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olivLaw · US equity research

Cheer Holding, Inc. CHR

Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation · SIC 7374 · Vertical: Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation (SIC 7374)

1.39USD+0.72% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Cheer Holding, Inc. runs a mobile and online advertising, media and entertainment business in China, centred on original content and the CHEERS app. Its revenues were about 148.8 million USD in fiscal 2025, almost entirely from advertising, in a context of cost pressure on advertisers.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Cheer Holding, Inc. (CHR) stock was 1.39 USD (+0.72% on the day), with market capitalisation 14.0 m USD, P/E 0.1 on diluted EPS of 24.07 USD over the last 12 months, beta 0.88, 52-week range 1.20–10.50 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q1 2020): revenue of 9.8 m USD (−29.1% YoY), net income of 2.9 m USD (−30.0% YoY), diluted EPS 0.06 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
14.0 m USD
shares as of 31 Dec 2023
P/E (TTM)
0.1
Diluted EPS TTM 24.07 · TTM to 31 Dec 2025
E/P (TTM)
1,731.65%
TTM to 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.88
Volatility (1y) 188%
52-week range
1.2010.50

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
46.5
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
1.13 – 1.68
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.48 · band width 39.3%
SMA 50 / 200
1.56 / 2.29
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.07 / -0.08
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−10.3%−1.1%−9.2 pp—
3 months−22.8%−0.5%−22.3 pp—
6 months−22.8%+4.4%−27.2 pp—
Year to date−63.8%+12.3%−76.1 pp—
1 year−93.4%+13.5%−106.9 pp−24.7%
3 years−99.7%+76.4%−176.1 pp−26.7%
5 years−99.9%+63.7%−163.6 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−88.6%
05 Nov 2025 → 28 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−100.0%
08 Nov 2021 → 28 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−77.8%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q1 2020 · 31 Mar 2020

Revenue
9.8 m USD
−29.1% YoY
Net income
2.9 m USD
−30.0% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.06
−33.3% YoY
net / operating
29.7% / 29.7%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ1 '19Q2 '19Q3 '19Q4 '19Q1 '20
Revenue13.8 m———9.8 m
Cost of revenue8.2 m———5.0 m
Research & development197.0 k———206.0 k
SG&A15.0 k0 ≈0 ≈——
Operating income4.4 m-482.8 k-690.5 k28.3 m2.9 m
Depreciation & amortisation61.0 k———448.0 k
Pre-tax income4.3 m———2.8 m
Income tax172.0 k———-5.0 k
Net income4.1 m1.2 m552.3 k23.4 m2.9 m
Diluted EPS0.09———0.06
Operating cash flow2.7 m-3.3 m ≈-593.8 k ≈27.3 m-1.1 m

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 0 percentile of its own 7-quarter history (min 0.2, median 327.8, max 26,947.4; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2019202020212022202320242025
Revenue65.8 m123.8 m153.0 m157.1 m152.3 m147.2 m148.8 m
Revenue YoYunavailable+88.2%+23.6%+2.7%−3.0%−3.4%+1.1%
Net income26.3 m49.0 m35.3 m26.9 m30.5 m26.0 m25.6 m
Net income YoYunavailable+86.1%−28.0%−23.8%+13.3%−14.8%−1.3%
Diluted EPS0.570.835.403.95150.31125.7224.07
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable+45.6%+550.6%−26.9%+3,705.3%−16.4%−80.9%
net %40.0%39.6%23.1%17.1%20.0%17.6%17.2%
Free cash flowunavailableunavailable46.4 m7.7 m42.2 m22.9 munavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
242.1 m USD
Financial debt
7.7 m USD
Net debt
-234.4 m USD
Equity
369.8 m USD
Total assets
401.7 m USD
Debt / equity
0.02x
Current ratio
11.53x
ROE
7.6%
ROA
6.8%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
152.3 m
2024
147.2 m
2025
148.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
39.5 m
2024
39.4 m
2025
43.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
112.8 m ≈
2024
107.8 m ≈
2025
105.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026derived

Research & development
2023
1.6 m
2024
3.4 m
2025
5.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
29.3 m
2024
25.6 m
2025
26.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
3.4 m
2024
3.8 m
2025
6.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
32.7 m ≈
2024
29.4 m ≈
2025
33.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
271.0 k
2024
372.0 k
2025
366.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
30.6 m
2024
25.9 m
2025
25.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
61.0 k
2024
-34.0 k
2025
73.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
30.5 m
2024
26.0 m
2025
25.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
150.31
2024
125.72
2025
24.07

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
172.8 k
2024
206.5 k
2025
1.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
194.5 m
2024
197.7 m
2025
242.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
81.2 m
2024
77.1 m
2025
79.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
306.9 m
2024
305.6 m
2025
366.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
85.0 k
2024
33.0 k
2025
17.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
20.3 m
2024
40.5 m
2025
34.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
327.6 m
2024
346.6 m
2025
401.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
9.6 m
2024
2.0 m
2025
2.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
4.7 m
2024
12.5 m
2025
7.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
1.4 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Mar 2024verified

Current liabilities
2023
46.2 m
2024
39.9 m
2025
31.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
47.6 m
2024
41.5 m
2025
31.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
280.0 m
2024
305.1 m
2025
369.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
10.1 m
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Mar 2024verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
42.2 m
2024
22.9 m
2025
17.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
3.0 k
2024
1.0 k
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Mar 2025verified

Free cash flow
2023
42.2 m ≈
2024
22.9 m ≈
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 10 Mar 2025derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-3.0 k
2024
-24.9 m
2025
-709.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
82.0 m
2024
10.6 m
2025
17.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
1.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-1.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
3.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
2.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-1.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-1.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
-12.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-80.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
82.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
96.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
71.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EBITDA margin
22.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EBIT margin
17.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net margin
17.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF margin
12.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Returns

ROE
7.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROA
6.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROIC
20.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROCE
7.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
-234.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net debt / EBITDA
-7.1x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Debt / equity
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Interest coverage
71.8x
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Liquidity

Current ratio
11.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Cash ratio
7.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Cash

Operating cash flow
17.9 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Capital expenditure
1.0 k USD
computed by olivLawFY 2024
Free cash flow
17.9 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF conversion
70.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Cash conversion
54.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
192 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Days payables outstanding
20 days
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
14.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Enterprise value
-220.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Market cap / net income TTM
0.5x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/E (TTM)
0.1x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Earnings yield
1,731.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/S
0.1x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
-6.6x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBIT
-8.4x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/Sales
-1.5x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/FCF
0.8x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
FCF yield
128.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Attractive profile

Score: 67 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score >= 65 · margin_of_safety >= 0.15 · agreement in ['high', 'medium']

Closing price

1.39 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 14.0 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
14.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
0.1x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
-6.6x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROE
7.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net margin
17.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue growth (YoY)
1.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 31 Dec 2025
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Dec 2025
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Dec 2023
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 20 Mar 2026
verified 317derived 4

Score by group

  • Balance sheet100
  • Growth7
  • Valuation100
  • Quality72

Estimated value range

Low
46.04
USD per share
Mid
53.22
USD per share
High
63.33
USD per share
Price: 1.39 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 3,728.5% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 97.4% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: high · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 35.65 – 69.11 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)47.34 – 63.33 (Mid 53.22)
    WACC 8.1% · starting FCFF 18.3 m USD · terminal value share of EV 76%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/Sales35.65 – 56.76 (Mid 44.71)
    12 companies used · median multiple 1.5x · quartiles 0.8x – 2.3x
    ADP, CARS, CLVT, EGHT, FA, GMHS, IBEX, OOMA, PLTK, UPWK, WDAY, YEXT
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA46.04 – 69.11 (Mid 53.80)
    8 companies used · median multiple 9.3x · quartiles 6.9x – 13.9x
    CARS, CLVT, EGHT, FA, GMHS, IBEX, UPWK, VRSK
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation (SIC 7374)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Attractive profile · Score 67/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality71.0%77 (on a fixed band)11%
EBIT margin · Quality17.7%89 (vs peers)9%
FCF margin · Quality12.1%48 (on a fixed band)9%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-1.8%0 (on a fixed band)18%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth1.1%22 (vs peers)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-7.1x100 (vs peers)7%
Current ratio · Balance sheet11.5x100 (on a fixed band)7%
EV/Sales · Valuation-1.5x100 (vs peers)18%
FCF yield · Valuation128.2%100 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Growth7/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality72/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation100/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Cheer Holding, Inc. (CHR). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2025-12-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 148.8 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 1.1%; net margin 17.2%; ROE 7.6%; net debt/EBITDA -7.1x.

The estimated value range is 46.04–63.33 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: high); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 53.22 USD, the price of 1.39 USD leaves a potential of 3,728.5% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 97.4% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 67/100, methodological classification: attractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Gross margin: 71.0%
  • EBIT margin: 17.7%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: -7.1x
  • Current ratio: 11.5x
  • EV/Sales: -1.5x
  • FCF yield: 128.2%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -1.8%
  • Revenue growth (YoY): 1.1%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Shareholder yield (distributions).

Versus the vertical median

Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation (SIC 7374) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
0.1x
vertical median 25.1x
below median (−99.8%)
EV/EBITDA
-6.6x
vertical median 9.3x
below median (−171.7%)
P/S
0.1x
vertical median 1.6x
below median (−94.0%)
P/B
0.0x
vertical median 2.4x
below median (−98.4%)
ROE
7.6%
vertical median 11.7%
below median (−35.2%)
Net margin
17.2%
vertical median 4.4%
above median (+290.3%)
EBIT margin
17.7%
vertical median 4.7%
above median (+277.6%)
Revenue YoY
1.1%
vertical median 7.9%
below median (−85.9%)
Net debt/EBITDA
-7.1x
vertical median 0.5x
below median (−1,512.2%)
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.2%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ADPAutomatic Data Processing, Inc.119.8 bn27.777.0%20.1%+6.7%+19% / +32%
WDAYWorkday, Inc.44.4 bn40.916.0%12.3%+13.1%−6% / −25%
VRSKVerisk Analytics, Inc.25.9 bn30.1—29.3%+6.6%−12% / −18%
FIRYFiry Inc.4.3 bn—-63.0%-60.2%+12.5%+107% / +94%
FAFirst Advantage Corp3.9 bn160.51.9%1.5%+83.0%+62% / +45%
FIVNFive9, Inc.2.7 bn52.77.9%4.9%+10.3%+86% / −52%
RAMPLiveRamp Holdings, Inc.2.3 bn15.816.2%18.7%+9.0%+41% / +39%
INFQInfleqtion, Inc.1.9 bn—-70.8%—unavailableunavailable / unavailable
INODInnodata Inc1.5 bn32.837.7%14.7%+47.6%−25% / +541%
CLVTClarivate PLC1.4 bn—-8.2%-15.1%−4.0%−44% / −73%
UPWKUpwork Inc.1.3 bn12.916.3%13.5%+2.4%−48% / −27%
LZLegalZoom.com, Inc.1.1 bn56.012.1%2.6%+10.9%−26% / −40%
PLTKPlaytika Holding Corp.808.6 m——-9.9%+8.1%−48% / −76%
YEXTYext, Inc.775.0 m40.627.8%5.9%+6.1%−7% / +18%
NRDSNerdWallet, Inc.754.4 m13.318.2%7.6%+21.7%−21% / +1%
NXTTNext Technology Holding Inc.736.5 m—-59.4%-2,356.0%+545.3%−99% / −100%
CARSCars.com Inc.682.5 m22.47.4%4.7%+0.6%+10% / −32%
IBEXIBEX Limited593.6 m14.330.4%7.2%+15.4%+27% / +152%
OOMAOoma, Inc.524.7 m49.811.7%3.6%+6.5%+69% / +64%
GRVYGravity Co., Ltd.475.7 m0.016.5%17.0%−31.0%+19% / −6%
EGHT8x8, Inc.326.4 m55.53.5%0.6%+2.9%+16% / −27%
TCXTucows Inc140.3 m——-21.2%+7.7%−42% / −41%
TRAKRepositrak, Inc.132.7 m18.714.9%32.5%+3.0%−46% / −29%
BIRDSmartbird, Inc.92.1 m—-164.0%-72.8%−19.7%−68% / −91%
VERIVeritone, Inc.56.7 m—-517.7%-117.5%−0.5%−87% / −73%

1- and 3-year price returns: for CHR from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
0.08
Total return -94% · Per year -94%
0.14
Total return -90% · Per year -90%
0.22
Total return -84% · Per year -84%
3 years
0.07
Total return -95% · Per year -63%
0.14
Total return -90% · Per year -54%
0.23
Total return -83% · Per year -45%
5 years
0.06
Total return -96% · Per year -47%
0.13
Total return -90% · Per year -37%
0.25
Total return -82% · Per year -29%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 0.03
  • Net margin± 0.02
  • Annual revenue growth± 0.02
  • Annual dilution± 0.00

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 20 Mar 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (17 Sept 2026), 6-K (28 Jul 2026), 6-K (10 Jul 2026), 6-K (08 Jul 2026), 6-K (18 Jun 2026), 6-K (02 Apr 2026).

In brief

Cheer Holding, Inc. runs a mobile and online advertising, media and entertainment business in China, centred on original content and the CHEERS app. Its revenues were about 148.8 million USD in fiscal 2025, almost entirely from advertising, in a context of cost pressure on advertisers. 1

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has an established user base around the CHEERS app and a heavy reliance on advertising, with a high operating margin in its main segment. 1
  • Management has invested in proprietary AI technology, which could differentiate the company in content production. 1
  • Recognition as a National High-Tech Enterprise and a Specialized and Innovative Enterprise could reinforce its position. 1

Weaknesses

  • Most advertising clients are not bound by long-term contracts, which makes revenue volatile. 1
  • Producing original content requires heavy spending and a long time before the investment is recovered. 1
  • The company has had past issues meeting the Nasdaq minimum bid price requirement. 1

Opportunities

  • The announced global expansion could open new revenue streams if execution succeeds. 1
  • Growth in products built on generative AI could attract new advertising clients. 1
  • A larger base of returning clients could stabilise advertising revenue. 1

Threats

  • Strong competition from rivals with larger financial resources could reduce market share. 1
  • Advertising clients could cut budgets if they find better returns in other channels. 1
  • Ad-blocking technologies could reduce the visibility of advertising. 1

Risks

  • Dependence on advertisinghigh

    Nearly all revenue comes from advertising, and clients can reduce budgets without contractual penalties. 1

  • Heavy capital needshigh

    Costly content production may require additional financing, and a shortfall could limit growth plans. 1

  • Client credit riskmedium

    Collection of receivables depends on the solvency of advertising clients and agencies, which could affect liquidity. 1

  • Dependence on senior managementmedium

    Success depends on senior executives, and losing key people could affect operations. 1

  • Listing compliancemedium

    The company received a Nasdaq notice in November 2025 for non-compliance with the minimum bid price, later resolved through a share consolidation. 1

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If advertising revenue recovers, the company could benefit from its large user base and solid operating margin in its main segment. 1
  • Investment in AI and international expansion could open new sources of revenue. 1
  • Lower marketing spending could support profitability if user acquisition remains efficient. 1

What would break the thesis

  • Near-total dependence on advertising, with short contracts, could expose revenue to sudden declines. 1
  • Rivals with greater resources could erode the company's market share. 1
  • Capital needs and listing issues could limit financial flexibility. 1

What to watch

  • Trajectory of advertising revenue and client budgets2026
  • Timing and results of the beta test of the global AI portrait and video products2026
  • Implementation of the share consolidation and reduction approved in March 20262026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 20 Mar 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (17 Sept 2026), 6-K (28 Jul 2026), 6-K (10 Jul 2026), 6-K (08 Jul 2026), 6-K (18 Jun 2026), 6-K (02 Apr 2026).

The business

The company provides advertising and content production services and earns revenue from copyright licensing of self-produced content, advertising and customised content production, the CHEERS e-Mall marketplace, membership fees and other sources. 1

Through the CHEERS app, launched in 2018, Cheer has positioned itself as a content-driven e-commerce platform built on original lifestyle content. Its strategy also includes AI initiatives such as CHEERS Telepathy, upgraded in October 2025 on the Polaris Intelligent Cloud 3.0 model. 1

Management has said that from 2026 it shifts its strategic focus towards overseas expansion, and the company notes a global AI portrait and video product line could begin beta testing around the second fiscal quarter of 2026. 1

Segments

Traditional Media Business

This segment covers advertising tied to TV series, copyright revenue, customised content production and other income. At about 11.4 million USD of revenue in 2025 it is a small segment with lower operating income. 1

Market context

The company operates in China's online advertising and mobile entertainment market, competing for users, usage time, advertising clients and shoppers. Its revenue is sensitive to advertising budgets, which clients can cut in periods of economic strain, according to its 2025 report. 1

Growth in professionally produced content from third parties is a market factor that could intensify competition for user attention and advertising clients. The company also notes that video streaming platforms compete aggressively to license content. 1

Trends

  • Pressure on advertising budgetsheadwind

    Clients adopted cost-saving strategies because of a weaker macroeconomic environment, which contributed to only modest revenue growth. If this trend persists, advertising revenue could remain under pressure. 1

  • Artificial intelligence in content productiontailwind

    Successive releases of CHEERS Telepathy and the Polaris 3.0 model show continued investment in generative AI for content and advertising. This direction could support production efficiency and client acquisition. 1

  • International expansionmixed

    Management has indicated a shift of focus towards global expansion from 2026, which could open new markets but also brings costs and execution risks not yet fully known. 1

  • Lower marketing costsmixed

    Selling and marketing expenses fell in 2025, mainly because the company cut promotion campaigns it considers less effective. This supports margins but could weigh on user acquisition if prolonged. 1

Competitive position

Some rivals have a longer operating history and far greater financial resources, which could let them attract more users and clients. Major television stations expanding their online video offerings are also a competitive force. 1

  • AlibabaBABA

    Competitor for users, usage time, advertising clients and shoppers, with a longer operating history and greater resources according to the source. 1

  • Pin DuoduoPDD

    Competitor in e-commerce and for user attention, explicitly named in the risk factors. 1

  • DouyuDOYU

    Competitor in live streaming and in the contest for users and advertising. 1

  • Mango Media

    Media operator listed in Shenzhen, competing in content and advertising in China. 1

News & filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 20-F, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Cheer Holding, Inc. · 20 Mar 2026
  2. [2] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Cheer Holding, Inc. · 11 May 2020

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.