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olivLaw · US equity research

Tilray Brands, Inc. TLRY

Medicinal Chemicals & Botanical Products · SIC 2833 · Vertical: Medicinal Chemicals & Botanical Products (SIC 2833)

2.96USD+11.70% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Tilray Brands is a global consumer products group spanning cannabis, beer and beverages, wellness and pharmaceutical distribution. The current focus is diversification: revenue rose 23% in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, and the BrewDog acquisition strengthened the beverage segment, while US cannabis regulation remains in flux.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Tilray Brands, Inc. (TLRY) stock was 2.96 USD (+11.70% on the day), with market capitalisation 437.5 m USD, beta 1.63, 52-week range 2.53–13.94 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q1 2027): revenue of 257.1 m USD (+22.7% YoY), net income of -43.1 m USD, diluted EPS -0.32 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
437.5 m USD
shares as of 06 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -1.39 · TTM to 31 Aug 2026
E/P (TTM)
-46.93%
TTM to 31 Aug 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.63
Volatility (1y) 78%
52-week range
2.5313.94

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
43.4
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
2.36 – 3.58
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.49 · band width 40.9%
SMA 50 / 200
3.66 / 5.39
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.29 / -0.32
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−20.4%−1.1%−19.3 pp—
3 months−33.2%−0.5%−32.7 pp—
6 months−48.6%+4.4%−53.0 pp—
Year to date−67.2%+12.3%−79.5 pp—
1 year−76.1%+13.5%−89.7 pp−35.8%
3 years−84.6%+76.4%−161.0 pp−14.7%
5 years−97.2%+63.7%−160.9 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−81.9%
16 Dec 2025 → 30 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−98.1%
15 Nov 2021 → 30 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−51.2%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q1 2027 · 31 Aug 2026

Revenue
257.1 m USD
+22.7% YoY
Net income
-43.1 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.32
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-16.8% / -9.4%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27
Revenue211.0 m185.8 m224.5 m209.5 m217.5 m206.7 m281.7 m257.1 m
Cost of revenue149.7 m133.8 m156.9 m152.0 m160.0 m151.8 m191.2 m179.6 m
Gross profit61.2 m52.0 m67.6 m57.5 m57.5 m55.0 m90.5 m77.5 m
Research & development60.0 k85.0 k34.0 k41.0 k78.0 k62.0 k180.0 k89.0 k
Operating income-42.2 m-759.9 m-1.4 bn2.1 m-22.3 m-26.4 m-16.5 m-24.1 m
Pre-tax income-83.2 m-792.3 m-1.4 bn-772.0 k-40.0 m-23.3 m-24.1 m-38.3 m
Income tax2.0 m1.2 m-125.1 m-2.3 m3.5 m2.0 m13.9 m1.7 m
Net income-85.3 m-789.4 m-1.3 bn-322.0 k-44.9 m-26.6 m-49.6 m-43.1 m
Diluted EPS-0.99-8.69-13.01 ≈0.00-0.41-0.24-0.42 ≈-0.32
Operating cash flow-40.7 m ≈-5.8 m ≈-12.8 m-1.3 m-8.5 m ≈-21.9 m ≈-37.3 m-16.5 m
Capex5.4 m ≈14.4 m ≈6.3 m—————

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20192020202120222023202420252026
Revenue167.0 m210.5 m513.1 m628.4 m627.1 m788.9 m821.3 m915.5 m
Revenue YoY+287.2%+26.1%+143.8%+22.5%−0.2%+25.8%+4.1%+11.5%
Net income-321.2 m-271.1 m-367.4 m-476.8 m-1.5 bn-245.0 m-2.2 bn-121.4 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS-0.18-0.47-1.36-0.99-2.35-3.30-24.56-1.09
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-192.3%-128.8%-71.6%-75.9%-231.6%-31.1%-266.3%-13.3%
Free cash flow-331.8 m-174.0 m-83.6 m-211.3 m-12.9 m-60.2 m-127.5 munavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 31 May 2026

Cash
226.0 m USD
Financial debt
129.2 m USD
Net debt
-96.8 m USD
Equity
1.6 bn USD
Total assets
2.3 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.08x
Current ratio
2.21x
ROE
-7.9%
ROA
-5.5%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
788.9 m
2025
821.3 m
2026
915.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jul 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
565.6 m
2025
580.7 m
2026
655.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jul 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
223.4 m
2025
240.6 m
2026
260.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jul 2026verified

Research & development
2024
635.0 k
2025
284.0 k
2026
361.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jul 2026verified

Operating income
2024
-174.7 m
2025
-2.3 bn
2026
-63.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jul 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jul 2022verified

EBITDA
2024
—
2025
—
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jul 2022derived

Interest expense
2024
49.3 m
2025
41.3 m
2026
29.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jul 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2024
-249.0 m
2025
-2.3 bn
2026
-88.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jul 2026verified

Income tax
2024
-26.6 m
2025
-121.0 m
2026
17.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jul 2026verified

Net income
2024
-245.0 m
2025
-2.2 bn
2026
-121.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jul 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
-3.30
2025
-24.56
2026
-1.09

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jul 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
74.3 m
2025
89.0 m
2026
111.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jul 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
228.3 m
2025
221.7 m
2026
226.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jul 2026verified

Receivables
2024
101.7 m
2025
121.5 m
2026
189.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jul 2026verified

Inventories
2024
252.1 m
2025
270.9 m
2026
301.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jul 2026verified

Current assets
2024
677.7 m
2025
688.6 m
2026
792.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jul 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
558.2 m
2025
568.4 m
2026
680.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jul 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
2.0 bn
2025
752.4 m
2026
752.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jul 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
915.5 m
2025
21.4 m
2026
42.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jul 2026verified

Total assets
2024
4.2 bn
2025
2.1 bn
2026
2.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jul 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
105.4 m
2025
107.3 m
2026
114.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jul 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
18.0 m
2025
7.2 m
2026
8.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jul 2026verified

Long-term debt
2024
—
2025
—
2026
120.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 08 Oct 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
299.2 m
2025
280.3 m
2026
358.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jul 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
778.5 m
2025
584.8 m
2026
733.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jul 2026verified

Equity
2024
3.4 bn
2025
1.5 bn
2026
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jul 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
-30.9 m
2025
-94.6 m
2026
-69.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jul 2026verified

Capex
2024
29.2 m
2025
32.9 m
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2025verified

Free cash flow
2024
-60.2 m ≈
2025
-127.5 m ≈
2026
—

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Jul 2025derived

Investing cash flow
2024
128.3 m
2025
-46.7 m
2026
-55.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jul 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
-75.2 m
2025
133.5 m
2026
131.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Jul 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
11.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
13.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
12.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
29.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
-9.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
Net margin
-17.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
-10.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
ROA
-7.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
ROIC
-5.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
ROCE
-4.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
-88.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Interest coverage
-3.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Quick ratio
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Cash ratio
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-84.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
56 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Days inventory outstanding
164 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Days payables outstanding
66 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Cash conversion cycle
154 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
437.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Enterprise value
349.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-46.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
P/B
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
P/S
0.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
0.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 5 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 35.4% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

2.96 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 437.5 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
437.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-10.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026 · balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026
Net margin
-17.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 31 Aug 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
11.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 31 Aug 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Aug 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 06 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 08 Oct 2026
verified 1438derived 105

Score by group

35% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the input exists, but its latest figure is far older than the latest reported period: not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Medicinal Chemicals & Botanical Products (SIC 2833)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 35.4% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-5.4%60 (vs peers)29%
Net margin · Quality-17.1%27 (vs peers)18%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth13.4%100 (on a fixed band)24%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-3.0x0 (on a fixed band)18%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.9x90 (on a fixed band)12%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet36/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality48/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partialunavailable · 0/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Tilray Brands, Inc. (TLRY). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-08-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 915.5 m USD in 2026; YoY growth 11.5%; net margin -17.1%; ROE -10.4%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 35.4% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 13.4%
  • Current ratio: 1.9x

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: -17.1%
  • Interest coverage: -3.0x

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Medicinal Chemicals & Botanical Products (SIC 2833) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 15 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 13.1x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
P/S
0.5x
vertical median 0.4x
above median (+16.4%)
P/B
0.3x
vertical median 1.6x
below median (−83.4%)
ROE
-10.4%
vertical median -17.7%
above median
Net margin
-17.1%
vertical median -6.9%
below median
EBIT margin
-9.3%
vertical median -1.4%
below median
Revenue YoY
11.5%
vertical median 2.1%
above median (+457.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.9x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
TRLVTrulieve Cannabis Corp.2.2 bn—-48.2%-41.8%−0.4%+115% / +109%
TLRYTilray Brands, Inc.437.5 m—-10.4%-17.1%+11.5%−76% / −85%
USNAUsana Health Sciences, Inc.264.8 m—-4.2%-2.4%unavailable−28% / −70%
NAGENiagen Bioscience, Inc.199.6 m21.313.3%8.4%+29.9%−63% / +81%
MDWDMediwound Ltd.182.3 m—-63.9%-140.8%−16.1%−21% / +59%
FTLFFitlife Brands, Inc.76.8 m13.114.1%6.2%+26.4%−56% / −15%
BTMDbiote Corp.71.6 m11.8—3.2%−2.5%−55% / −75%
NAIINatural Alternatives International, Inc.24.3 m—-35.0%-14.5%+9.7%−70% / −81%
MTEXMannatech Inc16.7 m—-1,490.1%-6.9%−8.3%−8% / −3%
BONBon Natural Life Limited4.4 m—-3.9%-10.7%−21.7%−39% / −99%
CGCCanopy Growth Corp——-39.9%-79.2%+5.8%−36% / −87%
IMCCIM Cannabis Corp.——-1,496.2%-20.7%+1.3%−99% / −99%
SNDLSNDL Inc.——-1.4%-1.7%+2.8%−20% / −1%
ACBAurora Cannabis Inc——0.3%0.5%+27.3%+14% / +14%
CRONCronos Group Inc.——6.5%39.1%+24.6%+42% / +74%
GLASGlass House Brands Inc.——-31.2%-16.3%−9.4%−57% / −45%

1- and 3-year price returns: for TLRY from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Tilray Brands is a global consumer products group spanning cannabis, beer and beverages, wellness and pharmaceutical distribution. The current focus is diversification: revenue rose 23% in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 3, and the BrewDog acquisition strengthened the beverage segment, while US cannabis regulation remains in flux 1.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • Diversification across four segments reduces dependence on a single market or regulatory framework 3.
    • The company has an international infrastructure with EU-GMP certified facilities in Portugal and Germany 1.
    • A portfolio of well-known brands, including BrewDog and Breckenridge, supports its position in beverages 1.

    Weaknesses

    • The distribution segment has a very low gross margin, which limits the profit gained from higher revenue 3.
    • The first-quarter net loss in fiscal 2027 was driven largely by non-cash charges 3.
    • Canadian cannabis market share declined in the last quarter of fiscal 2026 1.

    Opportunities

    • The Carlsberg licensing agreement, starting in 2027, could expand the company's presence in US beer 1.
    • If US cannabis regulation changes, the company says it is positioned to compete in the adult-use market 1.
    • Integrating Lyphe could extend access to medical cannabis through digital platforms 1.

    Threats

    • Cannabis regulation remains uncertain, and unforeseen changes can affect licences and operations 1.
    • Price pressure and fixed excise taxes can reduce margins in Canadian cannabis 1.
    • Declining alcohol consumption in the US could weigh on craft beer sales 1.

    Risks

    • Dependence on licenceshigh

      Cannabis operations rely on licences from Health Canada and other authorities, and a failure to renew could halt activity 1.

    • US regulatory uncertaintyhigh

      The cannabis rescheduling is contested in court and has no certain timetable, which could delay market entry plans 1.

    • Competition in Canadamedium

      The large number of producers and the illicit market could keep prices under pressure 1.

    • Acquisition integrationmedium

      Integrating BrewDog and other assets could bring operational difficulties and unforeseen costs 3.

    • Currency fluctuationslow

      Revenue from outside the US is in other currencies, and exchange rate moves can affect reported results 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • Revenue grew 23% in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 and gross margin expanded, which could support higher profitability 3.
    • The company holds leading positions in several categories and reported a stronger balance sheet with reduced debt 3.
    • The Carlsberg agreement could open a new source of US beer revenue from 2027 1.

    What would break the thesis

    • The largest segments by revenue, such as distribution, carry very low margins 13.
    • The Canadian cannabis market is under pressure, and market share has recently declined 1.
    • The first-quarter fiscal 2027 net loss shows that reported results can be affected by non-cash items 3.

    What to watch

    • Delivery of the fiscal 2027 adjusted EBITDA guidancefiscal 2027
    • Trend in Canadian cannabis market shareQ2 2027
    • Timetable for US cannabis rescheduling2027
    • Start of Carlsberg production in the USQ1 2027

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Tilray Brands, Inc. describes itself as a leading global lifestyle consumer products company, headquartered in Leamington and New York, with operations in Canada, the United States, Europe, Australia and Latin America 1. Its strategy aims to grow revenue through its brands, cost efficiency and international expansion, covering craft beer brands such as BrewDog and Sweetwater, medical and adult-use cannabis and hemp-based products 1. In fiscal 2026 the company completed the BrewDog acquisition, which turned its beverage platform from a US one into a global one 1.

    In February 2026 the company entered an exclusive licensing agreement with Carlsberg Group, starting January 1, 2027, to produce and distribute Carlsberg branded beers in the US, with an initial five-year term and an automatic renewal subject to performance 1. It also entered a partnership in Panama, where it holds a 25% equity interest in a medical cannabis entity 1. For fiscal 2027 management reaffirmed adjusted EBITDA guidance of 68 to 75 million USD 3.

    The structure has four reporting segments: beverage, cannabis, distribution and wellness 1. Results are seasonal and weighted toward the second half of the fiscal year, while in April 2026 the US government rescheduled certain cannabis products, with the broader process still ongoing 13.

    Segments

    Beverage

    The beverage segment, the largest by revenue in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, includes craft beer brands and distilleries, and generated 253976 thousand USD in the last fiscal year 13. The BrewDog acquisition brought beverage revenue of 101.5 million USD in the first quarter, with a gross margin of 41% 3.

    Distribution

    Distribution, with revenue of 327244 thousand USD in fiscal 2026, became the largest segment by revenue at 36% of the total 1. Its gross margin was only 11% in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 3.

    Market context

    The addressed markets are craft beer in the US and the UK, medical and adult-use cannabis in Canada and Europe, and hemp-based foods 1. Germany remains the largest medical cannabis market in Europe, while the US framework is still under regulation 1.

    The beer market in the US and UK is competitive, with consumer preferences shifting toward premium, no-alcohol and low-alcohol products 1. Prices in Canadian cannabis are under pressure, and the fixed excise tax per gram adds to the strain 1.

    Trends

    • US cannabis regulationmixed

      The April 2026 rescheduling of certain cannabis products into Schedule III could open the US medical market, but the broader process is contested in court and the outcome is not certain 1.

    • Price pressure in Canadaheadwind

      Retailer consolidation has increased the bargaining power of large accounts, and competition among about 1,000 licensed producers compresses prices 1.

    • Premiumization in beveragestailwind

      Consumers are moving toward premium, non-alcoholic and low-alcohol products, and Tilray has launched lines such as Salty Sips and Clean Slate 1.

    • International expansiontailwind

      Gradual legalization of medical cannabis in Europe and Latin America creates opportunities, although the process is slower than originally expected 1.

    Competitive position

    In cannabis the company competes with about a thousand licensed producers in Canada and with the illicit market, whose operators have lower costs because they do not follow the rules 1. In beer, Tilray is the fourth largest US craft brewer and the number one craft brewer in the UK, competing with local and international brands 13.

    • Canadian licensed producers

      Roughly a thousand licensed producers compete in the Canadian cannabis market, which puts pressure on prices 1.

    • Illicit cannabis market

      Unlicensed operators offer lower prices and can draw legal consumers away 1.

    • Large US craft brewers

      Larger competitors have greater financial resources and marketing capabilities 1.

    • European medical cannabis producers

      Competition in Germany and Portugal for European medical markets is intense 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    The latest news item in our archive is from 21 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 08 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2026-05-31 · SEC / Tilray Brands, Inc. · 28 Jul 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-08-31 · SEC / Tilray Brands, Inc. · 08 Oct 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Tilray Brands, Inc. · 08 Oct 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.