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olivLaw · US equity research

FTNT FTNT

Computer Peripheral Equipment, NEC · SIC 3577 · Vertical: Computer Peripheral Equipment, NEC (SIC 3577)

128.11USD+1.51% · 1 dayClose 03 Nov 2026

Fortinet (FTNT) is a global cybersecurity company promoting the convergence of networking and security, with total revenue of 6.80 billion USD in fiscal 2025. In the second quarter of 2026 revenue grew 26 percent to 2.05 billion USD, and the company raised its 2026 revenue growth guidance to 19 percent. The financial picture is supported by demand for its integrated platform, but it also depends on the firewall refresh cycle and component supply.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 03 Nov 2026, FTNT (FTNT) stock was 128.11 USD (+1.51% on the day), with market capitalisation 94.1 bn USD, P/E 41.6 on diluted EPS of 3.08 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.19, 52-week range 75.23–194.75 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 2.1 bn USD (+20.5% YoY), net income of 635.5 m USD (+34.1% YoY), diluted EPS 0.86 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
94.1 bn USD
shares as of 27 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
41.6
Diluted EPS TTM 3.08 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.40%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.19
Volatility (1y) 49%
52-week range
75.23194.75

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
25.4
oversold (≤ 30)
Bollinger (20, 2)
129.44 – 213.89
below the lower band · %B -0.02 · band width 49.2%
SMA 50 / 200
170.32 / 128.90
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-9.93 / -3.29
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−29.2%−2.0%−27.2 pp—
3 months−23.9%−2.2%−21.7 pp—
6 months+42.5%+4.3%+38.2 pp—
Year to date+61.3%+10.6%+50.8 pp—
1 year+46.4%+10.5%+35.9 pp−19.1%
3 years+153.8%+73.7%+80.1 pp−13.3%
5 years+89.3%+61.7%+27.6 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−35.2%
09 Oct 2026 → 02 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−38.3%
17 Jul 2023 → 07 Nov 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
+13.6%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
2.1 bn USD
+20.5% YoY
Net income
635.5 m USD
+34.1% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.86
+38.7% YoY
net / operating
30.6% / 33.9%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue1.7 bn1.5 bn1.6 bn1.7 bn1.9 bn1.8 bn2.0 bn2.1 bn
Cost of revenue314.5 m293.1 m314.9 m331.7 m389.2 m364.5 m404.7 m437.5 m
Gross profit1.3 bn1.2 bn1.3 bn1.4 bn1.5 bn1.5 bn1.6 bn1.6 bn
Research & development191.1 m198.6 m209.5 m202.4 m205.0 m214.0 m225.0 m213.4 m
Operating income574.1 m453.8 m458.0 m547.3 m625.6 m580.0 m689.3 m704.3 m
Depreciation & amortisation35.2 m35.8 m38.3 m38.4 m39.5 m39.8 m41.4 m ≈39.4 m ≈
Interest expense4.9 m4.9 m4.6 m6.2 m4.4 m4.2 m3.2 m3.0 m
Pre-tax income618.4 m519.3 m517.3 m594.8 m650.8 m656.6 m720.2 m755.0 m
Income tax86.7 m96.5 m77.1 m120.7 m144.8 m122.0 m115.0 m119.5 m
Net income526.2 m433.4 m440.1 m473.9 m506.0 m534.5 m606.3 m635.5 m
Diluted EPS0.68 ≈0.560.570.620.68 ≈0.720.820.86
Operating cash flow477.6 m863.3 m451.9 m ≈655.2 m ≈620.2 m1.1 bn1.0 bn ≈946.0 m ≈
Capex97.6 m66.5 m167.8 m87.7 m42.8 m70.6 m78.0 m ≈64.2 m ≈
Share repurchases00401.1 m ≈1.8 bn ≈57.2 m823.0 m149.8 m ≈0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 59 percentile of its own 44-quarter history (min 6.7, median 37.4, max 287.9; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue1.8 bn2.2 bn2.6 bn3.3 bn4.4 bn5.3 bn6.0 bn6.8 bn
Revenue YoY+20.7%+19.9%+19.9%+28.8%+32.2%+20.1%+12.3%+14.2%
Net income334.9 m331.7 m488.5 m606.8 m857.3 m1.1 bn1.7 bn1.9 bn
Net income YoY+966.6%−1.0%+47.3%+24.2%+41.3%+33.9%+52.0%+6.2%
Diluted EPS1.921.900.580.731.061.462.262.42
Diluted EPS YoY+966.7%−1.0%−69.5%+25.9%+45.2%+37.7%+54.8%+7.1%
net %18.6%15.3%18.8%18.2%19.4%21.6%29.3%27.3%
Free cash flow585.9 m715.8 m957.8 m1.2 bn1.4 bn1.7 bn1.9 bn2.2 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
2.5 bn USD
Financial debt
996.3 m USD
Net debt
-1.5 bn USD
Equity
1.2 bn USD
Total assets
10.4 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.81x
Current ratio
1.17x
ROE
135.7%
ROA
18.4%
FCF margin
32.7%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
5.3 bn
2024
6.0 bn
2025
6.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
4.1 bn
2024
4.8 bn
2025
5.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
613.8 m
2024
716.8 m
2025
815.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
113.4 m
2024
122.8 m
2025
152.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
1.4 bn ≈
2024
1.9 bn ≈
2025
2.2 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
21.0 m
2024
20.0 m
2025
20.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
1.3 bn
2024
2.1 bn
2025
2.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
143.8 m
2024
283.9 m
2025
439.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
1.46
2024
2.26
2025
2.42

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
788.2 m
2024
771.9 m
2025
764.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
1.4 bn
2024
2.9 bn
2025
2.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
484.8 m
2024
315.5 m
2025
399.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
4.4 bn
2024
6.0 bn
2025
5.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
1.0 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
126.5 m
2024
235.4 m
2025
257.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
35.3 m
2024
115.0 m
2025
97.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
7.3 bn
2024
9.8 bn
2025
10.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
204.3 m
2024
190.9 m
2025
230.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
0
2025
499.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
992.3 m
2024
994.3 m
2025
496.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
3.7 bn
2024
4.1 bn
2025
5.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
7.7 bn
2024
8.3 bn
2025
9.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
-463.4 m
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 08 May 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
1.9 bn
2024
2.3 bn
2025
2.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
204.1 m
2024
378.9 m
2025
364.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
1.7 bn ≈
2024
1.9 bn ≈
2025
2.2 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-649.3 m
2024
-727.4 m
2025
-599.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-1.6 bn
2024
-50.1 m
2025
-2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
1.5 bn
2024
600.0 k
2025
2.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
14.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
15.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
21.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
15.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
6.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
29.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
30.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
7.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
31.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
33.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
18.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
79.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
35.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
33.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
29.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
43.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
153.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
21.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
insufficient data
ROCE
37.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
-3.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
175.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
3.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
255.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
3.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
150.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
133.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
61 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
75 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
94.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
90.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
41.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
41.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
41.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
11.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
32.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
35.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
11.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
27.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
3.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
1.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 64 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

128.11 USD

03 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 94.1 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
94.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
41.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
41.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
32.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
153.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
29.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
14.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 27 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 30 Oct 2026
verified 2556derived 227

Score by group

  • Valuation31
  • Returns52
  • Quality100
  • Balance sheet68
  • Growth63

Estimated value range

Low
47.78
USD per share
Mid
57.16
USD per share
High
84.59
USD per share
Price: 128.11 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -55.4% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -124.1% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 13.71 – 122.63 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)81.85 – 122.63 (Mid 97.76)
    WACC 9.3% · starting FCFF 3.4 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 74%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 28.9%
  • Peers: EV/Sales13.71 – 46.54 (Mid 16.57)
    5 companies used · median multiple 1.1x · quartiles 0.9x – 3.9x
    CRSR, EVLV, MITK, MYND, XRX
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · not enough peers
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Computer Peripheral Equipment, NEC (SIC 3577)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 64/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality79.7%99 (on a fixed band)11%
EBIT margin · Quality33.0%100 (vs peers)9%
FCF margin · Quality43.5%100 (on a fixed band)9%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth15.5%62 (on a fixed band)17%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth14.2%65 (vs peers)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-1.2x100 (on a fixed band)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.4x35 (on a fixed band)6%
EV/Sales · Valuation11.5x0 (vs peers)17%
FCF yield · Valuation3.6%73 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns1.1%52 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet68/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Growth63/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality100/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns52/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation31/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

Memo

FORTINET, INC. (FTNT). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 6.8 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 14.2%; net margin 29.0%; ROE 153.1%; net debt/EBITDA -1.2x.

The estimated value range is 47.78–84.59 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 57.16 USD, the price of 128.11 USD leaves a potential of -55.4% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -124.1% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 64/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Gross margin: 79.7%
  • EBIT margin: 33.0%
  • FCF margin: 43.5%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: -1.2x
  • FCF yield: 3.6%

What contradicts it

  • EV/Sales: 11.5x
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Versus the vertical median

Computer Peripheral Equipment, NEC (SIC 3577) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 17 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
41.6x
vertical median 21.4x
above median (+94.7%)
EV/EBITDA
32.9x
vertical median —
P/S
11.9x
vertical median 2.3x
above median (+410.0%)
P/B
41.9x
vertical median 1.6x
above median (+2,574.7%)
ROE
153.1%
vertical median -3.1%
above median
Net margin
29.0%
vertical median -3.0%
above median
EBIT margin
33.0%
vertical median -4.1%
above median
Revenue YoY
14.2%
vertical median 11.2%
above median (+26.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
-1.2x
vertical median —
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 3.1%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
PANWPalo Alto Networks, Inc.286.5 bn875.51.7%2.7%+24.5%+84% / +137%
FTNTFortinet, Inc.94.1 bn41.6153.1%29.0%+14.2%+46% / +154%
LOGILogitech International S.A.13.2 bn16.738.2%16.4%+6.3%−18% / +6%
CRSRCorsair Gaming, Inc.1.3 bn38.25.8%2.5%+11.9%+89% / −5%
EVLVEvolv Technologies Holdings, Inc.838.6 m—-4.9%-3.0%+40.5%−28% / +16%
MITKMitek Systems, Inc.817.6 m38.69.2%11.4%+4.4%+105% / +60%
SSYSStratasys Ltd.601.0 m—-12.7%-18.9%−3.7%−21% / −37%
IMMRImmersion Corporation235.8 m21.43.5%0.6%+11.2%−0% / +10%
RDCMRadcom Ltd.167.4 m14.211.4%16.8%+17.2%−23% / +28%
XRXXerox Holdings Corp160.2 m—-128.0%-11.9%+12.9%−56% / −91%
MYNDMynd.ai, Inc.144.5 m—-995.5%-32.2%−37.2%−50% / −97%
INVEInve Technologies, Inc.64.2 m—-10.9%-62.9%−19.3%−21% / −62%
LINKInterlink Electronics, Inc55.1 m—-10.5%-7.9%+1.8%−3% / −36%
TACTTransact Technologies Inc54.4 m—-1.3%-0.8%+18.7%+19% / −22%
WETHWetouch Technology Inc.12.0 m1.36.0%17.6%+6.8%−55% / unavailable
AIMDAinos, Inc.4.6 m—-196.3%-106,283.3%+499.0%−70% / −96%
VTIXVirtuix Holdings Inc.———-543.2%+18.4%unavailable / unavailable
YIBOPlanet Image International Limited——-14.4%-5.3%+3.6%−1% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for FTNT from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
84.53
Total return -34% · Per year -34%
148.76
Total return 16% · Per year 16%
223.14
Total return 74% · Per year 74%
3 years
100.27
Total return -22% · Per year -8%
196.73
Total return 54% · Per year 15%
321.32
Total return 151% · Per year 36%
5 years
118.93
Total return -7% · Per year -1%
260.18
Total return 103% · Per year 15%
462.70
Total return 261% · Per year 29%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 49.18
  • Net margin± 34.43
  • Annual revenue growth± 25.68
  • Annual dilution± 2.89

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (30 Oct 2026), 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

Fortinet (FTNT) is a global cybersecurity company promoting the convergence of networking and security, with total revenue of 6.80 billion USD in fiscal 2025 1. In the second quarter of 2026 revenue grew 26 percent to 2.05 billion USD, and the company raised its 2026 revenue growth guidance to 19 percent 3. The financial picture is supported by demand for its integrated platform, but it also depends on the firewall refresh cycle and component supply.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Integrated portfolio on a single operating system, which reduces complexity for customers 1.
  • Proprietary ASIC processors that support the performance and energy efficiency of appliances 1.
  • Accelerated growth in product revenue and billings in the second quarter of 2026 3.

Weaknesses

  • High dependence on outsourced manufacturing concentrated geographically in Taiwan 1.
  • Dependence on components available from limited or sole sources, without long-term supply contracts 1.
  • Quarterly results vary significantly and are hard to predict, and a large share of expenses is fixed 1.

Opportunities

  • The firewall refresh cycle could expand sales in existing accounts 1.
  • Demand for secure networking could overtake the pure networking market by 2030, according to the company's estimate 1.
  • The SASE Firewall and cloud-delivered SOC platforms could attract new customers 3.

Threats

  • Geopolitical tensions and tariffs could disrupt the supply chain and costs 1.
  • Competition from newer and established vendors could pressure prices and market share 1.
  • Product vulnerabilities or security incidents could damage the company's reputation 1.

Risks

  • Volatility of resultsmedium

    Quarterly results can vary a lot due to order timing, inventory and economic conditions, which could lead to missing analyst expectations 1.

  • Supply chainhigh

    Shortages of components, including memory chips, could delay deliveries and affect margins 21.

  • Tariffs and geopolitical tensionshigh

    Changes in trade policy and regional conflicts could raise manufacturing costs and limit access to certain markets 1.

  • Product vulnerabilitiesmedium

    A critical defect or breach in a security product could cause reputational damage and litigation 1.

  • Dependence on distribution partnersmedium

    Financial difficulties or consolidation among distributors could disrupt the sales channel 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Accelerated growth in products and billings in the second quarter of 2026, combined with raised guidance, could support continued expansion if demand stays solid 3.
  • The integrated platform and proprietary processors could give a lasting advantage with customers consolidating their security vendors 1.
  • A firewall refresh cycle could bring additional revenue from existing accounts if customers choose to extend the portfolio 1.

What would break the thesis

  • Geopolitical tensions and dependence on manufacturing in Taiwan could affect deliveries and margins if disruptions intensify 1.
  • Competition from newer and established vendors could reduce prices and slow the acquisition of new customers 1.
  • Quarterly volatility and high fixed expenses could make a revenue decline weigh heavily on results 1.

What to watch

  • Delivery of revenue guidance for the third quarter of 2026Q3 2026
  • Development of billings and backlog against the annual guidance2026
  • Customer adoption of the FortiSOC and SASE Firewall platforms2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 30 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (30 Oct 2026), 8-K (28 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

Fortinet structures its offering around the Fortinet Security Fabric, an integrated platform combining secure networking, unified SASE and AI-driven security operations 1. In fiscal 2025 the company generated total revenue of 6.80 billion USD and net income of 1.85 billion USD 1. Products run on the FortiOS operating system and on proprietary FortiASIC processors, and end-customers are located in over 100 countries 1.

The distribution model has two tiers: Fortinet sells to distributors that supply resellers, service providers and MSSPs, while large customers are sold to directly 1. Hardware manufacturing is outsourced to contract manufacturers, with a high share located in Taiwan 1. The company notes that a significant firewall refresh cycle could expand its footprint in existing customer environments 1.

In the second quarter of 2026 product revenue grew 52 percent and billings grew 33 percent, indicating faster growth in appliance sales relative to services 3. The company launched FortiSOC, a cloud-delivered SOC platform, and the FortiGate 1200G with FortiSASE Outpost, products aimed at strengthening its position in the SASE Firewall market 3.

Segments

Secure Networking

This segment is built on FortiOS and FortiGate, which can be deployed in branches, campuses, data centers and the cloud, with proprietary ASIC processors accelerating inspection of encrypted traffic 1. The range also includes FortiSwitch switches and FortiAP access points, extending security to the ethernet layer 1.

Unified SASE

The solution combines firewall, SD-WAN, secure web gateway, ZTNA and DLP in a single operating system and a cloud-centric architecture, supported by a network of over 190 PoPs 1. The company also offers a Sovereign SASE variant that can be deployed within the customer's own infrastructure 1.

AI-Driven Security Operations

The portfolio is centred on FortiAnalyzer, a SOC platform with SIEM, SOAR and XDR functions, complemented by FortiSIEM, FortiSOAR and managed FortiGuard services 1. The launch of FortiSOC in the second quarter of 2026 extends this line toward a cloud-delivered platform 3.

Market context

Fortinet's management estimates that demand for secure networking will overtake the pure networking market by 2030 1. The market is driven by a growing threat landscape, a shortage of security skills, and the trend of consolidating disparate tools into a single platform 1.

The company anticipates a significant firewall refresh cycle in the coming years, which could generate additional revenue if customers choose to extend the integrated platform 1. Guidance for the third quarter of 2026 calls for revenue between 2.010 and 2.100 billion USD 3.

Trends

  • Convergence of networking and securitytailwind

    Customers increasingly prefer integrated platforms over point products, which favours Fortinet's offering if the trend continues 1.

  • Firewall refresh cycletailwind

    The company expects a wave of upgrades that could expand the business in existing accounts, but its duration and intensity are uncertain 1.

  • Tariffs and geopolitical tensionsheadwind

    Tariffs, tensions between China and Taiwan and supply chain disruptions could affect costs and deliveries, given the majority of hardware is made in Taiwan 1.

  • Adoption of AI and cloudmixed

    Demand for protecting AI infrastructure and for cloud delivery opens opportunities but requires rapid adaptation, and subscription-based models can change the structure of revenue 12.

Competitive position

The cybersecurity market is fragmented, and Fortinet competes with newer technology providers, established security vendors and networking equipment vendors that extend their offerings 1. Price pressure and refresh cycles can intensify competition 1.

The analysed sources do not name competitors, so the assessment of competitive position relies on the company's statements about product differentiation and the price pressure mentioned in its risk factors 1.

  • Newer network security technology providers

    Newer companies can win customers who choose specialised solutions over integrated platforms, as warned in the risk factors 1.

  • Established security companies

    Larger and more established vendors can attract customers through reputation and broad portfolios 1.

  • Networking equipment vendors

    Major networking producers can offer integrated security and cause customers to concentrate purchases 1.

  • SASE and SD-WAN providers

    Competition in SASE and SD-WAN intensifies as customers move from SD-WAN to single-vendor platforms 1.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / FTNT · 25 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / FTNT · 30 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / FTNT · 29 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.