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olivLaw · US equity research

Ribbon Communications Inc. RBBN

Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design · SIC 7373 · Vertical: Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design (SIC 7373)

1.54USD−2.53% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Ribbon Communications supplies voice communications software, IP routing and optical networking to telecom operators, enterprises and critical sectors such as defense. The company sits at the intersection of AI adoption and rising fiber connectivity, while quarterly revenue remains volatile, with revenue of 844.6 million USD in 2025 and revised 2026 guidance of 810 - 840 million USD.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Ribbon Communications Inc. (RBBN) stock was 1.54 USD (−2.53% on the day), with market capitalisation 275.9 m USD, P/E 22.5 on diluted EPS of 0.07 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.51, 52-week range 1.32–3.34 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 218.7 m USD (+1.6% YoY), net income of -9.1 m USD, diluted EPS -0.05 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
275.9 m USD
shares as of 26 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
22.5
Diluted EPS TTM 0.07 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
4.45%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.51
Volatility (1y) 69%
52-week range
1.323.34

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
47.4
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
1.27 – 1.74
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.58 · band width 31.4%
SMA 50 / 200
1.72 / 2.23
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.04 / -0.08
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−9.4%−1.1%−8.3 pp—
3 months−28.4%−0.5%−27.9 pp—
6 months−42.5%+4.4%−46.9 pp—
Year to date−46.5%+12.3%−58.8 pp—
1 year−51.4%+13.5%−65.0 pp−33.2%
3 years−25.2%+76.4%−101.7 pp−15.9%
5 years−74.6%+63.7%−138.3 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−60.5%
02 Jun 2026 → 16 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−78.9%
17 Dec 2021 → 16 Oct 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
−24.0%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
218.7 m USD
+1.6% YoY
Net income
-9.1 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
-0.05
unavailable YoY
net / operating
-4.2% / 2.6%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue251.4 m181.3 m220.6 m215.4 m227.3 m162.6 m192.3 m218.7 m
Cost of revenue111.3 m98.9 m111.3 m107.4 m106.3 m92.9 m102.0 m113.2 m
Gross profit140.1 m82.4 m109.3 m108.0 m121.1 m69.7 m90.3 m105.5 m
Research & development45.0 m43.6 m44.7 m45.9 m44.7 m44.4 m44.9 m44.4 m
Operating income33.2 m-19.6 m4.2 m2.8 m9.3 m-31.7 m-12.2 m5.6 m
Pre-tax income8.1 m-27.0 m-8.9 m-9.0 m-241.0 k-40.9 m-25.2 m-4.6 m
Income tax1.7 m-754.0 k2.2 m3.1 m-89.3 m-6.4 m1.7 m4.6 m
Net income6.4 m-26.2 m-11.1 m-12.1 m89.1 m-34.5 m-26.9 m-9.1 m
Diluted EPS0.04 ≈-0.15-0.06-0.070.47 ≈-0.20-0.15-0.05
Operating cash flow61.8 m-3.5 m-795.0 k ≈26.5 m ≈29.2 m-22.0 m-11.5 m ≈-14.4 m ≈
Capex8.0 m12.1 m5.7 m ≈5.5 m ≈2.0 m3.1 m4.3 m ≈1.1 m ≈
Share repurchases——2.3 m3.5 m3.2 m824.0 k0 ≈0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 50 percentile of its own 10-quarter history (min 11.0, median 20.5, max 122.2; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year⚠ 20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue577.9 m563.1 m843.8 m845.0 m819.8 m826.3 m833.9 m844.6 m
Revenue YoY—−2.6%+49.8%+0.1%−3.0%+0.8%+0.9%+1.3%
Net income-76.8 m-130.1 m88.6 m-177.2 m-98.1 m-66.2 m-54.2 m39.6 m
Net income YoY—unavailableunavailable−300.0%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS-0.74-1.190.61-1.20-0.63-0.39-0.310.22
Diluted EPS YoY—unavailableunavailable−296.7%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-13.3%-23.1%10.5%-21.0%-12.0%-8.0%-6.5%4.7%
Free cash flow-17.5 m44.9 m74.8 m2.1 m-36.6 m7.7 m27.8 m26.1 m

The series breaks before 2018: earlier years come from the original reports of the issuer of that time, later years from a subsequent filing that restated the perimeter (a separation, discontinued operations). The year-on-year change across the break is not shown.

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
96.4 m USD
Financial debt
333.3 m USD
Net debt
236.9 m USD
Equity
449.0 m USD
Total assets
1.2 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.74x
Current ratio
1.44x
ROE
9.3%
ROA
3.3%
FCF margin
3.1%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
826.3 m
2024
833.9 m
2025
844.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
418.3 m
2024
394.4 m
2025
423.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
408.1 m
2024
439.5 m
2025
420.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
190.7 m
2024
179.9 m
2025
178.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-24.3 m
2024
16.9 m
2025
-3.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-55.4 m
2024
-46.1 m
2025
-45.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
10.8 m
2024
8.2 m
2025
-84.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-66.2 m
2024
-54.2 m
2025
39.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.39
2024
-0.31
2025
0.22

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
170.4 m
2024
174.0 m
2025
179.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
26.5 m
2024
87.8 m
2025
96.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
268.4 m
2024
254.7 m
2025
231.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
77.5 m
2024
79.2 m
2025
78.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
418.7 m
2024
463.7 m
2025
454.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 11 Mar 2022verified

Goodwill
2023
300.9 m
2024
300.9 m
2025
300.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
238.1 m
2024
187.5 m
2025
143.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
85.2 m
2024
87.8 m
2025
79.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
35.1 m
2024
6.1 m
2025
8.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
197.5 m
2024
330.7 m
2025
324.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
341.1 m
2024
328.9 m
2025
315.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
691.4 m
2024
757.9 m
2025
763.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
452.8 m †
2024
404.6 m †
2025
449.0 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
17.1 m
2024
50.2 m
2025
51.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
9.4 m
2024
22.4 m
2025
25.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
7.7 m ≈
2024
27.8 m ≈
2025
26.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-9.5 m
2024
-22.9 m
2025
-25.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-47.9 m
2024
37.7 m
2025
-19.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
—
2024
—
2025
9.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
1.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
1.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
0.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-119.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
-14.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
-18.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-6.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
48.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
-3.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
2.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
-3.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
5.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
1.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
-3.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
-3.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
287.5 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
1.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
-18.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
10.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
-29.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
-156.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
106 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
75 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
275.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
563.4 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
14.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
22.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
4.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
0.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
insufficient data
EV/Sales
0.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF yield
-10.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
1.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 31 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

1.54 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 275.9 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
275.9 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
22.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
5.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
2.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
1.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

30/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 26 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 28 Oct 2026
verified 1554derived 78

Score by group

  • Valuation47
  • Balance sheet31
  • Quality25
  • Growth14
  • Returns58

Estimated value range

Low
2.42
USD per share
Mid
5.34
USD per share
High
13.07
USD per share
Price: 1.54 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 246.5% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 71.1% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 2.42 – 13.07 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/Sales2.42 – 13.07 (Mid 5.34)
    13 companies used · median multiple 1.6x · quartiles 0.9x – 3.3x
    CACI, CREX, DAIC, FUSE, GDDY, HCTI, JKHY, KD, LDOS, OTEX, PSN, SAIC, WAY
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design (SIC 7373)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 31/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality48.3%21 (on a fixed band)11%
EBIT margin · Quality-3.6%56 (vs peers)9%
FCF margin · Quality-3.6%0 (on a fixed band)9%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth1.0%4 (on a fixed band)18%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth1.3%35 (vs peers)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet1.3x31 (on a fixed band)7%
EV/Sales · Valuation0.7x82 (vs peers)18%
FCF yield · Valuation-10.6%0 (on a fixed band)14%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns1.5%58 (on a fixed band)5%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial31/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Growth14/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality25/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns58/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation47/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

RIBBON COMMUNICATIONS INC. (RBBN). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 844.6 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 1.3%; net margin 2.3%; ROE 5.0%.

The estimated value range is 2.42–13.07 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 5.34 USD, the price of 1.54 USD leaves a potential of 246.5% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 71.1% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 31/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: balance. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • EV/Sales: 0.7x
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Gross margin: 48.3%
  • FCF margin: -3.6%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 1.0%
  • FCF yield: -10.6%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA.

Versus the vertical median

Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design (SIC 7373) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
22.5x
vertical median 24.5x
below median (−8.2%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 12.9x
P/S
0.3x
vertical median 2.0x
below median (−82.5%)
P/B
0.7x
vertical median 1.7x
below median (−58.7%)
ROE
5.0%
vertical median -8.9%
above median
Net margin
2.3%
vertical median -11.0%
above median
EBIT margin
-3.6%
vertical median -8.2%
above median
Revenue YoY
1.3%
vertical median 7.1%
below median (−82.0%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 2.1x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.3%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
LDOSLeidos Holdings, Inc.16.6 bn12.228.2%8.0%+3.1%−29% / +26%
GDDYGoDaddy Inc.14.3 bn16.2—18.6%+8.3%−7% / +18%
CACICACI International Inc14.0 bn25.912.5%5.5%+10.9%+2% / +97%
JKHYJack Henry & Associates, Inc.12.6 bn25.724.0%19.8%+7.1%+3% / +13%
IONQIonQ, Inc.11.3 bn—-60.8%-553.3%+201.9%−40% / +142%
OTEXOpen Text Corp6.4 bn10.316.2%12.3%+1.5%−21% / −34%
SAICScience Applications International Corporation6.3 bn17.625.7%5.1%−2.9%+75% / +28%
WAYWaystar Holding Corp.5.7 bn42.93.7%10.7%+16.5%−20% / unavailable
PSNParsons Corporation5.5 bn38.25.7%2.3%−5.7%−38% / −16%
KDKyndryl Holdings, Inc3.7 bn48.96.8%0.5%+0.2%−35% / −7%
AGYSAgilysys, Inc.3.5 bn78.513.6%12.9%+15.9%−0% / +42%
NTCTNetscout Systems Inc2.8 bn23.37.5%13.7%+4.5%+42% / +90%
AURAurora Innovation, Inc.2.6 bn—-45.7%-13,328.6%unavailable−3% / +86%
PONYPony AI Inc.2.1 bn—-10.3%-148.9%+20.0%−65% / unavailable
OSPNOneSpan Inc.872.9 m13.226.8%27.5%+0.0%+94% / +136%
TLSTelos Corporation378.2 m—-14.9%-8.1%+52.2%−12% / +23%
SLPSimulations Plus, Inc.374.2 m46.76.2%9.9%+13.1%unavailable / unavailable
SMRTSmartrent, Inc.307.5 m—-7.6%-11.0%−12.9%−6% / −48%
ASURAsure Software, Inc.293.6 m—-1.9%—+24.3%+22% / +22%
VEEAVeea Inc.281.2 m——-2,491.9%+56.6%−55% / −98%
RBBNRibbon Communications Inc.275.9 m22.55.0%2.3%+1.3%−51% / −25%
KDKKodiak AI, Inc.220.7 m——-4,259.6%−74.6%−82% / unavailable
UISUnisys Corp171.4 m——-21.7%−2.9%−12% / −51%
AIOSAIOS Tech Inc.138.9 m—-208.9%-4,359.1%−98.5%−87% / −86%
MRLNMerlin, Inc.91.5 m———unavailable−92% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for RBBN from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
1.33
Total return -14% · Per year -14%
2.35
Total return 53% · Per year 53%
3.55
Total return 131% · Per year 131%
3 years
1.20
Total return -22% · Per year -8%
2.40
Total return 56% · Per year 16%
3.99
Total return 159% · Per year 37%
5 years
1.08
Total return -30% · Per year -7%
2.45
Total return 59% · Per year 10%
4.48
Total return 191% · Per year 24%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 0.60
  • Net margin± 0.42
  • Annual revenue growth± 0.36
  • Annual dilution± 0.04

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 31 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (28 Oct 2026), 8-K (27 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

Ribbon Communications supplies voice communications software, IP routing and optical networking to telecom operators, enterprises and critical sectors such as defense. The company sits at the intersection of AI adoption and rising fiber connectivity, while quarterly revenue remains volatile, with revenue of 844.6 million USD in 2025 and revised 2026 guidance of 810 - 840 million USD 13.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has an extensive operator installed base and a broad portfolio of voice, IP and optical products that supports cross-selling 1.
  • The Cloud and Edge segment carries a high gross margin that supports overall profitability 1.
  • Record IP Optical bookings in the second quarter of 2026 point to solid demand in North America 3.

Weaknesses

  • Revenue is concentrated, and a single customer accounts for a significant share, making results sensitive to its decisions 1.
  • Quarterly revenue is hard to predict, and much of the operating cost base is fixed in the short term 1.
  • The operating loss in the first half of 2026 shows profitability is still fragile 2.

Opportunities

  • Government broadband programs for rural areas and fiber investments in Europe and Asia could generate new orders 13.
  • Integrating AI voice agents into contact centers could create a new source of recurring revenue 13.
  • Migration of federal agencies to cloud communications could open public sector contracts 1.

Threats

  • Tariffs and trade uncertainty may raise costs and reduce customer demand 2.
  • Competitors with larger resources may offer lower prices and win existing customers 1.
  • Conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine may delay purchases and disrupt supply chains 12.

Risks

  • Customer concentrationhigh

    A small number of customers generates a large share of revenue, and cuts in their orders could weigh on results 1.

  • Revenue volatilityhigh

    The timing of operator orders can shift revenue from one quarter to another, making period comparisons difficult 1.

  • Tariffs and supply chainmedium

    Tariff changes and reliance on contract manufacturers in Mexico and Asia could increase production costs 2.

  • Geopolitical conflictsmedium

    The war in Ukraine and the Middle East conflict could affect sales and call-ups of employees in Israel 12.

  • Debt and goodwillmedium

    Credit agreement terms may limit financial flexibility, and goodwill impairment could produce accounting charges 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • If demand for fiber and optical networks holds, the IP Optical segment could keep growing from already record bookings.
  • Third-quarter and full-year 2026 guidance points to sequential recovery, and management expects profitability to improve.
  • Integration with AI agent platforms and AIOps could lift recurring software revenue over time.

What would break the thesis

  • Revenue fell year on year in the second quarter of 2026, and the operating result was negative in the first half of the year.
  • Dependence on a few large customers and an uncertain order calendar can make results hard to forecast.
  • Tariffs, high interest rates and regional conflicts could delay purchases and keep pressure on margins.

What to watch

  • Actual revenue against third-quarter guidanceQ3 2026
  • Non-GAAP gross margin against the projected range for the third quarterQ3 2026
  • Delivery of full-year revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance2026
  • Effect of tariffs and a possible USMCA termination on import costsnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 31 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (28 Oct 2026), 8-K (27 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

Ribbon describes itself as a global provider of communications technology to service providers and enterprises, offering software, high-performance hardware, network solutions and services 1. The company was formed by the 2017 merger of Sonus Networks and GENBAND, and expanded through the 2020 acquisition of ECI Telecom, which added optical transport and IP routing 1. Headquarters are in Plano, Texas, with presence in over 30 countries 1.

Strategy emphasizes operational integration, modernizing networks with high technology debt, cross-selling to tier one providers and growing share in North American IP and optical networking 1. The company is also developing the Acumen AIOps platform and partnerships linking AI voice agents to existing networks 1.

Market context

The target market covers telecom operators, enterprises and critical infrastructure, where investment in fiber, 5G and data center networks is growing 1. Government programs such as the US BEAD fund, of 42 billion USD, support rural broadband expansion 1.

Demand is also shaped by cloud adoption of communications and the traffic load from AI applications, though operator investment can be postponed during periods of economic uncertainty 12.

Trends

  • Fiber and data centerstailwind

    Rising traffic from AI applications and government fiber programs could support demand for Ribbon's optical networks 13.

  • Tariffsheadwind

    US tariffs and uncertainty over the USMCA could raise import costs and delay customer purchases 2.

  • Voice and cloud modernizationmixed

    Migration of operators and federal agencies to cloud voice opens opportunities, but management expects a more moderate pace of acceleration 13.

  • Interest rates and inflationheadwind

    Interest rates remain high and core inflation persists, which may raise the cost of capital and operating costs 12.

Competitive position

The telecom equipment market is intensely competitive, with large incumbents that have greater financial and sales resources, plus new entrants from virtualization and cloud 1. Industry consolidation, including recent deals among vendors, could shift the competitive balance 1.

Ribbon competes on price, reliability and interoperability with multi-vendor networks, and states its advantage lies in its installed base and existing operator relationships 1.

  • Ericsson

    Large telecom equipment supplier named in the risk factors as part of the traditional ecosystem dominated by a few large players 1.

  • Nokia

    Network equipment company named in the filing, which acquired Infinera in 2025 1.

  • Ciena

    Optical networking supplier identified in the source as a direct competitor in optical transport 1.

  • Cisco Systems

    Large routing and networking vendor named as a competitor in telecom networking 1.

News & filings

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Ribbon Communications Inc. · 26 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Ribbon Communications Inc. · 31 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Ribbon Communications Inc. · 28 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.