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olivLaw · US equity research

Roku, Inc. ROKU

Cable & Other Pay Television Services · SIC 4841 · Vertical: Cable & Other Pay Television Services (SIC 4841)

162.77USD+1.50% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Roku, Inc. is the leading TV streaming platform in the United States, Canada and Mexico by hours streamed, with 145.6 billion streaming hours in fiscal 2025. In the second quarter of 2026 Platform revenue grew 25% year over year to 1,221 million USD, and trailing twelve-month Free Cash Flow reached 704.1 million USD.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Roku, Inc. (ROKU) stock was 162.77 USD (+1.50% on the day), with market capitalisation 24.1 bn USD, P/E 48.2 on diluted EPS of 3.38 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.82, 52-week range 82.93–162.77 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 1.5 bn USD (+24.1% YoY), net income of 183.3 m USD (+638.9% YoY), diluted EPS 1.20 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
24.1 bn USD
shares as of 31 Dec 2025
P/E (TTM)
48.2
Diluted EPS TTM 3.38 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.08%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.82
Volatility (1y) 39%
52-week range
82.93162.77

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
69.1
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
150.69 – 161.59
above the upper band · %B 1.11 · band width 7.0%
SMA 50 / 200
155.21 / 128.56
uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
1.39 / 0.93
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+6.1%−1.1%+7.2 pp—
3 months+10.8%−0.5%+11.2 pp—
6 months+27.2%+4.4%+22.8 pp—
Year to date+50.0%+12.3%+37.7 pp—
1 year+53.4%+13.5%+39.9 pp−16.0%
3 years+92.1%+76.4%+15.6 pp−32.1%
5 years−41.6%+63.7%−105.3 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−27.7%
05 Jan 2026 → 12 Feb 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−86.1%
09 Nov 2021 → 28 Dec 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
−10.2%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
1.5 bn USD
+24.1% YoY
Net income
183.3 m USD
+638.9% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.20
+650.0% YoY
net / operating
12.2% / 10.9%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue1.2 bn1.0 bn1.1 bn1.2 bn1.4 bn1.2 bn1.4 bn1.5 bn
Cost of revenue688.5 m575.6 m613.4 m685.7 m788.1 m683.9 m681.0 m853.5 m
Gross profit512.6 m445.0 m497.7 m524.9 m606.8 m564.9 m673.7 m648.5 m
Research & development185.4 m184.6 m178.0 m182.2 m184.6 m189.5 m179.7 m186.9 m
Operating income-39.1 m-57.7 m-23.3 m9.5 m66.0 m51.8 m146.2 m164.1 m
Depreciation & amortisation11.6 m11.7 m11.4 m11.5 m11.0 m13.9 m10.4 m10.7 m
Interest expense411.0 k433.0 k460.0 k455.0 k558.0 k624.0 k475.0 k593.0 k
Pre-tax income-25.9 m-40.5 m4.7 m38.0 m91.7 m88.6 m169.4 m187.4 m
Income tax9.7 m-13.1 m-5.8 m13.2 m11.2 m2.9 m5.2 m4.0 m
Net income-35.5 m-27.4 m10.5 m24.8 m80.5 m85.7 m164.2 m183.3 m
Diluted EPS-0.24 ≈-0.190.070.160.53 ≈0.571.081.20
Operating cash flow79.3 m138.7 m109.7 m ≈127.6 m ≈107.7 m199.1 m284.6 m ≈219.4 m ≈
Capex2.5 m1.9 m1.1 m ≈1.1 m ≈1.1 m3.1 m3.8 m ≈1.4 m ≈
Share repurchases000 ≈50.0 m ≈100.0 m100.0 m62.7 m ≈0 ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 11 percentile of its own 9-quarter history (min 45.1, median 133.7, max 423.1; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue742.5 m1.1 bn1.8 bn2.8 bn3.1 bn3.5 bn4.1 bn4.7 bn
Revenue YoY+44.8%+52.0%+57.5%+55.5%+13.1%+11.5%+18.0%+15.2%
Net income-8.9 m-59.9 m-17.5 m242.4 m-498.0 m-709.6 m-129.4 m88.4 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−305.5%unavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPSunavailable-0.52-0.141.71-3.62-5.01-0.890.59
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable−311.7%unavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-1.2%-5.3%-1.0%8.8%-15.9%-20.4%-3.1%1.9%
Free cash flow-4.4 m-63.5 m65.8 m188.0 m-149.9 m173.2 m213.0 m478.4 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
1.6 bn USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
2.7 bn USD
Total assets
4.4 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
2.75x
ROE
3.4%
ROA
2.0%
FCF margin
10.1%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
3.5 bn
2024
4.1 bn
2025
4.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
2.0 bn
2024
2.3 bn
2025
2.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
1.5 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
2.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
878.5 m
2024
720.1 m
2025
729.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
-792.4 m
2024
-218.2 m
2025
-5.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
53.3 m
2024
48.5 m
2025
45.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
-739.1 m ≈
2024
-169.7 m ≈
2025
40.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
730.0 k
2024
411.0 k
2025
1.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-699.4 m
2024
-120.0 m
2025
93.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
10.1 m
2024
9.4 m
2025
5.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-709.6 m
2024
-129.4 m
2025
88.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-5.01
2024
-0.89
2025
0.59

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
141.6 m
2024
144.6 m
2025
150.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
2.0 bn
2024
2.2 bn
2025
1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
816.3 m
2024
812.5 m
2025
879.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
92.1 m
2024
158.3 m
2025
114.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
3.1 bn
2024
3.2 bn
2025
3.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
264.6 m
2024
213.7 m
2025
173.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
161.5 m
2024
161.5 m
2025
309.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
41.8 m
2024
27.5 m
2025
50.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
4.3 bn
2024
4.3 bn
2025
4.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
385.3 m
2024
274.0 m
2025
158.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
0
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Feb 2024verified

Long-term debt
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Feb 2023verified

Current liabilities
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.2 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.9 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
2.3 bn †
2024
2.5 bn †
2025
2.7 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
255.9 m
2024
218.0 m
2025
483.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
82.6 m
2024
5.1 m
2025
5.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
173.2 m ≈
2024
213.0 m ≈
2025
478.4 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-92.6 m
2024
-25.1 m
2025
-782.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-61.2 m
2024
-89.2 m
2025
-280.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
0
2024
0
2025
150.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 13 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
15.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
14.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
21.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
124.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
45.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBITDA margin
8.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
7.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
9.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
14.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
18.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
11.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
12.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
190.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
2.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
1.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
810.9 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
9.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
801.5 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
156.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
171.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
54 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
19 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days payables outstanding
31 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion cycle
42 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
24.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
46.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
48.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
2.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
7.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
4.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
30.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
3.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
1.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 56.2% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

162.77 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 24.1 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
24.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
48.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
7.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
18.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
9.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
15.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 02 Nov 2026
verified 1501derived 116

Score by group

56% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
14.82
USD per share
Mid
36.08
USD per share
High
58.91
USD per share
Price: 162.77 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -77.8% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -351.1% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 14.82 – 58.91 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E14.82 – 58.91 (Mid 36.08)
    4 companies used · median multiple 10.7x · quartiles 4.4x – 17.4x
    ADEA, CCZ, CHTR, PAAI
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Cable & Other Pay Television Services (SIC 4841)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 56.2% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality9.3%83 (vs peers)11%
FCF conversion · Quality156.0%100 (on a fixed band)11%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth14.9%100 (on a fixed band)15%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet190.2x100 (on a fixed band)11%
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.7x100 (on a fixed band)7%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation48.2x0 (on a fixed band)19%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation3.3%42 (on a fixed band)15%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns1.1%16 (on a fixed band)11%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet100/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partial100/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Quality92/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial16/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation19/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Roku, Inc. (ROKU). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 4.7 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 15.2%; net margin 9.3%; ROE 18.2%.

The estimated value range is 14.82–58.91 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 36.08 USD, the price of 162.77 USD leaves a potential of -77.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -351.1% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 56.2% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 9.3%
  • FCF conversion: 156.0%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 14.9%
  • Interest coverage: 190.2x
  • Current ratio: 2.7x

What contradicts it

  • P/E (TTM): 48.2x
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 1.1%
  • The price is above the estimated value range

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, EV/EBITDA, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Cable & Other Pay Television Services (SIC 4841) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 12 companies

The size band was not applied: too few companies would have remained; the vertical includes much smaller or larger companies.

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
48.2x
vertical median 10.7x
above median (+351.1%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 17.1x
P/S
4.4x
vertical median 0.5x
above median (+746.0%)
P/B
7.9x
vertical median 2.1x
above median (+269.8%)
ROE
18.2%
vertical median -5.6%
above median
Net margin
9.3%
vertical median -2.4%
above median
EBIT margin
7.8%
vertical median 8.2%
below median (−5.6%)
Revenue YoY
15.2%
vertical median -0.1%
above median
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 5.3x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 1.9%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
WBDWarner Bros. Discovery, Inc.77.7 bn—-9.2%-8.8%−5.1%unavailable / unavailable
CHTRCharter Communications, Inc.32.6 bn3.129.7%9.1%−0.6%−40% / −70%
ROKURoku, Inc.24.1 bn48.218.2%9.3%+15.2%+53% / +92%
ADEAAdeia Inc.1.9 bn16.625.9%25.0%+17.9%+37% / +84%
OPTUOptimum Communications, Inc.188.1 m——-58.1%−4.1%−64% / −70%
PAAIThe Arena Group Holdings, Inc.43.8 m4.8—9.3%+698.2%−78% / −60%
CABOCable One, Inc.29.8 m—-126.2%-72.8%−4.9%−96% / −99%
AMCXAMC Global Media Inc.——-2.1%-0.9%−4.5%−5% / −44%
LILALiberty Latin America Ltd.——-32.1%-3.9%−0.1%+47% / +88%
LBTYALiberty Global Ltd.——-22.3%-44.4%+12.4%−16% / +16%
GLIBALiberty Capital Corp——-21.0%-32.5%+3.0%−31% / unavailable
RCIRogers Communications Inc.——49.0%31.8%+5.4%−12% / −20%
CCZComcast Corporation—20.111.9%9.2%−0.0%+1% / +17%

1- and 3-year price returns: for ROKU from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
109.25
Total return -33% · Per year -33%
192.28
Total return 18% · Per year 18%
288.43
Total return 77% · Per year 77%
3 years
129.25
Total return -21% · Per year -7%
253.65
Total return 56% · Per year 16%
414.34
Total return 155% · Per year 37%
5 years
152.91
Total return -6% · Per year -1%
334.61
Total return 106% · Per year 16%
595.22
Total return 266% · Per year 30%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 63.41
  • Net margin± 44.39
  • Annual revenue growth± 33.15
  • Annual dilution± 3.73

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 06 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (02 Nov 2026), 8-K (02 Nov 2026 · results).

In brief

Roku, Inc. is the leading TV streaming platform in the United States, Canada and Mexico by hours streamed, with 145.6 billion streaming hours in fiscal 2025 1. In the second quarter of 2026 Platform revenue grew 25% year over year to 1,221 million USD 23, and trailing twelve-month Free Cash Flow reached 704.1 million USD 3.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Roku holds a leading position in TV streaming in North America and a large base of connected households, which gives it scale for advertising and subscriptions 1.
  • The platform holds first-party data on viewer behavior, useful for advertising and personalized recommendations 1.
  • Recent growth in free cash flow and adjusted profitability shows that the business model can generate steady earnings 3.

Weaknesses

  • Roku's device gross margins are volatile, and the Devices segment posted losses in some quarters 3.
  • The company has a history of operating losses, and recent profitability is not yet proven over the long term 1.
  • Reliance on third-party manufacturers and sole-source components could expose the company to supply disruptions 1.

Opportunities

  • International expansion, the new Home Screen and deeper programmatic integrations could open new advertising revenue sources 13.
  • Subscription services and sports streaming could raise recurring revenue and user retention 3.
  • Growth in Roku-made TV share could strengthen the company's position in the higher-performance TV segment 3.

Threats

  • Competitors with greater financial resources could subsidize devices or licenses and pressure Roku's pricing 1.
  • If advertisers move budgets to traditional media or other digital platforms, advertising revenue could be affected 1.
  • Tariffs, trade uncertainty and component supply constraints could raise costs and slow growth 2.

Risks

  • Intense competitionhigh

    The TV streaming market is highly competitive, and large rivals could aggressively promote their own products, which could reduce sales volume and margins.

  • Dependence on advertisinghigh

    If Roku fails to grow advertising revenue or maintain quality video inventory, platform growth could slow.

  • Dependence on content partnersmedium

    Loss or non-renewal of content partner agreements could reduce the platform's appeal to viewers and advertisers.

  • Supply chain and costsmedium

    Higher component costs and tariffs could affect the margins of the Devices segment and the ability to keep prices competitive.

  • Proposed transaction with Foxmedium

    The merger agreement with Fox, entered in June 2026, carries integration uncertainty and transaction costs that could affect results and plans.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Rapid growth in platform revenue and advertising margin could suggest the monetization model is maturing, especially if subscription and programmatic expansion continues.
  • Rising free cash flow supports the company's ability to invest in products and the Home Screen without heavy reliance on external funding.
  • A leading streaming position and a large household base could make Roku an important channel for advertisers and content providers.

What would break the thesis

  • Device margins remain unstable, and effects from tariff refunds could mask the underlying weakness of the segment.
  • Competition from giants with far greater resources could limit growth and could force lower prices.
  • Integrating a large transaction and the uncertainty around it could distract management and generate unforeseen costs.

What to watch

  • Advertising revenue trend during the political ad seasonQ3 2026
  • Status of the Fox transaction and regulatory approvals2026
  • Gross margin of the Devices segment after the tariff refund effectsQ3 2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 06 Aug 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (02 Nov 2026), 8-K (02 Nov 2026 · results).

The business

Roku builds its business on the Roku TV OS, used by its own devices and by licensed partner TVs, which allows low-cost hardware sold at competitive prices 1. The company also operates owned services such as The Roku Channel, Howdy and Frndly TV, and Platform revenue comes from digital advertising and streaming services distribution 1. From 2026 it reports three segments: Advertising, Subscriptions and Devices 2.

Roku's strategy follows three phases of growing scale, engagement and monetization, supported by the Roku Experience and its Home Screen, which reaches users before they choose what to watch 1. Internationally the company focuses on building scale first, then engagement and monetization 1.

Market context

According to the company, its video advertising outpaced both the U.S. OTT and digital ad markets in the second quarter of 2026 3, which suggests strong demand, although the political ad cycle and intense industry competition could test this lead.

Trends

  • Audience shift to streamingtailwind

    More viewers are moving from traditional TV to streaming, which lifts viewing time on Roku platforms, though large rivals could capture the same audience.

  • Growth in platform subscriptionsmixed

    Premium Subscriptions and owned services bring recurring revenue, and more sports moving to streaming could support this growth, but lower subscription margins could weigh on profitability.

  • Programmatic and political advertisingtailwind

    Integrations with DSPs and SSPs widen ad demand, and political campaigns in 2026 could strengthen revenue in the second half of the year.

  • Cost and supply chain pressureheadwind

    Tariffs, constraints on components such as memory chips and trade uncertainty could raise device costs and pressure the margin of the Devices segment.

Competitive position

Roku faces competition from large companies such as Amazon, Apple and Google, which offer streaming devices or TV operating systems, and from Walmart, which acquired Vizio 1. Service operators such as Comcast and Charter Communications also compete by offering streaming apps and devices 1.

In advertising, Roku competes with streaming platforms, social media and traditional media, and several rivals have greater financial resources 1. If ad-supported tiers of major services sell more inventory on Roku's platform, pressure on advertising revenue could increase 1.

  • AmazonAMZN

    Licenses its operating system for smart TVs and sells Amazon-branded smart TVs, a direct rival in devices and streaming.

  • Alphabet (Google)GOOGL

    Licenses its Android operating system for smart TVs and set-top boxes, competing with the Roku TV OS.

  • WalmartWMT

    Makes streaming products under the Onn brand and acquired Vizio, integrating its operating system into its products.

  • ComcastCMCSA

    Cable operator that offers streaming apps and devices within its service plans, leveraging its existing user base.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Roku, Inc. · 13 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Roku, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Roku, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.