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olivLaw · US equity research

Flex Ltd. FLEX

Printed Circuit Boards · SIC 3672 · Vertical: Printed Circuit Boards (SIC 3672)

77.24USD−12.33% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Flex is a contract manufacturer (EMS) operating in about 30 countries that designs and builds everything from networking gear and medical devices to automotive modules and power infrastructure for data centers. It matters now because its cloud and power infrastructure segment is growing fastest and the company is preparing to separate it into its own public company.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Flex Ltd. (FLEX) stock was 77.24 USD (−12.33% on the day), with market capitalisation 28.5 bn USD, P/E 27.9 on diluted EPS of 2.77 USD over the last 12 months, beta 2.10, 52-week range 54.51–162.07 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2027): revenue of 8.5 bn USD (+24.8% YoY), net income of 263.0 m USD (+32.2% YoY), diluted EPS 0.70 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
28.5 bn USD
shares as of 23 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
27.9
Diluted EPS TTM 2.77 · TTM to 25 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
3.58%
TTM to 25 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
2.10
Volatility (1y) 71%
52-week range
54.51162.07

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
34.5
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
65.73 – 119.16
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.22 · band width 57.8%
SMA 50 / 200
104.16 / 103.39
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-7.06 / -6.95
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−33.8%−1.1%−32.7 pp—
3 months−36.6%−0.5%−36.2 pp—
6 months−42.7%+4.4%−47.1 pp—
Year to date+27.8%+12.3%+15.5 pp—
1 year+25.0%+13.5%+11.4 pp−7.9%
3 years+292.3%+76.4%+215.8 pp+102.9%
5 years+462.6%+63.7%+398.9 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−52.8%
30 Jun 2026 → 23 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−52.8%
30 Jun 2026 → 23 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
+41.3%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2027 · 25 Sept 2026

Revenue
8.5 bn USD
+24.8% YoY
Net income
263.0 m USD
+32.2% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.70
+34.6% YoY
net / operating
3.1% / 4.9%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26Q4 '26Q1 '27Q2 '27
Revenue6.6 bn6.4 bn6.6 bn6.8 bn7.1 bn7.5 bn7.9 bn8.5 bn
Cost of revenue6.0 bn5.8 bn6.0 bn6.2 bn6.4 bn6.7 bn7.2 bn7.7 bn
Gross profit594.0 m563.0 m572.0 m614.0 m679.0 m702.0 m747.0 m812.0 m
SG&A241.0 m234.0 m233.0 m260.0 m270.0 m289.0 m334.0 m371.0 m
Operating income334.0 m305.0 m311.0 m296.0 m389.0 m372.0 m392.0 m414.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation144.0 m ≈—142.0 m156.0 m ≈135.0 m ≈—140.0 m156.0 m ≈
Interest expense57.0 m52.0 m51.0 m52.0 m58.0 m54.0 m60.0 m69.0 m
Pre-tax income288.0 m279.0 m246.0 m262.0 m————
Income tax25.0 m57.0 m54.0 m63.0 m81.0 m65.0 m92.0 m107.0 m
Net income263.0 m222.0 m192.0 m199.0 m239.0 m250.0 m285.0 m263.0 m
Diluted EPS0.670.570.500.520.640.67 ≈0.760.70
Operating cash flow413.0 m ≈433.0 m399.0 m453.0 m ≈420.0 m ≈413.0 m276.0 m501.0 m ≈
Capex112.0 m ≈112.0 m133.0 m150.0 m ≈148.0 m ≈202.0 m236.0 m241.0 m ≈
Share repurchases201.0 m ≈299.0 m247.0 m297.0 m ≈200.0 m ≈200.0 m00 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 83 percentile of its own 42-quarter history (min 5.6, median 14.3, max 180.3; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20192020202120222023202420252026
Revenue26.2 bn24.2 bn24.1 bn24.6 bn28.5 bn26.4 bn25.8 bn27.9 bn
Revenue YoY+3.0%−7.6%−0.4%+2.1%+15.7%−7.3%−2.3%+8.1%
Net income93.0 m88.0 m613.0 m936.0 m793.0 m1.0 bn838.0 m880.0 m
Net income YoY−78.3%−5.4%+596.6%+52.7%−15.3%+26.9%−16.7%+5.0%
Diluted EPS0.180.171.211.941.722.282.112.33
Diluted EPS YoY−77.5%−5.6%+611.8%+60.3%−11.3%+32.6%−7.5%+10.4%
net %0.4%0.4%2.5%3.8%2.8%3.8%3.2%3.2%
Free cash flow-3.7 bn-2.0 bn-207.0 m581.0 m315.0 m796.0 m1.1 bn1.1 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2026 · 31 Mar 2026

Cash
2.4 bn USD
Financial debt
3.8 bn USD
Net debt
1.4 bn USD
Equity
5.1 bn USD
Total assets
22.1 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.73x
Current ratio
1.36x
ROE
17.3%
ROA
4.4%
FCF margin
3.8%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2024
26.4 bn
2025
25.8 bn
2026
27.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2024
24.4 bn
2025
23.6 bn
2026
25.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Gross profit
2024
1.9 bn
2025
2.2 bn
2026
2.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

SG&A
2024
922.0 m
2025
904.0 m
2026
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Operating income
2024
853.0 m
2025
1.2 bn
2026
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Interest expense
2024
207.0 m
2025
218.0 m
2026
215.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2024
666.0 m
2025
1.0 bn
2026
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Income tax
2024
-206.0 m
2025
185.0 m
2026
263.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Net income
2024
1.0 bn
2025
838.0 m
2026
880.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2024
2.28
2025
2.11
2026
2.33

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2024
441.0 m
2025
398.0 m
2026
378.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2024
2.5 bn
2025
2.3 bn
2026
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Receivables
2024
3.0 bn
2025
3.7 bn
2026
4.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Inventories
2024
6.2 bn
2025
5.1 bn
2026
5.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Current assets
2024
13.0 bn
2025
12.8 bn
2026
16.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2024
2.3 bn
2025
2.3 bn
2026
2.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Goodwill
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.3 bn
2026
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2024
245.0 m
2025
343.0 m
2026
283.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Total assets
2024
18.3 bn
2025
18.4 bn
2026
22.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Accounts payable
2024
4.5 bn
2025
5.1 bn
2026
8.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Short-term debt
2024
0
2025
1.2 bn
2026
0

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Long-term debt
2024
3.3 bn
2025
2.5 bn
2026
3.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Current liabilities
2024
8.5 bn
2025
9.9 bn
2026
12.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Total liabilities
2024
12.9 bn
2025
13.4 bn
2026
16.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Equity
2024
5.3 bn
2025
5.0 bn
2026
5.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.5 bn
2026
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Capex
2024
530.0 m
2025
438.0 m
2026
633.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Free cash flow
2024
796.0 m ≈
2025
1.1 bn ≈
2026
1.1 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2024
-492.0 m
2025
-838.0 m
2026
-672.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2024
-1.7 bn
2025
-821.0 m
2026
-924.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Share repurchases
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.3 bn
2026
944.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 20 May 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
8.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-0.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Revenue CAGR 5Y
3.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EBIT growth (YoY)
17.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income growth (YoY)
5.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Net income CAGR 3Y
3.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
Net income CAGR 5Y
7.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
EPS growth (YoY)
10.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
EPS CAGR 3Y
10.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2023 → FY 2026
EPS CAGR 5Y
14.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2026
FCF growth (YoY)
-1.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2026

Profitability

Gross margin
9.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 25 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
5.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 25 Sept 2026
Net margin
3.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 25 Sept 2026
FCF margin
2.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 25 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
19.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 25 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 25 Sept 2026
ROA
4.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 25 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 25 Sept 2026
ROIC
15.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 25 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 25 Sept 2026
ROCE
12.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 25 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 25 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
2.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 25 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 25 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
6.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 25 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 25 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 25 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
1.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 25 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
827.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 25 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
783.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 25 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
75.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 25 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
57 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 25 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 25 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
103 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 25 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 25 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
28.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 25 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
30.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 25 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
27.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 25 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
27.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 25 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
3.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 25 Sept 2026
P/B
4.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 25 Sept 2026
P/S
0.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 25 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 25 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
19.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 25 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 25 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
1.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 25 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 25 Sept 2026
P/FCF
36.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 25 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 25 Sept 2026
FCF yield
2.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 25 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 25 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
1.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 25 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 25 Sept 2026

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 29 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40 · (margin_of_safety <= -0.25 & agreement in ['high', 'medium'])

Closing price

77.24 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 28.5 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
28.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 25 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
27.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 25 Sept 2026
P/B
4.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 25 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
19.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 25 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 25 Sept 2026
Net margin
3.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 25 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
8.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2026
Latest reported period: 25 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 25 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 23 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 30 Oct 2026
verified 3006derived 188

Score by group

  • Valuation40
  • Returns57
  • Quality23
  • Balance sheet32
  • Growth18

Estimated value range

Low
31.62
USD per share
Mid
43.46
USD per share
High
53.42
USD per share
Price: 77.24 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -43.7% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -77.7% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: high · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 27.42 – 59.30 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)27.42 – 47.55 (Mid 34.99)
    WACC 8.5% · starting FCFF 951.3 m USD · terminal value share of EV 75%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 32.8%
  • Peers: EV/Sales35.82 – 59.30 (Mid 51.93)
    6 companies used · median multiple 0.7x · quartiles 0.5x – 0.8x
    BHE, CLS, JBL, KE, KTCC, SANM
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Printed Circuit Boards (SIC 3672)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 29/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality9.5%0 (on a fixed band)11%
EBIT margin · Quality5.1%64 (vs peers)9%
FCF margin · Quality2.5%10 (on a fixed band)9%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-0.7%0 (on a fixed band)18%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth8.1%55 (vs peers)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.3x32 (on a fixed band)7%
EV/Sales · Valuation1.0x29 (vs peers)18%
FCF yield · Valuation2.7%55 (on a fixed band)14%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns1.4%57 (on a fixed band)5%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial32/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Growth18/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality23/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns57/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation40/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

FLEX LTD. (FLEX). Latest full fiscal year: 2026; data up to 2026-09-25.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 27.9 bn USD in 2026; YoY growth 8.1%; net margin 3.4%; ROE 19.1%.

The estimated value range is 31.62–53.42 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: high); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 43.46 USD, the price of 77.24 USD leaves a potential of -43.7% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -77.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 29/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

What contradicts it

  • Gross margin: 9.5%
  • FCF margin: 2.5%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -0.7%
  • EV/Sales: 1.0x
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Printed Circuit Boards (SIC 3672) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 11 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
27.9x
vertical median 26.5x
above median (+5.3%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 11.9x
P/S
0.9x
vertical median 0.8x
above median (+13.7%)
P/B
4.9x
vertical median 2.8x
above median (+76.0%)
ROE
19.1%
vertical median 11.8%
above median (+62.5%)
Net margin
3.4%
vertical median 2.4%
above median (+38.8%)
EBIT margin
5.1%
vertical median 4.6%
above median (+9.7%)
Revenue YoY
8.1%
vertical median 7.4%
above median (+10.0%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 0.3x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.3%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
CLSCelestica Inc.29.8 bn22.430.2%6.8%+28.5%−31% / +777%
FLEXFlex Ltd.28.5 bn27.919.1%3.4%+8.1%+25% / +292%
JBLJabil Inc26.6 bn26.566.7%2.9%+20.6%+23% / +124%
TTMITtm Technologies, Inc.7.7 bn29.314.3%7.0%+19.0%+5% / +389%
SANMSanmina Corporation7.7 bn25.711.8%2.4%+7.4%−8% / +187%
PLXSPlexus Corp.5.5 bn30.512.6%4.6%+1.8%+45% / +103%
BHEBenchmark Electronics, Inc.2.3 bn42.25.0%1.9%+0.1%+45% / +162%
CTSCts Corporation1.8 bn24.413.0%12.9%+5.2%+46% / +60%
KEKimball Electronics, Inc.619.8 m22.94.8%2.0%−3.7%−11% / +5%
NNDMNano Dimension Ltd.278.3 m—-28.7%-135.2%+77.3%−25% / −43%
ELTKEltek Ltd.42.0 m52.11.9%1.6%+11.3%−27% / −49%
KTCCKey Tronic Corp16.2 m—-51.3%-12.4%−17.4%−44% / −64%

1- and 3-year price returns: for FLEX from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
43.90
Total return -43% · Per year -43%
77.81
Total return 1% · Per year 1%
117.49
Total return 52% · Per year 52%
3 years
38.27
Total return -50% · Per year -21%
76.74
Total return -1% · Per year -0%
127.83
Total return 65% · Per year 18%
5 years
33.37
Total return -57% · Per year -15%
75.68
Total return -2% · Per year -0%
139.08
Total return 80% · Per year 12%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 19.19
  • Net margin± 13.43
  • Annual revenue growth± 11.60
  • Annual dilution± 1.13

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 26 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-sonnet-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 14 Oct 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (30 Oct 2026), 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

Flex is a contract manufacturer (EMS) operating in about 30 countries that designs and builds everything from networking gear and medical devices to automotive modules and power infrastructure for data centers 1. It matters now because its cloud and power infrastructure segment is growing fastest and the company is preparing to separate it into its own public company.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Adjusted operating margin of 6.3% in fiscal 2026, a company record 2.
  • Diversified customers: none above 10% of sales 1.
  • Position in power and cooling for data centers, the fastest-growing segment.

Weaknesses

  • Structurally thin EMS margins, so sensitivity to costs and volume.
  • Free cash flow was only 41 mn USD in the quarter ended June, with higher capital spending and 24 mn USD of separation costs 3.

Opportunities

  • The separation may surface the value of the CPI segment.
  • The EPC Power acquisition broadens the data-center power offering 4.
  • AI infrastructure demand may support the raised management guidance 3.

Threats

  • A slowdown in AI investment would hit the most dynamic segment.
  • Tariffs and export controls can shift costs and supply chains 1.
  • Debt rose: the 3.3 bn USD and 1.1 bn USD loans, due in October 2027, must be refinanced or repaid around the separation 4.

Risks

  • Separation executionhigh

    The split depends on approvals from the board, shareholders and the Singapore court and may be delayed or abandoned 1.

  • Acquisition financinghigh

    EPC Power was funded mainly with a 3.3 bn USD term loan, to be prepaid when the separation is financed, and a 1.1 bn USD bridge loan, both drawn in October 2026 4. Market conditions can affect the cost.

  • AI spending cyclemedium

    Part of the growth depends on hyperscaler data-center investment.

  • Tariffs and trademedium

    Shifting trade policy can affect costs and margins 1.

  • Customer concentrationmedium

    The top ten customers account for 45% of sales 1.

  • Thin marginslow

    Any cost pressure shows up quickly in profit, since operating margins are a few percent.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • AI power and cooling demand keeps CPI growth high.
  • Management raised fiscal 2027 guidance to 33.7-35.2 bn USD 3.
  • The separation surfaces CPI value without harming the rest.

What would break the thesis

  • The AI cycle cools and CPI slows.
  • Separation and acquisition costs and debt drain cash flow 34.
  • EMS margins stay thin and tariffs press on them.

What to watch

  • Fiscal second-quarter 2027 results and guidance updateOctober-November 2026
  • Investor Day: structure and targets of the two companiesNovember 2026
  • Completion of financing and the CPI separationfirst quarter of 2027
  • Adjusted operating margin versus the guided rangequarterly

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 26 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-sonnet-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 14 Oct 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (30 Oct 2026), 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

Flex builds and designs products for third-party customers, with about 150,000 employees and more than 100 locations in about 30 countries 1. Net sales for the fiscal year ended March 2026 were 27.9 bn USD, up 8% 2.

The customer base is diversified: the top ten customers account for 45% of sales and none exceeds 10% 1. The model runs on thin but steady operating margins; the adjusted margin was 6.3% in fiscal 2026 2.

Segments

Integrated Technology Solutions (ITS)

Communications, networking, enterprise, satellite and lifestyle products 1. A more mature segment, exposed to carrier and enterprise investment cycles.

Regulated Manufacturing Solutions (RMS)

Industrial, automotive and healthcare 1. Contracts are regulated and long-lived, with demand tied to the automotive and industrial cycles.

Cloud and Power Infrastructure (CPI)

Cloud infrastructure, cooling, power and utility infrastructure 1. Sales were 6.6 bn USD in fiscal 2026, up about 38%, the fastest of the segments (ITS declined, RMS grew moderately) 1. This is the segment the company plans to separate, targeted for the first quarter of 2027 1.

Market context

The EMS market follows customer capital spending. Demand for servers, cooling and power for AI-driven data centers has become the sector's main growth engine.

Net sales for the quarter ended June 2026 were 7.9 bn USD, up 21% 3. Management guides fiscal 2027 net sales between 33.7 and 35.2 bn USD 3.

Trends

  • Power and cooling for AI data centerstailwind

    CPI drives the growth, and in October 2026 the company completed the acquisition of EPC Power for about 4.4 bn USD in cash, folded into CPI 4.

  • Separation into two companiesmixed

    One company would hold CPI, the other ITS and RMS, targeted for the first quarter of 2027 1. It may clarify valuation but brings costs and execution risk.

  • Tariffs and trade policyheadwind

    The company lists tariffs and export controls among its principal risks 1. A footprint in about 30 countries cushions some of the effect, but costs may be passed on to customers with a lag.

  • Automotive and industrial cyclemixed

    RMS depends on automotive and industrial demand, which is softer than cloud.

Competitive position

Flex competes with numerous domestic and foreign manufacturing service providers and names none in its annual report 1. Its edge is scale, diversification and its position in data-center power; the drawback is an operating margin below that of component makers.

  • JabilJBL

    Direct EMS rival with strong AI infrastructure and consumer exposure.

  • CelesticaCLS

    Specialized in servers and networking for hyperscalers.

  • SanminaSANM

    EMS focused on communications, industrial and healthcare.

  • PlexusPLXS

    Smaller, focused on healthcare and industrial.

  • VertivVRT

    Competitor in data-center power and cooling, against the CPI segment.

  • Hon Hai (Foxconn)

    The world's largest contract manufacturer, listed in Taiwan.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

  • Quarterly report30 Oct 2026
  • Current report28 Oct 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report14 Oct 2026
    Material agreement · Acquisition or disposition of assets · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report13 Oct 2026
    Item 3.02 · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Proxy statement05 Oct 2026
  • Current report05 Oct 2026
    Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Item 3.02 · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report02 Oct 2026
    Material agreement · Creation of a direct financial obligation · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report15 Sept 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report04 Sept 2026
    Material agreement · Other events · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report07 Aug 2026
    Shareholder vote · Other events

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, exercițiul încheiat la 31 martie 2026 · SEC / Flex · 20 May 2026
  2. [2] Flex Reports Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2026 Results · SEC / Flex (8-K ex. 99.1) · 05 May 2026
  3. [3] Flex Reports First Quarter Fiscal 2027 Results · SEC / Flex (8-K ex. 99.1) · 29 Jul 2026
  4. [4] Form 8-K: achiziția EPC Power și facilitatea de credit · SEC / Flex · 14 Oct 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.