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olivLaw · US equity research

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. TMO

Measuring & Controlling Devices, NEC · SIC 3829 · Vertical: Measuring & Controlling Devices, NEC (SIC 3829)

706.16USD+1.12% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO) is a world leader in serving science, supplying instruments, reagents, diagnostics and services to life-science and clinical laboratories. Revenue in fiscal 2025 was 44.556 bn USD, up 4%, and reached 22.999 bn USD in the first six months of fiscal 2026. Organic growth was modest at 2% in fiscal 2025 but accelerated to 6% in the third quarter of fiscal 2026.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. (TMO) stock was 706.16 USD (+1.12% on the day), with market capitalisation 261.6 bn USD, P/E 37.3 on diluted EPS of 18.95 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.26%, beta 0.79, 52-week range 438.34–709.18 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 12.1 bn USD (+9.1% YoY), net income of 1.7 bn USD (+6.5% YoY), diluted EPS 4.64 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
261.6 bn USD
shares as of 26 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
37.3
Diluted EPS TTM 18.95 · TTM to 26 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.68%
TTM to 26 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.26%
DPS 12m 1.84
Beta (2y)
0.79
Volatility (1y) 29%
52-week range
438.34709.18

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
60.5
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
651.81 – 716.34
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.84 · band width 9.4%
SMA 50 / 200
658.67 / 552.49
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
12.06 / 12.16
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+4.3%−1.1%+5.4 pp—
3 months+22.2%−0.5%+22.7 pp—
6 months+49.3%+4.4%+44.9 pp—
Year to date+21.9%+12.3%+9.6 pp—
1 year+24.9%+13.5%+11.4 pp−33.4%
3 years+55.3%+76.4%−21.1 pp−9.9%
5 years+14.5%+63.7%−49.2 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−31.5%
22 Jan 2026 → 15 May 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−41.5%
31 Dec 2021 → 17 Jun 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+2.7%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 26 Sept 2026

Revenue
12.1 bn USD
+9.1% YoY
Net income
1.7 bn USD
+6.5% YoY
Diluted EPS
4.64
+8.7% YoY
net / operating
14.2% / 18.6%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue11.4 bn10.4 bn10.9 bn11.1 bn12.2 bn11.0 bn12.0 bn12.1 bn
Research & development374.0 m342.0 m352.0 m346.0 m356.0 m336.0 m364.0 m348.0 m
SG&A2.2 bn2.1 bn2.1 bn2.2 bn2.4 bn2.2 bn2.3 bn2.3 bn
Operating income2.0 bn1.7 bn1.8 bn1.9 bn2.3 bn1.9 bn2.1 bn2.3 bn
Interest expense317.0 m303.0 m404.0 m347.0 m365.0 m354.0 m401.0 m ≈417.0 m
Pre-tax income1.9 bn1.6 bn1.7 bn1.8 bn2.2 bn1.7 bn1.9 bn2.1 bn
Income tax150.0 m95.0 m92.0 m207.0 m153.0 m70.0 m167.0 m352.0 m
Net income1.8 bn1.5 bn1.6 bn1.6 bn2.0 bn1.7 bn1.7 bn1.7 bn
Diluted EPS4.78 ≈3.984.284.275.20 ≈4.434.684.64
Operating cash flow3.3 bn723.0 m1.4 bn ≈2.2 bn ≈3.5 bn1.2 bn2.1 bn ≈2.6 bn ≈
Capex480.0 m362.0 m294.0 m ≈404.0 m ≈465.0 m376.0 m450.0 m ≈437.0 m ≈
Dividends paid149.0 m149.0 m162.0 m ≈163.0 m ≈162.0 m162.0 m175.0 m ≈174.0 m ≈
Share repurchases1.0 bn2.0 bn0 ≈963.0 m ≈37.0 m3.0 bn1.0 bn ≈0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 90 percentile of its own 40-quarter history (min 23.6, median 32.2, max 38.6; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue24.4 bn25.5 bn32.2 bn39.2 bn44.9 bn42.9 bn42.9 bn44.6 bn
Revenue YoY+16.4%+4.9%+26.1%+21.7%+14.5%−4.6%+0.1%+3.9%
Net incomeunavailable3.7 bn6.4 bn7.7 bn7.0 bn6.0 bn6.3 bn6.7 bn
Net income YoYunavailableunavailable+72.4%+21.2%−9.9%−13.9%+5.7%+5.8%
Diluted EPS7.249.1715.9619.4617.6315.4516.5317.74
Diluted EPS YoY+29.5%+26.7%+74.0%+21.9%−9.4%−12.4%+7.0%+7.3%
net %unavailable14.5%19.8%19.7%15.5%14.0%14.8%15.0%
Free cash flow3.8 bn4.0 bn6.8 bn6.8 bn6.9 bn6.9 bn7.3 bn6.3 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
9.9 bn USD
Financial debt
42.7 bn USD
Net debt
32.9 bn USD
Equity
53.4 bn USD
Total assets
110.3 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.80x
Current ratio
1.89x
ROE
13.0%
ROA
6.5%
FCF margin
14.1%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
42.9 bn
2024
42.9 bn
2025
44.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
8.4 bn
2024
8.6 bn
2025
8.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
6.9 bn
2024
7.3 bn
2025
7.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
6.3 bn
2024
7.0 bn
2025
7.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
284.0 m
2024
657.0 m
2025
547.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
6.0 bn
2024
6.3 bn
2025
6.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
15.45
2024
16.53
2025
17.74

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
388.0 m
2024
383.0 m
2025
378.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.40
2024
1.56
2025
1.72

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
8.1 bn
2024
4.0 bn
2025
9.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
8.2 bn
2024
8.2 bn
2025
8.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
5.1 bn
2024
5.0 bn
2025
5.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
24.6 bn
2024
22.1 bn
2025
28.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
9.4 bn
2024
9.3 bn
2025
10.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
44.0 bn
2024
45.9 bn
2025
49.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
16.7 bn
2024
15.5 bn
2025
15.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
98.7 bn
2024
97.3 bn
2025
110.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
2.9 bn
2024
3.1 bn
2025
3.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
3.6 bn
2024
2.2 bn
2025
3.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
34.7 bn
2024
31.1 bn
2025
39.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
14.0 bn
2024
13.3 bn
2025
15.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
46.7 bn
2024
49.6 bn
2025
53.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
8.4 bn
2024
8.7 bn
2025
7.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
6.9 bn ≈
2024
7.3 bn ≈
2025
6.3 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-5.1 bn
2024
-5.8 bn
2025
-4.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-3.6 bn
2024
-6.8 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
523.0 m
2024
583.0 m
2025
636.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
3.0 bn
2024
4.0 bn
2025
3.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
3.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-0.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
6.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
5.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
5.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-1.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
1.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
7.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
0.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
2.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-13.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
17.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Net margin
14.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
FCF margin
16.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
13.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
ROA
6.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
ROIC
8.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
ROCE
8.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
9.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
8.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
37.9 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
5.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
9.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
1.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
7.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
107.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
71 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
261.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
299.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
37.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
37.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
2.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
P/B
4.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
P/S
5.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
35.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
6.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
P/FCF
34.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
FCF yield
2.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
1.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 43 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

706.16 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 261.6 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
261.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
37.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
P/B
4.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
13.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 26 Sept 2026
Net margin
14.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
3.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 26 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

31/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 26 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 26 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 26 Sept 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 30 Oct 2026
verified 2911derived 233

Score by group

  • Balance sheet71
  • Valuation16
  • Quality77
  • Growth1
  • Returns55

Estimated value range

Low
203.73
USD per share
Mid
270.72
USD per share
High
379.63
USD per share
Price: 706.16 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -61.7% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -160.8% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 203.73 – 379.63 USD.

Methods computed but outside the aggregate range: Dividend discount (DDM) (a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate).

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)203.73 – 379.63 (Mid 270.72)
    WACC 8.8% · starting FCFF 9.0 bn USD · terminal value share of EV 74%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 36.7%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · not enough peers
  • Dividend discount (DDM)outside the aggregate22.60 – 30.40 (Mid 25.93)
    a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Measuring & Controlling Devices, NEC (SIC 3829)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 43/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality8.5%50 (on a fixed band)13%
Net margin · Quality14.9%100 (vs peers)8%
FCF conversion · Quality107.4%100 (on a fixed band)8%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-0.3%0 (on a fixed band)11%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth0.2%1 (on a fixed band)11%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet5.5x62 (on a fixed band)8%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.8x84 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation37.3x0 (on a fixed band)13%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation2.9%36 (on a fixed band)11%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns1.8%26 (on a fixed band)8%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns8.9%100 (on a fixed band)5%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet71/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth1/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality77/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns55/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation16/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

Memo

THERMO FISHER SCIENTIFIC INC. (TMO). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-26.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 44.6 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 3.9%; net margin 14.9%; ROE 13.4%.

The estimated value range is 203.73–379.63 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 270.72 USD, the price of 706.16 USD leaves a potential of -61.7% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -160.8% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 43/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 14.9%
  • FCF conversion: 107.4%
  • Current ratio: 1.8x
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 8.9%

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -0.3%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 0.2%
  • P/E (TTM): 37.3x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 1.8%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA, EV/EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Measuring & Controlling Devices, NEC (SIC 3829) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 9 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
37.3x
vertical median 69.4x
below median (−46.3%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 16.4x
P/S
5.5x
vertical median 1.5x
above median (+266.3%)
P/B
4.8x
vertical median 3.6x
above median (+34.6%)
ROE
13.4%
vertical median -4.5%
above median
Net margin
14.9%
vertical median -5.9%
above median
EBIT margin
17.9%
vertical median -0.5%
above median
Revenue YoY
3.9%
vertical median -0.8%
above median
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 1.2x
Dividend yield
0.3%
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
TMOThermo Fisher Scientific Inc.261.6 bn37.313.4%14.9%+3.9%+25% / +55%
ROKRockwell Automation, Inc.49.3 bn41.634.5%13.4%+0.9%+12% / +61%
TRMBTrimble Inc.12.4 bn—-2.9%-4.1%−2.6%−33% / +17%
ONTOOnto Innovation Inc.9.1 bn69.46.8%11.8%unavailable+29% / +31%
MIRMirion Technologies, Inc.336.9 m159.41.6%2.7%+7.5%−31% / +101%
OWLTOwlet, Inc.132.4 m——-7.7%+35.4%−66% / −10%
GEOSGeospace Technologies Corp51.0 m—-34.4%-43.1%−18.3%−70% / −67%
BCHTBirchtech Corp.28.9 m—-134.4%-21.7%+1.3%−75% / −78%
NIKINiki BioSolutions, Inc.——-6.2%—−66.7%−87% / −90%
QSIQuantum-Si Incorporated——-49.1%-6,138.3%−20.3%−9% / −20%

1- and 3-year price returns: for TMO from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
400.37
Total return -43% · Per year -43%
709.52
Total return 1% · Per year 1%
1,071.07
Total return 52% · Per year 52%
3 years
352.22
Total return -50% · Per year -20%
705.73
Total return 1% · Per year 0%
1,174.85
Total return 67% · Per year 19%
5 years
309.87
Total return -55% · Per year -15%
701.97
Total return 1% · Per year 0%
1,288.69
Total return 84% · Per year 13%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 176.43
  • Net margin± 123.50
  • Annual revenue growth± 106.23
  • Annual dilution± 10.38

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 21 Oct 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (30 Oct 2026).

In brief

Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO) is a world leader in serving science, supplying instruments, reagents, diagnostics and services to life-science and clinical laboratories 1. Revenue in fiscal 2025 was 44.556 bn USD, up 4% 1, and reached 22.999 bn USD in the first six months of fiscal 2026 2. Organic growth was modest at 2% in fiscal 2025 1 but accelerated to 6% in the third quarter of fiscal 2026 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A broad portfolio of products and services spanning research through diagnostics 1.
  • A strong productivity programme that has supported margin expansion 13.
  • An extensive sales force and well-known brands in the laboratory market 1.

Weaknesses

  • High indebtedness and financing costs increased during fiscal 2025 1.
  • Dependence on public budgets can delay sales to academic customers 1.
  • Margins in some segments are under pressure from business mix and investment 1.

Opportunities

  • Growing demand in biopharma and proteomics could support bioproduction and diagnostics segments 12.
  • Integrating AI into products and processes may open new innovation opportunities 13.
  • Complementary acquisitions can extend the portfolio into clinical services and proteomics 12.

Threats

  • Trade tariffs and currency volatility could reduce revenue and profitability 1.
  • Competitors may adapt to new technologies faster, which could erode market share 1.
  • Cuts in government spending could weaken research and academic demand 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on customer capital spendinghigh

    Demand relies on the investment decisions of pharma companies, labs and universities, which can be delayed by economic conditions 1.

  • Currency and trade riskhigh

    International sales form a large share of revenue, and tariffs and currency swings can affect results reported in dollars 1.

  • Goodwill impairmentmedium

    Goodwill and intangible assets are significant on the balance sheet, and an impairment could lead to material charges 1.

  • Integration of acquisitionsmedium

    Acquired businesses may be hard to integrate, and expected synergies may not materialise 1.

  • Environmental and regulatory obligationslow

    The company has remediation and compliance obligations, and changes in rules could create additional costs 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • A recovery in pharma and biotech demand, combined with productivity-driven margin gains, could sustain profitability expansion 23.
  • A broad portfolio and recent acquisitions in bioproduction, proteomics and clinical services could widen growth avenues 12.
  • If innovation in high-end instruments continues to convert into sales, organic growth could keep accelerating 3.

What would break the thesis

  • Tariffs and currency volatility could keep pressuring margins, particularly in analytical instruments 1.
  • High debt and financing costs could limit financial flexibility if interest rates stay elevated 1.
  • Public funding delays could hit academic and government sales, especially if budget impasses recur 1.

What to watch

  • Updated fiscal 2026 guidance and adjusted margin trajectoryQ4 2026
  • Organic growth durability in pharma and biotech2027
  • Effect of tariffs and currency on the analytical instruments segment2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 21 Oct 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (30 Oct 2026).

The business

The company reports four segments: Life Sciences Solutions, Analytical Instruments, Specialty Diagnostics, and Laboratory Products and Biopharma Services 1. It serves pharmaceutical and biotech companies, hospitals, clinical labs, universities and government agencies under brands such as Thermo Scientific, Applied Biosystems and Invitrogen 1. Sales run through a direct force of about 14000 people, e-commerce and third-party distributors 1.

Its growth strategy rests on R&D investment, acquisitions and the PPI productivity system, which supported margins in fiscal 2025 and 2026 123. It acquired Olink in 2024 and the filtration and separation business from Solventum in September 2025, and bought Clario in March 2026 12. It also completed the divestiture of its microbiology business in the third quarter of fiscal 2026 3.

Revenue growth in fiscal 2026 was supported by demand from pharma and biotech customers, while academic and government markets were more uneven 2. Continuing efficiency gains lifted GAAP operating margin to 18.6% in the third quarter of fiscal 2026 3.

Segments

Life Sciences Solutions

The segment generated 10.374 bn USD of revenue in fiscal 2025 at a segment income margin of 36.3% 1. Growth came from bioproduction, including the filtration acquisition, and genetic sciences after the Olink deal 1.

Analytical Instruments

Segment revenue was 7.554 bn USD in fiscal 2025 with a margin of 23.0% 1. The margin decline reflected tariffs, strategic investments and a less favourable business mix 1.

Laboratory Products and Biopharma Services

This is the largest segment, with revenue of 23.984 bn USD in fiscal 2025 and a margin of 14.0% 1. Growth came from pharma services and the research and safety channel 1.

Market context

Customers are mainly pharma and biotech companies, academic and government research, industrial and applied markets, and diagnostics 1. Demand depends on customers' capital spending and government funding, and budget delays can postpone orders 1.

In the first half of fiscal 2026 growth was strong in pharma and biotech, while academic and government revenue stayed flat 2. Sales rose in Europe and Asia-Pacific including China, pointing to broader regional recovery 23.

Trends

  • Recovery in pharma and biotech demandtailwind

    Demand from pharma and biotech firms strengthened in 2026, which could support growth in the laboratory and biopharma services segment if the trend continues 23.

  • Artificial intelligence in productsmixed

    The company is embedding AI and machine learning into products and internal processes, with 2026 launches featuring faster workflows 13. The pace of adoption could shape its competitive position.

  • Tariff and currency pressureheadwind

    US and foreign tariffs along with currency volatility weighed on analytical instruments margins in fiscal 2025 1. If these pressures persist they could reduce profitability.

  • Uncertain public budgetsheadwind

    The federal funding lapse in October 2025 showed that government funding can be delayed, which could weigh on academic demand 1.

Competitive position

The company faces aggressive competition in virtually all its markets from manufacturers, distributors and service providers 1. Key factors include technical performance, product differentiation, depth of capabilities and price 1.

Competition is intensifying as rivals adapt faster to new technologies, and some large customers are also direct competitors 1. To respond, the company invests in innovation and in its sales channels 1.

  • Instrument and reagent manufacturers in overlapping markets

    The source refers to competitors across several product categories without naming them, so no specific ticker is given.

  • Service providers to the pharmaceutical industry

    Competition in drug development and manufacturing services is described only generically in the source.

  • Third-party laboratory product distributors

    The source lists third-party distributors as part of the competitive field without naming them.

  • Large customers that also compete directly

    Some customers manufacture competing products, which can lead to short-term disruption in purchasing.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 15 Oct 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 30 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. · 26 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-27 · SEC / Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. · 31 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. · 21 Oct 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.