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olivLaw · US equity research

Axcelis Technologies, Inc. ACLS

Special Industry Machinery, NEC · SIC 3559 · Vertical: Special Industry Machinery, NEC (SIC 3559)

100.07USD−10.67% · 1 dayClose 30 Oct 2026

Axcelis Technologies designs and manufactures ion implantation equipment used in making semiconductor chips, supported by a substantial aftermarket service and spare parts business. The company reported lower revenue in 2025, but revenue returned to growth in the second quarter of 2026 and management expects revenue growth for the full year 2026 while the Veeco merger is still pending.

At the close of 30 Oct 2026, Axcelis Technologies, Inc. (ACLS) stock was 100.07 USD (−10.67% on the day), with market capitalisation 3.1 bn USD, P/E 33.5 on diluted EPS of 2.98 USD over the last 12 months, beta 2.01, 52-week range 74.12–191.60 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 215.2 m USD (+10.6% YoY), net income of 23.3 m USD (−25.8% YoY), diluted EPS 0.75 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
3.1 bn USD
shares as of 03 Aug 2026
P/E (TTM)
33.5
Diluted EPS TTM 2.98 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
2.98%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
2.01
Volatility (1y) 70%
52-week range
74.12191.60

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
35.2
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
94.26 – 144.26
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.12 · band width 41.9%
SMA 50 / 200
118.51 / 123.13
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-4.60 / -3.22
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−23.7%−0.9%−22.8 pp—
3 months−23.2%+1.2%−24.5 pp—
6 months−28.5%+4.8%−33.4 pp—
Year to date+24.6%+10.7%+13.8 pp—
1 year+22.3%+11.1%+11.2 pp+23.8%
3 years−21.5%+80.7%−102.3 pp+19.3%
5 years+82.2%+64.6%+17.6 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−47.8%
15 Jun 2026 → 30 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−78.8%
31 Jul 2023 → 04 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+12.7%
S&P 500 +10.5%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
215.2 m USD
+10.6% YoY
Net income
23.3 m USD
−25.8% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.75
−23.5% YoY
net / operating
10.8% / 9.4%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue256.6 m252.4 m192.6 m194.5 m213.6 m238.3 m199.0 m215.2 m
Cost of revenue146.6 m136.2 m103.8 m107.2 m124.8 m126.4 m118.4 m124.0 m
Gross profit110.0 m116.2 m88.8 m87.3 m88.8 m111.9 m80.6 m91.2 m
Research & development26.4 m27.7 m27.1 m27.1 m24.6 m30.1 m28.5 m29.0 m
Operating income46.9 m54.5 m29.2 m29.0 m25.0 m36.2 m8.0 m20.3 m
Depreciation & amortisation3.9 m4.3 m4.3 m4.5 m4.3 m4.5 m4.4 m4.4 m
Interest expense1.3 m1.4 m1.4 m1.4 m1.3 m1.3 m1.3 m1.3 m
Pre-tax income55.4 m58.6 m33.1 m35.0 m30.2 m40.0 m10.6 m25.3 m
Income tax6.8 m8.7 m4.5 m3.6 m4.2 m5.7 m1.4 m2.1 m
Net income48.6 m50.0 m28.6 m31.4 m26.0 m34.3 m9.2 m23.3 m
Diluted EPS1.491.54 ≈0.880.980.831.10 ≈0.300.75
Operating cash flow45.7 m ≈12.8 m39.8 m39.7 m ≈45.4 m ≈-6.6 m18.1 m18.4 m ≈
Capex3.9 m ≈4.7 m5.0 m2.0 m ≈2.0 m ≈2.3 m1.8 m3.6 m ≈
Share repurchases15.4 m ≈15.1 m18.2 m45.3 m ≈32.3 m ≈25.2 m——

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 90 percentile of its own 39-quarter history (min 5.1, median 20.8, max 63.5; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue442.6 m343.0 m474.6 m662.4 m920.0 m1.1 bn1.0 bn839.0 m
Revenue YoY+7.8%−22.5%+38.4%+39.6%+38.9%+22.9%−10.0%−17.6%
Net income45.9 m17.0 m50.0 m98.7 m183.1 m246.3 m201.0 m120.2 m
Net income YoY−63.9%−62.9%+193.4%+97.4%+85.6%+34.5%−18.4%−40.2%
Diluted EPS1.350.501.462.885.467.436.153.80
Diluted EPS YoY−64.5%−63.0%+192.0%+97.3%+89.6%+36.1%−17.2%−38.2%
net %10.4%5.0%10.5%14.9%19.9%21.8%19.7%14.3%
Free cash flow42.3 m-25.6 m62.3 m141.5 m204.9 m136.2 m128.6 m107.0 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
145.5 m USD
Financial debt
unavailable USD
Net debt
unavailable USD
Equity
1.0 bn USD
Total assets
1.4 bn USD
Debt / equity
unavailable
Current ratio
4.77x
ROE
11.7%
ROA
8.9%
FCF margin
12.8%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.0 bn
2025
839.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
639.3 m
2024
563.2 m
2025
462.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
491.3 m
2024
454.7 m
2025
376.8 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
96.9 m
2024
105.5 m
2025
109.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
265.8 m
2024
210.8 m
2025
119.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
13.1 m
2024
15.8 m
2025
17.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
278.9 m ≈
2024
226.6 m ≈
2025
136.9 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
5.3 m
2024
5.5 m
2025
5.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
278.6 m
2024
230.3 m
2025
138.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
32.3 m
2024
29.3 m
2025
18.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
246.3 m
2024
201.0 m
2025
120.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
7.43
2024
6.15
2025
3.80

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
33.2 m
2024
32.7 m
2025
31.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
167.3 m
2024
123.5 m
2025
145.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
218.0 m
2024
203.1 m
2025
168.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
306.5 m
2024
282.2 m
2025
329.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
1.1 bn
2024
1.1 bn
2025
943.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
54.0 m
2024
53.8 m
2025
56.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
1.3 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.4 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
54.4 m
2024
46.9 m
2025
42.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
285.1 m
2024
207.5 m
2025
197.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
417.1 m
2024
336.0 m
2025
326.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
864.9 m †
2024
1.0 bn †
2025
1.0 bn †

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
156.9 m
2024
140.8 m
2025
118.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
20.7 m
2024
12.2 m
2025
11.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
136.2 m ≈
2024
128.6 m ≈
2025
107.0 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-100.9 m
2024
-108.7 m
2025
29.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-68.3 m
2024
-71.2 m
2025
-124.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Share repurchases
2023
52.5 m
2024
60.5 m
2025
121.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 26 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-17.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
-3.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
12.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-43.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-40.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-13.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
19.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EPS growth (YoY)
-38.2%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-11.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
21.1%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
FCF growth (YoY)
-16.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
43.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
12.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
10.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
10.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
7.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
8.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
6.8%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
unavailable
input data missing
ROCE
7.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
unavailable
input data missing
Net debt / EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
Debt / equity
unavailable
input data missing
Interest coverage
17.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
4.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
3.2x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.8x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
75.3 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
9.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
65.6 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
70.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
70.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
62 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
240 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
35 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
266 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
3.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
unavailable
input data missing
Market cap / net income TTM
33.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
33.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
3.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
2.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
3.6x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
EV/EBIT
unavailable
input data missing
EV/Sales
unavailable
input data missing
P/FCF
47.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
2.1%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
1.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Risk

Altman Z
7.83
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Neutral profile

Score: 41 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

Closing price

100.07 USD

30 Oct 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 3.1 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
3.1 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
33.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
2.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
unavailable
input data missing
ROE
8.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
10.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-17.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

29/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 03 Aug 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 06 Aug 2026
verified 2247derived 186

Score by group

  • Returns27
  • Quality54
  • Growth0
  • Valuation40
  • Balance sheet100

Estimated value range

Low
53.50
USD per share
Mid
75.39
USD per share
High
110.33
USD per share
Price: 100.07 USD
The price is within the range
Potential to the central value: -24.7% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -32.7% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: single method · 1 methods used · 1 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 53.50 – 110.33 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)unavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · net debt missing: EV cannot be bridged to equity (missing debt is not zero)
  • Peers: P/E53.50 – 110.33 (Mid 75.39)
    7 companies used · median multiple 25.3x · quartiles 17.9x – 37.0x
    ACMR, ASYS, CRCT, CVV, ERII, LRCX, SOTK
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Special Industry Machinery, NEC (SIC 3559)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Neutral profile · Score 41/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Qualityunavailableunavailable—
Net margin · Quality10.7%50 (vs peers)10%
FCF conversion · Quality70.6%58 (on a fixed band)10%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth-3.0%0 (on a fixed band)13%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-11.4%0 (on a fixed band)13%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheetunavailableunavailable—
Interest coverage · Balance sheet17.2x100 (on a fixed band)10%
Current ratio · Balance sheet4.9x100 (on a fixed band)6%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation33.5x50 (vs peers)16%
EV/EBITDA · Valuationunavailableunavailable—
FCF yield · Valuation2.1%27 (on a fixed band)13%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returns1.9%27 (on a fixed band)10%
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet100/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Growth0/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality54/100 · 2/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partial27/100 · 1/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation40/100 · 2/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

AXCELIS TECHNOLOGIES INC (ACLS). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 839.0 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -17.6%; net margin 10.7%; ROE 8.9%.

The estimated value range is 53.50–110.33 USD per share (median of 1 methods, agreement: single method); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 75.39 USD, the price of 100.07 USD leaves a potential of -24.7% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -32.7% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 41/100, methodological classification: neutral profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • Interest coverage: 17.2x
  • Current ratio: 4.9x

What contradicts it

  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: -3.0%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -11.4%
  • FCF yield: 2.1%
  • Shareholder yield (distributions): 1.9%

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): ROIC, Net debt / EBITDA, EV/EBITDA, Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Special Industry Machinery, NEC (SIC 3559) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 12 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
33.5x
vertical median 30.4x
above median (+10.2%)
EV/EBITDA
—
vertical median 21.5x
P/S
3.6x
vertical median 2.8x
above median (+28.0%)
P/B
2.9x
vertical median 1.9x
above median (+50.2%)
ROE
8.9%
vertical median 9.3%
at median
Net margin
10.7%
vertical median 11.0%
at median
EBIT margin
10.3%
vertical median 9.2%
above median (+12.7%)
Revenue YoY
-17.6%
vertical median 2.8%
below median (−735.6%)
Net debt/EBITDA
—
vertical median -0.7x
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.5%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
LRCXLam Research Corporation298.7 bn35.670.1%32.3%+26.0%+52% / +306%
ACLSAxcelis Technologies Inc3.1 bn33.58.9%10.7%−17.6%+22% / −22%
VECOVeeco Instruments Inc2.4 bn108.52.6%3.4%−7.4%+35% / +62%
AZTAAzenta, Inc.1.7 bn—-7.7%-20.0%+3.6%+29% / −14%
CRCTCricut, Inc.1.3 bn14.325.9%12.7%−0.5%+15% / −29%
ACMRACM Research, Inc.644.6 m21.510.6%14.5%+15.2%+10% / +234%
ERIIEnergy Recovery, Inc.355.3 m25.38.6%12.7%−6.9%−59% / −54%
ASYSAmtech Systems, Inc.223.2 m48.24.8%4.9%−21.6%+61% / +78%
VELOVelo3D, Inc.210.9 m—-61.5%-89.6%+12.1%+18% / −99%
SOTKSono Tek Corp75.8 m38.410.1%9.3%+2.0%+6% / −4%
TRTTrio-Tech International50.6 m—-0.1%-0.1%+71.6%+32% / +43%
CVVCvd Equipment Corporation27.2 m2.732.7%62.0%−4.1%+0% / −32%
ASMLAsml Holding NV——50.5%29.4%+15.6%+48% / +162%

1- and 3-year price returns: for ACLS from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
Allowed range: 0 … 100
Allowed range: -10 … 20%
Allowed range: 0 … 100%
Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
55.07
Total return -45% · Per year -45%
97.74
Total return -2% · Per year -2%
147.75
Total return 48% · Per year 48%
3 years
45.67
Total return -54% · Per year -23%
91.92
Total return -8% · Per year -3%
153.65
Total return 54% · Per year 15%
5 years
37.87
Total return -62% · Per year -18%
86.45
Total return -14% · Per year -3%
159.78
Total return 60% · Per year 10%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 22.98
  • Net margin± 16.09
  • Annual revenue growth± 14.23
  • Annual dilution± 1.35

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Axcelis Technologies designs and manufactures ion implantation equipment used in making semiconductor chips, supported by a substantial aftermarket service and spare parts business. The company reported lower revenue in 2025, but revenue returned to growth in the second quarter of 2026 and management expects revenue growth for the full year 2026 while the Veeco merger is still pending.

SWOT

Strengths

  • A focused implant portfolio with a recognized Purion product line and a strong position in power devices 1.
  • The aftermarket division brings recurring revenue and a growing share of sales, which can steady results when equipment investment slows 1.
  • Second-quarter 2026 results beat the company's forecasts, and the company holds considerable liquid assets 3.

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on a small number of large customers means losing one important account would have significant effects 1.
  • A rigid cost structure limits how far expenses can be cut when sales decline 1.
  • Net income fell in 2025 compared with the prior year, and general and administrative expenses rose 1.

Opportunities

  • Demand for memory and power chips could support revenue growth in coming quarters 3.
  • Completing the Veeco merger could extend the portfolio beyond ion implantation 2.
  • If fab utilization in mature segments improves, aftermarket revenue could grow 3.

Threats

  • U.S. export controls and trade tensions with China could reduce sales to key customers 1.
  • Tariff policy is hard to predict and could raise the cost of components 1.
  • Non-U.S. suppliers and Chinese producers could gain share if their products improve 1.

Risks

  • Dependence on chipmaker capital spendinghigh

    If investment in capacity falls, demand for Axcelis systems could drop quickly, and the fixed cost structure could reduce profitability 1.

  • Customer concentrationhigh

    The ten largest customers generate a dominant share of revenue, and the absence of long-term purchase agreements makes revenue vulnerable 12.

  • Export restrictions on Chinahigh

    U.S. controls could limit shipments to Chinese customers, who represent a significant share of sales, and the policies could change 1.

  • Tariff and supply chain riskmedium

    Tariff policies are volatile and could raise component costs if the limited group of suppliers increases prices 1.

  • Veeco merger completion riskmedium

    The transaction depends on regulatory approvals, including from China, and a failure or delay could affect strategic plans 2.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Second-quarter revenue growth and positive expectations for the third quarter could indicate a return of demand in memory and power segments 3.
  • The aftermarket division keeps growing and offers a steadier revenue base than system sales 1.
  • If the Veeco merger closes, the company could broaden its offerings and reduce dependence on a single product category 2.

What would break the thesis

  • Annual revenue for 2025 fell from the prior year, and net income dropped below 2024 levels 1.
  • Customer concentration and dependence on China remain major risks if export restrictions tighten 12.
  • The Veeco merger could bring complex integration and extra costs if approvals are delayed or terms change 2.

What to watch

  • Revenue delivery against the roughly 230 million USD outlookQ3 2026
  • Completion of the Veeco merger and approval from Chinese authoritiessecond half of 2026
  • Changes to export controls affecting Chinese customersnext 10-K
  • System sales trends in the general mature and memory segments2027

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Axcelis designs, manufactures and services ion implantation systems, a key step in forming transistors in semiconductor chips 1. Over 98% of 2025 revenue came from ion implantation, with the rest from aftermarket sales tied to legacy systems 1. The company also provides lifecycle services through its Customer Solutions & Innovation division, covering spare parts, upgrades, maintenance and training 1.

In September 2025 Axcelis agreed to merge with Veeco Instruments, under which Veeco would become a wholly-owned subsidiary 2. Completion depends on customary closing conditions, including final approval from China's regulator, and the companies expect the deal to close in the second half of 2026 2.

Segments

Ion implantation systems

The Purion, Ovation and Purion Power Series cover high current, high energy and medium current implantation, with a focus on power device applications 1. Power devices accounted for 55% of the value of system shipments in 2025 1.

Trends

  • Demand for memory and power chipstailwind

    Management reported robust demand in the memory segment and positive momentum in power, which could support shipment volumes if the trend continues 3.

  • Recovery in general mature segmenttailwind

    Customer engagement in the general mature segment appears to be improving as end demand in data centers, industrial and automotive grows, which could support fab utilization 3.

  • Export controls and trade policyheadwind

    U.S. restrictions on exports to China and uncertainty over tariffs could limit sales to an important customer group and raise costs 1.

  • Shifts in the investment cyclemixed

    Service activity could be steadier than system sales, but customers who maintain their own equipment can reduce aftermarket revenue, so the overall effect is mixed 1.

Competitive position

The ion implant segment is highly competitive, with one much larger competitor that has greater financial and engineering resources and several smaller companies offering innovative technology 1. Non-U.S. suppliers such as Nissin, Sumitomo Heavy Industries and Advanced Ion Beam Technology are cited as alternatives for Chinese customers 1.

Price competition and margin pressure can affect profitability, especially if new products do not meet market demand on time 1. Chinese companies developing implanters for the domestic market pose a further longer-term threat 1.

  • Larger competitor in ion implantation

    The filing describes one competitor with substantially greater financial and engineering resources, without naming it.

  • Nissin Ion Equipment

    Non-U.S. ion implanter supplier cited as an alternative for Chinese customers.

  • Sumitomo Heavy Industries Ion Technology

    Japanese ion implanter supplier cited as an alternative for Chinese customers.

  • Advanced Ion Beam Technology

    Supplier that could win orders from Chinese customers if relationships with Axcelis change.

News & filings

In the press

No news in our archive over the last 180 days.

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Axcelis Technologies, Inc. · 26 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Axcelis Technologies, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Axcelis Technologies, Inc. · 06 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

Axcelis Technologies, Inc. (ACLS): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw