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olivLaw · US equity research

Lifetime Brands, Inc. LCUT

Cutlery, Handtools & General Hardware · SIC 3420 · Vertical: Cutlery, Handtools & General Hardware (SIC 3420)

8.89USD+4.71% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Lifetime Brands designs, sources and sells branded kitchenware, tableware and home solutions, sold through nearly every major retail channel in the US and abroad. Net sales declined in fiscal 2025 to 647.9 million USD, while the second quarter of 2026 saw sales grow 7.4%, helped in large part by tariff refunds on duties paid in 2025.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Lifetime Brands, Inc. (LCUT) stock was 8.89 USD (+4.71% on the day), with market capitalisation 204.4 m USD, P/E 6.2 on diluted EPS of 1.43 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.91%, beta 0.91, 52-week range 3.02–9.90 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 141.6 m USD (+7.4% YoY), net income of 19.6 m USD, diluted EPS 0.87 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
204.4 m USD
shares as of 31 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
6.2
Diluted EPS TTM 1.43 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
16.13%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
1.91%
DPS 12m 0.17
Beta (2y)
0.91
Volatility (1y) 81%
52-week range
3.029.90

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
54.9
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
7.70 – 9.51
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.66 · band width 21.1%
SMA 50 / 200
8.75 / 7.20
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.07 / -0.12
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−1.9%−1.1%−0.8 pp—
3 months+5.6%−0.5%+6.0 pp—
6 months+59.6%+4.4%+55.2 pp—
Year to date+125.1%+12.3%+112.7 pp—
1 year+198.3%+13.5%+184.8 pp+35.2%
3 years+61.1%+76.4%−15.4 pp+34.2%
5 years−53.6%+63.7%−117.3 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−34.6%
09 Dec 2025 → 10 Mar 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−84.1%
12 Nov 2021 → 04 Nov 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−14.3%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
141.6 m USD
+7.4% YoY
Net income
19.6 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
0.87
unavailable YoY
net / operating
13.9% / 22.3%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue183.8 m215.2 m140.1 m131.9 m171.9 m204.1 m143.5 m141.6 m
Cost of revenue116.4 m134.0 m89.4 m81.0 m111.5 m125.3 m89.3 m48.3 m
Gross profit67.4 m81.2 m50.6 m50.8 m60.4 m78.8 m54.2 m93.2 m
SG&A38.8 m43.2 m31.5 m37.5 m35.5 m38.0 m36.8 m39.5 m
Operating income8.6 m15.5 m1.1 m-37.2 m6.7 m20.0 m-2.2 m31.6 m
Depreciation & amortisation6.4 m6.1 m5.7 m5.4 m5.4 m5.3 m5.3 m5.4 m
Interest expense5.8 m5.6 m4.9 m5.1 m5.0 m5.0 m4.5 m4.1 m
Pre-tax income1.9 m10.6 m-4.3 m-42.5 m1.7 m14.9 m-6.4 m27.7 m
Income tax1.5 m1.7 m-142.0 k-2.8 m2.9 m-3.2 m-1.7 m8.1 m
Net income344.0 k8.9 m-4.2 m-39.7 m-1.2 m18.2 m-4.8 m19.6 m
Diluted EPS0.020.41 ≈-0.19-1.83-0.050.83 ≈-0.220.87
Operating cash flow-22.7 m ≈20.3 m16.7 m9.3 m ≈-22.2 m ≈3.7 m33.8 m12.2 m ≈
Capex506.0 k ≈623.0 k1.6 m1.2 m ≈475.0 k ≈1.1 m3.8 m1.3 m ≈
Dividends paid916.0 k ≈916.0 k996.0 k937.0 k ≈925.0 k ≈925.0 k1.0 m975.0 k ≈
Share repurchases0 ≈0——————

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 10 percentile of its own 10-quarter history (min 5.9, median 16.9, max 115.6; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue704.5 m734.9 m769.2 m862.9 m727.7 m686.7 m683.0 m647.9 m
Revenue YoY+21.6%+4.3%+4.7%+12.2%−15.7%−5.6%−0.5%−5.1%
Net income-1.7 m-44.4 m-3.0 m20.8 m-6.2 m-8.4 m-15.2 m-26.9 m
Net income YoY−179.9%unavailableunavailableunavailable−129.6%unavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS-0.09-2.16-0.140.94-0.29-0.40-0.71-1.24
Diluted EPS YoY−164.3%unavailableunavailableunavailable−130.9%unavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-0.2%-6.0%-0.4%2.4%-0.8%-1.2%-2.2%-4.2%
Free cash flow11.3 m20.7 m42.7 m33.0 m21.3 m53.6 m16.3 m3.3 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
4.3 m USD
Financial debt
140.0 m USD
Net debt
135.8 m USD
Equity
202.3 m USD
Total assets
572.6 m USD
Debt / equity
0.69x
Current ratio
2.85x
ROE
-12.5%
ROA
-4.5%
FCF margin
0.5%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
686.7 m
2024
683.0 m
2025
647.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
432.0 m
2024
422.2 m
2025
407.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
254.6 m
2024
260.7 m
2025
240.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

SG&A
2023
152.6 m
2024
159.8 m
2025
142.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
31.9 m
2024
27.1 m
2025
-9.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
19.6 m
2024
22.3 m
2025
21.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
51.5 m ≈
2024
49.4 m ≈
2025
12.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
21.7 m
2024
22.2 m
2025
20.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
10.5 m
2024
-9.7 m
2025
-30.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
6.2 m
2024
3.3 m
2025
-3.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-8.4 m
2024
-15.2 m
2025
-26.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.40
2024
-0.71
2025
-1.24

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
21.2 m
2024
21.5 m
2025
21.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.17
2024
0.17
2025
0.17

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
16.2 m
2024
2.9 m
2025
4.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
155.2 m
2024
156.7 m
2025
161.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
188.6 m
2024
202.4 m
2025
194.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
376.4 m
2024
373.6 m
2025
373.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
17.0 m
2024
15.0 m
2025
15.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
33.2 m
2024
33.2 m
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
165.9 m
2024
150.3 m
2025
132.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
667.1 m
2024
634.3 m
2025
572.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
54.2 m
2024
60.0 m
2025
45.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
4.7 m
2024
4.9 m
2025
5.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
150.0 m
2024
142.5 m
2025
135.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
152.0 m
2024
151.7 m
2025
131.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
230.9 m †
2024
229.9 m †
2025
202.3 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
56.4 m
2024
18.6 m
2025
7.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
2.8 m
2024
2.2 m
2025
4.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
53.6 m ≈
2024
16.3 m ≈
2025
3.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-2.8 m
2024
-2.2 m
2025
-4.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-61.1 m
2024
-29.5 m
2025
-2.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
3.7 m
2024
3.8 m
2025
3.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
2.5 m
2024
0
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-5.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-3.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-3.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-134.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-80.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
43.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
11.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
8.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
4.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
3.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
15.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
5.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
24.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
12.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
11.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
18.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
-5.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
3.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
1.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
27.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
6.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
20.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
65.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
35.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
58 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
202 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
49 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
211 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
204.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
198.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
6.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
6.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
16.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
2.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
3.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
0.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
9.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
10.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
1.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
1.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Risk

Altman Z
unavailable
input data missing

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 67 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

8.89 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 204.4 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
204.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
6.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
2.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
15.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
4.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-5.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 31 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 2492derived 233

Score by group

  • Valuation100
  • Returns56
  • Quality69
  • Balance sheet52
  • Growth0

Estimated value range

Low
30.45
USD per share
Mid
31.46
USD per share
High
32.88
USD per share
Price: 8.89 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 253.9% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 71.7% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 3 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 17.45 – 46.68 USD.

Methods computed but outside the aggregate range: Dividend discount (DDM) (a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate).

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)17.45 – 26.21 (Mid 20.87)
    WACC 9.3% · starting FCFF 36.5 m USD · terminal value share of EV 72%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA43.80 – 46.68 (Mid 45.02)
    5 companies used · median multiple 13.3x · quartiles 12.9x – 13.8x
    ACU, EML, HLMN, SNA, SSD
  • Peers: P/E30.45 – 32.88 (Mid 31.46)
    6 companies used · median multiple 21.9x · quartiles 21.2x – 22.9x
    ACU, CIX, EML, SNA, SSD, SWK
  • Dividend discount (DDM)outside the aggregate2.23 – 3.00 (Mid 2.56)
    a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Cutlery, Handtools & General Hardware (SIC 3420)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 67/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality24.1%100 (vs peers)11%
Net margin · Quality4.8%38 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality65.3%50 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-3.8%0 (on a fixed band)9%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-0.1x50 (vs peers)11%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet3.0x23 (on a fixed band)7%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.1x100 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation6.2x100 (vs peers)11%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation2.6x100 (vs peers)11%
FCF yield · Valuation10.2%100 (on a fixed band)9%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns1.9%27 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns18.5%100 (on a fixed band)5%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet52/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality69/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns56/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation100/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

LIFETIME BRANDS, INC. (LCUT). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 647.9 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -5.1%; net margin 4.8%; ROE 15.8%; net debt/EBITDA -0.1x.

The estimated value range is 30.45–32.88 USD per share (median of 3 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 31.46 USD, the price of 8.89 USD leaves a potential of 253.9% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 71.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 67/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 24.1%
  • Current ratio: 2.1x
  • P/E (TTM): 6.2x
  • EV/EBITDA: 2.6x
  • FCF yield: 10.2%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 18.5%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -3.8%
  • Interest coverage: 3.0x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 1.9%
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): EPS CAGR 3Y.

Versus the vertical median

Cutlery, Handtools & General Hardware (SIC 3420) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 8 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
6.2x
vertical median 21.9x
below median (−71.7%)
EV/EBITDA
2.6x
vertical median 13.1x
below median (−80.4%)
P/S
0.3x
vertical median 1.2x
below median (−74.6%)
P/B
0.9x
vertical median 2.1x
below median (−55.5%)
ROE
15.8%
vertical median 11.7%
above median (+35.4%)
Net margin
4.8%
vertical median 6.3%
below median (−23.2%)
EBIT margin
8.5%
vertical median 8.3%
at median
Revenue YoY
-5.1%
vertical median 5.4%
below median (−194.8%)
Net debt/EBITDA
-0.1x
vertical median 0.3x
below median (−124.6%)
Dividend yield
1.9%
vertical median 1.5%
above median (+25.2%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
SNASnap-on Inc19.0 bn19.217.0%19.2%unavailable+8% / +34%
SWKStanley Black & Decker, Inc.17.6 bn21.29.4%5.5%unavailable+65% / +30%
SSDSimpson Manufacturing Co., Inc.8.4 bn22.418.7%15.6%+4.5%+23% / +23%
HLMNHillman Solutions Corp.1.7 bn68.62.0%1.5%+5.4%+0% / +20%
CIXCompx International Inc457.6 m23.116.3%14.0%+8.5%+65% / +58%
ACUAcme United Corp271.2 m29.78.4%4.6%+1.1%+91% / +97%
LCUTLifetime Brands, Inc.204.4 m6.215.8%4.8%−5.1%+198% / +61%
EMLThe Eastern Company173.4 m21.46.3%3.4%unavailable+48% / +59%
RECTRectitude Holdings Ltd18.4 m6.713.9%7.0%+22.0%−37% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for LCUT from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
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Base
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Bull
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
4.65
Total return -46% · Per year -46%
8.25
Total return -5% · Per year -5%
12.48
Total return 42% · Per year 42%
3 years
3.79
Total return -54% · Per year -23%
7.64
Total return -9% · Per year -3%
12.78
Total return 50% · Per year 15%
5 years
3.09
Total return -60% · Per year -17%
7.07
Total return -12% · Per year -3%
13.09
Total return 58% · Per year 10%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 1.91
  • Net margin± 1.34
  • Annual revenue growth± 1.19
  • Annual dilution± 0.11

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Lifetime Brands designs, sources and sells branded kitchenware, tableware and home solutions, sold through nearly every major retail channel in the US and abroad. Net sales declined in fiscal 2025 to 647.9 million USD 1, while the second quarter of 2026 saw sales grow 7.4% 3, helped in large part by tariff refunds on duties paid in 2025 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A portfolio of well-known brands, long-term licenses and an in-house design team that continually creates new products 1.
  • Broad access to distribution channels, from large chains to warehouse clubs and e-commerce 13.
  • Demonstrated ability to negotiate price increases and lower acquisition costs 1.

Weaknesses

  • Heavy dependence on suppliers outside the US, notably in China, exposing the company to tariff risk 1.
  • Sales concentrated in a few large customers, giving them strong bargaining power 1.
  • Significant indebtedness and seasonal funding needs that weigh on the balance sheet 1.

Opportunities

  • Growth in e-commerce and warehouse club programs could support sales 3.
  • If the International segment reaches break-even, consolidated results could benefit materially 3.
  • A relaunched Farberware line and an extended Dolly Parton license could open new sales sources 3.

Threats

  • New tariffs or trade policy changes could raise costs and compress margins 1.
  • A slowdown that reduces discretionary consumer spending could weigh on demand 1.
  • Pressure from large retailers to cut prices or change suppliers could limit profitability 1.

Risks

  • Tariffs and trade policyhigh

    Changing tariffs and uncertain refunds could affect import costs and margins 1.

  • China dependencehigh

    Sourcing almost entirely from China exposes the company to geopolitical and regulatory risk 1.

  • Indebtedness and seasonalitymedium

    Debt and seasonal funding needs could limit financial flexibility if cash flows shift 1.

  • Customer concentrationmedium

    Losing or reducing orders from a major customer could significantly affect sales 1.

  • Distribution relocationlow

    Delays in bringing the new Hagerstown facility fully online could add costs 3.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If tariff refunds and e-commerce growth persist, 2026 results could exceed current expectations 3.
  • A strong brand and license portfolio can support market share even in weak demand periods 13.
  • A recovery in the International segment could meaningfully improve consolidated profitability 3.

What would break the thesis

  • If new tariffs are imposed or refunds are delayed, margins could remain under pressure 1.
  • Demand for discretionary products could stay weak if price increases continue 1.
  • Indebtedness and seasonality could limit flexibility if results deteriorate 1.

What to watch

  • Evolution of gross margin after the tariff refund effect fadesQ3 2026
  • Full operation of the Hagerstown facilityQ4 2026
  • International segment reaching break-even2026
  • Longer-term strategy presented at the Investor DayDecember 2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

The company designs, sources and sells branded kitchenware, tableware and home solutions under owned or licensed brands such as Farberware, KitchenAid, Mikasa, Taylor and Pfaltzgraff 1. Products target moderately priced segments and are sold through virtually every major level of trade, mainly directly to retailers 1. Production is largely outsourced, primarily to China 1, and sales are concentrated: Walmart accounted for 17% of consolidated net sales in 2025 1.

The company has two reportable segments, U.S. and International, the latter covering the U.K., the European Union and Asia Pacific 1. Sales are seasonal, with the third and fourth quarters accounting for 58% of annual sales in 2025 1. The company owns approximately 1,060 design and utility patents 1.

In January 2025 the company announced moving its East Coast distribution from Robbinsville to Hagerstown, Maryland, with tax abatements and incentives totaling approximately 13.1 million USD 1. Alongside this, Project Concord aims to improve results of the International segment 1.

Segments

International

The International segment operates in the U.K., the European Union and Asia Pacific, narrowed its losses in 2026, and management is targeting break-even in 2026 3. Workforce reorganization under Project Concord brought modest restructuring expenses 1.

Market context

The market for kitchenware and home products is highly competitive, with numerous domestic and foreign competitors, some larger than the company 1. Key factors are innovation, brand, quality, aesthetics, packaging, breadth of product line, distribution capability and selling price 1. Consumer demand for discretionary products was pressured in 2025 by tariff uncertainty and price increases 1.

The company sells to a broad range of retailers, from specialty and department stores to warehouse clubs, grocery chains and e-commerce platforms 1. Dependence on a few large customers such as Walmart, Amazon, Costco and TJX makes their commercial pressure an important market factor 1.

Trends

  • Tariffs and refundsmixed

    Tariffs imposed in 2025 raised import costs, and the US Supreme Court struck down some of them in February 2026 1. Refunds received contributed to second quarter 2026 results 3, but the timing and form of further refunds remain uncertain 1.

  • Price increases and demandheadwind

    To offset tariffs, the company negotiated price increases with US customers, which reduced demand from price-sensitive consumers 1. Demand remains moderate, although e-commerce and warehouse clubs are growing 3.

  • E-commercetailwind

    Online and marketplace sales grew and were a growth driver in the second quarter of 2026 3. If this trend holds, it could offset pressure in traditional channels.

  • Supply chain and logistics costsheadwind

    Raw material, ocean freight and energy costs can fluctuate sharply and affect gross margin if they cannot be passed on to customers 1. The company expects margin pressure to continue through the first half of 2026 1.

Competitive position

Competition comes from many domestic and foreign kitchenware and home-goods makers, some larger than Lifetime Brands 1. The company differentiates through its brand portfolio, product innovation and sourcing capabilities 1.

Rivalry plays out both on shelf and online, and large retailers can develop private labels or change suppliers, limiting negotiating room 1. The company also produces under retailers' private labels 1.

  • Retailers with private labels

    Retailers selling their own private-label products compete directly with the company's brands on shelf 1.

  • Domestic and foreign kitchenware makers

    Numerous producers, some larger than the company, compete on innovation, price and distribution 1.

  • Home-products distributors

    Distributors serving independent retailers and food-service channels form another competitive group 1.

  • E-commerce platforms

    Online platforms compete with the company's brands and influence final consumer prices 1.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Lifetime Brands, Inc. · 12 Mar 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Lifetime Brands, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Lifetime Brands, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.