, Inc.2.0 bn—-26.1%-83.0%−7.6%+83% / +24%
ALVOAlvotech1.5 bn46.7—4.8%+19.7%−8% / −51%
INBXInhibrx Biosciences, Inc.1.3 bn—-1,773.6%—+550.0%+3% / unavailable
EVAXEvaxion A1.2 bn—-100.2%-102.4%+125.1%−50% / −93%
CADLCandel Therapeutics, Inc.692.5 m—-81.8%—0.0%+90% / +907%
SRZNSurrozen, Inc.372.0 m——-2,885.3%−67.4%+91% / +340%
AUTLAutolus Therapeutics plc367.3 m—-133.0%-238.7%+644.9%−2% / −68%
LXEOLexeo Therapeutics, Inc.265.0 m—-46.8%—unavailable−67% / −75%

1- and 3-year price returns: for ALEC from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
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Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
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Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Alector is a biotechnology company developing therapies for neurodegenerative diseases such as Alzheimer's and Parkinson's, using its proprietary blood-brain barrier delivery platform ABC. The company is in a restructuring phase after clinical setbacks, and its license deal with Genentech, with a 100 million USD upfront payment 3, may extend its funding runway, while the net loss reached 142.9 million USD in 2025 1.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The ABC platform is proprietary and can be applied across several therapeutic modalities, giving flexibility to the portfolio 1. The company attracted a significant upfront payment from Genentech and keeps rights to the platform 3.
    • The pipeline includes preclinical programs against genetically validated targets, and the company has expertise in protein engineering and antibody discovery 1.
    • The Genentech agreement extends the cash runway into 2029, giving the company more time to advance its early programs 3.

    Weaknesses

    • The company has no approved products and no positive readout from a pivotal trial, which makes its long-term success hard to assess 1.
    • Net losses have been recorded every year since inception and the accumulated deficit has grown to a large level, reducing financial headroom 12.
    • The company cut its workforce significantly twice in 2025, which could affect continuity and the pace of program development 12.

    Opportunities

    • If AL137 or the siRNA programs advance as planned, the company could attract new partnerships to apply the ABC platform in other indications 23.
    • Milestones and royalties under the Genentech agreement could generate future revenue if the AL050 program progresses clinically 3.
    • Industry interest in blood-brain barrier delivery could support new agreements for other company programs 3.

    Threats

    • Repeated clinical setbacks in neurodegeneration could continue and weaken investor and partner confidence 12.
    • Losing the GSK partner and the failure of nivisnebart may reduce predictable revenue and the capacity to fund programs 2.
    • Competition from large companies and other developers targeting the same mechanisms could limit the commercial value of Alector's programs 1.

    Risks

    • Clinical failure riskhigh

      The programs are at preclinical or early clinical stages, and recent failures suggest that proving efficacy in neurodegeneration remains uncertain 12.

    • Dependence on additional fundinghigh

      The company will need additional capital to fund development, and failure to obtain financing on acceptable terms could force program reductions 1.

    • Termination of the GSK collaborationhigh

      The July 2026 termination notice removes an important source of revenue and cost sharing, which may change the company's financial profile 2.

    • Dependence on the Genentech agreementmedium

      The value of AL050 depends on how Genentech develops the program, and additional payments are conditional on reaching milestones 3.

    • Personnel and continuity riskmedium

      Repeated workforce reductions could affect the ability to execute plans and retain essential specialists 12.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If the ABC platform proves in clinical studies that it delivers antibodies and enzymes effectively into the brain, its value could exceed that of individual programs and attract new partnerships.
    • The Genentech agreement, with a significant upfront payment and possible additional payments, could provide the resources needed to advance AL137 and the siRNA programs toward IND.
    • If AL137 proves effective and safe, the company could become an important source of innovation in Alzheimer's treatment, an area with high unmet medical need.

    What would break the thesis

    • Repeated clinical setbacks, including the discontinuation of PROGRESS-AD, suggest that positive evidence may remain hard to obtain in this field.
    • The loss of the GSK agreement and successive workforce reductions could limit the company's capacity to support several early programs at once.
    • If remaining programs do not reach the expected milestones, the value of the Genentech deal could be lower than anticipated and losses could continue.

    What to watch

    • IND submission for AL137 and start of first-in-human dosing in AustraliaQ1 2027
    • Progress of AL050 under the Genentech agreement and any milestone payments2027
    • Status of tau siRNA AL164 and ADP062-ABC toward IND2027

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Alector is a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing therapies for neurodegenerative diseases, focusing on genetically validated targets and mechanisms such as removing pathogenic proteins, replacing deficient proteins and restoring normal cellular function 1. Its activity is built around the proprietary Alector Brain Carrier (ABC) platform, a blood-brain barrier delivery technology for several modalities including antibodies, enzymes and siRNA 1. The company has no products approved for commercial sale and has not generated product sales revenue 1.

    The portfolio was substantially reshaped in 2026. The Phase 2 PROGRESS-AD trial of nivisnebart was discontinued in April 2026 after an interim futility analysis 2, and GSK gave notice of termination of the collaboration in July 2026 2. Remaining active programs include AL137, an anti-amyloid beta antibody approaching IND, AL050, a GCase enzyme, and siRNA programs for tau and alpha-synuclein 23.

    In October 2026 Alector announced a global license agreement with Genentech for AL050, under which Genentech takes over development and commercialization across all indications, while Alector keeps ownership of ABC and full rights to apply the platform to its wholly owned pipeline 3. The company said the deal extends its cash runway into 2029 3.

    Segments

    Wholly owned AL137 and AL164 pipeline

    AL137 combines an anti-amyloid beta antibody with the ABC platform and is the lead candidate, with AL037 as backup; the target is an IND submission in the first quarter of 2027 2. The tau siRNA program AL064/AL164 is advancing into IND-enabling studies 2.

    AL050 (GCase) and early siRNA programs

    AL050 is a GCase enzyme delivered via ABC, targeting Parkinson's disease and Lewy body dementia linked to GBA1 mutations; after the Genentech agreement its development passes to that partner 3. The ADP062-ABC (alpha-synuclein) and ADP065-ABC (NLRP3) programs remain at early stages 1.

    Nivisnebart and the GSK collaboration

    Nivisnebart, a progranulin-elevating antibody, was the leading clinical program, but its Phase 2 study was discontinued in April 2026 2. The GSK relationship ended with a termination notice in July 2026, so expected future revenue from that agreement is no longer assured 2.

    Market context

    Alector operates in the market for therapies for neurodegenerative diseases, an area with high unmet medical need where few approved therapies modify disease progression 1. The company describes the field as one with limited success in drug development and evolving standards for regulatory approval 1. The potential market depends on clinical success, regulatory approvals and the ability of partners to commercialize products 1.

    Developing therapies for diseases such as Alzheimer's and Parkinson's is costly, and Alector's revenue has so far been variable and limited, tied almost entirely to collaboration agreements 1. The Genentech deal shows that large partners are pursuing ABC-enabled and GCase assets, which may influence the value of other company programs 3.

    Trends

    • Repeated clinical setbacks in neurodegenerationheadwind

      The company recorded significant failures, including the INVOKE-2 and INFRONT-3 trials, and PROGRESS-AD was stopped after a futility analysis 12. These results show how difficult it is to obtain convincing clinical evidence in this field.

    • Restructuring and cost reductionmixed

      The company reduced its workforce in 2025, by approximately 13% in March and approximately 47% in October 12, to align resources with strategic priorities. The reductions may extend the funding runway but limit the ability to develop several programs in parallel.

    • Dependence on partnership fundingmixed

      Revenue and funding have largely depended on collaborations with GSK and AbbVie, and the termination of the GSK agreement limits a predictable source of income 12. If new partnerships materialize, dependence on a single partner could decline.

    Competitive position

    Alector competes with other companies developing therapies for the same targets or biological mechanisms in neurodegeneration, including therapies that act on the same pathways as its programs 1. The company explicitly cites the risk of failing to develop products that compete effectively with competing therapies 1.

    In blood-brain barrier delivery, Alector's competitive edge depends on how the ABC platform performs against other brain delivery approaches, such as intrathecal administration, which the company names as the traditional alternative 12.

    • Genentech (Roche Group)

      Partner that obtained global rights to AL050 in October 2026, making it both a partner and an indirect competitor in neurodegenerative diseases.

    • GlaxoSmithKline (GSK)

      Former partner for nivisnebart and latozinemab, whose agreement was terminated in 2026; remains a major actor in neurology therapy development.

    • AbbVie

      Former collaboration partner since 2017, whose agreement ended in February 2025; an example of a large company that explored Alector programs.

    • Other neurodegenerative therapy developers

      Companies working on the same targets or mechanisms, such as amyloid, tau or alpha-synuclein, are direct competitors to Alector's programs, though they are not named individually in the reviewed sources.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Alector, Inc. · 25 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Alector, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Alector, Inc. · 05 Oct 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.