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olivLaw · US equity research

SkyWest, Inc. SKYW

Air Transportation, Scheduled · SIC 4512 · Vertical: Air Transportation, Scheduled (SIC 4512)

82.41USD+6.06% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

SkyWest is the largest regional airline operator in the United States, flying under code-share agreements with United, Delta, American and Alaska, mostly through fixed-fee contracts. As major partners renew fleets and seek capacity, the company is expanding its E175 fleet, which could support long-term revenue growth if block hour production stays stable.

The AI analysis may be outdated: new filings came after its sources (see the «AI analysis» section).

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, SkyWest, Inc. (SKYW) stock was 82.41 USD (+6.06% on the day), with market capitalisation 3.1 bn USD, P/E 8.0 on diluted EPS of 10.33 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 0.17%, beta 1.38, 52-week range 77.70–115.94 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 1.1 bn USD (+6.4% YoY), net income of 119.5 m USD (+2.7% YoY), diluted EPS 3.08 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
3.1 bn USD
shares as of 23 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
8.0
Diluted EPS TTM 10.33 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
12.53%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.17%
DPS 12m 0.14
Beta (2y)
1.38
Volatility (1y) 41%
52-week range
77.70115.94

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
35.4
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
80.35 – 102.96
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.09 · band width 24.7%
SMA 50 / 200
95.34 / 95.72
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-3.66 / -2.25
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−14.2%−1.1%−13.1 pp—
3 months−28.9%−0.5%−28.5 pp—
6 months−6.2%+4.4%−10.6 pp—
Year to date−17.9%+12.3%−30.2 pp—
1 year−13.3%+13.5%−26.8 pp+4.8%
3 years+85.1%+76.4%+8.7 pp+57.5%
5 years+67.0%+63.7%+3.3 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−33.0%
05 Aug 2026 → 03 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−70.5%
08 Nov 2021 → 28 Dec 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
+10.8%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
1.1 bn USD
+6.4% YoY
Net income
119.5 m USD
+2.7% YoY
Diluted EPS
3.08
+9.6% YoY
net / operating
10.7% / 15.8%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue944.4 m948.5 m1.0 bn1.1 bn1.0 bn1.0 bn1.1 bn1.1 bn
Operating income144.1 m139.4 m170.1 m174.1 m134.2 m123.7 m155.8 m176.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation94.5 m89.4 m90.2 m92.5 m92.4 m90.2 m92.5 m76.3 m
Interest expense27.7 m27.1 m26.6 m25.6 m25.2 m24.5 m24.9 m24.6 m
Pre-tax income133.6 m120.7 m163.1 m157.2 m124.6 m107.8 m138.9 m159.5 m
Income tax36.2 m20.2 m42.8 m40.8 m33.4 m6.1 m38.2 m40.0 m
Net income97.4 m100.6 m120.3 m116.4 m91.2 m101.7 m100.7 m119.5 m
Diluted EPS2.34 ≈2.422.912.812.21 ≈2.502.543.08
Operating cash flow185.9 m171.0 m257.1 m ≈280.8 m ≈231.5 m144.5 m291.9 m ≈131.3 m ≈
Capex23.2 m8.5 m139.5 m55.4 m7.2 m14.0 m8.0 m ≈6.5 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 23 percentile of its own 22-quarter history (min 4.7, median 9.7, max 41.5; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue3.2 bn3.0 bn2.1 bn2.7 bn3.0 bn2.9 bn3.5 bn4.1 bn
Revenue YoY+3.2%−7.8%−28.4%+27.6%+10.7%−2.3%+20.2%+15.0%
Net income280.4 m340.1 m-8.5 m111.9 m73.0 m34.3 m323.0 m428.3 m
Net income YoY−34.6%+21.3%−102.5%unavailable−34.8%−52.9%+840.4%+32.6%
Diluted EPS5.306.62-0.172.201.440.777.7710.35
Diluted EPS YoY−34.4%+24.9%−102.6%unavailable−34.5%−46.5%+909.1%+33.2%
net %8.7%11.4%-0.4%4.1%2.4%1.2%9.2%10.6%
Free cash flow768.1 m640.4 m620.9 m813.7 m467.3 m723.1 m647.6 m908.3 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
122.7 m USD
Financial debt
2.4 bn USD
Net debt
2.3 bn USD
Equity
2.7 bn USD
Total assets
7.4 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.87x
Current ratio
0.65x
ROE
16.6%
ROA
5.9%
FCF margin
22.4%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
2.9 bn
2024
3.5 bn
2025
4.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Feb 2021verified

Gross profit
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Feb 2021derived

Operating income
2023
104.1 m
2024
494.7 m
2025
617.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
383.1 m
2024
383.9 m
2025
364.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
487.2 m ≈
2024
878.5 m ≈
2025
982.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
130.9 m
2024
114.3 m
2025
104.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
40.3 m
2024
432.1 m
2025
565.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
6.0 m
2024
109.2 m
2025
137.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
34.3 m
2024
323.0 m
2025
428.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
0.77
2024
7.77
2025
10.35

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
44.6 m
2024
41.5 m
2025
41.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Feb 2021verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
148.3 m
2024
227.4 m
2025
122.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
5.5 bn
2024
5.6 bn
2025
5.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
7.0 bn
2024
7.1 bn
2025
7.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
470.3 m
2024
527.4 m
2025
633.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
443.9 m
2024
535.6 m
2025
546.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
2.6 bn
2024
2.1 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.4 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
2.1 bn †
2024
2.4 bn †
2025
2.7 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
736.3 m
2024
692.5 m
2025
940.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
13.3 m
2024
44.9 m
2025
32.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
723.1 m ≈
2024
647.6 m ≈
2025
908.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-23.2 m
2024
-228.6 m
2025
-651.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-667.8 m
2024
-384.8 m
2025
-393.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 17 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Feb 2021verified

Share repurchases
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 22 Feb 2021verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
15.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
10.5%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
13.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
24.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
32.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
80.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
33.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
93.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
40.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
22.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
13.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
9.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
17.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
15.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
5.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
9.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
10.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
2.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
2.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
5.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
799.1 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
35.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
763.4 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
184.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
84.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
3.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
5.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
7.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
8.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
12.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
0.7x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
5.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
9.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
1.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
4.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
24.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Attractive profile

Score: 75 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score >= 65 · margin_of_safety >= 0.15 · agreement in ['high', 'medium']

Closing price

82.41 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 3.1 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
3.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
8.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
1.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
5.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
15.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
9.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
15.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
0.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

29/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 23 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 30 Oct 2026
verified 2118derived 145

Score by group

  • Balance sheet41
  • Growth94
  • Valuation92
  • Quality70

Estimated value range

Low
94.37
USD per share
Mid
159.13
USD per share
High
276.27
USD per share
Price: 82.41 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 93.1% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 48.2% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: medium · 4 methods used · 3 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 1.84 – 748.54 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)376.99 – 748.54 (Mid 505.02)
    WACC 7.3% · starting FCFF 840.6 m USD · terminal value share of EV 80%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA84.30 – 224.73 (Mid 134.12)
    8 companies used · median multiple 7.9x · quartiles 5.8x – 11.5x
    AAL, ALGT, ALK, CPA, DAL, LUV, RJET, UAL
  • Peers: P/E104.45 – 327.81 (Mid 184.14)
    7 companies used · median multiple 17.8x · quartiles 10.1x – 31.7x
    ALGT, CPA, DAL, LUV, RJET, RYAAY, UAL
  • Dividend discount (DDM)1.84 – 2.47 (Mid 2.11)
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Air Transportation, Scheduled (SIC 4512)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Attractive profile · Score 75/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality9.1%44 (vs peers)12%
Net margin · Quality9.7%83 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality184.8%100 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth10.5%88 (on a fixed band)9%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth93.0%100 (on a fixed band)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet2.4x40 (vs peers)12%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet5.9x68 (on a fixed band)7%
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.6x0 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation8.0x100 (vs peers)12%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation5.8x78 (vs peers)12%
FCF yield · Valuation24.4%100 (on a fixed band)9%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet41/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth94/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality70/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation92/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

SKYWEST INC (SKYW). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 4.1 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth 15.0%; net margin 9.7%; ROE 15.1%; net debt/EBITDA 2.4x.

The estimated value range is 94.37–276.27 USD per share (median of 4 methods, agreement: medium); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 159.13 USD, the price of 82.41 USD leaves a potential of 93.1% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 48.2% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 75/100, methodological classification: attractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Net margin: 9.7%
  • FCF conversion: 184.8%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 10.5%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 93.0%
  • P/E (TTM): 8.0x
  • EV/EBITDA: 5.8x
  • FCF yield: 24.4%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Current ratio: 0.6x

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Air Transportation, Scheduled (SIC 4512) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 14 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
8.0x
vertical median 20.4x
below median (−60.8%)
EV/EBITDA
5.8x
vertical median 8.5x
below median (−32.3%)
P/S
0.7x
vertical median 0.6x
above median (+13.8%)
P/B
1.1x
vertical median 2.1x
below median (−47.9%)
ROE
15.1%
vertical median 7.5%
above median (+100.6%)
Net margin
9.7%
vertical median 2.1%
above median (+358.1%)
EBIT margin
13.9%
vertical median 7.4%
above median (+88.1%)
Revenue YoY
15.0%
vertical median 3.7%
above median (+301.8%)
Net debt/EBITDA
2.4x
vertical median 1.2x
above median (+96.6%)
Dividend yield
0.2%
vertical median 0.8%
below median (−78.6%)

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
LTMLATAM Airlines Group S.A.27,436.0 bn19,289.5141.1%10.2%+11.2%−1% / unavailable
RYAAYRyanair Holdings plc61.6 bn40.6——+3.8%−13% / +25%
DALDelta Air Lines, Inc.58.7 bn17.815.9%4.6%+2.8%+39% / +142%
UALUnited Airlines Holdings, Inc.37.6 bn10.622.3%5.5%+3.5%+14% / +194%
LUVSouthwest Airlines Co22.7 bn22.913.9%3.3%+2.1%+33% / +82%
AALAmerican Airlines Group Inc.9.0 bn——-0.8%+0.8%−3% / +10%
CPACopa Holdings, S.A.6.0 bn9.026.1%18.6%+5.0%+20% / +57%
ALKAlaska Air Group, Inc.4.5 bn—-4.6%-1.2%+21.3%−7% / +6%
SKYWSkywest Inc3.1 bn8.015.1%9.7%+15.0%−13% / +85%
ALGTAllegiant Travel Co2.2 bn56.71.8%0.9%+3.7%+7% / +19%
ULCCFrontier Group Holdings, Inc.1.6 bn—-175.4%-8.9%−1.4%+55% / +81%
JBLUJetblue Airways Corp1.3 bn—-55.4%-10.0%−2.3%−22% / −19%
RJETRepublic Airways Holdings Inc.958.4 m9.67.5%4.6%+13.7%+2% / +90%
FJETStarfighters Space, Inc.46.8 m—-94.2%—unavailableunavailable / unavailable
AZULAzul SA———0.6%+10.8%unavailable / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for SKYW from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
54.33
Total return -34% · Per year -34%
95.78
Total return 16% · Per year 16%
143.92
Total return 75% · Per year 75%
3 years
59.32
Total return -28% · Per year -10%
117.03
Total return 42% · Per year 12%
192.10
Total return 133% · Per year 33%
5 years
64.76
Total return -21% · Per year -5%
142.98
Total return 74% · Per year 12%
256.43
Total return 211% · Per year 25%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 29.26
  • Net margin± 20.48
  • Annual revenue growth± 15.89
  • Annual dilution± 1.72

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 24 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (30 Oct 2026), 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

In brief

SkyWest is the largest regional airline operator in the United States, flying under code-share agreements with United, Delta, American and Alaska, mostly through fixed-fee contracts. As major partners renew fleets and seek capacity, the company is expanding its E175 fleet, which could support long-term revenue growth if block hour production stays stable 13.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The largest regional operator in the country, with long-term contracts and a broad base of partners 1.
  • Predictable revenue from fixed-fee agreements that partly shields the company from fare volatility 1.
  • A modernized fleet with new E175s financed and ordered for the coming period 23.

Weaknesses

  • High dependence on a few major partners, so their decisions directly affect the flying schedule 1.
  • Prorate agreements expose the company to fuel costs, and quarterly results can swing noticeably 3.
  • Significant debt tied to aircraft financing limits financial flexibility 3.

Opportunities

  • New contracts with American and Delta could add E175 aircraft and raise production 3.
  • If block hour production stays solid, the repurchase program could keep supporting shareholder value 3.
  • SkyWest Charter could be expanded as a commuter carrier if the company decides to pursue it 1.

Threats

  • Partners cutting flying due to cost or weak demand would directly reduce revenue 1.
  • Pilot shortages and personnel attrition could again limit flight schedules 1.
  • International conflicts and tariffs could raise fuel and parts costs and weigh on profitability 2.

Risks

  • Dependence on major partnershigh

    Most flying runs under agreements with a few companies, and a partner cutting schedules could significantly affect revenue.

  • Pilot shortagehigh

    If attrition returns, the company could be forced to reduce flight schedules, which could bring contractual penalties.

  • Cyber incidentsmedium

    The company no longer carries cybersecurity insurance, and an incident could affect operations and reputation.

  • Fuel prices on prorate routesmedium

    On prorate routes the company bears fuel costs, which could reduce profit if prices rise.

  • Supplier delayslow

    Delays in parts delivery or outsourced maintenance could slow the return of stored aircraft to service.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Long-term contracts and the E175 fleet renewal could support revenue and cash flow growth in the coming years 13.
  • Leadership in regional flying and the ability to finance new aircraft give an edge over smaller competitors 1.
  • The recently expanded repurchase program signals management's confidence in cash generation 3.

What would break the thesis

  • Dependence on a few partners could make revenue sensitive to decisions the company does not control 1.
  • Fuel costs on prorate routes could cut profit, as seen in the second quarter of 2026 3.
  • Aircraft financing debt could limit flexibility if demand weakens 3.

What to watch

  • Block hour production and quarterly revenue trendQ3 2026
  • E175 deliveries to United, Delta and American2026
  • Pilot attrition levels and effect on schedulesnext 10-K
  • Prorate fuel costs and quarterly marginQ3 2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

Possibly outdated: the newest document it read is from 24 Jul 2026; since then the company filed 10-Q (30 Oct 2026), 8-K (29 Oct 2026 · results).

The business

Through its operating subsidiary SkyWest Airlines, the company offers scheduled passenger service to destinations in the United States, Canada and Mexico, with nearly all flights operated under partner brands such as United Express or Delta Connection 1. Revenue comes mainly from capacity purchase agreements, in which the partner pays a fixed fee per flight and block hour, so passenger fare and fuel volatility are largely borne by the partner 1. The fleet includes Embraer E175 and Bombardier CRJ aircraft, and SkyWest Leasing finances new aircraft and leases them to third parties 1.

Segments

Capacity purchase agreements

These agreements make up most revenue, about 84.3% of flying agreements revenue in 2025, paid by major partners per flight, block hour and aircraft in service 1.

Prorate agreements and SkyWest Charter

Under prorate agreements the company receives a share of ticket fares and bears fuel costs, so results can vary more; prorate and charter revenue rose 33.5% in 2025, and in Q2 2026 higher prorate fuel costs weighed on profit 13.

SkyWest Leasing

This segment finances new aircraft, mainly E175s, and leases aircraft and engines to third parties, linking the fleet to leasing revenue 1.

Market context

The US regional airline market is dominated by SkyWest and a few subsidiaries of major airlines, and demand depends on partners' flight plans 1. By the end of June 2026 the company operated about 2510 daily departures with 642 aircraft in its fleet, showing the scale of its operation 2.

Quarterly revenue reached about 1.1 billion dollars in Q2 2026 and net income was 101 million dollars 3. These figures suggest demand remains solid, although margins can be hit by fuel costs.

Trends

  • E175 fleet renewaltailwind

    The company is replacing older aircraft with new E175s to lower maintenance costs and raise fleet utilization, which could improve long-term profitability 13.

  • Fuel costs on prorate routesheadwind

    Rising fuel prices hit prorate flying directly, since the company bears that cost, which weighed on profit in Q2 2026 3.

  • Pilot shortagemixed

    Captain availability limited flying in earlier years, but lower attrition in 2024 and 2025 allowed full schedules, with the risk that future attrition could constrain capacity again 1.

  • Dependence on a few partnersmixed

    Concentration on United, Delta, American and Alaska brings predictability through long-term contracts, but exposes the company to schedule cuts if a partner reduces flying for cost reasons 1.

Competitive position

The company competes mainly with other regional carriers such as CommuteAir, Endeavor Air, Envoy, PSA, Piedmont, Horizon, GoJet and Republic, and contract awards depend on schedule reliability, pilot availability and operating cost 1. Regional subsidiaries of major airlines may have access to greater resources through their parent companies 1.

Capacity agreements are awarded on operational performance, cost and the carrier's image, and scope limits can restrict which aircraft types partners may use 1. These rules make competition for contracts more about trust than price.

  • Endeavor Air

    Delta-owned carrier operating as Delta Connection, with resources of its parent company 1.

  • Envoy Air

    American-owned carrier competing for regional flying within the American network 1.

  • Horizon Air

    Alaska Air Group subsidiary competing directly on the Alaska network 1.

  • Republic Airways

    Independent regional carrier competing for the same major-partner contracts 1.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / SkyWest, Inc. · 17 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / SkyWest, Inc. · 24 Jul 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / SkyWest, Inc. · 23 Jul 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.