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olivLaw · US equity research

Waystar Holding Corp. WAY

Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design · SIC 7373 · Vertical: Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design (SIC 7373)

29.69USD+7.36% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Waystar provides cloud-based, AI-powered software that helps healthcare providers collect payments accurately and faster across the full patient journey. Revenue grew 18% year-over-year in the second quarter of 2026, and the company raised its fiscal 2026 guidance, making its platform a relevant case in the US healthcare revenue cycle technology market. Fiscal 2025 revenue reached 1,099.3 million USD, and current guidance points to a range of 1.276 to 1.294 billion USD.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Waystar Holding Corp. (WAY) stock was 29.69 USD (+7.36% on the day), with market capitalisation 5.7 bn USD, P/E 42.9 on diluted EPS of 0.69 USD over the last 12 months, beta 0.73, 52-week range 17.31–37.04 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 325.6 m USD (+21.2% YoY), net income of 31.0 m USD (+1.2% YoY), diluted EPS 0.16 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
5.7 bn USD
shares as of 26 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
42.9
Diluted EPS TTM 0.69 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.33%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.73
Volatility (1y) 55%
52-week range
17.3137.04

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
63.9
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
26.08 – 29.86
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.95 · band width 13.5%
SMA 50 / 200
26.34 / 23.91
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
0.72 / 0.76
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+12.1%−2.0%+14.1 pp—
3 months+27.0%−2.2%+29.2 pp—
6 months+49.2%+4.3%+44.9 pp—
Year to date−9.3%+10.6%−19.9 pp—
1 year−20.8%+10.5%−31.3 pp−34.8%
3 yearsunavailable+73.7%unavailable−17.1%
5 yearsunavailable+61.7%unavailable—
Max drawdown (1y)
−53.3%
26 Nov 2025 → 22 Jun 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−61.8%
14 Feb 2025 → 22 Jun 2026
Compound annual growth (5y)
unavailable
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
325.6 m USD
+21.2% YoY
Net income
31.0 m USD
+1.2% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.16
−5.9% YoY
net / operating
9.5% / 18.8%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue244.1 m256.4 m270.7 m268.7 m303.5 m313.9 m319.7 m325.6 m
Cost of revenue79.5 m83.3 m87.0 m85.1 m92.6 m97.0 m97.7 m99.2 m
Research & development11.5 m11.1 m12.6 m12.4 m18.5 m18.4 m17.7 m20.3 m
Operating income53.1 m65.2 m64.8 m60.2 m59.0 m80.5 m76.0 m61.3 m
Depreciation & amortisation38.0 m33.4 m33.4 m33.3 m40.4 m41.5 m41.5 m41.5 m
Interest expense—18.9 m18.3 m17.5 m—20.6 m19.6 m19.3 m
Pre-tax income33.1 m46.3 m46.6 m42.7 m36.1 m59.8 m56.4 m42.0 m
Income tax14.0 m17.0 m14.4 m12.1 m16.2 m16.5 m15.5 m10.9 m
Net income19.1 m29.3 m32.2 m30.6 m20.0 m43.3 m40.9 m31.0 m
Diluted EPS0.11 ≈0.160.180.170.10 ≈0.220.210.16
Operating cash flow64.8 m64.2 m96.8 m ≈82.0 m ≈66.6 m84.9 m59.4 m ≈103.9 m ≈
Capex6.2 m5.4 m5.8 m ≈5.9 m ≈9.4 m15.3 m16.1 m ≈9.9 m ≈
Share repurchases0——0 ≈0——20.7 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 43 percentile of its own 7-quarter history (min 29.2, median 53.5, max 412.0; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year2022202320242025
Revenue704.9 m791.0 m943.5 m1.1 bn
Revenue YoYunavailable+12.2%+19.3%+16.5%
Net income-51.5 m-51.3 m-19.1 m112.1 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS-0.42-0.42-0.130.61
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-7.3%-6.5%-2.0%10.2%
Free cash flow85.2 m29.9 m142.5 m283.2 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
61.4 m USD
Financial debt
1.5 bn USD
Net debt
1.4 bn USD
Equity
3.9 bn USD
Total assets
5.8 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.38x
Current ratio
1.41x
ROE
3.2%
ROA
2.2%
FCF margin
25.8%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
791.0 m
2024
943.5 m
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
249.8 m
2024
315.7 m
2025
348.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
541.2 m ≈
2024
627.8 m ≈
2025
751.1 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026derived

Research & development
2023
35.3 m
2024
48.8 m
2025
54.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
142.1 m
2024
123.7 m
2025
249.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
176.5 m
2024
186.6 m
2025
140.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
318.6 m ≈
2024
310.4 m ≈
2025
389.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2023
-63.8 m
2024
-22.5 m
2025
171.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
-12.5 m
2024
-3.4 m
2025
59.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-51.3 m
2024
-19.1 m
2025
112.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.42
2024
-0.13
2025
0.61

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
121.7 m
2024
149.9 m
2025
184.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
35.6 m
2024
182.1 m
2025
61.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
126.1 m
2024
145.2 m
2025
177.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
222.1 m
2024
371.0 m
2025
308.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
3.0 bn
2024
3.0 bn
2025
4.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.0 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
4.6 bn
2024
4.6 bn
2025
5.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
45.5 m
2024
47.4 m
2025
50.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
18.0 m
2024
11.7 m
2025
14.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
2.2 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
123.5 m
2024
145.6 m
2025
218.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
2.5 bn
2024
1.5 bn
2025
1.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
2.0 bn †
2024
3.1 bn †
2025
3.9 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
51.5 m
2024
169.8 m
2025
309.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
21.5 m
2024
27.3 m
2025
26.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
29.9 m ≈
2024
142.5 m ≈
2025
283.2 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-61.5 m
2024
-27.3 m
2025
-680.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-17.2 m
2024
16.7 m
2025
243.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
688.0 k
2024
844.0 k
2025
0

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
16.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
16.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
101.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
98.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
69.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
35.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
21.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
10.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
20.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
3.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
2.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
4.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
4.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
1.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
3.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
314.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
50.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
264.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
195.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
71.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
48 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
56 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
5.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
7.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
42.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
42.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
2.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
4.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
16.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
25.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
5.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
21.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
4.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
0.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

4 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 64 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

29.69 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 5.7 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
5.7 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
42.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.4x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
16.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
3.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
10.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
16.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

30/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 26 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 02 Nov 2026
verified 517derived 39

Score by group

  • Valuation51
  • Returns43
  • Quality82
  • Balance sheet58
  • Growth66

Estimated value range

Low
9.85
USD per share
Mid
11.20
USD per share
High
16.08
USD per share
Price: 29.69 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -62.3% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -165.0% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 0.00 – 26.31 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/Sales0.00 – 5.85 (Mid 0.23)
    11 companies used · median multiple 1.2x · quartiles 0.8x – 2.0x
    CACI, CREX, DAIC, FUSE, GDDY, HCTI, KD, LDOS, OTEX, RBBN, SAIC
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA19.70 – 26.31 (Mid 22.18)
    4 companies used · median multiple 12.9x · quartiles 11.8x – 14.7x
    ASUR, CACI, GDDY, SAIC
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design (SIC 7373)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 64/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
Gross margin · Quality69.4%73 (on a fixed band)11%
EBIT margin · Quality21.9%91 (vs peers)9%
FCF margin · Quality20.9%84 (on a fixed band)9%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth16.0%64 (on a fixed band)17%
Revenue growth (YoY) · Growth16.5%70 (vs peers)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet3.2x40 (vs peers)6%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.1x77 (on a fixed band)6%
EV/Sales · Valuation5.7x20 (vs peers)17%
FCF yield · Valuation4.6%92 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns0.6%43 (on a fixed band)4%

Score groups

  • Balance sheet58/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Growth66/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality82/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns43/100 · 1/1 factors with a value
  • Valuation51/100 · 2/2 factors with a value

Memo

Waystar Holding Corp. (WAY). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 1.1 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 16.5%; net margin 10.7%; ROE 3.7%; net debt/EBITDA 3.2x.

The estimated value range is 9.85–16.08 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 11.20 USD, the price of 29.69 USD leaves a potential of -62.3% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -165.0% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 64/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Gross margin: 69.4%
  • EBIT margin: 21.9%
  • FCF margin: 20.9%
  • Revenue growth (YoY): 16.5%
  • Current ratio: 2.1x
  • FCF yield: 4.6%

What contradicts it

  • EV/Sales: 5.7x
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Versus the vertical median

Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design (SIC 7373) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 39 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
42.9x
vertical median 22.9x
above median (+87.6%)
EV/EBITDA
16.2x
vertical median 12.1x
above median (+34.1%)
P/S
4.5x
vertical median 2.4x
above median (+90.6%)
P/B
1.4x
vertical median 1.7x
below median (−17.6%)
ROE
3.7%
vertical median -10.3%
above median
Net margin
10.7%
vertical median -13.0%
above median
EBIT margin
21.9%
vertical median -12.4%
above median
Revenue YoY
16.5%
vertical median 7.1%
above median (+131.9%)
Net debt/EBITDA
3.2x
vertical median 1.9x
above median (+72.5%)
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.3%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
LDOSLeidos Holdings, Inc.16.4 bn12.128.2%8.0%+3.1%−30% / +26%
GDDYGoDaddy Inc.14.3 bn16.2—18.6%+8.3%−7% / +18%
CACICACI International Inc14.0 bn25.912.5%5.5%+10.9%+2% / +97%
JKHYJack Henry & Associates, Inc.12.6 bn25.724.0%19.8%+7.1%+3% / +13%
IONQIonQ, Inc.11.3 bn—-60.8%-553.3%+201.9%−40% / +142%
OTEXOpen Text Corp6.4 bn10.316.2%12.3%+1.5%−21% / −34%
SAICScience Applications International Corporation6.3 bn17.625.7%5.1%−2.9%+75% / +28%
WAYWaystar Holding Corp.5.7 bn42.93.7%10.7%+16.5%−21% / unavailable
KDKyndryl Holdings, Inc.3.7 bn46.27.6%0.6%+0.2%−35% / −7%
AGYSAgilysys, Inc.3.5 bn78.513.6%12.9%+15.9%−0% / +42%
NTCTNetscout Systems Inc2.8 bn23.37.5%13.7%+4.5%+42% / +90%
AURAurora Innovation, Inc.2.6 bn—-45.7%-13,328.6%unavailable−3% / +86%
PONYPony AI Inc.2.1 bn—-10.3%-148.9%+20.0%−65% / unavailable
OSPNOneSpan Inc.872.9 m13.226.8%27.5%+0.0%+94% / +136%
TLSTelos Corporation378.2 m—-14.9%-8.1%+52.2%−12% / +23%
SLPSimulations Plus, Inc.374.2 m46.76.2%9.9%+13.1%unavailable / unavailable
SMRTSmartrent, Inc.310.4 m—-8.4%-13.0%−12.9%−6% / −48%
ASURAsure Software, Inc.293.6 m—-1.9%—+24.3%+22% / +22%
VEEAVeea Inc.281.2 m——-2,491.9%+56.6%−55% / −98%
RBBNRibbon Communications Inc.275.9 m22.55.0%2.3%+1.3%−46% / −28%
KDKKodiak AI, Inc.220.7 m——-4,259.6%−74.6%−82% / unavailable
AIOSAIOS Tech Inc.138.9 m—-208.9%-4,359.1%−98.5%−87% / −86%
MRLNMerlin, Inc.91.5 m———unavailable−92% / unavailable
CSPICSP Inc75.4 m—-1.5%-1.2%+6.4%−35% / −40%
HCTIHealthcare Triangle, Inc.69.2 m—-57.4%-66.3%+18.8%−97% / −100%

1- and 3-year price returns: for WAY from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
19.69
Total return -34% · Per year -34%
34.65
Total return 17% · Per year 17%
51.98
Total return 75% · Per year 75%
3 years
23.36
Total return -21% · Per year -8%
45.83
Total return 54% · Per year 16%
74.85
Total return 152% · Per year 36%
5 years
27.70
Total return -7% · Per year -1%
60.61
Total return 104% · Per year 15%
107.78
Total return 263% · Per year 29%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 11.46
  • Net margin± 8.02
  • Annual revenue growth± 5.98
  • Annual dilution± 0.67

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 29 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (02 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (02 Nov 2026).

In brief

Waystar provides cloud-based, AI-powered software that helps healthcare providers collect payments accurately and faster across the full patient journey. Revenue grew 18% year-over-year in the second quarter of 2026, and the company raised its fiscal 2026 guidance, making its platform a relevant case in the US healthcare revenue cycle technology market. Fiscal 2025 revenue reached 1,099.3 million USD 1, and current guidance points to a range of 1.276 to 1.294 billion USD 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A unified cloud platform, an extensive transaction database and a high client retention rate 1.
  • Deep integrations with many healthcare systems make replacing the vendor harder for clients 1.
  • Largely recurring revenue and a diversified client base, where the ten largest clients represent a small share of the total 1.

Weaknesses

  • Larger competitors have greater financial resources and brand recognition, which could limit the company's growth 1.
  • Dependence on integrations with EHR and PM vendors means changes on their side can affect operations 1.
  • Recent acquisitions such as Iodine bring integration risks and can affect comparability of results from one quarter to another 1.

Opportunities

  • Expansion into patient payment and revenue cycle analytics could bring additional growth 1.
  • The still-small share in the hospital segment suggests room to sell additional products to existing clients 1.
  • Broader use of artificial intelligence could enable new products and deeper automation 1.

Threats

  • Pricing competition could reduce margins if companies have to lower their fees 1.
  • Clients may decline to renew contracts or renegotiate them on less favorable terms 1.
  • Regulatory changes in the US healthcare system could affect the revenue model and integrations 1.

Risks

  • Intense competitionhigh

    Larger or better-funded competitors could gain market share, and the entry of large technology companies could accelerate this trend 1.

  • Client retentionhigh

    If clients decline to renew or renegotiate at lower rates, revenue growth could slow 1.

  • Acquisition integrationmedium

    Difficulties integrating acquired businesses could affect announced synergies and financial results 1.

  • Partner dependencemedium

    Changes in terms from EHR and PM vendors or channel partners could affect product distribution 1.

  • Healthcare transaction volumeslow

    Revenue depends on the growth of clients and on healthcare transaction volumes, factors outside the company's control 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Revenue growth and the raised 2026 guidance suggest that demand for the platform remains solid 3.
  • High net revenue retention and a large client base suggest the products are hard to replace 13.
  • The estimated addressable market and the still-small market share leave room for growth in coming years, if the AI strategy holds up 1.

What would break the thesis

  • Competition from large technology companies and EHR vendors could limit growth and margins 1.
  • Integrating the Iodine acquisition and keeping results comparable could remain difficult in the coming period 1.
  • If provider budgets tighten, new contracts could slow and renewals could come on less favorable terms 1.

What to watch

  • Trend in the net revenue retention rateQ3 2026
  • Integration and contribution of the Iodine acquisition2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 29 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 8-K (02 Nov 2026 · results), 10-Q (02 Nov 2026).

The business

Waystar Holding Corp. (Nasdaq: WAY) provides healthcare organizations with mission-critical AI-powered software that simplifies healthcare payments for providers, from physician practices to large hospital systems 1. The platform covers the full payment workflow, from eligibility checks and prior authorization to denied-claim appeals and patient payment collection 1. The company says its services help reduce billing errors and speed up collections, and its clients use the platform daily 1.

Market context

The company estimates that its US addressable market was 20 billion USD in 2025 and could reach almost 25 billion USD by 2030, based on a 5% compound annual growth rate 1. Administrative costs in healthcare are considerable, and digitization of the revenue cycle could support demand for such solutions 1.

Trends

  • AI adoption in the revenue cycletailwind

    Growing use of artificial intelligence to automate claims and documentation could strengthen the company's position if providers keep replacing manual processes with software 1.

  • Administrative cost pressuremixed

    Labor costs in hospitals and billing errors create demand for automation, but tight provider budgets could slow new purchases 1.

  • Consolidation in healthcaremixed

    Mergers among providers and health systems can extend existing contracts, but they can also reduce the number of independent clients or change renewal terms 1.

  • Shift from legacy to cloud systemstailwind

    Providers moving from on-premises systems to cloud platforms could bring new clients, provided integrations remain simple and fast 1.

Competitive position

The company's differentiation rests on its unified cloud platform, its payer network and the data accumulated from transactions, which would be hard for new entrants to replicate 1. However, the entry of large technology companies into the revenue cycle market could shift the competitive balance 1.

  • EHR and PM system vendors

    Companies that already integrate Waystar solutions but could also offer competing claims and payment management features 1.

  • Niche revenue cycle firms

    Smaller companies specializing in particular stages of the payment process that can compete on lower costs 1.

  • Large technology companies

    Well-funded firms increasingly entering the healthcare revenue cycle technology market 1.

  • Outsourcing service providers

    Administrative process providers that can offer software-combined services, competing with automated solutions 1.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 15 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 02 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Waystar Holding Corp. · 17 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Waystar Holding Corp. · 29 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Waystar Holding Corp. · 29 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

Waystar Holding Corp. (WAY): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw