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olivLaw · US equity research

Guardforce AI Co., Limited GFAI

Services-Detective, Guard & Armored Car Services · SIC 7381 · Vertical: Services-Detective, Guard & Armored Car Services (SIC 7381)

0.19USD+1.06% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Guardforce AI is a technology company that started from a legacy cash-in-transit business in Thailand and has extended it into artificial intelligence, robotics and smart cash and retail solutions. Revenue reached 35.2 million USD in fiscal 2025, and the AI, RaaS and smart solutions segment grew, which makes the company's shift toward technology relevant now.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Guardforce AI Co., Limited (GFAI) stock was 0.19 USD (+1.06% on the day), with market capitalisation 4.6 m USD, beta 1.95, 52-week range 0.18–0.91 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
4.6 m USD
shares as of 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.53 · TTM to 31 Dec 2024
E/P (TTM)
-278.95%
TTM to 31 Dec 2024
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.95
Volatility (1y) 93%
52-week range
0.180.91

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
33.3
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
0.16 – 0.25
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.33 · band width 45.6%
SMA 50 / 200
0.29 / 0.42
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.03 / -0.03
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−35.4%−1.1%−34.3 pp—
3 months−43.3%−0.5%−42.8 pp—
6 months−61.9%+4.4%−66.3 pp—
Year to date−65.9%+12.3%−78.2 pp—
1 year−77.5%+13.5%−91.1 pp+10.5%
3 years−94.9%+76.4%−171.4 pp+68.7%
5 years−99.8%+63.7%−163.5 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−80.6%
04 Dec 2025 → 30 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−99.8%
08 Nov 2021 → 30 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−70.9%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

ESEF annual reports carry no quarters: the results are annual (below).

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year201920202021202220232024
Revenue38.6 m37.6 m34.7 m34.0 m36.3 m36.3 m
Revenue YoYunavailable−2.4%−7.9%−2.0%+6.8%+0.2%
Net income54.0 k3.1 m-5.5 m-18.6 m-29.6 m-5.9 m
Net income YoYunavailable+5,637.0%−276.8%unavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS0.00-7.26-11.90-14.97-4.53-0.53
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %0.1%8.2%-15.8%-54.7%-81.5%-16.1%
Free cash flow4.6 m3.5 m-4.3 m-21.8 m-3.7 m-3.6 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2024 · 31 Dec 2024

Cash
21.9 m USD
Financial debt
44.2 k USD
Net debt
-21.9 m USD
Equity
32.0 m USD
Total assets
44.7 m USD
Debt / equity
0.00x
Current ratio
4.92x
ROE
-20.5%
ROA
-13.0%
FCF margin
-9.8%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2022
34.0 m
2023
36.3 m
2024
36.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025verified

Cost of revenue
2022
30.2 m
2023
30.9 m
2024
30.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025verified

Gross profit
2022
3.8 m
2023
5.4 m
2024
6.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025verified

Research & development
2022
99.9 k
2023
169.5 k
2024
591.2 k

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025verified

Operating income
2022
-16.8 m
2023
-29.3 m
2024
-6.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2022
3.0 m
2023
2.4 m
2024
916.6 k

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025verified

EBITDA
2022
-13.8 m ≈
2023
-26.9 m ≈
2024
-5.8 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025derived

Interest expense
2022
1.1 m
2023
653.4 k
2024
-337.6 k

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025verified

Pre-tax income
2022
-18.5 m
2023
-29.2 m
2024
-6.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025verified

Income tax
2022
132.2 k
2023
434.3 k
2024
-125.9 k

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025verified

Net income
2022
-18.6 m
2023
-29.6 m
2024
-5.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025verified

Diluted EPS
2022
-14.97
2023
-4.53
2024
-0.53

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2022
1.2 m
2023
6.5 m
2024
11.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2022
6.9 m
2023
20.2 m
2024
21.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025verified

Receivables
2022
5.4 m
2023
5.6 m
2024
5.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025verified

Inventories
2022
5.1 m
2023
506.4 k
2024
274.9 k

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025verified

Current assets
2022
35.3 m
2023
31.1 m
2024
30.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2022
8.1 m
2023
4.0 m
2024
3.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025verified

Goodwill
2022
2.7 m
2023
411.9 k
2024
411.9 k

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2022
5.8 m
2023
2.8 m
2024
2.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025verified

Total assets
2022
61.2 m
2023
45.8 m
2024
44.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025verified

Accounts payable
2022
2.6 m
2023
6.2 m
2024
4.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025verified

Short-term debt
2022
1.8 m
2023
337.2 k
2024
44.2 k

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025verified

Long-term debt
2022
2.3 m
2023
44.4 k
2024
—

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025verified

Current liabilities
2022
19.2 m
2023
14.0 m
2024
6.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025verified

Total liabilities
2022
42.0 m
2023
20.7 m
2024
12.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025verified

Equity
2022
19.1 m
2023
25.2 m
2024
32.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025verified

Shares outstanding at year end
2022
1.6 m
2023
9.8 m
2024
17.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2022
-17.4 m
2023
-1.6 m
2024
-3.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025verified

Capex
2022
4.4 m
2023
2.1 m
2024
244.6 k

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025verified

Free cash flow
2022
-21.8 m ≈
2023
-3.7 m ≈
2024
-3.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025derived

Investing cash flow
2022
-9.4 m
2023
-2.1 m
2024
200.4 k

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025verified

Financing cash flow
2022
20.9 m
2023
17.1 m
2024
4.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 28 Apr 2025verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
0.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2024
Revenue CAGR 3Y
1.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2021 → FY 2024
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-1.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2019 → FY 2024
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
17.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2024
EBITDA margin
-16.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2024
EBIT margin
-18.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2024
Net margin
-16.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2024
FCF margin
-9.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2024

Returns

ROE
-20.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
ROA
-13.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
ROIC
-73.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
ROCE
-17.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
-21.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
Debt / equity
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Interest coverage
-19.9x
computed by olivLawFY 2024

Liquidity

Current ratio
4.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Quick ratio
4.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Cash ratio
3.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2024

Cash

Operating cash flow
-3.3 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2024
Capital expenditure
244.6 k USD
computed by olivLawFY 2024
Free cash flow
-3.6 m USD
computed by olivLawFY 2024
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
58 days
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Days inventory outstanding
5 days
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Days payables outstanding
65 days
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Cash conversion cycle
-2 days
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
4.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Enterprise value
-17.3 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-278.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2024
P/B
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
P/S
0.1x
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
-0.5x
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-77.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 43.8% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

0.19 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 4.6 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
4.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
insufficient data
ROE
-20.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2024 · balance sheet at 31 Dec 2024
Net margin
-16.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2024
Revenue growth (YoY)
0.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2024
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2024
Latest reported period: 31 Dec 2024
Latest balance sheet date: 31 Dec 2024
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Dec 2025
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 21 Apr 2026
verified 193

The data is older than the freshness threshold.

Score by group

44% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Detective, Guard & Armored Car Services (SIC 7381)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 43.8% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-73.3%0 (on a fixed band)24%
Net margin · Quality-16.1%20 (vs peers)14%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth1.6%13 (on a fixed band)19%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-19.9x0 (on a fixed band)14%
Current ratio · Balance sheet4.9x100 (on a fixed band)10%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-77.2%0 (on a fixed band)19%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet40/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial13/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality8/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

GUARDFORCE AI CO., LIMITED (GFAI). Latest full fiscal year: 2024; data up to 2024-12-31.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 36.3 m USD in 2024; YoY growth 0.2%; net margin -16.1%; ROE -20.5%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 43.8% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Current ratio: 4.9x

What contradicts it

  • ROIC: -73.3%
  • Net margin: -16.1%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 1.6%
  • Interest coverage: -19.9x
  • FCF yield: -77.2%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Services-Detective, Guard & Armored Car Services (SIC 7381) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 5 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 24.0x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
P/S
0.1x
vertical median 2.1x
below median (−94.0%)
P/B
0.1x
vertical median 4.8x
below median (−97.0%)
ROE
-20.5%
vertical median 16.9%
below median (−220.9%)
Net margin
-16.1%
vertical median 5.2%
below median (−410.2%)
EBIT margin
-18.5%
vertical median 12.1%
below median (−253.1%)
Revenue YoY
0.2%
vertical median 4.7%
below median (−96.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median —
Dividend yield
—
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
ALLEAllegion plc16.2 bn24.033.6%15.7%+7.8%+16% / +82%
ADTADT Inc.7.5 bn12.216.9%11.9%+4.7%+20% / +69%
ARLOArlo Technologies, Inc.1.6 bn56.322.1%5.2%+3.6%+5% / +67%
GFAIGuardforce Ai Co., Limited4.6 m—-20.5%-16.1%+0.2%−78% / −95%
SUGPSU Group Holdings Ltd2.5 m—-20.1%-9.6%+5.5%−99% / unavailable
CIGLConcorde International Group Ltd——-3,579.0%-797.3%−1.6%unavailable / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for GFAI from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 21 Apr 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (27 Oct 2026), 6-K (02 Oct 2026), 6-K (23 Sept 2026), 6-K (12 Jun 2026).

    In brief

    Guardforce AI is a technology company that started from a legacy cash-in-transit business in Thailand and has extended it into artificial intelligence, robotics and smart cash and retail solutions. Revenue reached 35.2 million USD in fiscal 2025, and the AI, RaaS and smart solutions segment grew, which makes the company's shift toward technology relevant now.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • Long experience in cash-in-transit services and a branch network in Thailand, with stable relationships with large clients and a recognised brand image.
    • A proprietary AI platform and a portfolio of solutions covering cash, retail and robotics, which allows services to be integrated.
    • Long-term contracts with a major client, recently renewed, which provide a more predictable revenue base.

    Weaknesses

    • High dependence on a few clients, with the largest three accounting for a substantial part of revenue.
    • Negative operating profits, which raise questions about the ability to continue operations without additional financing.
    • A history of impaired acquisitions and terminated partnerships, which suggests difficulties in executing growth strategies.

    Opportunities

    • Demand for automation and AI agents in retail and banking could support growth in the AI, RaaS and Smart Solutions segment.
    • The MGAI acquisition could extend the portfolio into AI solutions for education and rehabilitation, if integration succeeds.
    • The robotics market is still early, which could let the company gain share if it innovates quickly.

    Threats

    • Declining use of cash could reduce demand for secured transport, the core of the current business.
    • International competitors and robotics manufacturers offering their own RaaS solutions could weaken the company's position.
    • Geopolitical tensions and global economic instability could affect access to capital and demand for services.

    Risks

    • Going concernhigh

      Negative operating profits could raise doubts about the company's ability to continue operating without additional funding, which could affect investors and suppliers.

    • Customer concentrationhigh

      Revenue depends largely on a few large clients, and losing a major contract could have a significant impact on results.

    • Nasdaq compliancemedium

      The share price trading below the minimum threshold has led to repeated notices from Nasdaq, and failing the deadlines could lead to delisting.

    • Technological obsolescencemedium

      The fast pace of AI development could make the company's solutions outdated, which could reduce adoption and the value of its assets.

    • Regulatory and structural riskslow

      Control structures and regulations in China and Thailand could be interpreted differently by authorities, with effects on operations and dividends.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If the AI and smart solutions segment keeps growing faster than the traditional division, the company could show that its shift toward technology is viable.
    • Long-term contracts renewed with major clients could provide a stable revenue base while the company develops its new business lines.
    • The authorisation of a share repurchase programme could signal management's confidence in the company's outlook, if it is used.

    What would break the thesis

    • Operating losses and questions about going concern could force the company into share issues that dilute existing shareholders.
    • Dependence on a few large clients and on a traditional segment where cash is losing ground could limit long-term growth.
    • A history of impaired acquisitions and terminated partnerships could indicate difficulties in executing strategy, especially if the new acquisition does not integrate well.

    What to watch

    • Revenue trend of the AI, RaaS and Smart Solutions segment compared with the traditional divisionQ1 2027
    • Status of the Nasdaq minimum bid price requirement and the outcome of remediation efforts2026
    • Completion of the MGAI acquisition and its contribution to group revenuenext 10-K
    • Trend in operating cash flow and the need for additional financing2027

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 21 Apr 2026; since then the company filed 6-K (27 Oct 2026), 6-K (02 Oct 2026), 6-K (23 Sept 2026), 6-K (12 Jun 2026).

    The business

    Guardforce AI Co., Limited, headquartered in Singapore, operates through its subsidiary GF Cash (CIT), active in cash-in-transit services in Thailand since its founding. Alongside this traditional business the group develops its proprietary Intelligent Cloud Platform and AI agent, robotics and hardware solutions for industrial applications. From 2025 the company reports revenue under two business metrics: Legacy Secured Logistics and AI, RaaS and Smart Solutions.

    The group structure, according to the report, includes subsidiaries in Thailand, China, Macau, Malaysia and Singapore, with acquisitions completed in 2021 and 2022. The company has also tried growth through acquisitions and partnerships, some of which were terminated or impaired, which shows a history of strategic adjustments. In February 2026 it signed an agreement to acquire MGAI Limited, active in AI solutions for speech therapy and rehabilitation.

    The core activity remains labour-intensive and relies on fleets of armoured vehicles, with operations across 21 branches in Thailand. For this reason personnel and fuel costs directly influence margins, and the union in the CIT division is part of the operating dynamics.

    Segments

    Legacy Secured Logistics

    Covers cash-in-transit services with and without dedicated vehicles, ATM management, cash processing and cash centre operations. Revenue reached 30.5 million USD in 2025, and the growth came mainly from Thailand, linked to retail-focused service lines.

    AI, RaaS and Smart Solutions

    Brings together AI and robotics-as-a-service (RaaS) offerings as well as smart cash and retail solutions. The segment grew in 2025, driven by demand from retail customers, but it remains smaller than the traditional division.

    Market context

    The cash-in-transit market is competitive and sensitive to the economy of Thailand, to demand levels and to the spread of digital payments, factors that could affect demand for services. The robotics and AI solutions market is still in an early growth phase in Thailand, China and globally, which opens opportunities but also the risk that solutions become outdated quickly.

    The company operates in Asia-Pacific markets with a concentration on Thailand, where the contract with its largest client, a state-owned bank, was renewed for three years for the period June 2025 to May 2028. If retail and banking trends continue, demand for automation could support the smart solutions segment.

    Trends

    • Acceleration of artificial intelligencemixed

      Rapid development of foundation models could make current solutions quickly outdated, but could also create demand for AI agents and automation. The company tries to adapt through a flexible development approach and rapid demonstrations.

    • Retail demand and digital paymentsmixed

      Growth in the retail-related segment in Thailand supported revenue in 2025. However, the spread of digital payments could reduce the volume of cash transported, affecting demand for traditional services.

    • Labour and fuel cost pressureheadwind

      The labour-intensive activity means that wage increases and higher fuel costs could affect margins directly if they cannot be passed on to clients.

    • Data and AI regulationheadwind

      Data protection and AI rules in Thailand and China could generate compliance costs and restrictions for the company's cross-border operations.

    Competitive position

    In cash-in-transit, the company competes with international providers such as Brinks and Armaguard, with local CIT firms, with banks that subcontract such services and with banks that own their own exclusive CIT subsidiaries. Competition runs on brand image, service quality, price and network coverage.

    In AI and robotics, most competitors are Chinese and Japanese robotics manufacturers, and manufacturers that offer their own RaaS solutions could become direct competitors. The company says it differentiates through its brand and its level of service and security.

    • Brinks

      International cash-in-transit and secured logistics provider, cited in the report as a main competitor in this area.

    • Armaguard

      International cash-in-transit company named as a competitor in Thailand and the region.

    • Local CIT providers

      National, regional and local firms offering cash security services that compete on price and network coverage.

    • Chinese and Japanese robotics manufacturers

      Main competitors in AI and robotics, which could also offer robotics-as-a-service solutions.

    News & filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 20-F, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Guardforce AI Co., Limited · 21 Apr 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.