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olivLaw · US equity research

BorgWarner Inc. BWA

Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories · SIC 3714 · Vertical: Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories (SIC 3714)

50.40USD−2.53% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

BorgWarner is a global supplier of technology for combustion, hybrid and electric vehicles, selling mainly to light-vehicle automakers. In 2026 it trimmed its battery segment and is investing in products for data centers and industry, while its auto market outlook is flat to lower.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, BorgWarner Inc. (BWA) stock was 50.40 USD (−2.53% on the day), with market capitalisation 10.1 bn USD, P/E 21.5 on diluted EPS of 2.35 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.35%, beta 1.03, 52-week range 40.96–77.03 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 3.5 bn USD (−2.9% YoY), net income of 221.0 m USD (+39.9% YoY), diluted EPS 1.08 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
10.1 bn USD
shares as of 23 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
21.5
Diluted EPS TTM 2.35 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
4.66%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.35%
DPS 12m 0.68
Beta (2y)
1.03
Volatility (1y) 41%
52-week range
40.9677.03

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
22.5
oversold (≤ 30)
Bollinger (20, 2)
49.80 – 63.12
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.05 · band width 23.6%
SMA 50 / 200
60.45 / 60.67
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-2.67 / -2.17
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−16.4%−1.1%−15.3 pp—
3 months−24.5%−0.5%−24.1 pp—
6 months−15.2%+4.4%−19.6 pp—
Year to date+11.9%+12.3%−0.5 pp—
1 year+14.3%+13.5%+0.7 pp−12.2%
3 years+51.1%+76.4%−25.3 pp−3.9%
5 years+22.1%+63.7%−41.6 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−34.6%
04 Jun 2026 → 04 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−47.1%
13 Jul 2023 → 08 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+4.1%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
3.5 bn USD
−2.9% YoY
Net income
221.0 m USD
+39.9% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.08
+47.9% YoY
net / operating
6.3% / 8.7%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue3.4 bn3.5 bn3.6 bn3.6 bn3.6 bn3.5 bn3.6 bn3.5 bn
Cost of revenue2.8 bn2.9 bn3.0 bn2.9 bn2.8 bn2.9 bn2.9 bn2.8 bn
Gross profit683.0 m639.0 m640.0 m664.0 m731.0 m677.0 m721.0 m662.0 m
Research & development170.0 m182.0 m182.0 m189.0 m157.0 m177.0 m176.0 m172.0 m
SG&A340.0 m315.0 m317.0 m341.0 m331.0 m328.0 m331.0 m310.0 m
Operating income-316.0 m237.0 m289.0 m248.0 m-238.0 m336.0 m370.0 m302.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation178.0 m155.0 m179.0 m219.0 m166.0 m145.0 m149.0 m153.0 m
Interest expense28.0 m28.0 m24.0 m25.0 m22.0 m25.0 m25.0 m17.0 m
Pre-tax income29.0 m232.0 m284.0 m248.0 m-240.0 m328.0 m372.0 m298.0 m
Income tax67.0 m61.0 m52.0 m75.0 m1.0 m73.0 m81.0 m65.0 m
Net income-405.0 m157.0 m224.0 m158.0 m-262.0 m242.0 m277.0 m221.0 m
Diluted EPS-1.85 ≈0.721.030.73-1.23 ≈1.161.341.08
Operating cash flow—82.0 m579.0 m ≈368.0 m ≈—152.0 m586.0 m ≈320.0 m ≈
Capex161.0 m119.0 m77.0 m111.0 m162.0 m143.0 m96.0 m ≈125.0 m ≈
Dividends paid24.0 m24.0 m24.0 m ≈36.0 m ≈35.0 m35.0 m34.0 m ≈35.0 m ≈
Share repurchases1.0 m0108.0 m ≈102.0 m ≈298.0 m150.0 m100.0 m ≈175.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 75 percentile of its own 40-quarter history (min 6.2, median 12.9, max 69.8; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue10.5 bn10.2 bn10.2 bn11.8 bn12.6 bn14.2 bn14.1 bn14.3 bn
Revenue YoY+7.5%−3.4%−0.0%+16.1%+7.0%+12.4%−0.8%+1.6%
Net income931.0 m746.0 m500.0 m537.0 m944.0 m625.0 m338.0 m277.0 m
Net income YoY+111.6%−19.9%−33.0%+7.4%+75.8%−33.8%−45.9%−18.0%
Diluted EPS4.443.612.342.243.992.671.501.28
Diluted EPS YoY+113.5%−18.7%−35.2%−4.3%+78.1%−33.1%−43.8%−14.7%
net %8.8%7.3%4.9%4.5%7.5%4.4%2.4%1.9%
Free cash flow580.0 m527.0 m743.0 m792.0 m947.0 munavailableunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
2.3 bn USD
Financial debt
3.9 bn USD
Net debt
1.6 bn USD
Equity
5.6 bn USD
Total assets
13.8 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.69x
Current ratio
2.07x
ROE
4.9%
ROA
2.0%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
14.2 bn
2024
14.1 bn
2025
14.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
11.6 bn
2024
11.4 bn
2025
11.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
2.6 bn
2024
2.6 bn
2025
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
717.0 m
2024
736.0 m
2025
710.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
1.2 bn
2024
546.0 m
2025
536.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
582.0 m
2024
673.0 m
2025
719.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
1.7 bn ≈
2024
1.2 bn ≈
2025
1.3 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
73.0 m
2024
84.0 m
2025
99.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
991.0 m
2024
539.0 m
2025
524.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
289.0 m
2024
111.0 m
2025
189.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
625.0 m
2024
338.0 m
2025
277.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
2.67
2024
1.50
2025
1.28

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
234.4 m
2024
224.8 m
2025
216.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.56
2024
0.44
2025
0.56

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
1.5 bn
2024
2.1 bn
2025
2.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
6.2 bn
2024
6.5 bn
2025
6.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
3.0 bn
2024
2.4 bn
2025
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
564.0 m
2024
474.0 m
2025
394.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
14.5 bn
2024
14.0 bn
2025
13.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2023verified

Short-term debt
2023
3.0 m
2024
337.0 m
2025
2.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
3.7 bn
2024
3.8 bn
2025
3.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
3.8 bn
2024
3.6 bn
2025
3.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
8.4 bn
2024
8.3 bn
2025
8.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
6.1 bn
2024
5.7 bn
2025
5.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2023verified

Capex
2023
832.0 m
2024
671.0 m
2025
469.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2023derived

Investing cash flow
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2023verified

Financing cash flow
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 09 Feb 2023verified

Dividends paid
2023
130.0 m
2024
98.0 m
2025
119.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
177.0 m
2024
402.0 m
2025
508.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
1.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
4.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
7.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-1.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-18.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-33.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
-11.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-14.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-31.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
-11.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
19.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
9.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
5.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
3.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
8.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
3.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
7.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
8.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
28.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
1.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
1.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
8.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
Capital expenditure
526.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
40 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
10.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
11.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
21.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
21.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
4.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
0.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
8.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
15.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
0.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
8.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Risk

Altman Z
3.03
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 45 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

50.40 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 10.1 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
10.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
21.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
8.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
8.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
3.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
1.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 23 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 29 Oct 2026
verified 2690derived 148

Score by group

  • Balance sheet67
  • Valuation29
  • Quality45
  • Growth18
  • Returns100

Estimated value range

Low
26.35
USD per share
Mid
34.68
USD per share
High
42.35
USD per share
Price: 50.40 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -31.2% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -45.3% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 7.36 – 64.47 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the input exists, but its latest figure is far older than the latest reported period: not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA34.47 – 64.47 (Mid 44.45)
    15 companies used · median multiple 7.5x · quartiles 6.0x – 10.4x
    ALV, APTV, ATMU, CAAS, CPS, DCH, DORM, GNTX, LCII, LEA, MOD, PATK, PHIN, SMP, THRM
  • Peers: P/E26.35 – 42.35 (Mid 34.68)
    18 companies used · median multiple 14.8x · quartiles 11.2x – 18.0x
    ADNT, ALSN, ALV, APTV, ATMU, CAAS, DAN, DORM, GNTX, GTX, LCII, LEA, MGA, PATK, PHIN, SMP, STRT, VC
  • Dividend discount (DDM)7.36 – 9.90 (Mid 8.44)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories (SIC 3714)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 45/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality7.5%38 (vs peers)13%
Net margin · Quality3.4%56 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth4.3%35 (on a fixed band)10%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-31.5%0 (on a fixed band)10%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet1.0x53 (vs peers)13%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet8.7x100 (on a fixed band)8%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.4x51 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation21.5x24 (vs peers)13%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation8.3x33 (vs peers)13%
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns8.5%100 (on a fixed band)8%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet67/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth18/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality45/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation29/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

BORGWARNER INC. (BWA). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 14.3 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 1.6%; net margin 3.4%; ROE 8.2%; net debt/EBITDA 1.0x.

The estimated value range is 26.35–42.35 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 34.68 USD, the price of 50.40 USD leaves a potential of -31.2% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -45.3% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 45/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Interest coverage: 8.7x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 8.5%

What contradicts it

  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -31.5%
  • P/E (TTM): 21.5x
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, FCF yield, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories (SIC 3714) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 34 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
21.5x
vertical median 15.1x
above median (+42.2%)
EV/EBITDA
8.3x
vertical median 7.5x
above median (+11.5%)
P/S
0.7x
vertical median 0.7x
above median (+7.7%)
P/B
1.8x
vertical median 1.4x
above median (+30.6%)
ROE
8.2%
vertical median 8.5%
at median
Net margin
3.4%
vertical median 2.2%
above median (+51.6%)
EBIT margin
5.4%
vertical median 3.8%
above median (+42.4%)
Revenue YoY
1.6%
vertical median 3.1%
below median (−47.9%)
Net debt/EBITDA
1.0x
vertical median 1.2x
below median (−15.1%)
Dividend yield
1.3%
vertical median 1.7%
below median (−20.3%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
MGAMagna International Inc.18.4 bn22.46.9%2.0%−1.9%+34% / +22%
BWABorgwarner Inc.10.1 bn21.58.2%3.4%+1.6%+14% / +51%
ALSNAllison Transmission Holdings, Inc.9.9 bn17.429.7%11.1%−6.7%+36% / +125%
ALVAutoliv, Inc.9.0 bn15.124.8%5.6%+4.1%+7% / +21%
APTVAptiv PLC8.8 bn11.98.5%4.6%+3.5%−44% / −48%
LEALear Corp5.7 bn10.411.6%2.5%−0.2%+11% / −11%
MODModine Manufacturing Co5.2 bn41.311.4%3.6%+23.1%−39% / +100%
GNTXGentex Corporation4.4 bn11.016.4%15.5%+9.6%−9% / −32%
DORMDorman Products, Inc.4.2 bn21.213.3%9.3%+6.0%+8% / +98%
ATMUAtmus Filtration Technologies Inc.3.9 bn18.355.8%11.3%+5.7%−5% / +119%
GTXGarrett Motion Inc.3.6 bn10.1—10.0%+3.1%+20% / +167%
PATKPatrick Industries Inc2.7 bn20.113.0%3.7%+6.3%−22% / +55%
PHINPhinia Inc.2.6 bn14.512.2%5.2%+2.4%+33% / +181%
DANDana Incorporated2.6 bn2.471.4%14.6%−3.0%+6% / +80%
LCIILci Industries2.5 bn12.115.0%5.2%+10.2%−8% / −4%
VCVisteon Corp2.0 bn13.810.8%4.1%−2.5%−22% / −32%
THRMGentherm Incorporated1.6 bn105.31.3%0.6%+2.9%−13% / −32%
ADNTAdient plc1.3 bn28.52.7%0.3%−1.0%−12% / −47%
DCHDauch Corporation1.1 bn—-15.2%-2.0%−4.7%−27% / −31%
SMPStandard Motor Products, Inc.1.0 bn15.19.9%3.8%+22.4%+22% / +28%
AEVAAeva Technologies, Inc.661.5 m——-150.1%+99.4%−15% / +240%
CPSCooper-Standard Holdings Inc.391.6 m——-2.0%+0.4%−29% / +24%
HLLYHolley Inc.351.6 m35.32.3%1.7%+1.9%−32% / −30%
KNDIKandi Technologies Group, Inc.287.8 m—-30.5%-107.4%−31.5%−63% / −88%
STRTStrattec Security Corp258.5 m15.67.2%2.9%+2.5%−14% / +201%

1- and 3-year price returns: for BWA from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
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Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
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Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
30.11
Total return -39% · Per year -39%
53.24
Total return 7% · Per year 7%
80.21
Total return 61% · Per year 61%
3 years
29.08
Total return -39% · Per year -15%
57.87
Total return 19% · Per year 6%
95.73
Total return 96% · Per year 25%
5 years
28.08
Total return -39% · Per year -9%
62.89
Total return 33% · Per year 6%
114.27
Total return 137% · Per year 19%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 14.47
  • Net margin± 10.13
  • Annual revenue growth± 8.33
  • Annual dilution± 0.85

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (29 Oct 2026).

In brief

BorgWarner is a global supplier of technology for combustion, hybrid and electric vehicles, selling mainly to light-vehicle automakers. In 2026 it trimmed its battery segment and is investing in products for data centers and industry, while its auto market outlook is flat to lower.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Broad portfolio spanning combustion, hybrid and electric products, with long relationships with major automakers.
  • Adjusted operating margin improved in the second quarter of 2026, supported by cost controls.
  • Ability to return capital to shareholders through buybacks and dividends.

Weaknesses

  • Heavy reliance on a few OEM customers, two of which account for a sizeable share of sales.
  • The battery segment lost sales and was restructured after exiting the charging business.
  • Large goodwill and intangible balances could lead to impairments if performance weakens.

Opportunities

  • New hybrid and electric contracts could support growth in the electrification segment.
  • Products for data center and industrial markets could open new customer pools.
  • Recovery of paid tariffs could add cash if the process ends favorably.

Threats

  • Lower global auto production could reduce volumes and increase price pressure.
  • Competition from Asian suppliers and automakers making their own components.
  • Shifting trade policy and tariffs could affect costs and supply chains.

Risks

  • Slow EV adoptionhigh

    If EV adoption stays below expectations, returns on eProduct investments could fall short of plans 1.

  • Asset impairmentmedium

    Goodwill and intangible assets form a significant part of total assets, and impairment could affect results 1.

  • Price pressure from OEMsmedium

    Automakers seek lower prices, which could reduce margins if costs do not fall 1.

  • Tariff policymedium

    Tariffs and uncertainty over refunds could change the company's costs and cash inflows 12.

  • Emissions investigationslow

    Possible violations of emissions standards could lead to investigations, recalls and fines 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If adjusted margins keep rising and new electrification contracts ramp up, the company could beat its current profit guidance.
  • Expansion into data center and industrial products could reduce reliance on the auto market.
  • Large share buybacks could support earnings per share even if sales stagnate.

What would break the thesis

  • If auto production falls more than expected, sales could decline further than guidance suggests.
  • If electrification slows, heavy investment in eProducts could earn weak returns.
  • Tariff refunds remain uncertain and may not deliver the amounts hoped for.

What to watch

  • Sales and adjusted profit guidanceQ3 2026
  • Progress on tariff refund claims with CBP2026
  • Performance of the Battery Energy Systems segment2026
  • Start of production on new electrification contracts2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 05 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results), 10-Q (29 Oct 2026).

The business

BorgWarner Inc. is a Delaware corporation incorporated in 1987 that makes products improving performance, efficiency and emissions of combustion, hybrid and electric vehicles 1. Sales go almost entirely to original equipment manufacturers, and the company supplies nearly every major automaker in the world 1. Operations run globally, with plants in Europe, the Americas and Asia 1.

Segments

Turbos & Thermal Technologies

The largest segment, covering turbochargers, emissions systems and thermal management; in fiscal 2025 it produced about 40.3% of net sales 1.

Drivetrain & Morse Systems

Segment making clutches, hydraulic controls, transfer cases and chain systems, with about 39.5% of fiscal 2025 net sales 1.

PowerDrive Systems

The electrification segment, making inverters, eMotors and integrated drive modules; it grew in 2025 and was about 16.4% of sales 1.

Market context

Global light and commercial vehicle production was roughly flat in 2025 1. For 2026 the company expects industry production flat to down 3%, and weighted production fell about 1% in the first half 2.

Trends

  • Electrified vehicle adoptionmixed

    Volatile EV adoption across regions makes the balance between electrified and combustion products critical for the company 1.

  • Tariffs and refund recoverymixed

    Tariffs raised costs in 2025, but after the Supreme Court invalidated them the company is pursuing refunds whose amount and timing remain uncertain 12.

  • OEM price pressureheadwind

    Automakers push for lower prices, which could squeeze margins if costs do not fall in parallel 1.

  • Data center and industrial marketstailwind

    The company is developing products for data center and industrial markets, which could open new growth if contracts materialize 3.

Competitive position

Competition is global, with larger rivals holding greater resources; the main competitive factors are technology, quality, price and delivery 1. Suppliers in lower-cost regions and automakers that make their own components add pressure 1.

  • Robert Bosch GmbH

    Major auto components rival, listed in Germany rather than the US.

  • Denso Corporation

    Japanese auto components supplier, listed in Japan.

  • Garrett MotionGTX

    Direct turbocharger competitor with a US listing.

  • Valeo

    French propulsion and electrification supplier, listed in France.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 08 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 29 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / BorgWarner Inc. · 11 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / BorgWarner Inc. · 05 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / BorgWarner Inc. · 05 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.