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olivLaw · US equity research

Weatherford International plc WFRD

Oil & Gas Field Machinery & Equipment · SIC 3533 · Vertical: Oil & Gas Field Machinery & Equipment (SIC 3533)

86.04USD−1.89% · 1 dayClose 04 Nov 2026

Weatherford International plc is a global energy services company that supplies equipment and services for drilling, evaluation, well construction, completion, production and responsible abandonment of oil and gas wells, as well as for new energy platforms. The company operates in about 75 countries, and its NCS Multistage acquisition and offshore award flow make it relevant to the oilfield services market in 2026-2027, amid volatile oil prices and the Middle East conflict.

At the close of 04 Nov 2026, Weatherford International plc (WFRD) stock was 86.04 USD (−1.89% on the day), with market capitalisation 6.2 bn USD, P/E 15.3 on diluted EPS of 5.61 USD over the last 12 months, dividend yield 1.25%, beta 1.54, 52-week range 69.97–111.42 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q3 2026): revenue of 1.1 bn USD (−7.2% YoY), net income of 120.0 m USD (+48.1% YoY), diluted EPS 1.66 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
6.2 bn USD
shares as of 15 Oct 2026
P/E (TTM)
15.3
Diluted EPS TTM 5.61 · TTM to 30 Sept 2026
E/P (TTM)
6.52%
TTM to 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.25%
DPS 12m 1.08
Beta (2y)
1.54
Volatility (1y) 41%
52-week range
69.97111.42

Price history

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Technical reading

RSI (14)
53.1
neutral
Bollinger (20, 2)
71.35 – 94.19
in the upper half of the band · %B 0.64 · band width 27.6%
SMA 50 / 200
85.04 / 93.13
mixed trend
MACD (12, 26, 9)
1.72 / 0.95
MACD above signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month+4.5%−1.1%+5.6 pp—
3 months−1.7%−0.5%−1.3 pp—
6 months−20.6%+4.4%−25.0 pp—
Year to date+9.9%+12.3%−2.4 pp—
1 year+17.1%+13.5%+3.5 pp+16.2%
3 years−13.4%+76.4%−89.8 pp+36.7%
5 years+165.4%+63.7%+101.7 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−32.7%
18 May 2026 → 15 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−70.8%
16 Jul 2024 → 08 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+21.6%
S&P 500 +10.4%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q3 2026 · 30 Sept 2026

Revenue
1.1 bn USD
−7.2% YoY
Net income
120.0 m USD
+48.1% YoY
Diluted EPS
1.66
+48.2% YoY
net / operating
10.5% / 13.4%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26Q3 '26
Revenue1.3 bn1.2 bn1.2 bn1.2 bn1.3 bn1.2 bn1.1 bn1.1 bn
Research & development28.0 m29.0 m30.0 m27.0 m22.0 m21.0 m20.0 m23.0 m
SG&A—161.0 m164.0 m169.0 m—168.0 m172.0 m182.0 m
Operating income198.0 m142.0 m237.0 m178.0 m199.0 m123.0 m107.0 m153.0 m
Depreciation & amortisation83.0 m62.0 m64.0 m67.0 m74.0 m70.0 m71.0 m70.0 m
Pre-tax income169.0 m96.0 m191.0 m139.0 m128.0 m105.0 m75.0 m129.0 m
Income tax45.0 m10.0 m46.0 m52.0 m-11.0 m-4.0 m33.0 m4.0 m
Net income112.0 m76.0 m136.0 m81.0 m138.0 m108.0 m39.0 m120.0 m
Diluted EPS1.50 ≈1.031.871.121.91 ≈1.490.551.66
Operating cash flow249.0 m142.0 m128.0 m ≈138.0 m ≈268.0 m136.0 m175.0 m ≈192.0 m ≈
Capex100.0 m77.0 m54.0 m ≈44.0 m ≈51.0 m54.0 m42.0 m ≈45.0 m ≈
Dividends paid18.0 m18.0 m18.0 m ≈18.0 m ≈18.0 m20.0 m20.0 m ≈19.0 m ≈
Share repurchases49.0 m53.0 m34.0 m ≈7.0 m ≈7.0 m10.0 m16.0 m ≈28.0 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 50 percentile of its own 16-quarter history (min 7.8, median 15.4, max 163.6; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue5.7 bn5.0 bn3.7 bn3.6 bn4.3 bn5.1 bn5.5 bn4.9 bn
Revenue YoY+0.8%−13.8%−25.6%−1.1%+18.8%+18.6%+7.4%−10.8%
Net income-2.8 bn3.7 bn-1.9 bn-450.0 m26.0 m417.0 m506.0 m431.0 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailable−152.5%unavailableunavailable+1,503.8%+21.3%−14.8%
Diluted EPSunavailableunavailable-27.44-6.430.365.666.755.93
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable+1,472.2%+19.3%−12.1%
net %-48.9%73.9%-52.1%-12.3%0.6%8.1%9.2%8.8%
Free cash flow-428.0 m-997.0 m56.0 m237.0 m217.0 m623.0 m493.0 m450.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
987.0 m USD
Financial debt
1.4 bn USD
Net debt
458.0 m USD
Equity
1.7 bn USD
Total assets
5.2 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.85x
Current ratio
2.19x
ROE
28.9%
ROA
8.3%
FCF margin
9.2%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
5.1 bn
2024
5.5 bn
2025
4.9 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
112.0 m
2024
123.0 m
2025
108.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
820.0 m
2024
938.0 m
2025
756.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
327.0 m
2024
343.0 m
2025
267.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
1.1 bn ≈
2024
1.3 bn ≈
2025
1.0 bn ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026derived

Pre-tax income
2023
506.0 m
2024
739.0 m
2025
554.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
57.0 m
2024
189.0 m
2025
97.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
417.0 m
2024
506.0 m
2025
431.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
5.66
2024
6.75
2025
5.93

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
73.6 m
2024
74.9 m
2025
72.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Dividend per share
2023
—
2024
0.50
2025
1.00

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
958.0 m
2024
916.0 m
2025
987.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
788.0 m
2024
880.0 m
2025
836.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
3.3 bn
2024
3.4 bn
2025
3.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
957.0 m
2024
1.1 bn
2025
1.1 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
—
2024
—
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 19 Feb 2021verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
370.0 m
2024
325.0 m
2025
285.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
5.1 bn
2024
5.2 bn
2025
5.2 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
679.0 m
2024
792.0 m
2025
650.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
168.0 m
2024
17.0 m
2025
30.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Long-term debt
2023
1.8 bn
2024
1.6 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
1.9 bn
2024
1.7 bn
2025
1.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
4.1 bn
2024
3.9 bn
2025
3.5 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
922.0 m
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.7 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
832.0 m
2024
792.0 m
2025
676.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
209.0 m
2024
299.0 m
2025
226.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
623.0 m ≈
2024
493.0 m ≈
2025
450.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-289.0 m
2024
-293.0 m
2025
-145.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-514.0 m
2024
-511.0 m
2025
-474.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Dividends paid
2023
0
2024
36.0 m
2025
72.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
0
2024
99.0 m
2025
101.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 04 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-10.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
4.3%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
5.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-19.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-14.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
155.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-12.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
154.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
-8.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
unavailable
input data missing
EBITDA margin
18.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
EBIT margin
12.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
8.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF margin
12.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Returns

ROE
23.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROA
7.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROIC
60.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROCE
15.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
19.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Payout ratio (FCF)
13.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Balance sheet

Net debt
-897.0 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.0x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Debt / equity
0.1x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Interest coverage
unavailable
input data missing

Liquidity

Current ratio
2.0x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Quick ratio
1.5x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Cash ratio
0.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
771.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Capital expenditure
192.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Free cash flow
579.0 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
FCF conversion
143.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Cash conversion
88.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
93 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Days inventory outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Days payables outstanding
unavailable
input data missing
Cash conversion cycle
unavailable
input data missing

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
6.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Enterprise value
5.3 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
15.4x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
15.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Earnings yield
6.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
3.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/S
1.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
6.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBIT
9.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/Sales
1.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/FCF
10.8x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
FCF yield
9.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Dividend yield
1.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Shareholder yield (distributions)
2.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Risk

Altman Z
2.51
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 85 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

86.04 USD

04 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 6.2 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
6.2 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
P/E (TTM)
15.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
P/B
3.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
EV/EBITDA
6.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
ROE
23.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Sept 2026
Net margin
8.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-10.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
1.2%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Sept 2026

Coverage and freshness

32/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Sept 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Sept 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 15 Oct 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 21 Oct 2026
verified 2043derived 142

Score by group

  • Valuation96
  • Returns59
  • Quality93
  • Balance sheet90
  • Growth68

Estimated value range

Low
114.81
USD per share
Mid
139.02
USD per share
High
193.75
USD per share
Price: 86.04 USD
The price is below the range
Potential to the central value: 61.6% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: 38.1% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: same comparison basis (not independent confirmations) · 2 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 102.75 – 242.20 USD.

Methods computed but outside the aggregate range: Dividend discount (DDM) (a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate).

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
  • Peers: EV/EBITDA126.87 – 145.31 (Mid 130.86)
    5 companies used · median multiple 9.9x · quartiles 9.6x – 11.1x
    FET, FTI, INVX, NOV, WHD
  • Peers: P/E102.75 – 242.20 (Mid 147.19)
    10 companies used · median multiple 26.2x · quartiles 18.3x – 43.2x
    BKR, FET, FLOC, FTI, INVX, LSE, NOV, OMSE, STAK, WHD
  • Dividend discount (DDM)outside the aggregate13.14 – 17.67 (Mid 15.07)
    a small share of earnings is paid as dividends (capital returns through buybacks): the dividend model does not describe the value and stays outside the aggregate
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Oil & Gas Field Machinery & Equipment (SIC 3533)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 85/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality60.7%100 (vs peers)11%
Net margin · Quality8.6%73 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality143.0%100 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth4.3%36 (on a fixed band)9%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth154.4%100 (on a fixed band)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet-1.0x86 (vs peers)11%
Interest coverage · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Current ratio · Balance sheet2.0x100 (on a fixed band)4%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation15.3x90 (vs peers)11%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation6.2x100 (vs peers)11%
FCF yield · Valuation9.3%100 (on a fixed band)9%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns2.2%32 (on a fixed band)7%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns13.3%100 (on a fixed band)4%

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet90/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth68/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality93/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns59/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation96/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

Memo

Weatherford International plc (WFRD). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-09-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 4.9 bn USD in 2025; YoY growth -10.8%; net margin 8.6%; ROE 23.0%; net debt/EBITDA -1.0x.

The estimated value range is 114.81–193.75 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: same basis (multiples on one peer group, not independent confirmations)); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 139.02 USD, the price of 86.04 USD leaves a potential of 61.6% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 38.1% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 85/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • ROIC: 60.7%
  • Net margin: 8.6%
  • FCF conversion: 143.0%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: 154.4%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: -1.0x
  • Current ratio: 2.0x
  • P/E (TTM): 15.3x
  • EV/EBITDA: 6.2x
  • FCF yield: 9.3%
  • Payout ratio (FCF): 13.3%
  • The price is below the estimated value range

What contradicts it

No signal among the computed factors. That is not an absence of risk: factors without data were not assessed, and business risks (margins, inventory, demand) are in the source-based analysis.

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Interest coverage.

Versus the vertical median

Oil & Gas Field Machinery & Equipment (SIC 3533) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 15 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
15.3x
vertical median 26.2x
below median (−41.5%)
EV/EBITDA
6.2x
vertical median 9.9x
below median (−37.8%)
P/S
1.3x
vertical median 1.0x
above median (+37.5%)
P/B
3.2x
vertical median 1.6x
above median (+98.5%)
ROE
23.0%
vertical median 4.5%
above median (+410.9%)
Net margin
8.6%
vertical median 3.5%
above median (+149.9%)
EBIT margin
12.4%
vertical median 6.9%
above median (+81.1%)
Revenue YoY
-10.8%
vertical median 1.5%
below median (−817.4%)
Net debt/EBITDA
-1.0x
vertical median 0.7x
below median (−258.6%)
Dividend yield
1.2%
vertical median 1.3%
at median

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
BKRBaker Hughes Company49.5 bn17.115.1%10.1%−0.3%−1% / +48%
FTITechnipFMC plc25.1 bn20.338.6%12.0%+9.4%+43% / +211%
NOVNov Inc.6.4 bn45.22.3%1.6%−1.4%+17% / −4%
WFRDWeatherford International plc6.2 bn15.323.0%8.6%−10.8%+17% / −13%
WHDCactus, Inc.4.3 bn23.614.7%12.0%−4.5%+35% / +37%
DNOWDnow Inc.2.8 bn—-12.4%-4.9%+18.8%+10% / +54%
INVXInnovex International, Inc.1.8 bn37.14.5%4.8%+48.0%+16% / +15%
FETForum Energy Technologies, Inc.845.3 m28.89.8%3.5%−3.1%+135% / +238%
OISOil States International, Inc510.2 m—-16.8%-16.5%−3.4%+35% / +24%
OMSEOMS Energy Technologies Inc.167.2 m3.343.5%22.0%unavailable−16% / unavailable
LSELeishen Energy Holding Co., Ltd.75.4 m55.42.9%2.6%−30.0%−14% / unavailable
DTIDrilling Tools International Corporation52.9 m—-2.5%-2.0%+3.4%−38% / −56%
STAKSTAK Inc.27.5 m71.52.9%1.5%+13.2%+202% / unavailable
GPUSHyperscale Data, Inc.247.1 k—-159.8%-71.0%−4.3%−89% / −100%
SEISolaris Energy Infrastructure, Inc.——8.4%7.2%+98.7%+20% / +573%
FLOCFlowco Holdings Inc.—17.712.5%6.4%+41.9%+15% / unavailable

1- and 3-year price returns: for WFRD from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
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Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
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Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
50.59
Total return -40% · Per year -40%
89.44
Total return 5% · Per year 5%
134.73
Total return 58% · Per year 58%
3 years
48.93
Total return -40% · Per year -16%
97.35
Total return 17% · Per year 5%
161.04
Total return 92% · Per year 24%
5 years
47.32
Total return -40% · Per year -10%
105.96
Total return 30% · Per year 5%
192.49
Total return 133% · Per year 18%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 24.34
  • Net margin± 17.04
  • Annual revenue growth± 14.01
  • Annual dilution± 1.43

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Weatherford International plc is a global energy services company that supplies equipment and services for drilling, evaluation, well construction, completion, production and responsible abandonment of oil and gas wells, as well as for new energy platforms. The company operates in about 75 countries, and its NCS Multistage acquisition and offshore award flow make it relevant to the oilfield services market in 2026-2027, amid volatile oil prices and the Middle East conflict 123.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company has a broad global presence across dozens of countries and a technology portfolio covering the full well life cycle 1. Adjusted cash generation remains solid, and debt is being managed through early redemptions 3.
  • Diversification across three segments and many regions helps offset weakness in any single market 13. Investment in research, development and digital solutions gives it a technology edge that customers recognize 12.
  • Recent acquisitions such as NCS Multistage strengthen its completions capabilities and extend access to markets where it had less presence 23.

Weaknesses

  • Revenue depends on customer investment, which falls quickly when oil prices or rig counts decline, and in 2025 this produced a significant drop in sales 1.
  • Fixed costs have fallen more slowly than revenues, which raised the cost of products and services as a share of revenue in 2025 1.
  • A large part of activity takes place outside the United States, exposing the company to political, currency and regulatory risks in many countries 1.

Opportunities

  • A recovery in offshore and unconventional activity could lift demand for completion products and the recently acquired services 23.
  • Savings from the redomestication and the repayment of expensive debt could improve free cash flow in the years ahead 3.
  • Emission-reduction solutions and responsible well abandonment could open new contracts if regulation tightens in many countries 1.

Threats

  • Geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East and Eastern Europe could disrupt activity, supply chains and sales in the affected regions 12.
  • Emission policies and the energy transition could reduce long-term demand for services tied to hydrocarbons 1.
  • Consolidation among competitors and pricing pressure could limit the company's ability to maintain its margins 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on customer investmenthigh

    Demand depends on the capital spending of oil and gas companies, and cuts in that spending could sharply reduce revenue and asset utilization 1.

  • Geopolitical exposurehigh

    The Iran conflict and the war in Ukraine could disrupt activity, supply chains and logistics costs, especially if the situation worsens 12.

  • Emissions regulationmedium

    Climate-related measures could require added investment and could reduce demand for products tied to oil and gas 1.

  • Acquisition integration riskmedium

    Integrating NCS Multistage and other assets could delay expected synergies or bring unforeseen costs 23.

  • Accidents and liability claimsmedium

    Incidents in drilling and production operations can cause property damage, injuries and environmental harm, with potentially significant losses for the company 1.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Adjusted EBITDA margin rose in the third quarter of 2026 and adjusted free cash flow kept improving, suggesting the cost structure could support a recovery in activity 3.
  • The NCS Multistage acquisition broadens the completions portfolio and could support growth in offshore and unconventional markets if integration goes well 23.
  • The redomestication and the repayment of expensive notes could lower costs and support higher free cash flow in the coming years 3.

What would break the thesis

  • Revenue fell in 2025 and dependence on customer budgets remains high, so a further drop in prices or activity could quickly weigh on results 1.
  • The Middle East conflict has already affected regional activity, and the company itself said a quick recovery is unlikely, which may limit near-term growth 3.
  • Strong competition and emissions-related regulatory pressure could reduce margins and market share, especially if major customers cut investment 1.

What to watch

  • Completion of the Delaware redomestication and the savings it is expected to generateQ4 2026
  • Fourth-quarter 2026 results and the full-year adjusted free cash flow guidanceQ4 2026
  • Development of activity in the Middle East and its effect on regional revenue2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Weatherford International plc is an Irish company that, together with its subsidiaries, provides equipment and services used across the well life cycle, from drilling and evaluation to intervention and responsible abandonment, in the oil and natural gas exploration and production industry, as well as on new energy platforms 1. It reports in three segments, managed across the well life cycle, and its operations include manufacturing, research and development, service and training facilities 12. The stated strategy aims at sustainable profitability and cash generation across industry cycles, with emphasis on customer efficiency, digitalization and disciplined capital management 1.

Segments

Well Construction and Completions (WCC)

The WCC segment covers well integrity across the full well life cycle, including tubular running services, cementation products, completion tools, liner hangers and through-tubing well services 1. It is the largest segment, and the NCS Multistage acquisition adds a fracturing and completions technology platform with offshore reach 23.

Production and Intervention (PRI)

The PRI segment includes intervention services and drilling tools, artificial lift, digital solutions, sub-sea intervention and, in select markets, pressure pumping 1. It targets production and responsible abandonment of mature wells and relies on automation and monitoring solutions 13.

Market context

The market remains sensitive to customer capital budgets, which tend to shrink when prices fall or the cost of capital rises, and the energy transition could gradually change demand for fossil-fuel-related services 1. Customers include national oil companies, international and independent oil and gas companies, and new energy companies 1.

Trends

  • Oil price volatility and geopolitical conflictsmixed

    Oil prices rose in 2026, but the Iran conflict has disrupted Middle East activity and supply chains, and this volatility could influence customer investment in the coming quarters 23. The company said hopes of a quick recovery have been dampened by recent events in the region 3.

  • Industry consolidation and acquisitionsmixed

    The company completed the NCS Multistage acquisition, which extends its completions portfolio and gives access to unconventional and offshore markets 23. Consolidation among competitors may reduce some customer spending or shift demand, which the company considers hard to predict 1. Acquisitions can bring cost synergies if integration proceeds as planned 3.

  • Tariffs and global trade policyheadwind

    Tariffs had a limited effect on fiscal 2025 results, but changing trade policy remains a source of uncertainty 12. The company has filed claims for refunds of some tariffs and has begun receiving approvals, though new measures could weigh on margins if imposed at maximum rates 2.

  • Operational efficiency and digitalizationtailwind

    The ERP transformation and digital automation and optimization solutions could lower costs and improve margins over the longer term, particularly if customer demand for efficiency holds 23. The company reported that reducing fixed costs helped protect margins in the third quarter of 2026 3.

Competitive position

Weatherford competes with a number of global and regional providers, and competition is based on performance, safety, quality, reliability, service, price and response time 1. Principal competitors named in the annual report are SLB, Halliburton, Baker Hughes and Expro Group Holdings, along with smaller suppliers active in specific parts of the product portfolio 1.

The energy services business is highly competitive, and consolidation and acquisitions by competitors are difficult to predict and could affect the company's position 1. Its competitive position rests on a differentiated technology portfolio and a global footprint that lets it serve customers in several regions 12.

  • SLBSLB

    Named in the annual report as one of the principal global competitors in well services.

  • HalliburtonHAL

    Named as a principal global competitor active in drilling, completion and production.

  • Baker HughesBKR

    Named as a principal competitor in oilfield services and as the source of the rig count data used across the industry.

  • Expro Group HoldingsXPRO

    Named as a principal competitor in certain well service and completion segments.

News & filings

In the press

The latest news item in our archive is from 27 Aug 2026; the newest SEC filing is from 27 Oct 2026. The press archive comes from the RSS feeds we follow and does not necessarily cover the latest event — the filings alongside do.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Weatherford International plc · 04 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-09-30 · SEC / Weatherford International plc · 21 Oct 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Weatherford International plc · 20 Oct 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.