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olivLaw · US equity research

Stifel Financial Corp. SF

Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies · SIC 6211 · Vertical: Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies (SIC 6211)

72.94USD+6.26% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Stifel Financial Corp. is a financial holding company based in St. Louis, active in wealth management, investment banking and commercial banking, with net revenues of $5.53 billion in 2025. In the third quarter of 2026 it reported net revenues of $1.43 billion, with asset management and net interest income supporting results, which makes its profile relevant to investors following the financial services sector.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Stifel Financial Corp. (SF) stock was 72.94 USD (+6.26% on the day), with market capitalisation 5.1 bn USD, P/E 10.3 on diluted EPS of 7.05 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 2.19%, beta 1.34, 52-week range 66.06–88.81 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 1.6 bn USD (+9.9% YoY), net income of 226.5 m USD (+46.1% YoY), diluted EPS 1.34 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
5.1 bn USD
shares as of 01 Aug 2019
P/E (TTM)
10.3
Diluted EPS TTM 7.05 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
9.67%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
2.19%
DPS 12m 1.60
Beta (2y)
1.34
Volatility (1y) 27%
52-week range
66.0688.81

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
61.7
strong (55–70)
Bollinger (20, 2)
64.80 – 71.59
above the upper band · %B 1.20 · band width 10.0%
SMA 50 / 200
72.70 / 75.95
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.81 / -1.59
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+3.3%−2.0%+5.3 pp—
3 months−13.5%−2.2%−11.3 pp—
6 months−7.1%+4.3%−11.3 pp—
Year to date−12.6%+10.6%−23.2 pp—
1 year−8.4%+10.5%−18.9 pp−16.4%
3 years+79.4%+73.7%+5.7 pp+54.2%
5 years+45.5%+61.7%−16.3 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−25.6%
06 Jan 2026 → 19 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−37.1%
08 Feb 2022 → 20 Oct 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+7.8%
S&P 500 +10.1%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
1.6 bn USD
+9.9% YoY
Net income
226.5 m USD
+46.1% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.34
+50.6% YoY
net / operating
13.8% / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue1.5 bn1.6 bn1.5 bn1.5 bn1.6 bn1.8 bn1.7 bn1.6 bn
Depreciation & amortisation15.1 m ≈14.9 m15.0 m15.3 m ≈15.5 m ≈15.3 m15.3 m15.7 m ≈
Interest expense251.2 m228.2 m213.6 m206.8 m205.2 m192.3 m187.5 m188.0 m
Pre-tax income216.7 m266.2 m63.4 m213.8 m286.0 m307.9 m326.1 m299.4 m
Income tax58.2 m22.2 m10.4 m58.8 m74.7 m43.5 m74.7 m73.0 m
Net income158.5 m244.0 m53.0 m155.1 m211.4 m264.4 m251.4 m226.5 m
Diluted EPS1.342.17 ≈0.260.891.842.39 ≈1.481.34
Operating cash flow199.4 m ≈423.8 m-211.2 m607.5 m ≈338.3 m ≈382.4 m-342.6 m76.1 m ≈
Capex12.8 m ≈17.4 m16.6 m14.8 m ≈17.2 m ≈13.5 m47.8 m14.8 m ≈
Share repurchases20.2 m ≈45.6 m93.2 m83.0 m ≈31.2 m ≈37.5 m96.4 m172.1 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 62 percentile of its own 39-quarter history (min 3.9, median 8.2, max 22.0; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue3.2 bn3.5 bn3.8 bn4.8 bn4.6 bn5.2 bn6.0 bn6.3 bn
Revenue YoY+6.6%+10.0%+8.6%+25.3%−4.0%+12.3%+15.4%+6.7%
Net income394.0 m448.4 m503.5 m824.9 m662.2 m522.5 m731.4 m683.8 m
Net income YoY+115.4%+13.8%+12.3%+63.8%−19.7%−21.1%+40.0%−6.5%
Diluted EPS3.153.664.166.665.324.286.255.87
Diluted EPS YoY+47.2%+16.2%+13.7%+60.1%−20.1%−19.5%+46.0%−6.1%
net %12.3%12.8%13.2%17.2%14.4%10.1%12.3%10.8%
Free cash flow421.3 m469.0 m1.6 bn683.9 m1.1 bn447.4 m416.6 m1.1 bn

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
2.3 bn USD
Financial debt
617.4 m USD
Net debt
-1.6 bn USD
Equity
6.0 bn USD
Total assets
41.3 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.10x
Current ratio
unavailable
ROE
11.7%
ROA
1.7%
FCF margin
16.6%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
5.2 bn
2024
6.0 bn
2025
6.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
706.7 m
2024
928.4 m
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2025verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
60.5 m
2024
62.4 m
2025
61.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
767.2 m ≈
2024
990.8 m ≈
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2025derived

Interest expense
2023
810.3 m
2024
981.4 m
2025
817.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
706.7 m
2024
928.4 m
2025
871.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
184.2 m
2024
197.1 m
2025
187.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
522.5 m
2024
731.4 m
2025
683.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
4.28
2024
6.25
2025
5.87

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
113.5 m
2024
111.0 m
2025
110.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
1.44
2024
1.68
2025
1.84

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
3.4 bn
2024
2.6 bn
2025
2.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
191.5 m
2024
193.2 m
2025
197.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
1.4 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
133.3 m
2024
113.6 m
2025
108.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
37.7 bn
2024
39.9 bn
2025
41.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
1.1 bn
2024
616.6 m
2025
617.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
32.4 bn
2024
34.2 bn
2025
35.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
5.3 bn
2024
5.7 bn
2025
6.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
499.3 m
2024
490.4 m
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
52.0 m
2024
73.8 m
2025
62.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
447.4 m ≈
2024
416.6 m ≈
2025
1.1 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
1.0 bn
2024
-2.3 bn
2025
-1.6 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-254.6 m
2024
980.1 m
2025
91.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
443.9 m
2024
144.1 m
2025
245.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 24 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
6.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
11.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
10.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
-6.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
1.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
6.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-6.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
3.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
7.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
153.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
14.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
5.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
16.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
2.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
22.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
-1.6 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
unavailable
input data missing

Cash

Operating cash flow
454.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
93.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
361.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
37.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
5.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
3.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
5.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
10.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
9.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
0.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
14.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
7.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
2.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
6.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • score weight coverage: 54.2% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

72.94 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 5.1 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
5.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
10.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
16.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
14.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
6.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
2.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Coverage and freshness

25/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 01 Aug 2019
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 05 Aug 2026
verified 2200derived 135

Score by group

54% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
164.66
USD per share
Mid
201.63
USD per share
High
258.16
USD per share
Price: 72.94 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 176.4% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 63.8% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 81.18 – 378.63 USD.

Methods computed but outside the aggregate range: Dividend discount (DDM) (a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate).

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)248.14 – 378.63 (Mid 297.94)
    WACC 8.8% · starting FCFF 965.4 m USD · terminal value share of EV 75%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E81.18 – 137.69 (Mid 105.32)
    17 companies used · median multiple 14.9x · quartiles 11.5x – 19.5x
    BLK, COHN, ETOR, HOOD, IBKR, JEF, MIAX, MKTX, MS, OPY, PIPR, RJF, SCHW, SEIC, TIGR, VIRT, WT
  • Dividend discount (DDM)outside the aggregate24.18 – 32.52 (Mid 27.74)
    a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies (SIC 6211)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: score weight coverage: 54.2% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality14.3%58 (vs peers)12%
FCF conversion · Quality37.9%11 (on a fixed band)12%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth11.4%95 (on a fixed band)15%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth3.3%22 (on a fixed band)15%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
P/E (TTM) · Valuation10.3x84 (vs peers)19%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation7.1%89 (on a fixed band)15%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns6.6%95 (on a fixed band)12%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partialunavailable · 0/3 factors with a value
  • Growth59/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality34/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial95/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation86/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

STIFEL FINANCIAL CORP (SF). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 6.3 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 6.7%; net margin 14.3%; ROE 16.4%.

The estimated value range is 164.66–258.16 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 201.63 USD, the price of 72.94 USD leaves a potential of 176.4% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 63.8% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (score weight coverage: 54.2% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 11.4%
  • P/E (TTM): 10.3x
  • FCF yield: 7.1%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 6.6%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • FCF conversion: 37.9%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 3.3%
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, Current ratio, EV/EBITDA, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies (SIC 6211) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 29 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
10.3x
vertical median 16.1x
below median (−35.7%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 14.1x
P/S
0.8x
vertical median 2.1x
below median (−63.5%)
P/B
0.8x
vertical median 2.1x
below median (−60.5%)
ROE
16.4%
vertical median 18.5%
below median (−11.1%)
Net margin
14.3%
vertical median 13.4%
above median (+6.5%)
EBIT margin
—
vertical median 22.1%
Revenue YoY
6.7%
vertical median 19.6%
below median (−66.1%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.3x
Dividend yield
2.2%
vertical median 1.9%
above median (+16.4%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
MSMorgan Stanley292.3 bn14.918.0%—unavailable+10% / +135%
BLKBlackRock, Inc.179.9 bn28.012.3%24.1%+89.3%+11% / +55%
SCHWSchwab Charles Corp154.4 bn16.120.3%38.8%+22.0%−4% / +46%
RJFRaymond James Financial, Inc.31.1 bn14.118.5%13.6%+6.6%+3% / +54%
SEICSei Investments Company12.9 bn18.928.9%28.1%+8.1%+34% / +85%
FRHCFreedom Holding Corp.11.9 bn73.811.2%6.5%+9.3%+42% / +129%
JEFJefferies Financial Group Inc.10.5 bn11.58.6%7.5%+2.9%−11% / +44%
MKTXMarketaxess Holdings Inc5.8 bn19.523.3%35.2%+3.6%+1% / −31%
SFStifel Financial Corp5.1 bn10.316.4%14.3%+6.7%−8% / +79%
IBKRInteractive Brokers Group, Inc.5.0 bn17.191.3%179.4%+23.4%+20% / +300%
PIPRPiper Sandler Companies5.0 bn6.023.6%14.5%+24.3%−16% / +82%
MIAXMiami International Holdings, Inc.3.5 bn12.528.9%19.8%+19.6%−23% / unavailable
WTWisdomTree, Inc.3.0 bn38.218.7%13.3%+15.4%+81% / +208%
JSMNavient Corporation1.5 bn—-2.0%—−15.6%−21% / −19%
MTCMmtec, Inc.534.8 m—-272.7%-6,944.3%−56.8%+97% / −42%
SIEBSiebert Financial Corp.75.2 m—-1.3%-1.1%+12.3%−43% / −3%
DOMHDominari Holdings Inc.39.8 m—-315.4%-51.6%+487.0%−65% / −28%
LGHLLion Group Holding Ltd.34.3 m—-27.4%-52.8%unavailable−100% / −100%
COHNCohen & Co Inc.33.0 m1.933.3%5.6%+246.2%−33% / +66%
AXGSolowin Holdings, Ltd.26.5 m—-88.9%-47.4%+895.0%−53% / −38%
GLXYGalaxy Digital Inc.1.4 k—-16.7%-0.5%+41.8%−47% / unavailable
VIRTVirtu Financial, Inc.—8.733.6%13.5%+26.2%+48% / +195%
NMRNomura America Finance, LLC————+12.7%+29% / +138%
ETOReToro Group Ltd.—10.41.4%1.6%+9.5%−43% / unavailable
OPYOppenheimer Holdings Inc.—12.49.1%4.9%+14.4%+35% / +131%

1- and 3-year price returns: for SF from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
89.57
Total return 26% · Per year 26%
157.86
Total return 121% · Per year 121%
237.11
Total return 231% · Per year 231%
3 years
99.38
Total return 48% · Per year 14%
195.86
Total return 184% · Per year 42%
321.20
Total return 360% · Per year 66%
5 years
110.27
Total return 71% · Per year 11%
243.02
Total return 263% · Per year 29%
435.10
Total return 536% · Per year 45%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 48.97
  • Net margin± 34.28
  • Annual revenue growth± 26.39
  • Annual dilution± 2.88

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 21 Oct 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

In brief

Stifel Financial Corp. is a financial holding company based in St. Louis, active in wealth management, investment banking and commercial banking, with net revenues of $5.53 billion in 2025 1. In the third quarter of 2026 it reported net revenues of $1.43 billion 3, with asset management and net interest income supporting results, which makes its profile relevant to investors following the financial services sector.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Diversification across wealth management, investment banking and commercial banking gives a balanced revenue model 1.
  • Recurring revenue from asset management and interest income supports stability in quarterly results 13.
  • Sweep deposits provide a relatively low-cost funding source for banking operations 1.

Weaknesses

  • Compensation expense is a large share of costs, which makes profitability sensitive to revenue levels 1.
  • Fixed income transactional revenues declined in the third quarter of 2026, showing vulnerability in the institutional segment 3.
  • Reliance on financial advisors and their retention could become a weakness if recruiting slows 1.

Opportunities

  • Recruiting advisors with established client books and asset acquisitions could expand the client base 12.
  • Growth in investment banking activity in Europe after the Bryan, Garnier acquisition could open new mandates 1.
  • Growth in bank balances and loans could support interest income if financing conditions remain favorable 3.

Threats

  • Market volatility and weaker economic conditions could reduce trading and investment banking revenues 1.
  • Lower interest rates could reduce interest income and fees on cash balances 1.
  • A legal or arbitration decision with financial impact could affect results, as occurred in 2025 1.

Risks

  • Liquidity and fundingmedium

    Access to funding and capital markets could be affected by difficult market conditions, which could limit operations 1.

  • Credit ratinghigh

    A credit rating downgrade could raise borrowing costs and could prompt clients to withdraw deposits above FDIC insurance limits 1.

  • Interest rate riskmedium

    Changes in interest rates affect the value of available-for-sale securities and the net interest margin 1.

  • Credit riskmedium

    Deterioration in borrower or counterparty credit quality could lead to losses and additional provisions 1.

  • Litigation and regulationmedium

    Legal proceedings and regulatory sanctions could affect results and reputation, as seen in 2025 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Recurring asset management revenues could keep growing, supported by advisor recruiting and cash redeployment into markets 13.
  • Investment banking activity and recent acquisitions could add long-term revenue if capital markets remain active 12.
  • Disciplined capital management, including share repurchases, could support shareholder value 3.

What would break the thesis

  • Fixed income trading revenues declined, which could signal weakness in the institutional segment if the trend persists 3.
  • Lower interest rates could reduce interest income and cash sweep fees, weighing on net margins 1.
  • Personnel costs remain high and could limit margins if revenue growth slows 1.

What to watch

  • Trend in fixed income trading and investment banking revenues in the institutional segmentQ4 2026
  • Pace of financial advisor recruiting and growth in client assets under administration2027
  • Effect of Federal Reserve rate decisions on interest revenues and cash sweep balances2027
  • Risk and litigation disclosures in the next annual reportnext 10-K

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 21 Oct 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (04 Nov 2026).

The business

Stifel Financial Corp. is a Delaware holding company based in St. Louis whose principal subsidiary, Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Incorporated, is a full-service wealth management and investment banking firm 1. The company operates through the Global Wealth Management, Institutional Group and Other segments, serving private clients, institutional investors and investment banking clients across the United States, Europe and Canada 1. Growth has come from acquisitions integrated in 2024 and 2025, including Finance 500 and CB Resource, part of the wealth management business of B. Riley Financial and Bryan, Garnier & Co. 1.

Clients are individuals, corporations, municipalities and institutions, and no single client is a material percentage of any segment 1. Compensation and benefits are the largest expense component, which makes attracting and retaining financial advisors a central driver of performance 1.

Segments

Institutional Group

The segment includes research, equity and fixed income institutional sales and trading, investment banking and public finance 1. In the third quarter of 2026 net revenues were $430.3 million, lower than a year earlier, as fixed income transactional revenues declined 3.

Other

The Other segment covers stock borrow interest income, unallocated interest expense, investment gains and losses, and unallocated overhead costs such as compliance and processing 1.

Market context

The company's results are highly correlated with general economic conditions and the direction of U.S. equity and fixed income markets 12. For 2026, management indicated that wealth management revenues could grow as investors redeploy cash into markets, while institutional revenues could benefit from more active investment banking 1.

Federal Reserve policy affects interest-based revenues and fees from third-party banks, and further reductions in the federal funds rate could lower interest revenues, though this could be partly offset by higher cash sweep balances 1.

Trends

  • Redeployment of cash into marketstailwind

    Clients could reinvest cash balances into equity assets, which could support wealth management revenues and commissions if trading activity stays elevated 1.

  • Investment banking activitytailwind

    The company noted a strong investment banking pipeline entering 2026, which could support advisory and capital raising revenues 1.

  • Lower interest ratesheadwind

    Reductions in the federal funds rate could lower interest revenues and cash sweep fees, though balance growth could partly offset this 1.

  • Volatility and credit conditionsmixed

    Market volatility and credit conditions could affect both trading activity and provisions for credit losses, with mixed effects on profitability 13.

Competitive position

The company operates in a competitive financial services sector where investment banks and wealth management firms compete for advisors, clients and financing mandates 1. Management has stated that its strategy includes consolidation opportunities and recruiting advisors with established client relationships 2.

  • Raymond James FinancialRJF

    U.S. wealth management and investment banking firm cited as a peer in the financial services sector.

  • Piper Sandler CompaniesPIPR

    U.S. investment bank active in advisory and financing, in the same category of financial services firms.

  • Jefferies Financial GroupJEF

    Investment bank and trading firm active in capital markets and fixed income.

  • LazardLAZ

    Advisory firm focused on mergers and acquisitions, competing for investment banking mandates.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 23 Sept 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 04 Nov 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

  • Quarterly report04 Nov 2026
  • Current report21 Oct 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report24 Sept 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report27 Aug 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report05 Aug 2026
  • Current report22 Jul 2026
    Results of operations · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report25 Jun 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report09 Jun 2026
    Departure or appointment of officers · Amendments to articles or bylaws · Shareholder vote · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Current report28 May 2026
    Regulation FD disclosure · Financial statements and exhibits
  • Quarterly report04 May 2026

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Stifel Financial Corp. · 24 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Stifel Financial Corp. · 05 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Stifel Financial Corp. · 21 Oct 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.