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Evaxion A/S EVAX

Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) · SIC 2836 · Vertical: Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) (SIC 2836)

2.97USD+0.34% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Evaxion A/S is a Danish TechBio company that uses its proprietary AI-Immunology™ platform to discover and design vaccines against cancer and infectious diseases. Interest in the company rests on the MSD licence for EVX-B3 and clinical data for EVX-01, while revenue remains modest at about 7.5 million dollars in 2025.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Evaxion A/S (EVAX) stock was 2.97 USD (+0.34% on the day), with market capitalisation 1.2 bn USD, beta 0.74, 52-week range 2.76–6.63 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
1.2 bn USD
shares as of 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.02 · TTM to 31 Dec 2025
E/P (TTM)
-0.67%
TTM to 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.74
Volatility (1y) 80%
52-week range
2.766.63

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
44.3
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
2.43 – 3.87
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.38 · band width 45.6%
SMA 50 / 200
3.16 / 3.51
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.05 / -0.00
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−5.7%−1.1%−4.6 pp—
3 months−0.3%−0.5%+0.1 pp—
6 months−32.7%+4.4%−37.0 pp—
Year to date−37.7%+12.3%−50.1 pp—
1 year−47.0%+13.5%−60.5 pp−3.8%
3 years−94.8%+76.4%−171.2 pp+18.6%
5 years−99.2%+63.7%−162.8 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−58.4%
09 Dec 2025 → 13 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−99.6%
08 Nov 2021 → 21 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−61.5%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

ESEF annual reports carry no quarters: the results are annual (below).

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenueunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable073.0 k3.3 m7.5 m
Revenue YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable+4,480.8%+125.1%
Net income-5.5 m-11.2 m-15.0 m-24.5 m-23.2 m-22.1 m-10.6 m-7.7 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPSunavailable-0.81-0.97-1.26-0.98-0.81-0.20-0.02
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable-30,308.2%-316.0%-102.4%
Free cash flow-2.0 m-7.1 m-12.6 m-23.2 m-26.1 m-17.8 m-12.9 m-6.6 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
23.2 m USD
Financial debt
5.5 m USD
Net debt
-17.7 m USD
Equity
17.0 m USD
Total assets
28.4 m USD
Debt / equity
0.32x
Current ratio
5.85x
ROE
unavailable
ROA
-37.7%
FCF margin
-88.2%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
73.0 k
2024
3.3 m
2025
7.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Research & development
2023
11.9 m
2024
10.5 m
2025
10.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-22.2 m
2024
-14.7 m
2025
-9.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
1.7 m
2024
3.1 m
2025
4.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-22.9 m
2024
-11.4 m
2025
-8.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-790.0 k
2024
-788.0 k
2025
-908.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-22.1 m
2024
-10.6 m
2025
-7.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.81
2024
-0.20
2025
-0.02

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
5.6 m
2024
6.0 m
2025
23.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
2.0 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Mar 2024verified

Current assets
2023
8.4 m
2024
8.8 m
2025
24.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
4.3 m
2024
3.5 m
2025
3.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
0
2024
0
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
12.9 m
2024
12.5 m
2025
28.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
159.0 k
2024
159.0 k
2025
190.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
8.5 m
2024
8.0 m
2025
5.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
7.1 m
2024
4.4 m
2025
4.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
17.6 m
2024
14.1 m
2025
11.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
-4.7 m
2024
-1.7 m
2025
17.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
37.9 m
2024
70.1 m
2025
417.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-17.7 m
2024
-12.9 m
2025
-6.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
87.0 k
2024
0
2025
11.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-17.8 m ≈
2024
-12.9 m ≈
2025
-6.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-93.0 k
2024
-3.0 k
2025
-14.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
10.7 m
2024
13.1 m
2025
22.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 05 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
125.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
-122.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net margin
-102.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF margin
-88.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Returns

ROE
-100.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROA
-37.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROIC
unavailable
insufficient data
ROCE
-38.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
-17.7 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Interest coverage
-2.3x
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Liquidity

Current ratio
5.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
5.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Cash

Operating cash flow
-6.6 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Capital expenditure
11.0 k USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Free cash flow
-6.6 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
1.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Enterprise value
1.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-0.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
72.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/S
164.5x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
162.2x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-0.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 4 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 25.0% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

2.97 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 1.2 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
1.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
72.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-100.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net margin
-102.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue growth (YoY)
125.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

25/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 31 Dec 2025
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Dec 2025
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Dec 2025
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 05 Mar 2026
verified 186

Score by group

25% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) (SIC 2836)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 25.0% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality-102.4%57 (vs peers)25%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-2.3x0 (on a fixed band)25%
Current ratio · Balance sheet5.8x100 (on a fixed band)17%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-0.5%0 (on a fixed band)33%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet40/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial57/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Evaxion A/S (EVAX). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2025-12-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 7.5 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 125.1%; net margin -102.4%; ROE -100.2%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 25.0% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 5.8x

What contradicts it

  • Interest coverage: -2.3x
  • FCF yield: -0.5%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, Revenue CAGR 3Y, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) (SIC 2836) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 38.4x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 19.6x
P/S
164.5x
vertical median 7.6x
above median (+2,063.9%)
P/B
72.7x
vertical median 5.5x
above median (+1,223.9%)
ROE
-100.2%
vertical median -38.1%
below median
Net margin
-102.4%
vertical median -170.5%
above median
EBIT margin
-122.7%
vertical median -141.2%
above median
Revenue YoY
125.1%
vertical median 3.0%
above median (+4,076.7%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 2.7x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.9%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
AMGNAmgen Inc.258.8 bn27.778.4%24.1%+10.0%+39% / +77%
GILDGilead Sciences, Inc.216.4 bn—-22.3%-12.5%+2.4%+39% / +128%
MRNAModerna, Inc.103.2 bn—-39.0%-141.4%−39.9%+895% / +233%
RVMDRevolution Medicines, Inc.43.2 bn—-93.6%-946.8%unavailable+157% / +756%
BIIBBiogen Inc.37.6 bn108.81.9%3.4%+2.2%+40% / +9%
MESOMesoblast Limited18.5 bn—-19.0%-593.9%+191.4%−17% / +425%
EXELExelixis, Inc.17.8 bn21.744.3%35.5%+7.0%+65% / +234%
HALOHalozyme Therapeutics, Inc.14.8 bn38.4173.7%24.9%+37.6%+83% / +238%
KYMRKymera Therapeutics, Inc.11.6 bn—-27.3%-341.8%−16.7%+101% / +556%
TWSTTwist Bioscience Corporation8.9 bn—-29.6%-31.7%+20.3%+345% / +493%
SCNIScinai Immunotherapeutics Ltd.6.2 bn—-91.9%-633.6%+99.2%−96% / −99%
CGONCG Oncology, Inc.6.0 bn—-26.4%-3,602.7%+254.7%+51% / unavailable
TARSTarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc.3.4 bn—-319.8%-102.9%+146.7%−14% / +318%
DNLIDenali Therapeutics Inc.3.4 bn—-33.9%-1,470.5%unavailable+8% / +13%
VCELVericel Corporation2.3 bn107.77.2%7.9%+16.5%+13% / +28%
ADMAAdma Biologics, Inc.2.3 bn13.641.9%35.1%+19.6%−45% / +183%
BCRXBiocryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc.2.1 bn——-37.4%+94.1%+15% / +40%
VIRVir Biotechnology, Inc.2.0 bn—-21.8%-61.0%−7.6%+83% / +24%
ALVOAlvotech1.5 bn46.7—4.8%+19.7%−8% / −51%
INBXInhibrx Biosciences, Inc.1.3 bn—-1,773.6%—+550.0%+3% / unavailable
EVAXEvaxion A1.2 bn—-100.2%-102.4%+125.1%−47% / −95%
CADLCandel Therapeutics, Inc.692.5 m—-81.8%—0.0%+90% / +907%
SRZNSurrozen, Inc.372.0 m——-2,885.3%−67.4%+91% / +340%
AUTLAutolus Therapeutics plc367.3 m—-133.0%-238.7%+644.9%−2% / −68%
LXEOLexeo Therapeutics, Inc.265.0 m—-46.8%—unavailable−67% / −75%

1- and 3-year price returns: for EVAX from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Mar 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (04 Nov 2026), 6-K (03 Nov 2026), 6-K (30 Oct 2026), 6-K (23 Oct 2026), 6-K (19 Oct 2026).

    In brief

    Evaxion A/S is a Danish TechBio company that uses its proprietary AI-Immunology™ platform to discover and design vaccines against cancer and infectious diseases. Interest in the company rests on the MSD licence for EVX-B3 and clinical data for EVX-01, while revenue remains modest at about 7.5 million dollars in 2025 1.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The AI-Immunology™ platform has been developed over many years and supports rapid vaccine target discovery across cancer and infectious diseases 1.
    • The licence granted to MSD for EVX-B3 is a validation signal from a major industry player that is also a shareholder 1.
    • Two-year clinical data for EVX-01 show durable responses in patients, supporting a promising clinical profile 1.

    Weaknesses

    • Revenue remains low and is largely tied to one partner, which leaves the company exposed to changes in that agreement 1.
    • The company reports net losses and a large accumulated deficit, and its balance sheet depends on raised capital and complex financial instruments 1.
    • Most candidates are at preclinical or early development stages, so their clinical success is not yet proven 1.

    Opportunities

    • The target markets in cancer and infectious diseases are described as very large, which could support new licences if the platform's potential is confirmed 1.
    • Extending the platform to autoimmune diseases, planned for the second half of 2026, could open new partnership avenues 1.
    • Three-year data for EVX-01 and advancing EVX-04 toward a phase 1 trial could strengthen the company's position in partner negotiations 1.

    Threats

    • Clinical development is inherently uncertain, and the failure of a major candidate could seriously affect the value of the portfolio 1.
    • The company depends on further funding to continue development, and capital market conditions could limit available options 1.
    • Competition in cancer vaccines and vaccines against drug-resistant bacteria is intense, and other players could reach the market first 1.

    Risks

    • Dependence on a single partnerhigh

      Revenue comes mainly from the MSD agreement, so changes in the partner's strategy could quickly reduce cash inflows 1.

    • Need for additional fundinghigh

      Net losses and negative operating cash flow could force the company to raise capital on less favourable terms 1.

    • Uncertain clinical resultshigh

      Most candidates are at early stages, and clinical results could fall short of preclinical data 1.

    • Regulatory and trial timingmedium

      Timelines for regulatory filings and later-stage trials could slip for technical or administrative reasons 1.

    • Complex financial instrumentsmedium

      Changes in the value of warrants and derivative liabilities could add volatility to reported results, independent of operations 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If the AI-Immunology™ platform consistently yields effective vaccines, the company could attract new partnerships across several targets, extending revenue beyond the current agreement 1.
    • The EVX-B3 licence to MSD, with potential milestone payments, could provide a meaningful revenue source if development advances 1.
    • EVX-01 two-year results and the planned three-year data could support a competitive position in advanced melanoma 1.

    What would break the thesis

    • Revenue remains modest and depends on a single agreement, which could limit financial stability if the partner relationship changes 1.
    • Losses and the accumulated deficit suggest that further capital will be needed, and shareholder dilution could follow 1.
    • Most candidates have not reached advanced stages, so the platform's value remains largely unproven clinically 1.

    What to watch

    • Three-year data for EVX-01 from the phase 2 studysecond half of 2026
    • Regulatory filing for a phase 1 trial of EVX-04end of 2026
    • Extension of the AI platform to autoimmune diseasessecond half of 2026
    • Next annual report on revenue and net lossnext 20-F

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Mar 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (04 Nov 2026), 6-K (03 Nov 2026), 6-K (30 Oct 2026), 6-K (23 Oct 2026), 6-K (19 Oct 2026).

    The business

    Evaxion describes its business model as combining the AI-Immunology™ platform, developed over 18 years, with a proprietary pipeline of vaccine candidates at preclinical and clinical stages 1. The company focuses on target discovery and early development, and its model relies on partnerships for both the platform and the pipeline 1. Revenue in 2025 came mainly from licence and service income under the agreement with Merck & Co., Inc. (MSD), plus a grant from the Gates Foundation 1.

    Segments

    Cancer vaccines

    The lead oncology candidate is EVX-01, a personalised peptide vaccine evaluated as first-line treatment for advanced melanoma in combination with pembrolizumab, which has received Fast Track designation from the FDA 1. Two-year data presented at ESMO 2025 showed a 75% objective response rate and a 25% complete response rate 1. Other candidates include EVX-03 and EVX-04, which use antigens derived from endogenous retroviruses 1.

    Infectious disease vaccines

    The pipeline includes candidates against bacteria and viruses for which no vaccine exists today, such as S. aureus, Group A streptococcus, N. gonorrhoeae and cytomegalovirus 1. EVX-B3 was licensed to MSD in September 2025, the first AI-designed vaccine candidate licensed by a pharmaceutical company, with potential payments of up to 592 million dollars 1. EVX-B2 showed protection in mouse models and killing activity against 50 clinically relevant strains 1.

    Market context

    The company operates in the market for AI-based drug discovery, which is projected by the company to grow to more than 40 billion dollars by 2040, at an average annual rate of 25% 1. The cancer immunotherapy market is projected to reach 229 billion dollars by 2030, and the infectious disease vaccine market 68 billion dollars by 2031 1. These growth estimates are the company's own projections and could differ from actual outcomes 1.

    Trends

    • AI-driven drug discoverytailwind

      Demand for AI solutions able to deliver advanced therapeutics is rising, which could favour companies like Evaxion that offer end-to-end platforms 1.

    • Rising chronic disease prevalencetailwind

      Higher chronic disease prevalence and greater pharmaceutical R&D investment support demand for new vaccines 1.

    • Antimicrobial resistancetailwind

      Growing antimicrobial resistance raises the threat from infectious disease and could increase interest in new vaccines, such as those against gonorrhoea 1.

    • Funding of early-stage developmentmixed

      Reliance on partnerships and external funding makes access to capital and licences an uncertain factor for the pace of development 1.

    Competitive position

    Evaxion distinguishes its approach from traditional biotech companies, which base their value only on development candidates, and from tech companies that have only a platform 1. The company argues its platform can find targets that conventional methods such as reverse vaccinology cannot identify 1. The source does not name direct competitors, so the comparison stays qualitative 1.

    Evaxion distinguishes its approach from traditional biotech companies, which base their value only on development candidates, and from tech companies that have only a platform 1. The company argues its platform can find targets that conventional methods such as reverse vaccinology cannot identify 1. The source does not name direct competitors, so the comparison stays qualitative 1.

    The company positions its AI platform against conventional vaccine development, which relies heavily on previously tested antigens 1. Its claimed edge is faster and broader target discovery across many diseases 1. No specific competing companies are named in the source 1.

    • Merck & Co., Inc. (MSD)MRK

      Partner and licensee rather than a direct competitor: it licensed EVX-B3 and is a major shareholder through its venture arm 1.

    • Conventional reverse vaccinology methods

      Established vaccine development approach that the company considers less effective at identifying novel targets 1.

    • Traditional candidate-based biotech companies

      Companies whose value rests only on development candidates, a model the company says it differs from 1.

    • Tech companies with AI platforms but no pipeline

      Companies offering only a platform without a proprietary candidate portfolio, as described by the company 1.

    News & filings

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.