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olivLaw · US equity research

Orchestra BioMed Holdings, Inc. OBIO

Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus · SIC 3841 · Vertical: Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus (SIC 3841)

5.62USD−6.33% · 1 dayClose 05 Nov 2026

Orchestra BioMed Holdings develops niche biomedical technologies, including the AVIM Therapy for hypertension and the Virtue SAB balloon, through risk-reward partnerships with large medical device companies. The company is still in its pivotal-trial phase, with a net loss of 52.7 million USD in 2025 and 110.0 million USD in cash and securities at June 30, 2026, which makes its dependence on completing trials and securing new funding relevant.

At the close of 05 Nov 2026, Orchestra BioMed Holdings, Inc. (OBIO) stock was 5.62 USD (−6.33% on the day), with market capitalisation 337.8 m USD, beta 1.59, 52-week range 3.49–6.35 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 88.0 k USD (−89.5% YoY), net income of -23.8 m USD, diluted EPS -0.38 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
337.8 m USD
shares as of 06 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -1.01 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-17.95%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.59
Volatility (1y) 63%
52-week range
3.496.35

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
47.4
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
5.39 – 6.11
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.32 · band width 12.5%
SMA 50 / 200
5.73 / 4.57
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.01 / 0.02
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−3.8%−1.1%−2.7 pp—
3 months+35.4%−0.5%+35.9 pp—
6 months+43.0%+4.4%+38.6 pp—
Year to date+35.4%+12.3%+23.1 pp—
1 year+43.4%+13.5%+29.8 pp−46.0%
3 years+7.0%+76.4%−69.4 pp−23.4%
5 years−43.0%+63.7%−106.7 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−34.8%
25 Nov 2025 → 30 Jan 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−89.4%
12 Apr 2023 → 23 Sept 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
−10.6%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
88.0 k USD
−89.5% YoY
Net income
-23.8 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.38
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-26,994.3% / -25,404.5%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue987.0 k253.0 k868.0 k836.0 k861.0 k30.9 m110.0 k88.0 k
Cost of revenue68.0 k58.0 k44.0 k46.0 k49.0 k51.0 k32.0 k25.0 k
Research & development11.6 m11.0 m13.5 m13.9 m14.0 m16.8 m15.8 m16.6 m
SG&A5.7 m5.9 m6.3 m6.3 m7.1 m7.3 m6.4 m5.8 m
Operating income-16.3 m-16.7 m-18.9 m-19.3 m-20.3 m6.8 m-22.1 m-22.4 m
Depreciation & amortisation76.0 k ≈84.0 k83.0 k81.0 k ≈81.0 k ≈82.0 k90.0 k96.0 k ≈
Interest expense0297.0 k——————
Net income-15.4 m-16.2 m-18.8 m-19.4 m-20.8 m6.2 m-20.7 m-23.8 m
Diluted EPS-0.41-0.42 ≈-0.49-0.50-0.400.10 ≈-0.33-0.38
Operating cash flow-13.7 m ≈-13.5 m-16.6 m-15.5 m ≈-14.6 m ≈-2.3 m-22.2 m-19.3 m ≈
Capex68.0 k ≈106.0 k112.0 k34.0 k ≈310.0 k ≈33.0 k184.0 k254.0 k ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20212022202320242025
Revenueunavailable3.5 m2.8 m2.6 m33.5 m
Revenue YoYunavailableunavailable−21.9%−4.4%+1,169.2%
Net income-378.8 k-33.6 m-49.1 m-61.0 m-52.7 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS-0.02-2.24-1.48-1.66-1.11
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %unavailable-951.3%-1,779.7%-2,313.3%-157.4%
Free cash flowunavailable-29.9 m-46.2 m-50.8 m-49.5 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
34.7 m USD
Financial debt
15.0 m USD
Net debt
-19.7 m USD
Equity
53.6 m USD
Total assets
114.9 m USD
Debt / equity
0.28x
Current ratio
6.45x
ROE
-121.8%
ROA
-55.2%
FCF margin
-147.7%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
2.8 m
2024
2.6 m
2025
33.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
186.0 k
2024
204.0 k
2025
190.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
2.6 m ≈
2024
2.4 m ≈
2025
33.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026derived

Research & development
2023
33.8 m
2024
42.8 m
2025
58.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

SG&A
2023
20.3 m
2024
23.9 m
2025
26.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-51.5 m
2024
-64.3 m
2025
-51.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
287.0 k
2024
308.0 k
2025
327.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-51.2 m ≈
2024
-64.0 m ≈
2025
-51.5 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
1.4 m
2024
297.0 k
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 31 Mar 2025verified

Income tax
2023
—
2024
—
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-49.1 m
2024
-61.0 m
2025
-52.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-1.48
2024
-1.66
2025
-1.11

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
33.2 m
2024
36.8 m
2025
47.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
30.6 m
2024
22.3 m
2025
34.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
99.0 k
2024
92.0 k
2025
95.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
146.0 k
2024
173.0 k
2025
310.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
89.1 m
2024
69.2 m
2025
107.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
1.3 m
2024
1.4 m
2025
1.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
95.2 m
2024
76.2 m
2025
114.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
2.9 m
2024
5.1 m
2025
6.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
—
2024
15.0 m
2025
15.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
11.2 m
2024
16.2 m
2025
16.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
27.2 m
2024
43.2 m
2025
51.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
68.0 m
2024
33.0 m
2025
53.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
-46.1 m
2024
-50.6 m
2025
-49.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
78.0 k
2024
289.0 k
2025
489.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
-46.2 m ≈
2024
-50.8 m ≈
2025
-49.5 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
10.7 m
2024
13.1 m
2025
-26.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
46.2 m
2024
29.2 m
2025
88.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 12 Mar 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Jan 2023verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
1,169.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
111.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
99.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
-180.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-181.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-184.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
-184.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-601.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-74.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
-56.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
unavailable
the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used

Liquidity

Current ratio
8.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
8.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-58.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
781.0 k USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
-59.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
1 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
506 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
13,298 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
-12,792 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
337.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-18.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
17.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
10.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-17.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 4 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 27.1% of at least 60%
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

5.62 USD

05 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 337.8 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
337.8 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
17.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-601.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-184.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
1,169.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
input data missing

Coverage and freshness

30/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 06 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 10 Aug 2026
verified 704derived 53

Score by group

27% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · the reported interest expense is far older than the latest period (the filer changed its XBRL tag): a stale figure is not used
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · input data missing

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus (SIC 3841)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 27.1% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality-184.6%24 (vs peers)23%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth111.6%100 (on a fixed band)31%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet8.3x100 (on a fixed band)15%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation-17.5%0 (on a fixed band)31%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial100/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality· partial24/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial0/100 · 1/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Orchestra BioMed Holdings, Inc. (OBIO). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 33.5 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 1,169.2%; net margin -184.6%; ROE -601.8%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 4 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 27.1% of at least 60%; valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 111.6%
  • Current ratio: 8.3x

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: -184.6%
  • FCF yield: -17.5%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, P/E (TTM), EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus (SIC 3841) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 33.7x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 17.9x
P/S
10.6x
vertical median 3.3x
above median (+216.9%)
P/B
17.5x
vertical median 2.8x
above median (+532.7%)
ROE
-601.8%
vertical median -32.9%
below median
Net margin
-184.6%
vertical median -10.3%
below median
EBIT margin
-181.4%
vertical median -9.6%
below median
Revenue YoY
1,169.2%
vertical median 15.6%
above median (+7,396.8%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 1.6x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.0%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
SYKStryker Corp129.3 bn36.216.0%13.8%+11.2%−8% / +15%
MMM3m Company100.2 bn28.980.8%14.0%+1.5%+13% / +134%
BSXBoston Scientific Corporation66.4 bn19.414.3%16.6%+19.9%−55% / −18%
BDXBecton, Dickinson And Company57.0 bn63.23.8%4.0%+8.2%+37% / +13%
RMDResMed Inc.33.8 bn21.926.4%27.8%+9.9%−6% / +52%
DXCMDexcom, Inc.33.0 bn34.837.7%19.4%+15.6%+39% / −23%
WSTWest Pharmaceutical Services, Inc.28.5 bn45.921.2%18.8%+6.3%+47% / +17%
GMEDGlobus Medical, Inc.10.9 bn20.811.8%17.0%+16.7%−11% / +81%
PODDInsulet Corporation10.8 bn25.428.9%13.4%+30.7%−52% / −17%
TFXTeleflex Incorporated6.4 bn—-28.9%-45.8%+17.2%+33% / −33%
MMSIMerit Medical Systems Inc5.4 bn33.79.8%9.9%+11.8%+3% / +25%
IRTCiRhythm Holdings, Inc.4.3 bn—-9.6%-1.7%+26.2%−31% / +53%
ICUIIcu Medical Inc4.2 bn140.01.4%1.4%−6.3%+13% / +91%
NVCRNovoCure Limited1.6 bn—-35.2%-16.8%+8.3%+6% / +10%
TNDMTandem Diabetes Care, Inc.1.3 bn—-48.0%-6.1%+7.9%−14% / −11%
ATECAlphatec Holdings, Inc.1.2 bn—-1,888.0%-10.3%+25.0%−65% / −34%
MDXGMimedx Group, Inc.478.6 m—-8.5%-6.3%+20.0%−52% / −58%
BWAYBrainsway Ltd.415.5 m212.25.6%7.1%+29.0%+21% / +238%
SSIISs Innovations International, Inc.380.7 m—-26.1%-23.7%+105.7%−72% / unavailable
OBIOOrchestra BioMed Holdings, Inc.337.8 m—-601.8%-184.6%+1,169.2%+43% / +7%
CLPTClearPoint Neuro, Inc.278.6 m—-167.5%-79.4%+17.8%−40% / +51%
TMCITreace Medical Concepts, Inc.271.8 m—-72.0%-29.0%+1.6%+40% / −52%
PROFProfound Medical Corp.251.3 m—-73.5%-171.6%+50.7%+4% / −37%
LUCDLucid Diagnostics Inc.79.3 m—-556.3%-959.8%+8.3%−63% / −74%
MBOTMicrobot Medical Inc.71.9 m—-32.9%—unavailable−56% / −15%

1- and 3-year price returns: for OBIO from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
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Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Orchestra BioMed Holdings develops niche biomedical technologies, including the AVIM Therapy for hypertension and the Virtue SAB balloon, through risk-reward partnerships with large medical device companies. The company is still in its pivotal-trial phase, with a net loss of 52.7 million USD in 2025 and 110.0 million USD in cash and securities at June 30, 2026, which makes its dependence on completing trials and securing new funding relevant.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The partnership model shares development costs and risks with large companies, and the Medtronic agreement provides access to global commercialization infrastructure 1.
    • The portfolio includes products with FDA Breakthrough Device Designations, which can speed up interaction with regulators 1.
    • The company has raised funds from several sources, including strategic partner investments and revenue-right agreements, which diversifies its access to capital 1.

    Weaknesses

    • The company has continuous net losses since inception and an accumulated deficit above 400 million USD, with no profitability in sight over the visible horizon 2.
    • Product revenue is confined to one subsidiary, and partnership revenue is either discontinued or not yet recognized, which makes the revenue base fragile 1.
    • Reliance on a small number of pivotal studies and their timing means any delay directly affects the funding plan 2.

    Opportunities

    • If BACKBEAT study data confirm the benefit, extending AVIM to patients without a pacemaker indication could open a significant additional market 1.
    • Integration of AVIM into Medtronic's leadless pacemakers could widen the therapy's scope, according to the August 2025 amendment 1.
    • If the Virtue study confirms non-inferiority, the balloon could enter a high-volume coronary market where few drug-based options exist 1.

    Threats

    • Failure or delay of pivotal studies could force the company to reduce or postpone development programs 1.
    • Competition from companies with approved products and from partners that may develop their own solutions could reduce potential market share 1.
    • The need for additional funding could lead to dilution for shareholders or to giving up product rights on less favorable terms 1.

    Risks

    • Continuing losses and need for capitalhigh

      The company has not reached profitability and expects further losses, which could make it necessary to raise capital under difficult conditions 1.

    • Regulatory and study riskhigh

      Authorities could judge the data insufficient for approval, and clinical results could differ from those in earlier stages 1.

    • Dependence on partnersmedium

      Timing and commercial rights depend heavily on Medtronic and other partners, which may change priorities 1.

    • Enrollment delaysmedium

      Difficulty identifying and enrolling eligible patients could lengthen studies and delay filings 2.

    • Reliance on monetizing future revenuelow

      Some funding is tied to rights over future revenue, which could reduce available cash flows if sales materialize more slowly than estimated 1.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If pivotal studies produce favorable data, the company could tap a very large market through partners with existing global infrastructure.
    • The partnership model could limit the company's own commercialization spending and could speed adoption in mature markets.
    • Diversified funding sources and agreements with strategic investors could provide extra time to complete studies.

    What would break the thesis

    • Continuing losses and the accumulated deficit could force new share issuances, with dilutive effects for existing shareholders.
    • Enrollment delays or an unfavorable study outcome could reduce the value of the product candidate portfolio.
    • Dependence on a small number of partners and their decisions could limit the company's control over commercial timing.

    What to watch

    • Completion of BACKBEAT study enrollment and any changes to the timelineQ3 2026
    • Presentation of BACKBEAT primary data at a major cardiovascular conferenceQ2 2027
    • Completion of Virtue Trial enrollment2027
    • Trend in cash and accumulated deficit in the next annual reportnext 10-K

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Orchestra BioMed Holdings, Inc. (OBIO) presents itself as a biomedical innovation company that brings high-impact technologies to patients through strategic collaborations with leading global medical device companies. Its so-called partnership-enabled model shares the risks and rewards of development and commercialization with multinational partners, who take on commercialization infrastructure and regulatory approvals. The company was formed in 2018 from several late-stage clinical product candidates and became public through a merger with a special purpose acquisition company in January 2023 1.

    Its main product candidates are AVIM Therapy, for hypertension, and Virtue SAB, a sirolimus drug-delivery angioplasty balloon for atherosclerotic artery disease. AVIM Therapy is being developed with Medtronic, which would hold the global commercial rights in the pacemaker population if the therapy is approved 1. Virtue SAB has received FDA Breakthrough Device Designation for several coronary and peripheral indications, and in October 2025 the company transferred some rights linked to Terumo through a right of first refusal agreement 1.

    Revenues remain limited. To date, product revenue has come mainly from FreeHold Surgical, the subsidiary that sells intracorporeal organ retractors in the United States, while partnership revenue came largely from the Terumo agreement, fully recognized by the end of 2025 1. The company relies on funding from equity, convertible instruments, loans and the sale of future revenue rights, such as the 35.0 million USD agreement with Ligand 1.

    Segments

    AVIM Therapy (hypertension)

    AVIM Therapy is a bioelectronic therapy that can be integrated as a firmware upgrade to pacemakers, with the aim of lowering blood pressure. The BACKBEAT pivotal study, with 284 evaluable randomized patients, is expected to complete enrollment by the end of the third quarter of 2026, and the company intends to present primary endpoint data in the second quarter of 2027 2. The potential market for pacemaker-indicated patients was estimated at over 2.4 billion USD per year 1.

    Virtue SAB (artery disease)

    Virtue SAB delivers a large liquid dose of extended-release sirolimus during balloon angioplasty, without balloon coating or a permanent implant. The Virtue pivotal study, planned to enroll 740 patients in the United States against Boston Scientific's AGENT balloon, has enrollment planned for completion in 2027 2. The company estimated an annual global opportunity of at least 10 billion USD for the indications granted Breakthrough status 1.

    FreeHold Surgical (products)

    FreeHold sells intracorporeal organ retractors exclusively in the United States, with revenue recognized when the product ships. It is the segment with current revenue, but based on the available data its contribution to the total remains small relative to research and development spending 1.

    Market context

    The company operates in two large, mature cardiovascular device markets. Per estimates cited in the annual report, the global cardiac rhythm management implant market was valued at 17.2 billion USD in 2024, and the interventional device market for coronary and peripheral artery disease at 26.7 billion USD in the same year 1. Both markets are dominated by multinational companies with established distribution networks, which makes strategic partnerships central to the model.

    The market potential of AVIM Therapy depends on regulatory approval and integration into pacemakers, and extending the therapy to patients without a pacemaker indication could add an estimated market of over 15 billion USD if the data support it 1. The actual revenue size will depend on the partners' share and on expenses they report, which remains unclear because no revenue has yet been recognized under the amended Medtronic agreement 1.

    Trends

    • Shift toward bioelectronic therapies for hypertensive patientstailwind

      Interest in solutions that lower blood pressure without changing standard drug treatment could support AVIM adoption if pivotal data confirm the benefit. The company stresses that hypertension is the most common comorbidity in the pacemaker population 1.

    • Pressure on clinical study enrollmentheadwind

      Delays in enrollment could push back the timing of regulatory filings. The company has acknowledged that it cannot assure completion of enrollment within the planned timeframes 2.

    • Partnerships with large device companiesmixed

      Collaborations with industry leaders can speed commercialization and reduce financial burden, but they also transfer control over timing and some commercial decisions. The Medtronic agreement illustrates this dynamic 1.

    • Consolidation in the drug-coated balloon sectorheadwind

      Competition in the drug-coated balloon space, where Boston Scientific has a product approved in the United States, could influence both the timing and the entry conditions for Virtue SAB 1.

    Competitive position

    In coronary drug-coated balloons, the company compares its Virtue study with AGENT, the only paclitaxel balloon approved in the United States for a coronary indication at the time of the filing 1. For AVIM Therapy, the main partner is Medtronic, which is also the global leader in cardiac pacing therapies, so any direct competition would mainly come from pacemaker-related and conventional antihypertensive therapies 2.

    The interventional device market includes several multinational players with consolidated distribution, and the company notes that its products do not change treatment paradigms, which allows them to fit into existing portfolios 1. This lowers the adoption barrier but does not remove competitive pressure from companies that already have approved products.

    • Boston Scientific CorporationBSX

      Maker of the AGENT paclitaxel balloon, the only drug-coated balloon approved in the United States for a coronary indication at the report date, and the comparator in the Virtue Trial.

    • MedtronicMDT

      Exclusive partner for AVIM Therapy in the pacemaker population and, at the same time, a global leader in cardiac pacing therapies that could also compete through its own solutions.

    • Terumo Corporation

      Former distribution partner for Virtue SAB that now holds a right of first refusal on rights for coronary artery disease, following the October 2025 agreement.

    • Haemonetics CorporationHAE

      Company that acquired Vivasure Medical, a strategic holding previously owned by the company, and that may affect future receipts from that transaction.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Orchestra BioMed Holdings, Inc. · 12 Mar 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Orchestra BioMed Holdings, Inc. · 10 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

    Orchestra BioMed Holdings, Inc. (OBIO): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw