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olivLaw · US equity research

Cibus, Inc. CBUS

Agricultural Chemicals · SIC 2870 · Vertical: Agricultural Chemicals (SIC 2870)

1.24USD+8.77% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Cibus is an agricultural biotechnology company that uses gene editing to develop plant traits, licensed to seed companies for a royalty on each acre planted. The company is at a critical stage: it is concentrating resources on herbicide tolerance traits in rice and on sustainable ingredients, while available cash is limited and additional financing is essential to continue operations.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Cibus, Inc. (CBUS) stock was 1.24 USD (+8.77% on the day), with market capitalisation 6.2 m USD, beta 2.06, 52-week range 1.14–4.05 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 994.0 k USD (+6.5% YoY), net income of -22.1 m USD, diluted EPS -0.29 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
6.2 m USD
shares as of 28 Apr 2023
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -1.65 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-132.95%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
2.06
Volatility (1y) 106%
52-week range
1.144.05

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
37.7
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
1.17 – 1.57
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.18 · band width 29.8%
SMA 50 / 200
1.50 / 1.84
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.08 / -0.07
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−26.2%−1.1%−25.1 pp—
3 months−35.8%−0.5%−35.3 pp—
6 months−22.0%+4.4%−26.4 pp—
Year to date−28.7%+12.3%−41.1 pp—
1 year−9.5%+13.5%−23.0 pp−14.9%
3 years−89.1%+76.4%−165.5 pp−24.4%
5 years−99.3%+63.7%−163.0 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−71.9%
11 Mar 2026 → 03 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−99.4%
08 Nov 2021 → 03 Nov 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−63.1%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
994.0 k USD
+6.5% YoY
Net income
-22.1 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.29
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-2,227.9% / -1,300.3%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue1.7 m1.2 m1.0 m933.0 k615.0 k1.1 m1.7 m994.0 k
Research & development13.0 m12.4 m11.8 m12.2 m10.8 m9.4 m8.7 m8.5 m
SG&A7.7 m6.8 m9.9 m6.7 m5.3 m5.1 m5.1 m5.4 m
Operating income-200.4 m-18.0 m-41.6 m-17.9 m-15.4 m-22.6 m-12.1 m-12.9 m
Depreciation & amortisation1.7 m ≈1.6 m1.6 m1.6 m ≈1.4 m ≈1.3 m1.2 m1.2 m ≈
Pre-tax income-201.4 m-25.8 m-49.4 m-26.5 m-24.3 m-31.9 m-21.2 m-22.1 m
Income tax13.0 k6.0 k2.0 k27.0 k-6.0 k6.0 k7.0 k6.0 k
Net income-180.0 m-23.1 m-46.9 m-25.4 m-23.5 m-31.3 m-21.2 m-22.1 m
Diluted EPS-7.63-0.87 ≈-1.34-0.61-0.44-0.59 ≈-0.33-0.29
Operating cash flow-13.5 m ≈-14.0 m-11.8 m-13.6 m ≈-11.7 m ≈-13.4 m-11.5 m-9.4 m ≈
Capex355.0 k ≈56.0 k291.0 k93.0 k ≈108.0 k ≈86.0 k115.0 k-42.0 k ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue236.0 k7.3 m23.9 m26.0 m157.0 k1.8 m4.3 m3.6 m
Revenue YoY−53.5%+2,991.5%+226.9%+9.0%−99.4%+1,057.3%+134.6%−14.6%
Net income-27.9 m-39.6 m-44.8 m-29.2 m-16.9 m-267.6 m-251.4 m-127.1 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPSunavailableunavailable-1.32-0.78-18.36-25.95-10.83-2.78
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-11,820.8%-542.9%-188.0%-112.4%-10,758.6%-14,729.1%-5,898.4%-3,492.3%
Free cash flow-22.0 m-34.9 m-45.5 m-19.3 m-20.9 m-50.5 m-58.9 m-51.2 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
9.9 m USD
Financial debt
528.0 k USD
Net debt
-9.4 m USD
Equity
21.8 m USD
Total assets
305.0 m USD
Debt / equity
0.02x
Current ratio
0.72x
ROE
-223.0%
ROA
-38.8%
FCF margin
-1,406.1%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.8 m
2024
4.3 m
2025
3.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2023verified

Gross profit
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2023verified

Research & development
2023
42.4 m
2024
50.4 m
2025
44.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Mar 2026verified

SG&A
2023
28.9 m
2024
30.8 m
2025
26.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-318.9 m
2024
-258.4 m
2025
-97.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
4.7 m
2024
6.9 m
2025
5.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-314.2 m ≈
2024
-251.5 m ≈
2025
-91.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2023verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-337.6 m
2024
-282.7 m
2025
-132.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-4.0 k
2024
29.0 k
2025
29.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-267.6 m
2024
-251.4 m
2025
-127.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-25.95
2024
-10.83
2025
-2.78

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
10.3 m
2024
23.2 m
2025
45.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
32.7 m
2024
14.4 m
2025
9.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
530.0 k
2024
1.0 m
2025
503.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 03 Mar 2022verified

Current assets
2023
35.2 m
2024
16.9 m
2025
12.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2023verified

Goodwill
2023
434.9 m
2024
253.5 m
2025
232.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
35.4 m
2024
33.6 m
2025
31.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
544.4 m
2024
350.1 m
2025
305.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
6.1 m
2024
6.0 m
2025
8.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
833.0 k
2024
436.0 k
2025
435.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
536.0 k
2024
226.0 k
2025
93.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
21.3 m
2024
19.9 m
2025
16.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
206.1 m
2024
252.2 m
2025
283.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
293.5 m
2024
92.2 m
2025
21.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-46.2 m
2024
-58.0 m
2025
-50.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
4.3 m
2024
808.0 k
2025
578.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-50.5 m ≈
2024
-58.9 m ≈
2025
-51.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
55.1 m
2024
-808.0 k
2025
-578.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
20.3 m
2024
40.6 m
2025
46.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-14.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
185.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-31.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
-1,333.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-1,450.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-2,258.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-1,065.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-225.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-29.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
-308.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
-21.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
-19.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
Debt / equity
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-46.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
267.0 k USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-46.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
75 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
6.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
-13.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-133.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
1.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
-3.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-751.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

Risk

Altman Z
-4.63
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 5 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 37.5% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

1.24 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 6.2 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
6.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
ROE
-225.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-2,258.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-14.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 28 Apr 2023
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 13 Aug 2026
verified 1361derived 117

Score by group

38% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · input data missing

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Agricultural Chemicals (SIC 2870)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 37.5% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-308.3%0 (vs peers)28%
Net margin · Quality-2,258.9%0 (vs peers)17%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth185.1%100 (on a fixed band)22%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.6x69 (on a fixed band)11%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-751.1%0 (on a fixed band)22%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial69/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality0/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Cibus, Inc. (CBUS). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 3.6 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -14.6%; net margin -2,258.9%; ROE -225.9%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 37.5% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 185.1%

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: -308.3%
  • Net margin: -2,258.9%
  • FCF yield: -751.1%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Agricultural Chemicals (SIC 2870) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 10 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 13.3x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 6.4x
P/S
1.4x
vertical median 1.0x
above median (+45.6%)
P/B
0.4x
vertical median 1.0x
below median (−57.8%)
ROE
-225.9%
vertical median -9.3%
below median
Net margin
-2,258.9%
vertical median -3.7%
below median
EBIT margin
-1,450.6%
vertical median 3.7%
below median (−39,087.7%)
Revenue YoY
-14.6%
vertical median 4.0%
below median (−462.0%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.2x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 3.8%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
NTRNutrien Ltd.41.0 bn15.59.1%8.4%+3.5%+24% / +35%
CFCf Industries Holdings, Inc.16.9 bn7.946.7%32.3%+19.3%+42% / +49%
MOSMosaic Co6.9 bn—-9.3%-9.4%+8.4%−12% / −40%
ICLIcl Group Ltd.5.9 bn25.43.9%3.2%+4.6%−18% / −9%
SMGScotts Miracle-Gro Co3.9 bn55.8—2.1%−3.9%+19% / +21%
UANCvr Partners, LP1.2 bn11.1—16.1%+15.4%+16% / +64%
AVDAmerican Vanguard Corporation28.8 m—-26.5%-10.7%−5.9%−79% / −90%
BIOXBioceres Crop Solutions Corp.16.2 m—-19.1%-16.5%−27.9%−85% / −98%
SNESSenestech, Inc.6.6 m—-107.4%-294.7%+19.6%−58% / −87%
CBUSCibus, Inc.6.2 m—-225.9%-2,258.9%−14.6%−9% / −89%
EVGNEvogene Ltd.3.1 m0.3—-220.2%−30.9%−66% / −95%

1- and 3-year price returns: for CBUS from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Cibus is an agricultural biotechnology company that uses gene editing to develop plant traits, licensed to seed companies for a royalty on each acre planted. The company is at a critical stage: it is concentrating resources on herbicide tolerance traits in rice and on sustainable ingredients, while available cash is limited and additional financing is essential to continue operations.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • A proprietary gene editing platform protected by more than 500 patents and applications, with operational platforms in several crops and regulatory confirmations from several countries.
    • The per-acre royalty model is familiar to the industry, which could ease adoption by seed companies and farmers.
    • Rice herbicide tolerance traits have successful field trials and active customers in several Latin American countries and in the United States.

    Weaknesses

    • At the time of reporting the company has no revenue-generating commercial contract with seed companies, which limits revenue visibility.
    • Available cash is limited and significant uncertainty about the ability to continue as a going concern could force programs to be deferred.
    • Reliance on share issuances for funding has caused repeated dilution for shareholders.

    Opportunities

    • If the definitive agreement with the Latin American partner is concluded, a multi-trait model with an expanded partner could follow.
    • The markets of India and Asia outside China could open new partnerships and royalty revenue.
    • Scaling sustainable ingredients could generate additional revenue if partners move to larger commercial orders.

    Threats

    • Exclusion of herbicide tolerance traits from the European framework could limit access to an important market.
    • Larger seed companies could build in-house editing capabilities, reducing the number of potential customers.
    • If financing is not obtained in time, the company could be forced to cut programs or enter insolvency proceedings.

    Risks

    • Going concernhigh

      Management has expressed substantial doubt about the company's ability to continue as a going concern without new financing. If no funds or strategic transaction are obtained, programs could be halted.

    • No commercial royalty contracts yethigh

      Revenue still depends largely on partner funding and agreements under negotiation. Delay in concluding definitive agreements could postpone expected revenue.

    • Shareholder dilutionmedium

      Repeated issuances of shares and warrants could significantly reduce the stake of existing shareholders.

    • Development and regulatory delaysmedium

      The launch timeline depends on field testing and approvals in several countries. Delays could push launches beyond announced targets.

    • European restrictions on herbicide tolerancelow

      Exclusion of HT traits from the EU framework could limit commercial potential in an important market.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If several partners in Latin America and India sign commercial agreements, the per-acre royalty model could turn the platform into a source of recurring revenue.
    • Regulatory convergence with conventional breeding could reduce costs and launch times for new traits.
    • Scaling bio-based fragrances could generate additional revenue and validate the platform model for other products.

    What would break the thesis

    • Without additional financing, the company could be forced to cut programs or enter insolvency, with significant losses for shareholders.
    • If partner agreements do not become commercial, expenses could remain above revenue for an extended period.
    • Repeated share issuances could reduce value for existing shareholders and limit strategic flexibility.

    What to watch

    • New financing or strategic transaction to cover cash needsQ1 2027
    • Definitive commercial agreement with the Interoc partner for rice traits2026
    • Additional scale-up orders for bio-based fragrancessecond half 2026

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    The company reported a net loss of $132.2 million for 2025 and an accumulated deficit of $858.3 million, with no revenue-generating commercial contract with seed companies at the annual report date. In the second quarter of 2026, cash and cash equivalents stood at $20.4 million, and management expects this to fund planned spending into early the first quarter of 2027 without new financing. The company reduced staff and consolidated operations in San Diego to focus its capital.

    Cibus describes its model as partnership-based: the company works with partners' seed varieties, improves them through precise editing and returns them, while the partners keep their original varieties. Revenue comes from partner funding for specific programs and future royalties per acre planted, so growth depends on acres rather than headcount.

    Segments

    Sustainable ingredients

    The bio-fragrance program, made with engineered yeast fermentation, is in a commercial ramp-up phase with a consumer products partner. The company targets additional scale-up orders in the second half of 2026, and peak annual revenue opportunity is estimated at $20 to $40 million. A partner-funded lauric oils program in soybean is also under way.

    Market context

    The company assesses the global seed market, where aggregate trait value across GMO and non-GMO seeds is estimated by management at approximately $12.0 billion. Cibus aims to compete in the segment of gene-edited traits, where regulation is moving closer to conventional breeding, particularly in the US, EU and Latin America.

    Regulatory evolution is the central factor: the EU approved in June 2026 a framework that treats crops with precise edits and no foreign DNA on the same basis as conventional crops, although herbicide tolerant plants are excluded. This could constrain access to European acres for the company's HT traits, but opens a path for disease resistance programs.

    Trends

    • Regulation converging with conventional breedingtailwind

      Several jurisdictions, including the US, Ecuador and Peru, treat traits edited without foreign DNA like conventional ones, which could reduce costs and time to market.

    • EU exclusion of herbicide toleranceheadwind

      The new European framework excludes herbicide tolerant plants from the simplified treatment, which could restrict access to European acres for HT-type traits.

    • Demand for natural fragrance ingredientstailwind

      Demand for natural alternatives to synthetic fragrances and to costly petal extraction could support commercialization of bio-based fragrances if partners continue scaling.

    • Financing pressure and shareholder dilutionmixed

      Reliance on share issuances and partnership funding could lead to significant dilution if commercial royalty contracts do not materialize.

    Competitive position

    The company competes with other breeding techniques, other gene editing platforms and large agricultural chemical producers, which have far greater financial and research resources. Seed companies could also build their own gene editing capabilities, reducing the pool of potential customers for Cibus.

    In sustainable ingredients, competition comes from traditional ingredients made by large chemical companies and from alternatives produced by fermentation and synthetic biology. Better-resourced rivals could accelerate technologies superior to the RTDS platform, and the use of AI for rapid development intensifies this pressure.

    • Large seed and agricultural chemical companies with in-house gene editing programs

      Large companies that could develop or acquire their own editing capabilities and have historical relationships with Cibus's potential customers.

    • Producers of traditional and advanced breeding techniques

      Classical breeding and advanced selection compete with edited traits as a way to improve crops.

    • Traditional fragrance and specialty chemical ingredient producers

      Conventional ingredients from chemical and fragrance companies are the direct competition for the sustainable ingredients program.

    • Biotechnology firms and academic institutions

      Startups and research institutes may compete for new trait discovery and for partnerships with large seed companies.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Cibus, Inc. · 17 Mar 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Cibus, Inc. · 13 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Cibus, Inc. · 13 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.