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olivLaw · US equity research

Geospace Technologies Corporation GEOS

Measuring & Controlling Devices, NEC · SIC 3829 · Vertical: Measuring & Controlling Devices, NEC (SIC 3829)

3.94USD−3.43% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Geospace Technologies makes seismic instruments for the oil and gas industry, connectors and valves for smart water management, and security systems for government customers. The company is diversifying away from energy, but its latest results show that both energy and water are under pressure. Revenue for the first nine months of fiscal 2026 was 61.1 million USD, and the net loss was 30.5 million USD.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Geospace Technologies Corporation (GEOS) stock was 3.94 USD (−3.43% on the day), with market capitalisation 51.0 m USD, beta 1.60, 52-week range 3.94–28.41 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 15.8 m USD (−36.4% YoY), net income of -9.7 m USD (−1,377.4% YoY), diluted EPS -0.75 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
51.0 m USD
shares as of 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -3.08 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-78.09%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.60
Volatility (1y) 99%
52-week range
3.9428.41

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
28.8
oversold (≤ 30)
Bollinger (20, 2)
4.00 – 4.86
below the lower band · %B -0.07 · band width 19.5%
SMA 50 / 200
4.81 / 8.22
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.20 / -0.18
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−17.1%−1.1%−16.0 pp—
3 months−46.4%−0.5%−45.9 pp—
6 months−57.8%+4.4%−62.2 pp—
Year to date−76.7%+12.3%−89.0 pp—
1 year−84.8%+13.5%−98.4 pp−30.9%
3 years−66.4%+76.4%−142.8 pp+16.9%
5 years−58.1%+63.7%−121.8 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−86.1%
11 Nov 2025 → 04 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−86.1%
11 Nov 2025 → 04 Nov 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−16.0%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
15.8 m USD
−36.4% YoY
Net income
-9.7 m USD
−1,377.4% YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.75
−1,350.0% YoY
net / operating
-61.4% / -64.1%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue35.4 m37.2 m18.0 m24.8 m30.7 m25.6 m19.7 m15.8 m
Cost of revenue19.5 m17.1 m16.3 m17.3 m27.3 m22.9 m19.0 m15.3 m
Gross profit15.9 m20.1 m1.7 m7.5 m3.5 m2.7 m694.0 k496.0 k
Research & development4.8 m4.9 m5.2 m4.2 m4.5 m4.5 m4.8 m3.9 m
SG&A7.2 m7.4 m6.8 m7.5 m8.1 m8.3 m7.4 m6.7 m
Operating income1.2 m7.8 m-10.3 m369.0 k-9.2 m-10.2 m-11.4 m-10.1 m
Depreciation & amortisation—2.8 m2.5 m2.4 m2.5 m2.6 m2.7 m2.6 m
Interest expense43.0 k44.0 k43.0 k44.0 k38.0 k-37.0 k35.0 k40.0 k
Pre-tax income-12.9 m8.5 m-9.9 m828.0 k-8.7 m-9.7 m-11.1 m-9.7 m
Income tax5.0 k113.0 k-126.0 k68.0 k333.0 k81.0 k-12.0 k-1.0 k
Net income-12.9 m8.4 m-9.8 m760.0 k-9.1 m-9.8 m-11.0 m-9.7 m
Diluted EPS-1.04 ≈0.65-0.770.06-0.71 ≈-0.76-0.86-0.75
Operating cash flow-1.6 m-11.5 m-1.9 m ≈-4.7 m ≈-4.1 m-15.1 m-1.6 m ≈-10.7 m ≈
Capex280.0 k3.2 m1.2 m ≈1.4 m ≈2.1 m2.5 m535.0 k ≈306.0 k ≈
Share repurchases3.4 m197.0 k418.0 k ≈0 ≈000 ≈0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue75.7 m95.8 m87.8 m94.9 m89.3 m124.5 m135.6 m110.8 m
Revenue YoY+2.7%+26.5%−8.3%+8.0%−5.9%+39.5%+8.9%−18.3%
Net income-19.2 m-146.0 k-19.2 m-14.1 m-22.9 m12.2 m-6.6 m-9.7 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−153.9%unavailable
Diluted EPS-1.45-0.01-1.42-1.05-1.760.92-0.50-0.76
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−154.3%unavailable
net %-25.4%-0.2%-21.9%-14.8%-25.6%9.8%-4.9%-8.8%
Free cash flow-12.1 m3.7 m15.2 m-10.4 m-11.2 m11.6 m-12.9 m-30.2 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 30 Sept 2025

Cash
26.3 m USD
Financial debt
0 USD
Net debt
-26.3 m USD
Equity
125.5 m USD
Total assets
153.0 m USD
Debt / equity
0.00x
Current ratio
3.62x
ROE
-7.5%
ROA
-6.4%
FCF margin
-27.3%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
124.5 m
2024
135.6 m
2025
110.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2025verified

Cost of revenue
2023
72.8 m
2024
83.0 m
2025
77.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2025verified

Gross profit
2023
51.7 m
2024
52.6 m
2025
32.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2025verified

Research & development
2023
15.9 m
2024
16.3 m
2025
18.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2025verified

SG&A
2023
26.0 m
2024
26.6 m
2025
29.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2025verified

Operating income
2023
11.3 m
2024
7.1 m
2025
-11.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2025verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
16.2 m
2024
14.8 m
2025
10.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2025verified

EBITDA
2023
27.6 m ≈
2024
21.9 m ≈
2025
-1.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2025derived

Interest expense
2023
134.0 k
2024
187.0 k
2025
169.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2025verified

Pre-tax income
2023
12.6 m
2024
-6.5 m
2025
-9.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2025verified

Income tax
2023
363.0 k
2024
114.0 k
2025
388.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2025verified

Net income
2023
12.2 m
2024
-6.6 m
2025
-9.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2025verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.92
2024
-0.50
2025
-0.76

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2025verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
13.2 m
2024
13.2 m
2025
12.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2025verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
18.8 m
2024
6.9 m
2025
26.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2025verified

Receivables
2023
20.2 m
2024
14.6 m
2025
12.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2025verified

Inventories
2023
18.4 m
2024
26.2 m
2025
30.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2025verified

Current assets
2023
75.8 m
2024
89.4 m
2025
88.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2025verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
24.0 m
2024
23.2 m
2025
23.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2025verified

Goodwill
2023
736.0 k
2024
736.0 k
2025
1.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2025verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
4.8 m
2024
1.6 m
2025
5.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2025verified

Total assets
2023
153.0 m
2024
152.2 m
2025
153.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2025verified

Accounts payable
2023
6.7 m
2024
8.0 m
2025
10.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2025verified

Long-term debt
2023
0
2024
0
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2025verified

Current liabilities
2023
19.8 m
2024
17.2 m
2025
24.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2025verified

Total liabilities
2023
20.3 m
2024
17.6 m
2025
27.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2025verified

Equity
2023
132.7 m †
2024
134.6 m †
2025
125.5 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2025verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
15.6 m
2024
-9.1 m
2025
-22.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2025verified

Capex
2023
4.0 m
2024
3.9 m
2025
8.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2025verified

Free cash flow
2023
11.6 m ≈
2024
-12.9 m ≈
2025
-30.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2025derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-11.9 m
2024
3.8 m
2025
42.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2025verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-525.0 k
2024
-6.4 m
2025
-1.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2025verified

Share repurchases
2023
0
2024
6.4 m
2025
615.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 21 Nov 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-18.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
7.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
4.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-258.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
8.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
-33.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-44.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-43.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-40.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-34.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-28.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
-37.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
-42.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
-2.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
Debt / equity
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
-539.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-31.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
5.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-36.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
149 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
22 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
51.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
48.1 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-78.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
0.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-72.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

3.94 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 51.0 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
51.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
ROE
-34.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-43.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-18.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 07 Aug 2026
verified 2512derived 190

Score by group

50% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Measuring & Controlling Devices, NEC (SIC 3829)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-37.1%0 (on a fixed band)21%
Net margin · Quality-43.1%13 (vs peers)13%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth7.5%62 (on a fixed band)17%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-539.6x0 (on a fixed band)13%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.4x100 (on a fixed band)8%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-72.4%0 (on a fixed band)17%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.0%0 (on a fixed band)13%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet40/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial62/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality5/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

GEOSPACE TECHNOLOGIES CORP (GEOS). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 110.8 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -18.3%; net margin -43.1%; ROE -34.4%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 50.0% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 2.4x

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: -37.1%
  • Net margin: -43.1%
  • Interest coverage: -539.6x
  • FCF yield: -72.4%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.0%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Measuring & Controlling Devices, NEC (SIC 3829) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 9 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 55.5x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 16.4x
P/S
0.6x
vertical median 3.2x
below median (−82.8%)
P/B
0.5x
vertical median 4.7x
below median (−88.7%)
ROE
-34.4%
vertical median -0.7%
below median
Net margin
-43.1%
vertical median -0.7%
below median
EBIT margin
-44.7%
vertical median 9.0%
below median (−596.9%)
Revenue YoY
-18.3%
vertical median 1.1%
below median (−1,755.7%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 1.2x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
TMOThermo Fisher Scientific Inc.261.6 bn37.313.4%14.9%+3.9%+20% / +42%
ROKRockwell Automation, Inc.49.3 bn41.634.5%13.4%+0.9%+12% / +61%
TRMBTrimble Inc.12.4 bn—-2.9%-4.1%−2.6%−33% / +17%
ONTOOnto Innovation Inc.9.1 bn69.46.8%11.8%unavailable+29% / +31%
MIRMirion Technologies, Inc.336.9 m159.41.6%2.7%+7.5%−31% / +101%
OWLTOwlet, Inc.132.4 m——-7.7%+35.4%−66% / −10%
GEOSGeospace Technologies Corp51.0 m—-34.4%-43.1%−18.3%−85% / −66%
BCHTBirchtech Corp.28.9 m—-134.4%-21.7%+1.3%−75% / −78%
QSIQuantum-Si Incorporated——-49.1%-6,138.3%−20.3%−9% / −20%
NIKINiki BioSolutions, Inc.——-6.2%—−66.7%−87% / −90%

1- and 3-year price returns: for GEOS from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Geospace Technologies makes seismic instruments for the oil and gas industry, connectors and valves for smart water management, and security systems for government customers. The company is diversifying away from energy, but its latest results show that both energy and water are under pressure. Revenue for the first nine months of fiscal 2026 was 61.1 million USD, and the net loss was 30.5 million USD.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company has a balance sheet with no long-term debt and a long history in ruggedized engineering 1. Its water and security products give it a more diversified revenue base than energy alone 1.
    • Hydroconn products are well integrated into utilities' automated meter reading systems, and the company recently released a new connector version 13.
    • The Heartbeat Detector technology has been validated by U.S. national laboratories, which could help sales to government agencies 1.

    Weaknesses

    • Revenue is highly volatile, and profitability depends on a few large seismic equipment contracts 1.
    • Gross margins have fallen due to price competition and raw material costs, and the net loss has widened in recent quarters 13.
    • Project delays and scope changes have reduced energy segment revenue, which makes forecasting difficult 3.

    Opportunities

    • If federal water infrastructure funding turns into orders, the Smart Water segment could recover 1.
    • Security contracts such as the one with the U.S. Navy could open further demand for Quantum systems 3.
    • New connector and valve versions could expand the company's share of the metering market if utilities adopt them 3.

    Threats

    • A further fall in oil prices could cut customer budgets in energy and directly reduce revenue 1.
    • Low-cost Chinese competitors and tariffs could compress margins and weaken product competitiveness 1.
    • Geopolitical conflicts in Russia, Ukraine and the Middle East could disrupt supply chains and customer demand 13.

    Risks

    • Dependence on the energy markethigh

      Demand for seismic equipment depends on oil and gas operators' investment, which falls when prices fall 1.

    • Recurring net losseshigh

      The company has reported net losses in the recent period, which could limit investment capacity if the trend continues 3.

    • Tariffs and trade restrictionsmedium

      Raw materials from China are subject to tariffs, and changes in trade policy could raise costs and reduce competitiveness 1.

    • Geopolitical exposuremedium

      Revenue from outside the U.S. is a large share of the total, and conflicts and sanctions could affect deliveries and collections 1.

    • Project delayslow

      Production delays and scope changes could postpone expected revenue, especially for the PRM contract 3.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If the Smart Water segment recovers after the drop in Hydroconn demand and utilities adopt the new products, revenue could become more stable 13.
    • Government security contracts and federal water funding could provide more predictable revenue than the energy market 13.
    • A balance sheet with no long-term debt gives the company flexibility to get through weak periods without restructuring 1.

    What would break the thesis

    • If demand stays weak in both energy and water at the same time, losses could continue and limit investment capacity 3.
    • Price competition and tariff costs could keep margins under pressure even if revenue improves slightly 13.
    • Revenue depends on a few large contracts, and delays or scope changes could quickly weaken quarterly results 3.

    What to watch

    • Delivery of the PRM contract and Energy Solutions revenue trendQ3 fiscal 2027
    • Recovery of Hydroconn connector demand in Smart Waternext quarterly report
    • Execution of the U.S. Navy contract through the Quantum subsidiaryDecember 2027
    • Trend in net loss and gross margins in the next annual reportnext 10-K

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Geospace designs and manufactures technology for three segments: Smart Water, Energy Solutions and Intelligent Industrial. Its seismic products are sold to the energy industry to locate and monitor hydrocarbon reservoirs, but the company also sells Hydroconn connectors, remote shutoff valves, IoT platforms and detection systems for security. In fiscal 2025, revenue from customers outside the U.S. was approximately 37% of the total 1. The company says non-energy products have grown to nearly half of revenue 1.

    The stated strategy focuses on research and development, acquisitions outside the energy industry and a balance sheet with no long-term debt 1. In August 2025 the company acquired Geovox, which owns the Heartbeat Detector technology, for 1.7 million USD in cash plus contingent earn-out payments of up to 3.3 million USD over four years 1.

    Customers differ by segment: municipalities and utilities buy meter cables and connectors, seismic contractors buy acquisition equipment, and government agencies buy perimeter security systems 1. Diversification is meant to reduce reliance on any single customer type 1.

    Segments

    Smart Water

    The segment includes Hydroconn connectors for automated meter reading and Aquana products, meaning remote shutoff valves and an IoT platform for properties. Product revenue reached 35.8 million USD in fiscal 2025 1, but fell to 4.6 million USD in the third quarter of fiscal 2026 due to lower demand for the Hydroconn Series III connector 3.

    Energy Solutions

    This is the segment with the highest cyclical risk. Total revenue was 50.7 million USD in fiscal 2025, down from the prior year, due to lower sales of ocean bottom nodes 1. Third-quarter fiscal 2026 revenue was 5.9 million USD, and a PRM contract is expected to be delivered in the third quarter of fiscal 2027 3.

    Intelligent Industrial

    The segment covers industrial sensors, imaging equipment and contract manufacturing, plus the Quantum security line. Revenue was 24.0 million USD in fiscal 2025 1. A 10.8 million USD contract with the U.S. Navy, obtained through the Quantum subsidiary, is expected to be completed by December 2027 3.

    Market context

    The energy market depends on oil prices and operators' capital budgets, and demand for seismic equipment falls quickly when those budgets shrink 1. The water market benefits from federal programs such as the Water Infrastructure Finance Act, which provides 7.5 billion USD for water infrastructure projects 1. The government security market is smaller but steadier, with contracts usually awarded by public agencies.

    In the short term, quarterly results show weak demand in several markets at once. The company cited geopolitical uncertainty, project timing, sales volumes and customer access to capital as factors affecting revenue 3.

    Trends

    • Modernization of water meteringmixed

      Municipalities and utilities are moving to automated meter reading. Sales of Hydroconn AMR connectors grew strongly over the last decade 1, but demand has recently declined 3.

    • Federal funding for water infrastructuretailwind

      U.S. federal programs could support demand for smart water technology if projects receive funding on schedule 1.

    • Energy investment cycleheadwind

      Oil and gas operators' investment depends on oil prices. When prices fall, demand for seismic equipment falls, and the company has already seen this effect 1.

    • Tariffs and trade restrictionsheadwind

      Tariffs on raw materials from China have raised production costs, and uncertainty about trade policy remains high 1.

    Competitive position

    In Smart Water, competitors include Mueller, Sensus and Badger for valve and meter combinations, and Water Hero, Moen and Watercop for property products 1. In energy, Sercel, Dynamic Technologies and INOVA are the main rivals for seismic equipment, and Chinese manufacturers offer lower-cost products 1.

    In security, competition comes from large integrators such as Boeing, Lockheed Martin and Elbit Systems, and from fiber-optic sensor suppliers. For human-presence detection the main rival is Ensco with its MicroSearch system 1. The company argues its products are more flexible, but its competitors have far larger financial and technical resources 1.

    • Sercel

      A division of Viridien and the main competitor in seismic equipment, including wireless and ocean bottom systems 1.

    • Mueller

      Competitor in AMI/AMR valve and meter systems for the utility market 1.

    • BoeingBA

      Large integrator of perimeter security systems that can include similar sensor technologies 1.

    • Ensco

      Provider of the MicroSearch system, a direct rival of Heartbeat Detector in human-presence detection 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-09-30 · SEC / Geospace Technologies Corporation · 21 Nov 2025
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Geospace Technologies Corporation · 07 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Geospace Technologies Corporation · 07 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.