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olivLaw · US equity research

DHT Holdings, Inc. DHT

Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight · SIC 4412 · Vertical: Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight (SIC 4412)

22.05USD−7.82% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

DHT Holdings operates a fleet of very large crude carriers (VLCCs) that transport crude oil on international routes, using a mix of time charters and spot market employment. The company matters now because the global tanker fleet is ageing quickly while new supply stays limited, as reported in its 2025 annual report with 23 vessels as of 13 March 2026.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, DHT Holdings, Inc. (DHT) stock was 22.05 USD (−7.82% on the day), with market capitalisation 3.5 bn USD, P/E 16.8 on diluted EPS of 1.31 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 3.35%, beta 0.37, 52-week range 11.64–26.59 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
3.5 bn USD
shares as of 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
16.8
Diluted EPS TTM 1.31 · TTM to 31 Dec 2025
E/P (TTM)
5.94%
TTM to 31 Dec 2025
Dividend yield
3.35%
DPS 12m 0.74
Beta (2y)
0.37
Volatility (1y) 40%
52-week range
11.6426.59

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
39.3
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
22.32 – 26.36
below the lower band · %B -0.07 · band width 16.6%
SMA 50 / 200
22.74 / 18.86
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.22 / 0.51
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−7.4%−1.1%−6.3 pp—
3 months+23.4%−0.5%+23.8 pp—
6 months+16.4%+4.4%+12.0 pp—
Year to date+80.6%+12.3%+68.3 pp—
1 year+71.5%+13.5%+57.9 pp+30.6%
3 years+95.5%+76.4%+19.1 pp+34.6%
5 years+251.7%+63.7%+188.0 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−17.4%
02 Mar 2026 → 04 Jun 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−36.3%
03 Mar 2023 → 05 Jun 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
+28.6%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

ESEF annual reports carry no quarters: the results are annual (below).

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 63 percentile of its own 8-quarter history (min 3.2, median 13.1, max 71.8; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue375.9 m535.1 m691.0 m295.9 m454.1 m560.6 m571.8 m498.4 m
Revenue YoY+5.9%+42.3%+29.1%−57.2%+53.5%+23.4%+2.0%−12.8%
Net income-46.9 m73.7 m266.3 m-11.5 m61.5 m161.4 m181.4 m211.1 m
Net income YoY−810.8%unavailable+261.4%−104.3%unavailable+162.3%+12.4%+16.4%
Diluted EPS-0.330.511.61-0.070.370.991.121.31
Diluted EPS YoY−760.0%unavailable+215.7%−104.3%unavailable+167.6%+13.1%+17.0%
net %-12.5%13.8%38.5%-3.9%13.5%28.8%31.7%42.4%
Free cash flow53.9 m155.9 m529.4 m60.5 munavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
79.0 m USD
Financial debt
428.7 m USD
Net debt
349.7 m USD
Equity
1.1 bn USD
Total assets
1.6 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.38x
Current ratio
2.80x
ROE
19.4%
ROA
13.7%
FCF margin
unavailable

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
560.6 m
2024
571.8 m
2025
498.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
193.1 m
2024
210.6 m
2025
225.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
108.9 m
2024
111.9 m
2025
106.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
302.0 m ≈
2024
322.5 m ≈
2025
331.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2023
162.0 m
2024
182.1 m
2025
211.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
649.0 k
2024
608.0 k
2025
413.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
161.4 m
2024
181.4 m
2025
211.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.99
2024
1.12
2025
1.31

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
162.4 m
2024
161.4 m
2025
160.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.16
2024
1.01
2025
0.74

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026derived

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
74.7 m
2024
78.1 m
2025
79.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
33.8 m
2024
37.7 m
2025
24.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
200.5 m
2024
201.9 m
2025
208.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
1.4 m
2024
1.4 m
2025
1.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Mar 2022verified

Total assets
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
20.5 m
2024
23.4 m
2025
22.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
30.3 m
2024
78.6 m
2025
39.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
398.4 m
2024
330.8 m
2025
389.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
56.6 m
2024
109.6 m
2025
74.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
460.6 m
2024
443.9 m
2025
469.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
1.0 bn
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2023
161.0 m
2024
160.0 m
2025
160.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
251.4 m
2024
298.7 m
2025
276.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Mar 2022verified

Free cash flow
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Mar 2022derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-125.0 m
2024
-97.0 m
2025
-166.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-177.8 m
2024
-197.9 m
2025
-109.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
186.7 m
2024
161.4 m
2025
118.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-12.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
3.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-6.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
6.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
16.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
50.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
-4.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
17.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
52.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
-4.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
66.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EBIT margin
45.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net margin
42.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
FCF margin
unavailable
input data missing

Returns

ROE
19.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROA
13.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROIC
15.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROCE
14.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Payout ratio (EPS)
56.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
349.7 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net debt / EBITDA
1.1x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Debt / equity
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Quick ratio
2.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Cash ratio
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

Cash

Operating cash flow
276.7 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Capital expenditure
unavailable
input data missing
Free cash flow
unavailable
input data missing
FCF conversion
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion
83.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
3.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Enterprise value
3.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Market cap / net income TTM
16.8x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/E (TTM)
16.8x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Earnings yield
5.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
3.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/S
7.1x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
11.8x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBIT
17.3x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/Sales
7.8x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/FCF
unavailable
input data missing
FCF yield
unavailable
input data missing
Dividend yield
3.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Shareholder yield (distributions)
3.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 56 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

(margin_of_safety <= -0.25 & agreement in ['high', 'medium'])

Closing price

22.05 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 3.5 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
3.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
16.8x
computed by olivLawFY 2025
P/B
3.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
EV/EBITDA
11.8x
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
ROE
19.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2025
Net margin
42.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue growth (YoY)
-12.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
3.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Coverage and freshness

29/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 31 Dec 2025
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Dec 2025
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Dec 2025
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 19 Mar 2026
verified 273derived 9

Score by group

  • Balance sheet76
  • Valuation19
  • Quality79
  • Growth63
  • Returns48

Estimated value range

Low
7.00
USD per share
Mid
11.15
USD per share
High
17.72
USD per share
Price: 22.05 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -49.4% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -97.8% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: high · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 4.84 – 19.26 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the input exists, but its latest figure is far older than the latest reported period: not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA7.00 – 19.26 (Mid 12.38)
    14 companies used · median multiple 7.1x · quartiles 4.5x – 10.4x
    CCEC, CMRE, DSX, ECO, EHLD, GNK, GSL, HSHP, LPG, NVGS, SMHI, TEN, TRMD, ZIM
  • Peers: P/E4.84 – 17.72 (Mid 9.54)
    27 companies used · median multiple 7.3x · quartiles 3.7x – 13.5x
    ASC, CCEC, CISS, CMBT, CMRE, CTRM, DSX, ECO, EHLD, ESEA, FRO, GASS, GNK, GSL, IMPP, LPG, NMM, NVGS, PANL, PSHG, SHIP, STNG, TEN, TK, TOPS, TRMD, ZIM
  • Dividend discount (DDM)9.72 – 13.07 (Mid 11.15)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight (SIC 4412)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 56/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality15.7%77 (vs peers)14%
Net margin · Quality42.4%82 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth3.1%26 (on a fixed band)11%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth52.4%100 (on a fixed band)11%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet1.1x67 (vs peers)14%
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.8x100 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation16.8x23 (vs peers)14%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation11.8x14 (vs peers)14%
FCF yield · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns3.4%48 (on a fixed band)8%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet76/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth63/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality79/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial48/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation19/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

DHT HOLDINGS, INC. (DHT). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2025-12-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 498.4 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -12.8%; net margin 42.4%; ROE 19.4%; net debt/EBITDA 1.1x.

The estimated value range is 7.00–17.72 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: high); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 11.15 USD, the price of 22.05 USD leaves a potential of -49.4% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -97.8% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 56/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 15.7%
  • Net margin: 42.4%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 52.4%
  • Current ratio: 2.8x

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 3.1%
  • P/E (TTM): 16.8x
  • EV/EBITDA: 11.8x
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, Interest coverage, FCF yield, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight (SIC 4412) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
16.8x
vertical median 9.3x
above median (+80.4%)
EV/EBITDA
11.8x
vertical median 7.1x
above median (+66.4%)
P/S
7.1x
vertical median 1.8x
above median (+289.8%)
P/B
3.1x
vertical median 1.1x
above median (+188.7%)
ROE
19.4%
vertical median 9.1%
above median (+112.7%)
Net margin
42.4%
vertical median 16.3%
above median (+160.3%)
EBIT margin
45.1%
vertical median 27.0%
above median (+67.1%)
Revenue YoY
-12.8%
vertical median -0.7%
below median
Net debt/EBITDA
1.1x
vertical median 1.7x
below median (−37.9%)
Dividend yield
3.4%
vertical median 2.1%
above median (+59.7%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
FROFrontline plc10.8 bn28.515.6%19.2%−8.8%+106% / +144%
CMBTCmb.tech NV5.4 bn3.849.1%92.6%−23.9%+56% / −5%
STNGScorpio Tankers Inc.4.4 bn12.111.4%36.7%−24.6%+48% / +57%
TRMDTORM plc3.8 bn13.213.3%21.3%−14.1%+76% / +33%
DHTDht Holdings, Inc.3.5 bn16.819.4%42.4%−12.8%+71% / +95%
ZIMZim Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.3.4 bn7.111.9%6.9%−18.1%+39% / +306%
SBLKStar Bulk Carriers Corp.3.1 bn37.33.4%8.1%−17.6%+37% / +28%
ECOOkeanis Eco Tankers Corp.3.0 bn22.525.0%31.4%−0.4%+130% / +252%
NMMNavios Maritime Partners L.P.2.5 bn8.6—21.2%+0.8%+57% / +232%
LPGDorian Lpg Ltd.2.1 bn6.528.3%55.0%+36.3%+99% / +17%
SFLSFL Corporation Ltd.1.7 bn—-2.5%-3.6%−18.9%+42% / +3%
CMRECostamare Inc.1.6 bn4.615.9%41.5%−1.2%−14% / +30%
GSLGlobal Ship Lease, Inc.1.4 bn3.525.5%54.3%+7.8%+14% / +118%
TENTsakos Energy Navigation Limited1.4 bn10.59.1%20.1%−0.7%+91% / +132%
NVGSNavigator Holdings Ltd1.3 bn13.98.2%17.1%+3.6%+14% / +40%
CCECCapital Clean Energy Carriers Corp.1.2 bn7.312.0%—+62.0%+2% / +57%
TKTeekay Corporation Ltd.1.2 bn11.94.8%10.3%−22.2%+38% / +95%
GNKGenco Shipping & Trading Limited1.1 bn13.98.9%15.5%−19.1%+31% / +59%
SHIPSeanergy Maritime Holdings Corp.987.8 m14.37.8%13.4%−5.6%+37% / +98%
ASCArdmore Shipping Corp752.3 m21.06.6%13.2%−23.6%+51% / +36%
HSHPHimalaya Shipping Ltd.719.3 m40.611.2%13.4%+6.7%+72% / +157%
PANLPangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd.491.7 m10.111.0%6.7%+17.8%+7% / +7%
ESEAEuroseas Ltd.459.1 m3.333.1%60.1%+7.0%+8% / +172%
GASSStealthgas Inc.308.3 m5.19.2%35.0%+3.5%+21% / +24%
DSXDiana Shipping Inc.276.7 m21.73.5%8.3%−6.4%+21% / −30%

1- and 3-year price returns: for DHT from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
12.88
Total return -39% · Per year -39%
22.79
Total return 7% · Per year 7%
34.35
Total return 60% · Per year 60%
3 years
12.17
Total return -37% · Per year -14%
24.25
Total return 21% · Per year 6%
40.18
Total return 96% · Per year 25%
5 years
11.49
Total return -36% · Per year -8%
25.80
Total return 35% · Per year 6%
46.99
Total return 138% · Per year 19%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 6.06
  • Net margin± 4.24
  • Annual revenue growth± 3.53
  • Annual dilution± 0.36

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 19 Mar 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (13 Oct 2026), 6-K (05 Aug 2026), 6-K (27 Jul 2026), 6-K (14 Jul 2026), 6-K (29 Jun 2026), 6-K (22 Jun 2026).

In brief

DHT Holdings operates a fleet of very large crude carriers (VLCCs) that transport crude oil on international routes, using a mix of time charters and spot market employment. The company matters now because the global tanker fleet is ageing quickly while new supply stays limited, as reported in its 2025 annual report with 23 vessels as of 13 March 2026.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A relatively young fleet compared with the market, with recently delivered newbuildings and in-house technical management.
  • A prudent capital structure and a clearly defined dividend policy that returns ordinary profit to shareholders.
  • A mix of spot and time charter employment that offers both profit potential and more predictable income.

Weaknesses

  • Revenues fell in 2025 from the prior year due to a smaller fleet and lower rates.
  • Reliance on secured credit facilities that impose restrictive covenants and value-to-loan requirements.
  • Spot market exposure brings quarter-to-quarter volatility in operating results.

Opportunities

  • Limited new supply and an ageing global fleet could support rates for modern ships.
  • Customers seeking reliability might pay a premium for compliant, well-maintained vessels.
  • Selling older ships and investing in newbuildings could improve fleet efficiency.

Threats

  • Sanctions on certain vessels and emissions rules could reduce transport efficiency and productivity.
  • A fall in oil demand or an economic recession could reduce rates and vessel values.
  • Higher interest rates could increase financing costs and limit refinancing capacity.

Risks

  • Charter rate volatilityhigh

    Tanker rates and vessel values are cyclical, and a decline could affect profit and shareholder distributions.

  • Credit facility covenantshigh

    A fall in vessel values could force early repayments to keep the value-to-loan ratio at or above 135 percent.

  • Dependence on charterersmedium

    If a charterer fails to meet its obligations, revenue and cash flow could be affected.

  • Re-chartering riskmedium

    When charters expire, ships might be re-employed at lower rates or could sit idle.

  • Environmental rules and sanctionslow

    Emissions rules and sanctions on ships could reduce productivity and raise compliance costs.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If the global fleet keeps ageing and new orders stay limited, the company's modern ships could benefit from better rates.
  • A dividend policy that returns ordinary profit to shareholders, plus a buyback programme, could support investor interest.
  • Customers seeking reliability might pay a premium for well-maintained ships, and recent contracts were struck at firm rates.

What would break the thesis

  • Revenues fell in 2025, and a smaller fleet could keep weighing on results if rates do not improve.
  • Spot market exposure brings volatility, and if rates fall, unemployed ships could generate low revenue.
  • Higher interest rates or lower vessel values could put pressure on credit facilities and dividend capacity.

What to watch

  • Delivery of the two VLCCs under construction and the evolution of the fleet2026
  • Results of the sale of the 2007-built ships and the effect of gains on profitQ1 2026
  • Daily rates in new time charter contractsnext 10-K
  • Use of the 100 million USD share repurchase programme approved in March 20262027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 19 Mar 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (13 Oct 2026), 6-K (05 Aug 2026), 6-K (27 Jul 2026), 6-K (14 Jul 2026), 6-K (29 Jun 2026), 6-K (22 Jun 2026).

The business

DHT Holdings, Inc. is a Marshall Islands company that operates only VLCC crude oil tankers of 270,000 to 320,000 dwt 1. As of 13 March 2026 the fleet numbered 23 vessels with a combined capacity of 7,162,399 dwt and an average age of 10.1 years 1. According to the 20-F for 2025, 11 vessels were on time charters and 12 in the spot market 1.

Shipping revenues were 497.2 million USD in 2025, down 12.4 percent from 2024 due to a smaller fleet and lower revenue per day 1. The company booked gains of 52.9 million USD on vessel sales in 2025 and in 2026 took delivery of newbuildings from Hanwha Ocean while selling older 2007-built ships 1.

The stated strategy combines well-run quality ships, a prudent capital structure, a mix of spot and fixed-income employment, and near-full distribution of ordinary net income to shareholders through quarterly dividends, a policy revised in September 2022 1.

Segments

Time charter

Vessels on time charter provide more predictable income over contracts of one year or several years, and some contracts include profit-sharing clauses; at the report date 11 of the 23 ships were employed this way 1.

Spot market

Vessels in the spot market generate less predictable revenue but can capture higher margins when rates rise; at the report date 12 ships operated in this segment 1.

Market context

The 2026 outlook in the report expects demand for crude transport to keep growing, with geopolitical tensions creating inefficiencies that could support companies in the sector 1. The global tanker fleet is ageing and new orders are limited, which could keep pressure on ship availability 1.

Sanctions by the United States, the UK and the EU on a growing number of ships could reduce transport efficiency, while emissions rules could limit the productivity of older vessels 1.

Trends

  • Ageing global fleettailwind

    Close to half of the tanker fleet could be older than 15 years by the end of 2026, and new orders cover only part of the capacity leaving service 1. If this continues, modern ships could gain in appeal.

  • Emissions regulationmixed

    Emissions rules for transport could restrict the productivity of older ships, but adaptation costs may weigh on companies with ageing fleets 1.

  • Consolidation of fleet ownershiptailwind

    Private fleet aggregators are consolidating compliant VLCC fleets, which could shift pricing dynamics and increase pressure on ship availability, while customers seeking reliability might pay a premium 1.

  • Rate and credit volatilityheadwind

    Charter rates and vessel values are volatile, and inflation and high interest rates could raise the cost of capital and reduce transport demand 1.

Competitive position

The company competes with other tanker owners and with fleets controlled by its customers, mainly on price, but also on vessel condition, location, size and age, and the operator's reputation 1.

Its competitive position could be affected by price differences between vessel sizes or by vessels burning alternative fuels that enter its trades 1.

  • Other tanker owners in the global fleet

    The 20-F does not name individual competitors; competition comes from other ship owners and from customers' own fleets.

  • Customer-controlled fleets

    The company also competes with fleets controlled by its customers, which can carry their own cargoes.

  • Private fleet aggregators

    Consolidation of compliant VLCC fleets by private actors is cited as a market trend that could change pricing.

  • Operators of alternative-fuel vessels

    Ships burning alternative fuels could enter the company's trades and shift the competitive balance.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 22 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 13 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

Sources

  1. [1] Form 20-F, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / DHT Holdings, Inc. · 19 Mar 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.