olivLaw · European equity research
Axa CS.PA
France · Euronext Paris · ISIN FR0000120628 · Vertical: Listed companies from France
At the close of 05 Nov 2026, Axa (CS.PA) stock was 45.71 EUR (+1.17% on the day), with market capitalisation 98.6 bn EUR, P/E 10.1 on diluted EPS of 4.53 EUR over the last 12 months, dividend yield 4.70%, beta 0.74, 52-week range 37.46–45.71 EUR.
Data as of · Source: ESEF annual reports and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.
Price history
Loading chart…
Technical reading
- RSI (14)
- 70.7
- overbought (≥ 70)
- Bollinger (20, 2)
- 40.76 – 44.78
- above the upper band · %B 1.23 · band width 9.4%
- SMA 50 / 200
- 43.17 / 41.75
- uptrend (price > SMA50 > SMA200)
- MACD (12, 26, 9)
- 0.34 / -0.03
- MACD above signal
Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).
Performance
| Company | EURO STOXX 50 | vs EURO STOXX 50 | Vertical median | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 month | +6.9% | −0.6% | +7.5 pp | — |
| 3 months | +1.5% | −4.2% | +5.6 pp | — |
| 6 months | +9.9% | +4.3% | +5.6 pp | — |
| Year to date | +11.6% | +7.5% | +4.1 pp | — |
| 1 year | +19.9% | +9.9% | +10.0 pp | −6.8% |
| 3 years | +64.2% | +49.8% | +14.4 pp | −15.9% |
| 5 years | +79.3% | +42.8% | +36.4 pp | — |
Price returns, dividends excluded.
Quarterly results
ESEF annual reports carry no quarters: the results are annual (below).
E/P over time
E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.
Today's P/E sits at the 100 percentile of its own 3-quarter history (min 9.0, median 9.4, max 9.8; quarters with earnings only).
Fiscal years
| Fiscal year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 82.1 bn | 87.3 bn | 91.1 bn |
| Revenue YoY | unavailable | +6.4% | +4.4% |
| Net income | 7.2 bn | 7.9 bn | 9.8 bn |
| Net income YoY | unavailable | +9.7% | +24.2% |
| Diluted EPS | 3.13 | 3.50 | 4.53 |
| Diluted EPS YoY | unavailable | +11.8% | +29.4% |
| net % | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% |
| Free cash flow | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable |
Balance sheet & financial health
Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025
- Cash
- 22.2 bn EUR
- Financial debt
- unavailable EUR
- Net debt
- unavailable EUR
- Equity
- 49.6 bn EUR
- Total assets
- 635.5 bn EUR
- Debt / equity
- unavailable
- Current ratio
- unavailable
- ROE
- 19.2%
- ROA
- 1.5%
- FCF margin
- unavailable
Financial statements (source on every figure)
Revenue and net income (EUR)
Margins
Income statement · EUR
| Line | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Source (latest year) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 82.1 bn | 87.3 bn | 91.1 bn | esef· 24 Mar 2026verified |
| Operating income | 8.8 bn | 10.4 bn | 10.4 bn | esef· 24 Mar 2026verified |
| Pre-tax income | 8.4 bn | 10.0 bn | 10.0 bn | esef· 24 Mar 2026verified |
| Income tax | 1.4 bn | 2.5 bn | 2.4 bn | esef· 24 Mar 2026verified |
| Net income | 7.2 bn | 7.9 bn | 9.8 bn | esef· 24 Mar 2026verified |
| Diluted EPS | 3.13 | 3.50 | 4.53 | esef· 24 Mar 2026verified |
| Dividend per share | 1.70 | 1.98 | 2.15 | esef· 24 Mar 2026verified |
Balance sheet · EUR
| Line | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Source (latest year) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash | 25.4 bn | 19.0 bn | 22.2 bn | esef· 24 Mar 2026verified |
| Goodwill | 17.9 bn | 18.1 bn | 17.8 bn | esef· 24 Mar 2026verified |
| Intangibles (excl. goodwill) | 4.6 bn | 4.4 bn | 4.4 bn | esef· 24 Mar 2026verified |
| Total assets | 644.4 bn | 653.8 bn | 635.5 bn | esef· 24 Mar 2026verified |
| Equity | 52.4 bn | 52.5 bn | 49.6 bn | esef· 24 Mar 2026verified |
| Shares outstanding at year end | 2.3 bn | 2.2 bn | 2.2 bn | esef· 24 Mar 2026derived |
Cash flow · EUR
| Line | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Source (latest year) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dividends paid | 3.9 bn | 4.5 bn | 4.7 bn | esef· 24 Mar 2026verified |
Computed indicators
Growth
Profitability
Returns
Balance sheet
Liquidity
Cash
Efficiency
Market and valuation
1 indicators that do not apply to the sector.
Valuation
olivLaw classification
- indicators available: 3 of at least 6
- score weight coverage: 22.9% of at least 60%
A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.
Closing price
05 Nov 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series
Market cap: 98.6 bn EUR
Key indicators
Coverage and freshness
Score by group
23% · Insufficient data
Estimated value range
The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 29.24 – 135.00 EUR.
Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.
Method ranges (EUR per share)
— — Mid · ▏ Price
Valuation methods
- DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · input data missing
- Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
- Peers: P/E50.24 – 135.00 (Mid 77.60)20 companies used · median multiple 17.1x · quartiles 11.1x – 29.8x74SW.PA, ABEO.PA, AC.PA, ADP.PA, AF.PA, AI.PA, ALBON.PA, ALCIS.PA, ALCLA.PA, ALFER.PA, ALHEX.PA, ALO.PA, ALPWG.PA, ALSOG.PA, ANTIN.PA, ARAMI.PA, ATE.PA, AUB.PA, AURE.PA, BB.PA
- Dividend discount (DDM)29.24 – 39.87 (Mid 33.74)
Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)
- Risk-free rate
- 3.0%
- Equity risk premium
- 5.5%
- Beta (default)
- 1.00
- Cost of equity
- 8.5%
- Terminal growth
- 2.0%
Factor scorecard
Insufficient data
Minimum-evidence gate: indicators available: 3 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 22.9% of at least 60%
| Factor | Value | Score | Weight used |
|---|---|---|---|
| ROIC · Quality | unavailable | unavailable | — |
| Net margin · Quality | 10.7% | 92 (vs peers) | 27% |
| FCF conversion · Quality | unavailable | unavailable | — |
| Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth | unavailable | unavailable | — |
| EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth | unavailable | unavailable | — |
| Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet | unavailable | unavailable | — |
| Interest coverage · Balance sheet | unavailable | unavailable | — |
| Current ratio · Balance sheet | unavailable | unavailable | — |
| P/E (TTM) · Valuation | 10.1x | 78 (vs peers) | 45% |
| EV/EBITDA · Valuation | unavailable | unavailable | — |
| FCF yield · Valuation | unavailable | unavailable | — |
| Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns | 4.8% | 68 (on a fixed band) | 27% |
| Payout ratio (FCF) · Returns | unavailable | unavailable | — |
Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.
Score groups
- Balance sheet· partialunavailable · 0/3 factors with a value
- Growth· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
- Quality· partial92/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
- Returns· partial68/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
- Valuation· partial78/100 · 1/3 factors with a value
A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.
Memo
AXA (CS.PA). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2025-12-31.
Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 91.1 bn EUR in 2025; YoY growth 4.4%; net margin 10.7%; ROE 20.2%.
The estimated value range is 39.74–87.44 EUR per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 55.67 EUR, the price of 45.71 EUR leaves a potential of 21.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of 17.9% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.
Insufficient data for a verdict (indicators available: 3 of at least 6; score weight coverage: 22.9% of at least 60%).
Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.
What supports the thesis
- Net margin: 10.7%
- P/E (TTM): 10.1x
What contradicts it
- The valuation methods diverge
Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, FCF conversion, Revenue CAGR 3Y, EPS CAGR 3Y, Net debt / EBITDA, Interest coverage, Current ratio, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield, Payout ratio (FCF).
Versus the vertical median
Listed companies from France · same country · compared with 39 companies
Multiples and returns vs the median
Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)
Companies in the vertical
| Market cap | P/E | ROE | Net margin | Revenue YoY | 1A / 3A | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI.PAL'air Liquide Societe Anonyme Pour L'etude Et L'exploitation Des Procedes Georges Claude | 109.3 bn | 33.2 | 12.9% | 12.2% | −2.0% | +26% / +32% |
| CS.PAAxa | 98.6 bn | 10.1 | 20.2% | 10.7% | +4.4% | +18% / +60% |
| AC.PAAccor | 13.8 bn | 30.7 | 9.6% | 8.0% | +0.6% | +6% / +56% |
| ADP.PAAeroports De Paris | 11.7 bn | 34.1 | 7.8% | 5.6% | +12.1% | −7% / +4% |
| AKE.PAArkema | 7.1 bn | 115.4 | 0.9% | 0.7% | −5.0% | +12% / −37% |
| ALO.PAAlstom | 5.8 bn | 18.3 | 3.1% | 1.7% | +3.7% | −51% / −4% |
| AF.PAAir France - Klm | 4.3 bn | 13.6 | — | 1.0% | +4.8% | +20% / +9% |
| ATE.PAAlten | 3.1 bn | 29.5 | 4.8% | 2.6% | −1.1% | +33% / −29% |
| BB.PASociete Bic | 2.7 bn | 31.3 | 5.0% | 4.1% | −4.8% | +32% / +5% |
| ANTIN.PAAntin Infrastructure Partners | 1.4 bn | 13.0 | 21.9% | 36.6% | −8.1% | −24% / −35% |
| 74SW.PA74software | 792.7 m | 20.9 | 8.9% | 8.5% | +44.8% | −13% / +41% |
| AUB.PAAubay | 667.4 m | 17.8 | 13.6% | 6.3% | +11.3% | +3% / +45% |
| ASY.PAAssystem | 507.1 m | 69.9 | 2.5% | 1.1% | +7.4% | −19% / −18% |
| ATO.PAAtos Se | 483.0 m | — | -23,400.0% | -17.5% | −16.5% | −45% / −94% |
| ARAMI.PAAramis Group | 298.8 m | 15.0 | 10.0% | 0.8% | +6.3% | −33% / −16% |
| ARVEN.PAArverne Group | 246.1 m | — | -14.0% | -115.3% | +27.0% | +20% / −35% |
| BGO.PACompagnie Chargeurs Invest | 189.4 m | — | -8.6% | -5.7% | −2.9% | unavailable / unavailable |
| ALCIS.PACatering International & Services | 145.0 m | 28.4 | 9.3% | 1.9% | +5.8% | +39% / +107% |
| ALCGM.PACegedim | 144.6 m | — | -2.6% | -1.2% | +10.9% | −26% / −49% |
| ATEME.PAAteme | 144.0 m | 151.3 | 2.8% | 1.0% | +2.2% | +82% / +77% |
| ALHEX.PAHexaom | 144.0 m | 6.7 | 9.9% | 2.2% | +13.1% | −32% / +7% |
| ALBON.PACompagnie Lebon | 111.7 m | 16.5 | 4.2% | 8.8% | −17.9% | +6% / +8% |
| ALHYF.PALhyfe | 75.8 m | — | -33.4% | -570.5% | +287.2% | unavailable / unavailable |
| ALFER.PASergeferrari Group | 61.5 m | 11.5 | 5.1% | 1.5% | +7.4% | −33% / −27% |
| ABEO.PAAbeo | 60.8 m | 7.3 | 6.9% | 3.0% | +12.6% | −13% / −54% |
1- and 3-year price returns: for CS.PA from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.
olivLaw engine forecast
The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.
The engine has no published run for this company yet.
Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)
Illustrative scenarios
Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.
Estimated price (EUR)
| Estimated price | Bear | Base | Bull |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 years | 27.05 Total return -37% · Per year -37% | 47.82 Total return 10% · Per year 10% | 72.04 Total return 64% · Per year 64% |
| 3 years | 26.20 Total return -32% · Per year -12% | 52.12 Total return 29% · Per year 9% | 86.21 Total return 108% · Per year 28% |
| 5 years | 25.37 Total return -27% · Per year -6% | 56.80 Total return 51% · Per year 9% | 103.17 Total return 161% · Per year 21% |
- Exit P/E± 13.03
- Net margin± 9.12
- Annual revenue growth± 7.49
- Annual dilution± 0.77
AI analysis
The qualitative analysis has not been written for this company yet.
Products, market & competition
The qualitative analysis has not been written for this company yet.
News & filings
In the press
No news in our archive over the last 180 days.
Annual reports (ESEF)
- Annual report 202524 Mar 2026
- Annual report 202424 Sept 2025
Figures computed by olivLaw from ESEF annual reports and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.