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olivLaw · US equity research

Telos Corporation TLS

Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design · SIC 7373 · Vertical: Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design (SIC 7373)

5.06USD−1.75% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Telos Corporation provides Xacta cyber governance, risk and compliance software, identity and biometric solutions, secure networks and TSA PreCheck enrollment for the U.S. federal government and commercial clients. The company reported revenue growth of 52.2% in fiscal 2025, with 91.0% of revenue coming from the federal government, so federal defense and security budgets remain central to its results.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Telos Corporation (TLS) stock was 5.06 USD (−1.75% on the day), with market capitalisation 378.2 m USD, beta 1.71, 52-week range 3.88–7.76 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 47.7 m USD (+32.7% YoY), net income of 660.0 k USD, diluted EPS 0.01 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
378.2 m USD
shares as of 03 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
Diluted EPS TTM -0.21 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
-4.21%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.71
Volatility (1y) 67%
52-week range
3.887.76

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
55.1
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
3.69 – 5.92
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.61 · band width 46.4%
SMA 50 / 200
4.54 / 4.52
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.27 / 0.24
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+14.2%−2.0%+16.2 pp—
3 months+8.1%−2.2%+10.3 pp—
6 months+20.5%+4.3%+16.2 pp—
Year to date−0.8%+10.6%−11.4 pp—
1 year−22.4%+10.5%−32.9 pp−34.8%
3 years+90.2%+73.7%+16.6 pp−27.7%
5 years−80.9%+61.7%−142.6 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−50.0%
10 Nov 2025 → 23 Feb 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−94.0%
08 Nov 2021 → 02 May 2023
Compound annual growth (5y)
−28.2%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
47.7 m USD
+32.7% YoY
Net income
660.0 k USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
0.01
unavailable YoY
net / operating
1.4% / 0.6%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue23.8 m26.4 m30.6 m36.0 m51.4 m46.8 m47.7 m47.7 m
Cost of revenue20.6 m15.8 m18.4 m24.0 m30.9 m30.4 m30.4 m31.1 m
Gross profit3.1 m10.6 m12.2 m11.9 m20.5 m16.4 m17.4 m16.7 m
Research & development2.4 m1.4 m1.6 m1.5 m1.9 m2.1 m1.4 m1.3 m
SG&A23.2 m19.1 m19.6 m20.3 m21.1 m17.9 m14.6 m15.0 m
Operating income-28.9 m-9.9 m-9.0 m-9.9 m-2.5 m-18.5 m1.5 m310.0 k
Depreciation & amortisation2.7 m ≈2.5 m2.3 m2.5 m ≈3.2 m ≈3.4 m3.4 m3.3 m ≈
Interest expense157.0 k152.0 k147.0 k141.0 k136.0 k129.0 k111.0 k107.0 k
Pre-tax income-28.0 m-9.4 m-8.6 m-9.5 m-2.1 m-17.0 m2.0 m704.0 k
Income tax17.0 k-25.0 k-4.0 k46.0 k21.0 k-726.0 k18.0 k44.0 k
Net income-28.1 m-9.3 m-8.6 m-9.5 m-2.1 m-16.3 m2.0 m660.0 k
Diluted EPS-0.39-0.13 ≈-0.12-0.13-0.03-0.22 ≈0.030.01
Operating cash flow-7.1 m ≈-10.5 m6.1 m7.0 m ≈9.1 m ≈8.0 m8.7 m8.8 m ≈
Capex49.0 k ≈1.9 m123.0 k134.0 k ≈452.0 k ≈30.0 k145.0 k246.0 k ≈
Share repurchases0 ≈004.0 m ≈3.6 m ≈6.0 m2.2 m4.7 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue138.0 m159.2 m179.9 m242.4 m216.9 m145.4 m108.3 m164.8 m
Revenue YoY+28.1%+15.4%+13.0%+34.7%−10.5%−33.0%−25.5%+52.2%
Net income-1.6 m-6.4 m1.7 m-43.1 m-53.4 m-34.4 m-52.5 m-36.5 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable−2,656.8%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS-0.04-0.170.04-0.65-0.79-0.50-0.73-0.50
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable−1,725.0%unavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-1.2%-4.0%0.9%-17.8%-24.6%-23.7%-48.5%-22.2%
Free cash flow3.8 m7.7 m-2.9 m4.1 m15.5 m661.0 k-28.2 m29.4 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
53.2 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
96.0 m USD
Total assets
139.9 m USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
2.57x
ROE
-32.8%
ROA
-24.5%
FCF margin
17.9%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
145.4 m
2024
108.3 m
2025
164.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
92.4 m
2024
73.8 m
2025
103.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
52.9 m
2024
34.4 m
2025
61.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Research & development
2023
11.8 m
2024
8.4 m
2025
7.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

SG&A
2023
81.0 m
2024
75.5 m
2025
78.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-40.3 m
2024
-55.9 m
2025
-39.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
8.9 m
2024
11.9 m
2025
11.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-31.4 m ≈
2024
-44.0 m ≈
2025
-28.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
786.0 k
2024
644.0 k
2025
553.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-34.4 m
2024
-52.5 m
2025
-37.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
36.0 k
2024
26.0 k
2025
-663.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-34.4 m
2024
-52.5 m
2025
-36.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.50
2024
-0.73
2025
-0.50

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
69.3 m
2024
71.9 m
2025
72.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
99.3 m
2024
54.6 m
2025
53.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
30.4 m
2024
19.2 m
2025
17.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Inventories
2023
1.4 m
2024
1.8 m
2025
996.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
140.0 m
2024
91.4 m
2025
94.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
3.5 m
2024
4.3 m
2025
3.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
17.9 m
2024
17.9 m
2025
3.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
39.6 m
2024
30.4 m
2025
30.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
208.7 m
2024
158.2 m
2025
139.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
8.3 m
2024
1.2 m
2025
4.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
39.2 m
2024
22.1 m
2025
36.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
49.7 m
2024
31.1 m
2025
43.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
159.0 m †
2024
127.1 m †
2025
96.0 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
1.6 m
2024
-25.9 m
2025
30.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
926.0 k
2024
2.3 m
2025
739.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
661.0 k ≈
2024
-28.2 m ≈
2025
29.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-15.5 m
2024
-16.8 m
2025
-8.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-6.2 m
2024
-2.0 m
2025
-22.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
139.0 k
2024
0
2025
13.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
52.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-8.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
-1.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive

Profitability

Gross margin
36.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
-3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
-9.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-8.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
17.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
-14.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
-10.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
-19.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
-39.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
1.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
34.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
873.0 k USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
33.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
unavailable
insufficient data
Cash conversion
unavailable
insufficient data

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
35 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
28 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
378.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
unavailable
insufficient data
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
Earnings yield
-4.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
4.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
2.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
11.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
8.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
4.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

5.06 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 378.2 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
378.2 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
unavailable
insufficient data
P/B
4.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
-14.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
-8.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
52.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 03 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 10 Aug 2026
verified 2298derived 172

Score by group

77% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

unavailable — no valuation method could be computed

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/Salesunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)

no valuation method could be computed

Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design (SIC 7373)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality36.6%0 (on a fixed band)14%
EBIT margin · Quality-9.9%50 (vs peers)11%
FCF margin · Quality17.4%70 (on a fixed band)11%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-8.7%0 (on a fixed band)22%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth52.2%86 (vs peers)11%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.4x93 (on a fixed band)8%
EV/Sales · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation8.9%100 (on a fixed band)17%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns4.4%100 (on a fixed band)6%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial93/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Growth29/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality37/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns100/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

TELOS CORPORATION (TLS). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 164.8 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 52.2%; net margin -8.1%; ROE -14.9%.

Valuation cannot be computed from the available data.

Insufficient data for a verdict (valuation methods computed: 0 of at least 1).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue growth (YoY): 52.2%
  • Current ratio: 2.4x
  • FCF yield: 8.9%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 4.4%

What contradicts it

  • Gross margin: 36.6%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -8.7%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Net debt / EBITDA, EV/Sales.

Versus the vertical median

Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design (SIC 7373) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
—
vertical median 23.3x
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 12.9x
P/S
2.0x
vertical median 2.7x
below median (−28.5%)
P/B
4.0x
vertical median 1.7x
above median (+137.6%)
ROE
-14.9%
vertical median -8.4%
below median
Net margin
-8.1%
vertical median -13.0%
above median
EBIT margin
-9.9%
vertical median -10.7%
above median
Revenue YoY
52.2%
vertical median 7.1%
above median (+633.6%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 2.6x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.3%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
LDOSLeidos Holdings, Inc.16.4 bn12.128.2%8.0%+3.1%−30% / +26%
GDDYGoDaddy Inc.14.3 bn16.2—18.6%+8.3%−7% / +18%
CACICACI International Inc14.0 bn25.912.5%5.5%+10.9%+2% / +97%
JKHYJack Henry & Associates, Inc.12.6 bn25.724.0%19.8%+7.1%+3% / +13%
IONQIonQ, Inc.11.3 bn—-60.8%-553.3%+201.9%−40% / +142%
OTEXOpen Text Corp6.4 bn10.316.2%12.3%+1.5%−21% / −34%
SAICScience Applications International Corporation6.3 bn17.625.7%5.1%−2.9%+75% / +28%
WAYWaystar Holding Corp.5.7 bn42.93.7%10.7%+16.5%−20% / unavailable
KDKyndryl Holdings, Inc.3.7 bn46.27.6%0.6%+0.2%−35% / −7%
AGYSAgilysys, Inc.3.5 bn78.513.6%12.9%+15.9%−0% / +42%
NTCTNetscout Systems Inc2.8 bn23.37.5%13.7%+4.5%+42% / +90%
AURAurora Innovation, Inc.2.6 bn—-45.7%-13,328.6%unavailable−3% / +86%
PONYPony AI Inc.2.1 bn—-10.3%-148.9%+20.0%−65% / unavailable
OSPNOneSpan Inc.872.9 m13.226.8%27.5%+0.0%+94% / +136%
TLSTelos Corporation378.2 m—-14.9%-8.1%+52.2%−22% / +90%
SLPSimulations Plus, Inc.374.2 m46.76.2%9.9%+13.1%unavailable / unavailable
SMRTSmartrent, Inc.310.4 m—-8.4%-13.0%−12.9%−6% / −48%
ASURAsure Software, Inc.293.6 m—-1.9%—+24.3%+22% / +22%
VEEAVeea Inc.281.2 m——-2,491.9%+56.6%−55% / −98%
RBBNRibbon Communications Inc.275.9 m22.55.0%2.3%+1.3%−46% / −28%
KDKKodiak AI, Inc.220.7 m——-4,259.6%−74.6%−82% / unavailable
AIOSAIOS Tech Inc.138.9 m—-208.9%-4,359.1%−98.5%−87% / −86%
MRLNMerlin, Inc.91.5 m———unavailable−92% / unavailable
CSPICSP Inc75.4 m—-1.5%-1.2%+6.4%−35% / −40%
HCTIHealthcare Triangle, Inc.69.2 m—-57.4%-66.3%+18.8%−97% / −100%

1- and 3-year price returns: for TLS from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
3 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
5 years
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
insufficient data
Total return unavailable · Per year unavailable
What moves the 3-year price the most

    AI analysis

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    In brief

    Telos Corporation provides Xacta cyber governance, risk and compliance software, identity and biometric solutions, secure networks and TSA PreCheck enrollment for the U.S. federal government and commercial clients. The company reported revenue growth of 52.2% in fiscal 2025, with 91.0% of revenue coming from the federal government, so federal defense and security budgets remain central to its results.

    SWOT

    Strengths

    • The company holds a strong position in cyber risk management through the Xacta platform and employs personnel with security clearances, which limits the number of competitors.
    • Revenue and gross margin grew over the last year, and operating cash flow turned positive, indicating better operational efficiency.
    • The identity and biometric portfolio is certified and operational across several federal agencies, which gives an advantage in repeatable contracts.

    Weaknesses

    • Heavy dependence on the U.S. federal government exposes the company to budget and policy changes in Washington.
    • Concentration of revenue in a few large contracts means that delay or cancellation of a single program could have a significant effect on results.
    • The company reported net losses in earlier years, and profitability in 2026 is still fragile and depends on keeping cost discipline.

    Opportunities

    • Priorities in cybersecurity, artificial intelligence and defense could create new contract opportunities for Xacta and identity solutions.
    • A possible transfer of some government services to the private sector could benefit the company given its broad range of capabilities.
    • Expansion into regulated commercial clients such as financial institutions could reduce reliance on government procurement.

    Threats

    • Cuts in federal spending and shifts in priorities could reduce contract volume or delay awards.
    • Intense competition in public bidding and price pressure could compress margins over the long term.
    • Cyberattacks on the company's own infrastructure could damage its reputation and create costs and legal liability.

    Risks

    • Dependence on the federal governmenthigh

      Most revenue comes from federal contracts, which the government may modify, delay or cancel at any time, with effects on results.

    • Budget uncertaintyhigh

      Budgets that are not approved on time and periods of temporary funding can delay projects and reduce expected revenue.

    • Customer concentrationmedium

      A small number of large contracts make up an important part of future revenue, and a delay in one of them could affect profitability.

    • Cybersecurity risksmedium

      The company is a frequent target of attacks, and a breach could compromise sensitive data and lead to financial and reputational losses.

    • Competition for skilled personnelmedium

      A shortage of staff with security clearances could limit the ability to deliver contracts and to expand quickly.

    Investment thesis

    What would need to be true (bull case)

    • If defense and cybersecurity budgets convert into contracts, growth in the Security Solutions segment could continue and the Xacta platform could become a reference product.
    • Improving margins and cash flow point to greater operational discipline, which could support more consistent positive net results.
    • Expansion in identity and biometric solutions could open new markets in both government and commercial segments.

    What would break the thesis

    • If federal budgets shrink or stall, new contracts could be postponed and revenue could fall quickly.
    • Reliance on a small number of large contracts could make quarterly results volatile and hard to forecast.
    • Profitability is not yet stable, and higher costs or stronger competition could erase recent margin gains.

    What to watch

    • Revenue and margin trend in the Security Solutions segmentQ3 2026
    • Adoption and revenue from Xacta.ai and the Xacta platform2026
    • Funded and unfunded backlog levels in the annual reportnext 10-K
    • Federal funding for defense and cybersecurity after the 2027 budget2027

    Products, market & competition

    AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

    The business

    Telos Corporation, headquartered in Ashburn, Virginia, supplies technology and services to security-conscious organizations. Its activity is split into two reportable segments: Security Solutions and Secure Networks. The Xacta platform, which automates cyber risk and compliance management, is its main product, and in fiscal 2025 the company launched Xacta.ai, an artificial intelligence capability.

    Market context

    The market Telos serves is fragmented, with no dominant player, and competitive bidding determines both new contracts and renewals. Federal defense and cybersecurity budgets provide a supportive backdrop, with the fiscal 2026 defense appropriations bill providing 838.7 billion USD in discretionary funding. Budget delays and political uncertainty, however, can lengthen sales cycles.

    Trends

    • Rising demand for defense cybersecuritytailwind

      The NDAA authorization for Department of War cyber activities suggests sustained demand for risk and compliance management, an area where Xacta is positioned. If the funding converts into contracts, growth in the Security Solutions segment could continue.

    • Adoption of artificial intelligence in federal agenciesmixed

      Budget priorities for AI and automation may favor products such as Xacta.ai, which shorten compliance time. However, shifts in policy could change compliance requirements and call for additional investment.

    • Budget uncertainty and government shutdownsheadwind

      Delays in passing annual budgets and federal spending reductions can postpone contract awards and reduce their value. The company cited spending reductions, personnel changes and partial government shutdowns in 2026 as concerns.

    • Pressure from trade and tariff policiesheadwind

      Higher tariffs on imported IT equipment could raise procurement costs for the company and its customers. The effect on margins depends on whether those costs can be passed through in contracts.

    Competitive position

    Telos competes with large defense contractors offering overlapping capabilities and with smaller firms specialized in compliance, organizational messaging and information security. Competition for federal contracts is intense, and the requirement for security clearances can limit both the number of rivals and how quickly the company can scale.

    • Large defense contractors

      Companies named in the filing offer overlapping capabilities across several service areas and are an important competitor in federal bidding.

    • Specialty compliance and risk firms

      Smaller firms focused on risk and compliance management compete directly with the Xacta platform in cybersecurity.

    • Organizational messaging providers

      Specialists in organizational messaging compete with Telos AMHS for critical government communications.

    • Information security consulting firms

      Consulting firms in information security offer competing services for assessment, compliance and penetration testing.

    News & filings

    In the press

    No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

    SEC filings

    Sources

    1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Telos Corporation · 16 Mar 2026
    2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Telos Corporation · 10 Aug 2026
    3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Telos Corporation · 10 Aug 2026

    Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

    Telos Corporation (TLS): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw