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olivLaw · US equity research

Cronos Group Inc. CRON

Medicinal Chemicals & Botanical Products · SIC 2833 · Vertical: Medicinal Chemicals & Botanical Products (SIC 2833)

3.51USD+3.85% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Cronos Group is a Canadian cannabinoid company building a portfolio of consumer brands, with operations in Canada and Israel and distribution in several medical markets. In the second quarter of 2026 it reported record revenue from Israel and from outside Canada and Israel, while revenue for fiscal 2025 was 146.6 million USD.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Cronos Group Inc. (CRON) stock was 3.51 USD (+3.85% on the day), with market capitalisation 1.3 bn USD, P/E 18.0 on diluted EPS of 0.20 USD over the last 12 months, beta 0.69, 52-week range 2.30–3.55 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 53.0 m USD (+58.4% YoY), net income of 32.1 m USD, diluted EPS 0.09 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
1.3 bn USD
shares as of 03 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
18.0
Diluted EPS TTM 0.20 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
5.56%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.69
Volatility (1y) 39%
52-week range
2.303.55

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
64.4
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
3.12 – 3.49
above the upper band · %B 1.07 · band width 11.0%
SMA 50 / 200
3.30 / 2.86
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.04 / 0.02
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+8.0%−1.1%+9.1 pp—
3 months+29.0%−0.5%+29.5 pp—
6 months+34.0%+4.4%+29.6 pp—
Year to date+33.5%+12.3%+21.1 pp—
1 year+43.3%+13.5%+29.7 pp−39.5%
3 years+88.7%+76.4%+12.3 pp−45.3%
5 years−34.3%+63.7%−97.9 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−26.9%
12 Dec 2025 → 20 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−75.9%
08 Nov 2021 → 08 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−8.0%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
53.0 m USD
+58.4% YoY
Net income
32.1 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
0.09
unavailable YoY
net / operating
60.5% / 14.0%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue34.3 m30.3 m32.3 m33.5 m36.3 m44.5 m45.2 m53.0 m
Gross profit3.6 m10.8 m13.7 m14.5 m18.3 m16.2 m19.2 m28.5 m
Research & development1.2 m1.0 m793.0 k929.0 k1.3 m1.4 m1.4 m1.2 m
Operating income-33.7 m-11.4 m-4.1 m-5.3 m-503.0 k-7.5 m-1.8 m7.4 m
Depreciation & amortisation1.1 m2.5 m2.8 m867.0 k354.0 k3.7 m3.7 m379.0 k
Pre-tax income4.6 m45.9 m7.3 m-39.0 m27.0 m-12.4 m18.1 m35.7 m
Income tax-2.7 m2.0 m-455.0 k-525.0 k-1.3 m-11.9 m2.4 m51.0 k
Net income8.3 m43.7 m6.1 m-39.7 m26.0 m-1.8 m13.8 m32.1 m
Diluted EPS0.020.11 ≈0.02-0.100.07-0.00 ≈0.040.09
Operating cash flow11.6 m ≈7.7 m-2.1 m2.8 m ≈13.3 m ≈11.8 m10.9 m24.0 m ≈
Capex6.4 m ≈3.5 m15.3 m3.8 m ≈4.5 m ≈2.1 m1.9 m1.7 m ≈
Share repurchases0 ≈003.6 m ≈1.9 m ≈4.3 m16.7 m16.1 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 46 percentile of its own 13-quarter history (min 2.6, median 20.1, max 477.9; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year201820192020⚠ 20212022202320242025
Revenue12.1 m23.8 m46.7 m64.6 m86.7 m87.2 m117.6 m146.6 m
Revenue YoY+285.2%+95.9%+96.7%—+34.4%+0.6%+34.8%+24.6%
Net income-21.6 m1.2 bn-73.1 m-396.1 m-168.7 m-74.0 m41.1 m-9.4 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailable−106.3%—unavailableunavailableunavailable−123.0%
Diluted EPS-0.123.33-0.21-1.07-0.45-0.190.11-0.02
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailable−106.3%—unavailableunavailableunavailable−118.2%
net %-178.5%4,911.6%-156.5%-613.5%-194.5%-84.8%34.9%-6.4%
Free cash flow-95.8 m-169.9 m-176.3 m-164.8 m-92.4 m-45.3 m6.4 m149.0 k

The series breaks before 2021: earlier years come from the original reports of the issuer of that time, later years from a subsequent filing that restated the perimeter (a separation, discontinued operations). The year-on-year change across the break is not shown.

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
791.8 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
1.1 bn USD
Total assets
1.2 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
19.59x
ROE
-0.8%
ROA
-0.8%
FCF margin
0.1%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
87.2 m
2024
117.6 m
2025
146.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
11.9 m
2024
25.2 m
2025
62.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
5.8 m
2024
4.2 m
2025
4.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-84.8 m
2024
-76.5 m
2025
-17.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
8.1 m
2024
9.3 m
2025
14.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-76.7 m ≈
2024
-67.2 m ≈
2025
-3.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Feb 2023verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-73.7 m
2024
36.6 m
2025
-17.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-3.2 m
2024
-3.4 m
2025
-14.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-74.0 m
2024
41.1 m
2025
-9.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.19
2024
0.11
2025
-0.02

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
381.0 m
2024
385.6 m
2025
383.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
669.3 m
2024
858.8 m
2025
791.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
14.0 m
2024
15.5 m
2025
34.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
30.5 m
2024
33.1 m
2025
46.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
933.3 m
2024
936.1 m
2025
944.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
59.5 m
2024
133.2 m
2025
145.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
1.1 m
2024
63.5 m
2025
66.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
21.1 m
2024
11.3 m
2025
8.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
12.1 m
2024
17.0 m
2025
11.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
41.4 m
2024
49.7 m
2025
48.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
44.1 m
2024
55.3 m
2025
54.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-42.8 m
2024
18.8 m
2025
25.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
2.5 m
2024
12.4 m
2025
25.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-45.3 m ≈
2024
6.4 m ≈
2025
149.0 k ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-59.5 m
2024
175.1 m
2025
-76.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-1.0 m
2024
-1.2 m
2025
-19.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
0
2024
0
2025
9.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
24.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
19.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
25.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
-123.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-118.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-97.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
45.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
3.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-1.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
39.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
27.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
6.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
5.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
-0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
16.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
15.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
8.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
60.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
10.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
49.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
71.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
1,055.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
65 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
1.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
18.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
18.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
5.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
7.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
26.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
3.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

3.51 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 1.3 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
1.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
18.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
6.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
39.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
24.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

30/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 03 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 1195derived 85

Score by group

50% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
2.43
USD per share
Mid
2.56
USD per share
High
3.36
USD per share
Price: 3.51 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -27.0% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -37.1% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 2.43 – 3.36 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E2.43 – 3.36 (Mid 2.56)
    3 companies used · median multiple 13.1x · quartiles 12.5x – 17.2x
    BTMD, FTLF, NAGE
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Medicinal Chemicals & Botanical Products (SIC 2833)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality39.1%100 (vs peers)13%
FCF conversion · Quality71.2%59 (on a fixed band)13%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth19.1%100 (on a fixed band)17%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet16.2x100 (on a fixed band)8%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation18.0x55 (on a fixed band)21%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation3.9%48 (on a fixed band)17%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns3.0%43 (on a fixed band)13%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality79/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial43/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation52/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

CRONOS GROUP INC. (CRON). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 146.6 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 24.6%; net margin 39.1%; ROE 6.5%.

The estimated value range is 2.43–3.36 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 2.56 USD, the price of 3.51 USD leaves a potential of -27.0% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -37.1% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 39.1%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 19.1%
  • Current ratio: 16.2x

What contradicts it

  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Medicinal Chemicals & Botanical Products (SIC 2833) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 15 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
18.0x
vertical median 13.1x
above median (+37.1%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
P/S
7.2x
vertical median 0.4x
above median (+1,610.2%)
P/B
1.2x
vertical median 1.1x
above median (+13.9%)
ROE
6.5%
vertical median -20.8%
above median
Net margin
39.1%
vertical median -10.7%
above median
EBIT margin
-1.4%
vertical median -8.7%
above median
Revenue YoY
24.6%
vertical median 2.1%
above median (+1,097.2%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.9x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
TRLVTrulieve Cannabis Corp.2.2 bn—-48.2%-41.8%−0.4%+115% / +109%
TLRYTilray Brands, Inc.437.5 m—-10.4%-17.1%+11.5%−63% / −84%
USNAUsana Health Sciences, Inc.264.8 m—-4.2%-2.4%unavailable−28% / −70%
NAGENiagen Bioscience, Inc.199.6 m21.313.3%8.4%+29.9%−63% / +81%
MDWDMediwound Ltd.182.3 m—-63.9%-140.8%−16.1%−21% / +59%
FTLFFitlife Brands, Inc.76.8 m13.114.1%6.2%+26.4%−56% / −15%
BTMDbiote Corp.71.6 m11.8—3.2%−2.5%−55% / −75%
NAIINatural Alternatives International, Inc.24.3 m—-35.0%-14.5%+9.7%−70% / −81%
MTEXMannatech Inc16.7 m—-1,490.1%-6.9%−8.3%−8% / −3%
BONBon Natural Life Limited4.4 m—-3.9%-10.7%−21.7%−39% / −99%
CRONCronos Group Inc.——6.5%39.1%+24.6%+43% / +89%
CGCCanopy Growth Corp——-39.9%-79.2%+5.8%−36% / −87%
ACBAurora Cannabis Inc——0.3%0.5%+27.3%+14% / +14%
GLASGlass House Brands Inc.——-31.2%-16.3%−9.4%−57% / −45%
SNDLSNDL Inc.——-1.4%-1.7%+2.8%−20% / −1%
IMCCIM Cannabis Corp.——-1,496.2%-20.7%+1.3%−99% / −99%

1- and 3-year price returns: for CRON from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
2.23
Total return -36% · Per year -36%
3.93
Total return 12% · Per year 12%
5.89
Total return 68% · Per year 68%
3 years
2.65
Total return -25% · Per year -9%
5.19
Total return 48% · Per year 14%
8.48
Total return 142% · Per year 34%
5 years
3.14
Total return -11% · Per year -2%
6.87
Total return 96% · Per year 14%
12.21
Total return 248% · Per year 28%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 1.30
  • Net margin± 0.91
  • Annual revenue growth± 0.68
  • Annual dilution± 0.08

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Cronos Group is a Canadian cannabinoid company building a portfolio of consumer brands, with operations in Canada and Israel and distribution in several medical markets. In the second quarter of 2026 it reported record revenue from Israel and from outside Canada and Israel, while revenue for fiscal 2025 was 146.6 million USD 13.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company owns brands with recognition in Canada, especially Spinach, which has held top positions in vapes and edibles 3.
  • Israeli operations have posted consecutive quarters of record revenue, supported by the PEACE NATURALS brand 3.
  • A strong balance sheet and positive operating cash flow allow investment in growth and a share repurchase programme 3.

Weaknesses

  • The company reported net losses in recent periods and negative operating cash flow in several of the last years 1.
  • Revenue is concentrated in a few large Canadian customers that can renegotiate prices or end relationships 1.
  • The company has had past restatements and material weaknesses in internal control, which have raised questions about reporting quality 1.

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new medical markets in Europe and other regions could raise revenue if regulations allow 13.
  • Completing the CanAdelaar acquisition could open access to licensed production in the Netherlands 2.
  • If US regulation changes, the company could reassess its presence in the US market 1.

Threats

  • Israeli anti-dumping investigations could lead to duties or restrictions on imports that hit key sales 2.
  • The Middle East conflict could affect operations in Israel and patient demand 1.
  • The illegal market and non-compliant licensed competitors could push down prices and market share 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on Israel and importshigh

    A significant part of growth depends on imports from Canada into Israel, and a duty or other restriction could directly affect revenue 12.

  • Concentrated government customershigh

    Two provincial authorities have accounted for a large share of revenue, and their contracts can be renegotiated or terminated at their election 1.

  • Completion of the CanAdelaar acquisitionmedium

    The deal depends on Dutch regulatory approvals and other conditions, and integration could cost more than expected 12.

  • Middle East conflictmedium

    The regional conflict could disrupt Israeli operations, supply and medical demand 12.

  • Internal control historylow

    Past restatements and material weaknesses in internal control could repeat if reporting processes do not strengthen 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If record quarters in Israel and outside Canada continue, higher gross margins and adjusted profitability could strengthen the company's results 3.
  • Spinach's leadership in growing categories such as vapes and edibles could support its market share in Canada 3.
  • A strong balance sheet and share repurchases could support shareholder value while the company invests in growth 3.

What would break the thesis

  • If the anti-dumping investigation leads to restrictions, a significant part of Israeli sales could fall quickly 2.
  • Customer concentration and dependence on a few markets could make revenue volatile if conditions change 1.
  • A history of losses and internal control problems could limit investor confidence in the consistency of results 1.

What to watch

  • Outcome of the new Israeli anti-dumping investigation and any measures imposed2026-2027
  • Completion of the CanAdelaar acquisition and Dutch regulatory approvalsecond half 2026
  • Revenue trends in Israel and Germany and gross marginQ3 2026
  • Progress of US cannabis rescheduling and any plans to re-enter the US marketnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Cronos is a global cannabinoid company seeking to build a portfolio of iconic brands including Spinach, PEACE NATURALS, LIT and Lord Jones 1. The company reports through one consolidated segment covering operations in Canada, through Peace Naturals and its 50% stake in Cronos GrowCo, and in Israel, through its joint venture with Kibbutz Gan Shmuel 1. Its strategy rests on four priorities: brands, distribution, supply chain and intellectual property 1.

In Canada, the company sells adult-use cannabis to provincial control authorities and medical cannabis through third-party distributors, with Spinach as its main consumer brand 1. In Israel, products are sold through pharmacies, and the Lord Jones brand launched there in 2026 12. For fiscal 2025, two provincial authorities together accounted for a significant share of revenue, which makes the company sensitive to these customer relationships 1.

The company expanded capacity through Cronos GrowCo, whose expansion began sales in fall 2025, and announced the acquisition of CanAdelaar in the Netherlands, which was still pending at the latest report 12. It also sold its Winnipeg fermentation facility and ended its collaboration with Ginkgo Bioworks 1.

Segments

Consumer brands

Spinach is a mainstream adult-use brand that held a top position in vapes and edibles in Canada, including in the second quarter of 2026 13. PEACE NATURALS is the global medical brand, present in seven medical markets by mid-2025 1. Lord Jones covers the premium segment and LIT is a value-driven medical brand 1.

Israel operations

Cronos Israel, held through a joint venture with Kibbutz Gan Shmuel, holds the certifications required for medical cannabis cultivation and distribution, and the company describes PEACE NATURALS as the leading brand in that market 13. Israeli revenue grew in recent quarters, but the market depends on imports from Canada, which are subject to dumping investigations 2.

Other markets and international distribution

The company distributes PEACE NATURALS and LIT in Germany, the United Kingdom, Australia, Switzerland and Malta, often through third-party partners, and Germany drove significant growth in the second quarter of 2026 13.

Market context

The Canadian adult-use and medical cannabis market is competitive, with new licence holders continuing to enter and competition from the illegal market, while demand for medical cannabis has grown in Israel and Germany 13. Revenue was 146.6 million USD in fiscal 2025 and rose 58% year-over-year in the second quarter of 2026 13.

The outlook for the US market remains uncertain: the December 2025 executive order and the April 2026 final order moved some medical products to Schedule III, but the company says it does not engage in Schedule I cannabis activities in the US 12.

Trends

  • Growing international medical demandtailwind

    Demand for medical products in Israel, Germany and other markets has supported revenue, especially for products that carry no excise taxes, and this could continue if supply stays stable 13.

  • US federal reschedulingmixed

    The executive order and the April 2026 decision on medical marijuana could open discussion of a possible return to the US market, although the company has not confirmed concrete plans 12.

  • Israeli anti-dumping investigationsheadwind

    A new investigation into Canadian cannabis imports was opened in August 2026, and its outcome could include anti-dumping duties or import restrictions that affect sales in Israel 2.

  • Expansion of production capacitytailwind

    The Cronos GrowCo expansion and the option to buy part of its output could support growth internationally and in Canada if the facility is optimised as planned 1.

Competitive position

In Canada the company competes with other licence holders on product quality, production cost, innovation and brand, while the illegal market offers products at lower cost 1. In Israeli and European medical markets, competition comes from local producers and importers, and pressure grows as supply expands 12.

The company has advantages in its capitalisation, its link to Altria and brand recognition for Spinach and Lord Jones, but competition remains intense and new entrants could reduce margins 1.

  • Canadian licensed cannabis producers

    Licensed producers in Canada competing in adult-use and medical markets on quality, price and brand 1.

  • Illegal cannabis market

    Unlicensed operators offering cheaper and more accessible products without complying with regulations 1.

  • Licensed producers that fail to comply with regulations

    Authorised competitors that breach rules on product development and sale, which can affect the market 1.

  • Local suppliers and distributors in Israel and Europe

    Local partners and competitors in the medical markets where the company sells, with influence on pricing 12.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 03 Oct 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 15 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Cronos Group Inc. · 26 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Cronos Group Inc. · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Cronos Group Inc. · 06 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.