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olivLaw · US equity research

American Vanguard Corporation AVD

Agricultural Chemicals · SIC 2870 · Vertical: Agricultural Chemicals (SIC 2870)

0.98USD−7.05% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

American Vanguard is an Irvine, California company that develops and markets products for crop protection, plant nutrition and pest control, both in the US and internationally. The company is in a transformation phase: net sales in fiscal 2025 fell to 515.1 million USD and the net loss was 49.9 million USD, while its 2026 outlook targets sales of 530 - 550 million USD.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, American Vanguard Corporation (AVD) stock was 0.98 USD (−7.05% on the day), with market capitalisation 28.8 m USD, dividend yield 6.15%, beta 0.92, 52-week range 0.98–5.41 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 116.8 m USD (−9.7% YoY), net income of -9.9 m USD, diluted EPS -0.34 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
28.8 m USD
shares as of 04 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -1.90 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-194.41%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
6.15%
DPS 12m 0.06
Beta (2y)
0.92
Volatility (1y) 72%
52-week range
0.985.41

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
23.1
oversold (≤ 30)
Bollinger (20, 2)
0.78 – 1.55
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.25 · band width 65.6%
SMA 50 / 200
1.73 / 2.85
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.20 / -0.23
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−43.3%−1.1%−42.2 pp—
3 months−61.9%−0.5%−61.4 pp—
6 months−66.5%+4.4%−70.9 pp—
Year to date−74.5%+12.3%−86.8 pp—
1 year−79.3%+13.5%−92.9 pp−10.3%
3 years−90.1%+76.4%−166.5 pp−24.4%
5 years−94.2%+63.7%−157.9 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−82.0%
19 Feb 2026 → 04 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−96.2%
02 Jun 2022 → 04 Nov 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−43.4%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
116.8 m USD
−9.7% YoY
Net income
-9.9 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.34
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-8.5% / -0.3%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue118.3 m165.6 m115.8 m129.3 m119.3 m150.7 m123.6 m116.8 m
Cost of revenue101.0 m142.8 m85.6 m88.8 m85.1 m108.1 m85.2 m82.0 m
Gross profit17.3 m22.8 m30.2 m40.5 m34.2 m42.6 m38.4 m34.7 m
Research & development11.2 m7.2 m5.7 m5.8 m5.7 m6.0 m5.3 m6.5 m
SG&A26.4 m32.7 m26.6 m28.6 m26.7 m28.6 m27.7 m26.6 m
Operating income-28.4 m-70.0 m-4.3 m4.4 m-6.5 m-21.8 m1.9 m-303.0 k
Depreciation & amortisation5.7 m ≈-11.4 m4.7 m4.7 m ≈4.6 m ≈-8.8 m4.7 m4.3 m ≈
Interest expense4.4 m4.6 m3.8 m4.5 m4.9 m5.3 m5.8 m9.1 m
Pre-tax income-32.8 m-77.5 m-8.1 m-84.0 k-11.9 m-27.1 m-4.0 m-9.5 m
Income tax-7.0 m13.0 m387.0 k765.0 k422.0 k1.1 m124.0 k383.0 k
Net income-25.7 m-90.4 m-8.5 m-849.0 k-12.4 m-28.2 m-4.1 m-9.9 m
Diluted EPS-0.91-3.21 ≈-0.30-0.03-0.43-0.99 ≈-0.14-0.34
Operating cash flow27.9 m ≈25.4 m-20.6 m-19.3 m ≈12.7 m ≈6.0 m-35.4 m-25.0 m ≈
Dividends paid840.0 k ≈000 ≈0 ≈0——
Share repurchases0 ≈0——————

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue454.3 m468.2 m458.7 m557.7 m609.6 m579.4 m547.3 m515.1 m
Revenue YoY+27.9%+3.1%−2.0%+21.6%+9.3%−5.0%−5.5%−5.9%
Net income24.2 m13.6 m15.2 m18.6 m27.4 m7.5 m-126.3 m-49.9 m
Net income YoY+19.3%−43.8%+12.1%+21.9%+47.4%−72.6%−1,780.3%unavailable
Diluted EPS0.810.460.510.610.920.26-4.50-1.75
Diluted EPS YoY+19.1%−43.2%+10.9%+19.6%+50.8%−71.7%−1,830.8%unavailable
net %5.3%2.9%3.3%3.3%4.5%1.3%-23.1%-9.7%
Free cash flowunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
unavailable USD
Financial debt
174.0 m USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
192.4 m USD
Total assets
596.5 m USD
Debt / equity
0.90x
Current ratio
1.77x
ROE
-23.4%
ROA
-8.1%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
579.4 m
2024
547.3 m
2025
515.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
400.2 m
2024
427.0 m
2025
367.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
179.2 m
2024
120.3 m
2025
147.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Research & development
2023
38.0 m
2024
32.7 m
2025
23.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

SG&A
2023
116.9 m
2024
119.6 m
2025
110.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
23.3 m
2024
-101.6 m
2025
-28.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
6.6 m
2024
5.2 m
2025
5.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
29.9 m ≈
2024
-96.4 m ≈
2025
-23.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
12.6 m
2024
16.5 m
2025
18.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
10.3 m
2024
-120.5 m
2025
-47.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
2.8 m
2024
5.9 m
2025
2.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
7.5 m
2024
-126.3 m
2025
-49.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.26
2024
-4.50
2025
-1.75

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
28.5 m
2024
28.1 m
2025
28.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.12
2024
0.06
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 29 May 2025verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2023verified

Receivables
2023
182.6 m
2024
169.7 m
2025
160.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
219.6 m
2024
179.3 m
2025
176.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
432.0 m
2024
378.9 m
2025
370.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
74.6 m
2024
58.2 m
2025
53.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
51.2 m
2024
19.7 m
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
172.5 m
2024
150.5 m
2025
138.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
767.5 m
2024
636.7 m
2025
596.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
68.8 m
2024
69.2 m
2025
87.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
0
2024
0
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 06 May 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
138.9 m
2024
147.3 m
2025
174.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
230.5 m
2024
232.4 m
2025
209.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
397.5 m
2024
403.6 m
2025
404.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
370.0 m
2024
233.1 m
2025
192.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-58.7 m
2024
3.9 m
2025
-21.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Investing cash flow
2023
-17.0 m
2024
-6.6 m
2025
-3.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
66.7 m
2024
4.5 m
2025
23.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
3.4 m
2024
2.5 m
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
15.5 m
2024
0
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-5.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-5.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
2.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
29.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
-4.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-5.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-10.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
-26.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-8.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
-5.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
-1.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
unavailable
input data missing

Cash

Operating cash flow
-41.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
123 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
189 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
93 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
219 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
28.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-194.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
6.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Risk

Altman Z
1.48
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 5 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 31.2% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

0.98 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 28.8 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
28.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-26.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-10.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-5.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
6.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 04 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 30 Sept 2026
verified 2546derived 181

Score by group

31% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
0.79
USD per share
Mid
0.90
USD per share
High
1.06
USD per share
Price: 0.98 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -7.3% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -7.9% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 0.79 – 1.06 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)0.79 – 1.06 (Mid 0.90)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Agricultural Chemicals (SIC 2870)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 31.2% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality-10.7%40 (vs peers)20%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-5.5%0 (on a fixed band)27%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-1.1x0 (on a fixed band)20%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.5x100 (on a fixed band)13%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.0%0 (on a fixed band)20%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet40/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial40/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partialunavailable · 0/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

AMERICAN VANGUARD CORPORATION (AVD). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 515.1 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -5.9%; net margin -10.7%; ROE -26.5%.

The estimated value range is 0.79–1.06 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 0.90 USD, the price of 0.98 USD leaves a potential of -7.3% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -7.9% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 31.2% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 2.5x

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -5.5%
  • Interest coverage: -1.1x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.0%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Agricultural Chemicals (SIC 2870) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 10 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 13.3x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 6.4x
P/S
0.1x
vertical median 1.3x
below median (−95.6%)
P/B
0.2x
vertical median 1.0x
below median (−83.9%)
ROE
-26.5%
vertical median -9.3%
below median
Net margin
-10.7%
vertical median -3.7%
below median
EBIT margin
-5.2%
vertical median 3.7%
below median (−241.0%)
Revenue YoY
-5.9%
vertical median 4.0%
below median (−245.7%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.2x
Dividend yield
6.1%
vertical median 3.4%
above median (+81.2%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
NTRNutrien Ltd.41.0 bn15.59.1%8.4%+3.5%+24% / +35%
CFCf Industries Holdings, Inc.16.9 bn7.946.7%32.3%+19.3%+42% / +49%
MOSMosaic Co6.9 bn—-9.3%-9.4%+8.4%−12% / −40%
ICLIcl Group Ltd.5.9 bn25.43.9%3.2%+4.6%−18% / −9%
SMGScotts Miracle-Gro Co3.9 bn55.8—2.1%−3.9%+19% / +21%
UANCvr Partners, LP1.2 bn11.1—16.1%+15.4%+16% / +64%
AVDAmerican Vanguard Corporation28.8 m—-26.5%-10.7%−5.9%−79% / −90%
BIOXBioceres Crop Solutions Corp.16.2 m—-19.1%-16.5%−27.9%−85% / −98%
SNESSenestech, Inc.6.6 m—-107.4%-294.7%+19.6%−58% / −87%
CBUSCibus, Inc.6.2 m—-225.9%-2,258.9%−14.6%−9% / −90%
EVGNEvogene Ltd.3.1 m0.3—-220.2%−30.9%−66% / −95%

1- and 3-year price returns: for AVD from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 11 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-K/A (30 Sept 2026).

    In brief

    American Vanguard is an Irvine, California company that develops and markets products for crop protection, plant nutrition and pest control, both in the US and internationally 13. The company is in a transformation phase: net sales in fiscal 2025 fell to 515.1 million USD and the net loss was 49.9 million USD 1, while its 2026 outlook targets sales of 530 - 550 million USD 3.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • A broad portfolio of products registered in many countries and a leading position in closed delivery systems.
    • A specialized product base and the less contested niches of Specialty provide stability.
    • Management has reduced operating costs and inventory reserves, with visible effects on margins.

    Weaknesses

    • Debt is high, and financing costs rose with the new credit structure.
    • The company depends on a few sole-source suppliers for certain raw materials.
    • International business has declined in recent periods, especially in Mexico and Central America.

    Opportunities

    • If the agricultural market recovers, crop sales could return to higher levels.
    • The Specialty segment and biological products could accelerate growth.
    • Restructuring savings could improve profitability in the second half of the year.

    Threats

    • Product liability suits and regulatory restrictions could limit the use of some substances.
    • Tariffs and trade tensions can disrupt supply chains and costs.
    • Unfavorable weather can reduce demand in some regions.

    Risks

    • EPA regulationhigh

      Withdrawal or restriction of product registrations could affect sales, especially if no substitute is available 1.

    • Product liability litigationhigh

      Cases over DCPA and other pesticides could lead to damage claims and uninsured costs 1.

    • Indebtednessmedium

      High debt and higher interest rates could limit financial flexibility, especially if sales remain weak 2.

    • Supply chainmedium

      Dependence on sole-source suppliers and trade disruptions could delay deliveries and raise costs 1.

    • Weather and crop priceslow

      Drought and low crop prices could reduce orders in several regions 12.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If destocking has ended and demand normalizes, sales could recover and restructuring effects could become visible in margins 13.
    • The US Specialty segment grew in 2026, which could offset weakness in crop products 2.
    • The 2026 outlook was reaffirmed, and management could deliver the promised savings if the plan is executed 3.

    What would break the thesis

    • If farm economy pressure persists, demand could remain cautious and sales could keep falling 2.
    • Higher debt and interest costs could reduce profit and limit investment.
    • Litigation and regulatory restrictions could cause unforeseen losses or narrow the product range available 1.

    What to watch

    • Delivery of the sales and adjusted EBITDA outlook2026
    • Trend in gross margin after the Los Angeles plant optimizationQ3 2026
    • Trend in debt and interest costs after the new credit structureQ3 2026
    • Decisions on restructuring international subsidiaries and details in the annual reportnext 10-K

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 11 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-K/A (30 Sept 2026).

    The business

    AVD operates as a holding company, through AMVAC for its US business and AMVAC Netherlands BV for its international business 1. AMVAC synthesizes, formulates and distributes chemical, biological and biorational products, such as insecticides, fungicides, herbicides, soil fumigants and growth regulators, and holds a leading position in closed delivery systems such as SmartBox Plus 1. The company has one reportable segment and sold its products in 41 countries in 2025 1.

    In 2025 the company launched a business improvement plan, under the mantra 'Simplify, Prioritize and Deliver', covering supply chain costs, manufacturing optimization, go-to-market approaches and organizational restructuring 1. In the second half of 2026, several actions, including the Los Angeles plant optimization and the headquarters relocation, should reduce costs according to management 3.

    Regulatory and product development spending remains significant: in 2025 registration and product development costs totaled 16,119 thousand USD 1. The company operates six manufacturing facilities, two of which are biological fermentation sites 1.

    Segments

    US crop

    US crop net sales fell 3% in 2025, mainly because of soil fumigants and granular soil insecticides, while herbicides grew with the Zalo product 1. In the second quarter of 2026 sales fell 9%, partly because cotton product sales shifted into the third quarter 2.

    US Specialty

    US Specialty (non-crop, turf, ornamentals and public health) grew 11% in the second quarter of 2026, driven by the Turfcide fungicide and Dylox insecticide 2. In 2025 the non-crop segment grew 10%, supported by a technology licensing agreement 1.

    International

    International net sales fell 14% in 2025 due to drought in Australia and excess channel inventory in Mexico 1. In the second quarter of 2026 they fell 18%, due to weather in Central America and higher raw material costs 2.

    Market context

    The agricultural market is cyclical, and demand for AVD products depends on weather, pest pressure and crop prices 1. According to management, distributors and growers remain cautious, buying close to time of use, and destocking may already have largely run its course in the second half of 2025 12. Farm economy pressure rose in 2026 because of higher fuel and fertilizer costs 2.

    The market is also shaped by regulation: products must be registered with the EPA and in each state, and data requirements can raise costs 1. The company notes that crop prices, interest rates and international trade affect demand and margins, but it does not give a precise forecast for the coming period 13.

    Trends

    • Agricultural cyclemixed

      Management describes a cyclical downturn in agriculture, with crop prices near historically low levels, which could limit short-term demand 1. If destocking has ended, this could be the first step toward a cyclical recovery 1.

    • Production and supply costsmixed

      Lower procurement costs and lower inventory reserves helped margins in 2025 1. In 2026, however, higher freight and raw material costs pressured gross margin, and tariffs and trade tensions remain a source of uncertainty 12.

    • Regulation and litigationheadwind

      Regulatory pressure and product liability litigation, including pesticide and PFAS cases, could restrict the use of some active ingredients 1. If the EPA restricted products in the portfolio, the impact would depend on the product affected 1.

    • Operational streamliningtailwind

      Closing facilities and relocating headquarters aim to reduce expenses, and the company reported transformation costs declining 13. If these measures translate into savings, margins could recover in the second half of the year 3.

    Competitive position

    AVD competes with both US and foreign manufacturers, many of which are larger and have greater financial and technical resources 1. The company differentiates itself through quality, efficacy, technical service and positioning in smaller niche markets 1. In the Midwest corn and soybean markets it competes directly with larger companies 1.

    In the US market, management says AVD is beginning to outperform its competition in its most important market, while in international markets price competition and weather have played a major role 32.

    • Large agrochemical manufacturers

      The sources describe competitors with much greater financial and technical resources, without naming them.

    • Local and regional producers

      Competition also comes from producers in other countries, especially in international markets.

    • Biological input suppliers

      The biological segment, including Agrinos, competes with specialized biological input providers.

    • Distributors and cooperatives

      Distributors and cooperatives are sales channels but also customers with bargaining power.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    • Current report01 Oct 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report11 Aug 2026
      Results of operations · Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report10 Aug 2026
    • Current report08 Jun 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers · Shareholder vote · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Quarterly report06 May 2026
    • Proxy statement23 Apr 2026
    • Current report15 Apr 2026
      Departure or appointment of officers
    • Current report19 Mar 2026
      Material agreement · Termination of a material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
    • Current report18 Mar 2026
      Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / American Vanguard Corporation · 16 Mar 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / American Vanguard Corporation · 10 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / American Vanguard Corporation · 11 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.