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olivLaw · US equity research

Summit Midstream Corporation SMC

Natural Gas Transmission · SIC 4922 · Vertical: Natural Gas Transmission (SIC 4922)

26.79USD−7.37% · 1 dayClose 05 Nov 2026

Summit Midstream Corporation (SMC) develops, owns and operates midstream infrastructure for natural gas and crude oil in unconventional U.S. basins, with revenue largely from fee-based contracts. In 2026 the company tightened its Adjusted EBITDA guidance upward as customer activity accelerated, and natural gas throughput averaged 904 MMcf/d in fiscal 2025.

At the close of 05 Nov 2026, Summit Midstream Corporation (SMC) stock was 26.79 USD (−7.37% on the day), with market capitalisation 285.3 m USD, P/E 8,705.4 on diluted EPS of 0.00 USD over the last 12 months, beta 0.85, 52-week range 21.20–34.96 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 155.0 m USD (+10.6% YoY), net income of 1.6 m USD, diluted EPS 0.11 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
285.3 m USD
shares as of 08 Nov 2024
P/E (TTM)
8,705.4
Diluted EPS TTM 0.00 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
0.01%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
0.85
Volatility (1y) 36%
52-week range
21.2034.96

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
26.5
oversold (≤ 30)
Bollinger (20, 2)
28.14 – 32.96
below the lower band · %B -0.28 · band width 15.8%
SMA 50 / 200
31.88 / 30.70
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-0.77 / -0.48
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−19.2%−5.9%−13.2 pp—
3 months−12.8%−4.6%−8.1 pp—
6 months−12.0%+0.2%−12.2 pp—
Year to date+0.4%+7.4%−7.0 pp—
1 year+20.6%+8.2%+12.4 pp+10.5%
3 years+32.0%+68.4%−36.4 pp+61.4%
5 years−10.6%+56.5%−67.2 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−23.4%
14 Aug 2026 → 05 Nov 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−63.8%
24 Nov 2021 → 01 Jul 2022
Compound annual growth (5y)
−2.2%
S&P 500 +9.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
155.0 m USD
+10.6% YoY
Net income
1.6 m USD
unavailable YoY
Diluted EPS
0.11
unavailable YoY
net / operating
1.0% / unavailable

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue102.4 m107.0 m132.7 m140.2 m146.9 m142.3 m139.1 m155.0 m
Cost of revenue28.2 m26.9 m35.4 m35.9 m38.1 m39.7 m39.4 m49.1 m
Depreciation & amortisation23.5 m25.3 m28.5 m30.1 m28.9 m26.7 m26.7 m26.9 m
Interest expense25.7 m20.4 m22.5 m23.9 m24.2 m24.1 m25.0 m27.4 m
Pre-tax income-55.0 m-20.2 m4.9 m-5.0 m5.5 m-7.9 m-4.2 m5.6 m
Income tax142.6 m4.5 m296.0 k-752.0 k537.0 k-582.0 k-1.0 m1.1 m
Net income-204.9 m-12.2 m-1.9 m-8.0 m-1.6 m5.6 m-5.3 m1.6 m
Diluted EPS-19.25-1.15 ≈-0.16-0.66-0.130.45 ≈-0.430.11
Operating cash flow9.2 m ≈21.6 m16.0 m37.2 m ≈26.7 m ≈53.7 m6.9 m43.9 m ≈
Capex10.9 m ≈15.8 m20.6 m26.4 m ≈22.9 m ≈19.1 m19.3 m25.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 50 percentile of its own 2-quarter history (min 5.5, median 4,630.0, max 9,254.5; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year202320242025
Revenue458.9 m429.6 m562.1 m
Revenue YoYunavailable−6.4%+30.8%
Net income-51.5 m-122.2 m-5.9 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable
Diluted EPS-6.11-12.78-1.61
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailable
net %-11.2%-28.4%-1.1%
Free cash flow58.0 m8.2 m44.6 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
9.3 m USD
Financial debt
1.0 bn USD
Net debt
1.0 bn USD
Equity
946.6 m USD
Total assets
2.4 bn USD
Debt / equity
1.10x
Current ratio
0.55x
ROE
-0.6%
ROA
-0.3%
FCF margin
7.9%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
458.9 m
2024
429.6 m
2025
562.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
112.5 m
2024
115.0 m
2025
149.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
346.4 m ≈
2024
314.6 m ≈
2025
413.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026derived

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
122.8 m
2024
100.6 m
2025
114.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Interest expense
2023
140.8 m
2024
115.4 m
2025
94.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-38.6 m
2024
33.5 m
2025
-2.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Income tax
2023
322.0 k
2024
146.7 m
2025
-501.0 k

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Net income
2023
-51.5 m
2024
-122.2 m
2025
-5.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-6.11
2024
-12.78
2025
-1.61

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
10.3 m
2024
10.6 m
2025
12.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
14.0 m
2024
22.8 m
2025
9.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Receivables
2023
76.3 m
2024
77.1 m
2025
69.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Current assets
2023
98.4 m
2024
118.3 m
2025
96.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
1.7 bn
2024
1.8 bn
2025
1.8 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
175.6 m
2024
154.3 m
2025
153.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Total assets
2023
2.5 bn
2024
2.4 bn
2025
2.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
22.7 m
2024
25.2 m
2025
31.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
15.5 m
2024
16.6 m
2025
21.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
1.5 bn
2024
977.0 m
2025
1.0 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
134.0 m
2024
174.8 m
2025
176.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
1.7 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Equity
2023
718.6 m
2024
965.1 m
2025
946.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
126.9 m
2024
61.8 m
2025
133.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Capex
2023
68.9 m
2024
53.6 m
2025
89.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
58.0 m ≈
2024
8.2 m ≈
2025
44.6 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-74.8 m
2024
487.1 m
2025
-163.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-49.0 m
2024
-540.3 m
2025
24.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 16 Mar 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
30.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
Revenue CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT growth (YoY)
unavailable
input data missing
Net income growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
Net income CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS growth (YoY)
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS CAGR 3Y
unavailable
input data missing
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
input data missing
FCF growth (YoY)
446.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
71.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBIT margin
unavailable
input data missing
Net margin
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
7.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
0.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
1.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
2.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
unavailable
input data missing
Cash ratio
0.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
131.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
86.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
44.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
15,514.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
unavailable
input data missing

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
54 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
57 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
285.3 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
1.5 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
987.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
8,705.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
0.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
2.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
6.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
15.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

Risk

Altman Z
unavailable
input data missing

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Insufficient data
What is missing
  • indicators available: 5 of at least 6
  • score weight coverage: 35.4% of at least 60%

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

26.79 USD

05 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 285.3 m USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
285.3 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
8,705.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
0.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
0.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
0.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
30.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

27/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 08 Nov 2024
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 10 Aug 2026
verified 362derived 33

Score by group

35% · Insufficient data

Estimated value range

Low
116.19
USD per share
Mid
190.66
USD per share
High
386.41
USD per share
Price: 26.79 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 611.7% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 85.9% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 0.04 – 772.75 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)232.35 – 772.75 (Mid 381.27)
    WACC 5.8% · starting FCFF 129.5 m USD · terminal value share of EV 86%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: no growth between −30% and +40% justifies the price
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: P/E0.04 – 0.07 (Mid 0.05)
    11 companies used · median multiple 16.1x · quartiles 13.2x – 23.1x
    AM, AROC, DTM, EPD, ET, KMI, KNTK, TRGP, USAC, WES, WMB
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Natural Gas Transmission (SIC 4922)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Insufficient data

Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 35.4% of at least 60%

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality0.0%6 (vs peers)18%
FCF conversion · Quality15,514.9%100 (on a fixed band)18%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growthunavailableunavailable—
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet0.9x12 (on a fixed band)12%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation8,705.4x0 (vs peers)29%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation15.7%100 (on a fixed band)24%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet· partial12/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
  • Growth· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Quality53/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation44/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

Summit Midstream Corporation (SMC). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 562.1 m USD in 2025; YoY growth 30.8%; net margin 0.0%; ROE 0.1%.

The estimated value range is 116.19–386.41 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 190.66 USD, the price of 26.79 USD leaves a potential of 611.7% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 85.9% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 5 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 35.4% of at least 60%).

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 15,514.9%
  • FCF yield: 15.7%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: 0.0%
  • Current ratio: 0.9x
  • P/E (TTM): 8,705.4x
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Revenue CAGR 3Y, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, EV/EBITDA, Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Natural Gas Transmission (SIC 4922) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 17 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
8,705.4x
vertical median 17.4x
above median (+50,034.9%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 11.3x
P/S
0.5x
vertical median 3.1x
below median (−84.3%)
P/B
0.5x
vertical median 2.9x
below median (−83.7%)
ROE
0.1%
vertical median 14.0%
below median (−99.6%)
Net margin
0.0%
vertical median 19.6%
below median (−99.7%)
EBIT margin
—
vertical median 28.9%
Revenue YoY
30.8%
vertical median 7.4%
above median (+314.8%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median 3.9x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 3.3%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
EPDEnterprise Products Partners L.P.79.0 bn12.0—10.2%−6.4%+12% / +37%
WMBWilliams Companies, Inc.78.6 bn25.624.0%25.2%+13.8%+5% / +75%
KMIKinder Morgan, Inc.67.3 bn18.711.6%19.6%+12.2%+11% / +72%
ETEnergy Transfer LP66.1 bn12.1—4.4%+3.5%+15% / +38%
TRGPTarga Resources Corp.58.3 bn24.075.0%13.5%+3.9%+55% / +201%
WESWestern Midstream Partners, LP16.5 bn12.8—28.2%+6.6%+1% / +34%
DTMDT Midstream, Inc.11.5 bn24.59.9%35.4%+26.7%−7% / +97%
AMAntero Midstream Corporation9.1 bn13.531.6%53.4%+7.4%+6% / +44%
AROCArchrock, Inc.4.7 bn13.722.6%22.9%+28.7%+8% / +84%
KGSKodiak Gas Services, Inc.3.9 bn45.84.6%5.8%+12.8%+11% / +121%
USACUSA Compression Partners, LP3.5 bn22.1—12.4%+5.0%−4% / +2%
KNTKKinetik Holdings Inc.3.3 bn16.1—10.7%+19.0%+42% / +35%
NGLNGL Energy Partners LP1.8 bn——-5.4%−9.0%+50% / +241%
SMCSummit Midstream Corporation285.3 m8,705.40.1%0.0%+30.8%+21% / +32%
TRPTc Energy Corporation——12.8%23.1%+10.7%+14% / +67%
NGGNational Grid PLC——8.6%15.8%−7.4%+13% / +30%
TGSGas Transporter Of The South Inc.——18.1%30.3%+23.7%−30% / +56%
TCPATranscanada Pipelines Ltd——14.0%23.1%+7.2%−15% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for SMC from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
154.39
Total return 476% · Per year 476%
271.70
Total return 914% · Per year 914%
407.55
Total return 1,421% · Per year 1,421%
3 years
183.13
Total return 584% · Per year 90%
359.32
Total return 1,241% · Per year 138%
586.87
Total return 2,091% · Per year 180%
5 years
217.22
Total return 711% · Per year 52%
475.20
Total return 1,674% · Per year 78%
845.09
Total return 3,054% · Per year 99%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 89.83
  • Net margin± 62.88
  • Annual revenue growth± 46.90
  • Annual dilution± 5.28

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Summit Midstream Corporation (SMC) develops, owns and operates midstream infrastructure for natural gas and crude oil in unconventional U.S. basins, with revenue largely from fee-based contracts. In 2026 the company tightened its Adjusted EBITDA guidance upward as customer activity accelerated, and natural gas throughput averaged 904 MMcf/d in fiscal 2025 123.

SWOT

Strengths

  • Fixed-fee contracts and minimum volume commitments give a relatively stable revenue base that is not directly exposed to commodity prices 1.
  • The Double E stake brings long-term transmission revenue, with firm contracts expanded during 2026 23.
  • Areas of mutual interest cover significant acreage, which supports future volumes in the core basins 1.

Weaknesses

  • A relatively small number of customers provides a large share of revenue, which magnifies the impact of nonpayment or production cuts 1.
  • High debt and preferred dividend payments limit cash available for investment and common dividends 12.
  • Many costs are fixed and do not fall in line with throughput, so revenue is sensitive to volume declines 1.

Opportunities

  • Faster customer activity in Williston and additional planned well connections could support volume growth in the second half of the year 3.
  • If the final investment decision on the Double E expansion is taken, pipeline capacity could rise considerably 2.
  • Consolidation in the DJ Basin, as with the Moonrise acquisition, could yield further operating synergies 1.

Threats

  • Falling gas or oil prices could slow customers' drilling and reduce transported volumes 1.
  • Regulation of hydrocarbon production and societal opposition could restrict development in the company's basins 1.
  • Geopolitical volatility, including Middle East tensions, could affect prices and the cost of capital 12.

Risks

  • Dependence on major customershigh

    A small number of customers generates a large share of revenue; nonpayment or production cuts by one of them could materially affect results 1.

  • Volume decline from low priceshigh

    If gas or oil prices fall, producers could reduce drilling, which would lower volumes on the company's systems 1.

  • Indebtedness and preferred dividendsmedium

    Debt obligations and preferred stock payments limit the ability to pay common dividends and may restrict financial flexibility 12.

  • Delay of the Double E expansionmedium

    The final investment decision and regulatory approvals could be delayed, postponing the capacity increase 2.

  • Hydrocarbon regulationmedium

    Restrictive legislation or regulation on fossil fuel production could reduce activity in the basins the company operates 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Drilling activity in Williston has accelerated, and the rise in Adjusted EBITDA in the second quarter of 2026 suggests volumes could keep growing if the trend holds 3.
  • Fixed-fee contracts and minimum volume commitments provide a more predictable revenue base, less directly exposed to commodity prices 1.
  • If the Double E expansion is approved, pipeline capacity could rise substantially, adding long-term revenue 2.

What would break the thesis

  • Concentration of revenue in a few customers could expose the company to large losses if one of them cuts activity 1.
  • High leverage and preferred payments could limit cash available for investment and dividends 12.
  • If commodity prices fall again, customer drilling could slow and volumes could drop below current plans 1.

What to watch

  • Final investment decision on the Double E expansion and conclusion of the open seasonlate summer 2026
  • Delivery of Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $235-255 million and capital expenditures of $100-120 million2026
  • Volume trends in Williston after the planned well connections in the fourth quarterQ4 2026
  • Expiry of minimum volume commitments in the Piceance segment and effect on shortfall paymentsend of Q3 2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

The company, a Delaware corporation listed on the NYSE as SMC, conducts its business through operating subsidiaries and focuses on gathering, compression, treating and processing natural gas and liquids from shale formations in the Williston, DJ, Barnett, Piceance, Permian and Arkoma basins 1. Its revenue model relies mainly on long-term fixed-fee contracts, and about 48% of revenue in 2025 came from activities directly exposed to commodity prices 1. Through its 70% stake in Double E, a FERC-regulated interstate pipeline with 1.6 Bcf/d of capacity, the company also has transmission exposure 1.

In 2025 the company completed the Moonrise Midstream acquisition for approximately $90.0 million, strengthening its DJ Basin position, and resumed its Series A preferred dividend, with $46.6 million of accrued unpaid dividends later paid in 2026 12. Commercial activity expanded through new long-term agreements in the Williston Basin and firm agreements on Double E 12.

Guidance for 2026 was narrowed to Adjusted EBITDA of $235-255 million, and capital expenditures were raised to $100-120 million to fund growth projects in the Rockies and Permian 3. These figures reflect faster drilling by customers in the Williston Basin and the planned expansion of Double E, but remain subject to market conditions and future investment decisions 23.

Segments

Mid-Con

The Mid-Con segment, active in the Barnett and Arkoma basins, reported Adjusted EBITDA of $21.4 million in the second quarter of 2026, supported by higher gas throughput 3. The segment is sensitive to natural gas prices, since customer drilling decisions depend on gas-linked well economics 1.

Permian

The Permian segment includes the 70% stake in Double E, where throughput reached 859 MMcf/d in the second quarter of 2026 3. The proposed compression expansion could raise the pipeline's capacity by about 50%, if the final investment decision is taken 2.

Market context

Natural gas prices rose in 2025, with the average spot price about 61% higher than in 2024, and the number of active gas drilling rigs in the U.S. increased 1. WTI crude fell 15% over the same year, which weighs on the Rockies and Permian segments 1. The company views long-term gas demand as favorable, but it remains sensitive to geopolitical developments and rules on hydrocarbon production 1.

Shale midstream is shaped by producers' decisions to invest in new basins and by the cost of capital, factors that can change volumes quickly 1. In the short term, tensions in the Middle East and disruption near the Strait of Hormuz increased oil price volatility, according to the quarterly report 2.

Trends

  • Faster drilling in Willistontailwind

    A rise in active rigs and new well connections in Williston could support Rockies volumes in the second half of the year 3.

  • Oil and gas price volatilitymixed

    Commodity prices affect customers' drilling decisions and therefore volumes, although part of revenue stays protected by fixed-fee contracts 1.

  • Double E expansiontailwind

    New firm commitments in the Permian could justify a larger pipeline, but this depends on the final investment decision and regulatory approvals 2.

  • Societal opposition to hydrocarbonsheadwind

    The company notes that legislation, executive orders or regulations could restrict fossil fuel production, which could reduce long-term volumes 1.

Competitive position

The company competes with other midstream companies, producers and intrastate and interstate pipelines, mainly on reputation, commercial terms, acreage dedications and available capacity 1. Competition for volumes could increase if new operators expand infrastructure in its areas of mutual interest.

Its competitive position rests on areas of mutual interest that cover much of its customers' acreage and on long-term contracts that limit pricing pressure 1. However, dependence on a small number of major customers exposes it to nonpayment or production cuts 1.

  • Other U.S. midstream companies

    Midstream peers compete for volumes in the same basins, especially on reputation, contract terms and available capacity 1.

  • Producers building their own infrastructure

    Producers can build gathering infrastructure within areas of mutual interest and sell it to the company, creating competition for acreage 1.

  • Intrastate and interstate pipelines

    Pipelines compete to move gas out of basins such as the Permian and Rockies, mainly on proximity to end-use markets 1.

  • ExxonMobil, Double E partnerXOM

    A joint venture partner owns 30% of Double E, making the competitive and cooperative relationship relevant in the Permian 1.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Summit Midstream Corporation · 16 Mar 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Summit Midstream Corporation · 10 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Summit Midstream Corporation · 10 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.