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QuidelOrtho Corporation QDEL

In Vitro & In Vivo Diagnostic Substances · SIC 2835 · Vertical: In Vitro & In Vivo Diagnostic Substances (SIC 2835)

14.35USD+1.85% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

QuidelOrtho develops, manufactures and sells in vitro diagnostic tests for clinical laboratories, transfusion medicine, point of care testing and molecular diagnostics, across more than 140 countries and territories. The company is in a difficult stretch: revenue slipped in fiscal 2025 and kept falling in the first half of 2026, and management cut its full-year 2026 guidance because of weak demand in China and a softer respiratory season, while the restructuring depends on delivering cost savings by 2027.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, QuidelOrtho Corporation (QDEL) stock was 14.35 USD (+1.85% on the day), with market capitalisation 984.6 m USD, beta 1.87, 52-week range 9.96–35.38 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 618.9 m USD (−11.6% YoY), net income of -53.8 m USD, diluted EPS -0.78 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
984.6 m USD
shares as of 28 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -5.41 · TTM to 27 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
-37.70%
TTM to 27 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.87
Volatility (1y) 93%
52-week range
9.9635.38

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
59.5
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
12.64 – 14.66
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.85 · band width 14.8%
SMA 50 / 200
12.81 / 16.07
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.40 / 0.35
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+18.2%−1.1%+19.3 pp—
3 months−18.0%−0.5%−17.5 pp—
6 months+30.9%+4.4%+26.5 pp—
Year to date−49.8%+12.3%−62.1 pp—
1 year−47.1%+13.5%−60.6 pp−21.1%
3 years−77.7%+76.4%−154.1 pp−44.4%
5 years−88.2%+63.7%−151.8 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−71.8%
15 Jan 2026 → 11 May 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−94.3%
20 Dec 2021 → 11 May 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−34.7%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 27 Sept 2026

Revenue
618.9 m USD
−11.6% YoY
Net income
-53.8 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.78
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-8.7% / -1.2%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue707.8 m692.8 m613.9 m699.9 m723.6 m619.8 m630.9 m618.9 m
Cost of revenue381.7 m349.5 m339.0 m364.3 m403.2 m356.0 m358.0 m329.3 m
Research & development47.3 m53.2 m45.7 m41.5 m45.8 m44.9 m48.7 m42.5 m
SG&A187.5 m187.0 m178.0 m186.9 m194.4 m199.3 m189.7 m182.7 m
Operating income-100.4 m32.6 m-180.7 m-704.8 m-66.3 m-31.8 m-21.8 m-7.5 m
Depreciation & amortisation109.3 m107.1 m110.3 m112.1 m112.5 m112.9 m116.7 m119.6 m
Interest expense40.6 m40.0 m40.5 m46.1 m51.0 m51.1 m54.7 m55.4 m
Pre-tax income-140.9 m-8.8 m-229.6 m-756.9 m-112.4 m-79.5 m-81.2 m-62.9 m
Income tax37.5 m3.9 m25.8 m-23.9 m18.3 m12.3 m11.7 m-9.1 m
Net income-178.4 m-12.7 m-255.4 m-733.0 m-130.7 m-91.8 m-92.9 m-53.8 m
Diluted EPS-2.64 ≈-0.19-3.77-10.78-1.92 ≈-1.35-1.36-0.78
Operating cash flow63.7 m65.6 m-46.8 m ≈-45.5 m ≈131.9 m-33.0 m-110.6 m ≈19.6 m ≈
Capex47.2 m56.2 m37.5 m ≈50.0 m ≈44.5 m34.0 m25.5 m ≈21.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20212022202320242025
Revenue1.7 bn1.7 bn3.0 bn2.8 bn2.7 bn
Revenue YoYunavailable+2.2%+76.5%−7.2%−1.9%
Net income810.3 m704.2 m-10.1 m-2.1 bn-1.1 bn
Net income YoYunavailable−13.1%−101.4%unavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS18.6016.43-0.15-30.54-16.69
Diluted EPS YoYunavailable−11.7%−100.9%unavailableunavailable
net %48.8%41.5%-0.3%-73.7%-41.5%
Free cash flow564.8 m513.1 m70.9 m-112.1 m-83.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 28 Dec 2025

Cash
169.8 m USD
Financial debt
2.9 bn USD
Net debt
2.7 bn USD
Equity
-15.4 m USD
Total assets
5.8 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
1.50x
ROE
unavailable
ROA
-18.6%
FCF margin
-3.0%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
3.0 bn
2024
2.8 bn
2025
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
1.5 bn ≈
2024
1.3 bn ≈
2025
1.3 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026derived

Research & development
2023
245.0 m
2024
218.7 m
2025
186.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
763.2 m
2024
766.8 m
2025
746.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
139.1 m
2024
-2.0 bn
2025
-919.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
457.2 m
2024
453.4 m
2025
442.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
596.3 m ≈
2024
-1.5 bn ≈
2025
-477.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
147.6 m
2024
163.5 m
2025
177.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-29.1 m
2024
-2.1 bn
2025
-1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-19.0 m
2024
-79.5 m
2025
24.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-10.1 m
2024
-2.1 bn
2025
-1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.15
2024
-30.54
2025
-16.69

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
66.8 m
2024
67.2 m
2025
67.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
118.9 m
2024
98.3 m
2025
169.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
303.3 m
2024
282.4 m
2025
417.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
577.8 m
2024
533.7 m
2025
577.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
1.4 bn
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 29 Feb 2024verified

Goodwill
2023
2.5 bn
2024
649.5 m
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
2.9 bn
2024
2.7 bn
2025
2.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
8.6 bn
2024
6.4 bn
2025
5.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
294.8 m
2024
246.0 m
2025
279.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
139.8 m
2024
341.8 m
2025
178.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
2.4 bn
2024
2.5 bn
2025
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
833.8 m
2024
998.8 m
2025
966.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
3.6 bn
2024
3.4 bn
2025
3.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
-30.0 m
2024
-36.2 m
2025
-15.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
280.2 m
2024
83.0 m
2025
105.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
209.3 m
2024
195.1 m
2025
188.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
70.9 m ≈
2024
-112.1 m ≈
2025
-83.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-187.6 m
2024
-149.9 m
2025
-192.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-265.8 m
2024
48.8 m
2025
155.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
7.2 m
2024
0
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-1.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
17.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
44.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
12.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
-4.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Net margin
-14.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
FCF margin
-4.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
-19.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
ROA
-6.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
ROIC
-5.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
ROCE
-2.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
258.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
0.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
-0.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
7.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
125.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
-117.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
2.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
54 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
159 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
59 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
153 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
984.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
1.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-37.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
P/B
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
P/S
0.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
3.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
0.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-11.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 53 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

14.35 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 984.6 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
984.6 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
3.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
ROE
-19.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 27 Sept 2026
Net margin
-14.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 27 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-1.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

34/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 27 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 27 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 28 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 04 Nov 2026
verified 889derived 59

Score by group

  • Valuation56
  • Balance sheet55
  • Quality43
  • Growth100
  • Returns0

Estimated value range

Low
42.11
USD per share
Mid
66.31
USD per share
High
94.60
USD per share
Price: 14.35 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 362.1% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 78.4% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 13.66 – 163.36 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)13.66 – 25.84 (Mid 18.10)
    WACC 8.0% · starting FCFF 61.1 m USD · terminal value share of EV 78%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 6.4%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA70.56 – 163.36 (Mid 114.52)
    4 companies used · median multiple 24.3x · quartiles 15.3x – 34.3x
    ICCC, IDXX, LNTH, NEOG
  • Peers: P/Eunavailable · the base of the ratio is not positive
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: In Vitro & In Vivo Diagnostic Substances (SIC 2835)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 53/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality-5.2%33 (vs peers)15%
Net margin · Quality-14.2%60 (vs peers)9%
FCF conversion · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth17.1%100 (on a fixed band)12%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet0.8x92 (on a fixed band)15%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet-0.6x0 (on a fixed band)9%
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.4x46 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
EV/EBITDA · Valuation3.7x100 (on a fixed band)15%
FCF yield · Valuation-11.9%0 (on a fixed band)12%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.0%0 (on a fixed band)9%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet55/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality43/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial0/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation56/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

QUIDELORTHO CORP (QDEL). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-27.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 2.7 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -1.9%; net margin -14.2%; ROE -19.3%; net debt/EBITDA 0.8x.

The estimated value range is 42.11–94.60 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 66.31 USD, the price of 14.35 USD leaves a potential of 362.1% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 78.4% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 53/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: growth, returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 17.1%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 0.8x
  • EV/EBITDA: 3.7x
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Interest coverage: -0.6x
  • FCF yield: -11.9%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 0.0%
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): FCF conversion, EPS CAGR 3Y, P/E (TTM), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

In Vitro & In Vivo Diagnostic Substances (SIC 2835) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 17 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 36.1x
EV/EBITDA
3.7x
vertical median 24.3x
below median (−84.7%)
P/S
0.4x
vertical median 10.4x
below median (−96.4%)
P/B
0.5x
vertical median 2.3x
below median (−75.9%)
ROE
-19.3%
vertical median -38.2%
above median
Net margin
-14.2%
vertical median -51.6%
above median
EBIT margin
-4.9%
vertical median -36.2%
above median
Revenue YoY
-1.9%
vertical median 2.4%
below median (−178.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
0.8x
vertical median 0.0x
above median (+8,515.8%)
Dividend yield
—
vertical median —

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
IDXXIdexx Laboratories Inc55.0 bn47.168.9%25.4%+10.4%−7% / +50%
LNTHLantheus Holdings, Inc.6.6 bn24.522.2%17.7%+0.5%+72% / +41%
NEOGNeogen Corporation2.7 bn—-2.7%-6.3%−2.7%+108% / −27%
TRIBTrinity Biotech PLC2.4 bn——-51.6%+8.3%−80% / −91%
CLDXCelldex Therapeutics, Inc.2.4 bn—-43.9%-190,220.9%−78.0%+11% / −1%
NTLAIntellia Therapeutics, Inc.1.7 bn—-6,424.8%-672.2%+16.9%+37% / −58%
QDELQuidelortho Corp984.6 m—-19.3%-14.2%−1.9%−47% / −78%
ACHVAchieve Life Sciences, Inc.718.3 m—-845.0%—unavailable+43% / +21%
MYGNMyriad Genetics, Inc.575.8 m—-32.5%-14.0%−1.6%−21% / −68%
TKNOAlpha Teknova, Inc.395.7 m—-24.2%-38.4%+7.4%+57% / +261%
ICCCImmuCell Corporation94.2 m138.22.6%2.6%+4.3%+114% / +128%
IMDXInsight Molecular Diagnostics Inc.86.7 m——-2,955.6%+115.6%−57% / −30%
BMRABiomerica, Inc.8.0 m—-113.8%-115.5%−16.2%−27% / −77%
CDIOCardio Diagnostics Holdings, Inc.4.9 m—-75.4%-44,771.8%−57.5%−43% / −97%
QCLSQ/C Technologies, Inc.3.2 m—-155.0%—−5.3%−89% / −100%
VNRXVolitionRx Limited2.8 m——-1,043.1%+40.0%−97% / −99%
VRAXVirax Biolabs Group Ltd695.1 k—-109.6%-95,739.2%−96.0%−88% / −98%
NNNNAnbio Biotechnology—25.027.0%74.1%+5.6%−84% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for QDEL from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
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Bull
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Estimated price (USD)

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1 years
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What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 07 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (04 Nov 2026), 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results).

    In brief

    QuidelOrtho develops, manufactures and sells in vitro diagnostic tests for clinical laboratories, transfusion medicine, point of care testing and molecular diagnostics, across more than 140 countries and territories. The company is in a difficult stretch: revenue slipped in fiscal 2025 and kept falling in the first half of 2026, and management cut its full-year 2026 guidance because of weak demand in China and a softer respiratory season, while the restructuring depends on delivering cost savings by 2027. 123

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • A diversified test portfolio spanning clinical chemistry, immunoassay, molecular testing and transfusion medicine, with a presence in more than 140 countries and territories.
    • An extensive service network and connected instruments that support equipment reliability and customer relationships in laboratories.
    • The Labs unit grew in fiscal 2025, and in the second quarter of 2026 growth outside China was strong, pointing to a solid customer base.

    Weaknesses

    • Reliance on respiratory products has made revenue sensitive to seasonal swings and to the decline in COVID-19 demand.
    • Operating cash flow has been under pressure, and the company has withdrawn its free cash flow guidance for 2026.
    • Significant goodwill and asset impairments have been recorded in recent years, indicating uneven performance in some acquired businesses.

    Opportunities

    • If the Optimization Plan delivers its estimated savings, margins could gradually recover, particularly in distribution and manufacturing.
    • Growth in Point of Care and Triage and the launch of new digital solutions could open new revenue sources.
    • Markets outside China, where growth was faster in the latest quarter, could offset China problems if that trend holds.

    Threats

    • Price pressure in China and proposed reimbursement reforms could reduce revenue and margins in that region.
    • Trade tariffs and geopolitical tensions could raise production and delivery costs.
    • Customer consolidation and larger competitors with superior resources could limit the company's bargaining power.

    Risks

    • Volatile respiratory demandhigh

      Respiratory product revenue has declined and is hard to forecast, and a weaker season could again affect results.

    • Exposure to Chinahigh

      Proposed pricing guidelines and reimbursement reforms in China could further reduce revenue in that market.

    • Cash flowmedium

      The company has withdrawn its free cash flow guidance, and working capital pressures could limit financial flexibility.

    • Tariffs and supply chainmedium

      Tariffs and supply chain disruptions could raise costs and delay deliveries.

    • Restructuring and executionlow

      The Optimization Plan and exits from some activities could bring extra costs or fail to deliver the expected savings.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If business outside China keeps growing, the company could show that its customer base and diversified portfolio can support steady revenue.
    • If the Optimization Plan delivers the promised savings, adjusted margins could recover even with lower revenue.
    • Growth in Point of Care and Triage could show that non-respiratory units can gradually offset the decline in COVID-19 products.

    What would break the thesis

    • If conditions in China deteriorate, the recently lowered guidance could be cut again, leaving margins under pressure.
    • If respiratory demand stays weak, revenue could fall further than expected and restructuring costs could exceed the budget.
    • If cash flow does not improve, the company could need additional financing, which could reduce available capital.

    What to watch

    • Revenue trends and pricing guidance in ChinaQ3 2026
    • Progress on free cash flow and working capital2026
    • Delivery of Optimization Plan cost savings2027
    • Completion of the SAVANNA exit and the LEX Diagnostics integration2027

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 07 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (04 Nov 2026), 8-K (03 Nov 2026 · results).

    The business

    The company describes its vision as advancing diagnostics to power a healthier future, with expertise in immunoassay and molecular testing, clinical chemistry and transfusion medicine. Products are sold both through a direct sales force and through distributors to hospitals, clinical and reference laboratories, clinics, blood banks and, for some tests, directly to consumers for OTC use. 1

    The reportable segments are North America, EMEA, China, JPAC and Latin America, and revenue comes from the business units Labs, Transfusion Medicine (with Immunohematology and Donor Screening categories), Point of Care and Molecular Diagnostics. Non-core revenue, including contract manufacturing and collaborations, is recorded in North America. 1

    Services are an important part of the model: the company cites about 1,200 service employees, the e-CONNECTIVITY remote monitoring platform, and new digital solutions such as QuidelOrtho RESULTS MANAGER, with several products planned for release in 2026. 1

    Segments

    Labs

    Labs is the largest business unit, with revenue of 1,505.7 million USD in fiscal 2025, up 6% from the prior year, driven by reagents, consumables and services and partly offset by lower instrument revenue. The VITROS platforms cover clinical chemistry and immunoassay. 1

    Point of Care

    Point of Care fell 13% in fiscal 2025 to 601.6 million USD, mainly on lower sales of SARS-CoV-2 antigen assays, and in the second quarter of 2026 it grew 16%, with Triage up 10%. The SOFIA, QUICKVUE and TRIAGE platforms form the core of this unit. 13

    Transfusion Medicine

    Transfusion Medicine includes Immunohematology, which grew in fiscal 2025, and Donor Screening, which is shrinking as the U.S. portfolio is wound down. The wind-down was substantially completed as of June 28, 2026, and Donor Screening revenue fell 54% in fiscal 2025. 12

    Market context

    The company describes the in vitro diagnostics market as highly competitive, with large global and regional rivals, where decisive factors include convenience, speed to result, test menu, price, reimbursement and product performance. Demand depends on government funding, reimbursement and the seasonality of respiratory illness. 1

    In the first half of 2026 revenue fell 4% to 1,250.7 million USD, and the company said that China, linked to proposed IVD pricing guidelines, and a softer global respiratory environment continue to weigh on the business. Revenue in China has followed a separate path from the other regions. 23

    Trends

    • Pricing pressure and reform in Chinaheadwind

      Proposed IVD pricing guidelines and a possible reduction in reimbursement rates proposed by Chinese authorities could limit revenue in China. The company said the slowdown in China sales is linked to these changes.

    • Respiratory seasonality and the pandemicmixed

      The share of respiratory products fell from 24% in 2023 to 15% in fiscal 2025 and 9% in the first half of 2026, as demand for COVID-19 products declined. Revenue still depends on flu and respiratory seasons.

    • Costs and tariffsheadwind

      U.S. tariffs introduced in 2025 raised costs for components and shipping. The company says it has largely offset these through operating measures, but future tariffs could materially affect margins.

    • Optimization and efficiencytailwind

      The Optimization Plan launched in 2025 aims to cut costs, consolidate facilities and streamline distribution, with net savings expected through 2027. Its success depends on the pace of implementation and on sales trends.

    Competitive position

    The company operates against many global competitors, including Abbott, bioMérieux, Bio-Rad, Danaher, Roche, Siemens Healthineers and Thermo Fisher Scientific, as well as regional and local companies. Some competitors have far greater financial, marketing and research resources. 1

    Consolidation among customers, the rise of group purchasing organizations and government tendering could reduce the company's ability to hold prices. The company acknowledges it may not compete successfully in an increasingly consolidated industry. 1

    • Abbott LaboratoriesABT

      Global competitor named in the company's filing, active in diagnostics and other healthcare segments.

    • Roche

      Global diagnostics competitor named in the filing, headquartered in Switzerland.

    • Siemens Healthineers

      Competitor in diagnostics and medical technology named in the filing.

    • Thermo Fisher ScientificTMO

      Global instruments and diagnostics company named among principal competitors.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-28 · SEC / QuidelOrtho Corporation · 19 Feb 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-28 · SEC / QuidelOrtho Corporation · 07 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / QuidelOrtho Corporation · 06 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.