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olivLaw · US equity research

BGC Group, Inc. BGC

Security & Commodity Brokers, Dealers, Exchanges & Services · SIC 6200 · Vertical: Security & Commodity Brokers, Dealers, Exchanges & Services (SIC 6200)

11.27USD+1.08% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

BGC Group is a global marketplace, data and financial technology company, specialised in brokerage across energy, commodities and shipping, as well as bonds, currencies and derivatives. The company is expanding its electronic platforms Fenics and FMX, which have taken a growing share of its business, and this matters for investors and clients tracking the market shift to electronic trading. In the second quarter of 2026, revenues reached a record 845.5 million USD, and Fenics revenues grew 14.3%.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, BGC Group, Inc. (BGC) stock was 11.27 USD (+1.08% on the day), with P/E 27.5 on diluted EPS of 0.41 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.71%, beta 0.87, 52-week range 8.31–12.65 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 845.5 m USD (+7.8% YoY), net income of 72.5 m USD (+26.0% YoY), diluted EPS 0.15 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
unavailable
P/E (TTM)
27.5
Diluted EPS TTM 0.41 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
3.64%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
0.71%
DPS 12m 0.08
Beta (2y)
0.87
Volatility (1y) 33%
52-week range
8.3112.65

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
43.3
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
11.09 – 11.93
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.21 · band width 7.3%
SMA 50 / 200
11.80 / 10.88
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.12 / -0.08
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−7.6%−1.1%−6.5 pp—
3 months+2.8%−0.5%+3.3 pp—
6 months+3.5%+4.4%−0.9 pp—
Year to date+26.2%+12.3%+13.9 pp—
1 year+22.4%+13.5%+8.8 pp+9.5%
3 years+84.5%+76.4%+8.0 pp+40.1%
5 years+119.3%+63.7%+55.6 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−19.7%
24 Jun 2026 → 11 Aug 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−38.8%
08 Nov 2021 → 18 May 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+17.0%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
845.5 m USD
+7.8% YoY
Net income
72.5 m USD
+26.0% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.15
+36.4% YoY
net / operating
8.6% / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue561.1 m572.3 m664.2 m784.0 m736.8 m756.4 m955.5 m845.5 m
Depreciation & amortisation19.9 m ≈20.7 m21.9 m25.9 m ≈27.4 m ≈28.1 m25.8 m25.6 m ≈
Pre-tax income19.7 m27.2 m80.0 m75.3 m33.5 m25.0 m115.4 m98.9 m
Income tax6.0 m3.9 m26.5 m19.1 m7.4 m14.2 m32.0 m30.1 m
Net income14.7 m21.4 m55.2 m57.5 m27.9 m14.4 m84.1 m72.5 m
Diluted EPS0.030.04 ≈0.110.110.060.03 ≈0.170.15
Operating cash flow88.3 m ≈251.9 m839.0 k71.2 m ≈141.9 m ≈180.4 m20.2 m161.6 m ≈
Capex9.6 m ≈6.3 m5.3 m6.3 m ≈4.7 m ≈5.3 m4.8 m4.9 m ≈
Dividends paid9.8 m ≈9.7 m9.9 m9.7 m ≈9.8 m ≈9.7 m9.7 m9.7 m ≈
Share repurchases64.1 m ≈50.0 m23.1 m148.5 m ≈41.9 m ≈68.0 m2.3 m112.4 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 44 percentile of its own 34-quarter history (min 11.2, median 29.2, max 126.0; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1.9 bn2.1 bn2.1 bn2.0 bn1.8 bn2.0 bn2.3 bn2.9 bn
Revenue YoY+10.7%+8.6%−2.3%−2.0%−10.9%+12.8%+11.7%+30.0%
Net income202.2 m43.9 m50.9 m153.5 m58.9 m38.8 m123.2 m155.0 m
Net income YoY+292.8%−78.3%+16.0%+201.4%−61.6%−34.1%+217.8%+25.8%
Diluted EPS0.620.120.120.320.130.070.250.31
Diluted EPS YoY+264.7%−80.6%0.0%+166.7%−59.4%−46.2%+257.1%+24.0%
net %10.4%2.1%2.5%7.6%3.3%1.9%5.4%5.3%
Free cash flowunavailable194.4 m271.8 m407.1 m213.8 m390.3 m285.7 m372.9 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
851.5 m USD
Financial debt
1.8 bn USD
Net debt
944.2 m USD
Equity
1.1 bn USD
Total assets
4.4 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.57x
Current ratio
unavailable
ROE
13.9%
ROA
3.9%
FCF margin
12.7%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
2.0 bn
2024
2.3 bn
2025
2.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
80.4 m
2024
81.4 m
2025
103.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
77.2 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Feb 2024verified

Pre-tax income
2023
57.7 m
2024
173.1 m
2025
213.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
18.9 m
2024
49.9 m
2025
67.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
38.8 m
2024
123.2 m
2025
155.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.07
2024
0.25
2025
0.31

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
490.0 m
2024
479.1 m
2025
481.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.04
2024
0.07
2025
0.08

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
655.6 m
2024
711.6 m
2025
851.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 01 Mar 2021verified

Goodwill
2023
506.3 m
2024
540.3 m
2025
648.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
211.3 m
2024
240.9 m
2025
428.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
3.2 bn
2024
3.6 bn
2025
4.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
0
2025
20.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
2.3 bn
2024
2.5 bn
2025
3.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
898.2 m
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
405.2 m
2024
315.4 m
2025
394.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
14.9 m
2024
29.6 m
2025
21.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
390.3 m ≈
2024
285.7 m ≈
2025
372.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-90.7 m
2024
-97.0 m
2025
-282.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-146.9 m
2024
-149.0 m
2025
21.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
17.4 m
2024
34.2 m
2025
39.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
114.6 m
2024
262.2 m
2025
281.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 02 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
30.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
17.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
7.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
25.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
38.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
24.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
24.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
33.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
20.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
30.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
6.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
14.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
19.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
3.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
19.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
8.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
1.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
1.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
unavailable
input data missing

Cash

Operating cash flow
504.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
19.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
484.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
243.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
unavailable
input data missing
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
input data missing
P/E (TTM)
27.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
3.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
P/S
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
0.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 43.8% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

11.27 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: unavailable

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
unavailable
input data missing
P/E (TTM)
27.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
19.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
6.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
30.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

25/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 10 Aug 2026
verified 1961derived 169

Score by group

44% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
7.33
USD per share
Mid
9.79
USD per share
High
10.34
USD per share
Price: 11.27 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -13.1% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -15.1% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 7.33 – 10.34 USD.

Methods computed but outside the aggregate range: Dividend discount (DDM) (a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate).

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E7.33 – 10.34 (Mid 9.79)
    9 companies used · median multiple 23.9x · quartiles 17.9x – 25.2x
    CBOE, CME, GSIW, ICE, LPLA, MRX, NDAQ, SNEX, TW
  • Dividend discount (DDM)outside the aggregate1.05 – 1.41 (Mid 1.21)
    a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Security & Commodity Brokers, Dealers, Exchanges & Services (SIC 6200)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 43.8% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality6.0%50 (vs peers)14%
FCF conversion · Quality243.6%100 (on a fixed band)14%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth17.9%100 (on a fixed band)19%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth33.6%100 (on a fixed band)19%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
P/E (TTM) · Valuation27.5x22 (vs peers)24%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns8.0%100 (on a fixed band)10%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partialunavailable · 0/3 factors with a value
  • Growth100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality75/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial22/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

BGC Group, Inc. (BGC). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 2.9 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 30.0%; net margin 6.0%; ROE 19.5%.

The estimated value range is 7.33–10.34 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 9.79 USD, the price of 11.27 USD leaves a potential of -13.1% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -15.1% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 43.8% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 243.6%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 17.9%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 33.6%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 8.0%

What contradicts it

  • P/E (TTM): 27.5x
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, Current ratio, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Shareholder yield (distributions).

Versus the vertical median

Security & Commodity Brokers, Dealers, Exchanges & Services (SIC 6200) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 15 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
27.5x
vertical median 23.9x
above median (+15.1%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 17.1x
P/S
—
vertical median 6.7x
P/B
—
vertical median 3.4x
ROE
19.5%
vertical median 14.1%
above median (+38.7%)
Net margin
6.0%
vertical median 3.6%
above median (+68.6%)
EBIT margin
—
vertical median -0.0%
Revenue YoY
30.0%
vertical median 18.9%
above median (+58.5%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 2.9x
Dividend yield
0.7%
vertical median 1.1%
below median (−32.9%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ICEIntercontinental Exchange, Inc.97.8 bn23.914.2%29.6%+7.5%+11% / +54%
NDAQNasdaq, Inc.60.9 bn30.017.4%22.8%+11.6%+21% / +96%
CBOECboe Global Markets, Inc.36.0 bn24.527.4%28.0%+15.1%+34% / +89%
LPLALPL Financial Holdings Inc.24.3 bn17.925.7%6.8%+37.2%−13% / +40%
SNEXStoneX Group Inc.6.9 bn13.021.9%0.3%+32.5%+41% / +214%
MRXMarex Group Ltd5.1 bn18.228.7%14.5%+26.9%+102% / unavailable
TOPTop Financial Group Limited401.2 m—-1.0%-23.3%+41.9%+95% / −51%
EBONEbang International Holdings Inc.199.5 m—-5.6%-215.6%+11.4%−48% / −73%
GSIWGarden Stage Limited164.1 m7.6-89.5%-190.1%+33.2%−65% / unavailable
WTFWaton Financial Limited95.5 m—-87.9%-136.7%+48.8%−40% / unavailable
STEXStreamex Corp.42.0 m—-705.4%—+122.2%−92% / −86%
SOSSOS Limited23.4 m—-22.7%-63.1%−33.3%−84% / −100%
CMECme Group Inc.—25.216.1%63.3%+6.4%+10% / +41%
PLUTPlutus Financial Group Limited——-55.3%-377.3%+6.9%−63% / unavailable
TWTradeweb Markets Inc.029.814.1%39.8%+18.9%+17% / +31%
BGCBGC Group, Inc.—27.519.5%6.0%+30.0%+22% / +84%

1- and 3-year price returns: for BGC from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Scenarios are not available. input data missing

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

BGC Group is a global marketplace, data and financial technology company, specialised in brokerage across energy, commodities and shipping, as well as bonds, currencies and derivatives. The company is expanding its electronic platforms Fenics and FMX, which have taken a growing share of its business, and this matters for investors and clients tracking the market shift to electronic trading. In the second quarter of 2026, revenues reached a record 845.5 million USD, and Fenics revenues grew 14.3%.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company holds a strong position in energy and commodities brokerage, reinforced by recent acquisitions and by Fenics, a proprietary technology platform with margins higher than traditional brokerage.
  • The FMX platform has won significant market share in US Treasuries and futures, and a global office network and front-office staff support access to institutional clients.
  • Revenues rose across several asset classes in the second quarter of 2026, showing a diversified revenue base and the ability to grow in different market conditions.

Weaknesses

  • Voice and hybrid brokerage remain an important part of the business, with lower margins than electronic platforms, which limits the profitability gain from technology conversion.
  • Revenues depend on trading volumes, which can fall quickly in periods of low volatility, directly affecting results.
  • The company has had reliance on key executives and on relationships with affiliated entities, and leadership changes have added uncertainty about strategic continuity.

Opportunities

  • The prediction market ecosystem, for which the company has partnered with Fanatics, could open new data revenue streams and products if it develops as expected.
  • Extending FMX to all US Treasury futures tenors and growing futures volumes could add market share against established competitors.
  • Growing demand for electronic execution and market data could raise Fenics revenues, particularly if new clients move to electronic platforms.

Threats

  • A fall in trading volumes due to geopolitical tensions or monetary policy shifts could reduce revenues across all brokerage divisions.
  • Strong competition from established exchanges and platforms may limit the growth of FMX market share and of other new products.
  • Regulatory changes, including capital and clearing requirements, could raise compliance costs and limit certain activities.

Risks

  • Dependence on trading volumeshigh

    Revenues fall materially when trading volumes in financial markets decline, which could affect the company's profitability.

  • Exposure to geopolitical events and monetary policyhigh

    Conflicts, sanctions and central bank decisions can change trading volumes and values, with positive or negative effects on results.

  • Acquisition and integration riskmedium

    Integrating recently acquired businesses such as OTC Global and AMCOM could bring unexpected costs or delay the expected benefits.

  • Regulatory and tax riskmedium

    The company's activities are subject to extensive regulation, and examinations, fines or tax changes could create additional costs and restrictions.

  • Reliance on front-office personnelmedium

    The company depends on brokers and managers to generate revenue, and losing key people or struggling to hire talent could affect operations.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Revenue growth in the second quarter of 2026 and in Fenics shows that the electronification and diversification strategy is delivering results.
  • The FMX platform is gaining market share in US Treasuries and futures, and if the full tenor launch translates into higher volumes, the company could strengthen its position against large competitors.
  • Acquisitions in energy and commodities have made the company a leader in energy and shipping brokerage, a position that could support growth when markets are active.

What would break the thesis

  • Revenues depend on trading volumes, and a period of low volatility or geopolitical tension could reduce quarterly results.
  • Third-quarter 2026 guidance sets a range of revenues within which actual results may vary, and performance below expectations could weigh on investor confidence.
  • Competition from established exchanges and platforms could limit FMX's market share gains, and integrating recent acquisitions could add costs.

What to watch

  • Third-quarter 2026 results against revenue and pre-tax Adjusted Earnings guidanceQ3 2026
  • FMX Futures Exchange volumes and FMX UST market share after the listing of all Treasury tenorsQ3 2026
  • Development of Fenics Growth Platforms revenues, especially PortfolioMatch and LuceraQ3 2026
  • Progress of the Fanatics partnership for the prediction market ecosystem and its impact on data revenues2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

BGC Group, Inc. is a global marketplace, data and financial technology company operating in ECS (energy, commodities and shipping) and financial markets. It offers brokerage and trade execution for listed and OTC products, as well as market data, network, connectivity and post-trade services. The company has offices in all major regions and 2,467 brokers, salespeople and front-office managers as of 30 June 2026 2.

The business is split between voice and hybrid brokerage, which still account for most revenues, and the higher-margin, technology-driven Fenics division. Fenics represented 22.4% of total revenues in fiscal 2025 1. The company was reorganised in 2023 through a corporate conversion that simplified its structure and made BGC Group the public parent listed on Nasdaq under the ticker BGC 1.

Recent acquisitions strengthened the energy and commodities franchise, notably OTC Global in April 2025, which made BGC the largest energy, commodities and shipping broker by revenue as of 31 December 2025, and AMCOM in December 2025, which added agricultural commodity trading 1. The FMX platform, created with major investment banks, combines a US interest rate futures exchange with cash Treasuries and spot FX platforms 1.

Segments

Fenics

Fenics is the technology division with higher margins, covering fully electronic brokerage, market data, network and post-trade services. Fenics revenues reached 186.2 million USD in the second quarter of 2026, up 14.3% 2. The division is split into Fenics Markets and Fenics Growth Platforms, which include FMX UST, FMX FX, FMX Futures Exchange, Lucera and PortfolioMatch 2.

ECS (energy, commodities, shipping)

ECS covers brokerage in oil and refined products, energy, natural gas, environmental and energy transition products, metals, agricultural products and freight. In the second quarter of 2026, ECS revenues were 275.5 million USD, up 5.3%, supported by shipping, environmental and commodities, though partly offset by lower oil and refined product volumes due to disruptions from the Strait of Hormuz closure 3.

Market context

BGC operates in global brokerage markets where clients are large banks, trading firms, hedge funds, governments, corporations and commodity producers and consumers. The company focuses on niches where electronification is growing, such as electronic trading of bonds and currencies, and on futures markets for interest rates and commodities.

According to the quarterly report, OTC brokerage is moving increasingly towards electronic execution, and regulation across banking, capital markets and OTC derivatives is accelerating this shift 2. Revenues still depend on trading volumes, which can fall in periods of low volatility or geopolitical tension 1.

Trends

  • Shift to electronic tradingtailwind

    Clients are moving more transactions onto electronic platforms, and Fenics benefits from margins higher than voice brokerage. The company says it expects this trend to continue 2.

  • Growth of FMX platformstailwind

    The FMX platform is gaining market share in US Treasuries and futures, and the listing of all US Treasury futures tenors planned for August 2026 could support volumes and open interest 2.

  • Geopolitical and interest rate volatilitymixed

    Regional conflicts, central bank decisions and tariff uncertainty can move trading volumes in either direction. Higher interest rates have had a positive effect on revenues, but lower rates could slow FX trading 1.

  • Demand for market data and connectivitytailwind

    Demand for market data, connectivity and post-trade services is growing, and Lucera and Fenics Market Data contributed to revenue growth in this category 3. The sale of kACE on 31 December 2025 reduced reported data revenues 3.

Competitive position

The company competes in brokerage, trading technology and market data with other brokerage houses and exchanges. The filing explicitly names CME as the leading position holder in interest rate futures, cash US Treasuries and spot FX that the FMX platform is challenging 2.

Competition is intense, and the company's strategy relies on executing more transactions, increasing market share and launching competitive or innovative new products 1. The sources do not give the company's relative position in each segment, so this picture remains partial.

  • CME GroupCME

    Direct competitor in interest rate futures and in cash Treasury and spot FX markets, where the FMX platform is seeking market share.

  • Other energy and commodities brokers

    Competitors in energy, commodities and shipping brokerage, where the company has grown through recent acquisitions.

  • Electronic trading venues and platforms

    Competitors in electronic trading of bonds, currencies and derivatives, where Fenics aims to grow.

  • Market data providers

    Competitors in market data and analytics, where Fenics Market Data competes with specialist vendors.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

  • Current report03 Nov 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Proxy statement08 Oct 2026
  • Current report28 Sept 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report10 Aug 2026
  • Current report30 Jul 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report25 Jun 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report15 May 2026
    Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report11 May 2026
  • Current report07 May 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report26 Mar 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / BGC Group, Inc. · 02 Mar 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / BGC Group, Inc. · 10 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / BGC Group, Inc. · 30 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.