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olivLaw · US equity research

Lineage, Inc. LINE

Real Estate Investment Trusts · SIC 6798 · Vertical: Real Estate Investment Trusts (SIC 6798)

38.61USD+6.22% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Lineage is the world's largest global temperature-controlled warehouse REIT, operating a network of more than 500 facilities across North America, Europe and Asia-Pacific. The company reported revenue of 5.4 billion USD for 2025, and its updated 2026 guidance points to modest profit growth, which makes the trajectory of food-supply-chain demand relevant in the period ahead.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Lineage, Inc. (LINE) stock was 38.61 USD (+6.22% on the day), with market capitalisation 8.8 bn USD, dividend yield 5.48%, beta 0.82, 52-week range 31.80–45.10 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 1.4 bn USD (+0.8% YoY), net income of -29.0 m USD, diluted EPS -0.13 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
8.8 bn USD
shares as of 30 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.72 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-1.87%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
5.48%
DPS 12m 2.12
Beta (2y)
0.82
Volatility (1y) 37%
52-week range
31.8045.10

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
67.5
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
32.54 – 37.66
above the upper band · %B 1.19 · band width 14.6%
SMA 50 / 200
36.31 / 38.70
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.29 / -0.21
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+10.4%−2.0%+12.4 pp—
3 months−6.1%−2.2%−3.9 pp—
6 months+2.1%+4.3%−2.2 pp—
Year to date+10.3%+10.6%−0.3 pp—
1 year+2.3%+10.5%−8.1 pp+0.5%
3 yearsunavailable+73.7%unavailable+12.3%
5 yearsunavailable+61.7%unavailable—
Max drawdown (1y)
−26.3%
29 Jun 2026 → 19 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−64.1%
08 Aug 2024 → 27 Mar 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
unavailable
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
1.4 bn USD
+0.8% YoY
Net income
-29.0 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.13
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-2.1% / 4.0%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue1.3 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn1.4 bn1.4 bn1.3 bn1.3 bn1.4 bn
Cost of revenue897.0 m906.0 m876.0 m920.0 m932.0 m906.0 m880.0 m936.0 m
Operating income-515.0 m-21.0 m56.0 m23.0 m35.0 m67.0 m36.0 m54.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation210.0 m ≈236.0 m212.0 m224.0 m ≈230.0 m ≈229.0 m233.0 m237.0 m ≈
Interest expense87.0 m59.0 m57.0 m64.0 m67.0 m68.0 m65.0 m68.0 m
Income tax-45.0 m-41.0 m8.0 m-7.0 m11.0 m-14.0 m4.0 m-1.0 m
Net income-485.0 m-71.0 m0-6.0 m-100.0 m6.0 m-46.0 m-29.0 m
Diluted EPS-2.44-0.31 ≈0.01-0.03-0.440.03 ≈-0.18-0.13
Operating cash flow186.0 m ≈257.0 m139.0 m258.0 m ≈230.0 m ≈316.0 m130.0 m311.0 m ≈
Capex153.0 m ≈205.0 m151.0 m163.0 m ≈195.0 m ≈238.0 m185.0 m125.0 m ≈
Dividends paid15.0 m ≈96.0 m134.0 m134.0 m ≈134.0 m ≈135.0 m133.0 m136.0 m ≈
Share repurchases0 ≈17.0 m00 ≈0 ≈82.0 m——

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2022202320242025
Revenue4.9 bn5.3 bn5.3 bn5.4 bn
Revenue YoYunavailable+8.4%−0.0%+0.3%
Net income-63.0 m-77.0 m-664.0 m-100.0 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS-0.51-0.73-3.70-0.43
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-1.3%-1.4%-12.4%-1.9%
Free cash flow-312.0 m30.0 m12.0 m196.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
66.0 m USD
Financial debt
6.1 bn USD
Net debt
6.0 bn USD
Equity
9.2 bn USD
Total assets
19.2 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.66x
Current ratio
0.80x
ROE
-1.1%
ROA
-0.5%
FCF margin
3.7%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
5.3 bn
2024
5.3 bn
2025
5.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
3.6 bn
2024
3.6 bn
2025
3.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
1.8 bn ≈
2024
1.8 bn ≈
2025
1.7 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Operating income
2023
398.0 m
2024
-361.0 m
2025
181.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
760.0 m
2024
876.0 m
2025
895.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
1.2 bn ≈
2024
515.0 m ≈
2025
1.1 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
509.0 m
2024
426.0 m
2025
256.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-110.0 m
2024
-840.0 m
2025
-115.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-14.0 m
2024
-89.0 m
2025
-2.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-77.0 m
2024
-664.0 m
2025
-100.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.73
2024
-3.70
2025
-0.43

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
162.0 m
2024
191.0 m
2025
228.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
0.55
2024
0.91
2025
2.11

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
68.0 m
2024
173.0 m
2025
66.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
913.0 m
2024
826.0 m
2025
896.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
171.0 m
2024
187.0 m
2025
145.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
10.6 bn
2024
10.6 bn
2025
11.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
3.4 bn
2024
3.3 bn
2025
3.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
18.9 bn
2024
18.7 bn
2025
19.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
24.0 m
2024
56.0 m
2025
2.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
9.0 bn
2024
4.9 bn
2025
6.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
12.8 bn
2024
9.0 bn
2025
9.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
5.7 bn
2024
9.7 bn
2025
9.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
796.0 m
2024
703.0 m
2025
943.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
766.0 m
2024
691.0 m
2025
747.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
30.0 m ≈
2024
12.0 m ≈
2025
196.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-1.1 bn
2024
-919.0 m
2025
-1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
136.0 m
2024
320.0 m
2025
14.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
46.0 m
2024
234.0 m
2025
537.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
12.0 m
2024
42.0 m
2025
82.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
0.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
2.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
1,533.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
32.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
20.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
3.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-3.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
4.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-2.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-0.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
1.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
1.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
insufficient data
Payout ratio (FCF)
220.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
6.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
5.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
0.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
987.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
743.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
244.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
88.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
8.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
15.0 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-1.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
1.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
13.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
77.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
2.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
5.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
7.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

9 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 37 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

38.61 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 8.8 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
8.8 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
13.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
-2.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-3.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
0.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
5.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 05 Aug 2026
verified 492derived 39

Score by group

  • Valuation74
  • Returns64
  • Quality7
  • Balance sheet17
  • Growth28

Estimated value range

Low
31.08
USD per share
Mid
43.51
USD per share
High
65.86
USD per share
Price: 38.61 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: 12.7% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 11.3% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 27.73 – 94.42 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • Net asset value (NAV)unavailable · input data missing
  • Dividend discount (DDM)27.73 – 37.29 (Mid 31.81)
  • Peers: P/B34.43 – 94.42 (Mid 55.22)
    32 companies used · median multiple 1.6x · quartiles 1.0x – 2.7x
    ABR, ACRE, ADC, APLE, ARI, ARR, BRX, CDP, CMCT, CUBE, DLR, EPR, EPRT, ESS, EXR, FCPT, FSP, HST, IHT, ILPT, KIM, LTC, O, OLP, PINE, PLD, PSA, RYN, VICI, VMRK, VTR, WELL
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Real Estate Investment Trusts (SIC 6798)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 37/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROE · Quality-2.0%17 (vs peers)8%
EBITDA margin · Quality20.9%0 (on a fixed band)10%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth2.8%28 (on a fixed band)10%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet5.5x31 (vs peers)18%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet0.7x0 (on a fixed band)15%
P/B · Valuation1.1x74 (vs peers)23%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
Dividend yield · Returns5.5%64 (vs peers)18%
Payout ratio (EPS) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet17/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Growth28/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Quality7/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial64/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial74/100 · 1/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Lineage, Inc. (LINE). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 5.4 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 0.3%; net margin -3.1%; ROE -2.0%; net debt/EBITDA 5.5x.

The estimated value range is 31.08–65.86 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 43.51 USD, the price of 38.61 USD leaves a potential of 12.7% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 11.3% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 37/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns, valuation. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • P/B: 1.1x

What contradicts it

  • ROE: -2.0%
  • EBITDA margin: 20.9%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 2.8%
  • Interest coverage: 0.7x
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): P/E (TTM), Payout ratio (EPS).

Versus the vertical median

Real Estate Investment Trusts (SIC 6798) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 27.6x
EV/EBITDA
13.3x
vertical median 16.5x
below median (−19.0%)
P/S
1.6x
vertical median 6.8x
below median (−76.0%)
P/B
1.1x
vertical median 1.6x
below median (−31.0%)
ROE
-2.0%
vertical median 7.1%
below median (−128.8%)
Net margin
-3.1%
vertical median 22.8%
below median (−113.8%)
EBIT margin
3.6%
vertical median 36.0%
below median (−90.1%)
Revenue YoY
0.3%
vertical median 5.1%
below median (−94.5%)
Net debt/EBITDA
5.5x
vertical median 5.1x
above median (+7.8%)
Dividend yield
5.5%
vertical median 4.1%
above median (+32.1%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
WELLWelltower Inc.176.9 bn103.24.0%12.7%+35.6%+16% / +171%
PLDPrologis, Inc.120.3 bn32.57.1%42.5%+7.2%+0% / +12%
EQIXEquinix Inc100.4 bn60.911.5%16.4%+5.4%+35% / +24%
AMTAmerican Tower Corporation86.9 bn26.390.6%30.7%+5.1%+3% / −10%
DLRDigital Realty Trust, Inc.63.3 bn47.16.2%21.7%+10.0%+13% / +30%
PSAPublic Storage62.3 bn33.916.0%37.8%+2.7%+21% / +29%
ORealty Income Corporation54.7 bn39.63.6%22.9%+9.1%−0% / +7%
VTRVentas, Inc.46.0 bn163.71.9%4.0%+18.5%+8% / +90%
CCICrown Castle Inc.36.8 bn44.0—20.7%−4.4%−5% / −26%
IRMIron Mountain Inc34.7 bn82.6—5.7%+12.2%+35% / +82%
EXRExtra Space Storage Inc.32.6 bn31.87.9%29.9%+3.7%+17% / +20%
VICIVICI Properties Inc.26.9 bn11.28.3%56.5%+4.1%−15% / −18%
VMRKVivmark Residential23.3 bn27.28.1%—+4.8%+0% / +9%
SBACSba Communications Corporation19.6 bn19.9—34.5%+5.1%−5% / −25%
HSTHost Hotels & Resorts, Inc.17.7 bn17.215.8%16.5%+7.6%+46% / +48%
ESSEssex Property Trust, Inc.17.0 bn40.78.0%22.7%+6.4%+0% / +24%
KIMKimco Realty Corporation16.8 bn27.65.8%27.8%+5.1%+21% / +29%
CUBECubesmart10.4 bn32.311.8%28.7%+5.3%+23% / +15%
BRXBrixmor Property Group Inc.9.3 bn22.014.2%30.0%+6.7%+16% / +40%
ADCAgree Realty Corporation9.1 bn35.83.8%29.8%+16.4%−7% / +18%
LINELineage, Inc.8.8 bn—-2.0%-3.1%+0.3%+2% / unavailable
EPRTEssential Properties Realty Trust, Inc.6.2 bn22.96.3%41.0%+24.8%−11% / +18%
RYNRayonier Inc.6.1 bn6.712.8%68.6%−51.0%−9% / −34%
EPREpr Properties4.7 bn16.812.7%38.8%+2.9%+16% / +36%
APLEApple Hospitality REIT, Inc.4.4 bn25.65.5%12.2%−1.3%+58% / +13%

1- and 3-year price returns: for LINE from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
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What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Lineage is the world's largest global temperature-controlled warehouse REIT, operating a network of more than 500 facilities across North America, Europe and Asia-Pacific. The company reported revenue of 5.4 billion USD for 2025, and its updated 2026 guidance points to modest profit growth, which makes the trajectory of food-supply-chain demand relevant in the period ahead.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • Global scale, a comparatively young portfolio and a large number of automated facilities give the company an operational advantage that is hard to replicate 1.
    • Long-term contracts, a diversified customer base and minimum storage guarantees provide relatively stable revenue 1.
    • The integrated network with transport services allows the company to add value for each customer on the same stored product 1.

    Weaknesses

    • The business is concentrated in the temperature-controlled warehouse industry and in a few geographic areas, which exposes it to local events 1.
    • The company identified a material weakness in internal control over financial reporting as of late 2025 1.
    • Significant indebtedness and sensitivity to interest rates could limit financial flexibility 1.

    Opportunities

    • Demand for automated warehouses and integrated services could grow if customers outsource more of their cold chain 1.
    • Greenfield projects and existing expansions could add capacity in markets with strong demand 1.
    • Acquisitions of assets from food producers could extend the network if they are integrated effectively 1.

    Threats

    • A decline in production or consumption of frozen food could reduce demand for storage space 1.
    • Higher energy, labour and construction costs could hurt margins if they cannot be passed on to customers 1.
    • Tariffs and trade uncertainty could influence customer decisions and operating costs 12.

    Risks

    • Geographic concentrationmedium

      Many warehouses are located in a few states and countries, and local events such as natural disasters or power outages could affect operations 1.

    • Debt and interest rateshigh

      Substantial debt and the cost of financing could limit the company's ability to fund investment or maintain distributions to shareholders 1.

    • Internal controlhigh

      The material weakness reported in internal control could delay financial reporting or weaken investor confidence 1.

    • Operational incidentsmedium

      A fire at one facility, reported in 2026, shows that local incidents can cause costs and disruption, although the final effects are still being assessed 3.

    • Reliance on transitional serviceslow

      The company temporarily depends on a third party for certain administrative services, and replacing them could prove difficult 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If occupancy keeps rising and inventories stay normalised, revenue and profitability could gradually return to management's targets 23.
    • Its global leadership and automated network could attract large long-term customers and support stable pricing 1.
    • The 2026 guidance points to a solid profit base, and the declared dividend suggests a consistent distribution policy if results hold 3.

    What would break the thesis

    • If inflation and tariffs continue to raise costs, margins could stay under pressure, particularly in North America 12.
    • High indebtedness and sensitivity to interest rates could limit flexibility during periods of economic stress 1.
    • Lower confidence in financial reporting, due to the internal control weakness, could weigh on how the market values the assets 1.

    What to watch

    • Delivery of the adjusted EBITDA and AFFO per share guidance for 20262026
    • Development of same-warehouse physical occupancyQ3 2026
    • Impact of the Big Bear fire on operations and costsQ3 2026
    • Progress on remediating the material weakness in internal controlnext 10-K

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Lineage owns and operates modern cold storage warehouses located in dense urban markets and ports, and its network covered 501 warehouses with 3.1 billion cubic feet of capacity at 31 December 2025 1. The company serves more than 11,000 customers, including producers, retailers and food distributors, and describes its model as built on long-term contracts and technology-enabled integrated services. Its results are influenced by inventory levels in the food chain and by energy and labour costs 1.

    The business is organised into two reported segments. Global warehousing generates the large majority of operating profit, while global integrated solutions adds transport services, refrigerated rail car leasing and, in some markets, foodservice distribution 1. The company also runs what it considers the largest automated temperature-controlled portfolio in the industry, which supports its efficiency strategy 1.

    By June 2026 the network had 498 warehouses, and second-quarter revenue rose 0.8% to 1,361 million USD while adjusted EBITDA fell 1.8% 23. Updated 2026 guidance calls for adjusted EBITDA of 1.26 to 1.29 billion USD, which could signal stabilisation in the industry if occupancy continues to improve 3.

    Segments

    Global warehousing

    This is the core segment, which uses high-quality industrial real estate to store frozen and perishable products. In 2025 segment revenue was 3,950 million USD and segment NOI was 1,484 million USD 1. About 75% of NOI comes from distribution centres, which underlines the importance of urban and port locations 1.

    Global integrated solutions

    This segment adds transport services, mainly less-than-full-truckload consolidation and over-the-road trucking, together with refrigerated rail car leasing, which together made up about 57% of segment revenue in 2025 1. Its contribution to total NOI was about 14% in the same year 1.

    Market context

    The temperature-controlled warehouse market is fragmented and largely held by family-owned firms, which gives the company a leading position through its global scale 1. Demand depends on frozen food consumption, protein production and harvest seasonality. According to the filing, occupancy and revenue tend to peak between mid-September and early December and are lowest in June and July 1.

    In 2026 the company said inventory levels are normalising and physical occupancy in its warehouses rose modestly year on year, which could suggest the industry is stabilising if the trend holds 3. Pricing pressure remains in markets with excess capacity 1.

    Trends

    • Warehouse automationtailwind

      Investment in automated warehouses responds to customer demand for efficiency and could lower operating costs over time, although construction is more expensive 1.

    • Inflation and construction costsheadwind

      Inflationary pressure on labour, energy and construction could compress margins, especially if price increases passed on to customers do not fully offset cost rises 1.

    • Stabilising food demandmixed

      A modest rise in physical occupancy and normalising inventories could support revenue if food consumption stays steady 3.

    • Trade policy and tariffsheadwind

      Tariffs and trade policy have created uncertainty and have added to inflation in some sectors, particularly in North America, which affects customer decisions 12.

    Competitive position

    The company states it is the largest temperature-controlled warehousing company in the world by cubic feet and that its network is difficult to replicate because of land values and zoning approvals 1. Local competitors operate in many markets, and rivals that open new warehouses or expand logistics offerings could put pressure on market share 1.

    Its competitive advantages include brand recognition, scale and an automated portfolio, but these can be gradually matched by well-capitalised operators, particularly if they acquire existing assets 1.

    • Local cold storage operators

      The company names local operators as competitors in many markets but does not identify listed rivals by name in the sources reviewed 1.

    • Logistics operators expanding cold chain services

      Expansion of other companies' logistics offerings could reduce the integrated advantage of Lineage, as described in the annual report risk factors 1.

    • Refrigerated transport providers

      The integrated solutions segment competes with transport providers and truck brokers whose capacity affects the company's costs 1.

    • New entrants in automated storage

      Automation investment raises entry barriers, but new competitors could emerge if construction costs ease or financing becomes more accessible 1.

    News & filings

    In the press

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Lineage, Inc. · 25 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Lineage, Inc. · 05 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Lineage, Inc. · 05 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.