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olivLaw · US equity research

Veeco Instruments Inc. VECO

Special Industry Machinery, NEC · SIC 3559 · Vertical: Special Industry Machinery, NEC (SIC 3559)

38.87USD−9.18% · 1 dayClose 30 Oct 2026

Veeco Instruments makes semiconductor process equipment based on ion beam, laser annealing, MOCVD and single wafer wet processing technologies. In fiscal 2025 the company reported net sales of 664.3 million USD, with semiconductors making up 72% of total company revenue, and in the second quarter of 2026 sales rose year over year on demand linked to artificial intelligence. The pending merger with Axcelis, still awaiting approvals, puts the company's profile in transition.

At the close of 30 Oct 2026, Veeco Instruments Inc. (VECO) stock was 38.87 USD (−9.18% on the day), with market capitalisation 2.4 bn USD, P/E 108.5 on diluted EPS of 0.36 USD over the last 12 months, beta 1.86, 52-week range 26.39–83.04 USD. Latest reported quarter (Q2 2026): revenue of 193.5 m USD (+16.5% YoY), net income of 11.9 m USD (+1.1% YoY), diluted EPS 0.18 USD.

Data as of · AI analysis dated · Source: SEC filings and closing prices, computed by olivLaw.

Market cap
2.4 bn USD
shares as of 30 Jul 2026
P/E (TTM)
108.5
Diluted EPS TTM 0.36 · TTM to 30 Jun 2026
E/P (TTM)
0.92%
TTM to 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
Beta (2y)
1.86
Volatility (1y) 72%
52-week range
26.3983.04

Price history

Loading chart…

Technical reading

RSI (14)
34.8
weak (30–45)
Bollinger (20, 2)
36.77 – 56.34
in the lower half of the band · %B 0.11 · band width 42.0%
SMA 50 / 200
46.12 / 46.90
downtrend (price < SMA50 < SMA200)
MACD (12, 26, 9)
-1.88 / -1.23
MACD below signal

Indicators describe past prices; on their own they do not predict direction. On our history the RSI ≤ 40 filter added no return (see the signals methodology).

Performance

CompanyS&P 500vs S&P 500Vertical median
1 month−25.1%−0.9%−24.2 pp—
3 months−22.3%+1.2%−23.5 pp—
6 months−22.6%+4.8%−27.5 pp—
Year to date+36.0%+10.7%+25.3 pp—
1 year+33.3%+11.1%+22.2 pp+22.0%
3 years+62.4%+80.7%−18.4 pp−9.2%
5 years+60.0%+64.6%−4.6 pp—
Max drawdown (1y)
−53.2%
15 Jun 2026 → 30 Oct 2026
Max drawdown (5y)
−64.2%
10 Jul 2024 → 08 Apr 2025
Compound annual growth (5y)
+9.9%
S&P 500 +10.5%

Price returns, dividends excluded.

Quarterly results

Latest quarter: Q2 2026 · 30 Jun 2026

Revenue
193.5 m USD
+16.5% YoY
Net income
11.9 m USD
+1.1% YoY
Diluted EPS
0.18
−10.0% YoY
net / operating
6.1% / 6.1%

Quarterly margins

Quarterly statements · USD

Fiscal yearQ3 '24Q4 '24Q1 '25Q2 '25Q3 '25Q4 '25Q1 '26Q2 '26
Revenue184.8 m182.1 m167.3 m166.1 m165.9 m165.0 m158.3 m193.5 m
Cost of revenue105.6 m108.1 m98.8 m97.4 m98.2 m104.5 m102.5 m118.6 m
Gross profit79.2 m74.0 m68.5 m68.7 m67.7 m60.5 m55.8 m74.8 m
Research & development32.2 m31.0 m28.5 m31.6 m29.0 m30.6 m29.9 m33.3 m
SG&A25.3 m25.1 m25.0 m23.9 m27.3 m22.7 m26.0 m27.6 m
Operating income24.3 m3.9 m14.1 m12.4 m10.6 m-1.4 m-2.7 m11.9 m
Depreciation & amortisation6.2 m ≈6.0 m5.0 m5.1 m ≈4.9 m ≈5.0 m5.0 m4.9 m ≈
Interest expense2.9 m2.8 m2.5 m2.3 m2.2 m2.2 m2.1 m2.2 m
Pre-tax income24.7 m4.4 m15.0 m12.6 m11.9 m-94.0 k-1.5 m13.0 m
Income tax2.7 m-10.6 m3.0 m889.0 k1.3 m-1.2 m-1.2 m1.2 m
Net income22.0 m15.0 m11.9 m11.7 m10.6 m1.1 m-324.0 k11.9 m
Diluted EPS0.360.25 ≈0.200.200.170.02 ≈-0.010.18
Operating cash flow17.6 m ≈28.4 m20.0 m9.0 m ≈15.5 m ≈24.9 m7.9 m51.4 m ≈
Capex4.0 m ≈5.2 m6.8 m3.6 m ≈2.6 m ≈3.3 m5.1 m3.7 m ≈

≈ derived quarter (cumulative difference / share-days average)

E/P over time

E/P = trailing-12-month diluted EPS / price at quarter end. E/P is the inverse of P/E and stays defined when earnings are negative.

Today's P/E sits at the 89 percentile of its own 19-quarter history (min 7.1, median 32.8, max 211.6; quarters with earnings only).

Fiscal years

Fiscal year20182019202020212022202320242025
Revenue542.1 m419.3 m454.2 m583.3 m646.1 m666.4 m717.3 m664.3 m
Revenue YoY+14.0%−22.6%+8.3%+28.4%+10.8%+3.1%+7.6%−7.4%
Net income-407.1 m-78.7 m-8.4 m26.0 m166.9 m-30.4 m73.7 m35.4 m
Net income YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable+541.1%−118.2%unavailable−52.0%
Diluted EPS-8.63-1.66-0.170.492.71-0.561.230.59
Diluted EPS YoYunavailableunavailableunavailableunavailable+453.1%−120.7%unavailable−52.0%
net %-75.1%-18.8%-1.8%4.5%25.8%-4.6%10.3%5.3%
Free cash flow-50.4 m-18.3 m36.2 m27.1 m83.9 m33.7 m45.7 m53.3 m

Reported results vs expectations

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Balance sheet & financial health

Fiscal year 2025 · 31 Dec 2025

Cash
163.5 m USD
Financial debt
226.0 m USD
Net debt
62.5 m USD
Equity
885.5 m USD
Total assets
1.3 bn USD
Debt / equity
0.26x
Current ratio
4.75x
ROE
4.3%
ROA
2.7%
FCF margin
8.0%

Financial statements (source on every figure)

Revenue and net income (USD)

Margins

Income statement · USD

Revenue
2023
666.4 m
2024
717.3 m
2025
664.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cost of revenue
2023
381.4 m
2024
413.3 m
2025
398.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Gross profit
2023
285.1 m
2024
304.0 m
2025
265.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Research & development
2023
112.9 m
2024
124.5 m
2025
119.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

SG&A
2023
92.8 m
2024
99.7 m
2025
98.9 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Operating income
2023
69.9 m
2024
67.0 m
2025
35.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Depreciation & amortisation
2023
25.0 m
2024
25.1 m
2025
20.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

EBITDA
2023
94.9 m ≈
2024
92.1 m ≈
2025
55.7 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Interest expense
2023
11.8 m
2024
11.0 m
2025
9.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Pre-tax income
2023
-28.3 m
2024
68.8 m
2025
39.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Income tax
2023
2.0 m
2024
-4.9 m
2025
4.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Net income
2023
-30.4 m
2024
73.7 m
2025
35.4 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Diluted EPS
2023
-0.56
2024
1.23
2025
0.59

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Weighted average diluted shares
2023
53.8 m
2024
61.6 m
2025
60.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Balance sheet · USD

Cash
2023
158.8 m
2024
145.6 m
2025
163.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Receivables
2023
103.0 m
2024
96.8 m
2025
110.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Inventories
2023
237.6 m
2024
246.7 m
2025
275.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current assets
2023
706.3 m
2024
764.5 m
2025
845.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Property, plant & equipment, net
2023
118.5 m
2024
113.8 m
2025
108.6 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Goodwill
2023
215.0 m
2024
215.0 m
2025
215.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Intangibles (excl. goodwill)
2023
43.9 m
2024
8.8 m
2025
5.7 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total assets
2023
1.2 bn
2024
1.3 bn
2025
1.3 bn

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Accounts payable
2023
42.4 m
2024
43.5 m
2025
55.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Short-term debt
2023
—
2024
26.5 m
2025
—

SEC (XBRL)· 14 Feb 2025verified

Long-term debt
2023
274.9 m
2024
249.7 m
2025
226.0 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Current liabilities
2023
218.0 m
2024
192.3 m
2025
178.1 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Total liabilities
2023
556.6 m
2024
480.8 m
2025
440.3 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Equity
2023
672.4 m †
2024
770.8 m †
2025
885.5 m †

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Cash flow · USD

Operating cash flow
2023
61.7 m
2024
63.8 m
2025
69.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Capex
2023
27.9 m
2024
18.1 m
2025
16.2 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Free cash flow
2023
33.7 m ≈
2024
45.7 m ≈
2025
53.3 m ≈

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026derived

Investing cash flow
2023
-53.3 m
2024
-64.5 m
2025
-41.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Financing cash flow
2023
-4.7 m
2024
-12.6 m
2025
-10.5 m

SEC (XBRL)· 25 Feb 2026verified

Computed indicators

Growth

Revenue growth (YoY)
-7.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Revenue CAGR 3Y
0.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Revenue CAGR 5Y
7.9%
computed by olivLawFY 2020 → FY 2025
EBIT growth (YoY)
-46.7%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income growth (YoY)
-52.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Net income CAGR 3Y
-40.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
Net income CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
EPS growth (YoY)
-52.0%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
EPS CAGR 3Y
-39.8%
computed by olivLawFY 2022 → FY 2025
EPS CAGR 5Y
unavailable
the base of the ratio is not positive
FCF growth (YoY)
16.6%
computed by olivLawFY 2025

Profitability

Gross margin
37.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBITDA margin
5.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
EBIT margin
2.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
3.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF margin
12.5%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Returns

ROE
2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROA
1.7%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROIC
2.0%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROCE
1.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Payout ratio (EPS)
unavailable
input data missing
Payout ratio (FCF)
unavailable
input data missing

Balance sheet

Net debt
12.1 m USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net debt / EBITDA
0.3x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Debt / equity
0.3x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Interest coverage
2.1x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Liquidity

Current ratio
3.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Quick ratio
2.7x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash ratio
0.9x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Cash

Operating cash flow
99.8 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Capital expenditure
14.7 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Free cash flow
85.2 m USD
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
FCF conversion
366.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion
261.3%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026

Efficiency

Days sales outstanding
68 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days inventory outstanding
237 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Days payables outstanding
46 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Cash conversion cycle
260 days
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Market and valuation

Market capitalisation
2.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Enterprise value
2.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Market cap / net income TTM
102.2x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
108.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Earnings yield
0.9%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
2.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/S
3.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
62.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBIT
129.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/Sales
3.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/FCF
27.9x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
FCF yield
3.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero
Shareholder yield (distributions)
unavailable
input data missing

Risk

Altman Z
3.49
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026

Valuation

olivLaw classification

Unattractive profile

Score: 35 / 100

A scoring methodology on indicators and valuation, not investment advice.

score < 40

Closing price

38.87 USD

30 Oct 2026Source: olivLaw, closing series

Market cap: 2.4 bn USD

Key indicators

Market capitalisation
2.4 bn USD
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
P/E (TTM)
108.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
P/B
2.6x
computed by olivLawbalance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
EV/EBITDA
62.5x
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
ROE
2.6%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026 · balance sheet at 30 Jun 2026
Net margin
3.4%
computed by olivLawTTM to 30 Jun 2026
Revenue growth (YoY)
-7.4%
computed by olivLawFY 2025
Dividend yield
unavailable
no dividend in the structured statements; a missing line is not a confirmed zero

Coverage and freshness

33/37 reporting lines present
Latest full fiscal year: 2025
Latest reported period: 30 Jun 2026
Latest balance sheet date: 30 Jun 2026
Share count (cover of the latest filing), as of: 30 Jul 2026
Source: SEC (XBRL)published 05 Aug 2026
verified 2687derived 210

Score by group

  • Quality52
  • Balance sheet73
  • Valuation13
  • Growth4

Estimated value range

Low
13.06
USD per share
Mid
16.81
USD per share
High
21.26
USD per share
Price: 38.87 USD
The price is above the range
Potential to the central value: -56.8% (value / price − 1)
Margin of safety: -131.3% (1 − price / value)
Agreement between methods: low · 2 methods used · 2 independent bases

The combined range = the median of the valid methods' low, central and high values; it is not a probability interval and does not cover every result. Envelope of all methods: 7.07 – 29.52 USD.

Valuation assumptions are editorial choices, not measured; beta is not measured.

Method ranges (USD per share)

— — Mid · ▏ Price

Valuation methods

  • DCF (discounted cash flow)19.04 – 29.52 (Mid 23.08)
    WACC 9.0% · starting FCFF 93.7 m USD · terminal value share of EV 73%
    The WACC × g sensitivity gives the method's bounds; these are not probabilities.
    Reverse DCF: starting growth implied by the price (fading linearly to terminal growth, everything else fixed): 25.0%
  • Peers: EV/EBITDAunavailable · not enough peers
  • Peers: P/E7.07 – 13.00 (Mid 10.54)
    8 companies used · median multiple 29.4x · quartiles 19.7x – 36.3x
    ACLS, ACMR, ASYS, CRCT, CVV, ERII, LRCX, SOTK
  • Dividend discount (DDM)unavailable · the company pays no dividend: a dividend model needs an explicit initiation assumption
Multiple comparisons use the SIC vertical: Special Industry Machinery, NEC (SIC 3559)

Classification (SIC) comparables group by industry code, not by economic activity; the direct group is an editorial selection by activity. Members' multiples are on their own trailing twelve months, at their own latest close.

Assumptions (illustrative, editorial)

Risk-free rate
4.3%
Equity risk premium
5.0%
Beta (default)
1.00
Cost of equity
9.3%
Terminal growth
2.5%

Factor scorecard

Unattractive profile · Score 35/100

FactorValueScoreWeight used
ROIC · Quality2.0%40 (vs peers)12%
Net margin · Quality3.4%25 (vs peers)7%
FCF conversion · Quality366.4%100 (on a fixed band)7%
Revenue CAGR 3Y · Growth0.9%8 (on a fixed band)9%
EPS CAGR 3Y · Growth-39.8%0 (on a fixed band)9%
Net debt / EBITDA · Balance sheet0.3x100 (on a fixed band)12%
Interest coverage · Balance sheet2.1x10 (on a fixed band)7%
Current ratio · Balance sheet3.9x100 (on a fixed band)5%
P/E (TTM) · Valuation108.5x0 (vs peers)12%
EV/EBITDA · Valuation62.5x0 (on a fixed band)12%
FCF yield · Valuation3.6%45 (on a fixed band)9%
Shareholder yield (distributions) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—
Payout ratio (FCF) · Returnsunavailableunavailable—

Factors without a value were dropped; the remaining weights were renormalised.

Score groups

  • Balance sheet73/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Growth4/100 · 2/2 factors with a value
  • Quality52/100 · 3/3 factors with a value
  • Returns· partialunavailable · 0/2 factors with a value
  • Valuation13/100 · 3/3 factors with a value

A «partial» group is computed from under half of its weight or from one factor: it is not a full assessment of the group.

Memo

VEECO INSTRUMENTS INC (VECO). Latest full fiscal year: 2025; data up to 2026-06-30.

Figures computed from the financial statements: revenue 664.3 m USD in 2025; YoY growth -7.4%; net margin 3.4%; ROE 2.6%; net debt/EBITDA 0.3x.

The estimated value range is 13.06–21.26 USD per share (median of 2 methods, agreement: low); assumptions are illustrative. Against the central value of 16.81 USD, the price of 38.87 USD leaves a potential of -56.8% (value / price − 1) and a margin of safety of -131.3% (1 − price / value). The range is the median of the methods' low, central and high values, not a probability interval.

olivLaw score 35/100, methodological classification: unattractive profile (score, margin of safety and method agreement together; not a judgement of the right price). Groups assessed only in part: returns. Not investment advice.

Text generated deterministically from the figures shown; no language model. Not investment advice.

What supports the thesis

  • FCF conversion: 366.4%
  • Net debt / EBITDA: 0.3x
  • Current ratio: 3.9x

What contradicts it

  • Net margin: 3.4%
  • Revenue CAGR 3Y: 0.9%
  • EPS CAGR 3Y: -39.8%
  • Interest coverage: 2.1x
  • P/E (TTM): 108.5x
  • EV/EBITDA: 62.5x
  • The price is above the estimated value range
  • The valuation methods diverge

Not assessed (insufficient data or a ratio without meaning): Shareholder yield (distributions), Payout ratio (FCF).

Versus the vertical median

Special Industry Machinery, NEC (SIC 3559) · same industry (4-digit SIC) · compared with 12 companies

Multiples and returns vs the median

P/E
108.5x
vertical median 29.4x
above median (+268.9%)
EV/EBITDA
62.5x
vertical median 14.2x
above median (+340.8%)
P/S
3.5x
vertical median 2.8x
above median (+24.8%)
P/B
2.6x
vertical median 1.9x
above median (+36.3%)
ROE
2.6%
vertical median 9.5%
below median (−72.1%)
Net margin
3.4%
vertical median 11.7%
below median (−70.9%)
EBIT margin
2.7%
vertical median 10.3%
below median (−73.8%)
Revenue YoY
-7.4%
vertical median 2.8%
below median (−367.4%)
Net debt/EBITDA
0.3x
vertical median -2.5x
above median
Dividend yield
—
vertical median 0.5%

Price rebased to 100 (monthly, 5 years)

Companies in the vertical

Market capP/EROENet marginRevenue YoY1A / 3A
LRCXLam Research Corporation298.7 bn35.670.1%32.3%+26.0%+52% / +306%
ACLSAxcelis Technologies Inc3.1 bn33.58.9%10.7%−17.6%+26% / −22%
VECOVeeco Instruments Inc2.4 bn108.52.6%3.4%−7.4%+33% / +62%
AZTAAzenta, Inc.1.7 bn—-7.7%-20.0%+3.6%+29% / −14%
CRCTCricut, Inc.1.3 bn14.325.9%12.7%−0.5%+15% / −29%
ACMRACM Research, Inc.644.6 m21.510.6%14.5%+15.2%+10% / +234%
ERIIEnergy Recovery, Inc.355.3 m25.38.6%12.7%−6.9%−59% / −54%
ASYSAmtech Systems, Inc.223.2 m48.24.8%4.9%−21.6%+61% / +78%
VELOVelo3D, Inc.210.9 m—-61.5%-89.6%+12.1%+18% / −99%
SOTKSono Tek Corp75.8 m38.410.1%9.3%+2.0%+6% / −4%
TRTTrio-Tech International50.6 m—-0.1%-0.1%+71.6%+32% / +43%
CVVCvd Equipment Corporation27.2 m2.732.7%62.0%−4.1%+0% / −32%
ASMLAsml Holding NV——50.5%29.4%+15.6%+48% / +162%

1- and 3-year price returns: for VECO from daily closes (the same as the performance table), for the other companies from month-end closes.

olivLaw engine forecast

The world engine ran after the company's latest material disclosure. Probabilities are of TOUCHING a level within the horizon (not closing there) and sit next to the random walk (p_rw), the no-information benchmark.

The engine has no published run for this company yet.

Valuation scenarios (editable assumptions)

Illustrative scenarios

Illustrative: not forecasts and without probabilities. Each case is one coherent set of assumptions, computed on today's figures.

Bear
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
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Base
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
Allowed range: -100 … 100%
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Bull
Allowed range: -50 … 50%
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Nothing is saved.

Estimated price (USD)

Estimated priceBearBaseBull
1 years
23.51
Total return -40% · Per year -40%
41.64
Total return 7% · Per year 7%
62.82
Total return 62% · Per year 62%
3 years
21.21
Total return -45% · Per year -18%
42.41
Total return 9% · Per year 3%
70.49
Total return 81% · Per year 22%
5 years
19.13
Total return -51% · Per year -13%
43.21
Total return 11% · Per year 2%
79.09
Total return 103% · Per year 15%
What moves the 3-year price the most
  • Exit P/E± 10.60
  • Net margin± 7.42
  • Annual revenue growth± 6.31
  • Annual dilution± 0.62

AI analysis

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

In brief

Veeco Instruments makes semiconductor process equipment based on ion beam, laser annealing, MOCVD and single wafer wet processing technologies. In fiscal 2025 the company reported net sales of 664.3 million USD, with semiconductors making up 72% of total company revenue, and in the second quarter of 2026 sales rose year over year on demand linked to artificial intelligence. The pending merger with Axcelis, still awaiting approvals, puts the company's profile in transition.

SWOT

Strengths

  • The company holds a strong technology position in laser annealing and ion beam deposition, and semiconductors make up a high share of its revenue.
  • A portfolio of roughly three hundred and fifty patents and long-standing relationships with leading customers support its competitive position.
  • Order growth in the second half of the year and the visibility it gives provide the company with planning advantages.

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on a small number of principal customers could affect results if they reduce orders or change plans.
  • Revenue fell in fiscal 2025 from the prior year, and the data storage segment suffered a sharp decline.
  • Gross margins fell due to product mix, production costs and tariffs, which limits profitability.

Opportunities

  • Demand linked to artificial intelligence, HBM memory and advanced packaging could expand the company's addressable market.
  • Nanosecond annealing and EUV mask technologies could open new revenue sources with logic and memory customers.
  • Completing the merger with Axcelis, if it takes place, could create a larger entity with expanded research and sales resources.

Threats

  • Export restrictions and trade policies of the United States and China could limit access to the Chinese market, where the company has had significant sales.
  • Government-backed competitors, especially in China, could reduce the company's market share over the longer term.
  • Cyclical markets can cause sudden drops in orders, which could affect the company's investment plans.

Risks

  • Failure to complete the Axcelis mergerhigh

    The merger depends on regulatory approvals, including in China. If it is not completed on time or at all, the company's share price and business plans could be affected.

  • Export restrictionshigh

    US rules could prevent deliveries to certain Chinese customers, which could lead to delays, refunds and disputes.

  • Customer concentrationmedium

    A small number of principal customers account for a significant share of sales. Losing one of them could materially affect results.

  • Industry cyclicalitymedium

    Demand for semiconductor equipment varies with customer investment, and an industry slowdown could quickly reduce orders.

  • Cybersecurity and intellectual propertylow

    Cyberattacks or data breaches could disrupt operations and expose the company's proprietary technology.

Investment thesis

What would need to be true (bull case)

  • Demand linked to artificial intelligence could keep growing, and orders in the second half of 2026 could support revenue growth.
  • The company's technology position in laser annealing and advanced packaging could allow it to win share in new chip generations.
  • Growth in compound semiconductor revenue and visibility into 2027 could reduce uncertainty for investors over the medium term.

What would break the thesis

  • If export restrictions tighten, sales to China could decline further and margins could come under pressure.
  • The Axcelis merger could be delayed or fail, leaving the company without the strategic framework it is currently pursuing.
  • Industry cyclicality and the decline in 2025 show that revenue can fluctuate significantly, especially in data storage.

What to watch

  • Revised fiscal 2026 revenue guidance and whether the range is achievedQ4 2026
  • Status of Chinese regulatory approval for the Axcelis merger2026
  • Development of data storage and compound semiconductor orders in the second half of the yearQ4 2026

Products, market & competition

AI-generatedAI-generated analysis (Claude) from cited public sources; it may contain errors. Not investment advice. As of 27 Oct 2026 · Model: claude-haiku-5-5.

The business

Veeco, headquartered in Plainview, New York, is a manufacturer of advanced semiconductor process equipment that solves materials engineering problems for its customers. Its portfolio includes ion beam, laser annealing, MOCVD, CVD, advanced packaging lithography, single wafer wet processing, MBE and ALD technologies. Customers include integrated device manufacturers, foundries, outsourced assembly and test companies, hard disk drive makers and research institutions. The company has sales and service operations in Asia-Pacific, Europe and North America, and most of its sales go to customers outside the United States.

Segments

Semiconductor

This is the largest segment and includes laser annealing, ion beam deposition for EUV mask blanks, and advanced packaging. Sales in fiscal 2025 rose slightly, and in the second quarter of 2026 they rose year over year on demand from leading-edge logic and memory customers.

Compound Semiconductor

It covers MOCVD, MBE and wet processing for power electronics, photonics and RF filters. Sales in fiscal 2025 declined, but order activity in the second half of 2025 and growth in the second quarter of 2026 point to a recovery linked to AI data center infrastructure.

Data Storage

This segment serves the manufacture of magnetic heads for hard disk drives. Sales in fiscal 2025 fell sharply from the prior year, but orders tied to AI and cloud data centers could support a recovery, especially in the second half of 2026.

Market context

The semiconductor industry grew in 2025, and analysts forecast long-term growth driven by artificial intelligence, high-performance computing and automotive electrification. According to the company, wafer fab equipment spending could grow in step with this expansion. Competition is also shaped by export restrictions and trade policies between the United States and China, which could slow sales in that region.

Sales of semiconductor equipment are cyclical and depend on customers' investment in new chip and memory generations. If demand linked to artificial intelligence holds, advanced packaging and memory could become important drivers of growth for the company.

Trends

  • Demand for artificial intelligencetailwind

    Investment in artificial intelligence, HBM memory and advanced packaging has raised orders, and the company expects order growth in the second half of the year.

  • Export restrictions and trade tensionsheadwind

    US export rules and China's retaliation could limit sales to customers in China and delay shipments, which affects revenue from that region.

  • Shift to new device nodestailwind

    Shrinking geometries and three-dimensional transistor architectures raise process complexity, which could favour the company's annealing and deposition equipment.

  • Tariff and material cost pressuremixed

    Tariffs could raise production costs and reduce margins if they cannot be fully passed on to customers, so margin trends are worth monitoring.

Competitive position

Veeco competes with established manufacturers and smaller firms in each of its markets, and some competitors have greater financial and engineering resources. Customers choose tools based on system performance, accuracy, reliability, cost of ownership and technical service. The company also notes that some Chinese competitors receive government support, which could increase competitive pressure.

No single competitor covers the company's full product range, so its position differs by segment. This fragmentation may ease competitive pressure on some product lines but requires continued investment in research and development.

  • Applied MaterialsAMAT

    Large competitor with a broad range of semiconductor equipment, cited in the annual report among principal competitors.

  • Aixtron

    Maker of MOCVD equipment for compound semiconductors, competing directly in that segment.

  • Canon

    Competitor active in lithography and manufacturing equipment, cited among principal competitors.

  • Suss MicroTec

    Supplier of lithography and wet processing equipment competing in advanced packaging.

News & filings

In the press

SEC filings

Sources

  1. [1] Form 10-K, fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 · SEC / Veeco Instruments Inc. · 25 Feb 2026
  2. [2] Form 10-Q, quarter ended 2026-06-30 · SEC / Veeco Instruments Inc. · 05 Aug 2026
  3. [3] Form 8-K, results release (exhibit 99.1) · SEC / Veeco Instruments Inc. · 05 Aug 2026

Figures computed by olivLaw from SEC filings and closing prices; the qualitative analysis is AI-generated from cited sources. Not investment advice.

Veeco Instruments Inc. (VECO): stock, results, valuation and forecast · olivLaw