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olivLaw · US equity research

FTAI FTAI

Services-Miscellaneous Equipment Rental & Leasing · SIC 7350 · Vertical: Business services and software (SIC 735x)

179.58USD−10.54% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

FTAI Aviation is an independent engine maintenance platform for CFM56 and V2500 engines, with an aircraft and engine leasing business. Total revenues reached 2507.4 million USD in fiscal 2025, and consolidated assets were 4.5 billion USD at June 30, 2026. The company's 2027 guidance points to 2.3 billion USD of segment Adjusted EBITDA.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, FTAI (FTAI) stock was 179.58 USD (−10.54% on the day), with market capitalisation 18.4 bn USD, P/E 36.2 on diluted EPS of 4.97 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.03%, beta 1.94, 52-week range 152.80–310.04 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 977.7 m USD (+46.6% YoY), net income of 150.6 m USD (+27.9% YoY), diluted EPS 1.43 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
18.4 bn USD
shares as of 30 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
36.2
Diluted EPS TTM 4.97 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.77%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.03%
DPS 12m 1.85
Beta (2y)
1.94
Volatility (1y) 66%
52-week range
152.80310.04

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
51.8
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
142.96 – 198.15
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.66 · band width 32.4%
SMA 50 / 200
178.36 / 230.72
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
3.02 / -1.24
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+9.0%−1.1%+10.1 pp—
3 months−19.7%−0.5%−19.3 pp—
6 months−37.1%+4.4%−41.5 pp—
Year to date−8.8%+12.3%−21.1 pp—
1 year+15.6%+13.5%+2.1 pp+26.3%
3 years+354.9%+76.4%+278.5 pp+30.1%
5 years+690.3%+63.7%+626.6 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−50.2%
26 Feb 2026 → 23 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−52.1%
21 Nov 2024 → 21 Jan 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+51.2%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
977.7 m USD
+46.6% YoY
Net income
150.6 m USD
+27.9% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.43
+30.0% YoY
net / operating
15.4% / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue498.8 m502.1 m676.2 m667.1 m662.0 m830.7 m953.1 m977.7 m
Cost of revenue257.7 m248.7 m369.3 m362.9 m368.8 m524.3 m635.8 m623.8 m
Research & development———0———22.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation54.7 m59.6 m55.2 m55.3 m55.7 m52.3 m47.0 m43.3 m
Interest expense60.9 m62.0 m64.0 m60.8 m61.0 m61.4 m64.1 m65.1 m
Pre-tax income108.1 m125.2 m203.3 m144.0 m134.1 m169.4 m150.7 m172.8 m
Income tax5.6 m22.9 m37.9 m26.3 m18.6 m31.5 m25.6 m22.2 m
Net income102.4 m102.4 m165.4 m117.7 m115.6 m137.9 m125.1 m150.6 m
Diluted EPS1.00 ≈0.871.571.101.12 ≈1.291.131.43
Operating cash flow-41.8 m-26.0 m-110.3 m ≈4.6 m ≈-179.1 m-160.1 m-105.2 m ≈-67.7 m ≈
Capex6.3 m4.2 m6.9 m ≈6.4 m ≈10.2 m6.6 m17.4 m ≈42.4 m ≈
Dividends paid30.8 m30.8 m30.8 m ≈30.8 m ≈35.9 m41.0 m46.2 m ≈51.4 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 57 percentile of its own 23-quarter history (min 0.0, median 29.6, max 300.9; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019⚠ 202020212022202320242025
Revenue342.1 m578.8 m297.9 m335.6 m708.4 m1.2 bn1.7 bn2.5 bn
Revenue YoY+84.9%+69.2%—+12.6%+111.1%+65.3%+48.2%+44.5%
Net income5.9 m223.3 m-105.0 m-130.7 m-212.0 m243.8 m8.7 m501.1 m
Net income YoY+4,289.6%+3,695.8%—unavailableunavailableunavailable−96.4%+5,671.3%
Diluted EPS0.07unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable2.11-0.324.60
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailable—unavailableunavailableunavailable−115.2%unavailable
net %1.7%38.6%-35.3%-38.9%-29.9%20.8%0.5%20.0%
Free cash flow-96.3 m-180.1 m-201.7 m-179.4 m-164.9 m122.8 m-197.2 m-338.5 m

The series breaks before 2020: earlier years come from the original reports of the issuer of that time, later years from a subsequent filing that restated the perimeter (a separation, discontinued operations). The year-on-year change across the break is not shown.

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
300.5 m USD
Financial debt
3.4 bn USD
Net debt
3.1 bn USD
Equity
334.2 m USD
Total assets
4.4 bn USD
Debt / equity
10.32x
Current ratio
5.28x
ROE
241.2%
ROA
11.9%
FCF margin
-13.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
2.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
502.1 m
2024
825.9 m
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
668.8 m ≈
2024
909.0 m ≈
2025
1.2 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026derived

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
169.9 m
2024
218.1 m
2025
225.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
161.6 m
2024
221.7 m
2025
247.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
184.0 m
2024
14.2 m
2025
606.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-59.8 m
2024
5.5 m
2025
105.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
243.8 m
2024
8.7 m
2025
501.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
2.11
2024
-0.32
2025
4.60

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
100.4 m
2024
101.5 m
2025
103.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.20
2024
1.20
2025
1.35

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
90.8 m
2024
115.1 m
2025
300.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
115.2 m
2024
150.8 m
2025
209.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
316.6 m
2024
551.2 m
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
671.4 m
2024
1.2 bn
2025
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
2.1 bn
2024
2.5 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
4.6 m
2024
61.1 m
2025
94.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
50.6 m
2024
42.2 m
2025
19.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
3.0 bn
2024
4.0 bn
2025
4.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
41.6 m
2024
69.1 m
2025
208.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
0
2024
0
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
2.5 bn
2024
3.4 bn
2025
3.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
181.8 m
2024
347.2 m
2025
399.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
2.8 bn
2024
4.0 bn
2025
4.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
175.9 m
2024
81.4 m
2025
334.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
129.0 m
2024
-188.0 m
2025
-310.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
6.1 m
2024
9.2 m
2025
27.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
122.8 m ≈
2024
-197.2 m ≈
2025
-338.5 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-373.3 m
2024
-469.5 m
2025
723.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
282.2 m
2024
681.8 m
2025
-227.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
119.8 m
2024
121.6 m
2025
128.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 27 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
44.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
52.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
53.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
5,671.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
37.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
15.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
-17.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
154.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
11.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
37.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Balance sheet

Net debt
3.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
8.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
3.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-512.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
76.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
-588.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
-111.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
20 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
240 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
28 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
232 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
18.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
21.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
34.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
36.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
2.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
42.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
5.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
6.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-3.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

179.58 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 18.4 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
18.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
36.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
42.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
154.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
15.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
44.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 02 Nov 2026
verified 1802derived 114

Score by group

50% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
31.89
USD per share
Mid
54.98
USD per share
High
66.89
USD per share
Price: 179.58 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -69.4% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -226.6% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 17.74 – 109.91 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E46.04 – 109.91 (Mid 89.61)
    11 companies used · median multiple 18.0x · quartiles 9.3x – 22.1x
    AER, EQPT, HRI, KPLT, MGRC, NPKI, PRG, SUNB, TRTN-PA, UPBD, URI
  • Dividend discount (DDM)17.74 – 23.86 (Mid 20.35)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Business services and software (SIC 735x)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality15.5%71 (vs peers)13%
FCF conversion · Quality-111.2%0 (on a fixed band)13%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth52.4%100 (on a fixed band)17%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet3.8x100 (on a fixed band)8%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation36.2x17 (vs peers)21%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-3.2%0 (on a fixed band)17%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.9%14 (on a fixed band)13%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality36/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial14/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation9/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

FTAI AVIATION LTD. (FTAI). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 2.5 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 44.5%; net margin 15.5%; ROE 154.3%.

The estimated value range is 31.89–66.89 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 54.98 USD, the price of 179.58 USD leaves a potential of -69.4% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -226.6% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 15.5%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 52.4%
  • Current ratio: 3.8x

What contradicts it

  • FCF conversion: -111.2%
  • P/E (TTM): 36.2x
  • FCF yield: -3.2%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.9%
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Business services and software (SIC 735x) · same industry group (3-digit SIC) · compared with 14 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
36.2x
vertical median 18.6x
above median (+94.1%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 9.0x
P/S
5.4x
vertical median 1.5x
above median (+251.8%)
P/B
42.4x
vertical median 2.3x
above median (+1,740.4%)
ROE
154.3%
vertical median 12.9%
above median (+1,098.2%)
Net margin
15.5%
vertical median 5.4%
above median (+185.6%)
EBIT margin
—
vertical median 8.4%
Revenue YoY
44.5%
vertical median 8.3%
above median (+438.8%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 2.3x
Dividend yield
1.0%
vertical median 1.4%
below median (−24.8%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
URIUnited Rentals, Inc.69.6 bn24.430.6%16.3%+4.9%+38% / +136%
SUNBSunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc.33.1 bn23.818.2%12.1%+3.4%unavailable / unavailable
AERAerCap Holdings N.V.27.7 bn7.821.1%44.0%+6.5%+24% / +143%
FTAIFtai Aviation Ltd.18.4 bn36.2154.3%15.5%+44.5%+16% / +355%
HRIHerc Holdings Inc.5.3 bn43.36.3%2.5%+22.6%+18% / +28%
WSCWillscot Holdings Corporation3.5 bn—-7.1%-3.0%−4.8%−2% / −54%
MGRCMcGRATH RENTCORP3.2 bn20.512.9%16.8%+3.7%+29% / +31%
TRTN-PATriton International Limited2.5 bn4.918.8%854.3%+22.4%−4% / −4%
CTOSCustom Truck One Source, Inc.2.3 bn76.73.7%1.4%+7.9%+59% / +74%
PRGProg Holdings, Inc.1.6 bn10.820.0%5.5%+0.4%+39% / +46%
UPBDUpbound Group, Inc.1.4 bn12.715.5%2.4%+8.7%+35% / −17%
EQPTEquipmentShare.com Inc1.2 bn19.27.4%1.3%+16.3%unavailable / unavailable
NPKINPK International Inc.758.7 m18.012.3%14.0%+27.4%−27% / +30%
KPLTKatapult Holdings, Inc.50.0 m7.2—5.4%+18.0%+62% / −9%
EHGOEShallGo Inc.——-117.3%-69.4%+21.1%−54% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for FTAI from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
122.27
Total return -31% · Per year -31%
215.19
Total return 21% · Per year 21%
322.78
Total return 81% · Per year 81%
3 years
145.04
Total return -16% · Per year -6%
284.58
Total return 63% · Per year 18%
464.80
Total return 164% · Per year 38%
5 years
172.04
Total return 1% · Per year 0%
376.36
Total return 118% · Per year 17%
669.31
Total return 284% · Per year 31%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 71.15
  • Net margin± 49.80
  • Annual revenue growth± 37.14
  • Annual dilution± 4.18

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 31 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (02 Nov 2026), 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

FTAI Aviation is an independent engine maintenance platform for CFM56 and V2500 engines, with an aircraft and engine leasing business. Total revenues reached 2507.4 million USD in fiscal 2025 1, and consolidated assets were 4.5 billion USD at June 30, 2026 2. The company's 2027 guidance points to 2.3 billion USD of segment Adjusted EBITDA 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • An integrated maintenance platform for CFM56 and V2500 engines with in-house repair and rebuild capacity.
  • Strong growth in Aerospace Products revenue in fiscal 2025 and in the second quarter of 2026.
  • New strategic partnerships that extend maintenance capacity and geographic coverage.

Weaknesses

  • Revenue concentration in a few large customers, with one customer accounting for a significant share of receivables.
  • Dependence on a limited set of engine types, which exposes the company to issues specific to those families.
  • The Aviation Leasing outlook was lowered, showing difficulty sustaining leasing revenue.

Opportunities

  • The major FTAI Power contract could support growth and diversification beyond aviation.
  • The Strategic Capital Initiative could generate management revenue without tying up the company's own capital.
  • Expansion into Indonesia and Egypt could attract new customers in growing regions.

Threats

  • Industry oversupply could reduce lease rates and asset values.
  • Geopolitical risk and sanctions related to Russia could prevent recovery of some assets.
  • Grounding or retirement of 737NG and A320ceo aircraft could reduce demand for the company's engines.

Risks

  • Dependence on large customershigh

    A small number of customers generate a significant share of revenue, and losing one could affect Aerospace Products results 1.

  • Assets in Russiahigh

    Aircraft and engines remaining in Russia could be hard to recover, and their insured value depends on uncertain claims 1.

  • Oversupply of assetsmedium

    Oversupply in the aviation industry could lower rates and asset utilization, especially during economic downturns 1.

  • Concentration on a few engine typesmedium

    The company could be affected if demand for CFM56 and V2500 engines falls or if specific technical problems emerge 1.

  • Aviation regulatory compliancemedium

    Failure to meet regulatory requirements could limit sales and lead to additional compliance costs 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Strong growth in engine maintenance revenue, combined with new contracts and regional partnerships, could sustain solid growth if current conditions hold 3.
  • The Strategic Capital Initiative could generate management income without locking up the company's own capital, potentially improving asset returns 12.
  • The FTAI Power contract could open a new business line if 2027 deliveries follow the plan 3.

What would break the thesis

  • Customer concentration and dependence on a few engine types could amplify the impact of weaker demand or a technical issue 1.
  • The lowered Aviation Leasing guidance and exposure to assets in Russia could limit that segment's contribution in the near term 13.
  • The industry remains cyclical, and oversupply could pressure rates and asset values if the economy slows 1.

What to watch

  • Delivery against 2026 Aerospace Products Adjusted EBITDA guidance2026
  • Deliveries and progress of the FTAI Power customer contract2027
  • Quarterly Aviation Leasing results after the lowered guidanceQ1 2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 31 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (02 Nov 2026), 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

FTAI Aviation Ltd. (Nasdaq: FTAI) is a Cayman Islands company that repairs, rebuilds, and sells or leases aircraft engines, mainly CFM56-5B, CFM56-7B and V2500, used on 737NG and A320ceo aircraft 1. Its primary model is Maintenance, Repair and Exchange (MRE), reported under the Aerospace Products segment 1. At December 31, 2025 the company had consolidated assets of 4.4 billion USD and total equity of 334.2 million USD 1.

Segments

Aerospace Products

The Aerospace Products segment develops, repairs and sells engines and aftermarket components for CFM56-7B, CFM56-5B and V2500 engines 1. Segment revenue reached 1600.5 million USD in fiscal 2025 1 and 875.0 million USD in Q2 2026 alone 3. The company has also announced FTAI Power, a platform converting CFM56 engines into power turbines 1.

Corporate and Other

This segment includes debt, unallocated corporate costs, offshore energy-related assets and expenses related to FTAI Power 2. For 2027 the company expects FTAI Power to contribute 450 million USD of Adjusted EBITDA 3.

Market context

The commercial aviation industry is cyclical, and demand for FTAI's engines and parts depends on passenger and cargo traffic, which in turn depends on general economic conditions 1. Oversupply can depress lease rates and asset values, particularly in downturns 1. The CFM56 and V2500 maintenance market remains a core niche, with revenue concentrated among a few large customers 1.

Trends

  • Rising demand for engine maintenancetailwind

    Aerospace Products revenue grew strongly in fiscal 2025 and in the first quarter of 2026, suggesting solid demand for CFM56 and V2500 maintenance 13.

  • Shift to an asset-light modelmixed

    The company is moving toward the Strategic Capital Initiative, which could reduce balance-sheet exposure but also coincided with a lower Aviation Leasing guidance 13.

  • Expansion of FTAI Powertailwind

    The 1465 million USD FTAI Power customer contract could support growth in 2027 if deliveries stay on schedule 3.

  • Geopolitical risk and sanctionsheadwind

    Aircraft and engines still located in Russia, and the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, could affect collections and the recovery of assets 1.

Competitive position

Competition for acquiring aviation assets comes from traditional aviation companies, commercial and investment banks, and a growing number of hedge funds, private equity funds and other private investors 1. In Aerospace Products, rivals include engine and component manufacturers, aircraft service companies, parts suppliers and spare-parts distributors 1.

Some competitors have greater capital, longer operating histories or lower costs of capital, which could reduce the number of opportunities available to FTAI 1. Competitive pressure can lead to price cuts, especially during industry downturns 1.

  • Aircraft and engine lessors

    Compete for the same assets and lease contracts, and some have more capital or lower financing costs.

  • Aircraft services and repair companies

    Offer maintenance, repair and overhaul services that overlap with the company's MRE portfolio.

  • Aircraft spare parts distributors

    Compete in the aftermarket parts business and in redistributing components recovered from engines.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / FTAI · 27 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / FTAI · 31 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / FTAI · 29 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.